Annual Ces D L D Ces

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1/25/2010 Guess What the Big Buzz was About? Panasonic Annual CES D Download l d • • • • Gary Sasaki – DIGDIA Mike Demler – DIGDIA Chris Pedersen – nVidia Tom Coughlin – Coughlin Assoc 256% 236% 129% 127% 95% 95% 92% 85% 84% 74% 55% 55% 46% 44% LED Displays 2010 OLED Ethernet-enabled TVs e-Readers Ethernet-enabled Receivers 3D TVs >60 inch Plasma >60 inch LCD HTiB w/Blu-ray Ethernet-enabled Blu-ray Soundbars Phones with GPS TVs with Widgets 1 CEA Netbooks XpanD Sisvel cubicVue Sony Gary Sasaki - DIGDIA TV Refinements 3D TV Marketing Sharp Panasonic Samsung (0.3”) LG (6.9mm) Samsung R&D See report on 3D at www.digdia.com 3 Toshiba 4 1 1/25/2010 “Mobile Electronics” Spy vs. Spy Pocket Radar FLIR Chevy Volt Tazer Ford Lincoln Ideal Creations Aigo 5 Green 6 Fashionable Klipsch Deos Sharp Nanobrick Acbel Victorinox Samsonite Hannspree Tunebug Ed Hardy Icing 7 8 2 1/25/2010 Cool Stuff More Cool Stuff MileageTracker dtv Interactive CarMD Samsung Brother Modiv Burton Moen Sony 9 Guitammer 10 For that Special Person Oregon Scientific See more photos at digdia.com Highlights from (in & around) CES ElectroJoe Mike Demler Senior Strategic Analyst Additional photos and articles at Parrot The World is Analog http://the-world-is-analog.blogspot.com/ Zomm Shapeways Simplism 11 3 1/25/2010 AT&T Supports Android Google Nexus One • The long-anticipated “Google phone” • Sold directly from www.google.com/phone l / h • Manufactured by HTC • Android now on all major carriers • 1st phone with Android 2.1 • AT&T plans 5 Android phones in 2010 – Voice input to all text fields – 1st up: Motorola “BackFlip” • • Qualcomm Snapdragon processor with MotoBlur UI – Dell enters U.S. market: mini 3 – More HTC Android phones • 3.7-inch (diagonal) AMOLED touch screen • AT&T planning for loss of iPhone? – 800 x 480 pixels Verizon’s 1st Public Demo of LTE Android Beyond Smartphones • Qualcomm-HP netbook – Concept vehicle • 4G competition for Clearwire/Sprint WiMAX • ARM vs. Intel-Atom – Snapdragon again • Android adapted for larger screens • Android in e-book readers – Barnes & Noble nook – Spring Design “Alex” • Dual-screen ePaper + browser • Announced agreements with Borders Borders, Google books To help protect y our priv acy , PowerPoint prev ented this external picture from being automatically downloaded. To download and display this picture, click Options in the Message Bar, and then click Enable external content. – Alcatel-Lucent network – ICD tablet • – – – – nVidia Tegra-powered Creative Labs Video, video, video… M2M applications 4Home security • ICD Ultra tablet – nVidia Tegra – 1080p HD video 4 1/25/2010 Video Everywhere & Anywhere Mobile TV • ATSC-M/H mobile DTV for local broadcast – Approved in Oct-09 – 1st test market in Washington D.C. Q1-2010 • Samsung – Added TV to Moment™ Android smartphone • iMovee Telly NAV – combined GPS + TV (?) • Qualcomm FloTV – Subscription-based proprietary format – Re-using UHF channel 56 spectrum • “Thumb-sized” Mini DV – – – – – 640 X 480px @30fps Built-in Li battery for 2.5 hour recording Supports pp 16GB Micro SD card Snapshot function Low illumination, high resolution image with 2 Mpixels • Wearable Sports cameras – Liquid Image: Scuba masks, Ski goggles – GoPro: helmets, surfboards, race cars • Telegent – Chips for analog mobile TV handsets – Regions where NTSC/PAL is available • Asia, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Middle East & Africa mirasol® Color Displays • Passive-reflective color display based on interferometric modulation (IMOD) • Pixels are two nanometer-scale plates separated by an air gap equal to wavelength of light for R, G & B • Displays video and static pages • e-book reader to be available 2H 2010 Some Really Sweet Analog (with a little digital) • The Thiel CS 3.7 – Jim Thiel’s “lifetime achievement” • Continuum Caliburn turntable – $65,000 – + Cobra tonearm ($12,500) – + Castellon stand ($24,999) • Thiel + Olive – SCS4D IP-based Loudspeakers – Burr-Brown 24-bit/192kHz DAC – 200W Class D Power Amp • Olive HD HiFi Server – 2TB ultra-quiet hard drive – 4-port Gigabit Ethernet (wired) – 802.11n (wireless) – Analog and USB Inputs 5 1/25/2010 3D HDTVs are coming in 2010 Sony Samsung Toshiba Panasonic LG Sharp JVC Chris Pedersen - nVidia Chris Pedersen - nVidia NVIDIA 3D Vision Surround The Ultimate Immersive Gaming Experience 6 1/25/2010 2-5x Faster Media Apps on an ION Netbook 140 Hours of Music, 16 Hours of HD Video, 6 Hours of HD Streaming Video with NVIDIA Tegra GPU--CPU CoGPU Co-processing Turbocharges Atom Storage Highlights • • • • • • • • • SV 2010, 2010 CES CES, Showstoppers and ICCE Storage Recap Thomas Coughlin Coughlin Associates www.tomcoughlin.com © 2010 Coughlin Associates 27 Life-logs, e-Diaries Long term storage