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General Conference Information - American Statistical Association

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General Conference Information 2009 JSM Program Committee.......................................1 Keynote Speakers............................................................5 Hotel/Hostel Listing..........................................................6 Convention Center Floor Plans........................................7 Hotel Floor Plans............................................................10 What You Need to Know................................................11 Career Placement Service..............................................13 EXPO 2009 Floor Plan....................................................14 Who’s Who at EXPO 2009.............................................15 Continuing Education at a Glance.................................21 Technical Sessions.........................................................23 General Program Thursday, July 30...........................................................33 Friday, July 31.................................................................33 Saturday, August 1.........................................................34 Sunday, August 2...........................................................35 Monday, August 3...........................................................65 Tuesday, August 4........................................................121 Wednesday, August 5..................................................177 Thursday, August 6.......................................................225 Association Contacts ASA...............................................................................282 ENAR.............................................................................282 WNAR............................................................................283 IMS................................................................................283 SSC...............................................................................283 ICSA..............................................................................284 IISA................................................................................284 Indexes Index of Participants.....................................................250 Index of Advertisers......................................................281 The 20th Annual GERTRUDE COX SCHOLARSHIP RACE 5k Race and 2.5k Fun Run/Walk at JSM 2009, Washington, DC The Caucus for Women in Statistics, in conjunction with the ASA, presents the 20th annual Gertrude Cox Scholarship Race at the Joint Statistical Meetings 2009 in Washington, DC. All proceeds will benefit the Gertrude M. Cox Scholarship in Statistics. This year, the race will be sponsored by RTI International. The Race: Competitive 5k race and a 2.5k fun run/walk, running concurrently When: Tuesday, August 4, time to be announced (to start and finish before 8:30 a.m.) Where: Location and logistical information will be posted at The Caucus for Women in Statistics web site as it becomes available (www.caucusforwomeninstatistics.com) and at The Caucus for Women in Statistics hospitality table at the convention center during JSM 2009 How Much: The entry fee is $30.00 Registration Those interested in participating are encouraged to register early by mail, but Procedure: may also register during JSM at the hospitality table for the Caucus for Women in Statistics at the Convention Center, near the registration area. All participants must sign a registration form and waiver. T-shirts for all pre-registered runners will be distributed at the hospitality table. REGISTRATION FORM (each participant must complete and sign) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Name ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Address City ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________ State/Province ZIP/Postal Code Phone Required for placement and timing in the 5k race: SEX: ❏ M EVENT: ❏ 5 k Race ❏ 2.5 k Fun Run/Walk ❏ F Age ______ T-SHIRT SIZE: ❏ S ❏ M ❏ L ❏ XL THE FINE PRINT: I understand that running a road race is a potentially hazardous activity. I will not enter and run unless I am medically able and properly trained. I agree to abide by any decision of a race official relative to my ability to complete the run safely. I assume all risks associated with running in this event, including, but not limited to, falls; contact with other participants; and effects of weather, traffic, and course conditions. All such risks are known and appreciated by me. Having read this waiver, knowing these facts, and in consideration of your accepting my entry, I, for myself and anyone entitled to act on my behalf, waive and release the race directors, the race committee, and all sponsors from all claims of liabilities of any kind arising out of my participation in this event, even though such liability may arise as a result of negligence or carelessness on the part of the persons named in this waiver. ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Signature Date ___________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Parent or guardian (if under 18) Make check payable to The Gertrude Cox Scholarship Fund and mail with registration to: Anna Nevius, Treasurer 7732 Rydal Terrace Rockville, MD 20855-2057 We regret to inform that we will not be able to accept registrations online this year. For questions, contact: Marcia A. Ciol ([email protected]) or Anna Nevius ([email protected]) Committee 2009 JSM Program Committee Local Area Committee Darryl V. Creel, Chair RTI International Nancy Clusen 2009 JSM Program Chair, ASA Wendy L. Martinez U.S. Department of Defense International Biometric Society (ENAR) Lloyd Edwards The University of North Carolina International Biometric Society (WNAR) Daniel L. Gillen University of California, Irvine Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Invited) Michael Kosorok The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Invited) Xiaotong Shen University of Minnesota Mathematica Policy Research Christopher Cummiskey RTI International Christopher Moriarty National Center for Health Statistics Lily Trofimovich General Dynamics Information Technology Y. Michael Yang Institute of Mathematical Statistics (Contributed) Elizaveta Levina University of Michigan Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) Peter X. Song University of Waterloo International Chinese Statistical Association Xuming He University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign International Indian Statistical Association Bhramar Mukherjee University of Michigan Council of Chapters, ASA Gary Gadbury Kansas State University ICF International Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Xiaoming Sheng, Chair University of Utah Katherine T. Halvorsen General Methodology, ASA Anna B. Nevius U.S. Food and Drug Administration General Methodology, ASA Mayetri Gupta Boston University School of Public Health Committee on Committees, ASA Patrick Cantwell U.S. Census Bureau Invited and Contributed Posters Lara Schmidt RAND Corporation Section on Bayesian Statistics, ASA Mike Daniels University of Florida Smith College Joseph M. Hilbe Arizona State University Gordon J. Johnston SAS Institute, Inc. Young K. Kim DP Clinical Eileen C. King Biometrics Section, ASA Wensheng Guo University of Pennsylvania Biopharmaceutical Section, ASA Matilde Sanchez Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Business & Economic Statistics Section, ASA Barbara Rossi Duke University Statistical Computing Section, ASA Robert McCulloch The University of Texas at Austin Section on Statistical Consulting, ASA Stephan Ogenstad Statogen Consulting Procter & Gamble Ronald E. McRoberts U.S. Forest Service, North Central Research Station Scott D. Patterson Wyeth Charles Yun Tan Merck & Co., Inc. Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, ASA Myron J. Katzoff National Center for Health Statistics Section on Statistical Education, ASA Peter Westfall Texas Tech University Section on Statistics and the Environment, ASA Petrutza C. Caragea Iowa State University Section on Epidemiology, ASA Amy H. Herring The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Section on Government Statistics, ASA Sunghee Lee University of California, Los Angeles ASA Continuing Education Rick Peterson Education Programs Associate ASA Meetings Kathleen Wert Section on Statistical Graphics, ASA Steven N. MacEachern The Ohio State University Section on Health Policy Statistics, ASA Mary E. Landrum Harvard Medical School Section on Statistics in Marketing, ASA Michael Braun MIT Sloan School of Management Section on Nonparametric Statistics, ASA Simon Sheather Texas A&M University Director of Meetings Donna-Renee Arrington Meetings Planner Fay Gallagher Meetings Planner Section on Physical & Engineering Sciences, ASA Jeffery J. Luner Boeing Section on Statistics in Sports, ASA Matthew S. Johnson Baruch College Section on Quality & Productivity, ASA Donald W. McCormack Jr. SAS Institute, Inc. Section on Risk Analysis, ASA Bertrand S. Clarke The University of British Columbia Section on Survey Research Methods, ASA Elaine Zanutto National Analysts Worldwide Research and Consulting Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, ASA Carol Bigelow University of Massachusetts Social Statistics Section, ASA Kathleen S. O’Connor Centers for Disease Control and Prevention American Statistical Association 732 North Washington Street Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 [email protected] www.amstat.org Seeking a CAREER in STATISTICS? Washington, DC August 1–6 Are you nearing graduation and wondering about entry-level jobs? Are you an experienced statistics professional interested in career information? Register for the JSM Career Placement Service What can the Career Placement Service do for you? Each year, more than 120 companies, universities, recruiters, and government agencies search for applicants using the JSM Career Placement Service. The JSM Career Placement Service provides the best opportunity for qualified applicants to meet employers, establish valuable contacts, and learn about organizations employing statisticians. Career Placement Service Benefits Applicant reading area—for applicants to review complete job descriptions and contact information for all registered employers. Computerized message center—allows applicants and employers to communicate throughout the meeting. Visibility to employers—applicants who register by July 16, 2009, will have their information and résumés included in the advance applicant online database, available to employers prior to the meeting. Employers often contact applicants in the database prior to JSM to schedule interviews. Online access to job postings—included with ALL Career Placement Service registrations. www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2009/placement Organizations Represented at Recent JSM Career Placement Services Capital One • FDA • DuPont • Eli Lilly and Company • ESPN Media Google • Novartis • West Point Speakers Keynote Speakers Rebecca M. Blank Peter Bühlmann President’s Invited Address IMS Medallion Lecture I “Measurement Matters: Why Good Statistics Are Important to Understanding the Well-Being of American Families” Monday, August 3, 4:00 p.m. “Statistics for High-Dimensional Data: Toward More Reliable Results” Sunday, August 2, 2:00 p.m. Nanny Wermuth Aad van der Vaart IMS Presidential Address Le Cam Lecture “On the Development of Insight: Some Examples in the Statistical Sciences” Monday, August 3, 8:00 p.m. “Some Frequentist Results on Posterior Distributions on Infinite-Dimensional Parameter Spaces” Sunday, August 2, 4:00 p.m. J. Stuart Hunter George Casella Deming Lecture IMS Medallion Lecture II “Deming Today” Tuesday, August 4, 4:00 p.m. “From R. A. Fisher to Microarrays: Why 70-Year-Old Theory Is Relevant Today” Monday, August 3, 8:30 a.m. Jerome H. Friedman Tony Cai Wald Lecture Series IMS Medallion Lecture III “Fast Sparse Regression and Classification” Tuesday, August 4, 4:00 p.m. “Robust and Adaptive Methods for Nonparametric Function Estimation” Monday, August 3, 10:30 a.m. “Decision Trees and Gradient Boosting” Wednesday, August 5, 10:30 a.m. “Predictive Learning via Rule Ensembles” Thursday, August 6, 10:30 a.m. Sally C. Morton ASA Presidential Address “Statistics: From Evidence to Policy” Tuesday, August 4, 8:00 p.m. Alistair Sinclair IMS Medallion Lecture IV “Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Theoretical Computer Science” Tuesday, August 4, 8:30 a.m. Gábor Lugosi IMS Medallion Lecture V Noel A.C. Cressie COPSS Fisher Lecture “Combinatorial Problems in Randomized Sequential Prediction” Wednesday, August 5, 8:30 a.m. “When, Where, and Then Why” Wednesday, August 5, 4:00 p.m. Gareth Roberts IMS Medallion Lecture VI “Auxiliary Variables, Perfect Simulation, and Importance Sampling for the Statistical Analysis of Stochastic Processes” Wednesday, August 5, 2:00 p.m. Washington, DC 5 Maps Hotel Listing Headquarter Hotel 1 Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel (Headquarter Hotel) 999 Ninth Street, NW Other Conference Hotels    2 Embassy Suites DC 900 Tenth Street, NW 7  3 Hampton Inn DC Convention Center 901 Sixth Street, NW   8 Hotel Monaco Washington, DC 700 F Street, NW   4 Four Points by Sheraton 1201 K Street, NW 9     5 Grand Hyatt Washington 1000 H Street, NW     6 Red Roof Inn-Downtown DC 500 H Street, NW 6 JSM 2009   Marriott at Metro Center 775 Twelfth Street, NW Hilton Garden Inn Washington, DC, Downtown 815 Fourteenth Street, NW   10 Hostelling International-Washington, DC 1009 Eleventh Street, NW S E W Room 154B Room 152B 9th Street Open to Below Room Room Room Room Room 160 159B 159A 158B 158A Room 157 Room 156 Shuttle Bus Pickup for Tours L Street L Street Bridge Above Room 102B Room 102A Room 101 Registration Open to Below Up to Halls D&E East Registration Marketplace Cyber Center Grand Lobby Starbucks Service Area Escalator Room 155 Room 154A Room 153 Room 152A Room 151B Room 148 Room 140A Room 149A Room 150B Shuttle Bus Pickup for Tours L Street Committee Tables Mount Vernon Place Handicap Access Room 151A Room 140B Room Room 142 141 Room 149B Room Room Room Room Room Room 144C 144B 144A 143C 143B 143A 7th Street Room 150A Ground Level Stairs Up to L Street Bridge Key Convention Center Plans Restrooms Concession N Washington, DC 7 Plans Convention Center Mount Vernon Place, Below Key Stairs 2nd Floor Overlook East Handicap Access 2nd Floor Overlook West Restrooms Open to Below Concession Room 209C Room 209A L Street Bridge Room 207A Room 206 Room 210 L Street, Below Entrance to Hall D L Street, Below Room 207B Room 209B Room Room 203B 203A Room 204A Room 205 Room 202B Room 204B Level 2 Room 202A Room 204C Room 201 Room Room 208B 208A Escalator Hall D - Career Placement & Exhibit Hall Mount Vernon Place, Below 3rd Floor East Ear Roundtables with Coffee & Lunch 3rd Floor West Ear Ballroom South Prefunction Open to Below Open to Below Level 3 Room 301 Room 304 Room 302 Room 305 Room 303 S W E N 8 JSM 2009 Ballroom B Ballroom A Room 306 Plans Committee 2009 JSM Program Committee Convention Center Key Stairs Handicap Access Restrooms Concession Escalator 1 2 Co 3 m m itt 4 ee 5 6 7 Ta b les Registration 8 9 10 East Registration Cyber Center Committee and Luggage StorageTables Society (Wed. p.m. Committee and Society Tables 1 ASA Council of Sections 2 ASA Council of Chapters 3 Caucus for Women in Statistics 4 Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics 5 Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology (FCSM) 6 Christian Statisticians 7 International Indian Statistical Association (IISA) 8 International Chinese Postings Marketplace 1 and ASA Council Thur. a.m.) 2 ASA Council of Chapters 3 Caucus for Women in Statistics 4 Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics 5 Federal Committee on Statistical Methodology (FCSM) 6 Christian Statisticians 7 International Indian Statistical Association (IISA) 8 International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) 9 International Statistical Institute (ISI) of Sections 10 10 Statistical Education Washington, DC 9 Plans Hotel Floor Plans Key Stairs Renaissance Handicap Access 17 Washington, DC, Hotel Restrooms Concession Escalator 9 7 8 6 10 11 5 4 12 3 Service Area 13 14 2 1 15 Meeting Room Level 16 Renaissance Ballroom Grand Ballroom Ballroom Level Renaissance Office West B South East Central A C North B Congressional Hall 10 JSM 2009 West A Information What You Need to Know CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Emergency Telephone Messages Recycling In case of emergency, messages may be left during registration hours by calling (202) 249-4051. These will be posted at the Cyber Center, located in the registration area. Please use the paper, plastic, and aluminum trash containers located throughout the Walter E. Washington Convention Center. Also, participating in the towel and linen programs at area hotels makes a significant difference in the amount of energy and water used. You also can change the option from print to not print or use the paper recycling containers available at the Cyber Center. Finally, place the JSM badges and badge holders in one of the designated bins in the registration area. Convention Housing Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel (202) 898-9000 Embassy Suites DC (202) 739-2001 Hampton Inn DC Convention Center (202) 842-2500 Four Points by Sheraton (202) 289-7600 Grand Hyatt Washington (202) 582-1234 JSM Proceedings Eligibility guidelines and author instructions for JSM 2009 presenters are available at www.amstat.org/meetings/jsm/2009/ index.cfm?fuseaction=proceedings. Red Roof Inn-Downtown DC (202) 289-5959 Marriott at Metro Center (202) 737-2200 Hotel Monaco Washington, DC (202) 628-7177 Hilton Garden Inn Washington, DC, (202) 783-7800 Downtown Hostelling International-Washington, DC (202) 737-2333 Assistance for Those with Disabilities Please contact a staff member at the Special Assistance Desk in the registration area of the Walter E. Washington Convention Center if you have a disability that may impede your participation. Child Care Services may be organized through Family and Child Care, Inc. With trained and bonded child-care providers, Family and Child Care, Inc., has served the Washington, DC, area for 32 years. For more information, call (202) 723-2051. The Caucus for Women in Statistics will provide a subsidy toward four hours of babysitting per family for up to 10 families. If you are interested, contact Marcia Ciol at [email protected]. Policies Electronic Devices All cell phones, pagers, and other electronic devices should be turned off before attending any session or meeting. Smoking Smoking is not permitted at any JSM function, unless the event is held outside. Photographs and Videotaping JSM 2010 The 2010 Joint Statistical Meetings will be held in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, from July 31 to August 5 at the Vancouver Convention Center. Check out the details at Booth #606 in the exhibit hall. Plan Ahead! Passports now are required for travel between the United States and Canada. Passport processing times are unpredictable, so get your passport now. Membership Information about the ASA, ENAR, WNAR, IMS, SSC, ICSA, and IISA is available at the society booths in the registration area and exhibit hall. Each society provides a variety of publications and activities to anyone interested in applied and or theoretical statistics, and student membership is offered at substantially reduced rates. Hours of Operation Registration and ASA Membership/ Special Assistance/Press Desk CC – East Registration JSM registration includes the Program Book and Abstract CD; access to the exhibit hall; and admission to the Opening Mixer, Student Mixer (students only), and Informal Dance Party. Saturday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday 7:30 a.m. – 8:30 p.m. Monday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Tuesday – Wednesday 7:30 a.m. – 4:30 p.m. Thursday 7:30 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. Taking photographs or using video equipment during any JSM session or event is prohibited. Washington, DC 11 CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Speaker Management Room CC-154A Introductory Overview Lectures Speakers are asked to check in 24 hours prior to their presentations to upload their materials to the speaker management system or confirm their materials were uploaded correctly. Session chairs also should check in to confirm all speakers have uploaded their materials. Sunday, August 2, 4:00 p.m. – 5:50 p.m. CC- 207B Session 40 – Largely About Largeness: Models and Views for High-Dimensional Data Saturday 10:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday 9:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. Monday – Wednesday 7:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Thursday 7:00 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. Career Placement Service 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. (job posting and résumé submission only) Sunday 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. Monday – Tuesday 8:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday Tuesday, August 4, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-202A Session 241 – Designing Longitudinal Studies Wednesday, August 5, 2:00 p.m. – 3:50 p.m. CC-207A CC – Hall D Saturday Monday, August 3, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-202A Session 85 – Spatial Data Analysis 8:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. (onsite registration closes at noon) EXPO 2009 CC – Hall D Visit publishers, software companies, and recruiters. See state-ofthe-art products designed for the statistical community. Sunday 1:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m. Monday – Tuesday 9:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Wednesday 9:00 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Cyber Center CC – East Registration There are 20 terminals with Internet access available for your emailing needs, as well as three printers. Also, the Walter E. Washington Convention Center has Wi-Fi throughout the building for $15.95 per day. There will be no internal message center this year, so make sure to take advantage of these Internet options. Session 491 – Causal Inference in Statistics Thursday, August 6, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-207A Session 534 – Statistical Learning and Data Mining Late-Breaking Sessions Monday, August 3, 2:00 p.m. – 3:50 p.m. CC-202A Session 187 – Late-Breaking Session I: Policymakers to Get Full Data Coverage of the Nation's Service Sector Wednesday, August 5, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-202A Session 392 – Late-Breaking Session II: The Role of Statistics in the Nation's Financial Recovery and Stability Wednesday, August 5, 10:30 a.m. – 12:20 p.m. CC-207A Session 441 – Late-Breaking Session III: Statistics in the New Administration Saturday 7:30 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Sunday 7:30 a.m. – 10:30 p.m. Monday – Tuesday 7:00 a.m. – 10:00 p.m. Wednesday 7:00 a.m. – 8:00 p.m. Thursday 7:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. ASA Marketplace The ASA Marketplace is your store for the official JSM 2009 T-shirt and other JSM and ASA souvenirs. Saturday 12:00 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. Sunday – Wednesday 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m. Thursday 7:30 a.m. – 10:00 a.m. JSM 2009 CC – Main Lobby Operated by the Walter E. Washington Convention Bureau, this center provides extensive information and referrals for restaurants, tours, and sightseeing. You also can pick up current maps and travel information. Sunday 9:00 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CC – A Lobby 12 Washington Visitors Information Center Monday – Thursday 8:00 a.m. – 6:00 p.m. Career Career Placement Service Executive Suite Employers Abbott Laboratories Amgen, Inc Bank of America Capital One Clinical Trials & Surveys Corp. (C-TASC) Career Placement Service Eli Lilly and Company FDA FDA/Center for Devices and Radiological Health FDA/Office of Biostatistics Merck & Co., Inc. National Security Agency NORC at the University of Chicago Applicant Area Novartis Oncology Employer Area Registered Employers Employer Message Center Axio Research, LLC Baylor Health Care System Interview Scheduling Applicant Message Center SAS Institute Inc. Office Employer Applicant Info Info Bell Labs, Alcatel-Lucent Case Western Reserve University Applicant Waiting Area Energy Information Agency (EIA) Career Placement Entrance ESPN, Inc. Exponent FDA/Center for Veterinary Medicine Hall D IBM T. J. Watson Research Center Johnson & Johnson Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Monsanto Company School of Public Health, University of Alberta Smith Hanley Associates, LLC Statistics of Income/Internal Revenue Service Takeda Pharmaceuticals The Cambridge Group LTD VA Center for Health Equity and Promotion University of Manitoba Vanderbilt University Medical Center Department of Biostatistics U.S. Census Bureau W.L. Gore & Associates, Inc. U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission Westat The EMMES Corporation Washington, DC 13 Expo Expo 2009 Key Stairs Handicap Access Restrooms Concession Escalator Popcorn Poster Sessions Hall D Exhibitor Check In 14 JSM 2009 Entrance Exhibit Hall Who’s Who at EXPO 2009 Booth Exhibitor Booth Exhibitor 100 Q Business Intelligence, Inc. 404, 406 Cambridge University Press 101, 103, 200, 202 Springer 405 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 102 Office of United Nations Employment Information & Assistance/U.S. Department of State 407 Hawkes Learning Systems 408 Smith Hanley 105 TIBCO Spotfire 409 NCSS 108 IRS - Statistics of Income Division 412 Kforce Clinical Research 109 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/ ATS&R 413 Capital One 113 Tech Observer 414 U.S. Department of Education/Institute of Education Sciences 201, 300 SPSS Inc. 415 Biostat, Inc. 203 The Berkeley Electronic Press 416 204, 206 REvolution Computing American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 205, 207, 209, 304, 306, 308 417 Energy Information Administration (EIA) CRC Press-Taylor & Francis Group 418 The Pennsylvania State University 208 MedFocus LLC 419, 421 National Security Agency 212 National Center for Health Statistics 420 The National Academies 213 MacKichan Software 500, 502 JMP, a business unit of SAS 214 Johnson & Johnson 501, 503, 505 SAS 215 Bureau of Labor Statistics 504, 506, 508 SAS Publishing 220 Google Inc. 507, 509 SAS Education 221 Placemart Personnel Service 512, 514 Minitab Inc. 301, 303, 305, 307 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 513, 612 RTI International 515, 517 Cytel Inc. 302 Oxford University Press 516, 518, 520 StataCorp 309 SAGE Publications 519 statistics.com 312 StatPoint Technologies, Inc. 521 Abt SRBI 313 Salford Systems 600, 602 American Statistical Association 314 Systat Software, Inc. 601 Institute of Mathematical Statistics 603 Statistical Society of Canada 315 Statistical Solutions 604 Publishers’ Book Display 316 National Institutes of Health, National Cancer Institute 605 ASA-SIAM 317 Minnesota Population Center 606 JSM 2010 Vancouver 607 SIAM 319 American Educational Research Association 608 U.S. Census Bureau 320 Substance Abuse and Mental Health Data Archive (SAMHDA) 609 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service 321 The Cambridge Group Ltd. 614, 616 Brooks/Cole Cengage Learning 400, 402 StatSoft, Inc. 617, 619 Pearson 401 W.H. Freeman & Company 618, 620 ELSEVIER 403 Eli Lilly and Company 621 National Center for Health Statistics 2 Washington, DC 15 Exhibit Who’s Who atHall EXPO 2009 Abt SRBI (521) Silver Spring, MD Brooks/Cole Cengage Learning (614, 616) Belmont, CA ASA-SIAM (605) Alexandria, VA Bureau of Labor Statistics (215) Washington, DC Abt SRBI is one of the nation’s premier full-service research and strategy organizations. Noted for high-quality analytical capabilities with in-house resources for telephone, mail, Internet, and IVR surveys, we ensure timely and actionable research for strategy and decisionmaking. We have 450 stations equipped for computerassisted telephone interviewing (CATI). The ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability is published jointly by the ASA and the Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. It provides reasonably priced, high-quality books about topics in statistics and applied probability. Series titles are discounted 20–30% during JSM. American Association for the Advancement of Science (416) Washington, DC Spend a year in Washington, DC, as an AAAS Science & Technology Policy Fellow. Fellows contribute to federal policymaking. Professionals of all career stages work in congressional offices and federal agencies. Applicants must hold a PhD or a master’s degree in engineering (three years of post-MS experience). Visit http://fellowships.aaas.org. American Educational Research Association (319) Washington, DC As the most prominent international professional organization in the realm of education research, AERA’s primary goal is advancing education research and its practical application. Stop by to learn more; meet with staff; and browse the AERA journals, books, and other valuable resources. American Statistical Association (600, 602) Alexandria, VA Since 1839, the ASA has been the world’s leading professional association for statisticians. The ASA serves as a forum for sharing ideas, experiences, innovations, and accomplishments. Members are involved in such areas as medicine, computer applications, quality management, analytical research, setting standards for statistics, and promoting statistical education. The Berkeley Electronic Press (203) Berkeley, CA Founded by professors, the Berkeley Electronic Press represents the new standard in scholarly publishing. Our journals feature fast and high-quality peer review, an innovative guest access policy, and prices libraries can easily afford. Our collection of journals in statistics includes Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, one of the premier journals in the field. www.bepress. com/Journals Biostat, Inc. (415) Englewood, NJ Biostat distributes the world’s best-selling meta-analysis program, Comprehensive Meta-Analysis. Stop by for a free trial CD, free papers on meta-analysis, and information about our Wednesday morning Computer Technology Workshop. 16 JSM 2009 Cengage Learning delivers highly customized learning solutions for colleges, universities, professors, students, reference centers, government agencies, corporations, and professionals around the world. These solutions are delivered through specialized content, applications, and services that foster academic excellence and professional development and provide measurable results. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is the principal fact-finding agency for the federal government in the broad field of labor economics and statistics. The BLS is an independent national statistical agency that collects, processes, analyzes, and disseminates essential statistical data. CRC Press-Taylor & Francis Group (205, 207, 209, 304, 306, 308) Boca Raton, FL Chapman & Hall/CRC and Taylor & Francis are premier publishers of books and journals in all areas of statistics. Please stop by our booth to pick up a sample copy of a journal or browse our latest books at discounts of up to 25%. The Cambridge Group Ltd. (321) Westport, CT The Cambridge Group Ltd. focuses on careers in biostatistics, clinical data management, clinical systems, SAS programming, regulatory affairs, and more. Opportunities range from entry through executive levels, both permanent and contract, in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. Cambridge University Press (404, 406) New York, NY Cambridge University Press is one of the world’s leading publishers of scholarly books and journals in the areas of H&SS. Internationally recognized for the quality and excellence of our products, we publish more than 2,000 titles and 215 journals every year. Capital One (413) Richmond, VA Capital One Financial Corporation (www.capitalone.com) is a Fortune 500 company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, with approximately 1,000 locations in the United States. A diversified financial services company, Capital One offers credit cards, auto loans, banking services, personal loans, small business services, and commercial banking products. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention/ATS&R (109) Atlanta, GA The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is one of 11 operating divisions of the Department of Health and Human Services, which is the principal agency in the United States government for protecting the health and safety of all Americans and providing essential human services. Cytel Inc. (515, 517) Cambridge, MA New for JSM 2009, Cytel introduces Siz, the affordable fixed sample size clinical trial design software. The “Introduction to Siz” Computer Technology Workshop on Wednesday afternoon will provide an in-depth look at the first trial software combining design, simulation, and analysis. The Cytel booth will feature new designs and simulations for East Adapt. www.cytel.com Exhibit Hall Who’s Who at EXPO 2009 Eli Lilly and Company (403) Indianapolis, IN Eli Lilly and Company is a leading, innovation-driven corporation committed to developing a growing portfolio of best-in-class and first-in-class pharmaceutical products that help people live longer, healthier, more active lives. We are committed to providing answers that matter—through medicine and information—for the world’s most urgent medical needs. ELSEVIER (618, 620) New York, NY Elsevier delivers world-class content to statisticians and mathematicians, from journals and textbooks to online solutions. Come browse our new and bestselling books, cutting-edge journals, and online solutions in all areas of statistics. Conference discounts apply, and sample journals and textbook examination copies are available. Energy Information Administration (417) Washington, DC The Energy Information Administration (EIA) is the independent statistical agency of the U.S. Department of Energy. We provide policy-neutral data, forecasts, and analyses to promote sound policymaking, efficient markets, and public understanding regarding energy and its interaction with the economy and environment. Google Inc. (220) Mountain View, CA Google’s innovative search technologies connect millions of people with information every day. Founded in 1998 by Stanford PhD students Larry Page and Sergey Brin, Google is a top web property in all major global markets. Google’s targeted advertising program provides businesses of all sizes with measurable results, while enhancing the overall web experience for users. Google is headquartered in Silicon Valley, with offices throughout the Americas, Europe, and Asia. For more information, visit www.google.com. Hawkes Learning Systems (407) Charleston, SC Hawkes Learning Systems (HLS) is celebrating 30 years as a company specializing in mathematics software. HLS promotes grade improvement and motivates students by engaging them in the learning process. Students learn more effectively through tutorials, unlimited practice, mastery-based homework, and error-specific feedback. IRS - Statistics of Income Division (108) Washington, DC The Statistics of Income (SOI) Division produces data compiled from tax and information returns filed with the Internal Revenue Service. SOI data include financial information on individuals, businesses, tax-exempt organizations, and more. Data are available through publications, electronic databases, Tax Stats (www.irs. gov/taxstats), and SOI’s Statistical Information Services – (202) 874-0410. U.S. Department of Education/Institute of Education Sciences (414) Washington, DC As the research arm of the U.S. Department of Education, IES’s mission is to provide rigorous evidence on which to ground education practice and policy. IES conducts research and evaluation activities, collects data on all aspects of education, and offers funding/training opportunities. ies.ed.gov Institute of Mathematical Statistics (601) Beachwood, OH The Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS) is an international professional and scholarly society devoted to the development, dissemination, and application of statistics and probability. The institute currently has about 4,500 members in all parts of the world. JMP, a business unit of SAS (500, 502) Cary, NC JMP is the SAS software designed for dynamic data visualization on the desktop. Interactive, comprehensive, and highly visual, JMP enables you to interact with your data to explore relationships, see hidden trends, dig into areas that interest you, and move in new directions. JSM 2010 Vancouver (606) Vancouver, BC, Canada Visit the Vancouver booth to plan your JSM 2010 trip. Vancouver is an unforgettable convention and vacation destination, where you can enjoy friends and family. Vancouver offers possible pre- and post-visits to Whistler, Victoria, and the Canadian Rockies, as well as a Vancouver-Alaskan Cruise. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (301, 303, 305, 307) Hoboken, NJ Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., is an independent, global publisher of print and electronic products. Wiley-Blackwell is the international scientific, technical, medical, and scholarly publishing arm of John Wiley & Sons, with strengths in every major academic and professional field. Johnson & Johnson (214) New Brunswick, NJ Johnson & Johnson, through its operating companies, is the world’s most comprehensive and broadly based manufacturer of health care products, as well as a provider of related services, for the consumer, pharmaceutical, and medical devices and diagnostics markets. Johnson & Johnson operating companies employ approximately 113,000 men and women. Kforce Clinical Research (412) Tampa, FL Kforce helps build scalable outsourcing solutions that enable organizations to quickly expand or contract operations, keeping pace with their pipeline’s fluctuating demand. We achieve gains for customers through functional outsourcing, permanent placement, and contingent staffing in the areas of site and study management, monitoring, drug safety, and clinical data services. MacKichan Software (213) Poulsbo, WA Scientific WorkPlace and Scientific Word make writing, sharing, and doing mathematics easier. A click of a button allows you to typeset your documents in LaTeX. The integrated computer algebra system lets you solve and plot equations; animate 2D and 3D plots; rotate, move, and fly through 3D plots; and more. McGraw-Hill/Irwin (405) New York, NY McGraw-Hill/Irwin is the premier provider of textbooks and technology resources across the business and economics disciplines, with specialization in business statistics, business math, and operations management. We publish instructional materials targeted to higher education and professional markets, delivering a wide variety of student and instructor resources. Washington, DC 17 Exhibit Who’s Who atHall EXPO 2009 MedFocus LLC (208) Chicago, IL MedFocus offers clinical research contract outsourcing and staffing specifically to the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries. MedFocus allows you to maintain consistency with high-quality consulting while managing variability in clinical work demand without headcount issues. For more information, visit www.medfocus.com. Minitab Inc. (512, 514) State College, PA Minitab 15 is the leading software for statistics education worldwide. It is accurate, reliable, and easy to use, with powerful graphics abilities that let you create stunning and informative graphs. Minitab integrates into curriculums seamlessly and affordably. Minitab is used at more than 4,000 colleges and universities. Free trial. www.minitab.com Minnesota Population Center (317) Minneapolis, MN The Minnesota Population Center (MPC) is an interdisciplinary research and training center at the University of Minnesota. MPC is the world’s leading developer of harmonized U.S. and international census and survey data. More than 25,000 researchers worldwide have registered to use MPC-produced data sets, which are freely available at www.ipums.org. NCSS (409) Kaysville, UT Oxford University Press (302) New York, NY Oxford University Press is a leading publisher of books on statistics. Visit us to see our latest titles, including Helden’s Statistics Applied to BioInformatics, Thomas’ Statistical Methods in Environmental Epidemiology, and Aitkin’s Statistical Modelling in R. Receive a 20% discount on all orders placed at the show. Pearson (617, 619) Upper Saddle River, NJ Pearson, the global leader in education and education technology, is committed to providing quality content, assessment tools, and educational services for millions of students and their instructors. Pearson continues to transform education and change the way students learn by offering innovative online resources and learning applications, including MyStatLab and StatCrunch. The Pennsylvania State University (418) University Park, PA The Penn State World Campus 100% online master’s degree and graduate certificate programs available in applied statistics improve your research and data analysis expertise and refine and maximize your analytical talents. Study at times and locations convenient to your busy schedule, and have frequent interaction with your professors while never setting foot on campus. Placemart Personnel Service (221) Lanoka Harbor, NJ NCSS specializes in statistical data analysis software (NCSS) and sample size/power analysis software (PASS). NCSS and PASS are comprehensive, easy to use, affordable, and fully compatible with Windows Vista. PASS 2008 is now available with power analysis of more than 150 statistical procedures. Placemart Personnel Service specializes in nationwide executive search services in clinical drug and medical product R&D. For more than 40 years, we have been matching jobs and job candidates in biostatistics. Typical positions include directors, managers, project managers, group leaders, biostatisticians, data analysts, and statistical programmers. For details, visit www.placemart.com. National Center for Health Statistics (212) Hyattsville, MD Publishers’ Book Display (604) Alexandria, VA The NCHS exhibit will showcase the various NCHS programmatic areas with an emphasis on statistical research and methodology. The exhibit will allow attendees to view and acquire a host of publications, electronic products, and other promotional products. National Center for Health Statistics (621) Hyattsville, MD The NCHS Research Data Center (RDC) is in the unique position of being able to provide secure access to the full range of health and vital statistics information collected by the National Center for Health Statistics data systems, while continuing to protect the confidentiality of the respondents and records. National Security Agency (419, 421) Ft. Meade, MD The National Security Agency is a federal government agency that provides foreign signals intelligence to decisionmakers and protects U.S. national security information systems. Office of United Nations Employment Information & Assistance/U.S. Department of State (102) Washington, DC Our office encourages U.S. citizens who have information and professional qualifications in statistics, economics, finance, law, and other fields to compete for challenging positions in the United Nations and other international organizations. We publish a biweekly list of such vacancies and offer advice to job-seekers. 18 JSM 2009 Visit the publishers’ book display booth to review books and literature from publishers unable to attend JSM this year. Discounted order forms are available. Q2 Business Intelligence, Inc. (100) Princeton, NJ Q-Square Business Intelligence (Q2BI) is the most efficient and innovative global leader in providing high-quality service and reliable solutions to our health care and clinical research partners in drug safety and new drug development. Q2BI is a certified CDISC solutions provider. Quality work for a quality world. REvolution Computing (204, 206) New Haven, CT REvolution Computing is the leading commercial provider of software and support for the statistical computing language known as “R.” REvolution R and REvolution R Enterprise enable statisticians, scientists, and others to create superior predictive models and derive meaning from large sets of mission-critical data in record time. Visit www.revolution-computing.com for more information. Exhibit Hall Who’s Who at EXPO 2009 National Institutes of Health/National Cancer Institute (316) Bethesda, MD The National Institutes of Health (NIH) is the primary federal agency for conducting and supporting medical research. NIH scientists investigate prevention, causes, treatments, and cures for diseases. Composed of 27 institutes and centers, the NIH provides leadership and financial support to researchers in every state and throughout the world. RTI International (513, 612) Research Triangle Park, NC Dedicated to improving the human condition, RTI International (www.rti.org) provides research and technical expertise to governments and businesses around the world. We work in health and pharmaceuticals, education and training, surveys and statistics, advanced technology, international development, economic and social policy, energy and the environment, and laboratory and chemistry services. SAGE Publications (309) Thousand Oaks, CA SAGE—an independent international publisher in the social sciences, technology, and medicine—provides journals, books, and electronic media of the highest caliber. Please stop by our booth or visit us at www.sagepub.com SAS (501, 503, 505) Cary, NC SAS will exhibit its analytical software for statistics, data mining, econometrics, and statistical quality control. Please visit the SAS booth to learn more about SAS 9.2—including the latest in statistical graphics and new software for Bayesian analysis—and meet some of its R&D statisticians. SAS Education (507, 509) Cary, NC SAS’ Global Academic Program group can help your university, college, or high school incorporate SAS into your curriculum with our programs, services, and events, many of which are offered free of charge. Our Global Certification group helps you put your SAS skills to the test and can add credibility to your résumé. SAS Publishing (504, 506, 508) Cary, NC Visit to learn more about saving 20% on orders placed or mailed to us by August 28, new SAS documentation titles, new SAS Press titles, and SAS certification guides. SAS Publishing staff is available to answer questions and assist with your orders. Enjoy the conference! SIAM (607) Philadelphia, PA In addition to the ASA-SIAM series, SIAM publishes a variety of other books of interest to JSM attendees. Enjoy 20–30% discounts during JSM. Complete a brief survey at the booth and receive a reusable grocery tote! For more information about the ASA-SIAM series and other SIAM books, visit www.siam.org/books. SPSS Inc. (201, 300) Chicago, IL SPSS Inc. is a leading global provider of predictive analytics software and solutions. The company’s predictive analytics technology improves business processes by giving organizations consistent control over decisions made every day. Incorporating predictive analytics into their daily operations enables organizations to meet business goals. StatPoint Technologies, Inc. (312) Warrenton, VA STATGRAPHICS Centurion XVI- Insight Through the Language of Statistics. Advanced continuous improvement features, unmatched ease and reliability. Creates vibrant, illustrative graphics revealing critical facts hidden in your data, and then writes interpretive reports explaining your analysis. See optimal direction, make correct decisions, achieve peak performance, reduce costs, increase profits. www.statgraphics.com/version16.htm. Salford Systems (313) San Diego, CA Salford Systems develops advanced statistical and data mining software, including the CART decision tree, MARS automated regression, TreeNet boosted decision trees, and Random Forests tree ensembles. Salford Systems strives to make the best academic research easily usable by the practicing data analyst and has recently won several distinguished international honors. Smith Hanley (408) New York, NY Our two divisions—permanent placement and contract staffing— offer targeted recruitment in statistics, biostatistics, SAS programming, data management, market research, health outcomes, and epidemiology. Since 1980, we’ve provided clients and recruits dedicated service, experience, and insight into industry trends for positions at all levels. Permanent: www.smithhanley.com; Contract: www.smithhanleyconsulting.com Springer (101, 103, 200, 202) New York, NY Springer is one of the largest international publishers of scientific books (4,000 new books per year), and also publishes more than 1,200 journals. Springer’s statistics book program is worldrenowned and has produced many bestselling textbooks, monographs, and reference works. Notable publications include the Springer Series in Statistics, Statistics for Biology and Health, and Statistics and Computing. StatSoft, Inc. (400, 402) Tulsa, OK StatSoft, Inc., founded in 1984, is one of the largest producers of enterprise and desktop software for data analysis, data mining, quality control/Six Sigma, and web-based analytics. Its products are used worldwide at most major universities, corporations, and government agencies and are supported with training and consulting services. StataCorp (516, 518, 520) College Station, TX Stata statistical software is a general purpose system intended for use by research professionals. It is available for Windows, Macintosh, and Unix platforms and provides full data management, graphics, statistical, and matrix language capabilities. Statistical Society of Canada (603) Ottawa, ON The Statistical Society of Canada (SSC) encourages the development and use of statistics and probability in Canada. It has four sections: Biostatistics, Business & Industrial Statistics, Probability, and the Survey Section. The SSC also offers two levels of accreditation: Professional Statistician (P.Stat.) and Associate Statistician (A.Stat.). Washington, DC 19 Exhibit Who’s Who atHall EXPO 2009 Statistical Solutions (315) Saugus, MA The National Academies (420) Washington, DC statistics.com (519) Arlington, VA TIBCO Spotfire (105) Somerville, MA Statistical Solutions Ltd., designs, develops, and distributes unique statistical software applications for statisticians, clinical researchers, and data analysts. Each application addresses specific critical issues that arise in the design and statistical analysis of clinical trials, research surveys, and other scientific investigations. Products include nQuery Advisor, Solas for Missing Data, BMDP, and EquivTest. Statistics.com is the leading provider of online courses in statistics. More than 70 courses, introductory to advanced, are taught by distinguished instructors. Typical courses require 15 hours per week over three or four weeks. There are no set times when you have to be online during the weekly lessons. Substance Abuse and Mental Health Data Archive (320) Ann Arbor, MI SAMHDA provides free access to preeminent national data on drug use and mental health and promotes the sharing of these data among researchers, academics, policymakers, service providers, and others. We are an initiative of the Office of Applied Studies and the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. Systat Software, Inc. (314) Chicago, IL Systat Software is the developer of the SYSTAT statistics package. SYSTAT 12 is a cutting-edge tool for scientific and social research. It’s recently added methods such as mixed model analysis and partial least-squares regression to its broad portfolio of algorithms and features outstanding 2D and 3D graphics. Visit www.systat.com. Tech Observer (113) Hackensack, NJ Tech Observer is a global staffing provider for the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, health care, and IT industries. We are headquartered in the USA, with branches in the UK and India. Our expertise includes biostatistics/statistics, clinical SAS, clinical data management, Oracle clinical, 21 CFR part 11 validation, drug safety, and regulatory affairs and IT. 20 JSM 2009 The National Academies consists of four organizations: the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, the Institute of Medicine, and the National Research Council. The National Academies bring together committees of experts in science, technology, and medicine, offering unbiased advice to the public and federal government. The TIBCO Spotfire enterprise analytics platform offers a visual and interactive experience that helps professionals quickly discover new and actionable insights into information. Distinguished by its speed to gain insight and adapt to specific business challenges, Spotfire rapidly reveals unseen threats and new opportunities, creating significant economic value. U.S. Census Bureau (608) Washington, DC The U.S. Census Bureau’s collections include socioeconomic information–2010 Census and American Community Survey—topics such as population, housing, and income; or business and industry statistics. To identify changes or track trends at the local, state, or national levels or to see what’s new, please visit our booth. www.census.gov. USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service (609) Washington, DC USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) disseminates data on every facet of U.S. agriculture. The agency conducts surveys and issues 500 reports annually. NASS released the 2007 Census of Agriculture in February 2009, providing the only source of agricultural data for every county in the nation. NASS reports are available at www.nass.usda.gov. W.H. Freeman & Company (401) New York, NY W.H. Freeman & Company publishes high-quality textbooks and media in statistics. Visit our booth to learn more about our popular titles for introductory statistics, business statistics, and statistics for the life sciences. Also, view demonstrations of our online teaching and learning solution, StatsPortal. Education Continuing Education-at-a-Glance Time Course Instructor(s) Saturday, August 1, 2009 Course Title 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_01C Philip Hougaard Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_02C Michael Daniels/Joe Hogan Missing Data in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_03C Douglas C. Montgomery/Bradley A. Jones Design of Experiments: New Methods and How to Use Them 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_04C Annie Qu/Peter Song Longitudinal Data Analysis: Semiparametric and Nonparametric Approaches 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_05C Stephen E. Fienberg The Analysis of Cross-Classified Categorical Data 8:30 a.m. –5:00 p.m. CE_06C Andrea S. Foulkes Applied Statistical Genetics for Population-Based Association Studies 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CE_07C Yi Tsong Active Control Clinical Trials Philip Hougaard Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data Sunday, August 2, 2009 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_01C William B. Smith/Dallas E. Johnson/ F. Michael Speed David Ruppert/Ciprian Crainiceanu/ Raymond J. Carroll 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_08C New Developments of Traditional Multivariate Analyses 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_09C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_10C Thomas Mathew/Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy Tolerance Intervals: Theory, Applications, and Computation 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_11C Alan Dorfman/Richard Valliant Model-Based Survey Sampling: Theory and Practice 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_12C Sudipto Banerjee/Andrew O. Finley Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis of Spatial-Temporal Data: Emphasis in Forestry, Ecology, and Environmental Sciences 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_13C Geert Verbeke/Geert Molenberghs Models for Discrete Repeated Measures David C. Naftel Methodology for Competing Outcomes: The Analysis of Multiple Mutually Exclusive Endpoints in a Clinical Trial Semiparametric Regression Monday, August 3, 2009 8:00 a.m. – noon CE_14C 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_15C Anthony C. Atkinson/Randy D. Tobias Optimum Experimental Designs 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_16C Frank Bretz/José Pinheiro Dose-Finding Studies: Methods and Implementation 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_17C Bruno Sansó Bayesian Inference 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_18C William Q. Meeker Experiences and Pitfalls in Reliability Data Analysis and Test Planning 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_19C John Cornell/Greg Piepel Methods for Designing and Analyzing Mixture Experiments 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_20C Paul Allison Multiple Imputation of Missing Data Martin King/Narinder Nangia/Jane Qian Evaluating Probability of Success for Internal Decisionmaking in Early Drug Development 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_21C Tuesday, August 4, 2009 8:00 a.m. – noon CE_22C Mitchell H. Gail/Ruth Pfeiffer Absolute Risk Prediction 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_23C S. J. Koopman State Space Time Series Analysis in Practice 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_24C Bimal K. Sinha/Guido Knapp Statistical Meta-Analysis: Methods and Applications 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_25C Maria Rizzo/Jim Albert Monte Carlo and Bayesian Computation with R 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_26C Martin Theus/Simon Urbanek Comprehensive Data Analysis Using Interactive Statistical Graphics 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_27C Athanasios Kottas/Abel Rodriguez Applied Bayesian Nonparametric Mixture Modeling 8:30 a.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_28C Devan Mehrotra/Alex Dmitrienko/ Keaven Anderson Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications 1:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m. CE_29C Stanislav Kolenikov Bootstrap for Complex Surveys Wednesday, August 5, 2009 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m. CE_30T Brian Sullivan Methods for Multiple Imputation with SOLAS for Missing Data Analysis 3.2 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m. CE_31T Jeffrey Pitblado Survey Data Analysis with Stata 8:00 a.m. – 9:45 a.m. CE_32T 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m. CE_33T Fang Chen Introduction to Bayesian Analysis Using SAS Software Michael Borenstein/Hannah R. Rothstein Meta-Analysis: Concepts and Applications 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m. CE_34T Roberto G. Gutierrez Multilevel and Mixed Models in Stata 10:00 a.m. – 11:45 a.m. CE_35T Fang Chen Introduction to the MCMC Procedure in SAS/STAT Software 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. Janet D. Elashoff/Brian Sullivan Determining Sample Size and Power in Study Planning: nQuery Advisor 7.0 CE_36T 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. CE_37T Mikhail Golovnya Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Trees 1:00 p.m. – 2:45 p.m. CE_38T Yang Yuan Group Sequential Analysis Using SAS Software 3:00 p.m. – 4:45 p.m. CE_39T Mikhail Golovnya Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests 3:00 p.m. – 4:45 p.m. CE_40T Anthony An Using Replication Methods to Analyze Survey Data in SAS Software Yannis Jemiai Introduction to Siz: Cytel’s New Software Package for Clinical Trial Design and Analysis 3:00 p.m. – 4:45 p.m. CE_41T Washington, DC 21 2009 JSM Technical Sessions Technical Sessions Key sunday, august 2 15 Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center Sponsor 2:00 p.m. American Statistical Association 4:00 p.m. 40 CC-207B Business & Economic Statistics Section 15 CC-143A 38 CC-142 48 CC-155 63 CC-157 Biometrics Section 13 CC-101 24 CC-203A 25 CC-203B 45 CC-101 54 CC-102A 65 CC-204A Biopharmaceutical Section 1 CC-202A 26 CC-201 17 CC-102B 27 CC-102A 43 CC-102B 56 CC-202B 78 CC-203B 79 CC-201 Caucus for Women in Statistics 5 CC-141 Committee on Career Development 23 CC-206 Section on Statistical Consulting 9 CC-143B ASA Colorado-Wyoming Chapter 7 CC-207B Section on Statistical Computing 2 CC-155 36 CC-153 104 Room Number Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 72 CC-142 58 CC-143C Section on Statistical Education 22 CC-144A 41 CC-144A 69 CC-143B Eastern North American Region of the International Biometric Society 28 CC-204A 40 CC-207B 51 CC-204C Section on Statistics and the Environment 32 CC-158A 35 CC-158B 59 CC-209B Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 20 CC-204C 34 CC-208A 49 CC-202A Section on Government Statistics 6 CC-150B 18 CC-209C 57 CC-149A Section on Statistical Graphics Section on Health Policy Statistics 47 CC-144B 14 CC-144B 75 CC-148 International Chinese Statistical Association 40 CC-207B 67 CC-143A International Indian Statistical Association 40 CC-207B Institute of Mathematical Statistics 10 CC-209A 11 CC-207A 29 CC-159A International Statistical Institute 4 CC-204B 6 CC-208A 40 CC-207B 52 CC-206 53 CC-207A Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics 44 CC-209C Section on Statistics and Marketing 70 CC-160 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Section on Risk Analysis 30 CC-157 16 CC-159B 68 CC-208B 42 CC-209A 73 CC-153 Washington, DC 23 Technical Sessions Key sunday, august 2 24 15 Sponsor 2:00 p.m. 4:00 p.m. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science 3 CC-209B 37 CC-208B 61 CC-158B 62 CC-158A 76 CC-159B 77 CC-159A SOC 12 CC-150A 55 CC-149B Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 21 CC-143C 74 CC-141 Section on Survey Research Methods 19 CC-149B 33 CC-144C 39 CC-148 46 CC-150A 60 CC-149A 71 CC-144C Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number Section on Statistical Graphics WNAR Committee on Women in Statistics JSM 2009 40 CC-207B 8 CC-202B 40 CC-207B 50 CC-203A monday, august 3 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 4:00 p.m. 8:00 p.m. 15 Session Number American Association of Public Opinion Research 144 CC-101 American Statistical Association 85 CC-202A Business & Economic Statistics Section 86 CC-208A 104 CC-208B 122 CC-203B 128 CC-Hall D 129 CC-Hall D 130 CC-Hall D Biometrics Section Biopharmaceutical Section CC 187 CC-202A 234 CCBallroom A-B 150 CC-141 173 CC-142 212 CC-158A 205 CC-142 101 CC-144C 110 CC-153 111 CC-155 157 CC-204C 162 CC-203B 171 CC-203A 194 CC-150B 221 CC-144C 222 CC-148 102 CC-150B 103 CC-149A 123 CC-150A 136 CC-202A 149 CC-201 172 CC-204A 204 CC-153 211 CC-144B 224 CC-144A 233 CC-Hall D 210 CC-143B 230 CC-Hall D 231 CC-Hall D Section on Statistical Consulting Section on Statistical Computing 2:00 p.m. Technical Sessions Key Sponsor 113 CC-203A 70 CC-143C 141 CC-144C Committee on Statistics and Disability Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number 219 CC-159A 209 CC-102A Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 148 CC-143B 226 CC-L Street Bridge 228 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Statistical Education 107 CC-204A 153 CC-143A 169 CC-144A 188 CC-155 Eastern North American Region of the Intl. Biometric Society 85 CC-202A 96 CC-144A 135 CC-202B 187 CC-202A 213 CC-141 233 CC-Hall D Committee on Energy Statistics 140 CC-102B Section on Statistics and the Environment 92 CC-159A 117 CC-159B 137 CC-209B 203 CC-209A 218 CC-203B Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 91 CC-144B 116 CC-143C 60 CC-204B 168 CC-209A 191 CC-160 217 CC-143C Committee on Professional Ethics 97 CC-206 General Methodology, Section on Statistical Graphics 88 CC-202B Section on Government Statistics 106 CC-204C 109 CC-102A 124 CC-L Street Bridge 125 CC-L Street Bridge 152 CC-155 165 CC-149A 206 CC-101 Washington, DC 25 Technical Sessions Key monday, august 3 15 Session Number CC Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. Walter E. Washington Convention Center Section on Health Policy Statistics 89 CC-101 104 International Chinese Statistical Association 85 CC-202A 87 CC-201 134 CC-Hall D 187 CC-202A International Indian Statistical Association 85 CC-202A 187 CC-202A Institute of Mathematical Statistics 85 CC-202A 93 CC-204B 94 CC-209B 95 CC-207A 121 CC-209C 187 CC-202A 197 CC-207A 199 CC-206 201 CC-209B 223 CC-208B Room Number JASA, Theory and Methods 158 CC-160 118 CC-209A 131 CC-Hall D Section on Nonparametric Statistics 112 CC-148 120 CC-160 Section on Quality and Productivity 98 CC-207B Section on Risk Analysis 119 CC-141 Section on Bayesian Statistical Sciences 100 CC-158A 105 CC-158B 132 CC-Hall D Section on Statistics in Sports 133 CC-Hall D 146 CC-209C 147 CC-207A 190 CC-143A 159 CC-208A 166 CC-208B 143 CC-206 139 CC-158A 151 CC-158B 164 CC-159A 200 CC-204B 202 CC-204A 225 CC-208A 138 CC-207B 90 CC-102B 108 CC-143B 127 CC-L Street Bridge 208 CC-204C Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 142 CC-149B 214 CC-149A 226 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Survey Research Methods 114 CC-143A / 99 CC-142 154 CC-150A 155 CC-150B 167 CC-148 193 CC-102B 207 CC-201 216 CC-202B 226 CC-L Street Bridge 187 CC-202A 198 CC-158B 229 CC-L Street Bridge Statistical Society of Canada 85 CC-202A Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences JSM 2009 189 CC-207B 220 CC-203A 156 CC-159B Western North American Region of the Intl. Biometric Society 8:00 p.m. 226 CC-L Street Bridge 145 CC-102A Section on Statistics and Marketing Social Statistics Section 4:00 p.m. 192 CC-149B 227 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Statistical Graphics ASA Special Interest Group on Statistical Learning and Data Mining 26 2:00 p.m. 195 CC-159B 85 CC-202A 115 CC-149B 135 CC-202B 187 CC-202A 196 CC-150A 232 CC-Hall D 235 CCBallroom A-B Tuesday, august 4 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. American Statistical Association 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 288 CC-102B Business & Economic Statistics Section 261 CC-143C 267 CC-142 303 CC-158B 344 CC-149A 376 CC-149B Biometrics Section 254 CC-204C 276 CC-204B 277 CC-203A 289 CC-201 322 CC-203A 323 CC-203B 356 CC-141 371 CC-203A 373 CC-203B 378 CC-Hall D 379 CC-Hall D 380 CC-Hall D Biopharmaceutical Section 252 CC-101 256 CC-204A 280 CC-201 307 CC-204C 324 CC-204B 325 CC-204A 359 CC-142 377 CC-201 Section on Statistical Consulting 299 CC-158A Council of Chapters 291 CC-150A Committee on Outreach Education Section on Statistical Computing 2:00 p.m. 247 CC-143A 270 CC-141 319 CC-149B 8:00 p.m. 386 CCBallroom A-B 15 Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number 358 CC-102A Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 354 CC-150B 310 CC-144C Deming Lectureship Committee (DEM) 384 CCBallroom A-B Section on Statistical Education 266 CC-155 281 CC-Hall D 282 CC-Hall D 283 CC-Hall D 290 CC-150B 314 CC-153 367 CC-153 Eastern North American Region of the International Biometric Society 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 268 CC-203B 288 CC-102B 295 CC-202B 350 CC-202B Section on Statistics and the Environment 264 CC-158A 274 CC-158B 292 CC-209C 366 CC-159B Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 260 CC-150B 257 CC-102A 312 CC-209B 315 CC-102A 340 CC-202A 361 CC-101 362 CC-204A Section on Government Statistics 255 CC-144B 309 CC-141 321 CC-144A 345 CC-150A Section on Statistical Graphics 271 CC-143B Section on Health Policy Statistics 263 CC-144A 285 CC-L Street Bridge 343 CC-143C International Indian Statistical Association International Chinese Statistical Association 4:00 p.m. Technical Sessions Key Sponsor 349 CC-209B 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 288 CC-102B 341 CC-209C Washington, DC 27 Technical Sessions Key Tuesday, august 4 15 Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center Sponsor 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. International Indian Statistical Association 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 246 CC-159B 288 CC-102B Institute of Mathematical Statistics 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 250 CC-209A 251 CC-207A 279 CC-208B 288 CC-102B 296 CC-207A 298 CC-207B Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 244 CC-160 104 Room Number Memorial Section on Statistics and Marketing 302 CC-149A Section on Nonparametric Statistics 243 CC-206 275 CC-208A 286 CC-L Street Bridge Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee 253 CC-157 320 CC-157 346 CC-207B 351 CC-206 375 CC-157 385 CC-202A 364 CC-143A 353 CC-158A 369 CC-158B 370 CC-159A 368 CC-148 381 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Quality and Productivity Section on Risk Analysis 269 CC-148 305 CC-148 382 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Bayesian Statistical Sciences 259 CC-209B 262 CC-209C 278 CC-207B 304 CC-208B 308 CC-206 342 CC-207A 360 CC-209A 372 CC-208A 374 CC-208B Section on Statistics in Sports 272 CC-159A Social Statistics Section 265 CC-149A 293 CC-144B 355 CC-144A Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 245 CC-153 306 CC-159B 313 CC-159A 383 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Survey Research Methods 248 CC-150A 258 CC-144C 273 CC-149B 284 CC-Hall D 301 CC-142 317 CC-143C 327 CC-143B 357 CC-144C 365 CC-144B Statistical Society of Canada 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 288 CC-102B 297 CC-143A 300 CC-101 Technometrics JSM 2009 4:00 p.m. 347 CC-204C The American Statistician 28 2:00 p.m. 348 CC-204B Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences 287 CC-L Street Bridge 316 CC-155 Western North American Region of the International Biometric Society 241 CC-202A 242 CC-102B 249 CC-202B 288 CC-102B 311 CC-209A 8:00 p.m. wednesday, august 5 8:30 a.m. 10:30 a.m. 2:00 p.m. American Statistical Association 392 CC-202A 403 CC-159A 441 CC-207A 491 CC-207A Business & Economic Statistics Section 413 CC-149A 415 CC-149B 462 CC-208A 477 CC-208B 444 CC-209A 510 CC-148 515 CC-153 Biometrics Section 393 CC-206 411 CC-209A 426 CC-204A 428 CC-208B 460 CC-101 473 CC-203A 474 CC-203B 504 CC-102B 525 CC-203A 526 CC-203B Biopharmaceutical Section 412 CC-209B 429 CC-209C 430 CC-102A 463 CC-102B 476 CC-102A 493 CC-202B 505 CC-101 528 CC-201 529 CC-204B Section on Statistical Consulting 417 CC-148 Section on Statistical Computing 4:00 p.m. Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number 495 CC-143A 522 CC-141 530 CC-L Street Bridge 531 CC-L Street Bridge 395 CC-155 416 CC-153 Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies 533 CC-Ballroom A-B Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 397 CC-101 Environmental and Ecological Statistics 398 CC-159B Section on Statistical Education 418 CC-160 465 CC-149B 509 CC-142 Eastern North American Region of the International Biometric Society 392 CC-202A 400 CC-208A 403 CC-159A 433 CC-L Street Bridge 467 CC-204A 491 CC-207A 503 CC-202A Section on Statistics & the Environment 405 CC-143B 422 CC-144B 461 CC-155 497 CC-159A 532 CC-L Street Bridge Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 406 CC-207A 419 CC-207B 437 CC-Hall D 438 CC-Hall D 439 CC-Hall D 440 CC-Hall D 442 CC-204C 464 CC-202A 470 CC-204B 518 CC-102A 520 CC-204C General Methodology 399 CC-150B Section on Government Statistics 454 CC-143B 513 CC-144B Section on Statistical Graphics 471 CC-153 Section on Health Policy Statistics 425 CC-204B International Chinese Statistical Association 392 CC-202A 403 CC-159A International Indian Statistical Association 392 CC-202A 403 CC-159A 15 Technical Sessions Key Sponsor 517 CC-143B 458 CC-143C 491 CC-207A 445 CC-150A 491 CC-207A Washington, DC 29 Technical Sessions Key wednesday, august 5 15 Session Number CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number Sponsor 8:30 a.m. International Indian Statistical Association, Reps. for Young Statisticians 434 CC-L Street Institute of Mathematical Statistics 392 CC-202A 401 CC-102A 402 CC-201 403 CC-159A 431 CC-L Street Bridge 432 CC-L Street Bridge 10:30 a.m. 2:00 p.m. 452 CC-159B 453 CC-207B 475 CC-160 491 CC-207A 494 CC-206 502 CC-207B 501 CC-209A 527 CC-208A JASA, Applications and Case Studies Section on Statistics and Marketing 500 CC-159B Noether Award Committee Section on Nonparametric Statistics 507 CC-160 396 CC-150A 451 CC-144C 424 CC-144A 523 CC-158A Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee 459 CC-150B Section on Quality and Productivity 447 CC-209C Section on Risk Analysis Section on Bayesian Statistical Sciences 498 CC-150B 410 CC-142 414 CC-143A 427 CC-141 Section on Statistics in Sports Social Statistics Section 394 CC-204C 506 CC-209C 511 CC-209B 524 CC-208B 469 CC-144A 508 CC-144A SPAIG Committee 408 CC-158A Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 407 CC-144C 456 CC-209B 499 CC-143C 516 CC-149B Section on Survey Research Methods 409 CC-202B 420 CC-203A 421 CC-203B 466 CC-143A 478 CC-141 479 CC-142 492 CC-150A 512 CC-144C 519 CC-149A Statistical Society of Canada 392 CC-202A 403 CC-159A 468 CC-148 491 CC-207A Western North American Region of the International Biometric Society JSM 2009 448 CC-158B 455 CC-159A 457 CC-158A 443 CC-206 Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences 30 514 CC-158B 450 CC-144B 392 CC-202A 403 CC-159A 449 CC-201 491 CC-207A 4:00 p.m. THURSDAY, august 6 8:30 a.m. American Statistical Association 534 CC-207A Business & Economic Statistics Section 550 CC-155 570 CC-153 578 CC-155 587 CC-149B 610 CC-158B Biometrics Section 552 CC-202A 568 CC-203B 569 CC-208A 574 CC-150A 606 CC-160 607 CC-153 609 CC-148 Biopharmaceutical Section 537 CC-201 547 CC-204B 572 CC-208B 591 CC-144C 592 CC-144B 599 CC-144A Section on Statistical Consulting Section on Statistical Computing 10:30 a.m. Session Number 589 CC-159A 553 CC-207B 564 CC-205 Section on Statisticians in Defense and National Security 577 CC-207A 602 CC-210 590 CC-206 Section on Statistical Education 557 CC-101 563 CC-210 575 CC-207B Eastern North American Region of the International Biometric Society 534 CC-207A 542 CC-204C 581 CC-143C Section on Statistics and the Environment 540 CC-144A 601 CC-208A Section on Statistics in Epidemiology 555 CC-204A 561 CC-203A 576 CC-150B 600 CC-159B Section on Government Statistics 567 CC-150B 556 CC-159A 588 CC-204A Section on Statistical Graphics 539 CC-206 Section on Health Policy Statistics 15 Technical Sessions Key Sponsor CC Walter E. Washington Convention Center 104 Room Number 579 CC-102A International Chinese Statistical Association 534 CC-207A International Indian Statistical Association 534 CC-207A Institute of Mathematical Statistics 534 CC-207A 544 CC-143C 545 CC-143A 558 CC-144C Memorial 546 CC-149A Section on Nonparametric Statistics 566 CC-141 Section on Quality and Productivity 586 CC-142 582 CC-202B 583 CC-202A 608 CC-208B 595 CC-203A 605 CC-203B 598 CC-158A Section on Risk Analysis 549 CC-158A 603 CC-143B Section on Bayesian Statistical Sciences 535 CC-143B 548 CC-144B 559 CC-142 593 CC-204B 594 CC-204C 611 CC-205 Special Interest Group on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, International Indian Statistical Association 580 CC-201 Social Statistics Section 560 CC-160 585 CC-143A Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences 538 CC-149B 565 CC-148 604 CC-157 Section on Survey Research Methods 551 CC-150A 554 CC-158B 571 CC-159B 573 CC-102B 596 CC-141 Statistical Society of Canada 534 CC-207A 543 CC-102A Washington, DC 31 32 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Thurs-Sun Late-Breaking Sessions Descriptions Monday, August 3, 2:00 p.m. – 3:50 p.m. CC-202A Session 187 – Late-Breaking Session I: Policymakers to Get Full Data Coverage of the Nation's Service Sector Session Tag Descriptions We expect both theme and applied sessions to draw a diverse audience. THEME ✪ JSM theme sessions are directly relevant to the 2009 JSM theme, “Statistics: From Evidence to Policy.” Theme sessions are designed to expand the frontiers of statistical thought, emphasize new directions, and promote interdisciplinary collaboration. APPLIED  JSM applied sessions have applications at the heart of the presentations. Because these sessions are grounded in applications across many areas of science and engineering, they may involve interdisciplinary work and include presentations by nonstatisticians. Applied sessions vary in scope, ranging from presentations on state-of-the-art statistical methodology applied to realworld problems to those that are tutorial in nature. Wednesday, August 5, 8:30 a.m. – 10:20 a.m. CC-202A Session 392 – Late-Breaking Session II: The Role of Statistics in the Nation's Financial Recovery and Stability Wednesday, August 5, 10:30 a.m. – 12:20 p.m. CC-207A Session 441 – Late-Breaking Session III: Statistics in the New Administration FRIDAY, JuLY 31 Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. ASA Board of Directors Meeting RH-Meeting Room 3 Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International THURSDAY, JuLY 30 Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Suite 1240 JSM Staff and ASA Board of Directors Reception (closed) Chair(s): Ron Wasserstein, ASA 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 ASA Board of Directors Executive Committee Working Dinner (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International Washington, DC 33 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel sATURDAY, AUGUST 1 Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 ASA Board of Directors Breakfast (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International 12:30 p.m.–5:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Annual Meeting of the GCRC Statisticians Organizer(s): James Grady, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston 2:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A Statistics Education NSF Investigators’ Meeting Organizer(s): Dennis Pearl, The Ohio State University 7:30 a.m.–3:30 p.m. ASA Board of Directors Meeting RH-Meeting Room 3 3:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West B NISS/SAMSI Affiliates Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International Organizer(s): Alan F. Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Cyber Center CC-East Registration 7:30 a.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk 7:30 a.m.–7:30 p.m. JSM Main Registration CC-East Registration 8:00 a.m.–4:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 Fostering Diversity in Statistics (closed) Chair(s): Brian Millen, Eli Lilly and Company 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Exhibitor Move-In and Lounge CC-Hall D 9:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A Statisticians Working on Complementary and Alternative Medicine (CAM) Studies Chair(s): Laura Lee Johnson, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Hall D Career Placement Service (job posting and resume submission only) 10:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room CC-154A 11:00 a.m.–12:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Annual Meeting of the GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) Organizer(s): James Grady, Universtiy of Texas Medical Branch 12:00 p.m.–1:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 ASA Board of Directors Lunch (closed) Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International 12:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. ASA Marketplace 34 JSM 2009 CC-East Registration Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_01C Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-204 A & B ASA Instructor(s): Philip Hougaard, H. Lundbeck A/S CE_02C Missing Data in Longitudinal Studies: Strategies for Bayesian Modeling and Sensitivity Analysis 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-204C ASA, Biometrics Section Instructor(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida; Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University CE_03C Design of Experiments: New Methods and How to Use Them 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-102A ASA, Section on Quality and Productivity Instructor(s): Douglas C. Montgomery, Arizona State University; Bradley A. Jones, SAS Institute Inc. CE_04C Longitudinal Data Analysis: Semiparametric and Nonparametric Approaches 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-101 ASA, Biometrics Section Instructor(s): Annie Qu, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign; Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan CE_05C The Analysis of Cross-Classified Categorical Data 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-209C ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Instructor(s): Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel ASA, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Instructor(s): Andrea S. Foulkes, University of Massachusetts CE_07C Active Control Clinical Trials 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-102B ASA Instructor(s): Yi Tsong, FDA sunday, AUGUST 2 Tours TR01 - Annapolis: Highlighting the U.S. Naval Academy 9:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Chair(s): Deborah Rumsey, The Ohio State University TR03 - The Kennedys: A Georgetown Walking Tour 10:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Annual Meeting of the GCRC Statisticians Breakfast Organizer(s): James Grady, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston 7:30 a.m.–9:00 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Committee on Women in Statistics Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison CC-301 Chair(s): David W. Scott, Rice University CC-East Registration 7:30 a.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk 7:30 a.m.–10:30 p.m. Cyber Center 8:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. COSGB (closed) 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-302 Advisory Committee on Teacher Enhancement Committee Meeting (closed) TR04 - Welcome to Washington Tour 10:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. 7:30 a.m.–8:30 p.m. JSM Main Registration CC-Hall D Chair(s): Janet Buckingham, Southwest Research Institute TR02 - Historic Tour of Mt. Vernon 10:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. Committee on Publications (closed) 8:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. Exhibitor Move-In CC-East Registration 8:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Annual Meeting of the GCRC Statisticians Organizer(s): James Grady, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston 9:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Caucus for Women in Statistics Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Marcia A. Ciol, University of Washington 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. IMS Executive Committee Meeting CC-205 Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 NISS/ASA Writing Workshop for Junior Researchers Chair(s): Keith Crank, ASA 9:00 a.m.–5:30 p.m. ASA Marketplace CC-East Registration 11:30 a.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 Statistica Sinica Editorial Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Jing-Shiang Hwang, Academia Sinica, Taiwan 11:30 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Committee on Committees (closed) CC-303 Chair(s): Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin - Milwaukee Washington, DC 35 Thurs-Sun CE_06C Applied Statistical Genetics for Population-Based Association Studies 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-209 A & B GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 12:00 p.m.–1:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Journal of Statistics Education Editorial Board Meeting (closed) 5:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): William Notz, Technometrics Management Committee Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut 12:00 p.m.–3:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Annual Meeting of the GCRC Statisticians Lunch (closed) 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Section on Quality and Productivity Executive Committee Meeting Organizer(s): James Grady, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Grand Ballroom JSM First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-Hall D Career Placement Service (full placement service open) 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. EXPO 2009 CC-Hall D 1:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. American Statistical Association Booth #101 CC-Hall D 2:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West COS Annual Business Meeting CC-303 Chair(s): Martha Gardner, General Electric Global Research 5:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Committee on Scientific Freedom and Human Rights Meeting Chair(s): William Seltzer, Fordham University 5:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. IMS Council I Meeting RH-Meeting Room 5 Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Presenter Social (closed) Chair(s): Xiaoming Sheng, University of Utah Chair(s): Janet Buckingham, Southwest Research Institute 3:30 p.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-301 The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 60th Anniversary Planning Committee (closed) Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 4:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Meeting of Statistics Without Borders Chair(s): James J. Cochran, Louisiana Tech University 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. CC-3rd Floor East Ear 2009–2010 Committee Chairs Meeting Chair(s): Margo Anderson, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-205 Career Development Seminar: From Evidence to Policy – Careers in Government Statistics Chair(s): Janet Myhre, Consultant This event is now scheduled for Tues. Aug. 4 12:00 p.m–2:00 p.m. Off Property Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR Chair(s): Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University 36 JSM 2009 Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Thomas Jefferson University 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Committee on Career Development Business Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Janet Myhre, Claremont McKenna College 6:00 p.m.–8:30 p.m. Off Property Biometrics Section Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Daniel Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania 6:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook East Purdue Statistics Department Alumni and Friends Reception Organizer(s): Sandra Howarth, Purdue Univeristy 7:00 p.m.–8:30 p.m. Isolated Statisticians Annual Meeting ENAR Executive Committee Meeting (by invitation only) 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining Business Meeting 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A Cancer Center Biostatistics Directors Annual Meeting CC-302 CC-141 Organizer(s): Shonda Kuiper, Grinnell College 8:00 p.m.–10:00 p.m. Google Reception (closed) RH-Meeting Room 3 Organizer(s): Lysandra Sapp, Google 8:00 p.m.