preservation Consumer metadata Network storage and plug computing New high speed/capacity SD card formats USB products and USB 3.0 first products SSD and SSDs d external t l SSD SSDs 3D on Blu-ray Professional video products © 2010 Coughlin Associates 28 7 1/25/2010 Total Recall! Capacity (GB) 120,000 Commercial Content Capacity 100,000 80,000 60,000 Personal Content Capacity Publish Date September 2009 40,000 20,000 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 © 2013 2014 2015 2010 Coughlin Associates Gbell MyLifeBits January 2008 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 219 Gbytes (460,000 items) 29 Threats to long-term assets Everything a Recording Device • Large-scale disaster • Human error • Media faults • • • • Portable Internet Broadcasting © 2010 Coughlin Associates 31 30 Component faults Economic faults Attack Organizational faults Long-term content suffers from more th t th threats than shorth t term content Media/hardware obsolescence Software/format obsolescence Lost context/metadata 32 Sam Fineberg, HP, Digital Forgetfulness, SV 2010 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 32 8 1/25/2010 SIRF: logical container format Metadata Layer Model • Being developed by SNIA Meaning Levels • Logical data format of a mountable unit Semantic Layer Textural Layer Dimensional Extent Basic Data Levels Physiological Filter • Several implementations envisioned Sam Fineberg, HP, Digital Forgetfulness, SV 2010 © 2010 Coughlin Associates – – – – Operational Layer • Facilitate transparent logical/physical migration for long-term preservation – Preservation models, storage interfaces, storage devices, etc. • We need a consumer metadata standard that obeys 4 criteria: Contextual Layer – For long-term storage of digital information Psychological Filter Physical Layer Flexible Scalable Upgradable Simple • Plus something that can also integrate the professional standards 33 33 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 34 Plug Computers Network Storage • Build networked computers into everything… thi © 2010 Coughlin Associates 35 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 36 9 1/25/2010 Higher Capacity, Higher Speed SD Cards USB Storage Devices • Last year the SD card association announced the SDHC format • This year Toshiba was showing product • CE Devices using this available by 2011 37 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 38 • Almost all consumer flash applications require HDDs – Music and video players – Cameras • Consumer flash applications have created greater demand for HDDs – Downloads – Uploading photos and videos – Backup of Consumer Content 60 6.0% Flash Supporting HDDs 50 Percentage Total HDD Shipments 5.0% 40 4.0% 30 3.0% 20 2.0% 10 1 0% 1.0% 0 0.0% Perce entage of Total HDDs Shipped Symbiotic Relationship Flash and HDDS USB 3.0 HDDs s Supporting Consumer Flash (M) units) © 2010 Coughlin Associates 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 White Paper: Flash and HDD: Symbiosis or Survival of the Fittest? (Coughlin Associates & Objective Analysis) © 2010 Coughlin Associates 39 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 40 10 1/25/2010 SSDs External SSD Torture Test IIoSafe S f DemoD Lition January 8, 2010 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 41 © 2010 Coughlin Associates In the next decade Optical Disc Technology • • • • © 2010 Coughlin Associates 42 43 A terabyte in your pocket A petabyte in your home Exabytes in datacenters Zetabytes in the world © 2010 Coughlin Associates 44 11 1/25/2010 Thanks Appendix © 2010 Coughlin Associates 45 MyLifeBits Software Suite SenseCa m GUI loggin g MyLifeBits Shell Text comment tool Screen saver 46 Preservation storage formats Import files GPS import & Map display © 2010 Coughlin Associates • We can’t predict the future – Systems will change, formats will change, systems will fail Voice comment tool • Preservation objects need to be MyLifeBits store – Self contained – to ensure objects are complete – Self describing – so software can interpret it – Extensible – so it can meet future needs Internet Browser tool Radio capture & EPG IM capture MAPI interface PocketPC transfer tool TV capture tool PocketRadi o player • A preservation storage format must – Facilitate storage of preservation objects – Map to a wide variety of storage devices and technologies – Be resilient to failures and change Outlook interface Telephone capture tool TV EPG download © 2010 Coughlin Associates tool Legacy email client 48 47 Sam Fineberg, HP, Digital Forgetfulness, SV 2010 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 48 12 1/25/2010 Professional Video Odds and Ends Sony Stereoscopic Projector (what every home needs!) iVDR for Content Capture and Editing © 2010 Coughlin Associates 49 © 2010 Coughlin Associates 50 13