–10:30 p.m. JSM Opening Mixer RH-Grand Ballroom GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. CE_01C Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A 1 ASA Instructor(s): Philip Hougaard, H. Lundbeck A/S CE_08C New Developments of Traditional Multivariate Analyses 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 ASA Instructor(s): William B. Smith, Lecot Inc.; Dallas E. Johnson, Kansas State University; F. Michael Speed, Texas A&M University CE_09C Semiparametric Regression 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A ASA Instructor(s): David Ruppert, Cornell University; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Johns Hopkins University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University CE_10C Tolerance Intervals: Theory, Applications, and Computation 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 10 & 11 ASA, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Instructor(s): Thomas Mathew, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana-Lafayette CE_11C Model-Based Survey Sampling: Theory and Practice 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Instructor(s): Alan H. Dorfman, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Richard Valliant, University of Michigan CE_12C Hierarchical Modeling and Analysis of Spatial-Temporal Data: Emphasis in Forestry, Ecology, and Environmental Sciences 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 8 & 9 ■ ✪ The Statistical Issues Surrounding Progression-Free Survival in Oncology Drug Development—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): William D. Bushnell, GlaxoSmithKline; Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA Chair(s): Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA 2:05 p.m. On Analysis of Progression-Free-Survival— ◆Cong Chen, Merck Research Laboratories 2:25 p.m. Interval Censoring in Time-to-Progression Data— ◆Zhenming Shun, sanofi-aventis 2:45 p.m. Central Review of Progression-Free Survival in Phase 3 Oncology Trials—◆Ohad Amit, GlaxoSmithKline; Frank Mannino, GlaxoSmithKline 3:05 p.m. Use of Blinded Independent Review for Auditing Purposes—◆Lori Dodd, National Cancer Institute 3:25 p.m. Impact of Variability in Progression Assessments on Type I and Type II Errors—◆Shenghui Tang, FDA; Xiaoping Jiang, FDA; Kun He, FDA; Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 2 ASA Instructor(s): Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University/Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Geert Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven CC-155 Efficient Methods for the Analysis of Spatial Data: Computing and Application—Invited ■ Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Brian J. Smith, The University of Iowa Chair(s): Jacob J. Oleson, The University of Iowa 2:05 p.m. Efficient Methods for the Analysis of Spatial Data: Computing and Application—◆Murali Haran, Penn State University 2:30 p.m. Reparameterized and Marginalized Posterior and Predictive Sampling for Complex Bayesian Geostatistical Models—◆Mary K. Cowles, The University of Iowa; Jun Yan, University of Connecticut; Brian J. Smith, The University of Iowa 2:55 p.m. Ramps: An R Package for Unified Geostatistical Modeling of Complex Spatio-Temporal Data— ◆Brian J. Smith, The University of Iowa; Jun Yan, University of Connecticut 3:20 p.m. Combining Data for Efficient Prediction of the Spatial Distribution of Iowa Residential Radon Levels—◆Jun Yan, University of Connecticut; Mary K. Cowles, The University of Iowa; Brian J. Smith, The University of Iowa 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Instructor(s): Sudipto Banerjee, The University of Minnesota; Andrew Finley, Michigan State University CE_13C Models for Discrete Repeated Measures 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12,13,14 CC-202A Washington, DC 37 Thurs-Sun Continuing Education (Fee Events) You are invited to the First-Time Attendee Orientation and Reception Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Grand Ballroom Sunday, August 2, 12:30 p.m. – 2:00 p.m. Open to All First-Timers Learn how to get the most out of your first JSM experience, meet new people, and network. This reception is sponsored by the ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, and the Caucus for Women in Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Recent Advances in Bayesian Model Selection—Invited CC-209B 2:25 p.m. Making a Difference: Providing Statistical Support for NIH-Sponsored Clinical Trials—◆Marian Ewell, The EMMES Corporation 2:45 p.m. The Gertrude Cox Race—◆Stephanie Shipp, Science and Technology Policy Institute 3:05 p.m. Statistics in a Multidisciplinary Environment— ◆Julia L. Bienias, Consultant 3:25 p.m. The Gertrude Cox Scholarship: Then and Now— ◆Holly B. Shulman, CDC 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Hani Doss, University of Florida Chair(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida 2:05 p.m. Sequential Bayesian Model Selection— ◆David Madigan, Columbia University 2:35 p.m. Estimation of Large Families of Bayes Factors from Markov Chain Output—◆Hani Doss, University of Florida 3:05 p.m. Approaches to Model Selection Using BART— ◆Hugh Chipman, Acadia University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 4 ■ ✪ Innovative CC-204B Visualization Tools: A Way to Engage Citizens and Influence Policy—Invited International Statistical Institute, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Juana Sanchez, University of California, Los Angeles; Enrico Giovannini, Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development Chair(s): Irina Kukuyeva, University of California, Los Angeles 2:05 p.m. Wikis, Dynamic Charts, Videos, and Other Innovative Tools to Transform Statistics Into Knowledge—◆Enrico Giovannini, Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development 2:35 p.m. BalatonTrend: A Multimodal Approach to Visualizing and Communicating Regional Trends Related to Vulnerability and Adaptation—◆László Pintér, International Institute for Sustainable Development; Livia Bizikova, International Institute for Sustainable Development 3:05 p.m. Visualizing Statistics in the Netherlands— ◆Edwin de Jonge, Statistics Netherlands 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 5 6 CC-150B The Use of Paradata in Federal Government Surveys—Invited ■ Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): James M. Dahlhamer, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau 2:05 p.m. Modeling the Difference in Interview Characteristics for Different Respondents—◆John Dixon, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:25 p.m. An Evaluation of Nonresponse Bias Using Paradata from a Health Survey—◆Aaron Maitland, National Center for Health Statistics; Carolina Casas-Cordero, University of Maryland; Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland 2:45 p.m. Use of Paradata to Manage a Field Data Collection—◆Robert Groves, University of Michigan; William Axinn, University of Michigan; James Lepkowski, University of Michigan; Nicole Kirgis, University of Michigan; William Mosher, National Center for Health Statistics 3:05 p.m. Using the Fraction of Missing Information to Monitor the Quality of Survey Data—◆James Wagner, University of Michigan 3:25 p.m. Subunit Nonresponse in the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS): An Exploration Using Paradata—◆James M. Dahlhamer, National Center for Health Statistics; Catherine M. Simile, National Center for Health Statistics 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-141 The Gertrude Cox Scholarship: 20 Years of Recognizing Young Women in Statistics—Invited Caucus for Women in Statistics, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Holly B. Shulman, CDC Chair(s): Marcia A. Ciol, University of Washington 2:05 p.m. Methods for Designing Observational Studies from Public Policy to Public Health—◆Elizabeth A. Stuart, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Washington, DC 39 Thurs-Sun 3 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 7 ■ ✪ Statistics CC-207B 9 CC-143B in the Beltway: From Data to Policy—Invited Robust Estimation for Empirical Policymaking—Invited Washington Statistical Society, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Chair(s): Karol Krotki, RTI International Section on Statistical Consulting, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Eric J. Tchetgen, Harvard University Chair(s): James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health 2:05 p.m. Use of Statistics at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Cancer Institute: Estimation of the Number of Deaths Associated with Body Weight—◆Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute; Katherine Flegal, National Center for Health Statistics; David Williamson, Emory University; Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute 2:35 p.m. How Numbers Rule: Pitfalls and Practicalities from Health Policy—◆Joshua Wiener, RTI International 3:05 p.m. Using Statistical Analyses to Inform Congressional Decisions—◆Nancy Kingsbury, U.S. Government Accountability Office 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 8 CC-202B ✪ Doubly 2:05 p.m. Efficient, Stable, and Doubly Robust Estimation with Inverse Weighting—◆Zhiqiang Tan, Rutgers University 2:30 p.m. Doubly Robust Ecological Inference—◆Daniel Rubin, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 2:55 p.m. Logistic Regression in a Semiparametric Model for Case-Control Data—◆Eric J. Tchetgen, Harvard University; Andrea Rotnitzky, Universidad Di Tella and Harvard University; James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health 3:20 p.m. Double-Robust and Efficient Methods for Estimating the Causal Effects of a Binary Treatment— ◆Andrea Rotnitzky, Universidad Di Tella and Harvard University; James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health; Mariela Sued, Universidad de Buenos Aires; Quanhong Lei-Gomez, Harvard School of Public Health 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Survival Methods for Robustly Modeling Time-Varying Covariate Effects—Invited WNAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Scott Emerson, University of Washington Chair(s): Scott Emerson, University of Washington 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Survival Regression Modeling and Inference: A Tale of Handling Survival Curves That Cross—◆Gary L. Rosner, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Wesley O. Johnson, University of California, Irvine; Maria DeIorio, Imperial College; Peter Müller, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 2:35 p.m. Inference for Arbitrary Functionals of Survival— ◆Kyle Rudser, The University of Minnesota; Michael LeBlanc, University of Washington; Scott Emerson, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Censoring Robust Semiparametric Estimators of Treatment Effects in Regression Models with Censored Data—◆Adam Boyd, University of California, Denver 3:35 p.m. 40 Floor Discussion JSM 2009 10 Inference for Orderings: Far-Reaching Extensions of Kendall’s Tau—Invited CC-209A IMS Organizer(s): Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University Chair(s): Doug Wolfe, The Ohio State University 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation and Survey Design for Preference Data—◆Guy Lebanon, Georgia Institute of Technology 2:35 p.m. The Tau-Path Test: A Generalization of Kendall’s Tau Statistic to Test Subpopulation Association— ◆Li Yu, The Ohio State University; Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University 3:05 p.m. Consensus Ranking Under the Exponential Model—◆Meila Marina, University of Washington 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel IMS Medallion Lecture I—Invited CC-207A IMS Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley 2:05 p.m. Statistics for High-Dimensional Data: Toward More Reliable Results—◆Peter Buhlmann, ETH Zurich 3:30 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Statistical Methods for Analysis of Genomic Data with Graphic Structure—◆Caiyan Li, University of Pennsylvania 3:25 p.m. Understanding Protein Function on a Genome-Scale Using Networks— ◆Mark Gerstein, Yale University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 14 CC-144B ■ ✪ Data Invited Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 12 CC-150A ■ ✪ Building Statistical Capacity Globally— Invited Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Nilupa S. Gunaratna, International Nutrition Foundation Chair(s): Stephen Pierson, ASA Panelists: ◆Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago ◆Juanita Tamayo Lott, Tamayo Lott Associates ◆James J. Cochran, Louisiana Tech University ◆Siobhan Carey, Central Statistics Office 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Topic-Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 13 Graphical and Network-Based Models: Applications in Bioinformatics— Topic-Contributed CC-101 Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Sujay Datta, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Chair(s): Sujay Datta, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 2:05 p.m. Estimating Counts for Queries Without Accessing a Database—◆Kyongryun Lee, Iowa State University 2:25 p.m. Hidden Process Models with Applications to fMRI Data—◆Rebecca Hutchinson, Oregon State University 2:45 p.m. Inferring Network Sstructure Using Bayesian Structure Learning Techniques— ◆Radhakrishnan Nagarajan, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Thurs-Sun 11 Confidentiality: Do We Really Want to Disturb a Sleeping Bear?—Topic-Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut Chair(s): Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Multiscale Multiple Imputation with Implications to Data Confidentiality—Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics; ◆Marco A.R. Ferreira, University of Missouri-Columbia; Alan F. Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 2:25 p.m. Summary of Methods and Preliminary Assessment of the SIPP Synthetic Beta, Version 5.0—◆Gary Benedetto, U.S. Census Bureau; Martha Stinson, U.S. Census Bureau; Melissa Bjelland, Cornell University 2:45 p.m. Responsible Data Releases—◆Sanguthevar Rajasekaran, University of Connecticut; Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut; Michael Zuba, University of Connecticut; Gregory Matthews, University of Connecticut; Rob Aseltine, University of Connecticut Health Center 3:05 p.m. Examining the Robustness of Fully Synthetic Data Techniques for Data with Binary Variables— ◆Gregory Matthews, University of Connecticut; Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut; Rob Aseltine, University of Connecticut Health Center 3:25 p.m. Disc: Rob Aseltine, University of Connecticut Health Center 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 15 CC-143A Nonlinear Time Series in Economics and Finance—Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Michael Levine, Purdue University Chair(s): Bo Li, Purdue University 2:05 p.m. Semiparametric Estimation of ARCH(8) Model— ◆Li (Lily) Wang, The University of Georgia; Jianhua Huang, Texas A&M University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University Washington, DC 41 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:25 p.m. 2:45 p.m. 3:05 p.m. Extended Tapered Block Bootstrap for Time Series—◆Xiaofeng Shao, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Testing the Linearity Hypothesis in Nonlinear Autoregression—◆Michael Levine, Purdue University Investigating Dependence Between Time Series— ◆Hernando Ombao, Brown University 3:25 p.m. Disc: Zhengjun Zhang, University of Wisconsin 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 16 ■ ✪ Multi-Scale Methods in Statistics— Topic-Contributed 2:05 p.m. Generalized Fiducial Inference for Wavelet Regression—◆Jan Hannig, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Thomas C.M. Lee, Chinese University of Hong Kong/Colorado State University 2:25 p.m. Extension of Hilbert-Huang Transform to Statistical Problems—◆Hee-Seok Oh, Seoul National University; Donghoh Kim, Sejong University 2:45 p.m. Probabilistic Modeling and Statistical Inference for Computer Network Traffic—Stilian Stoev, University of Michigan; ◆George Michailidis, University of Michigan; Joel Vaughan, University of Michigan 3:05 p.m. Improved SiZer for Time Series—◆Cheolwoo Park, The University of Georgia; Jan Hannig, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Kee-Hoon Kang, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies 3:25 p.m. A Self-Consistency Approach to Wavelet Regression with Irregularly Spaced Data— ◆Thomas C.M. Lee, Chinese University of Hong Kong/Colorado State University; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-102B Propensity Scores and Bayesian Methods for Historical Controls and Observational Studies— Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Cindy Yang, FDA Chair(s): Gosford A. Sawyerr, Purdue Pharma, LP 2:05 p.m. Power Priors for Adaptive Incorporation of Historical Information in Clinical Trials—◆Brad Carlin, The University of Minnesota; Brian Hobbs, The University of Minnesota 2:25 p.m. Describing the Risk of Drug-Specific Toxicities Using Cohort Data: To What Extent Can Associations Be Explained by Channelling or Other Forms of Bias?—◆Caroline Sabin, University College London 2:45 p.m. The Performance of Propensity Score Adjustment with Random Covariate for Estimating Treatment Effect in Drug Eluting Stent Data—◆Yun Lu, Boston Scientific Corporation; Aijun Song, Boston Scientific Corporation; Wei Xu, Boston Scientific Corporation; Yongyi (Alan) Yu, Boston Scientific Corporation 3:05 p.m. Comparing Covariates Selection in Propensity Score Modeling: A Simulation Study—◆Jian Huang, Boston Scientific Corporation; Alan Yu, Boston Scientific Corporation; Lan Pan, Boston Scientific Corporation 3:25 p.m. Propensity Scores in Observational Studies— ◆Michael Gaffney, Pfizer Inc.; Jack Mardekian, Pfizer Inc. 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-159B Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Thomas C.M. Lee, Chinese University of Hong Kong/ Colorado State University Chair(s): Fang Yao, University of Toronto 42 17 18 CC-209C ■ ✪ Hot Research Projects: A Taste of the Future for Future Government Statisticians— Topic-Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Kevin Cecco, IRS Chair(s): Kevin Cecco, IRS 2:05 p.m. OnTheMap: An Innovative Mapping Tool— ◆Matthew Graham, U.S. Census Bureau; Heath Hayward, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 p.m. Statistical Consulting Within the Internal Revenue Service—◆Ronald Walsh, IRS Statistics of Income; Rachael Hooker, IRS Statistics of Income 2:45 p.m. Recent Developments in Internet Data Collection Methods Used at EIA—◆Grace E. ONeill, Energy Information Administration GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:05 p.m. 3:25 p.m. Disc: Nancy Gordon, U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 19 2:25 p.m. Using Super Learner for Robust Model Selection in Causal Effect Estimation—◆Eric Polley, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 2:45 p.m. Targeted Methods for Biomarker Discovery: The Search for a Standard—◆Catherine Tuglus, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 3:05 p.m. High-Dimensional Propensity Score Adjustment in Studies of Drug Treatment Effects Using Health Care Claims Data—◆Jeremy Rassen, Harvard University; M. Alan Brookhart, Brigham and Women’s Hospital/Harvard Medical School; Robert J. Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Jerry Avorn, Harvard University; Helen Mogun, Harvard University; Sebastian Schneeweiss, Harvard University 3:25 p.m. Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Treatment-Specific Survival Curve with RightCensored Data and Covariates in Observational Studies—◆Farid Jamshidian, University of California, Berkeley; Ori M. Stitelman, University of California, Berkeley; Alan Hubbard, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-149B The Impact of Mode and Other Factors on Data Quality—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Maxine M. Denniston, CDC Chair(s): Andrew White, National Center for Education Statistics 2:05 p.m. The Effect of Unbounded Interviews on Differential Recall—◆Eve M. Waltermaurer, State University of New York in New Paltz; Louise-Anne McNutt, State University of New York at Albany 2:25 p.m. Correlates of Data Quality in the Consumer Expenditure Quarterly Interview Survey— ◆Jennifer Edgar, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:45 p.m. Comparison of Web-Based versus Paper-and-Pencil Administration of the YRBS: Participation, Data Quality, and Perceived Privacy and Confidentiality by Mode of Data Collection—◆Maxine M. Denniston, CDC; Nancy D. Brener, CDC; Laura Kann, CDC; Danice K. Eaton, CDC; Tim McManus, CDC; Tonja M. Kyle, Macro International, Inc.; Alice M. Roberts, Macro International, Inc.; Katherine H. Flint, Macro International, Inc.; James G. Ross, Macro International, Inc. 3:05 p.m. Mode Effects and Data Quality on a Survey of New Businesses—◆David DesRoches, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 3:25 p.m. Disc: Scott Fricker, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 20 21 Building Emulators for Computer Models: Interface Between Statistics and Applied Statistics—Topic-Contributed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Quality and Productivity, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): C.F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology Chair(s): Ying Hung, Rutgers University 2:05 p.m. Treed Gaussian Processes for Computer Model Emulation—◆Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz; Robert B. Gramacy, University of Cambridge 2:25 p.m. A Surrogate-Assisted Method Using Adaptive Multi-Accurate Function—◆Ray-Bing Chen, National University of Kaohsiung; Weichung Wang, National Taiwan University; Hsu Chia-Lung, National University of Kaohsiung 2:45 p.m. G-SELC: Optimization by Sequential Elimination of Level Combinations Using Genetic Algorithms and Gaussian Processes—◆Abhyuday Mandal, The University of Georgia; Pritam Ranjan, Acadia University; C.F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology 3:05 p.m. Design and Analysis of Computer Experiments with Grouped Factors—◆Jin Xu, East China Normal University; Peter Z.G. Qian, University of Wisconsin-Madison CC-204C Machine Learning–Based Causal Inference: Toward Robust Black-Box Algorithms for Causal Effects That Preserve Meaningful Statistical Inference—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Alan Hubbard, University of California, Berkeley Chair(s): Alan Hubbard, University of California, Berkeley 2:05 p.m. Collaborative Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation—◆Susan Gruber, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley CC-143C Washington, DC 43 Thurs-Sun A Fresh Approach to Agricultural Statistics: Data Mining and Remote Sensing—◆Darcy A. Miller, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Jaki McCarthy, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Audra Zakzeski, National Agricultural Statistics Service GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:25 p.m. Nested Latin Hypercube Designs—◆Peter Z.G. Qian, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 24 Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 22 CC-203A Variable Selection and Missing Data Methods for Longitudinal Outcomes—Contributed Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania CC-144A ■ 2:05 p.m. Section on Statistical Education, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Ginger H. Rowell, National Science Foundation Chair(s): Pam Arroway, North Carolina State University Latent Class Joint Model of Ovarian Function Suppression and DFS for Premenopausal Breast Cancer Patients—◆Jing (Jenny) Zhang, Harvard University; Molin Wang, Dana Farber Cancer Institute and Harvard University 2:20 p.m. Evaluating Binning for Analyzing Mixed Longitudinal Data Measured at Distinct Time Points: A Simulation Study—◆Xiaoqin Xiong, University of Waterloo; Joel A. Dubin, University of Waterloo 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Inference of Incomplete Longitudinal Data: A Simple Method to Assess Sensitivity to Nonignorable Dropout—◆Hui Xie, University of Illinois 2:50 p.m. Exploratory Longitudinal Factor Analysis— ◆Sherry Lin, University of California, Los Angeles 3:05 p.m. Variable Selection in Additive Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data—◆Daowen Zhang, North Carolina State University 3:20 p.m. Marginal Methods for the Analysis of Longitudinal Data Arising in Clusters with Missing Covariates— ◆Baojiang Chen, University of Washington; Grace Yi, University of Waterloo; Richard Cook, University of Waterloo; Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Proposal Writing Workshop for Grant Applications to the National Science Foundation—Topic-Contributed Panelists: ◆Ginger H. Rowell, National Science Foundation ◆Dan Maki, National Science Foundation ◆Lee Zia, National Science Foundation 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 23 ■ ✪ Guiding Young Professionals to Be Successful in Government, Academia, and Industry—Topic-Contributed CC-206 Committee on Career Development, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Subir Ghosh, University of California, Riverside Chair(s): Amarjot Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc. Panelists: ◆Dean Follmann, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases ◆Nancy Geller, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute ◆Jagbir Singh, Temple University ◆Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University ◆Mani Y. Lakshminarayanan, Merck & Co., Inc. 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 44 JSM 2009 25 CC-203B Meta-Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis, and Latent Variables—Contributed Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Charles Contant, TIMI Study Group 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Model-Averaging in Meta-Analysis: Vitamin E Supplementation and Mortality—◆J. Kyle Wathen, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Donald A. Berry, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 2:20 p.m. Multiple-Outcome Meta-Analysis Methods: Application to Orthopedics Research— ◆Yan Ma, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; Madhu Mazumdar, Weill Medical College of Cornell University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Retrieving Optimal Information from Parallel Data Using A Mean Coverage Controlled Procedure— ◆Peter Hu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Peggy Wong, Merck & Co., Inc. 2:50 p.m. The Multivariate Linear Path Model Embedded in the Multiple Indicator and Multiple Causes Model— ◆Youngju Pak, University of Missouri-Columbia; Randy L. Carter, State University of New York at Buffalo 3:05 p.m. Sensitivity of Logistic and Log-Linear Models in Analysis of Case-Mother/Control-Mother Designs— ◆Jingyuan Yang, The Ohio State University; Shili Lin, The Ohio State University 3:20 p.m. Biological Plausibility-Compliance Average Causal Effect Instead of Per Protocol in the Prevention of Perinatal Sepsis Randomized Control Trial, South Africa—◆Elizabeth R. Zell, CDC; Locadiah Kuwanda, Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogen Research Unit; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 3:35 p.m. Recurrent Marker Process Before an Informative Failure Event: A Backward Process Model— ◆Kwun Chuen (Gary) Chan, University of Washington; Mei-Cheng Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 26 3:35 p.m. 27 Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Phillip Dinh, FDA 2:05 p.m. Performance Evaluation of Some Sequential Testing Methods with Applications to Vaccine Safety Monitoring—◆Linmin Gan, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; William H. Woodall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Jie Chen, Merck & Co., Inc. 2:20 p.m. Stopping Boundaries of Flexible Sample Size Design with Flexible Trial Monitoring—◆Yi He, sanofi-aventis; Zhenming Shun, sanofi-aventis; Yijia Feng, Penn State University 2:35 p.m. A Group Sequential Design with Potential Futility Stop and Sample Size Adjustment—◆Xiao J. Sun, Merck Research Laboratories; Joshua Chen, Merck Research Laboratories; Kuang-Kuo (Gordon) Lan, Johnson & Johnson PRD 2:50 p.m. Finding Critical Values with Prefixed Early Stopping Boundaries and Controlled Type I Error for a TwoStage Adaptive Design—◆Jingjing Chen, Temple University; Sanat Sarkar, Temple University; Frank Bretz, Norvartis, Switzerland 3:05 p.m. Comparison of the Branching Group Sequential Design with Frequent Adaptation Methods in an Equivalence Study—◆Yevgen Tymofyeyev, Merck & Co., Inc.; James A. Bolognese, Cytel, Inc.; Keaven Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc. 3:20 p.m. Implementation Issues of Randomization Schemes for Adaptive Clinical Trials—◆Weili He, Merck & Co., Inc.; Frank (Xiaoyin) Fan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Yevgen Tymofyeyev, Merck & Co., Inc.; Olga M. Kuznetsova, Merck & Co., Inc.; Vikas Patel, Merck & Co., Inc. 3:35 p.m. Adaptive Dropping Arm Design: Probability Models and Decision Rules—Yili L. Pritchett, Abbott Laboratories; Shu Han, Abbott Laboratories; ◆Shihua Wen, Abbott Laboratories Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Eunhee Hwang, Wyeth Research 2:05 p.m. Performance of the Bayesian Bootstrap in Two Adaptive Clinical Trials—◆Les Huson, Cmed Research, UK 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Approaches to Multiple Endpoints— ◆Kimberly Crimin, Wyeth Research; Robb Muirhead, Pfizer Inc.; Andrew Grieve, King’s College London 2:35 p.m. A Bayesian Approach for Tailored Therapy— ◆Haoda Fu, Eli Lilly and Company 2:50 p.m. Interim Treatment Selection with a Flexible Selection Margin in Clinical Trial—◆Yujun Wu, sanofi-aventis; Peng-Liang Zhang, sanofi-aventis 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Phase I/II Drug-Combination Trial Design in Oncology—◆Ying Yuan, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Guosheng Yin, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 3:20 p.m. Development of a Statistical Methodology to Identify Appropriate Historical Controls for Rare Disease Therapies Using Information Generated from the Peer-Reviewed Scientific Literature— ◆Jessica (Jeongsook) L. Kim, FDA; Jean (Chinying) Wang, FDA; Charles Maplethorpe, FDA CC-102A Adaptive Group Sequential Designs in Drug and Vaccine Development—Contributed ■ CC-201 Bayesian and Adaptive Methods in Clinical Trials—Contributed ■ Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Approach for Multivariate Longitudinal Data Analysis Subject to Left-Censoring—◆Ghideon Ghebregiorgis, FDA; Lisa A. Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh Thurs-Sun 2:35 p.m. Washington, DC 45 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 28 CC-204A 3:20 p.m. Fractals, Multifractals, and Wavelets for Modeling the Data Arising in Experimental Musicology and the Clustering of Musical Performances— ◆Makarand V. Ratnaparkhi, Wright State University 3:35 p.m. Is Each NPMLE of a Continuous Bivariate Distribution Function with Singly Right-Censored Data Really Inconsistent?—◆Qiqing Yu, Binghamton University; Chingfu Sen, National SunYat-sen University; Jinlong Huang, National Sun Yat-sen University; Chinsan Lee, Shu-Te University of Technology Model Selection Applications—Contributed ENAR Chair(s): Guolian Kang, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 2:05 p.m. Finding Sequence Motifs with Bayesian Models Incorporating Positional Information—◆Nak-Kyeong Kim, Old Dominion University; John L. Spouge, The National Center for Biotechnology Information 2:20 p.m. Analysis of Mediation by Least Squares— ◆David Reboussin, Wake Forest University School of Medicine 2:35 p.m. Estimation Approaches for Discretely Observed Age-Dependent Branching Processes—◆Rui Chen, University of Rochester Medical Center; Ollivier Hyrien, University of Rochester 2:50 p.m. Selecting Variable Selection Methods for Association Studies—◆Lin Li, Cornell University; Carlos Bustamante, Cornell University 3:05 p.m. Estimation of Haplotype Effects in Case-Control Studies via Variable Selection: Prospective vs. Retrospective Analysis—◆Megan Koehler, North Carolina State University; Jung-Ying Tzeng, North Carolina State University 30 Nonparametric Smoothing—Contributed CC-157 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Tom Wehrly, Texas A&M University 2:05 p.m. Spline-Backfitted Kernal Smoothing of Partially Linear Additive Model—◆Shujie Ma, Michigan State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University 2:20 p.m. A Multivariate Likelihood-Tuned Density Estimator— ◆Yeojin Chung, Penn State University; Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State University 3:20 p.m. Inconsistent Resampling Methods and Remedies—◆Mihan C. Giurcanu, University of Louisiana-Lafayette 2:35 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion An Efficient Estimator for an Additive Quantile Regression Model—◆Dawit Zerom, California State University, Fullerton 2:50 p.m. Changepoint Distribution Estimation in Animal Learning Experiments—◆Xiaodong Li, Columbia University; Daniel Rabinowitz, Columbia University 3:05 p.m. Nonparametric Test for Changepoint in Variance Function—◆Kee-Hoon Kang, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies; Jib Huh, Duksung Woman’s University 3:20 p.m. Minimum Distance Conditional Variance Function Checking—◆Weixing Song, Kansas State University; Nishantha Samarakoon, Kansas State University 3:35 p.m. Multivariate Kernel Smoothing with Unconstrained Bandwidth Matrices—◆José E. Chacón, Universidad de Extremadura 29 Miscellaneous Theory I—Contributed CC-159A IMS Chair(s): Runlong Tang, University of Michigan 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. Composition Confidence Intervals Offer Better Coverage Than the Delta Method—◆Paul Duty, Montgomery College; Nancy Flournoy, University of Missouri-Columbia Confidence Limits and Prediction Limits for a Weibull Distribution Based on the Generalized Variable Approach—◆Yanping Xia, Southeast Missouri State University; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana-Lafayette; Yin Lin, University of Louisiana-Lafayette 2:35 p.m. Confidence Bounds for Multiplicative Comparisons—◆John Ennis, The Institute for Perception 2:50 p.m. Data-Based Assessment of Asymptotic Label Identifiability in Mixture Models—◆Daeyoung Kim, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State University 3:05 p.m. 46 Distributions That Approximately Follow Benford’s and Other Digit Laws—◆Adam Petrie, The University of Tennessee JSM 2009 31 Data Mining in Graphs and Networks— Contributed CC-160 Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Xingye Qiao, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:05 p.m. Multi-Mode Networks—◆Walid Sharabati, Purdue University; Yasmin Said, George Mason University; Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:20 p.m. 2:35 p.m. Penalized Likelihood Methods for Estimation of Directed Acyclic Graphs with Applications to Biological Networks—◆Ali Shojaie, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan 2:50 p.m. Norm Dependence in Regularized Estimation of Large Covariance Matrices—◆Iain Johnstone, Stanford University 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. A Bayesian Model of Smoothing and Connectivity for Event-Related fMRI Time Series—◆Wesley K. Thompson, University of California, San Diego 2:20 p.m. Efficient Large Design Space Exploration and Prediction in Computer Microarchitectural Study— ◆Bin Li, Louisiana State University; Lu Peng, Louisiana State University Efficacy of Poststratification in Complex Sampling Designs—◆Ismael Flores Cervantes, Westat, Inc.; Michael J. Brick, Westat, Inc.; Mike Jones, Westat, Inc. 2:35 p.m. Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys with One PSU per Stratum—◆Harold Mantel, Statistics Canada; Suzelle Giroux, Statistics Canada 3:05 p.m. An Investigation of Stratified Jackknife Estimators Using Simulated Establishment Data Under an Unequal Probability Sample Design—◆Philip Steel, U.S. Census Bureau; Victoria McNerney, U.S. Census Bureau; John Slanta, U.S. Census Bureau 3:20 p.m. Developing Guidelines Based on CVs for When One-Year Estimates Can Be Used Instead of Three-Year Estimates in the American Community Survey—◆Michael Ikeda, U.S. Census Bureau 3:20 p.m. Identification of Functional Forms and Predictor Variables in Generalized Variance Functions for Price Indexes—◆MoonJung Cho, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:35 p.m. Evaluating the Asymptotic Limits of the Delete-aGroup Jackknife for Model Analyses—Phillip S. Kott, U.S. Department of Agriculture; ◆Steven T. Garren, James Madison University Floor Discussion Extreme Values, Censored Data, and Clustering in Environmental Studies— Contributed CC-158A Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University 2:35 p.m. Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Wendy Barboza, USDA, NASS, RDD Estimated-Control Post-Stratified Variance Estimators for Proportions—◆Jill A. Dever, RTI International; Richard Valliant, University of Michigan ■ 2:20 p.m. CC-144C Variance Estimation in Complex Surveys— Contributed 2:05 p.m. 32 2:05 p.m. 33 A Power Comparison of Generalized Additive Models and the Spatial Scan Statistic Under Simple Alternative Hypotheses—◆Robin L. Young, Boston University School of Public Health; Janice Weinberg, Boston University School of Public Health; Verónica Vieira, Boston University School of Public Health; Thomas F. Webster, Boston University School of Public Health Significance Testing with the Pareto Set in Cluster Detection Problems—◆Ronald Gangnon, University of Wisconsin-Madison Statistical Inference for Food Webs/Ecological Networks via Bayesian Melding—◆Grace Chiu, University of Waterloo; Joshua Gould, Dalhousie University 2:50 p.m. Using Extreme Value Analysis to Predict Pressurized Equipment Life—Eric Suess, California State University, Hayward; ◆Philip E. Myers, Chevron 3:05 p.m. Survival Modeling Application in Estimating Response Time for Drinking Water Violation— ◆Jade Freeman, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 3:20 p.m. Environmental Risk Evaluation: A Bayesian Hierarchical Approach for Extreme Temperature Over Space and Time—◆Hongfei Li, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center; Jonathan Hosking, IBM Research Division; Huijing Jiang, Georgia Institute of Technology 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 34 CC-208A Statistical Methods for Modeling Infectious Disease Risk—Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Akbar Zaidi, CDC 2:05 p.m. Estimates of US Influenza-Associated Deaths Calculated from Three Poisson Regression Models for the 1976/77 Through the 2004/05 Seasons— ◆Hong Zhou, CDC; William W. Thompson, CDC; Po-Yung Cheng, CDC; Cecile Viboud, Fogarty International Center; Corinne Ringholz, Fogarty International Center; Eric Weintraub, CDC; Joseph Bresee, CDC; David K. Shay, CDC 2:20 p.m. Modeling Clinical Symptoms as Predictors for Influenza: A Useful Tool for Primary Care Providers—◆Hector Lemus, San Diego State University; Tabitha Zimmerman, Naval Health Research Center Washington, DC 47 Thurs-Sun Empirical Stationary Correlations for Semi-Supervised Learning on Graphs— ◆Ya Xu, Stanford University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:35 p.m. Using Mathematical Models to Predict the Risk of Listeriosis—◆Zheng Lu, Virginia Commonwealth University; Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University; Chunwang Gao, Iowa State University 2:50 p.m. Bootstrap Variance and Bias Correction in the Estimation of HIV Incidence from Surveillance Data with Testing for Recent Infection—◆Nicole B. Carnegie, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. Modeling the Incidence of Disease and the Two Sample Capture-Recapture Procedure—◆Lawrence Lessner, State University of New York/New York State Department of Health Application of Robust Regression Models for Estimating Influenza-Associated Deaths Using the CDC 122 Cities Mortality Reporting System Data— ◆Po-Yung Cheng, CDC; William W. Thompson, CDC; Rosaline Dhara, CDC; Al Ozonoff, Boston University School of Public Health; Xiaopeng Miao, Boston University School of Public Health; Lynnette Brammer, CDC; Eric Weintraub, CDC; Lenee Blanton, CDC; David K. Shay, CDC 3:35 p.m. An Application of Generalized Estimating Equations to the Data from Influenza Surveillance in Canada— ◆Shenghai Zhang, Public Health Agency of Canada; Ping Yan, Public Health Agency of Canada 35 CC-158B Statistical Methods for Modeling Populations in Ecology—Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Jarrett Barber, University of Wyoming 2:05 p.m. Acoustic Estimation of Wildlife Abundance: Methodology for Vocal Mammals in Forested Habitats—◆Steven J. Schwager, Cornell University; Mya E. Thompson, Cornell University; Katharine B. Payne, Cornell University 2:20 p.m. Joint Modeling of Longitudinal Capture-Recapture and Cross-Sectional Count Data in Wildlife and Fisheries Disease Studies—◆Matt Ritter, North Carolina State University Bringing the ASA to Washington, DC Visit the ASA Booth! Visit Booth #600 in the exhibit hall to learn about the many programs available to you. At the ASA booth, you’ll hear about: Publications – Flip through the ASA’s journals and magazines or pick up brochures about various ASA programs Membership – Ask an ASA staff member questions about the association and its benefits to members Discover the benefits of membership 48 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:35 p.m. 3:05 p.m. Multinomial Mixture Model with Heterogeneous Classification Probabilities—◆Mark D. Holland, The University of Minnesota; Brian R. Gray, U.S. Geological Survey Analyzing Ecological Momentary Assessment Data: Variation Among Subjects in Baseline Event Rates—◆Benjamin Neustifter, The University of Georgia; Stephen L. Rathbun, The University of Georgia; Saul Shiffman, University of Pittsburgh 3:20 p.m. Application of Quadratic Entropy in Measuring Dinosaur Biodiversity—◆Yueqin Zhao, Eastern Virginia Medical School; Dayanand N. Naik, Old Dominion University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 36 CC-153 Modern Computation in Experimental Design and Estimation—Contributed 37 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Gilbert Fellingham, Brigham Young University 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Methods for Detecting Influential Observations When Using the Box-Cox Transformation—◆Lawrence I. Pettit, Queen Mary University of London; Nalaiyini Sothinathan, Queen Mary University of London 2:20 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Detecting Outliers in Circular Data—◆Karen D.S. Young, University of Surrey; Lawrence I. Pettit, Queen Mary University of London; Nalaiyini Sothinathan, Queen Mary University of London 2:35 p.m. Detection of Outlying Discrimination Parameters in a Hierarchical IRT Model—◆Sherwin Toribio, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse; James Albert, Bowling Green State University 2:50 p.m. Using Mixtures to Model Outliers in Inter-Laboratory Studies—◆Garritt L. Page, Iowa State University; Stephen B. Vardeman, Iowa State University 3:05 p.m. Dynamic Logistic Regression and Dynamic Model Averaging for Binary Classification—◆Tyler H. McCormick, Columbia University; Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington; David Madigan, Columbia University; Randall Burd, Children’s National Medical Center 3:20 p.m. Fast Bayesian Analysis of Spatial Dynamic Factor Models—◆Christopher M. Strickland, Queensland University of Technology; Daniel Simpson, Queensland University of Technology; Ian Turner, Queensland University of Technology; Robert Denham, Department of Natural Resources; Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology 3:35 p.m. Efficient Bayesian Estimation for a General Dynamic Mixture Model—◆Christopher K. Carter, University of New South Wales; Robert J. Kohn, University of New South Wales; Paolo Giordani, Sveriges Riksbank Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Adam Cardinal-Stakenas, Johns Hopkins University 2:05 p.m. On the Relative (Small Sample) Performance of Several Approaches to Confidence Intervals for a Difference in Means—◆John McGready, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 2:20 p.m. Simulation-Based Simultaneous Confidence Bands for All Contrasts of Three or More Simple Linear Regression Models Over an Interval—◆Mortaza Jamshidian, California State University, Fullerton; Wei Liu, University of Southampton; Frank Bertz, Novartis Pharma AG 2:35 p.m. Calculating Standard Error with Parametric Bootstrapping—◆Anli Lin, Pearson 2:50 p.m. Efficient Experimental Designs Under a Nonlinear Model for Event-Related fMRI—◆Ming-Hung Kao, The University of Georgia; Dibyen Majumdar, University of Illinois at Chicago; Abhyuday Mandal, The University of Georgia; John Stufken, The University of Georgia 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. A Computational Algorithm for Searching Optimal Saturated Two-Level Factorial Designs—Samad A. Hedayat, University of Illinois at Chicago; ◆Haiyuan Zhu, Merck Research Laboratories Uniform Design Over Convex Input Domains with Applications to Computer Experiments— ◆Ying-Chao Hung, National Central University; Shih-Chung Chuang, National Central University Floor Discussion CC-208B Bayesian Diagnostics and Dynamic Models— Contributed ■ 38 CC-142 Labor Markets and Firm Competitiveness— Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Matilde Bini, University of Florence 2:05 p.m. A Wavelet Analysis of the Role of Volatility in Inventories and Sales Growth in the Great Moderation—◆David J. Doorn, The University of Minnesota-Duluth 2:20 p.m. Does Trade Liberalization Affect Labor Market Churning?—◆Hugette Sun, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Mina Kim, Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, DC 49 Thurs-Sun 2:50 p.m. Prediction Implications of Nonlinear MixedEffects Forest Biometric Models Estimated with a Generalized Error Structure—◆Shongming Huang, Alberta Government; Shawn X. Meng, Alberta Government; Yuqing Yang, Alberta Government GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:35 p.m. Robust Technological Clusters in Italy—◆Luigi Biggeri, Italian National Statistical Institute; Matilde Bini, University of Florence; Margherita Velucchi, Università di Firenze Special Presentation 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 2:50 p.m. Made in Italy Firms Competitiveness: A Multilevel Longitudinal Approach—◆Margherita Velucchi, Università di Firenze; Matilde Bini, University of Florence; Tiziana Laureti, University of Naples 40 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Data Analysis of Retail Banking Transactions Combined with Geographic Information—◆Wenjun Yin, IBM; Li Xia, IBM China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Jin Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory Forecasting of Intermittent Demand Series— Micheal J. Leonard, SAS Institute Inc.; ◆D. Bruce Elsheimer, SAS Institute Inc. ■ ✪ Estimation Issues in Surveys of Employment, Income, Inflation, and Health-Related Costs—Contributed CC-148 Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Art Kendall, Consultant 2:05 p.m. Response Analysis Survey: Examining Reasons for Employment Differences Between the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages and the Current Employment Statistics Survey—◆Kristin Fairman, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Maggie Applebaum, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Polly Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chris Manning, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:20 p.m. Application of Piecewise Quadratic Density Estimator to OES Wage Data—◆Teresa E. Hesley, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Martha Duff, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:35 p.m. Getting to the Top: Reaching Wealthy Respondents in the SCF—◆Arthur B. Kennickell, Federal Reserve Board 2:50 p.m. The Effect of Late-Filed Returns on Population Estimates: A Comparative Analysis—◆Brian Raub, IRS; Cynthia Belmonte, IRS; Paul Arnsberger, IRS; Melissa Ludlum, IRS 3:05 p.m. An Analysis of e-Commerce and American Consumers—◆Ephraim Okoro, Howard University; Mohammad Quasem, Howard University 3:20 p.m. Employment Disability and Health-Related Costs: The Consumer Expenditure Survey and Other National Surveys—◆Gary G. Huang, ICF Macro International 3:35 p.m. An Investigation on Response Rate for Best Survey Estimates of Inflation Expectations—◆Turknur Hamsici, Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey 50 ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University 4:05 p.m. Before Your Very Eyes: Visually Unraveling the Mysteries of High-Dimensional Data— ◆Antony Unwin, Uni Augsburg 4:50 p.m. A Problem That Is Cracking: Methods for Complex, High-Dimensional Data—◆David Banks, Duke University 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 39 JSM 2009 CC-207B Introductory Overview Lecture: Largely About Largeness: Models and Views for High-Dimensional Data—Other Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 41 CC-144A Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Nonstatistics Graduate Students—Invited ■ Section on Statistical Education, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Chair(s): Joe Fred Gonzalez, Jr., National Center for Health Statistics 4:05 p.m. Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Researchers in Nursing—◆Byron J. Gajewski, The University of Kansas 4:30 p.m. Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Students in Epidemiology and Public Health—◆Dalene K. Stangl, Duke University 4:55 p.m. Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Marketing and Business Students—◆Greg Allenby, The Ohio State University 5:20 p.m. Evolution of Teaching Bayesian Statistics to Nonstatisticians: A Case Study—◆Wesley O. Johnson, University of California, Irvine; Jessica M. Utts, University of California, Irvine 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CC-209A 44 CC-209C ■ Recent Advances in the Applications and Theory of Spline Smoothing—Invited ■ Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Lijian Yang, Michigan State University Chair(s): Lijian Yang, Michigan State University JCGS-Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine Chair(s): David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine 4:05 p.m. 4:30 p.m. Bilinear Varying-Coefficient Surface Models with an Application to Death Counts—◆Brian D. Marx, Louisiana State University Simultaneous Confidence Band for Nonlinear Additive Autoregression Model via Spline-Backfitted Spline Smoothing—◆Qiongxia Song, Michigan State University; Lijian Yang, Michigan State University 4:55 p.m. Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Penalized Spline Estimators—◆Tatyana Krivobokova, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen; Thomas Kneib, Ludwig-Maximilains-Universitaet Muenchen; Gerda Claeskens, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven 5:20 p.m. Disc: Li (Lily) Wang, The University of Georgia 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 43 CC-102B Issues and Challenges in Dichotomizing Continuous Variables in Clinical Trials—Invited ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Steven Snapinn, Amgen, Inc. Chair(s): Tom Uryniak, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 4:05 p.m. Issues and Challenges in Dichotomizing Continuous Variables in Clinical Trials—◆Qi Jiang, Amgen, Inc.; Ivan S.F. Chan, Merck & Co., Inc. 4:30 p.m. The Use of Responder Analyses in Regulatory Guidance and Professional Society Guidelines— ◆Leonard Oppenheimer, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Zhongxin (John) Zhang, Johnson & Johnson PRD 4:55 p.m. The Impact of Dichotomization on the Power to Assess a Treatment Effect—Valerii V. Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline; ◆Chi-hse Teng, Amylin Pharmaceutical Inc. 5:20 p.m. Disc: Lisa M. LaVange, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Recent Computational Advances for Computer Models Published in JCGS—Invited 4:05 p.m. Fast Statistical Surrogates for Dynamical 3D Computer Models of Brain Tumor—◆Dorin Drignei, Oakland University 4:55 p.m. Emulator-Based Model Calibration for High-Dimensional Data—◆Jonathan Rougier, University of Bristol 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 45 CC-101 ■ ✪ The Issue of High Dimensionality and Missing Data in Complex Epidemiological Studies—Invited Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biopharmaceutical Section, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Samiran Sinha, Texas A&M University Chair(s): Clifford Spiegelman, Texas A&M University 4:05 p.m. Estimating and Ranking the Impact of HighDimensional Environmental Risk Factors in Environmental Epidemiology Studies— ◆Nicholas P. Jewell, University of California, Berkeley 4:30 p.m. Missing Covariates in Relative Risk Regression with Current Status Data—Zhiguo Li, University of Michigan; ◆Bin Nan, University of Michigan 4:55 p.m. Adjusting for Complex Sampling in Cohort Studies—◆Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health; Matthew Austin, Harvard School of Public Health 5:20 p.m. The Analysis of Retrospective Family Studies— ◆John Neuhaus, University of California, San Francisco; Alastair Scott, University of Auckland; Chris Wild, University of Auckland 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 51 Thurs-Sun 42 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 46 CC-150A 48 CC-155 Handling Survey Case Weights in Model-Based Methods—Invited Large Systems of Accounts and Time Series: Methods and Practice—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Michael Elliott, University of Michigan Chair(s): Sonya Vartivarian, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis Chair(s): Estela Bee Dagum, University of Bologna 4:05 p.m. A Modeler’s Perspective on Survey Weights— ◆Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan 4:30 p.m. Accounting for Complex Sample Designs via Mixture Models—◆Michael Elliott, University of Michigan 4:55 p.m. Power-Shrinkage: An Alternative Method for Dealing with Excessive Weights—◆Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University; Naihua Duan, Columbia University; Chih-nan Chen, Cambridge Health Alliance/Harvard Medical School; Margarita Alegria, Harvard Medical School 5:20 p.m. Disc: Andrew Gelman, Columbia University 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 47 CC-144B Data Display for Large Complex Data Sets— Invited Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Social Statistics Section, SSC, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): William S. Cleveland, Purdue University Chair(s): Leland Wilkinson, University of Illinois at Chicago 4:05 p.m. Network and System Visualization in Swift-3D and LiveRAC—◆Stephen C. North, AT&T Labs - Research; Eleftherios C. Koutsofios, AT&T Labs - Research 4:35 p.m. Distributed Computing and the Visualization of Huge Data Sets—◆Lee Edlefsen, REvolution Computing, Inc. 5:05 p.m. Visualization Databases for the Analysis of Large Complex Data Sets—◆Saptarshi Guha, Purdue University; William S. Cleveland, Purdue University 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 52 JSM 2009 ■ ✪ Reconciling 4:05 p.m. Reconciliation and Balancing of Accounts and Time Series: From Concepts to a SAS Procedure— ◆Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada; Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada 4:35 p.m. The Compilation of European Quarterly Sector Accounts and Supply, Use, and Input-Output Tables—◆Roberto Barcellan, European Commission - Eurostat 5:05 p.m. Reconciling the System of National Accounts for the US and Estimation of Structural Distribution of the Statistical Discrepancy—◆Baoline Chen, Bureau of Economic Analysis 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 49 ■ ✪ Setting CC-202A Particulate Matter Air Policy Standards: From Statistical Evidence to Federal Policy—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University 4:05 p.m. Statistical Approaches to Quantifying and Checking the Health Effects of Particulate Air Pollution— ◆Scott Zeger, Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, Johns Hopkins University; Roger D. Peng, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 4:35 p.m. Spatial-Temporal Association Between Daily Mortality and Exposure to Ozone and Particulate Matter Using Geocoded Mortality Data—◆Montserrat Fuentes, North Carolina State University; Eric Kalendra, North Carolina State University; Marie Lynn Miranda, Duke University; Benjamin Strauss, Duke University 4:55 p.m. Meta-Analyses, Multi-City Studies, Risk, and Benefit-Cost Analyses for the PM NAAQS— ◆Bryan Hubbell, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 5:20 p.m. Disc: Michelle L. Bell, Yale University 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel ■ ✪ Experiences CC-203A 52 of Women Statisticians in the Pharmaceutical Industry, Private Consulting, and University Settings with Special Emphasis on Studies of Women’s Health—Invited Committee on Women in Statistics, Biopharmaceutical Section, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Marian R. Fisher, University of Wisconsin-Madison 4:05 p.m. From a Number Cruncher to Executive Management—◆Aarti S. Shah, Eli Lilly and Company 4:30 p.m. Innovations in the Field of Drug Development: From Path Analysis, Benefit-Risk Assessment to Adaptive Trial Design—◆Yili L. Pritchett, Abbott Laboratories 4:55 p.m. WISE Women and WISE Statisticians—◆Sheryl F. Kelsey, University of Pittsburgh 5:20 p.m. Disc: Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative, Inc. 5:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 51 CC-204C Recent Advances in High-Dimensional Sparse Inference—Invited ENAR, SSC, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Jinchi Lv, University of Southern California Chair(s): Hui Zou, University of Minnesota Imaging Analysis—Invited CC-206 IMS Organizer(s): Peihua Qiu, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Snigdhansu Chatterjee, The University of Minnesota 4:05 p.m. Multiscale Adaptive Regression Models for Imaging Data—◆Hongtu Zhu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yimei Li, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Dinggang Shen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 4:30 p.m. Blind Image Deblurring Using Jump Regression Analysis—◆Peihua Qiu, The University of Minnesota; Chen Xing, The University of Minnesota 4:55 p.m. Smoothing Dynamic Positron Emission Tomography Time Courses Using Functional Principal Components—◆John Aston, University of Warwick; Ci-Ren Jiang, University of California, Davis; Jane-Ling Wang, University of California, Davis 5:20 p.m. Computational Functional Anatomy—◆Anqi Qiu, National University of Singapore 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 53 Le Cam Lecture—Invited CC-207A IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington 4:05 p.m. Using the Bootstrap to Quantify the Authority of an Empirical Ranking—◆Peter G. Hall, The University of Melbourne 4:30 p.m. Penalized Bregman Divergence for Large Dimensional Regression and Classification— ◆Chunming Zhang, University of Wisconsin-Madison 4:05 p.m. 4:55 p.m. Large Sample Asymptotics for the Dantzig Selector and Extensions—◆Lee Dicker, Harvard University; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health Some Frequentist Results on Posterior Distributions on Infinite-Dimensional Parameter Spaces— ◆Aad van der Vaart, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion 5:20 p.m. A Unified Approach to Model Selection and Sparse Recovery Using Regularized Least Squares— ◆Jinchi Lv, University of Southern California; Yingying Fan, University of Southern California 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 53 Thurs-Sun 50 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 54 Theoretical and Practical Application of Traditional and Accelerated Titration (AT) Phase I Clinical Trial Designs: The Wayne State University Experience—Elisabeth I. Heath, Karmanos Cancer Institute; Patricia M. LoRusso, Karmanos Cancer Institute; S. Percy Ivy, National Cancer Institute; Larry Rubinstein, National Cancer Institute; Michaele C. Christian, National Cancer Institute; ◆Lance K. Heilbrun, Karmanos Cancer Institute 5:05 p.m. Current Issues in Oncology Drug Development, with a Focus on Phase II Trials—◆Terry Hyslop, Thomas Jefferson University; Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic; Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan 5:25 p.m. Design of Phase II Cancer Trials for Evaluation of Cytostatic/Cytotoxic Agents—◆Masha Kocherginsky, The University of Chicago; Ezra Cohen, The University of Chicago; Theodore Karrison, The University of Chicago 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-102A Evaluation of Different Biomarker Development Strategies from a Benefit-Cost Ratio Perspective—Topic-Contributed Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Terry Hyslop, Thomas Jefferson University Chair(s): Scott W. Keith, Thomas Jefferson University 4:05 p.m. Evaluation of Different Biomarker Development Strategies from a Benefit-Cost Ratio Perspective— ◆Yang Song, Merck Research Laboratories; Cong Chen, Merck Research Laboratories 4:25 p.m. Dose-Finding Designs in Pediatric Oncology Trials: Safety and Accuracy Considerations—◆Arzu Onar-Thomas, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital; Zang Xiong, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital Opening Mixer Sunday, August 2 8:00 p.m. – 10:30 p.m. Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Grand Ballroom Sponsored by 54 4:45 p.m. JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Consortium of Sections Student Paper Awards—Topic-Contributed CC-149B 57 Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Mansour Fahimi, Marketing Systems Group Chair(s): Mary Gray, American University 4:05 p.m. Using Multivariate Spatial Statistics in the Modeling of Rate-Based Diffusion Processes: An Extension and Replication of Cohen and Tita—◆Jeremy R. Porter, Rice University 4:25 p.m. Extended Bootstrap Bias Corrections with Application to Multilevel Modeling of Sample Survey Data Under Informative Sampling—◆Solange T. Correa, Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics 4:45 p.m. Adaptive Hierarchical Bayes Estimation of Small-Area Proportions—◆Benmei Liu, University of Maryland 5:05 p.m. The Prior Selection and Approximations for the Nested Error Regression Model: Estimation of Finite Population Mean for Small Areas—◆Santanu Pramanik, NORC at the University of Chicago 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 56 Adaptive Dose-Finding Studies— Topic-Contributed Advances in the Use of Statistical Methodology in the Legal Setting— Topic-Contributed CC-202B Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Weiwen Miao, Haverford College Chair(s): Weiwen Miao, Haverford College 4:05 p.m. Robust Peters-Belson–Type Estimators of Measures of Disparity and Their Applications in Employment Discrimination Cases—◆Hiro Hikawa, The George Washington University; Efstathia Bura, The George Washington University/Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University 4:25 p.m. Advance in the Use of Statistical Methodology in the Legal Setting—◆Thomas H. Cohen, Bureau of Justice Statistics; Michael D. Sinclair, Bureau of Justice Statistics 4:45 p.m. How Accurate Are the Power Calculations Relied on by the SEC in Its Regulatory Deliberations?— ◆Efstathia Bura, The George Washington University/ Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University 5:05 p.m. Causal Effects of Immutable Characteristics— ◆D. James Greiner, Harvard Law School; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 5:25 p.m. Advance in the Use of Statistical Methodology in the Legal Setting—◆William Sabol, Bureau of Justice Statistics 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Frank Bretz, Norvartis, Switzerland Chair(s): Christy Chuang-Stein, Pfizer Inc. 4:05 p.m. Adaptive Dose-Ranging Studies: An Update from the PhRMA Working Group—◆Jose C. Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 4:25 p.m. Contributions of different design components to the efficiency of an adaptive design in dose ranging studies—◆Vladimir Dragalin, Wyeth Research 4:45 p.m. Response Adaptive Dose-Finding Under Model Uncertainty—◆Bjoern Bornkamp, Dortmund University of Technology 5:05 p.m. Adaptive Dose-Ranging Study Design to Balance Both Clinical and Operational Considerations— ◆Judith Quinlan, Cytel, Inc. 5:25 p.m. Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, FDA 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-150B ■ 58 ■ ✪ Statistical CC-143C Topics in the Defense Industry— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Myron J. Katzoff, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Allan T. Mense, Raytheon Missile Systems 4:05 p.m. Adaptive Design for Bio/Chem Detector Test and Evaluation—◆C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University 4:25 p.m. Families Under Stress: An assessment of data on marriage and divorce in the Military—◆Beth Ann Griffin, RAND Corporation; John S. Crown, RAND Corporation; Benjamin R. Karney, University of California, Los Angeles 4:45 p.m. Optimal Experimental Designs for Accelerated Life Tests with Censoring and Constraints— ◆Eric Monroe, Intel Corporation 5:05 p.m. Design and Analysis of Binary Output Computer Validation Experiments—◆Patrick S. Chapin, Iowa State University Washington, DC 55 Thurs-Sun 55 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 5:25 p.m. 5:45 p.m. Fitting Univariate Probability Density Functions to Small Data Sets—◆Jerry L. Alderman, Raytheon Missile Systems; William C. Thomas, Raytheon Missile Systems Floor Discussion 59 CC-209B ■ ✪ New Research in Spatial and Environmental Statistics—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research Chair(s): Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines 4:05 p.m. 4:25 p.m. 4:45 p.m. 60 CC-149A Overview of Recent Statistical and Methodological Research in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS)— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Trena M. Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality Chair(s): Trena M. Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 4:05 p.m. Fast Calibration of Complex Computer Models— ◆Matthew T. Pratola, Simon Fraser University; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University Investigation of Alternative Sampling Procedures for the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey—Robert M. Baskin, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; ◆Steven Machlin, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; William Yu, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 4:25 p.m. Hierarchical Spatial Random Effects Model for HighResolution Data from Regional Climate Models— ◆Emily Lei Kang, The Ohio State University; Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research Evaluation of Design Effects for Selected Estimates in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey—◆David Kashihara, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Marc Zodet, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 4:45 p.m. Assessment and Evaluation of Nonresponse Error in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey— ◆Lap-Ming Wun, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Trena M. Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; David Kashihara, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 5:05 p.m. Event Reporting in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) by Event Type—◆Frederick Rohde, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 5:25 p.m. Comparison of Fractional Weighted Imputation and Multiple Imputations for Inpatient Hospital Care Expenditures in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey—◆Robert M. Baskin, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; Robert E. Fay, Westat, Inc.; Trena M. Ezzati-Rice, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Spatial Temporal Data Analysis via Reproducing Kernel Regularization—◆Javier González Hernández, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid; Alberto Muñoz García, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research 5:05 p.m. Putting Citizen Science to Work: Hierarchical Modeling, Data Mining, High-Dimensional MCMC, and the eBird Database—◆Benjamin Shaby, Cornell University 5:25 p.m. Joint Inference for Multivariate Climate Model Data—◆Steven Geinitz, Colorado School of Mines; Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 61 ✪ Recent CC-158B Advances in Bayesian Methods in Spatio-Temporal Models—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Ananda Majumadar, Arizona State University Chair(s): Dipak K. Dey, University of Connecticut 4:05 p.m. 56 JSM 2009 Mapping Health Data Using ZIP Code in a Spatial-Temporally Misaligned Setting— ◆Li Zhu, Texas A&M Health Science Center; Lance A. Waller, Emory University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 4:25 p.m. 4:45 p.m. Using Stochastic Differential Equations in Spatio-Temporal Modeling—◆Gavino Puggioni, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 5:05 p.m. Inferring Likelihoods and Climate System Characteristics from Climate Models and Spatio-Temporal Tracer Data—◆K. Sham Bhat, Penn State University; Murali Haran, Penn State University; Klaus Keller, Penn State University; Roman Tonkonojenkov, Penn State University 5:25 p.m. A Generalized Convolution Model for Multivariate Nonstationary Spatial Processes—◆Anandamayee Majumdar, Arizona State University; Debashis Paul, University of California, Davis; Dianne Bautista, The Ohio State University 5:45 p.m. 63 Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat Chair(s): Pablo M. Pincheira, Central Bank of Chile 4:05 p.m. A Joint Dynamic Bi-Factor Model of the Yield Curve and the Economy as a Predictor of Business Cycles—Marcelle Chauvet, University of California, Riverside; ◆Zeynep Senyuz, University of New Hampshire 4:25 p.m. Are There Common Upswings and Downswings Between NAFTA Countries?—◆Shushanik Papanyan, The University of Texas at Arlington 4:45 p.m. Obtaining Early Signals About US Recessions: An Application of a New and Efficient Multivariate Real-Time Filter—◆Marc Wildi, Institute of Data Analysis and Process Design 5:05 p.m. Structural VAR-Based Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap: Theoretical Considerations and Empirical Evidences—◆Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat; James Mitchell, National Institute of Economic and Social Research; Filippo Moauro, Eurostat 5:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 62 CC-158A Student Paper Competition: Bayesian Modeling and Posterior Consistency— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida Chair(s): Veera Baladandayuthapani, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 4:05 p.m. 4:25 p.m. 4:45 p.m. Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification for Flows in Heterogeneous Subsurfaces Using Multiscale, Multidimensional Models—◆Anirban Mondal, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Yalchin Efendiev, Texas A&M University; Akhil Datta-Gupta, Texas A&M University Benchmarking Finite Population Means Using a Bayesian Regression (Student Paper Competitions)—◆Ma Criselda S. Toto, Worcester Polytechnic Institute; Balgobin Nandram, Medical College of Georgia Bayesian Changepoint Analysis with Application to Atomic Force Microscopy and Soft Material Indentation—◆Daniel Rudoy, Harvard University 5:05 p.m. Bayesian Inference on Dependence in Multivariate Longitudinal Data—◆Hongxia Yang, Duke University; David Dunson, Duke University 5:25 p.m. Posterior Consistency for Some Semiparametric Problems—◆Yuefeng Wu, North Carolina State University 5:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-157 Multivariate Statistical Methods for Business Cycle Analysis—Topic-Contributed Contributed Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 64 Survival Analysis and Joint Modeling— Contributed CC-204B Biometrics Section Chair(s): Mary Sammel, University of Pennsylvania 4:05 p.m. Jointly Modeling Multiple Longitudinal Measurements and Time-to-Event Data—◆Paul S. Albert, National Cancer Institute; Joanna H. Shih, National Cancer Institute 4:20 p.m. A Comparison of MMRM and Other Methods for Handling Dropouts in a Cystic Fibrosis Clinical Trial—◆Tao Song, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Abdul J. Sankoh, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Qunming Dong, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Cynthia M. DeSouza, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 4:35 p.m. Simulation Study of a Joint Modeling Approach to Assess the Potential Effect of Biomarker Variability on Clinical Outcomes—◆Feng Gao, Washington University in St. Louis; Philip Miller, Washington University in St. Louis; Mae Gordon, Washington University in St. Louis; Chengjie Xiong, Washington University Washington, DC 57 Thurs-Sun Kernel-Based Models for Space-Time Data— ◆Catherine Calder, The Ohio State University; Tao Shi, The Ohio State University; Candace Berrett, The Ohio State University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 4:50 p.m. 5:05 p.m. 5:20 p.m. 5:35 p.m. Frailty Models with Nonparametric Additive Covariate Functions—◆Zhangsheng Yu, Indiana University School of Medicine; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health Simultaneous Analysis of Survival Time with Cox Proportional Hazards Model and Longitudinal Outcomes with Generalized Linear Mixed Model— ◆Jaeun Choi, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianwen Cai, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill A Comparison of Multiple Imputation and Inverse Probability Weighted Estimation for Survival Analysis with Missing Covariates—Lihong Qi, University of California, Davis; ◆Ying-Fang Wang, University of California, Davis; Yulei He, Harvard Medical School Longitudinal Bayesian Analysis of Self-Reported Noisy Count Data—◆Jihey Lee, University of California, Los Angeles; Robert E. Weiss, University of California, Los Angeles 65 General Methodology I—Contributed CC-204A 66 Miscellaneous Theory II—Contributed CC-208A IMS Chair(s): Frank Jian Guo, University of Michigan 4:05 p.m. Stirling’s Formula and Its Extensions: Heuristic Approaches—◆Debanjan Bhattacharjee, University of Connecticut 4:20 p.m. On Hilbert C*-module-Valued Random Variables— ◆Khalil Shafie, University of Northern Colorado 4:35 p.m. Robust Improper ML for Finite Location-Scale Mixtures—◆Pietro Coretto, University of Salerno; Christian Hennig, University College London 4:50 p.m. Modeling Nonhomogeneous Poisson Process with a Periodic or Almost Periodic Intensity Function— ◆Nan Shao, University of California, Riverside; Keh-Shin Lii, University of California, Riverside 5:05 p.m. Polya Processes with Random Additions: The Geometric Case—◆Srinivasan Balaji, The George Washington University 5:20 p.m. Time Series Central Mean Subspace—◆Jin-Hong Park, College of Charleston 5:35 p.m. On the Transmuted Weibull Probability Distribution—◆Gokarna R. Aryal, Purdue University Calumet Biometrics Section Chair(s): James Godbold, Mount Sinai School of Medicine Causal Effect Model Using Matching Methods in Fisher’s Experiment Design and Rubin’s Causal Model with Small Participants in a Control Group in Quasi-Experimental Data—◆Gideon D. Bahn, Loyola University Chicago; Kathleen Ruroede, Marianjoy Wheaton Franciscan Healthcare 67 4:20 p.m. Hypothesis Testing for Equivalence Defined on Symmetric Open Intervals—◆Daniel M. Ennis, The Institute for Perception; John Ennis, The Institute for Perception 4:05 p.m. 4:35 p.m. Asymptotic and Approximate Distributions of Quadratic Form Statistics for Multilocus Association Test—◆Liping Tong, Loyola University Chicago Optimal Two-Stage Sequential Design for Case-Control Genetic Association Studies— ◆Lihan K. Yan, The George Washington University; Aiyi Liu, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Zhaohai Li, The George Washington University; Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 4:50 p.m. Composite Likelihood in Haplotype Sequence Data—Bruce G. Lindsay, Penn State University; ◆Jianping Sun, Penn State University 4:20 p.m. Estimation of Lifetime Distribution When Censoring Is Missing—◆Jiantian Wang, Kean University 4:35 p.m. China in the World Economy: Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Business Cycles—◆Jarko Fidrmuc, University of Munich; Iikka Korhonen, Bank of Finland; Ivana Batorova, Comenius University Bratislava 4:50 p.m. How Is Randomization Going in China?— ◆Wei Li, Peking Union Medical College 5:05 p.m. The Information in One Prior Relative to Another— ◆Gun Ho Jang, University of Toronto; Michael Evans, University of Toronto 5:20 p.m. Application of Bayesian Statistics in Medical Device Clinical Trials—◆Tao Xu, Peking Union Medical College; Wei Li, Peking Union Medical College 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 4:05 p.m. 5:05 p.m. Fiducial Inference for a Function of Parameters: Binomial and Poisson Cases—◆Meesook Lee, University of Louisiana-Lafayette; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana-Lafayette 5:20 p.m. Confidence Regions for Parameters of Linear Models—◆Andrew Rukhin, National Institute of Standards and Technology 5:35 p.m. 58 All-Pairwise Comparisons Under Unequal Error Variances—◆Hong Li, Bowling Green State University JSM 2009 ■ CC-143A Statistics and Its Interface—Contributed International Chinese Statistical Association Chair(s): Zhaohai Li, The George Washington University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Nonparametric Methods Based on the Bootstrap—Contributed CC-208B 4:35 p.m. On the Importance and Measurement of Pre-Service Teachers’ Efficacy to Teach Statistics: Results and Lessons Learned from the Development and Testing of a GAISE-Based Instrument—◆Rebecca L. Pierce, Ball State University; Leigh M. Harrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Alejandra Sorto, Texas State University; Teri J. Murphy, Northern Kentucky University; Felicity B. Enders, Mayo Clinic; Lawrence M. Lesser, The University of Texas at El Paso; Randall E. Groth, Salisbury University 4:50 p.m. Statistical Education: Same Challenge, Different Perspective—◆Alan Albright, University of Memphis 5:05 p.m. Honors Introductory Statistics with Student-Led Seminars—◆Nancy Pfenning, University of Pittsburgh 5:20 p.m. Telling the Story to Learn the Statistics— ◆A. John Bailer, Miami University; Richard Campbell, Miami University 5:35 p.m. Automated Individual Student Assessment System—◆Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University 4:05 p.m. 4:20 p.m. On the Estimation of Nonparametric Correlation Coefficients for Clustered Data—◆Allison M. Deal, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haitao Chu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Bert O’Neil, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Assessment of Uncertainty of Nonparametric Median Regression Estimators with Applications to Protein Lysate Arrays—◆Xingdong Feng, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Xuming He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Jianhua Hu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 4:35 p.m. Observed Confidence Levels for Principal Component Analysis—◆Alan M. Polansky, Northern Illinois University 4:50 p.m. The Kernel Reweighting Bootstrap for Spatial Processes—◆Kristofer Jennings, Purdue University 5:05 p.m. Estimation of Shift Based on Smoothed Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistics—◆Feridun Tasdan, Western Illinois University 5:20 p.m. Saddlepoint-Based Bootstrap Inference About Smoothing Parameters in Nonparametric and Semiparametric Spline Models—◆Robert Paige, Missouri University of Science and Technology; Alex Trindade, Texas Tech University 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 69 Assessing Students—Contributed CC-143B Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Soma Roy, Cal Poly 4:05 p.m. 4:20 p.m. A Discussion of Open-Book and Closed-Book Exams on Student Achievement in an Introductory Probability and Statistics Course—◆Robert M. Block, U.S. Air Force Academy Does Learning to Think Statistically = Learning to Confront Ambiguity? Evidence from Two Schools— ◆Robert H. Carver, Stonehill College; Carolyn P. Dobler, Gustavus Adolphus College 70 CC-160 Advances in Marketing Research Methods— Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing Chair(s): Ty Henderson, The University of Texas at Austin 4:05 p.m. Predictive Model Evaluation: Basic rules for the marketer—◆Sam Koslowsky, Harte Hanks 4:20 p.m. Identification and Isolation of Scale Usage Effects in Segmentation Analyses—◆Frank Hedler, MarketTools; Norbert Wirth, MarketTools; Dimitri Liakhovitski, MarketTools 4:35 p.m. Implicit Regression Modeling in Supercritical Pitchfork Bifurcation Approach—◆Stan Lipovetsky, GfK Custom Research North America 4:50 p.m. Direct-Marketing Models Based on Unknowingly Biased Campaign Files—◆Hye-Kyoung Kim, Intellidyn Corp.; Dmitri V. Kuznetsov, Intellidyn Corp. 5:05 p.m. Estimating the Customer’s Wallet: An Empirical Bayes Approach—◆Siu-Tong Au, AT&T Labs Research; Changxuan Mao, AT&T Labs - Research 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 59 Thurs-Sun 68 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 71 CC-144C Data Confidentiality, Data Frames, and Variance Estimates—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Frank Potter, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 4:05 p.m. Toward Quantifying Disclosure Risk for Area-Level Tables When Public Microdata Exists—◆Tom Krenzke, Westat, Inc.; David Hubble, Westat, Inc. 4:20 p.m. Measures of Data Utility for Complex Survey Data—◆Kyu-Seong Kim, University of Seoul 4:35 p.m. Investigation of Variance Properties of NoiseInfused Estimates for the Survey of Business Owners—◆Irene Brown, U.S. Census Bureau; Marilyn Balogh, U.S. Census Bureau; Anthony Caruso, U.S. Census Bureau; Beth Schlein, U.S. Census Bureau; Katherine J. Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau 4:50 p.m. 5:05 p.m. 5:20 p.m. 5:35 p.m. Data and Metadata from the Terminological Perspective—◆Daniel W. Gillman, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Frank Farance, Farance Inc. GeoFrameTM: A Technological Advancement in Field Enumeration (Part 2)—◆Joseph P. McMichael, RTI International; Brian Evans, RTI International; Leslie Athey, RTI International General Discrete-Data Modeling Methods for Producing Synthetic Data with Reduced Reidentification Risk That Preserve Analytic Properties—◆William E. Winkler, U.S. Census Bureau 5:05 p.m. An Efficient Computational Tool to Detect Genotyping Errors in an Arbitrary Complex Pedigree—◆Lan Zhu, Oklahoma State University 5:20 p.m. A Dirichlet Process Model for Changes in the fMRI Visual Field Map—◆Raymond G. Hoffmann, Medical College of Wisconsin; Pippa Simpson, Medical College of Wisconsin; Daniel B. Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 73 ■ ✪ Harmful Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): Aleka Kapatou, Consultant 4:05 p.m. On the Identifiability Issues in PhysiologicallyBased Toxicokinetics (PBTK) Models—◆Munni Begum, Ball State University 4:20 p.m. Decomposition Techniques in the Application of Pesticide Exposure—◆David Diez, University of California, Los Angeles 4:35 p.m. Bayesian Approaches for Simultaneous Estimation of BMD with Multiple Chemicals and Multiple Endpoints—◆Epiphanie Nyirabahizi, Virginia Commonwealth University; Edward L. Boone, Virginia Commonwealth University; Chris Gennings, Virginia Commonwealth University 4:50 p.m. Comparison of Methods to Predict Radiation Dose—◆Sally W. Thurston, University of Rochester; Jacqueline P. Williams, University of Rochester 5:05 p.m. Analysis of Risks and Benefits of Malaria Antibody Testing of Blood Donations in the United States— ◆Hong Yang, FDA; Mark O. Walderhaug, FDA; Richard A. Forshee, FDA; Steven A. Anderson, FDA 5:20 p.m. Stable Isotope Sourcing Using Sampling—◆Erik B. Erhardt, University of New Mexico; Edward Bedrick, University of New Mexico 5:35 p.m. Inference Concerning the Negative Binomial Dispersion Parameter with Applications to Tumor Data—◆Krishna K. Saha, Central Connecticut State University; Sudhir R. Paul, University of Windsor Floor Discussion 72 CC-142 Recent Advances in Computational Statistical Modeling—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Jarad Niemi, Duke University Substances—Contributed CC-153 4:05 p.m. RE-EM Trees: A New Data Mining Approach to Longitudinal Data—◆Rebecca J. Sela, New York University; Jeffrey S. Simonoff, New York University 4:20 p.m. Wrapped Around KS--Type Statistics—◆Huiyu Qian, Lehigh University; Wei-Min Huang, Lehigh University; Bennett Eisenberg, Lehigh University 4:35 p.m. Distribution of Clump Statistics for a Collection of Words—◆Deidra A. Coleman, North Carolina State University; Donald E.K. Martin, North Carolina State University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Jennifer Van Mullekom, DuPont 4:50 p.m. Random Hypergraph Projection for Text Processing—◆Elizabeth L. Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center; David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center 4:05 p.m. 60 JSM 2009 74 ■ CC-141 Applications and Case Studies—Contributed Stochastic Analysis and Characterization of Roller Measurement Values in a Test Bed—◆Daniel Heersink, Colorado School of Mines GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Using Haar Wavelets and Order Recurrence Plots (ORPs) to Statistically Assess Gait Fatigue— ◆Kristin D. Morgan, Virginia Commonwealth University; Carolyn B. Morgan, Hampton University; Peter Pidcoe, Virginia Commonwealth University; Morris H. Morgan, Hampton University 4:35 p.m. Testing the Equality of Regression Coefficients Under Multicollinearity—◆Fransell C. Riley, The University of Texas at Arlington; Chien-Pai Han, The University of Texas at Arlington 4:50 p.m. Inference and Diagnostics in Nonlinear Structural Equation Models with Applications in Neuroimaging—◆Klaus K. Holst, University of Copenhagen; Esben Budtz-Jørgensen, University of Copenhagen 5:05 p.m. Optimal Monitoring Design for Computer Network Traffic—◆Joel Vaughan, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan; Stilian Stoev, University of Michigan 5:20 p.m. A Bayesian Model for Assessment of Sulfur in Diesel Fuel at Ultra-Low Levels—◆William F. Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Technology; W. Robert Kelly, National Institute of Standards and Technology 5:35 p.m. A Risk-Adjusted O-E CUSUM with a V-Mask for Monitoring Medical Outcomes—◆Rena Jie Sun, University of Michigan; John D. Kalbfleisch, University of Michigan 75 Thurs-Sun 4:20 p.m. CC-148 Applications in Clustered Data, Risk Assessment, and Health Surveys—Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics Chair(s): Yulei He, Harvard Medical School 4:05 p.m. Analysis of Dyadic Data—◆Joseph C. Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc. 4:20 p.m. Power Analysis of Cutoff-Based Designs for Group Randomized Trials—◆Michael Pennell, The Ohio State University; Erinn Hade, The Ohio State University; David M. Murray, The Ohio State University; Dale Rhoda, Battelle Memorial Institute 4:35 p.m. A History of Supplements on the National Health Interview Survey—◆Brenda LaRochelle, CDC; Susan Jack, National Center for Health Statistics Washington, DC 61 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 4:50 p.m. 5:20 p.m. 5:35 p.m. 76 ■ A Comparison of Tree-Based Methods with Logistic Regression to Classify Cardiovascular Disease Risk—◆Layla Parast, Harvard University; Latha Palaniappan, Palo Alto Medical Foundation; Helena Kraemer, Stanford University; Michael Pencina, Boston University; Ralph D’Agostino, Boston University Effect of Electronic Prescribing on Medication Error Rates: A Comparison of Poisson Regression Methods—◆Yolanda Barrón, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; Lisa Kern, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; Erika Abramson, Weill Medical College of Cornell University; Alison Edwards; Rainu Kaushal, Weill Medical College of Cornell University Different Models in Analyzing Correlated Binary Outcomes and the Impact on Power—◆Qing Pan, The George Washington University Bayesian Biostatistics—Contributed CC-159B Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Robin Jeffries, University of California, Los Angeles 4:05 p.m. A Bayesian Generalized Non-Linear Predictive Model of Treatment Efficacy Using qMRI— ◆Jincao Wu, University of Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan 4:20 p.m. fMRI Meta-Analysis via Bayesian Spatial Point Processes—◆Jian Kang, University of Michigan; Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan; Thomas E. Nichols, GlaxoSmithKline; Tor D. Wager, Columbia University 4:35 p.m. 4:50 p.m. Bayesian Prescribing Model for Cox-2 Selective NSAIDS—◆Margaret R. Stedman, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; M. Alan Brookhart, Brigham and Women’s Hospital/Harvard Medical School Estimating and Projecting Trends in HIV/AIDS Generalized Epidemics Using Incremental Mixture Importance Sampling—◆Le Bao, University of Washington; Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington 5:05 p.m. Identify Misspecified Gestational Ages in Pre-Term Babies with Bayesian Mixture Models—◆Guangyu Zhang, University of Maryland; Jennifer D. Parker, National Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics; Dan Liao, University of Maryland; Hoda Hammad, University of Maryland 5:20 p.m. Combining Inexactly-Matched Data Sets to Analyze End-of-Life Medical Costs—◆Roee Gutman, Harvard University; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School 5:35 p.m. Dose-Finding in Phase I Clinical Trials with Logistic Joinpoint Regression—◆Ling Lan, Medical College of Georgia; Grzegorz A. Rempala, Medical College of Georgia 77 ■ Bayesian Theory—Contributed Thurs-Sun 5:05 p.m. A Model of the Potential Benefit of C-Reactive Protein Measurement in Primary Prevention for Men and Women with Intermediate Risk of Ten-Year First Coronary Heart Disease Events—◆Rongwei (Rochelle) Fu, Oregon Health & Science University; Craig Fleming, Oregon Health & Science University; Michele Freeman, Oregon Health & Science University; David Buckley, Oregon Health & Science University; Mark Helfand, Oregon Health & Science University CC-159A Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Scotland Leman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 4:05 p.m. Adaptive Bayesian Oracle Projection Estimation and Oracle Projection Convergence Rate of Posterior Distribution—◆Eduard Belitser, Utrecht University 4:20 p.m. Neutral Noninformative and Informative Gamma, Beta, and Dirichlet Conjugate Priors—◆Jouni Kerman, Novartis Pharma AG 4:35 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Population Parameter Orderings—◆Feiyi Jia, MED Institute; Gary C. McDonald, Oakland University 4:50 p.m. Simulation Pseudo-Bias Correction to the Harmonic Mean Estimator of Integrated Likelihoods—◆Peter Lenk, University of Michigan 5:05 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Vector Spline Smoothing— ◆Shawn Ni, University of Missouri; Dongchu Sun, University of Missouri 5:20 p.m. Asymptotic Confidence Intervals in Ridge Regression—◆Luis Firinguetti, Universidad del Bío Bío; Gladys Bobadilla, Univesridad de Santiago 5:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 78 CC-203B Various Topics in Clinical Trials—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Ilya A. Lipkovich, Eli Lilly and Company 4:05 p.m. Dose Reduction Profiles for Combination Drug Studies—◆John J. Peterson, GlaxoSmithKline 4:20 p.m. Assessing the Similarity of Bioanalytical Methods— ◆Jason Liao, Merck Research Laboratories Washington, DC 63 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 4:35 p.m. Testing the Stochastic Ordering of Discrete Distributions—◆Myron N. Chang, University of Florida 4:50 p.m. Constrain Estimate of Intracluster Correlation for Clustered Binary Data—◆Hrishikesh Chakraborty, RTI International; Pranab Sen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 5:05 p.m. Extension of the Beta-Binomial Model for Cluster Randomized Trials When Adjusting for Baseline— ◆Pamela A. Ohman Strickland, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey 5:20 p.m. Shelf Life Determination with Common Intercept— ◆Roswitha E. Kelly, FDA; Jinglin Zhong, FDA; Meiyu Shen, FDA 5:35 p.m. Now You See It, Now You Don’t: Impact of Population Screening Practices on Perceived Efficacy of Cancer Therapies—◆Margaret A. Au, University of Washington; Ruth Etzioni, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 79 CC-201 Multiple Trials, Multiple Comparison, and Multiple Endpoints—Contributed ■ 4:20 p.m. Combining Multiple Tests in Clinical Trials with Hierarchical Objectives—◆Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Ajit C. Tamhane, Northwestern University; Lingyun Liu, Northwestern University 4:35 p.m. Simultaneous Critical Values for t-Tests in Very High Dimensions—◆Hongyuan Cao, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 4:50 p.m. Evaluating Multiple Endpoints in Two Pivotal Trials—◆Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Sciences, Inc.; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company 5:05 p.m. An Efficient Algorithm to Determine the Optimal Two-Stage Randomized Multinomial Designs in Oncology Clinical Trials—◆Yong Zhang, University of Michigan; William L. Mietlowski, Novartis Oncology; Bee Chen, Novartis Oncology; Yibin Wang, Novartis Oncology 5:20 p.m. Overall Power for Testing Co-Primary Hypothesis with Multiple Endpoints—◆Fang Liu, Merck Research Laboratories 5:35 p.m. Extended Fallback Procedures with Clinical Trial Applications—◆Yan D. Zhao, Eli Lilly and Company; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Sciences, Inc. Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Tammy Massie , FDA 4:05 p.m. Comparison of Multiple Testing Methods in a Trial with Co-Primary Endpoints—◆Moumita Sinha, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. INTERNATIONAL INDIAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION We Invite You to Join as a Member! Please Stop by the IISA Table at JSM 2009! Visit the web site: www.stat.osu.edu/~hnn/IISA.html 64 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel monday, august 3 Tours 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Committee on Statistics in Two-Year Colleges Meeting TR05 - Welcome to Washington Tour 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. Chair(s): Mary Sullivan, Rhode Island College TR06 - The Kennedys: A Georgetown Walking Tour 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. Chair(s): Douglas Simpson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-205 Section on Health Policy Statistics Business Meeting Chair(s): Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, RAND Corporation TR08 - Monuments by Moonlight 8:00 p.m.–11:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Survey Review Committee Annual Meeting Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 19 ASA Development Committee (closed) Chair(s): Scott Evans, Harvard University 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 17 Section on Statistical Graphics Business Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Antony Unwin, Uni Augsburg 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 18 Technometrics Management Committee Business Meeting (closed) CC-157 Chair(s): Jonaki Bose, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 ASA Archives and Historical Materials Annual Committee Meeting Chair(s): John Paul Deley, Energy Information Administration 7:00 a.m.–9:00 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Social Statistics Section Executive Board Meeting Chair(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room CC-154A Chair(s): William Notz, Technometrics Management Committee 7:00 a.m.–10:00 p.m. Cyber Center 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. SPAIG Committee Meeting (closed) 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-3rd Floor West Ear Communications in Statistics Editorial Meeting (closed) RH-Meeting Room 4 Chair(s): Jai Choi, Medical College of Georgia 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-303 ASA/SIAM Book Series Management Committee (closed) Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, ASA 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 Section on Statistical Education Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Robert delMas, The University of Minnesota 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-302 Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Executive Committee Business Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense CC-East Registration Organizer(s): Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University 7:30 a.m.–9:00 a.m. CC-210 Committee on Membership Retention and Recruitment Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals/The Takeda Oncology Company 7:30 a.m.–9:00 a.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West Carnegie Mellon Alumni and Faculty Breakfast Chair(s): Margaret Smykla, Carnegie Mellon 7:30 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Congressional A Biopharmaceutical Section Executive Committee Meeting Chair(s): Anna B. Nevius, FDA Washington, DC 65 Monday TR07 - The Neighborhoods of Washington DC: Not Just the Nation’s Capital City 2:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Congressional B ASA Caucus of Academic Representatives Committee Meeting GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk 7:30 a.m.–6:00 p.m. JSM Main Registration CC-East Registration 8:00 a.m.–9:00 a.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook East COCGB ISEF Breakfast Meeting Chair(s): Theresa Utlaut, Intel Corporation 8:00 a.m.–4:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Statistics in Support of National Defense Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, ASA Chair(s): Douglas Simpson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 10:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. COCGB Executive Committee Meeting (Closed) CC-205 Chair(s): John Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 10:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West COCGB Status Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): John Boyer, Chair 10:30 a.m.–2:00 p.m. CC-302 JSM 2010 Program Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Xuming He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 12:00 p.m.–1:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 18 ASA-Pfizer-University of Connecticut Lunch Meeting: Filming of Distinguished Statisticians 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Career Placement Service CC-Hall D Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Exhibitor Lounge CC-Hall D 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. JCGS Editors’ Lunch CC-303 Chair(s): Janet Wallace, JCGS Editorial Coordinator; David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine 8:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. RH-Congressional C Advisory Committee on Continuing Education Business Meeting (closed) 12:00 p.m.–2:00 p.m. Interface Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Xiaoming Sheng, University of Utah Organizer(s): David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center 8:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. Off Property Beyond AP Statistics (BAPS) Workshop for Experienced Teachers (closed) 12:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook East COCGB Status Committee Meeting (Closed) Chair(s): Roxy Peck, Cal Poly 9:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. COCGB Planning Meeting CC-2nd Floor Overlook East CC-210 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns in Statistics Business Meeting Chair(s): Barry Johnson, Statistics of Income, IRS Chair(s): John Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 9:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Transportation Statistics Interest Group Annual Meeting 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. IMS Editors’ Luncheon RH-Meeting Room 3 Chair(s): Promod Chandhok, U.S. Department of Transportation Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President 9:00 a.m.–5:30 p.m. ASA Marketplace CC-East Registration 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Statistics in Medicine Editorial Board Meeting (closed) 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. EXPO 2009 CC-Hall D 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. American Statistical Association Booth #101 CC-Hall D 9:00 a.m.–7:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room Organizer(s): Ralph B. D’Agostino, Sr., Boston University CC-154A 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Section on Statistical Computing Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Jose C. Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 2:00 p.m.–4:00 p.m. Finance Committee Meeting (closed) CC-157 Chair(s): J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University Washington, DC 67 Monday 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Off Property Meeting Within a Meeting Statistics Workshop for K–12 Math and Science Teachers: K–4, 5–8, and 9–12 Strands (closed) 10:00 a.m.–11:30 a.m. RH-Congressional B ASA Caucus of Academic Representatives Meeting GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. CAUSE Activists Meeting RH-Meeting Room 3 Organizer(s): Dennis Pearl, The Ohio State University CC-208B Chair(s): Dennis Pearl, The Ohio State University; Dennis Pearl, The Ohio State University 3:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-301 Section on Government Statistics Executive Board Meeting (closed) 5:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 17 Committee on Statistics and Disability Annual Meeting Chair(s): Joan L. Turek, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Chair(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada 4:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. Joint ASA-MAA Committee 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CAUSE Activists Meeting RH-Meeting Room 4 Chair(s): Julie Legler, St. Olaf College 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 19 Section on Statistics and Environment Executive Committee Meeting Chair(s): Gretchen Moisen, ENVR Chair Organizer(s): Simon Sheather, Professor and Head of Statistics 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. Russian and ex-USSR Statisticians Mixer CC-142 Organizer(s): Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia 4:30 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-303 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Doug Wolfe, The Ohio State University 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-3rd Floor East Ear Caucus for Women in Statistics Business Meeting and Reception Organizer(s): Marcia Ciol, University of Washington 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. CC-141 Journal of Quality Technology Editorial Review Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Daniel Apley, Northwestern University 5:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. SIGMEDD Annual Meeting 5:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-202A Texas A&M University Department of Statistics Aggie Reunion (closed) CC-143A Chair(s): Greg Campbell, Division of Biostatistics CDRH US FDA 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-101 Section on Statistics in Sports Business Meeting Chair(s): Gilbert Fellingham, Brigham Young University 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 CDC & ATSDR Statisticians Business Meeting 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Executive Committee Meeting (closed) CC-157 Chair(s): Philip Rosenberg, National Cancer Insitute; Philip Rosenberg, National Cancer Institute 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-144C International Indian Statistical Association Mixer and Reception Organizer(s): Subir Ghosh, University of California, Riverside 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-3rd Floor West Ear University of Georgia Reception for Alumni and Friends Organizer(s): John Stufken, The University of Georgia 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Committee on Student Pro Bono Statistics Business Meeting 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-205 Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences Business Committee Meeting and Mixer Chair(s): Andrea Rau, Purdue University Chair(s): Patrick Arbogast, Vanderbilt University 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. NISS/SAMSI Reception 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Statistical Society of Canada Reception CC-201 CC-209C 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-209A The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Department of Biostatistics and Statistics and Operations Research Alumni Reception Organizer(s): Bovas Abraham, University of Waterloo Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-204A RTI Reception (closed) (Hosted by Sally Morton) 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Biometrics Section Mixer and Business Meeting Organizer(s): Paula Sable, RTI International 68 JSM 2009 Chair(s): Daniel Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-149A IMS New Member and Student Welcome Reception 6:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. Eli Lilly Faculty Reception (closed) Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President Organizer(s): Todd Sanger, Corporate Sponsor; Valerie Ghoston, Eli Lilly 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Strategic Planning Meeting 6:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. Off Property Pomona College/Claremont Colleges Alumni Dinner RH-Meeting Room 18 RH-Meeting Room 16 Chair(s): Martha Gardner, General Electric Global Research Organizer(s): Donald L. Bentley, Pomona College 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. Social Statistics Section Business Meeting 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Grand Ballroom North ASA Longtime Member Reception CC-302 Chair(s): Allen Schirm, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Chair(s): Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals/The Takeda Oncology Company 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CRC Press Reception (closed) Chair(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation Organizer(s): Nadja English, Chapman & Hall/CRC Press 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. RH-Suite 1240 ASA President’s Invited Speaker Reception (by invitation only) 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook East AAAS S&T Policy Fellowships: How to Become a Policy-Savvy Scientist Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International Organizer(s): Dan Poux, AAAS 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 Korean Statisticians Annual Meeting 7:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 International Indian Statistical Association Executive Board Meeting (closed) Organizer(s): Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University CC-202B Organizer(s): Subir Ghosh, University of California, Riverside 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Section on Statistics and the Environment Business Meeting and Mixer 7:00 p.m.–9:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Southern Methodist University Alumni Social Gathering Chair(s): Gretchen Moisen, U.S. Forest Service Organizer(s): Wayne Woodward, Department of Statistical Science 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-153 Christian Statisticians’ Informal Discussion Group 7:30 p.m.–10:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West B Joint Statistical Computing Section and Section on Statistical Graphics Meeting and Mixer Organizer(s): James Ward, Sand Point Statistics Group 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. Section on Survey Research Methods Executive Committee Meeting CC-210 Chair(s): Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. JSM Student Mixer RH-Grand Ballroom Central Chair(s): Antony Unwin, Uni Augsburg; Jose C. Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 9:30 p.m.–11:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom South Prefunction IMS Presidential Address Reception Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President Chair(s): Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals/The Takeda Oncology Company 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 University of Washington Biostatistics-Statistics Alumni Reception (closed) Organizer(s): Andrew Zhou, University of Washington Department of Biostatistics 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West Joint Section on Risk Analysis and Statistics in Defense and National Security Meeting and Mixer Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_14C Methodology for Competing Outcomes: The Analysis of Multiple Mutually Exclusive Endpoints in a Clinical Trial 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12,13,14 ASA, Biometrics Section Instructor(s): David C. Naftel, The University of Alabama at Birmingham Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense; A. John Bailer, Miami University Washington, DC 69 Monday 5:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. RFD Washington, 810 7th St. NW Section on Health Policy Statistics Business Meeting and Mixer GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CE_15C Optimum Experimental Designs 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. ASA Instructor(s): Anthony Atkinson, London School of Economics; Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc. 80 CE_16C Dose-Finding Studies: Methods and Implementation 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Organizer(s): Chengying Wu, sanofi-aventis ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section Instructor(s): Frank Bretz, Norvartis, Switzerland; Jose C. Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals CE_17C Bayesian Inference 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) ML01 Improving Health Care Using Data Standards—◆Scott Moseley, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ML02 Publishing an R Package—◆Jason Wilson, Biola University RH-Meeting Room 16 ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Instructor(s): Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz 81 CE_18C Experiences and Pitfalls in Reliability Data Analysis and Test Planning 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 10 & 11 Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau ASA, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Instructor(s): William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University CE_19C Methods for Designing and Analyzing Mixture Experiments 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 8 & 9 ASA, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Instructor(s): John A. Cornell, University of Florida; Greg Piepel, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory CE_20C Multiple Imputation of Missing Data 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West B ML03 82 ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section Instructor(s): Martin King, Abbott Laboratories; Narinder Nangia, Abbott Laboratories; Jane Qian, Abbott Laboratories 70 JSM 2009 Managing Surveys in a Disrupted Environment—◆Carol House, National Agricultural Statistics Service CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation ML04 ASA Instructor(s): Paul D. Allison, University of Pennsylvania CE_21C Evaluating Probability of Success for Internal Decisionmaking in Early Drug Development 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12,13,14 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 83 Challenges in Applying Regression Methods to Preference-Scored Indexes of HRQoL—◆Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Ruth Pfeiffer, National Cancer Institute ML05 New Methods and Resources for Gerontologic Biostatisticians—◆Peter H. Van Ness, Yale University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 84 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistical Education Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) 9:50 a.m. Pitfalls in Estimating Asymmetric Effects of Energy Price Shocks—◆Lutz Kilian, University of Michigan 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University ML06 Implementing GAISE in Large Classes of Introductory Statistics—◆Patti B. Collings, Brigham Young University 85 Statistics in BioSciences: The ICSA New Journal—Invited International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health; Kuang-Kuo (Gordon) Lan, Johnson & Johnson PRD Chair(s): Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health 8:35 a.m. Elucidation of Clinical Trial Intervention Effects Using Genomic and Proteomic Discovery Platforms—◆Ross L. Prentice, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/University of Washington 9:05 a.m. Hierarchical Functional Data: Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods for Modeling Functional Dependence with Application to Colonic Crypt Signaling—◆Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University 9:35 a.m. Predicting Future Outcomes via Empirical, Possibly Misspecified Regression Models—◆Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-202A Introductory Overview Lecture: Spatial Data Analysis—Other ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Petrutza Caragea, Iowa State University 8:35 a.m. Spatial Statistical Thinking—◆Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion 88 ■ ✪ Professional ■ ✪ Statistical Interface—Invited CC-208A Techniques for Estimating DSGE Models and Macroeconomic Policy Analysis— Invited Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Atsushi Inoue, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Barbara Rossi, Duke University 8:35 a.m. 9:00 a.m. 9:25 a.m. CC-202B Statistics and Graphics with Spreadsheets Using the RExcel Interface Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 86 CC-201 Monday Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 87 Testing for Identification in Possibly Nonlinear Models—◆Atsushi Inoue, North Carolina State University; Barbara Rossi, Duke University DSGE Model-Based Forecasting of Nonmodeled Variables—◆Frank Schorfheide, University of Pennsylvania; Keith Sill, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia General Methodology, Section on Statistical Graphics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Naomi B. Robbins, NBR Graphs; Richard M. Heiberger, Temple University Chair(s): Naomi B. Robbins, NBR Graphs 8:35 a.m. RExcel in Introductory and Advanced Statistics Courses—◆Richard M. Heiberger, Temple University 9:05 a.m. RExcel: Powerful Statistics Within an Office Software Environment—◆Erich Neuwirth, University of Vienna 9:35 a.m. R and Excel in Industrial and Consulting Environments—◆Christian Ritter, Université catholique de Louvain 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Statistical Techniques for Estimating DSGE Models and Macroeconomic Policy Analysis— ◆Christopher Otrok, University of Virginia; Eric Young, University of Virginia Washington, DC 71 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 89 CC-101 91 ■ ✪ Advancing Health Outcomes Measurement: The NIH Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS)—Invited Section on Health Policy Statistics, Social Statistics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Bryce B. Reeve, National Cancer Institute Chair(s): James O’Malley, Harvard Medical School Advancing Health Outcomes Measurement: The NIH Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS)—◆Bryce B. Reeve, National Cancer Institute 9:00 a.m. Challenges and Advantages for PROMIS Instruments for Clinical Studies—◆Dennis A. Revicki, United BioSource Corporation 9:25 a.m. Psychometric Evaluation of PROMIS: IRT Calibration, DIF, Scaling, and Validity—◆Wen-Hung Chen, United BioSource Corporation; Ron D. Hays, University of California, Los Angeles; Bryce B. Reeve, National Cancer Institute 9:50 a.m. Disc: Steven B. Clauser, National Cancer Institute 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion 90 CC-102B ■ ✪ O’ Privacy, Where Art Thou? Mapping the Landscape of Data Confidentiality—Invited Social Statistics Section, Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University; Adam D. Smith, Penn State University Chair(s): Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University 8:35 a.m. 9:00 a.m. Rethinking Privacy and Disclosure Limitation from a Cryptographic Perspective—◆Cynthia Dwork, Microsoft Research Rethinking the Risk-Utility Tradeoff Approach to Statistical Disclosure Limitation—◆Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University 9:25 a.m. Rethinking Official Statistical Disclosure Limitation Procedures from a Cryptographic Privacy Perspective—◆John M. Abowd, Cornell University 9:50 a.m. Disc: Laura Zayatz, U.S. Census Bureau 10:00 a.m. Disc: Marilyn Seastrom, National Center for Education Statistics 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion ■ ✪ Statistical Approaches for Studying Synergism of Genes and Environment in Epidemiologic Studies—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Brisa Sanchez, University of Michigan Chair(s): Brisa Sanchez, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. The Impact of the Winner’s Curse on Parameter Estimation and False Positive Rates in Studies Involving Environmental Exposure Data— ◆Sebastian Zöllner, University of Michigan 9:00 a.m. Using Nuclear Families to Study Haplotype-byEnvironment Interaction—◆Clarice R. Weinberg, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; Min Shi, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences; David Umbach, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 9:25 a.m. Detecting Gene-Gene Interactions Using GenomeWide Association Studies in Presence of Population Stratification—Samsiddhi Bhattacharjee, National Cancer Institute; ◆Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Methods for Two-Phase Studies of Gene-Environment Interaction—◆Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 92 CC-159A From Climate to Weather: Regionalizing Climate Models—Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University Chair(s): Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research 8:35 a.m. Combining Ensembles of Regional Climate Model Output Using Markov Random Field Models— ◆Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines 9:00 a.m. Modeling of Precipitation Extremes from Regional Climate Models—◆Daniel Cooley, Colorado State University; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research 9:25 a.m. Spatial Latent Variable Modeling for Integrating Output from Multiple Climate Models—◆William F. Christensen, Brigham Young University; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research 9:50 a.m. Statistical Issues in Regionalization of Climate Models—◆Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University; Gene Takle, Iowa State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 73 Monday 8:35 a.m. CC-144B Room 209C Walter E. Washington Convention Center GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 93 Threshold Estimation—Invited CC-204B 96 IMS Organizer(s): Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan Chair(s): Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. 9:00 a.m. CC-144A ■ ✪ Continued Use of Family Data in Statistical Genetics—Invited ENAR, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Rui Feng, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Hemant Tiwari, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 8:35 a.m. Asymptotics of Change-Point--Type Parameter Estimates Under a Changing Sequence of Sampling Distributions—◆Rui Song, Colorado State University; Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill An Association Test for Multiple Traits—◆Heping Zhang, Yale University; Ching-Ti Liu, Boston University; Xueqin Wang, Sun-Yat Sen University; Wensheng Zhu, Yale University 9:00 a.m. Screening and Replication Using the Same Data Set: Testing Strategies for Family-Based Studies in Which All Probands Are Affected—◆Christophe Lange, Harvard University 9:25 a.m. Two Approaches to Thresholding in Functional Neuroimaging—◆Jonathan Taylor, Stanford University 9:25 a.m. A Weighted Family-Based Genome-Wide Association Strategy—◆Matthew B. McQueen, University of Colorado 9:50 a.m. Tests and Estimates for the Magnitude of Threshold Effects—◆David Siegmund, Stanford University 9:50 a.m. 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Are Pedigree Data Necessary and Critical in Modern Genomic Studies?—Robert C. Elston, Case Western Reserve University; ◆Kathleen R. Merikangas, National Institutes of Health 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 94 Semiparametric Model Estimation and Selection—Invited CC-209B Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. IMS, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Guang Cheng, Purdue University Chair(s): Guang Cheng, Purdue University 97 Large-Sample Theory for Penalized Splines— ◆David Ruppert, Cornell University 9:05 a.m. Variable Selection for Partially Linear Models with Measurement Errors—◆Runze Li, Penn State University 9:35 a.m. On Varying Coefficient Models Stratified by a Functional Covariate—◆Jianhua Huang, Texas A&M University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion IMS Medallion Lecture II—Invited CC-206 ■ ✪ Real-Life 8:35 a.m. 95 Monday Detecting Streaming Motion in Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxies Using Threshold Models—◆Bodhisattva Sen, Columbia University CC-207A IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Marina Meila, University of Washington 8:35 a.m. From R. A. Fisher to Microarrays: Why 70-YearOld Theory Is Relevant Today—◆George Casella, University of Florida 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion Ethical Dilemmas Encountered in the Practice of Statistics: Resolution Leading to Policy Change—Invited Committee on Professional Ethics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Donald L. Bentley, Pomona College; Shelley Hurwitz, Harvard Medical School/Brigham and Women’s Hospital Chair(s): Shelley Hurwitz, Harvard Medical School/Brigham and Women’s Hospital Panelists: ◆Peter B. Imrey, Cleveland Clinic Foundation ◆Mark G. Haug, The University of Kansas ◆Barbara A. Bailar, NORC at the University of Chicago ◆Ingram Olkin, Stanford University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 75 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 98 CC-207B 100 Statistics Groups in Industry: Rise, Decline, and Improvement—Invited Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Donald McCormack, SAS Institute Inc. Chair(s): Donald McCormack, SAS Institute Inc. ◆Lynne Hare, Consultant ◆Roger Hoerl, General Electric ◆William Kahn, Travelers Insurance ◆Charles Taylor, Procter & Gamble ◆Jose G. Ramirez, W.L. Gore and Associates, Inc. 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Topic-Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Novel Applications of Linear Models in Surveys—Topic-Contributed Ratio Estimation of the Mean with Unequal Probability Samples: Hansen, Madow, and Tepping Revisited—◆Fotios Kokkotos, Trinity Partners LLC; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan 8:55 a.m. Modified Ratio Estimators in Simple Random Sampling—◆Evrim Oral, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center; Cem Kadilar, Hacettepe University 9:15 a.m. Probability Sample Designs That Impose Linear Models on Sample Data and Provide Best Linear Unbiased Estimators—◆Stephen Woodruff, Specified Designs 9:35 a.m. Model-Based Approach to Small Area Estimation of Disability Count and Rate Using Data from the 2006 Participation and Activity Limitation Survey— ◆Valerie Bizier, Statistics Canada 9:55 a.m. Some Methods of Model-Based Sampling— ◆Sung-Joon Hong, Dongguk University; So-Hyung Park, Dongguk University; Sun-Woong Kim, Dongguk University; Hong-Yup Ahn, Dongguk University; Steven G. Heeringa, University of Michigan 10:15 a.m. 76 Floor Discussion JSM 2009 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Modeling of Non-Gaussian Geostatistical Data via Copulas—◆Souparno Ghosh, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University 8:55 a.m. Bayesian Inference for the Stereotype Regression Model: Application to a Case-Control Study of Prostate Cancer—◆Jaeil Ahn, University of Michigan; Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan 9:15 a.m. Robust Bayesian Sample Size Determination for a Binomial Proportion with Application to the Design of Phase II Cancer Clinical Trials—◆Ming Yang, The University of Iowa 9:35 a.m. A Generalized Skewed Model for Binary Response Data—◆Xia Wang, University of Connecticut; Dipak K. Dey, University of Connecticut 9:55 a.m. A Full Gibbs Sampler for a Multinomial Probit Model with Endogeneity—◆Lane Burgette, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Erik Nordheim, University of Wisconsin-Madison 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-142 Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan Chair(s): Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. Student Paper Competition: Bayesian Inference/Modeling for Non-Gaussian Data— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida Chair(s): Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan Panelists: 99 CC-158A 101 CC-144C Inferring Connectivity in the Human Brain— Topic-Contributed ■ Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Philip T. Reiss, New York University Chair(s): Hernando Ombao, Brown University 8:35 a.m. Modeling Brain Pathways Using Functional Path Analysis—◆Martin Lindquist, Columbia University 8:55 a.m. Shrinkage Estimation and Inferential Procedures for Functional Connectivity—◆Mark Fiecas, Brown University; Hernando Ombao, Brown University; Crystal Linkletter, Brown University; Wesley K. Thompson, University of California, San Diego; Jerome Sanes, Brown University 9:15 a.m. Permutation Tests for Differential Functional Connectivity—◆Philip T. Reiss, New York University; Eva Petkova, New York University; Zarrar Shehzad, University of California, Los Angeles; Michael P. Milham, New York University; M.H. Henry Stevens, Miami University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. 9:55 a.m. 10:15 a.m. Multiscale Adaptive GEE Methods for Longitudinal Imaging Data—◆Yimei Li, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Hongtu Zhu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Dinggang Shen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Network Analysis on Resting-State fMRI— ◆Sang-Han Lee, Nathan S. Kline Institute for Psychiatric Research; Johan Lim, Seoul National University Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. Performance Characteristic of a Confidence Interval Approach for Safety Data Monitoring—◆Huyuan Yang, Boston Scientific Corporation; Haiying Lin, Boston Scientific Corporation; Hiroshi Fujimoto, Boston Scientific Japan K.K 9:35 a.m. Can We Combine Multiple Condition of Approval Studies?—◆Shelby Li, Medtronic, Inc.; An Liu, Medtronic, Inc.; Hongyan Qiao, Medtronic, Inc.; Scott McRae, Medtronic, Inc. 9:55 a.m. Disc: Ning Li, FDA 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Modeling of Multicenter Trials: Recruitment and Drug Supply—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Vladimir V. Anisimov, GlaxoSmithKline Chair(s): Valerii Federov, GlaxoSmithKline 8:35 a.m. Interim Enrollment Adjustment—◆Valerii V. Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline; Frank Mannino, GlaxoSmithKline 8:55 a.m. Predictive Modeling of Recruitment and Drug Supply in Multicenter Trials—◆Vladimir V. Anisimov, GlaxoSmithKline Time Series—Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Peter B. Kenny, PBK Research 8:35 a.m. A Review of Revisions—◆Gary Brown, Office for National Statistics; Tullio Buccellato, Office for National Statistics; Nigel Stuttard, Office for National Statistics; Robin Youll, Office for National Statistics 8:55 a.m. Revision Analysis of Key Economic Indicators: A Comparison Between Euro Area and US Data— ◆Dominique Ladiray, Insee; Gian Luigi Mazzi, Eurostat 9:15 a.m. Simulating Drug Supply for Adaptive Trials— ◆Nitin R. Patel, Cytel, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Simulating Clinical Trials in Order to Optimize the Drug Supply—◆Tom Parke, Tessella 9:15 a.m. Sources of Revisions of Seasonally Adjusted RealTime Data—◆Jens Mehrhoff, Deutsche Bundesbank 9:55 a.m. A New Framework for Building an Optimal Clinical Trial Supply Chain—◆Cosimo Spera, DecisionView 9:35 a.m. 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Investigating Quarterly Trading Day Effects— ◆Kathleen M. McDonald-Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau; David Findley, U.S. Census Bureau; Erica Cepietz, U.S. Census Bureau 9:55 a.m. Comparison of X-12-ARIMA Trading Day and Holiday Regressors with Country-Specific Regressors—◆Christopher Roberts, University of Missouri-Columbia; Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 103 CC-149A Postmarket Issues in Medical Devices— Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Vandana Mukhi, FDA Chair(s): Vandana Mukhi, FDA 8:35 a.m. Reporting of a Standardized Incidence Rate for Recurrent Adverse Events—◆John C. Evans, Boston Scientific Corporation; Wen Ding, Boston Scientific Corporation; Jian Huang, Boston Scientific Corporation; Vivek Pradhan, Boston Scientific Corporation 8:55 a.m. Statistical Practice and Post-Market Trials/ Databases: Some Perspectives—◆Gosford A. Sawyerr, Purdue Pharma, LP Washington, DC 77 Monday 104 CC-208B CC-150B Revisions and Regression Effects in Official 102 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 105 CC-158B 9:15 a.m. Analysis of the Distributions of Income, Taxes, and Horizontal and Vertical Equity Using Cross-Section and Panel Data from Individual Tax Returns— ◆Michael Strudler, IRS; Thomas Petska, IRS; Ryan Petska, Ernst and Young LLP 9:35 a.m. Getting to Know US Taxpayers: Selected Tax Data by Occupation and Industry, Tax Years 2003-2005—◆Mary Jezek, IRS; Terry Nuriddin, IRS; Mario Fernandez, IRS ■ ✪ Recent Developments of Bayesian Methods for Missing Data—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut Chair(s): Lan Huang, National Cancer Institute 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Variable Selection Methods Applied to Traffic Fatality Data—◆Gail Blattenberger, The University of Utah; Richard Fowles, The University of Utah; Peter Loeb, Rutgers University 9:55 a.m. Using Sample Data to Reduce Nonsampling Error in Small-Area Estimation—◆Jana Scali, IRS; Kimberly Henry, IRS; Parthasarathi Lahiri, University of Maryland 8:55 a.m. Learning Bayesian Networks for Discrete Data— ◆Faming Liang, Texas A&M University; Jian Zhang, The University of York 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Spatially Correlated and Repeated Ordinal Response Data with TimeDependent Missing Covariates—◆Fang Yu, University of Nebraska Medical Center; Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut; Sudipto Banerjee, The University of Minnesota; Lan Huang, National Cancer Institute; Gregory J. Anderson, University of Connecticut 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Choice of Links and Computation in Binary Regression Models—◆Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut; Sungduk Kim, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Lynn Kuo, University of Connecticut; Wangang Xie, University of Connecticut 9:55 a.m. Variable Selection in Joint Model: A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach—◆Pulak Ghosh, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Bo Cai, University of South Carolina; Nicole Lazar, The University of Georgia 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 106 ■ ✪ Longitudinal Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Michael Weber, IRS Chair(s): Thomas Petska, IRS 8:55 a.m. 78 Redesign of SOI’s Individual Income Tax Return Edited Panel Sample—Yan K. Liu, IRS; Gerald Auten, U.S. Department of the Treasury; Michael Strudler, IRS; ◆Valerie Testa, IRS Can Taxpayer Characteristics Determine the Possibility of Filing Future Tax Returns?— ◆Victoria Bryant, IRS JSM 2009 107 CC-204A Promoting Statistics Education Research— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Joan B. Garfield, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Joan B. Garfield, The University of Minnesota Panelists: ◆Beth Chance, Cal Poly ◆Dennis Pearl, The Ohio State University ◆Pam Arroway, North Carolina State University ◆Sterling Hilton, Brigham Young University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-204C 108 Individual Income Tax Return Sample Design and Analysis and Other Individual Income Tax Return Research— Topic-Contributed 8:35 a.m. Topic-Contributed Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. ■ ✪ Model CC-143B versus Randomization-Based Inference from Group Randomized Trials— Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): David R. Judkins, Westat, Inc. Chair(s): David R. Judkins, Westat, Inc. Panelists: ◆David M. Murray, The Ohio State University ◆Lisa M. LaVange, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ◆Jennifer Hill, New York University ◆Keith E. Muller, University of Florida ◆Stuart Kerachsky, U.S. Department of Education 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 109 CC-102A 111 CC-155 ■ ✪ Efforts to Assist Users with American Community Survey Data—Topic-Contributed Zero-Inflated Models and Multi-Stage Models— Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Deborah H. Griffin, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Susan Schechter, U.S. Census Bureau Biometrics Section Chair(s): Krishna K. Saha, Central Connecticut State University Dynamic Predicting by Landmarking as an Alternative for Multistate Modeling: An Application to Acute Lymphoid Leukemia Data—◆Hans C. van Houwelingen, Leiden University Medical Center; Hein Putter, Leiden University Medical Center 8:50 a.m. Modeling Censored Counts with Excessive Zeros and Within-Subject Correlations in an Animal Study Mimicking Human Ductal Carcinoma in Situ— ◆Hung-Wen Yeh, The University of Kansas Medical Center; Byron J. Gajewski, The University of Kansas; Fariba Behbod, The University of Kansas Medical Center 9:05 a.m. Latent Class Predictions for Subsequent Analysis— ◆Janne Petersen, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre; Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Klaus G. Larsen, Lundbeck; Ove Andersen, Copenhagen University Hospital, Hvidovre; Esben Budtz-Jørgensen, University of Copenhagen 9:20 a.m. Use of Zero-Inflated Mixture Models to Compare Antigen-Specific IgE Levels Among Subpopulations of Atopic Dermatitis Patients—◆Daniel Zaccaro, Rho, Inc.; Brian Armstrong, Rho, Inc.; Natalija Novak, University of Bonn; Thomas Bieber, University of Bonn 9:35 a.m. Identifying an Optimal Risk Window Length for Self-Controlled Case Series Studies—Lijing Zhang, Kaiser Permanente Colorado; ◆Stanley Xu, Kaiser Permanente Colorado; Chan Zeng, Kaiser Permanente Colorado ; Jennifer Nelson, Group Health Center for Health Studies; John Mullooly, Kaiser Permanente Northwest; David McClure, Kaiser Permanente Colorado; Jason Glanz, Kaiser Permanente Colorado 9:50 a.m. Power Computation in Testing Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium—◆Marepalli B. Rao, University of Cincinnati; Subramaniam Venkatesan, University of Cincinnati; Subramanyam Kasala, The University of North Carolina at Wilmington Modeling W-Shaped Data—◆Robert J. Gallop, West Chester University; Randall H. Rieger, West Chester University; Scott McClintock, West Chester University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Single-Stage Simultaneous Confidence Intervals Under Heteroscedasticity—◆Miin-Jye Wen, National Cheng-Kung University 112 Panelists: ◆Deborah H. Griffin, U.S. Census Bureau ◆Lynn Weidman, U.S. Census Bureau ◆Pamela M. Klein, U.S. Census Bureau ◆Robert P. Parker, Consultant on Federal Statistics ◆Jane Traynham, Maryland Department of Planning 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 110 General Methodology II—Contributed CC-153 Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jeffrey R. Wilson, Arizona State University 8:35 a.m. Testing Noninferiority for Clustered Matched Pair Studies—◆Jun-mo Nam, National Cancer Institute 8:50 a.m. Asymptotic Confidence Interval for the OverDispersion Parameter with Applications to Biological Count Data—Krishna K. Saha, Central Connecticut State University; ◆Debaraj Sen, Concordia University; Roger Bilisoly, Central Connecticut State University 9:05 a.m. The Theil-Sen Estimators in a Multiple Regression Model When Covariates Are Nonrandom— ◆Fang Li, Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis; Hanxiang Peng, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. Statistical Evaluation of Modality Test of Probability Density Function—◆Mi-Chia Ma, National Cheng Kung University; Hui-Ting Hsu, National Cheng Kung University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Semiparametric Methods—Contributed CC-148 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): F. Michael Speed, Texas A&M University 8:35 a.m. Two-Sample Semiparametric Proportional Odds Model with Application to ROC Curve—◆Zhong Guan, Indiana University South Bend; Cheng Peng, University of Southern Maine Washington, DC 79 Monday 8:35 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 8:50 a.m. Estimating the Error Distribution in Semiparametric Additive Regression—◆Ursula U. Müller-Harknett, Texas A&M University; Anton Schick, Binghamton University; Wolfgang Wefelmeyer, University of Cologne 9:05 a.m. Maximum Likelihood Computation for Fitting Semiparametric Mixture Models—◆Yong Wang, University of Auckland 9:20 a.m. Efficient Estimation for Generalized Linear Model with Varying Dispersion—◆Zhi He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Douglas Simpson, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Estimation and Variable Selection for Semiparametric Additive Partial Linear Models— ◆Xiang Liu, University of Rochester Medical Center; Li (Lily) Wang, The University of Georgia; Hua Liang, University of Rochester Stochastic Ordering Regression: A Semiparametric Approach to Modeling the Stochastic Ordering of Response Variables Conditional on Predictors— ◆Olivier Thas, Ghent University; Jan R. De Neve, Ghent University; Lieven Clement, Ghent University; Jean-Pierre Ottoy, Ghent University Semiparametric Varying-Coefficient Partially Linear Model with Auxiliary Covariates—◆Xiaojing Wang, Duke University; Yong Zhou, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences 113 ✪ Computational 9:50 a.m. On the Behrens-Fisher Problem: A Globally Convergent Algorithm and a Finite-Sample Study of the Wald, LR, and LM Tests—◆Alexandre Belloni, Duke University; Gustavo Didier, Tulane University 10:05 a.m. Robust Testing of Variability—◆Philip H. Ramsey, Queens College of CUNY; Patricia P. Ramsey, Fordham University 114 U.S. Census 2010, American Community Survey, and Canadian Census of Agriculture— Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Stephen M. Miller, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:35 a.m. Sample Design for the Census 2010 Experimental Program—◆Michael Bentley, U.S. Census Bureau 8:50 a.m. Coverage of the Canadian Census of Agriculture— ◆David A. MacNeil, Statistics Canada 9:05 a.m. ‘You Really Have to Puzzle This Out’: Checking Residence and Coverage Duplications on a Census 2010 Questionnaire—◆Laurie Schwede, U.S. Census Bureau; Anissa Sorokin, U.S. Census Bureau; Virginia Wake, U.S. Census Bureau 9:20 a.m. Overview of Evaluations of the 2010 Census Coverage Measurement Program—◆Mary H. Mulry, U.S. Census Bureau; Tamara S. Adams, U.S. Census Bureau 9:35 a.m. Missing Data Methods for CCM Component Error Estimation—◆Vincent Mule, U.S. Census Bureau; Donald Malec, U.S. Census Bureau; Lynn Imel, U.S. Census Bureau; Nganha Nguyen, U.S. Census Bureau; Michael Moldoff, U.S. Census Bureau 9:50 a.m. Is There an Undercount of Medicaid Participants in the ACS Field Test?—◆Brett O’Hara, U.S. Census Bureau 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-203A Approaches to Hypothesis Testing—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie Mellon University 8:35 a.m. A Generalized F-Test—◆George R. Terrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 8:50 a.m. Test and Prediction in Multivariate Linear Mixed Models for Multiple Longitudinal Data—◆Wan-Lun Wang, National Central University; Tsai-Hung Fan, National Central University 9:05 a.m. Tests for Comparing Several Poisson Means— ◆Jie Peng, St. Ambrose University; Kalimuthu Krishnamoorthy, University of Louisiana-Lafayette 9:20 a.m. A Multiple-Testing Procedure Based on the Jump Size of the p-Values—◆Nasrine Bendjilali, University of California, San Francisco; Wei-Min Huang, Lehigh University 9:35 a.m. General Moments-Based Permutation Tests: A Framework, Method, and Application—◆Chunxiao Zhou, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Yongmei (Michelle) Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 80 JSM 2009 CC-143A 115 CC-149B Sequential Monitoring in Clinical Trials— Contributed WNAR Chair(s): Ruixiao Lu, Affymetrix, Inc. 8:35 a.m. Sequential Monitoring Response-Adaptive Randomized Clinical Trials—◆Hongjian Zhu, University of Virginia; Feifang Hu, University of Virginia GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 8:50 a.m. Estimating Information Growth in Longitudinal Clinical Trials and Settings Leading to Nonmonotonicity—◆Abigail Shoben, University of Washington; Kyle Rudser, The University of Minnesota; Scott Emerson, University of Washington 9:05 a.m. Analysis of a Composite Endpoint, with Interim Analysis of Mortality—◆Roland A. Matsouaka, Harvard School of Public Health; Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health 9:20 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Statistical Considerations and Implications of Early Stopping in the JUPITER Trial—◆Robert J. Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Paul M. Ridker, Brigham and Women’s Hospital A New Optimality Property of the Holm Multiple Testing Procedure—◆Alexander Y. Gordon, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte Multinomial Group Sequential Design with Exact Method—◆Jiang Hu, FDA; Aiyi Liu, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Chengqing Wu, Yale University 116 CC-143C New Statistical Methods in Epidemiologic Studies—Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Elizabeth R. Zell, CDC 8:35 a.m. On Testing the Homogeneity of Across Quantile Changing-Point Functions—◆Nanshi Sha, Columbia University; Ying Wei, Columbia University 8:50 a.m. Semiparametric Inference for a Two-Stage Outcome-Auxiliary Dependent Sampling Design with Continuous Outcomes—◆Yuanshan Wu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haibo Zhou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:05 a.m. Evaluating Prenatal PCB Exposure in Relation to Cognitive Function in Children with a Partial Linear Model—Haibo Zhou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; ◆Guoyou Qin, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Matthew Longnecker, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 9:20 a.m. Empirical Likelihood Methods in Efficient Design and Inference of Randomized Clinical Trials— ◆Xiaoru Wu, Columbia University; Zhiliang Ying, Columbia University 9:35 a.m. Use of Variance Component Estimators to Assess Predictive Model Stability—◆Michael Jones, Macquarie University 9:50 a.m. Using Empirical Likelihood Confidence Regions to Establish Spirometry Limits—◆Nancy L. Glenn, Texas Southern University Semiparametric Regression Splines Models for Detecting Effect Modification in Matched CaseCrossover Studies—◆Inyoung Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Ho Kim, Seoul National University 117 CC-159B From Earthquakes to Water: Statistical Models and Risk Analysis—Contributed ■ Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Tatiyana V. Apanasovich, Thomas Jefferson University 8:35 a.m. Evaluation of Earthquake Prediction Models Using Residual Analysis for Spatial Point Processes— ◆Robert A. Clements, University of California, Los Angeles 8:50 a.m. A Random Effect Epidemic-Type Aftershock Sequence Model—◆Feng-Chang Lin, University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:05 a.m. Weather-Based Index Insurance Contract Design— ◆Kenneth Shirley, Columbia University; Daniel Osgood, Columbia University 9:20 a.m. Application of Branching Models in the Study of Invasive Species—◆Earvin Balderama, University of California, Los Angeles 9:35 a.m. Censored data methods for modeling annual peak flood flows—◆John Grego, The University of South Carolina; Philip Yates, Cal Poly 9:50 a.m. A Model for Measurements of Lognormally Distributed Environmental Contaminants— ◆Charles B. Davis, EnviroStat 10:05 a.m. Comparison of ETAS Parameter Estimates Across Different Global Tectonic Zones—◆Annie Chu, University of California, Los Angeles; Frederic P. Schoenberg, University of California, Los Angeles 118 CC-209A Understanding Consumer Preferences in a Global Marketplace—Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing Chair(s): Wendy W. Moe, University of Maryland 8:35 a.m. An International Analysis of New Product Diffusion Speed—◆Brian Hartman, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Debabrata (Debu) Talukdar, State University of New York at Buffalo 8:50 a.m. Daily Gasoline Prices, Stock Market Indexes, Consumer Internet Hits, Automobile Incentives, and Automobile Sales for the Forecasting of Future Short-Term Automobile Model Sales—◆James Wendelberger, Urban Science Applications, Inc. Washington, DC 81 Monday 9:35 a.m. Conditional Estimation After a Phase II Group Sequential Diagnostic Biomarker Study—◆Joseph S. Koopmeiners, University of Washington; Ziding Feng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 10:05 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:05 a.m. 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Pride and Prejudice: Investigating the Symbolic Properties of Country of Origin in a Land of Crouching Tigers and Hidden Dragons—Giana Eckhardt, Suffolk University; ◆Terry Elrod, University of Alberta; Luming Wang, University of Alberta Dynamic Pricing and Asymmetries in Retail Gasoline Markets: What Can They Tell Us About Price Stickiness?—◆Ana Maria Herrera, Wayne State University; Christopher Douglas, University of Michigan-Flint Discovering the Banking Customer Groups with Similar Financial Products—◆Bin Zhang, IBM China Research Laboratory; Jin Yan Shao, IBM China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Li Xia, IBM China Research Laboratory; Wenjun Yin, IBM; Jin Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory Customer Value and Willingness-to-Pay for Eco-Labeled Products—◆Chen Nai-Hua, Chienkuo Technology University Variation and Risk—Contributed CC-141 Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): Chi Wai, UBC Evaluating Value-at-Risk Models via Quantile Regressions—◆Luiz Renato Lima, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Wagner Gaglianone, Central Bank of Brazil; Oliver Linton, London School of Economics 8:50 a.m. Dual-Time Analytics in Credit Risk Modeling— ◆Aijun Zhang, University of Michigan 9:05 a.m. Regression Modeling of Count Data: Handling Heavy Tails—◆Sarah LaRocca, Johns Hopkins University; Seth D. Guikema, Johns Hopkins University 9:20 a.m. Percentile-Based Power Preserving Estimate of Standard Deviation—◆Yvonne Zubovic, Indiana University Purdue University Fort Wayne; Chand Chauhan, Indiana University Purdue University Fort Wayne 9:35 a.m. Play Against Random Past Strategy and Its Application in Expert-Selection Problem— ◆Mingfei Li, Bentley University 9:50 a.m. Accurate Two-Sided Tolerance Limits for the Normal Random Effects Model—◆Shun-Yi Chen, Tamkang University 10:05 a.m. On the Asymptotic Distribution of Likelihood Ratio Test When Parameters Lie on the Boundary— ◆Leonid Kopylev, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Bimal Sinha, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 82 Nonparametric Estimation and Testing— Contributed JSM 2009 CC-160 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): David B. Dahl, Texas A&M University 8:35 a.m. Nonparametric Derivative Estimation and the Computation of Posterior Probabilities for Nanoparticle Characteristics—◆Richard Charnigo, University of Kentucky; Mathieu Francoeur, University of Kentucky; Patrick Kenkel, University of Kentucky; M. Pinar Menguc, University of Kentucky; Benjamin K. Hall, University of Kentucky; Cidambi Srinivasan, University of Kentucky 8:50 a.m. Parameter Estimation in Two-Sample LocationScale Families—◆Cornelis Potgieter, University of Johannesburg; Fred Lombard, University of Johannesburg 9:05 a.m. Second-Order Properties of Distribution Tails and Estimation of Tail Exponents in Random Difference Equations—◆Changryong Baek, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Vladas Pipiras, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Patrice Abry, ENS Lyon; Herwig Wendt, Purdue University 9:20 a.m. More on the Estimation of True Positive Rate in FDR Study—◆Ping-Shi Wu, Lehigh University; Wei-Min Huang, Lehigh University 9:35 a.m. A Multivariate Median Based on the Minimum Spanning Tree—◆Amber E. Weyand, The University of Tennessee; Adam Petrie, The University of Tennessee 9:50 a.m. Simultaneous Closeness Among Order Statistics to Population Quantiles—Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University; Katherine Davies, University of Manitoba; ◆Jerome P. Keating, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Robert L. Mason, Southwest Research Institute 10:05 a.m. Chung-Smirnov Property for Bernstein Estimators of Distribution Functions—◆Alexandre Leblanc, University of Manitoba Floor Discussion 119 8:35 a.m. 120 121 CC-209C Miscellaneous Methodology I—Contributed IMS Chair(s): Seo Young Park, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 8:35 a.m. Censoring by Death: A Study of the Normal-Normal Mixture Model—◆Michael Freiman, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 8:50 a.m. The Generalized Linear Mixed Model with Multinomial Data—◆John Aleong, University of Vermont GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:05 a.m. Bias Reduction in Generalized Nonlinear Models— ◆Ioannis Kosmidis, University of Warwick; David Firth, University of Warwick 9:20 a.m. On Functional Logistic Regression Models— ◆Gery Geenens, The University of Melbourne; Peter G. Hall, The University of Melbourne 9:35 a.m. Finite Mixture of Heteroscedastic Single Index Models—◆Peng Zeng, Auburn University 9:50 a.m. An Almost Nonparametric Model for Missing Covariates in Parametric Regression—◆Byungtae Seo, Texas Tech University 10:05 a.m. A Theil-Type Estimate in a Linear Mixed Model— ◆Hanxiang Peng, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 123 Issues in Phase II and Dose-Ranging Trials— Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Yu-Ling Chang, FDA Brick Tunnel Randomization: A Way to Accommodate a Problematic Allocation Ratio in Adaptive Design Dose-Finding Studies—◆Olga M. Kuznetsova, Merck & Co., Inc.; Yevgen Tymofyeyev, Merck & Co., Inc. 8:50 a.m. A Comparison of False Negative Rates from Dose-Response Relationship Test Only with Dose-Response Relationship Test Along with a Pairwise Test—◆Mohammad Rahman, FDA 9:05 a.m. Convergence of Best Intention Adaptive Designs in Dose-Finding Experiments—◆Yuehui Wu, GlaxoSmithKline; Valerii V. Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline 9:20 a.m. Density Functions of Multivariate Augmented Dickey Fuller Tests with Cross-Sectional Dependence— ◆Roy Cerqueti, University of Macerata; Claudio Lupi, University of Molise; Mauro Costantini, University of Vienna Modeling Heterogeneity and Its Effect on Design Parameters in Phase II Clinical Trials—◆Christopher N. Barnes, University of Louisville; Shesh N. Rai, University of Louisville 9:35 a.m. A Frequency Domain Approach for Testing for Second-Order Stationarity—◆Yogesh Dwivedi, Texas A&M University Consonant Closed Test Procedures in DoseResponse Study—◆Bushi Wang, University of California, Riverside; Xinping Cui, University of California, Riverside 9:50 a.m. A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach for Controlled Phase II Cancer Trials in Heterogeneous Diseases—◆Lanjia Lin, Florida State University; Jyotirmoy Dey, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Lumay Chiang, Novartis Oncology 10:05 a.m. An Alternative to the Peto Analysis for Two-Year Carcinogenicity Studies and to Tarone’s Test for Trend on Censored Survival Data—◆Arthur Roth, AJR Statistical Consulting CC-203B Unit Roots and Cointegration—Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Ka S. Man, Western Illinois University 8:50 a.m. 9:05 a.m. Bootstrap Tests of Stationarity—◆Tara M. Sinclair, The George Washington University; James Morley, Washington University in St. Louis 9:20 a.m. Cointegration Vector Estimation by DOLS for a Three-Dimensional Panel—◆Luis Melo, Central Bank of Colombia; John Leon, Inter American Development Bank; Dagoberto Saboya, Central Bank of Colombia 9:35 a.m. Unit Root Testing and Estimation in Nonlinear ESTAR Model with Non-Normal Error—◆David Peel, Lancaster University ; Umair Khalil, University of Peshawar; Fazli Qadir, University of Peshawar 9:50 a.m. Cross-Sectional Dependence Robust Block Bootstrap Panel Unit Root Tests—◆Stephan Smeekes, Maastricht University; Franz C. Palm, Maastricht University; Jean-Pierre Urbain, Maastricht University 10:05 a.m. Bootstrap Unit Root Tests by a Simple Approach— ◆Guodong Li, The University of Hong Kong Washington, DC Monday 8:35 a.m. 122 8:35 a.m. CC-150A 83 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Government statistics Longtime Member Reception BY INVITATION ONLY 02 Trends in the Prevalence of Selected Chronic Health Conditions Among US Adults by Sociodemographic Characteristics: NHIS 1997–2007—◆Abera Wouhib, CDC; Meena Khare, CDC 03 Prevalence of Pregnant Women in the United States from Continuous NHANES (1999–2006)— ◆Lisa B. Mirel, CDC; Lester R. Curtin, CDC; Jaime Gahche, CDC; Vicki L. Burt, National Center for Health Statistics Sampling and survey methodology 04 Monday, August 3 6:30 p.m. – 7:30 p.m. Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Grand Ballroom North Government statistics 05 Modifying the Three-Process Model of Alertness for Accelerometer Data and Its Correlation with Sleep— ◆James Slaven, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; John M. Violanti, State University of New York at Buffalo; Ja K. Gu, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Michael E. Andrew, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Luenda E. Charles, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Bryan Vila, Washington State University; Cecil Burchfiel, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health 06 Estimating Extreme Percentiles for BMI: Minimum Sample Size Required and Sensitivity to Kurtosis— ◆Lester R. Curtin, CDC; Te-Ching Chen, CDC If you joined the ASA 35 or more years ago, the American Statistical Association would like to thank you for your longtime support. Please join us for a reception in your honor. Sponsored by the ASA Membership Retention and Recruitment Committee Estimating Variance Components for Health Examination Surveys—◆Te-Ching Chen, CDC; Lester R. Curtin, CDC 125 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Government statistics Poster Presentations 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 124 07 Sole Proprietor Income Tax Noncompliance: Changes from 1988 to 2001—◆Katherine L. Fox, IRS; Janice T. Hu, IRS 08 Obtaining User Needs While Protecting Individually Identifiable Data for the Survey of Earned Doctorates— ◆Stephen Cohen, National Science Foundation; Mark Fiegener, National Science Foundation 09 Monitoring Monthly State Estimation Using Time Series Analysis and Review System (STARS) Tables—◆Jennifer Oh, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Richard Tiller, Bureau of Labor Statistics CC-L Street Bridge Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Government Health Statistics—TopicContributed ■ Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Sunghee Lee, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Social and behavioral science Applications and case studies 01 84 Analysis of zero-inflated data from the OSHA worksite inspection system—◆Jia Li, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Scott Henn, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Aaron Sussell, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health JSM 2009 10 Tracking the Changes in CPI-W: History of Wage Earner and Clerical Worker Occupations—◆Mary Lynn Schmidt, Bureau of Labor Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Applications and case studies Applications and case studies 11 19 Modeling Item-Response Data with Fatigue—◆Oliver Entine, University of Pennsylvania 20 The Potential for Formal Statistical Analysis to Assist Courts with Relatively Small Data Set—◆Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University; Qing Pan, The George Washington University Designing Sample Panel for the Federal Reserve’s Quarterly Report of Credit Card Interest Rates— ◆Lisa Chen, Federal Reserve Board 126 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS Two Algorithms of Searching Spatially Continuous Mark Clusters in Marked Point Process—◆Huaguo Wang, QinetiQ North America/Technology Solutions Group/PSI; Michael Schucking, QinetiQ North America/Technology Solutions Group/PSI 21 Modeling Mexican Return Migration Decisions—◆Claudia P. Masferrer, The University of Texas at Austin Social and behavioral science 22 Monday 12 Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods Modeling Social Interaction and Collaboration Among Graduate Students—◆Ranran Wang, University of Washington; Mark S. Handcock, University of Washington Applications and case studies 23 127 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Social Statistics Section Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 13 Sample Size and Power Calculations for Correlations Between Bivariate Longitudinal Data—◆Warren S. Comulada, University of California, Los Angeles; Robert E. Weiss, University of California, Los Angeles Policy and Statistics 14 Using Regression and Queuing Theory to Establish Voting Machine Allocation Laws—◆Theodore Allen, The Ohio State University; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago; Mikhail Bernshteyn, Sagata Ltd. Policy and Statistics 24 Mixed Models and Q-Connectivity Graphs for Dynamics of Social Interactions—◆Burcu Eke, Arizona State University; Sharon Lohr, Arizona State University 16 Development of Linear Matrix Model: Application of Ecological Model for Longitudinal Study of Bosnian Refugees’ Adaptation—◆Lisa M. Willoughby, Saint Louis University; Ian H. Redmount, Saint Louis University; Hisako Matsuo, Saint Louis University; Wai Hsien Cheah, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville; Ajlina KaramehicMuratovic, Missouri Institute of Mental Health; Terry J. Tomazic, Saint Louis University 17 Variable Selection for Propensity Models—◆Bing Yu, University of Toronto; Guanglei Hong, University of Toronto 18 Identification, Inference, and Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Mediation Effects—Kosuke Imai, Princeton University; Luke Keele, The Ohio State University; ◆Teppei Yamamoto, Princeton University Simultaneous Statistical Inference in Evaluating Teacher Performance—◆Bing Han, RAND Corporation Social and behavioral science 25 Tell Me Who’s Your Friend and I’ll Tell You Who You Are— ◆Andrew Gelman, Columbia University; Johannes Ruf, Columbia University; Amal Moussa, Columbia University; Tian Zheng, Columbia University; Tom DiPrete, Columbia University; Julien Teitler, Columbia University Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 26 Social and behavioral science 15 An Experimental Constrained Model of Stereotype Threat—◆Maria Cohenour, University of Oklahoma; Robert Terry, University of Oklahoma Using Income Imputation Techniques to Improve Evaluation of Outreach Efforts for Low-Income Medicare Beneficiaries—◆Frank Funderburk, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; Christopher Koepke, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services; Thomas Kickham, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Social and behavioral science 27 From RCTs to Evidence Grading Schemes: The Current State of Evidence-Based Practice in Social Sciences— Robert Boruch, University of Pennsylvania; ◆Ning Rui, University of Pennsylvania Washington, DC 85 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 128 CC-Hall D 130 Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Special Adjustments for Official Time Series— Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 35 Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 28 Update on the Development of X-13A-S— ◆Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau 29 Detecting Stock Calendar Effects in US Census Bureau Inventory Series—◆Natalya Titova, U.S. Census Bureau; Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau 30 Constructing an Easter Regressor for a Stock Series in X-12-ARIMA—Julian Chow, Office for National Statistics; ◆Begona Martin, Office for National Statistics; Kevin Moore, Office for National Statistics Optimal Forecasting with Conditionally Heteroskedastic Factor Analyzed Hidden Markov Models—◆Mohamed Saidane, University of Montpellier II; Christian Lavergne, University of Montpellier II Business, financial, and marketing statistics 36 The Determinants of Economic Growth in ECOWAS Countries—Brian W. Sloboda, U.S. Postal Service; ◆Kalamogo Coulibaly, U.S. Postal Service; Yaya Sissoko, Indiana University of Pennsylvania Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 37 129 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Software for Seasonal Adjustment and Benchmarking—Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 31 PROC TSRAKING: An In-House SASÆ Procedure for Balancing Time Series—◆Joana Bérubé, Statistics Canada; Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada 32 Recent Developments in Statistics Canada’s Time Series Processing System: Transition to SASÆ PROC X12— ◆Michel Ferland, Statistics Canada; Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada 33 X-12-ARIMA vs. PROC X12: The UK Experience—◆Gary Brown, Office for National Statistics; Emma Hooper, Office for National Statistics; David Rose, SAS Institute Inc. 34 Simplifying Seasonal Adjustment Using X-12-ARIMA with Win X-12 and X-12-Graph—◆Demetra Lytras, U.S. Census Bureau Efficiently Forecasting Thousands of Employment Series for Sub-State Areas—◆David E. Byun, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Thomas Evans, Bureau of Labor Statistics Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 38 The Virtues of VAR Forecast Pooling: A DSGE ModelBased Monte Carlo Study—◆Steffen Henzel, Ifo Institute for Economic Research; Johannes Mayr, Ifo Institute for Economic Research Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 39 A Copula Model for Dependent Competing Risks— ◆Ralf Wilke, University of Nottingham; Simon Lo, University of Freiburg Bootstrap, resampling methods 40 Sieve Bootstrap Prediction Intervals for Multivariate ARMA Models—◆Purna Mukhopadhyay, The University of Kansas Medical Center; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 41 Modeling Hourly Real-Time Electricity Load in the MISO Market—◆Prasenjit Shil, Ameren Services; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology; Asitha Edirisingha, Missouri University of Science and Technology Applications and case studies 42 86 JSM 2009 Modeling Hourly Day-Ahead Electricity Demand in the MISO Market—◆V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology; Prasenjit Shil, Ameren Services; Asitha Edirisingha, Missouri University of Science and Technology GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Business, financial, and marketing statistics Business, financial, and marketing statistics 43 Modeling Conditional Variance Functions in Nonparametric Transfer Function Models—◆Jun M. Liu, Georgia Southern University 54 44 Dynamic Pricing the Revenue Insurance Contracts: A Time-Varying Copula Model—◆Ying Zhu, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University; Barry Goodwin, North Carolina State University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 55 Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 45 Business, financial, and marketing statistics 46 47 Foreign Direct Investment in Mobile Technology: An Exploratory Study in Emerging African Market— Charles A. Malgwi, Bentley University; ◆Olumayokun Soremekun, Bentley University; Dominique Haughton, Bentley University A New Way of Gini Coefficient Decomposition and Its Application to the Chinese National Macro-Economy Data—◆Xu Cao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 56 57 Nonlinear Models of the Bond/Commodity Price Interaction: Evidence from Daily Data—◆Yuliya V. Yurova, University of Illinois at Chicago; Houston H. Stokes, University of Illinois at Chicago 58 Efficient Quantile Regression—◆Yoonsuh Jung, The Ohio State University; Yoonkyung Lee, The Ohio State University; Steven N. MacEachern, The Ohio State University Economics, game theory Transportation statistics Network Analysis of U.S. Domestic Air Transportation Network—◆Guangying Hua, Bentley University; Yingjie Sun, Boston University; Dominique Haughton, Bentley University Space-Time Modeling and Boundary Analysis of European Unemployment Rates—◆Kevin Bartz, Harvard University 60 61 A Longitudinal Study of Nigerian Stock Prices—◆Dallah Hamadu, University of Lagos; Ismaila Adeleke, University of Lagos Searching for the Perfect Storm: Regime Switching Correlations and Value at Risk—◆Lu Zhang, Penn State University Business, financial, and marketing statistics 62 Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 51 Variable Selection, Constrained and Shrinkage Estimation in Multivariate Regression Models—◆Ejaz S. Ahmed, University of Windsor; Severien Nkurunziza, University of Windsor Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation Business, financial, and marketing statistics 50 Recession Statistics 101—Les Yen, University of Phoenix; ◆Heather Posey, University of Phoenix/NVA Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 49 Cautionary Tales on Spatial Weights—◆Jerry Platt, University of Redlands Business, financial, and marketing statistics 59 48 The Application of the Bayesian Statistics in Portfolio Selection: Background and Case Study of the S&P 500 Yearly Returns—◆Isaac Kpodonou, University of the District of Columbia Monday Asymptotic Efficiency and Finite-Sample Properties of the Generalized Profiling Estimation of the Parameters in Ordinary Differential Equations—◆Xin Qi, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale University Investment Strategy and Decisions—Les Yen, University of Phoenix; ◆Gretchen Colon-Miranda, University of Phoenix/NVA Restricted Linear Models: Which Estimator Performs Better?—◆Luis Frank, University of Buenos Aires A Model of Leadership and Team Processes: A Multivariate Application—◆Andrea Roofe, Florida International University Semiparametric and nonparametric methods Economics, game theory 52 Do Laspeyres Preferences Still Hold True? An Evaluation of the Expenditure Weights from the Consumer Price Index—◆Joshua Klick, Bureau of Labor Statistics Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 53 63 Improving Prediction Accuracy of Logistic Regression— ◆Zhiyuan Dong, University of Cincinnati; Martin Levy, University of Cincinnati; Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati Volatility and Jump Dynamics in US Energy Futures Markets—◆Carl J. Bjursell, George Mason University; James E. Gentle, George Mason University; George H.K. Wang, George Mason University Business, financial, and marketing statistics 64 A Statistician Hedges Options—◆James Delaney, Temple University Washington, DC 87 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 65 Modeling Uncertainty in Daily Asset Returns Using ARCH/ GARCH Models—◆Linda Njoh, Baylor University; Jane L. Harvill, Baylor University 131 CC-Hall D Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 73 Bayesian Normal Mixture Modeling: A Case Study in CT Scanning—◆Clair L. Alston, Queensland University of Technology; Kerrie Mengersen, Queensland University of Technology 74 A Comparison of Minimum Description Length Scores for Bayesian Networks—◆Jason LaCombe, University of Rochester Medical Center; Anthony Almudevar, University of Rochester Medical Center 75 Bayesian Analysis and Classification of Two Quantitative Diagnostic Tests with False Negatives and No Gold Standard—◆Jingyang Zhang, The University of Iowa; Kathryn Chaloner, The University of Iowa; Jack Stapleton, The University of Iowa 76 Modeling Prior Knowledge in Developing a Bayesian Network—◆Futoshi Yumoto, American Institutes for Research; Rochelle E. Tractenberg, Georgetown University Medical Center 77 Dangers of Transforming ‘Noninformative’ Prior Distributions—◆John W. Seaman, III, Baylor University; John W. Seaman, II, Baylor University; James Stamey, Baylor University 78 Nonparametric Bayesian Modeling of Scaled Item Response Data—Kristin Duncan, San Diego State University; ◆José S. Fuentes, San Diego State University Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Business, financial, and marketing statistics 66 The Benefits of Portfolio Rebalancing and How They Can Be Achieved—◆Yaqing Si, Iowa State University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 67 Determining Optimal Sample Amounts for Bucketed Mailings in Over-the-Counter Pharmaceutical Marketing— ◆Martin B. Selzer, KMK Consulting Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 68 On Optimal Stopping Rules of Mixtures of Regression Lines—◆Ping-Hung Hsieh, Oregon State University Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 132 CC-Hall D 79 Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Bayesian Parametric Survival Alternatives with Biopharmaceutical Applications—◆Lindsay A. Renfro, Baylor University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 80 Two-Class Prediction with Model Selection and Averaging—◆Wensong Wu, University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 69 Bayesian Estimation in Nonstandard Finite Mixture Models with Application to an Exposure Data Set—◆Miranda L. Lynch, University of Rochester School of Medicine and Dentistry; Sally W. Thurston, University of Rochester 81 Bayesian Method for Misclassified Multinomial Data with Prior Information and External Data—◆Yi Qian, Amgen, Inc.; Deukwoo Kwon, National Cancer Institute; Jeesun Jung, Indiana University School of Medicine 70 In Search of Sasquatch—◆Jennifer B. Emerson, Texas Tech University; Robert F. Martin, Federal Reserve Board; Bo He, The University of Texas; Clyde Martin, Texas Tech University 82 An Application of the Spatial Bayesian Variable Selection to fMRI Time-Series Data—◆Kuo-Jung Lee, The University of Minnesota-Twin Cities 71 Elicitation of Prior Distributions for Bayesian Phylogeny— ◆Xiting Yang, Carnegie Mellon University/FDA; Joseph Kadane, Carnegie Mellon University Modeling in Ecology Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 72 88 Bayesian Inference for Power Low Processes with Applications in Repairabble Systems—◆Maristela D. Oliveira, Universidade Federal da Bahia; Gustavo L. Gilardoni, Universidade De Brasilia; Enrico A. Colosimo, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais JSM 2009 83 Parameter Updating Suppression Scheme for Wireless Sensor Networks—◆Kristian Lum, Duke University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 84 Individual-Level Residual Diagnostics for Bayesian Structural Equation Models—◆Abbie Stokes-Riner, University of Rochester; Sally W. Thurston, University of Rochester 85 Improving Predictions of Dwarf Mistletoe Incidence in Black Spruce Using Bayesian Hierarchical Models— ◆Ephraim Hanks, Utah State University; Mevin B. Hooten, Utah State University; Frederick A. Baker, Utah State University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 133 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 95 Design of Multi-User, Multi-Tasking Needs, Multi-TreatmentAllocation Support in a Web-Based Minimization Random Allocation System—Wei Li, Peking Union Medical College; ◆Zheng Wang, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases; Yi Sun, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases 96 Sample Size Estimation in Microarray Experiments— ◆Wei-Jiun Lin, National Central University; James Chen, National Center for Toxicological Research Section on Statistics in Sports Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Sports, art, entertainment Predicting the Atlanta Falcons Play-Calling Using Discriminant Analysis—◆Erik L. Heiny, Utah Valley University; David Blevins, Gaston Community College 87 National Football League Regular Season Team Statistics vs. Winning Performance and Playoff Level Success: A Multivariate Exploratory Analysis—◆Charles Fisk, U.S. Department of Defense Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Monday 86 88 Explaining Success in Baseball: The Local Correlation Approach—Jeff Hamrick, Boston University; ◆John Rasp, Stetson University 89 The Rise and (Inevitable) Fall of Baseball’s Grand Slam— ◆Julia Seaman, Genentech, Inc.; Elaine Allen, Babson College 90 A Brief Review of Statistical Applications in Cricket Data—Ananda Manage, Sam Houston State University; ◆Nandun S. Ranwala, Sam Houston State University; Danush Wijekularathna, Sam Houston State University ENAR, WNAR Organizer(s): Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Chair(s): Joseph L. Gastwirth, The George Washington University 91 Determination and Analysis of Factors Determining the Outcomes of National Football League Games— ◆Christopher Cohea, CEC Statistical Consulting; Mark E. Payton, Oklahoma State University 10:35 a.m. A Heterozygote-Homozygote Test of HardyWeinberg Equilibrium Using Related Individuals— ◆Janet S. Sinsheimer, University of California, Los Angeles; Jin Zhou, University of California, Los Angeles; Kenneth Lange, University of California, Los Angeles; Jeanette Papp, University of California, Los Angeles 11:00 a.m. Current Applications of the Hardy-Weinberg Law—◆Bruce Weir, University of Washington 11:25 a.m. Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium and Genetic Disequilibrium Mapping—◆Abigail Matthews, Rockefeller University; Yuanyuan Shen, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Zhe Liu, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Jurg Ott, Rockefeller University/Chinese Academy of Sciences 11:50 a.m. Disc: Dmitri Zaykin, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 134 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed International Chinese Statistical Association, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Health policy, epidemiology, public health 92 Statistical Consideration on the Guidance for Diagnostic Devices in China—◆Sun Yi, The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences; Wei Li, Peking Union Medical College 135 CC-202B After Celebration of the 100th Anniversary of Hardy-Weinberg Law—Invited ■ Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 93 Incorporating Biological Knowledge Into Hierarchical Clustering with a Rank-Two Ellipse Seriation in Gene Expression Profiles—Han-Ming Wu, Tamkang University; ◆Chun-Fu Tsao, Tamkang University Medical devices 94 Comparison of Different Statistical Analysis Strategy on Evaluating Drug Eluting Stent Trial—Wei Li, Peking Union Medical College; ◆Yang Wang, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases Washington, DC 89 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 136 CC-202A 138 ■ ✪ Recent Advances in Missing Data and Causal Inference—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Recai M. Yucel, State University of New York at Albany Chair(s): Recai M. Yucel, State University of New York at Albany 10:35 a.m. Every Missing Not at Random Model for Incomplete Data Has a Missing at Random Counterpart with Equal Fit—◆Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University/ Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Michael G. Kenward, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine; Geert Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Caroline Beunckens, Hasselt University; Cristina Sotto, Hasselt University 11:00 a.m. Causal Modeling When the Treatment Is a Latent Class—◆Joseph L. Schafer, Penn State University; Joseph Kang, Northwestern University 11:25 a.m. The Infinite Dimension of the Data Revealed by a Perfectly Executed Measurement of a Scalar Variable—◆Constantine Frangakis, Johns Hopkins University 11:50 a.m. Disc: Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 137 CC-209B Assessing and Modeling Spatial Variability and Uncertainty—Invited ■ Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Ronald McRoberts, U.S. Forest Service Chair(s): Mary C. Christman, University of Florida 10:35 a.m. Modeling Soil Type Spatial Distribution Using Markov Random Fields—◆Gerard B.M. Heuvelink, Wageningen University; R. Murray Lark, Rothamsted Research 11:00 a.m. Inferential Effects of Using Spatial Natural Resource Data from Independent Sources—◆Ronald McRoberts, U.S. Forest Service 11:25 a.m. An Adaptive Predictive Process Modeling Approach for Large Spatial-Temporal Data Sets—◆Andrew Finley, Michigan State University; Sudipto Banerjee, The University of Minnesota; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 11:50 a.m. 12:15 p.m. 90 A Closer Look at Statistical Inference with Geographically Weighted Regression Models— ◆Carol Gotway Crawford, CDC; Linda J. Young, University of Florida Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-207B Recent Advances in Statistical Learning and Computing for Massive High-Dimensional Data—Invited ASA Special Interest Group on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Hui Zou, University of Minnesota Chair(s): Jinchi Lv, University of Southern California 10:35 a.m. Forward-Lasso Adaptive Shrinkage—◆Gareth James, University of Southern California; Peter Radchenko, University of Southern California 11:05 a.m. Partial Correlation Estimation by Joint Sparse Regression Models—◆Ji Zhu, University of Michigan; Jie Peng, University of California, Davis; Pei Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Nengfeng Zhou, University of Michigan 11:35 a.m. On Localized Dimension Reduction and Variable Selection—◆Xiangrong Yin, The University of Georgia; Qin Wang, The University of Georgia; Bing Li, Penn State University; Zhihui Tang, Penn State University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 139 ■ ✪ Contemporary Models—Invited CC-158A Bayesian Generalized Linear Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Sourish Das, Duke University Chair(s): Santanu Pramanik, NORC at the University of Chicago 10:35 a.m. Generalized Linear Models for a Correlation Matrix in Longitudinal Data—◆Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida 11:00 a.m. Nonparametric Bayes Random Effects Modeling Using Kernel Local Partition Processes—◆David Dunson, Duke University 11:25 a.m. Bayesian Analysis of Longitudinal Binary Data Using Multivariate Bridge and Other Random Effects Models—◆Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Souparno Ghosh, Texas A&M University; Debajyoti Sinha, Florida State University; Stuart Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital 11:50 a.m. Power Filter for Dynamic Models—◆Sourish Das, Duke University; Dipak K. Dey, University of Connecticut 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 140 CC-102B 142 ✪ From Oil Wells to Windmills: Can the Federal Statistical System Adapt to Changing Needs for Energy Data?—Invited Committee on Energy Statistics Organizer(s): Janice Lent, Energy Information Administration Chair(s): Nagaraj K. Neerchal, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 10:35 a.m. 11:25 a.m. Are the Paradigms for Design of Experiments Changing?—Invited ■ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, International Indian Statistical Association, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Philip J. Ramsey, University of New Hampshire Chair(s): Philip J. Ramsey, University of New Hampshire 10:35 a.m. Effect of Energy Import Costs on U.S. Real Gross Domestic Income—◆Marshall B. Reinsdorf, Bureau of Economic Analysis Are the Paradigms for Design of Experiments Changing?—◆Bradley A. Jones, SAS Institute Inc. 11:00 a.m. Meeting Energy Data Needs in a Changing Energy Environment—◆Janice Lent, Energy Information Administration Comparing Computer-Generated Designs: Are G-Optimal Designs the Best Choice?—◆Douglas C. Montgomery, Arizona State University 11:25 a.m. Model Robust and Model Discriminating Designs— ◆Christopher Nachtsheim, The University of Minnesota 11:50 a.m. Disc: Geoff G. Vining, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion Characterization, Evaluation, and Management of Prospective Benefits, Costs, and Risks in the Development of New Statistical Programs for Energy—◆John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Polly Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:50 a.m. Disc: Edward Blair, University of Houston 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 143 ■ ✪ It’s 141 Case Studies in Complex Bayesian Computation—Invited CC-144C Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Carlos M. Carvalho, The University of Chicago Chair(s): Carlos M. Carvalho, The University of Chicago 10:35 a.m. Adaptive Mixture Modeling Metropolis Methods for Bayesian Analysis of Nonlinear State-Space Models—◆Jarad Niemi, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University 11:05 a.m. Orthant-Normal Shrinkage Priors in Regression— ◆Christopher Hans, The Ohio State University 11:35 a.m. Particle Learning and Smoothing—◆Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago; Carlos M. Carvalho, The University of Chicago; Nicholas Polson, The University of Chicago; Michael Johannes, Columbia Business School 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion a Dangerous World—Invited CC-206 Section on Risk Analysis, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/ University of Miami Chair(s): Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/ University of Miami 10:35 a.m. Uses and Generalizations of the Incremental Cost Effectiveness Ratio (ICER) in CE Health Studies—◆Andres Christen, Center for Mathematical Research; Peter Müller, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Tina Shih, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 11:00 a.m. Terrorist Risk Assessment—◆Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University 11:25 a.m. Model Risk in the Analysis of Personal Credit— ◆Robert Stine, The Wharton School 11:50 a.m. Out of Sight, Out of Mind: The Statistical Whitewashing of Chronic Occupational Disease— ◆Adam M. Finkel, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 91 Monday 11:00 a.m. CC-149B GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 144 CC-101 146 CC-209C Factors Affecting the Accuracy of the 2008 Presidential Election Polling—Invited Semiparametric Methods with High-Dimensional Data—Invited American Association of Public Opinion Research, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Paul J. Lavrakas, Consultant Chair(s): Trevor Thompson, The Associated Press IMS, International Chinese Statistical Association, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 10:35 a.m. Election Polling Challenges: Cell Phones, the Bradley Effect, and Voter Turnout—◆Scott Keeter, Pew Research Center 10:55 a.m. Methodological Issues in ABC News 2008 Pre-Election Polling—Gary Langer, ABC News; ◆Jon Cohen, The Washington Post 11:15 a.m. Limitations of Recorded-Voice Telephone Polling in Election 2008: Is This Method of Data Collection Doomed in 2012?—◆Jay H. Leve, SurveyUSA 11:35 a.m. Inferences from Matched Samples in the U.S. National Elections from 2004 to 2008—◆Douglas Rivers, YouGov Polimetrix 11:55 a.m. Disc: Paul J. Lavrakas, Consultant 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 145 10:35 a.m. Identification of Cancer-Associated Gene Pathways from Analysis of Expression Data—◆Shuangge Ma, Yale University; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 11:05 a.m. Variable Selection in Nonparametric Additive Models—◆Jian Huang, The University of Iowa; Joel Horowitz, Northwestern University; Fengrong Wei, The University of Iowa 11:35 a.m. Variable Selection Using the Seamless L0 (SEAL) Method—◆Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-102A 147 JASA, Theory and Methods Invited Session— Invited JASA, Theory and Methods Organizer(s): Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 10:35 a.m. Prediction in Measurement Error Models—Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University; ◆Aurore Delaigle, University of Bristol; Hall Peter, The University of Melbourne 11:15 a.m. Disc: Jianqing Fan, Princeton University 11:35 a.m. Disc: John Staudenmayer, University of Massachusetts 11:55 a.m. Rejoinder: Aurore Delaigle, University of Bristol 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion IMS Medallion Lecture III—Invited CC-207A IMS, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Bernard W. Silverman, St. Peter’s College, University of Oxford 10:35 a.m. High-Dimensional Inference: From Sparse Signals Recovery to Covariance Matrix Estimation— ◆Tony Cai, University of Pennsylvania 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 148 ✪ Protecting CC-143B Individual Privacy in the Struggle Against Terrorism—Invited Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Myron J. Katzoff, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Lawrence H. Cox, National Center for Health Statistics Panelists: ◆Daniel Weitzner, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 92 JSM 2009 ◆Michael L. Cohen, Committee on National Statistics ◆Betty Chemers, National Academy of Sciences ◆Herb Lin, National Academy of Sciences 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 11:55 a.m. Sensitivity of Impulse Responses to Small Low-Frequency Co-Movements: Reconciling the Evidence on the Effects of Technology Shocks— Nikolay Gospodinov, Concordia University; ◆Alex Maynard, University of Guelph; Elena Pesavento, Emory University ■ 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Abdul J. Sankoh, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Chair(s): Abdul J. Sankoh, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 151 149 CC-201 Practical Considerations for Handling Missing Data in Controlled Clinical Trials— Topic-Contributed CC-158B Monte Carlo and Sequential Analyses: Methods and Applications—Topic-Contributed ■ Practical Statistical Considerations for Handling Dropouts in Longitudinal Clinical Trials—◆Cynthia M. DeSouza, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Abdul J. Sankoh, Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Mike West, Duke University Chair(s): Raquel Prado, University of California, Santa Cruz 10:55 a.m. Comparison of Methods for Handling Dropouts in Longitudinal Ordered Categorical Data— ◆Mohamed Alosh, FDA 10:35 a.m. Developing an Analytic Road Map for Incomplete Longitudinal Clinical Trial Data—◆Adam Meyers, Lilly USA, LLC Adaptive Design for Model Selection—◆Fei Liu, University of Missouri-Columbia; Fan Li, Duke University; David Dunson, Duke University 10:55 a.m. Targeted Sequential Resampling from Large Data Sets in Mixture Modeling—◆Ioanna Manolopoulou, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute 11:15 a.m. Particle Learning DSGE Models—◆Francesca Petralia, Duke University; Carlos M. Carvalho, The University of Chicago; Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago; Hao Chen, Duke University 11:35 a.m. Particle Stochastic Search for High-Dimensional Variable Selection—◆Minghui Shi, Duke University 11:55 a.m. Sequential Learning in Dynamic Graphical Models—◆Hao Wang, Duke University; Craig Reeson, Duke University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:15 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Endpoint Selection in the Presence of Missing Data—◆Guoxing (Greg) Soon, FDA 11:55 a.m. Disc: Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 150 CC-141 Advances in Time Series Econometrics— Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Barbara Rossi, Duke University Chair(s): Robert P. Lieli, The University of Texas at Austin 10:35 a.m. The Moving Blocks Bootstrap for Panel Linear Regression Models with Individual Fixed Effects— ◆Silvia Goncalves, University of Montreal 10:55 a.m. Heteroskedasticity, Autocorrelation, and Spatial Correlation Robust Inference in Linear Panel Models with Fixed Effects—◆Tim Vogelsang, Michigan State University 11:15 a.m. The Propagation of Regional Recessions— ◆Michael Owyang, Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis; James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego 11:35 a.m. Local GMM Estimation of Time Series Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions—◆Nikolay Gospodinov, Concordia University; Taisuke Otsu, Yale University 152 ■ ✪ The Monday 10:35 a.m. CC-155 NHIS Linked Data Files: A Data Resource for Health Outcomes to Health Policy—Topic-Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Kimberly Lochner, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Christine S. Cox, National Center for Health Statistics 10:35 a.m. Socioeconomic Differences in Life Expectancy— ◆Kimberly Lochner, National Center for Health Statistics; Van L. Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics; Gloria Wheatcroft, National Center for Health Statistics; Elsie R. Pamuk, National Center for Health Statistics Washington, DC 93 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 10:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Using Linked Survey and Administrative Data to Build Imputational Models to Adjust Survey Estimates of Medicaid Coverage—◆Michael Davern, University of Minnesota; Jacob A. Klerman, Abt Associates Inc.; Jeanette K. Ziegenfuss, Mayo Clinic Are Expenditures Higher for Those Entering Medicare at Age 65 Having Been Previously Uninsured?—◆Sandra L. Decker, National Center for Health Statistics; Jalpa A. Doshi, University of Pennsylvania; Amy E. Knaup, University of Maryland; Daniel E. Polsky, University of Pennsylvania One More Step: NHIS-Linked Mortality Data Combined with EPA Air Quality Data—◆Jennifer D. Parker, National Center for Health Statistics; Nataliya Kravets, NOVA Research Company; Kimberly Lochner, National Center for Health Statistics; Tracey Woodruff, University of California, San Francisco 11:55 a.m. Disc: Elsie R. Pamuk, National Center for Health Statistics 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 153 CC-143A 154 CC-150A Improving Coverage Intervals for SurveyWeighted Estimates—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Phillip S. Kott, U.S. Department of Agriculture Chair(s): Jill A. Dever, RTI International 10:35 a.m. Speeding Up the Asymptotics When Constructing One-Sided Coverage Intervals for Survey-Weighted Estimates—◆Phillip S. Kott, U.S. Department of Agriculture 10:55 a.m. Estimation Using Gaussian Replicates of the Pivotal Based on the Weighted Quasi-Score Vector—◆Avi Singh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Claude Nadeau, Statistics Canada 11:15 a.m. Empirical Likelihood--Based Calibration Methods for Missing Data Problems—◆Jing Qin, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 11:35 a.m. Confidence Intervals for Proportion Estimates in Complex Samples: An Application to NAEP— ◆Andreas Oranje, Educational Testing Service 11:55 a.m. Disc: Mary E. Thompson, University of Waterloo 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Statistical Literacy 2009—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Milo Schield, W.M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project Chair(s): Milo Schield, W.M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project 155 CC-150B American Community Survey: Design and Usability Issues—Topic-Contributed ■ 10:35 a.m. Statistical Challenges in Medical Research: What Consumers Need to Know—◆Ronald R. Gauch, Marist College Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Michael Beaghen, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Rachel Harter, NORC at the University of Chicago 10:55 a.m. The Cult of Statistical Significance—◆Stephen T. Ziliak, Roosevelt University; Deirdre N. McCloskey, University of Illinois at Chicago 10:35 a.m. 11:15 a.m. Spinning Heads and Spinning News: Statistics in the Media—◆Rebecca Goldin, Statistical Assessment Service/George Mason University Options for Allocating the American Community Survey Sample—◆Don Keathley, U.S. Census Bureau; Steven P. Hefter, U.S. Census Bureau 10:55 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Know Your Chances: A Curriculum to Help Students Become Better Consumers of Statistics—◆Steven Woloshin, Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice; Lisa Schwartz, Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice Evaluation of the Effectiveness of the American Community Survey Family Equalization Project— ◆Mark E. Asiala, U.S. Census Bureau 11:15 a.m. Using Sub-County Population Estimates as Controls in Weighting for the American Community Survey—◆Keith A. Albright, U.S. Census Bureau 11:35 a.m. 11:55 a.m. Academic Civic Engagement: What’s the Downside?—◆Paul Roback, St. Olaf College 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Usability of the American Community Survey Estimates of the Group Quarters Population for Substate Geographies—◆Michael Beaghen, U.S. Census Bureau; Sharon Stern, U.S. Census Bureau 11:55 a.m. Assessment of Data Quality Filtering on the Reliability of Multi-Year Estimates in American Community Survey Data Products—◆Michael D. Starsinic, U.S. Census Bureau 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 94 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 156 CC-159B 11:55 a.m. Nonparametric Spectral Analysis with Applications to Seizure Characterization Using EEG Time Series—◆Li Qin, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Yuedong Wang, University of California, Santa Barbara 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion New Directions in Social and Educational Statistics—Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Sandip Sinharay, Educational Testing Service Chair(s): Patty Becker, University of Michigan 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Dimensionality Analysis for NELS:88 Data: The Effects of Complex Assessment Design on Modeling Growth—◆Jiahe Qian, Educational Testing Service; Xueli Xu, Educational Testing Service Latent Regression Modeling in Educational Surveys: A Simulation Study from the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)— ◆Yue Jia, Educational Testing Service; Lei Ye, Educational Testing Service; Xueli Xu, Educational Testing Service Application of Multidimensional Item Response Theory Models to Report Diagnostic Scores in Educational Testing—◆Sandip Sinharay, Educational Testing Service; Shelby J. Haberman, Educational Testing Service 11:55 a.m. Disc: Matthew S. Johnson, Teachers College 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 157 158 ✪ Health Policy Statistics Student Paper Awards—Topic-Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation 10:35 a.m. Learning from Near Misses in Medication Errors: A Bayesian Approach—◆Jessica A. Myers, Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, Johns Hopkins University; Laura Morlock, Johns Hopkins University 10:55 a.m. Sensitivity Analyses for Omitted Variable Bias in Multiple Regression in a Study of Right Heart Catheterization—◆Carrie Hosman, University of Michigan; Ben B. Hansen, University of Michigan 11:15 a.m. Surrogate Screening Models for Determining Low Physical Activity in the Cardiovascular Health Study—◆Sandrah P. Eckel, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Karen BandeenRoche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Paulo H. Chaves, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Linda P. Fried, Columbia University; Thomas A. Louis, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 11:35 a.m. Nonparametric Inference Procedure for Percentiles of the Random Effects Distribution in Meta-Analysis—◆Rui Wang, Harvard University; Lu Tian, Stanford University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard University; Lee-Jen Wei, Harvard University 11:55 a.m. Identification of Ovarian Cancer Symptoms in Health Insurance Claims Data—◆Sean Devlin, University of Washington; Paula Diehr, University of Washington; Robyn Andersen, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center/University of Washington; William Lafferty, University of Missouri 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-204C Penalized Regression and Spline Models— Topic-Contributed Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Li Qin, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center Chair(s): Pang Du, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. Penalized Regression, Mixed Effects Models, and Appropriate Modeling—◆Nancy E. Heckman, The University of British Columbia; Richard Lockhart, Simon Fraser University; Jason D. Nielsen, Carleton University Statistical Inference for Dynamic Models with the Generalized Profiling Method—◆Jiguo Cao, Simon Fraser University; David Campbell, Simon Fraser University; Giles Hooker, Cornell University; Jianhua Huang, Texas A&M University; James O. Ramsay, McGill University 11:15 a.m. Penalized Least Squares for Single Index Models— ◆Tao Huang, University of Virginia; Heng Peng, The Hong Kong Baptist University 11:35 a.m. Generalized Spline Mixed-Effects Models with Applications in AIDS Clinical Trials—◆Anna Liu, University of Massachusetts Amherst; Hua Liang, University of Rochester CC-160 Monday 11:15 a.m. A Matrix Time Series Model for Dynamic Social Networks—◆Xiaoyue Niu, University of Washington; Peter Hoff, University of Washington Washington, DC 95 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 159 Quantile Regression: New Research Directions—Topic-Contributed CC-208A Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Lan Wang, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Yunming Mu, Portland State University Topic-Contributed Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 161 CC-153 Statistics in Business Schools: The Future?— Topic-Contributed 10:35 a.m. New Robust Statistical Procedures for Semiparametric Regression Models—◆Bo Kai, Penn State University; Runze Li, Penn State University; Hui Zou, University of Minnesota ASA Special Interest Group on Statistics in Business Schools Organizer(s): J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University Chair(s): Janice Derr, FDA 10:55 a.m. Quantile Regression for Medical Cost Data— ◆Huixia (Judy) Wang, North Carolina State University; Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington Panelists: ◆Mark Berenson, Montclair State University ◆John McKenzie, Babson College ◆J. Keith Ord, Georgetown University 11:15 a.m. Single-Index Quantile Regression—◆Yan Yu, University of Cincinnati; Tracy Z. Wu, JPMorgan Chase Bank; Keming Yu, Brunel University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Locally Weighted Censored Quantile Regression— ◆Lan Wang, The University of Minnesota; Huixia (Judy) Wang, North Carolina State University 11:55 a.m. Quantile Regression: New Research Directions— ◆Mi-Ok Kim, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 160 CC-204B ■ ✪ Study Designs for Diagnostic Devices— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA; Jane Fryland, Genentech, Inc. Chair(s): Lori Dodd, National Cancer Institute 10:35 a.m. Tips for Designing Studies Evaluating Medical Tests: An FDA Statistical Perspective—◆Kristen L. Meier, FDA; Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA 10:55 a.m. Biomarker-Guided Modification to Existing Treatments—◆Rong Tang, FDA; Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA 11:15 a.m. Different Schemes of Verification Bias in Evaluating Medical Tests—◆Marina V. Kondratovich, FDA 11:35 a.m. Design Issues for Studies of Diagnostic Devices Involving Readers—◆Thomas E. Gwise, FDA 11:55 a.m. EFM-CAD Study Designs—◆Bipasa Biswas, FDA; Gene Pennello, FDA 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 96 JSM 2009 162 CC-203B Case-Control Studies and Experimental Designs—Contributed Biometrics Section, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Jodi Lapidus, Consultant 10:35 a.m. Optimal Experimental Designs for Determining Optimal Levels of Fertilizer—◆Wade Brorsen, Oklahoma State University; Francisca G.C. Richter, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland 10:50 a.m. Likelihood-Based Hypothesis Test from an Outcome-Dependent Enriched Sample—Qing Kang, North Dakota State University; ◆Christopher I. Vahl, North Dakota State University 11:05 a.m. Linear Model Selection for Nearly Replicated Data—◆Andrew Neath, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville; Zugui Zhang, The University of Iowa; Joseph Cavanaugh, The University of Iowa 11:20 a.m. Sample Size Calculation with Weighted Sign Tests for Paired Comparisons of Clustered Data— ◆Fan Hu, Southern Methodist University; Chul W. Ahn, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; William Schucany, Southern Methodist University 11:35 a.m. Optimum Duration Designs for Phase II Oncology Trials—◆Ying Lu, University of California, San Francisco; Shenghua K. Fan, California State University, East Bay 11:50 a.m. New Adaptive Procedure to Control the False Discovery Rate—◆Fang Liu, Temple University 12:05 p.m. Optimal Two-Stage Design When Adapting Between k Sample Sizes—◆Hong Wan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Susan Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania; Keaven Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 163 CC-144B 11:50 a.m. Automatic Variable Shrinkage and Selection via Confidence Regions—◆Funda Gunes, North Carolina State University; Howard D. Bondell, North Carolina State University 12:05 p.m. Using ANOVA-Simultaneous Principal Component Analysis (ASCA) in Clinical Studies for Psoriasis— ◆Suyan Tian, Rockefeller University; Mayte SuárezFariñas, Rockefeller University Programming Methodology—Contributed Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Bob Derr, SAS Institute Inc. Creating a More Efficient Way to Review Tables, Figures, and Listings (TFLs)—◆Sandra Althouse, Eli Lilly and Company; Xuejing Mao, Eli Lilly and Company 10:50 a.m. Adaptive Design: New Tasks for a Statistical Analyst—◆Natalie C. Hall, Eli Lilly and Company 11:05 a.m. Recursive Sparse Estimation Using a Gaussian Sum Filter—◆Michael Rotkowitz, The University of Melbourne; Lachlan Blackhall, The Australian National University 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. A Tree-Based Algorithm for Identifying Subgroups of Subjects with Treatment Effect—◆Ilya A. Lipkovich, Eli Lilly and Company; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Jonathan Denne, Eli Lilly and Company; Gregory Enas, Eli Lilly and Company Open Source Adaptive Design Software in a Regulated Environment: A Case Study— ◆Keaven Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc. 164 CC-159A MCMC, Sampling Algorithms, and Approximations in Bayesian Inference— Contributed Monday 10:35 a.m. Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Lawrence I. Pettit, Queen Mary University of London 10:35 a.m. A Multi-Scale Adaptive Metropolis Algorithm— ◆Matthew J. Heaton, Duke University; Scott Schmidler, Duke University 10:50 a.m. Bayesian Inference for the Inverse Problem and Applications—◆Huei-Wen Teng, Penn State University Washington, DC 97 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:05 a.m. A Note on the Algorithmic Convergence of Posterior Simulation for Mixtures of Logistic Regression Model—◆Joy (Yang) Ge, Merck Research Laboratories; Wenxin Jiang, Northwestern University 11:20 a.m. Orthogonal Data Augmentation for Bayesian Model Averaging—◆Joyee Ghosh, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Merlise A. Clyde, Duke University 11:35 a.m. A New Algorithm to Generate Samples from the Repulsion Potts Model—◆Dai Feng, Merck Research Laboratories; Luke Tierney, The University of Iowa 11:50 a.m. Bayesian Variable Selection via Perfect Sampling with Approximate Bounds—◆Cheongeun Oh, New York University 12:05 p.m. A Derivative-Free Approach to Approximation of Computationally Expensive Posterior Densities— ◆Nikolay Bliznyuk, Harvard School of Public Health 166 CC-208B Nonparametric Methods for Statistical and or Temporal Data—Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): James A. Calvin, Texas A&M University 10:35 a.m. Monitoring Spatial Clusters Globally in Spatio-Temporal Monitoring—◆Dan J. Spitzner, University of Virginia 10:50 a.m. Discrete-Time Survival Trees and Forests with Time-Varying Covariates—◆Denis Larocque, HEC Montréal; Imad Bou-Hamad, HEC Montréal; Hatem Ben-Ameur, HEC Montréal 11:05 a.m. Detailed Sales Forecasting and Promotion Analysis for Retail Providers—◆Sungil Kim, Georgia Institute of Technology; Nicoleta Serban, Georgia Institute of Technology 11:20 a.m. Random Forests versus Logistic Regression: A Comparison Using Real and Simulated Data— ◆Kathy L. Gray, California State University, Chico ■ 11:35 a.m. Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Hyokyoung (Grace) Hong, Baruch College Large-Scale Functional-Spatial Correlation— ◆Huijing Jiang, Georgia Institute of Technology; Nicoleta Serban, Georgia Institute of Technology 11:50 a.m. Wavelet Function Estimation for Right-Censored Data—◆Jeong-Ran Lee, Seoul National University; Hee-Seok Oh, Seoul National University 12:05 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation of the Variogram and Its Spectrum—◆Chunfeng Huang, Indiana University; Tailen Hsing, University of Michigan; Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University 165 CC-149A Employment and Business Statistics— Contributed 10:35 a.m. Research on Quarterly Benchmarking for the Current Employment Statistics (CES) survey— ◆Victoria Battista, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chris Manning, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Kenneth W. Robertson, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:50 a.m. Using Current Employment Statistics (CES) Survey Data to Estimate Employment in Expanding and Contracting Establishments: Preliminary Results and Issues—◆Kenneth W. Robertson, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:05 a.m. Numbers as Pictures: Examples of Data Visualization from the Business Employment Dynamics Program—◆Charles M. Carson, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:20 a.m. Size Class Dynamics: Small and Large Firms in the 2008 Recession—◆Jessica G. Helfand, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:35 a.m. Dynamics of Business Growth—◆Carol Leming, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:50 a.m. Improving the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey’s Sampling Procedure—◆Sarah E. Goodale, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Darrell Greene, Bureau of Labor Statistics 12:05 p.m. 98 The Impact of High Variances at the Lowest Aggregate Levels on the CPI’s All-US-All-Items Variance—◆Owen Shoemaker, Bureau of Labor Statistics JSM 2009 167 CC-148 Advances in Survey Weighting—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Jeri M. Mulrow, National Science Foundation 10:35 a.m. A Simulation Study of Alternative Weighting Class Adjustments for Nonresponse When Estimating a Population Mean from Complex Sample Survey Data—◆Brady T. West, University of Michigan 10:50 a.m. An Evaluation of Sample Weighting in an RDD Survey with Multiple Population Controls— ◆Kennon R. Copeland, NORC at the University of Chicago; Meena Khare, CDC; Nadarajasundaram Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Zhen Zhao, CDC 11:05 a.m. Evaluation of Randomization-Based Estimation and Inference Methods—◆Randall K. Powers, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:20 a.m. An Empirical Study of Nonresponse Adjustment Methods for the Survey of Doctorate Recipients— ◆Fan Zhang, National Science Foundation; Stephen Cohen, National Science Foundation; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Amang Sukasih, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Sonya Vartivarian, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 11:35 a.m. A Simulation Study to Compare Weighting Methods for Survey Nonresponses—◆Amang Sukasih, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Sonya Vartivarian, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Stephen Cohen, National Science Foundation; Fan Zhang, National Science Foundation Design and Weighting Issues for the Dual-Frame Household Panel Survey ‘Labor Market and Social Security’—◆Hans Kiesl, Institute for Employment Research 12:05 p.m. Overview of Software That Will Produce Sample Weight Adjustments—◆Michael B. Witt, RTI International 168 CC-209A Applications in Cancer Epidemiology— Contributed 169 10:35 a.m. Alcohol Consumption, BMI, and Colorectal Cancer and Mortality Follow-Up—◆Negasi T. Beyene, CDC 10:50 a.m. Treatment Effects under Early Detection— ◆Shih-Yuan Lee, University of Michigan; Alexander Tsodikov, University of Michigan 11:05 a.m. Parametric and Nonparametric Analysis of Breast Cancer for Censored and Uncensored Data—Chris P. Tsokos, University of South Florida; ◆Chunling Cong, University of South Florida 11:20 a.m. Simulation Study of Hierarchical Modeling for Estimating Cancer Risks of Individual Genetic Variants—◆Marinela Capanu, Memorial SloanKettering Cancer Center; Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 11:35 a.m. 11:50 a.m. A Generalized Self-Consistency Approach for Joint Modeling Survival and Binary Data—◆Chen Hu, University of Michigan; Alexander Tsodikov, University of Michigan A Stayer-Mover Mixture Markov Model for Disease Transitions in Early-Staged Breast Cancer Treated with Breast-Conserving Therapy (BCT)—◆Wei-Ting Hwang, University of Pennsylvania; Neha Vapiwala, University of Pennsylvania; Lawrence J. Solin, Albert Einstein Medical Center CC-144A Teaching Statistical Inference—Contributed Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Byron J. Gajewski, The University of Kansas 10:35 a.m. Misconceptions and Properties of Friedman’s Test—◆Philip Turk, West Virginia University; Roy St. Laurent, Northern Arizona University 10:50 a.m. A New Paradigm for Testing: Tests Yielding Confidence Sets—◆Dan Voss, Wright State University 11:05 a.m. Hartley F-max Statistic for Unequal Sample Sizes— ◆William Warde, Oklahoma State University; Guohui Yang, Oklahoma State University 11:20 a.m. Confidence Intervals Using SOCR—◆Nicolas Christou, University of California, Los Angeles; Ivo D. Dinov, University of California, Los Angeles 11:35 a.m. Bedtime for Student’s t-Test?—◆Jim Bentley, University of Redlands 11:50 a.m. Accuracy in Parameter Estimation for Group Effects in Longitudinal Models: Sample Size Planning for Narrow Confidence Intervals—◆Ken Kelley, University of Notre Dame; Joseph R. Rausch, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center 12:05 p.m. A Course Template for Statistical Inferential Reasoning—◆William S. Rayens, University of Kentucky ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Motomi Mori, Oregon Health & Science University A Correspondence Analysis on First-Time Registries in the Breast Cancer Screening Program in Central Portugal—◆Bruno C. de Sousa, Centre for Malaria and Tropical Diseases; Vitor Rodrigues, LPCC; Elisa Duarte, University of Minho; Dário Cruz, University of Coimbra Monday 11:50 a.m. 12:05 p.m. 170 CC-143C Computational Advances in Multivariate Advances—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Patrick Breheny, The University of Iowa 10:35 a.m. Inference for Multivariate Normal Mixtures and Its Applications—◆Xianming Tan, Penn State University 10:50 a.m. Difference in Causal Effects of Class Size on Academic Achievement Between Black and Other Students: Multivariate Instrumental Variable Estimators with Tennessee Class Size Data MAR— ◆Yongyun Shin, Virginia Commonwealth University Washington, DC 99 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:05 a.m. Analysis of Multivariate Skew Normal Models with Incomplete Data—◆Tsung-I Lin, National Chung Hsing University; Hsiu-Jung Ho, National Chung Hsing University; Chiang-Ling Chen, National Chung Hsing University 11:20 a.m. Multivariate Analysis in Planetary Science: Understanding Jupiter’s Atmosphere—◆Irina Kukuyeva, University of California, Los Angeles; Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Padma Yanamandra-Fisher, Jet Propulsion Laboratory; Jan de Leeuw, University of California, Los Angeles; Amy Simon-Miller, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center 11:35 a.m. A New Approach to Cholesky-Based Covariance Regularization in High Dimensions—◆Adam J Rothman, University of Michigan; Elizaveta Levina, University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan 11:50 a.m. State Space and Hidden Markov Models of Human Colon Cancer Involving Multiple Pathways— ◆Wai-Yuan Tan, University of Memphis; Y.W. Yan, The University of Memphis 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 172 ■ CC-204A Missing Data in Clinical Trials—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Kallappa M. Koti, FDA 10:35 a.m. Handling Missing Data in Diabetes Studies with Rescue—◆Yu Chen, Merck & Co., Inc.; Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories 11:50 a.m. Computing Marginal eCDFs in Bivariate Correlated Data with Missing Values—◆Irene B. Helenowski, Northwestern University; Hakan Demirtas, University of Illinois at Chicago 10:50 a.m. Quantile Regression for the Decline of Lung Function in COPD Patients: A Longitudinal Study with Drop-Out—◆Dacheng Liu, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 12:05 p.m. Correlation Estimation in the Downton’s Bivariate Exponential Distribution Using Incomplete Samples—◆Qinying He, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics; Haikady N. Nagaraja, The Ohio State University 11:05 a.m. Analysis of Dichotomized Responses in Longitudinal Studies with Missing Data— ◆Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:20 a.m. Comparison of Missing Data Approaches on Noninferiority Clinical Trials in Treatment of HIV Infection—◆Xia Xu, Merck Research Laboratories 11:35 a.m. Examining the Extent and the Impact of Missing Data in Oncology Clinical Trials— ◆Mark Rothmann, FDA 11:50 a.m. Estimating Treatment Effects in Randomized Clinical Trials with Noncompliance and Missing Outcomes—◆Yan Zhou, University of Michigan 12:05 p.m. Comparison of Right and Interval Censoring Methods in Analysis of Time to Progression in Presence of Asymmetry and Missed Assessments—◆Somesh Chattopadhyay, FDA; Shenghui Tang, FDA; Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA 171 CC-203A Spatio-Temporal and High-Dimensional Data— Contributed Biometrics Section, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Inna Chervoneva, Thomas Jefferson University 10:35 a.m. Testing Local Differences in Placental Shapes Using Weighted Fourier Analysis—◆Jia Cao, Columbia University; Shubing Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Ian McKeague, Columbia University 10:50 a.m. A Spatio-Temporal Transmission Model to Model the Spread of Bluetongue in Europe— ◆Christel Faes, Hasselt University; Marc Aerts, Hasselt University 11:05 a.m. Longitudinal Image Analysis of Tumor/Brain Change in Contrast Uptake Induced by Radiation—◆Xiaoxi Zhang, Pfizer Inc.; Timothy D. Johnson, University of Michigan; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan; Yue Cao, University of Michigan 11:20 a.m. Generalized Volterra Model of Neural Population Dynamics for Hippocampal Prostheses—◆Dong Song, University of Southern California; Theodore W. Berger, University of Southern California 11:35 a.m. Generalized Additive Models with Spatio-Temporal Data—◆Xiangming Fang, East Carolina University; Kung-Sik Chan, The University of Iowa 100 JSM 2009 173 CC-142 Inequality and Wage Differentials—Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Carla Inclan, Freddie Mac 10:35 a.m. What Differentiates Between Women and Men in the Labor Market—◆Edna Schechtman, Ben Gurion University of the Negev; Shlomo Yitzhaki, Central Bureau of Statistics; Yulanda Geva, Central Bureau of Statistics 10:50 a.m. Multiple Imputation for Top-Coded Wages in German Social Security Register Data—◆Thomas Büttner, Institute for Employment Research; Susanne Rässler, Otto-Friedrich University Bamberg GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 11:50 a.m. Establishment Wage Differentials and Occupational Employment—◆Jane G. Osburn, Bureau of Labor Statistics Interpreting the Cumulative Frequency Distribution of Socioeconomic Data—◆Othmar W. Winkler, Georgetown University An Efficient Algorithm for the Computation of the Gini Coefficient of the Generalized Beta Distribution of the Second Kind—◆Monique Graf, Swiss Federal Statistical Office ML12 Randomization Strategies in Multicenter Trials—◆Olga M. Kuznetsova, Merck & Co., Inc. ML13 The Use of Decision Analysis in Clinical Trials— ◆Telba Irony, FDA 176 Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Graham Elliott, University of California, San Diego ML14 Floor Discussion 177 Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. 174 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction CC-301 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University ML15 Section on Statistics in Sports Organizer(s): Scott Evans, Harvard University Rating the Competition: Lessons from the World of Tournament Chess—◆Mark Glickman, Boston University School of Public Health Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. 175 What Makes the Introductory Course in Applied Statistics for Business Students Different?— ◆John McKenzie, Babson College Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics in Sports Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch ML07 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Business and Economic Statistics Section Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Monday 12:05 p.m. Are Job Centers More Effective When Caseloads Are Reduced? An Evaluation of a Regional Pilot Project—◆Katja Wolf, Institute for Employment Research; Barbara Hofmann, Institute for Employment Research; Gerhard Krug, Institute for Employment Research 178 Teaching Bayes to Undergraduates: Challenges and Lessons Learned—◆Brani Vidakovic, Georgia Tech/ Emory University CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau ML16 Communicating Statistics to Nontechnical Audiences— ◆Leonard M. Gaines, Empire State Development CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) 179 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Dionne Price, FDA Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) ML08 Pooling versus No Pooling of Safety Data from Clinical Trials—◆Vipin Arora, Takeda Pharmaceuticals Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation ML09 Data-Monitoring Committees: What Is the Scope of the Information the DMC Can Review?— ◆Dennis W. King, STATKING Consulting, Inc. ML10 Statistical Analyses of HIV Drug Resistance—◆David B. Hall, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ML11 Design and Analysis Issues for FDA Medical Device Submissions—◆Gary Kamer, FDA ML17 Predicting Health Care Costs of Individual Patients— ◆Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington Washington, DC 101 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 180 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction 184 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics and Marketing Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): George Ostrouchov, Oak Ridge National Laboratory Section on Statistics and Marketing Organizer(s): Wolfgang S. Jank, University of Maryland ML18 The Many Forms of Reliability Data—◆David C. Trindade, Sun Microsystems, Inc. ML25 ML19 Integrating Computer and Other Types of Experiments— ◆Thomas Santner, The Ohio State University 185 Online User-Generated Content—◆Wendy W. Moe, University of Maryland CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Survey Research Methods 181 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Roundtables Section on Survey Research Methods with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Michael Elliott, University of Michigan Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University ML20 Using Computer-Based Teaching Materials Effectively— ◆Dale Berger, Claremont Graduate University ML21 The Partnership of Industry and Academia in Providing Internship Opportunities for Undergraduate Statistics Majors—◆Eileen King, Miami University ML22 Challenges in Developing an Online Service Course— ◆Brant Deppa, Winona State University 182 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University ML23 Wouldn’t That Be Cool? Sharing Streams of Consciousness About Visualization on the Bleeding Edge—◆Dan Rope, SPSS 183 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center ML24 102 Syndromic Surveillance: Issues and Its Evolution— ◆Henry Rolka, CDC JSM 2009 ML26 Fitting Models and Estimating Model Parameters Using Data from Complex Surveys—◆Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University; Jay Breidt, Colorado State University ML27 Health Surveys and the Survey Statistician— ◆Novie Younger, Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Jamaica 186 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Social Statistics Section Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Joseph J. Salvo, NYC Department of City Planning ML28 Removing the Veil from Publicly Released Polls: What Is the Statistician’s Role in the Fight to Improve Statistical Literacy?—◆Stephen J. Dienstfrey, Independent Consultant ML29 Can We Teach Data Users to Use Survey Data Wisely?— ◆Deborah H. Griffin, U.S. Census Bureau GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 187 189 CC-207B Parzen’s Legacy on Modern Nonparametric Statistics—Invited CC-202A Late-Breaking Session I: Policymakers to Get Full Data Coverage of the Nation’s Service Sector—Other Section on Nonparametric Statistics, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Todd Ogden, Columbia University Chair(s): H. Joseph Newton, Texas A&M University 2:05 p.m. Functional Data Analysis Using Dirichlet Processes—◆Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 2:30 p.m. Manny Parzen and Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces—◆Grace Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison Panelists: ◆Barry Bosworth, The Brookings Institution 2:55 p.m. ◆Carol Corrado, The Conference Board/Economic Programs A RKHS Framework for Functional Data Analysis— ◆Randy Eubank, Arizona State University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Jeffrey Hart, Texas A&M University ◆Robert Vastine, Coalition of Service Industries 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ◆Mark Wallace, Service Sector Statistics Division 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 190 CC-143A ■ ✪ New Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 188 CC-155 Tricks for Old Media: What Measurement and Method Tell Us About Traditional Media Consumption and Effectiveness—Invited ■ Section on Statistics and Marketing, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): David A. Schweidel, University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Erin McClintic Tanenbaum, Nielsen Claritas Section on Statistical Education, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Chair(s): Jessica M. Utts, University of California, Irvine 2:05 p.m. Harnessing Statistical Techniques to Model Television Audiences Using Return-Path Set Top Box Data—◆Pete Doe, Nielsen Connections 2:30 p.m. Aural Choice—◆Ty Henderson, The University of Texas at Austin 2:55 p.m. Understanding ESPN Across Media—◆Glenn B. Enoch, ESPN, Inc. 3:20 p.m. Reexamining Television Tuning Behavior—◆David A. Schweidel, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Statistics in the Research Methods Courses— Invited 2:05 p.m. Statistics for Business Researchers—◆Sam Woolford, Bentley University; Richard Cleary, Bentley University 2:30 p.m. Challenges in Teaching Advanced Statistical Methods for Observational Studies in a SubjectMatter Context—◆Mari Palta, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2:55 p.m. Turning our GAISE Toward Departments of Psychology—◆Patricia C. Rutledge, Allegheny College 3:20 p.m. Stealth Statistics: Teaching Research Methods in Graduate Nursing Education—◆Mary Mays, Arizona State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 191 CC-160 ■ ✪ Statistical Issues in Building and Evaluating Genetic Risk Predictors—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Peter Kraft, Harvard School of Public Health Chair(s): Peter Kraft, Harvard School of Public Health 2:05 p.m. The Value of Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms in Projecting Breast Cancer Risk—◆Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute; Ruth Pfeiffer, National Cancer Institute Washington, DC 103 Monday ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Mark Wallace, Service Sector Statistics Division Chair(s): Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:30 p.m. Statistical Evaluation of Prognostic Genetic Models: Beyond the ROC Curve—◆Nancy Cook, Brigham and Women’s Hospital 2:55 p.m. Kernel Machine Approach to Testing the Significance of Multiple Markers for Risk Prediction—◆Tianxi Cai, Harvard University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Daniel Schaid, Mayo Clinic 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:20 p.m. Valid Statistical Analysis for Logistic Regression with Multiple Sources—◆Robert Hall, Carnegie Mellon University; Stephen Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University; Yuval Nardi, Carnegie Mellon University; Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 194 192 CC-150B CC-149B New Developments in Dimension Reduction— Statistics Go Viral: Visualizing Illness Invited Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, International in Social Networks—Invited Chinese Statistical Association ■ ✪ Making Section on Statistical Graphics, Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Risk Analysis, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Stanley Wasserman, Indiana University Chair(s): Stanley Wasserman, Indiana University 2:05 p.m. Statistical Analysis and Visualization of Large-Scale Interpopulation Contagion— ◆Alessandro Vespignani, Indiana University 2:30 p.m. Using Diffusion Principles to Understand Disease Spread—◆Thomas W. Valente, University of Southern California 2:55 p.m. Network Visualizations for Diffusion Studies— ◆James Moody, Duke University; Jeff Smith, Duke University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Ann McCranie, Indiana University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Wensheng Guo, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Xiangrong Yin, The University of Georgia 2:05 p.m. Likelihood-Based Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Regression—◆R. Dennis Cook, The University of Minnesota 2:35 p.m. Dimension Reduction for Non-Elliptically Distributed Predictors—◆Bing Li, Penn State University 3:05 p.m. A Binary Response Transformation Expectation Method in Dimension Reduction—◆Li-Xing Zhu, Hong Kong Baptist University; Liping Zhu, East China Normal University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 195 CC-159B Best Teaching Practices for Statistics in Translational Research—Invited ■ 193 CC-102B ■ ✪ Rigorous Foundations of Data Confidentiality in Statistical Databases—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality Organizer(s): Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University; Adam D. Smith, Penn State University Chair(s): John M. Abowd, Cornell University 2:05 p.m. Taking the Hard Work Out of Privacy: Interactive Data Analysis with End-to-End Privacy Guarantees for All—◆Frank McSherry, Microsoft Research 2:30 p.m. Integrating Differential Privacy with Statistical Theory—◆Adam D. Smith, Penn State University 2:55 p.m. Differentially Private Categorical Data Analysis— ◆Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University; Ivan Simeonov, Penn State University; Duy Vu, Penn State University 104 JSM 2009 Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Carol Bigelow, University of Massachusetts Amherst Chair(s): Carol Bigelow, University of Massachusetts Amherst 2:05 p.m. Building Bridges: Making Statistical Issues Accessible to the Biomedical and Translational Researcher—◆Taylor Pressler, The Ohio State University 2:30 p.m. Analytic Perspectives for Translational Research: Controlling for the Uncontrollable—◆Deborah V. Dawson, The University of Iowa; Clark M. Stanford, The University of Iowa 2:55 p.m. Duke Medicine Online Core in Clinical Research: Customized Environment for Practicing Health Professionals—◆Steven C. Grambow, Duke University; Cynthia Coffman, Duke University Medical Center; Lawrence H. Muhlbaier, Duke University; Linda S. Lee, Duke University; Haiyan Zhou, Duke University; William E. Wilkinson, Duke University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:20 p.m. Sending Someone Else to Find the Needle in the Haystack: Defining a Dialogue Between Translational Scientists and Statisticians— ◆Andrea S. Foulkes, University of Massachusetts 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 196 CC-150A Outcome-Dependent Sampling Designs— Invited Outcome-Dependent Sampling Studies for Longitudinal Binary Response Data with Time-Varying Covariates—◆Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington; Jonathan Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University 3:25 p.m. Disc: John Neuhaus, University of California, San Francisco 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 197 CC-207A Recent Advances and the Future of Statistics— Invited IMS Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:05 p.m. A Likelihood Approach for Case-Control Family Data—◆Yingye Zheng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington 2:25 p.m. Analysis of Two-Phase Studies in the Presence of Participation Bias—◆Sebastien Haneuse, Group Health Center for Health Studies 2:05 p.m. Back to the Future: Do Recent Developments Tell Us Anything About the Future of Statistics?— ◆Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington 2:45 p.m. Accounting for Animal Movement in Estimation of Resource Selection Functions: Sampling and Data Analysis—James D. Forester, Harvard University; Hae Kyung Im, The University of Chicago; ◆Paul J. Rathouz, The University of Chicago 2:45 p.m. The Future of Indirect Evidence—◆Brad Efron, Stanford University 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion Monday, August 3 6:00 p.m. – 8:00 p.m. Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Grand Ballroom Central Washington, DC 105 Monday WNAR Organizer(s): Jonathan Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University Chair(s): Jonathan Schildcrout, Vanderbilt University 3:05 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 198 ✪ New Invited CC-158B Developments in Model Selection— SSC, Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Jiahua Chen, The University of British Columbia Chair(s): Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan 2:05 p.m. Feature Selection in GLM with Large Model Spaces—◆Jiahua Chen, The University of British Columbia; Zehua Chen, National University of Singapore 2:30 p.m. Composite Likelihood Information Criterion for Model Selection in High-Dimensional Data— ◆Xin Gao, York University; Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan 2:55 p.m. Model Selection Bias in Genome-Wide Genetic Studies—◆Lei Sun, University of Toronto 3:20 p.m. Disc: Pengfei Li, University of Alberta 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 199 Cosmology and Astrophysics—Invited 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation of Filaments—◆Larry Wasserman, Carnegie Mellon University 2:35 p.m. Detection of Weak Lensing: A Statistical Challenge to Unveil the Dark Side of the Universe—◆Laura Cayon, Purdue University 3:05 p.m. Coherent Statistical Calibration of High-Energy Photon Detectors—◆David A. van Dyk, University of California, Irvine; Vinay Kashyap, HarvardSmithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Hyunsook Lee, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics; Rima Izem, Harvard University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion JSM 2009 200 CC-204B ■ ✪ Student Paper Competition: Bayesian Genomics and Genetics—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida Chair(s): Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon University 2:05 p.m. A Nonparametric Empirical Bayes Framework for Simultaneous Significance Testing—◆Ryan Martin, Purdue University; Surya T. Tokdar, Carnegie Mellon University; Surya T. Tokdar, Carnegie Mellon University 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Array CGH Data—◆Xiaowei Wu, Rice University; Hongxiao Zhu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Marek Kimmel, Rice University 2:45 p.m. Alternative Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling in Imaging Genetics—◆Jie Shen, University of California, Irvine; Hal Stern, University of California, Irvine 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Mixture Modeling Using a Hybrid Sampler with Application to Protein Subfamily Identification—◆Youyi Fong, University of Washington; Jon Wakefield, University of Washington; Kenneth Rice, University of Washington 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-206 IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Anirban DasGupta, Purdue University Chair(s): Anirban DasGupta, Purdue University 106 Topic-Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 201 ■ ✪ Algebraic CC-209B Methods—Topic-Contributed IMS Organizer(s): Ian H. Dinwoodie, Duke University Chair(s): Ian H. Dinwoodie, Duke University 2:05 p.m. Algebraic Methods in Statistics—◆Ahmad S. Yasamin, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute 2:25 p.m. Conditional Independence Models via Filtrations— ◆Simon Lunagomez, Duke University; Sayan Mukherjee, Duke University; Robert L. Wolpert, Duke University 2:45 p.m. Trek Separation for Gaussian Graphical Models— ◆Seth Sullivant, North Carolina State University 3:05 p.m. Design of Experiments and Inference of Biochemical Networks—◆Reinhard Laubenbacher, Virginia Bioinformatics Institute; Brandilyn Stigler, Southern Methodist University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:25 p.m. 3:45 p.m. Discretization of Time Series Data—◆Paola Vera-Licona, Rutgers University; Elena S. Dimitrova, Clemson University; John McGee, Radford University; Reinhard Laubenbacher, Virginia Bioinformatics Institute ■ ✪ Applications 3:25 p.m. Understanding Past Temperature Reconstruction by Integrating Different Sources—◆Bo Li, Purdue University; Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Caspar Ammann, National Center for Atmospheric Research 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-204A of Bayesian Statistics and Information Theory—Topic-Contributed 2:05 p.m. Estimating the Population Utility Function: A Parametric Bayesian Approach— ◆Rasim M. Musal, Texas State University 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Inference in Abandonment Processes of Call Centers—◆Tevfik Aktekin, The George Washington University 2:45 p.m. Prior Information Allocation for Collinear Regression—◆Ehsan S. Soofi, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee; Nader Ebrahimi, Northern Illinois University 3:05 p.m. A Short Note on Bayesian Analysis of Dynamic Probit Models—◆Minje Sung, Ajou University; Refik Soyer, The George Washington University 3:25 p.m. Detection of Outliers in Bayesian Factor Analysis Using Information Complexity—◆Hamparsum Bozdogan, The University of Tennessee 204 Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Yao Huang, FDA Chair(s): Yao Huang, FDA 2:05 p.m. Optimizing Decision Rules for Trial Device Responder Identification—◆Jeng Mah, Regulatory and Clinical Research Institute, Inc. 2:25 p.m. Meta-Analysis of Time-to-Event Survival Curves in Drug Eluting Stent Data—◆Hsini Liao, Boston Scientific Corporation; Hong Wang, Boston Scientific Corporation; Yun Lu, Boston Scientific Corporation 2:45 p.m. Analysis of Repeated-Measures Score Data Obtained from Patient Questionnaires in Medical Device Studies—◆Chang S. Lao, FDA 3:05 p.m. Modeling Heterogeneity Across Sites in One-Arm Study—◆Chul H. Ahn, FDA 3:25 p.m. The Effect of Biodegradability on Drug Release Behavior in Drug Eluting Stents—◆Shanti Gomatam, FDA 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 203 CC-209A Statistical Methods and Theory for Spatial and/ or Temporal Data—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, SSC, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Jun Zhu, University of Wisconsin-Madison Chair(s): Jun Zhu, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2:05 p.m. A Block Bootstrap Under Long-Range Dependence—◆Dan Nordman, Iowa State University 2:25 p.m. On Nonparametric Variance Estimation for SecondOrder Statistics of Inhomogeneous Spatial Point Processes—◆Yongtao Guan, Yale University Local Whittle Estimator for Anisotropic Random Fields—◆Chae Young Lim, Michigan State University; Hongwen Guo, Educational Testing Service; Mark M. Meerschaert, Michigan State University CC-153 Statistical Analysis of Medical Device Data— Topic-Contributed Monday Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Refik Soyer, The George Washington University Chair(s): Refik Soyer, The George Washington University 2:45 p.m. Time-Frequency Methods for Space-Time Models— ◆Peter F. Craigmile, The Ohio State University Floor Discussion 202 3:45 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 205 Trends and Forecasts in Time Series— Topic-Contributed CC-142 Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:05 p.m. Equivalent Reproducing Kernels for Smoothing Spline Predictors—◆Silvia Bianconcini, University of Bologna; Estela Bee Dagum, University of Bologna 2:25 p.m. An Assessment of Trend Estimation Methods— ◆Yorghos Tripodis, Boston University 2:45 p.m. The CES/JOLTS Divergence: How to Apply the Monthly Alignment Method to Help Close the Gap— Jeannine M. Mercurio, Bureau of Labor Statistics; ◆Edmond Cheng, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:05 p.m. Issues in Trend Estimates for Official Statistics— ◆Begoña Martín, Office for National Statistics; Duncan Elliott, Office for National Statistics; Washington, DC 107 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:45 p.m. Kernel Singular Spectrum Analysis: Nonlinear Forecasting Using a Linear Method—◆Theodore Alexandrov, University of Bremen Improving the Utility of Three-Year ACS Data: A Transportation Perspective—◆Elaine Murakami, Federal Highway Administration; Ed Christopher, Federal Highway Administration 3:05 p.m. Disc: Graham Kalton, Westat, Inc. Floor Discussion 3:25 p.m. Disc: Ken Hodges, Nielsen Claritas 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Peter Meszaros, Statistics Canada; Craig McLaren, UK Office for National Statistics 3:25 p.m. 3:45 p.m. 206 ■ ✪ Response CC-101 Strategies for Establishment Surveys in the Economic Programs Directorate, U.S. Census Bureau—Topic-Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Ruth E. Detlefsen, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Shirin A. Ahmed, U.S. Census Bureau Response Improvement Strategies for the 2007 Economic Census—◆Ruth E. Detlefsen, U.S. Census Bureau; Shirin A. Ahmed, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 p.m. Effectiveness of the Account Manager Program for the 2007 Economic Census—Robert Marske, U.S. Census Bureau; ◆Michael J. Hartz, U.S. Census Bureau 3:05 p.m. Strategies to Improve Response Rates for Current Economic Programs—◆Robert J. Reinard, U.S. Census Bureau Improving Response Rates for the 2007 Census of Government Employment—◆Kerstin K. Edwards, U.S. Census Bureau; Kenneth L. Long, U.S. Census Bureau; Grace O’Neill, Energy Information Administration; Carma Hogue, U.S. Census Bureau 3:25 p.m. Disc: Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 207 ■ ✪ Challenges CC-201 Related to The American Community Survey Three-Year Estimates— Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Anthony Tersine, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Lars Lyberg, Statistics Sweden 2:05 p.m. The Quality of ACS Estimates for Small Population Groups—◆Alfredo Navarro, U.S. Census Bureau; Michael D. Starsinic, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 p.m. Measurement of Geographic Mobility Using Three-Year Estimates from the American Community Survey—◆Joseph J. Salvo, NYC Department of City Planning; A. Peter Lobo, NYC Department of City Planning; Joel A. Alvarez, NYC Department of City Planning 108 JSM 2009 ■ ✪ Measuring Poverty: New Research Findings—Topic-Contributed CC-204C Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Kathleen S. Short, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Rebecca M. Blank, Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs, U.S. Department of Commerce 2:05 p.m. 2:45 p.m. 208 2:05 p.m. Cohabitation and Child Care in a Poverty Measure—◆Kathleen S. Short, U.S. Census Bureau 2:25 p.m. Measuring MOOP with SIPP/MEPS—◆Sharon I. O’Donnell, U.S. Census Bureau 2:45 p.m. National Academy of Sciences--Based Poverty Thresholds: The Details of Alternatives and Choices in Specification—◆Thesia I. Garner, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:05 p.m. Experimental Poverty Measures: Geographic Adjustments from the American Community Survey and BEA Price Parities—◆Trudi Renwick, U.S. Census Bureau 3:25 p.m. Disc: Constance F. Citro, The National Academies 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 209 2:35 p.m. EWOC 3.0: Interactive Software for Dose Escalation in Cancer Phase I Clinical Trials—◆Zhiheng Xu, Emory University; Mourad Tighiouart, Emory University; Andre Rogatko, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center; Lin Pan, Emory University Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Is Changing Disability Among Returning Veterans: What Can We Do?—Topic-Contributed Committee on Statistics and Disability, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Michele Connolly, Sweetgrass Consulting, LLC Chair(s): Joan L. Turek, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 2:50 p.m. Design and Analysis Issues with Vector of Binary Events as Primary Outcome—◆Edward J. Mascha, Cleveland Clinic Foundation 3:05 p.m. Married to Mantel-Haenszel? Consider a MinimumRisk Affair!—◆Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories Panelists: ◆Michele Connolly, Sweetgrass Consulting, LLC 3:20 p.m. Weighted Kernel Fisher Discriminant Analysis for Integrating Genomic and Clinical Data with Application to Cancer Prediction—◆Jemila S. Hamid, Hospital for Sick Children; Celia M.T. Greenwood, University of Toronto; Joseph Beyene, University of Toronto ◆Paula Schnurr, Veterans Affairs National Center for Posttraumatic Stress Disorder ◆Ronald Manderscheid, SRA International ◆Cille Kennedy, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services 3:35 p.m. Study of Oncologic Treatment Effect Differences Between Gender and Age Groups—◆Weishi Yuan, FDA; Yu-Ling Chang, FDA; Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 210 CC-143B So You Want to Be an Expert Witness?— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Christopher H. Schmid, Tufts Medical Center Chair(s): Joseph C. Cappelleri, Pfizer Inc. Panelists: ◆Christopher H. Schmid, Tufts Medical Center ◆Elaine Allen, Babson College ◆Harold Feldman, University of Pennsylvania ◆Jeffrey Ginsberg, Kenyon and Kenyon 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 211 Statistical Issues in Clinical Trials— Contributed 212 Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Tatevik Sekhposyan, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:05 p.m. Tests for Causality Between Two InfiniteOrder Vector Autoregressive Series—◆Chafik Bouhaddioui, United Arab Emirates University; Jean-Marie Dufour, McGill University 2:20 p.m. Efficient Nonparametric IV Estimation of Local Average Treatment Effects Using the Estimated Propensity Score and a Test for Unconfoundedness—◆Robert P. Lieli, The University of Texas at Austin; Stephen Donald, The University of Texas at Austin; Hsu Yu-Chin, The University of Texas at Austin 2:35 p.m. Score Test--Based on GEL in the Presence of Weakly Identified Nuisance Parameters— ◆Saraswata Chaudhuri, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:50 p.m. Wald Tests for Detecting Multiple Structural Changes in Persistence—◆Mohitosh Kejriwal, Purdue University; Pierre Perron, Boston University; Jing Zhou, BlackRock, Inc. 3:05 p.m. Dynamic Factors in Periodic Time-Varying Regression Models—◆Marius Ooms, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam; Virginie Dordonnat, Electricité de France; Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam CC-144B ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Ghideon Ghebregiorgis, FDA Comparison of Methods for Meta-Analysis with Sparse Events Using Patient-Year Data—Yang Zhao, Purdue University; ◆Hongwei Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Arlene Swern, Merck & Co., Inc. CC-158A New Approaches in Econometrics—Contributed Washington, DC 109 Monday Assessing Regression Modeling with Ordinal Repeated Responses—◆Kao-Tai Tsai, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company CC-102A ■ ✪ How 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Detecting and Testing Change Points in Nonparametric Models Based on Series Estimation Methods—◆Yingxing Li, Cornell University; Haiqiang Chen, Cornell University Saturated Row-Column Designs and Their Applications—◆Xianggui Qu, Oakland University 2:50 p.m. Quantile Estimation with Computer Experiments— ◆Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Jim Gattiker, Los Alamos National Laboratory 3:05 p.m. Comparison of Screening Methods in the Presence of Interactions—◆Danel Draguljic, The Ohio State University; Dave Woods, University of Southampton; Angela Dean, The Ohio State University; Susan Lewis, University of Southampton 3:20 p.m. Bayesian-Inspired Minimum Aberration Two- and Four-Level Designs—◆Roshan J. Vengazhiyil, Georgia Institute of Technology; Mingyao Ai, Peking University; C.F. Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 213 CC-141 Advances in Survival Analysis—Contributed ENAR Chair(s): Russ Roegner, U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. 2:35 p.m. 2:50 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. 214 ■ Cox Regression Methodology Applied to the Analysis of Multivariate Survival Response Data— ◆Shulamith T. Gross, Baruch College; Catherine Huber-Carol, Université Paris Descartes Long-Term Survivor Models and Two-Component Mixture Models—Wonkuk Kim, University of South Florida; ◆Bong-Jin Choi, University of South Florida; Yong Xu, University of South Florida Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data with Random Changepoints—◆Chengjie Xiong, Washington University; Yuan Xu, Washington University Estimation of Overall Survival in an Illness-Death Model with Application to the Vertical Transmission of HIV-1—Halina Frydman, New York University; ◆Michael Szarek, ImClone Systems Joint Modeling of Longitudinally Measured Dialysis Reuse and Time-to-Death in the HEMO Study—◆Abdus Sattar, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa A. Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh; Christos Argyropoulos, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center; Mark Unruh, University of Pittsburgh Improved Survival Modeling Using a Piecewise Exponential Approach—◆Gang Han, Moffitt Cancer Center; Michael J. Schell, Moffitt Cancer Center; Jongphil Kim, Moffit Cancer Center 215 Clustering and Variable Selection in High-Dimensional Data—Contributed Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Matthias Katzfuss, The Ohio State University 2:05 p.m. Conditional Subspace Clustering of Skill Mastery Infomation—◆Elizabeth Ayers, Carnegie Mellon University 2:20 p.m. Discovering Homogeneous Geographic Areas Using Clustering—◆Jin Yan Shao, IBM China Research Laboratory; Bin Zhang, IBM China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Li Xia, IBM China Research Laboratory; Wenjun Yin, IBM; Jin Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory 2:35 p.m. Clustering High-Dimension, Low Sample–Size Data—◆Jeongyoun Ahn, The University of Georgia; Youngjoo Yoon, The University of Georgia 2:50 p.m. Image Segmentation by SUP Clustering Algorithm—◆Ting-Li Chen, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica 3:05 p.m. Effect of Number of Clusters, Cluster Size, and Correction for Chance Agreement on the Shape of Similarity Indexes in Cluster Analysis—◆Ahmed N. Albatineh, Nova Southeastern University 3:20 p.m. Penalization Methods for Simultaneous Supervised Clustering and Variable Selection—◆Dhruv Sharma, North Carolina State University; Howard D. Bondell, North Carolina State University; Hao (Helen) Zhang, North Carolina State University 3:35 p.m. Relations Between Quantitative and Categorical Variables: New Aspects—◆Igor Mandel, Telmar Group Inc.; Boris Mirkin, University of London Floor Discussion Experimental Designs—Contributed CC-149A Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Abhyuday Mandal, The University of Georgia 2:05 p.m. Choosing a Strength Three Orthogonal Array to Estimate Interactions—◆Robert W. Mee, The University of Tennessee 2:20 p.m. 24-Run Hadamard Designs for Estimation and Detection of Interactions—◆Yingfu F. Li, University of Houston-Clear Lake CC-209C Washington, DC 111 Monday 2:35 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 216 Innovations in Imputation Methods— Contributed CC-202B 2:35 p.m. Nonparametric Incidence Estimation from Prevalent Cohort Data—◆Marco Carone, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Masoud Asgharian, McGill University; Mei-Cheng Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Daniel Scharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 2:50 p.m. Evaluation of Medical Diagnostic Systems with Multiple Heterogeneous Biomarkers—◆Carol Y. Lin, CDC; Lance A. Waller, Emory University; Robert H. Lyles, Emory University 3:05 p.m. Assessing Risk of a Factor Using Impact Numbers in a Case-Control Study—◆Khairul Islam, Wayne State University; Tanweer J. Shapla, Eastern Michigan University 3:20 p.m. Multilevel Modeling with Scaled Weights vs. Models Based on Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) with Bootstrap Variance Estimation—◆Alomgir Hossain, University of Saskatchewan; Punham Pahwa, University of Saskatchewan 3:35 p.m. Estimating Equations—Alan J. Lee, University of Auckland; ◆Alastair Scott, University of Auckland; Chris Wild, University of Auckland Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Paul J. Lavrakas, Consultant 2:05 p.m. Posterior predictive checking of imputation models—◆Yulei He, Harvard Medical School; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School 2:20 p.m. Analyses Based on Combining Similar Information from Multiple Surveys—◆Georgia Roberts, Statistics Canada; David Binder, Statistics Canada (Retired) 2:35 p.m. Performance of Sequential Imputation Method in Multilevel Settings—◆Enxu Zhao, New York State Department of Health; Recai M. Yucel, State University of New York at Albany 2:50 p.m. The Practice of Imputation Methods with Structural Equation Models—◆Cherie J. Alf, Iowa State University; Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University; Frederick O. Lorenz, Iowa State University 3:05 p.m. Imputation of Gaps in Transaction Sequences— ◆Robin Lee, NORC at the University of Chicago; Michael P. Cohen, NORC at the University of Chicago; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago 3:20 p.m. Imputation of Income, Poverty, and Medicaid Status in the Ohio Family Health Survey—◆Ronaldo Iachan, Macro International, Inc.; Bo Lu, The Ohio State University; Thomas Duffy, Macro International, Inc. 3:35 p.m. Imputation of Nominal Variables Using GaussianBased Routines—◆Recai M. Yucel, State University of New York at Albany 217 CC-143C New Developments in Epidemiologic Methods— Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Arkendra De, FDA 2:05 p.m. Improvement in Performance by Combining Biomarkers in Diagnostic Medicine—◆Aasthaa Bansal, University of Washington; Margaret Pepe, University of Washington 2:20 p.m. An Estimating Equations Approach for Latent Transition Models with Latent Class Predictors in Drug Use Epidemiology—◆Beth A. Reboussin, Wake Forest University School of Medicine; Nicholas Ialongo, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 112 JSM 2009 218 ■ CC-203B From Meteorology to Weather—Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Devin Johnson, National Marine Mammal Laboratory 2:05 p.m. Bayesian Graphical Models for Multivariate Spatial Data with Application to Environmental Data— ◆Kathryn M. Irvine, Montana State University; Alix Gitelman, Oregon State University 2:20 p.m. Inter-Annual Modeling and Seasonal Forecasting of Intermountain Snowpack Dynamics—◆James B. Odei, Utah State University; Mevin B. Hooten, Utah State University; Jiming Jin, Utah State University 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling for Paleoclimate Reconstruction from Geothermal Data—◆Jenny Brynjarsdottir, The Ohio State University; L. Mark Berliner, The Ohio State University 2:50 p.m. Exploring a Possibly Increasing Trend of Hurricane Activity by a SiZer Approach—◆Jesper Rydén, Uppsala University 3:05 p.m. Tree-Ring--Based Climate Reconstruction— ◆Matthew Schofield, Columbia University; Richard Barker, University of Otago 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 219 CC-159A Advances in the Implementation and Analysis of Monte Carlo Methods—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Yongyun Shin, Virginia Commonwealth University 3:05 p.m. Regularity of Irregularity—◆Brani Vidakovic, Georgia Tech/Emory University; Kichun S. Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology 3:20 p.m. Approximation of Likelihood by the Projection Pursuit Regression for Multi-Parameter Distributions—◆Ahmet Sezer, Anadolu University 3:35 p.m. Regularized Estimation in AFT Models with High-Dimensional Covariates—◆Liping Huang, University of Kentucky; Mai Zhou, University of Kentucky; Arne C. Bathke, University of Kentucky Reconstructing the Energy Landscape of a Distribution from Monte Carlo Samples—◆Qing Zhou, University of California, Los Angeles; Wing H. Wong, Stanford University 2:20 p.m. Gibbs Ensemble for Incompatible Conditional Models—◆Yuchung J. Wang, Rutgers University-Camden 221 2:35 p.m. Two Case Studies of Power Analysis for Clinical Trial Designs by Using Simulations—◆Junxiang Luo, Eli Lilly and Company Biometrics Section, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Robert Krafty, University of Pittsburgh 2:50 p.m. Computer-Aided Reasoning in Statistics— ◆Leif Johnson, The University of Minnesota 3:05 p.m. Random Graph Models for Inference: The Devil Is in the Details—◆Elizabeth A. Beer, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University; Edward R. Scheinerman, Johns Hopkins University 3:20 p.m. Distribution of Spaced Seed Statistics Through Minimal Markov Chain Embedding—◆KeTrena S. Phipps, North Carolina State University; Donald E.K. Martin, North Carolina State University 3:35 p.m. Neuroimaging Analysis—Contributed 2:05 p.m. Design Effects with Generalized Linear Mixed Effects Model—◆Qiaohao Zhu, University of Alberta 2:20 p.m. Signal Extraction in Noisy Images: Improvements to Wavelet-Based False Discovery Rate Methods— ◆Joel O’Hair, Southern Methodist University; Wayne A. Woodward, Southern Methodist University; Richard F. Gunst, Southern Methodist University; William Schucany, Southern Methodist University 2:35 p.m. NMR Peak Alignment Through Lineshape Modeling and Dynamic Programming—◆Cheng Zheng, Purdue University; Shucha Zhang, Purdue University; Daniel Raftery, Purdue University; Olga Vitek, Purdue University 2:50 p.m. The Effects of Preprocessing on fMRI Data— ◆Daniel B. Rowe, Medical College of Wisconsin 3:05 p.m. Semiparametric Modeling for Activation in Language Processing with fMRI Data—◆Namhee Kim, The Ohio State University; Prem K. Goel, The Ohio State University 3:20 p.m. Spatial Clustering of Response Curves from MultiSubject fMRI Studies—◆Lucy Robinson, Columbia University; Martin Lindquist, Columbia University 3:35 p.m. QTL Mapping on Shape—◆Guifang Fu, Penn State University Floor Discussion 220 CC-203A Nonparametric Estimation—Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Huiyan Sang, Texas A&M University 2:05 p.m. A Theil-Type Estimate in Multiple Linear Regression and Its Asymptotics—◆Gang Shen, Purdue University 2:20 p.m. Nonparametric Regression Analysis of SPD Matrices—◆Ying Yuan, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Hongtu Zhu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; J. Steve Marron, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Dinggang Shen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:35 p.m. 2:50 p.m. The ed Method for Nonparametric Density Estimation and Diagnostic Checking—◆Ryan P. Hafen, Purdue University; William S. Cleveland, Purdue University Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Mean Response Functions and Their Derivatives— ◆Benjamin K. Hall, University of Kentucky; Richard Charnigo, University of Kentucky; Cidambi Srinivasan, University of Kentucky CC-144C 222 Applied Longitudinal Data Analysis— Contributed CC-148 Biometrics Section Chair(s): Benjamin Leiby, Thomas Jefferson University 2:05 p.m. Comparison of Prediction Interval Methods for a One-Way Random Effects Model—◆Jamie M. Baldwin, Info Tech, Inc.; Ramon Littell, University of Florida Washington, DC 113 Monday 2:05 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Summarizing Response: When ‘Effect Over Time’ Doesn’t Actually Capture an Intervention’s Effect in Longitudinal Data—Rochelle E. Tractenberg, Georgetown University Medical Center; ◆KangHsien Fan, Georgetown University; Anne-Michelle Noone, Georgetown University; Kathryn Sandberg, Georgetown University Medical Center 224 2:35 p.m. Cost-Efficient Designs for Longitudinal Mixed Effects Models—◆Martijn Berger, Maastricht University 2:05 p.m. 2:50 p.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Unconstrained Parameterization for the Covariance of Multivariate Longitudinal Data—◆Chulmin Kim, Rochester Institute of Technology The Gradient Function for Checking Goodnessof-Fit of the Random-Effects Distribution in Mixed Models—◆Geert Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Geert Molenberghs, Hasselt University/ Katholieke Universiteit Leuven 2:20 p.m. Longitudinal Structural Mixed Models and Causal Inference in Surgical Trials with Noncompliance— ◆Colleen Sitlani, University of Washington; Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington 2:35 p.m. Handling Baseline Responses in Repeated Measures Analyses with Data Missing at Random— ◆Phillip Dinh, FDA; Peiling Yang, FDA 2:50 p.m. Weighted Fourier Analysis of Longitudinal Data— ◆Shubing Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Christopher Tong, Merck & Co., Inc. 3:05 p.m. Missing Data Imputation for Estimating Time-toEvent from Longitudinal Continuous Data—◆Lei Xu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Kaifeng Lu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories 3:20 p.m. Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Electrical Muscle Resistance of Patients with Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Using Generalized Additive Mixed Model—◆Catherine Stamoulis, Harvard Medical School; Seward Rutkove, Harvard Medical School 3:35 p.m. Statistical Models for Analyzing Recurrent Events with Application to Hypoglycemia Data in Diabetes Clinical Trials—◆Xiaodan Wei, sanofi-aventis; Yujun Wu, sanofi-aventis; Peng-Liang Zhao, sanofi-aventis 2:20 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. Assessing Agreement with Repeated Measures for Random Observers—◆Chia-Cheng Chen, North Carolina State University; Huiman Barnhart, Duke University Statistical Genetics and Computational Biology—Contributed CC-208B IMS Chair(s): Adam J Rothman, University of Michigan 2:05 p.m. Competing Risks with Missing Covariates: Effect of Matching Haplotypes on BMT Patients—◆Thomas Scheike, University of Copenhagen 2:20 p.m. Classification Model Based on Permanent Process with Application to Microarray Analysis—◆Jie Yang, University of Illinois at Chicago 2:35 p.m. Robust DNA Copy Number Estimation and SNP Genotype Calling: A Single Array Approach— ◆Wenjiang Fu, Michigan State University; Lin Wan, Peking University; Kelian Sun, Michigan State University; Qi Ding, Michigan State University; Ming Li, Michigan State University; Yalu Wen, Michigan State University; Yuehua Cui, Michigan State University; Robert C. Elston, Case Western Reserve University; Minping Qian, Peking University 2:50 p.m. Genotype Calling Accuracy Varies with the Arrays in the Joint Calling Procedure—◆Yalu Wen, Michigan State University; Ming Li, Michigan State University; Wenjiang Fu, Michigan State University 3:05 p.m. Quality Control of Affymetrix SNP Arrays by Imputation of Damaged Area—◆Ming Li, Michigan State University; Wenjiang Fu, Michigan State University; Yalu Wen, Michigan State University 3:20 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation of Gene-Wise Variance for Microarray Data—◆Yue Niu, Princeton University 3:35 p.m. 114 Repeated Measures and Longitudinal Data Analysis—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Mohamed Alosh, FDA Floor Discussion 223 Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-144A 225 CC-208A Bayesian Variable Selection and Genomics— Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Fei Liu, University of Missouri-Columbia 2:05 p.m. Impact of Informative Prior in Discrete Bayesian Graphical Models: Application to Genome-Wide Association Studies—◆Jinnan Liu, Samuel Lunenfeld Research Institute of Mount Sinai Hospital; Laurent Briollais, Samuel Lunenfeld Research Institute of Mount Sinai Hospital; Adrian Dobra, University of Washington; Helene Massam, York University 2:20 p.m. A Bayesian Semiparametric Hierarchical Model for Analyzing Differential Expression in Sequence-Based Gene Expression Data— ◆Soma S. Dhavala, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:35 p.m. Hierarchical Bayesian Variable Selection for Genetic Association—◆Deukwoo Kwon, National Cancer Institute 2:50 p.m. Seeking Higher-Order Chromatin Domains in Mouse Stem Cells via Hidden Markov Models— ◆Jessica L. Larson, Harvard University; Guocheng Yuan, Harvard University 3:05 p.m. Bayesian Variable Selection in Generalized Gaussian Process Models—◆Terrance D. Savitsky, Rice University; Marina Vannucci, Rice University; Naijun Sha, The University of Texas at El Paso 3:20 p.m. QC, operation research, risk assessment Exploratory Data Analysis at the Boundary of Statistics and Engineering Design Optimization—◆Theodore Allen, The Ohio State University; Mikhail Bernshteyn, Sagata Ltd.; Ravishankar Rajagopalan, The Ohio State University Defense and National Security Planning Surveillance for a Stockpile That Might Degrade—◆Scott Vander Wiel, Los Alamos National Laboratory; C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University; Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University; Todd Graves, Los Alamos National Laboratory Graphics, visualization Scatterplots for Sampling Weighted Data— ◆Thomas Lumley, University of Washington Defense and National Security 04 Innovative Guidance for the Design of New Surveys or Major Revisions of Existing Surveys—◆Jeri M. Mulrow, National Science Foundation 227 CC-L Street Bridge 07 Data Expo 2009: Flight Delays—Through a Glass Lately—◆Waqas A. Malik, Uni Augsburg; Antony Unwin, Uni Augsburg 08 Data Expo 2009: Congestion in the Sky: Visualizing Domestic Airline Traffic with SAS—◆Rick Wicklin, SAS Institute Inc.; Robert Allison, SAS Institute Inc. 09 Data Expo 2009: Minimizing the Probability of Experiencing a Flight Delay—Tanujit Dey, College of William & Mary; ◆David Phillips, College of William & Mary; Patrick Steele, 10 Data Expo 2009: What Airline Is Best for You?— ◆Nathan Yau, University of California, Los Angeles 11 Data Expo 2009: Comparing SFO and OAK— ◆Charlotte Wickham, University of California, Berkeley 12 Data Expo 2009: Taking Off!—◆Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University 13 Data Expo 2009: On the Use of Dynamic Information Displays for Multidimensional Space-Time Data Exploration—◆Jose J. Hernandez, W.R. Grace 14 Data Expo 2009: Make a Smart Choice on Booking Your Flight!—◆Yu-Hsiang Sun, Case Western Reserve University 15 Data Expo 2009: Airline Data for Raleigh-Durham International—◆Michael T. Crotty, SAS Institute Inc. 16 Data Expo 2009: The Airplane Data Set … What’s the Big Deal?—◆Michael Kane, Yale University 17 Data Expo 2009: Kaleidoscope Graphs—◆Mario A. Morales, Hunter College 18 Data 2009: Airline On-Time Performance— ◆Hadley Wickham, Rice University 19 Data Expo 2009: What Airlines Would You Avoid for Your Next Flight?—◆Haolai Jiang, Western Michigan University; Jung-Chao Wang, Western Michigan University CC-L Street Bridge Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation 03 06 Graphics, visualization Invited Poster Oral Presentations: Statistics in Policy—Invited 02 Sampling and survey methodology Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Hadley Wickham, Rice University Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Poster Presentations 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 01 The Relationship Between Reliability and Misclassification in Physician Quality and Cost Profiles—◆John L. Adams, RAND Health; Ateev Mehrotra, RAND Health; J. William Thomas, University of Southern Maine; Elizabeth A. McGlynn, RAND Health Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Data Expo 2009—Topic-Contributed Floor Discussion 226 05 Disclosure Limitation Techniques for Tabular Data— ◆Joe Fred Gonzalez, Jr., National Center for Health Statistics Washington, DC 115 Monday 3:35 p.m. Understanding Inference from Stochastic Search Variable Selection with Different Priors: How Much Evidence Is There?—◆Michael D. Swartz, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Health policy, epidemiology, public health GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 228 CC-L Street Bridge 230 Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Defense and National Security 20 Opinion Pooling on Maps—◆Jonathan Wilson, San Diego State University; Kristin Duncan, San Diego State University CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Experiences in Consulting at Virginia Tech— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Laura J. Freeman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Statistical consulting Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 21 Experimental design 22 An Efficient Approach for Finding Optimal Resource Allocations in a Missile Reliability Study—◆Jessica Chapman, St. Lawrence University; Max Morris, Iowa State University; Christine Anderson-Cook, Los Alamos National Laboratory A Comparative Statistical Analysis for Forest Service Trail Tread Width—◆Laura J. Freeman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 26 Using Meteorological Data to Predict Ozone Levels in Rural Areas—◆John Szarka, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Nels Johnson, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 27 Predicting Mortality in Infants—◆Mark Seiss, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 28 Ecological Application of Changepoint Models— ◆Jonathan Duggins, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Dong-Yun Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Sue Newman, South Florida Water Management District; Eric Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 29 Survey Design for Evaluating the Role of International Students in Domestic Engineering Graduate Programs— ◆Anne Ryan, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Stephanie U. Balko; Veronica Bobb, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Bootstrap, resampling methods 23 Fixed-Width Confidence Bands for ROC Curves with a Generalized False Positive Interval—◆Daniel Katz, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; Jacob Boon, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; Michael Miller, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; Austin DiOrio, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory 231 CC-Hall D 229 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Section on Statistical Consulting Contributed SSC Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Statistical Analysis of Text Experimental design 24 A Stylometric Analysis Method with Semiparametric Bayesian Approach—◆Paramjit S. Gill, The University of British Columbia 30 Testing for Co-Directional and Anti-Directional Interactions Using Union-Intersection and Intersection-Union Methods—◆Julia L. Sharp, Clemson University; Patrick D. Gerard, Clemson University Statistical consulting 31 Testing Equal Protection of the Law: Unequal Quanta of Evidence in Drunken Driving Prosecutions in New Jersey—◆Ayako Kambara, Applied Statistical Consulting, LLC 32 A Student Perspective: My Learning Experience in a University Statistical Consulting Center—◆Whitney B. Miner, Grand Valley State University; Phyllis J. Curtiss, Grand Valley State University Washington, DC 117 Monday Expected and Observed Fisher Information in Variance Estimation for Maximum Likelihood Estimates—◆Xumeng Cao, Johns Hopkins University; James C. Spall, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory 25 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 33 A Case Study of Fitting and Comparing Nonlinear Parameters for Predicting Poultry Contamination— ◆Andy Mauromoustakos, University of Arkansas; Min Li, University of Arkansas Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 39 NOCF! The future in Missing Data—◆Herbert Thijs, Hasselt University QC, operation research, risk assessment 232 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed WNAR 40 Clinical trials, drug discovery 41 Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 34 Detecting Subclusters in Outliers by Cluster Analysis— ◆Dongseok Choi, Oregon Health & Science University; Zhixin Kang, The University of North Carolina at Pembroke; Carrie Nielson, Oregon Health & Science University; Eric Orwoll, Oregon Health & Science University; George Tiao, The University of Chicago Nonparametric Tolerance Interval Approach for Specifications—◆Meiyu Shen, FDA; Yi Tsong, FDA The Impact of Bioavailability on the Continual Reassessment Method—◆Jessica E. Pruszynski, Baylor University; Anna McGlothlin, Eli Lilly and Company; John W. Seaman, II, Baylor University Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 42 Visual Diagnostics for Pharmacokinetic Models— ◆Xiaoyong Sun, Iowa State University; Dianne Cook, Iowa State University Applications and case studies 43 233 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: New Statistical Developments Advancing Biopharmaceutical Research—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, ENAR Chair(s): Yang Yang, FDA Guidelines for the Analysis of FDG-PET Imaging Biomarkers—◆Patricia English, Pfizer Inc.; David Raunig, Pfizer Inc.; Santos Carvajal-Gonzalez, Pfizer Inc.; Yanwei Zhang, Pfizer Inc. Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 44 Recurrent Events Data Analysis in Medical Device Trials— ◆Cathy Zeng, Medtronic, Inc. Social and behavioral science 35 Analyzing Quality-of-Life Data—◆Robert Norton, California State University, East Bay; Yan Yan Zhou, California State University, East Bay Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 45 Clinical trials, drug discovery 36 Post-Randomization Subgroup: A Tale of Analysis in Early Responders—◆Yue Shentu, Merck & Co., Inc. A Comparison of Statistical Approaches for Cluster Randomized Trials with Survival Outcomes—◆Margaret R. Stedman, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; David Gagnon, Boston University School of Public Health; Robert Lew, Boston University; Elena Losina, Boston University; Daniel Solomon, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; M. Alan Brookhart, Brigham and Women’s Hospital/ Harvard Medical School Applications and case studies 37 Rank-Based Adjustment of Baseline Imbalance in Assessing BOTOXÆ Dose-Dependent Response of Reducing Urinary Urge Incontinence in a Phase II Trial—◆Jihao Zhou, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Thomas Lin, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Corneliar Haag-Molkenteller, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Catherine Thompson, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Grace Daniell, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Anand Patel, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; Brenda Jenkins, Allergan Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Clinical trials, drug discovery 38 118 A Fixed Study Design with Conditional Serial Assessment of Co-Primary Endpoints: An Application to a Single-Arm Pilot Oncology Trial—◆Jonathan Mahnken, The University of Kansas Medical Center; Jo Wick, The University of Kansas Medical Center; Byron J. Gajewski, The University of Kansas; Matthew S. Mayo, The University of Kansas Medical Center JSM 2009 Clinical trials, drug discovery 46 Biased Results from Single-Arm Phase II Cancer Clinical Trials: Simulations Based on a Large Clinical Trial—◆Hui Tang, Mayo Clinic; Nathan R. Foster, Mayo Clinic; Richard M. Goldberg, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic 47 Evaluation of the Randomized Placebo-Phase Design for Clinical Trials—◆Stephanie L. Shook, University of Pittsburgh; Howard Rockette, University of Pittsburgh Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 48 Zero-Modified Negative Binomial Distribution as a Robust Family for Modeling Count Data—◆Qian Dong, Merck & Co., Inc.; Hongwei Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Arlene Swern, Merck & Co., Inc.; Eric C. Kleerup, University of California, Los Angeles GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Clinical trials, drug discovery 49 61 Making Decisions in Bioequivalence Studies: A Statistical Contribution—◆Arminda L. Siqueira, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais; Daniela M. Braga, Agência Nacional de Saúde Suplementar - Ministério da Saúde; Paula R. Chellini, Centro de Pesquisa em Biotecnologia 62 Gender Differences in QTcF Based on Moxifloxacin Data—◆Moh-Jee C. Ng, FDA; Joanne Zhang, FDA; Lihan K. Yan, The George Washington University; Qianyu Dang, FDA Comparison of Proportions of Composite Outcomes with Missing Values in their Components—◆Xianbin Li, FDA; Brian S. Caffo, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 50 A Semiparametric Survival Model—◆Ying Zhang, Merck Research Laboratories Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 51 63 Sample Size Determination in Clinical Trials with Multiple Co-Primary Binary Endpoints—◆Takashi Sozu, Osaka University; Tomoyuki Sugimoto, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine; Toshimitsu Hamasaki, Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine 64 A Modified Group Sequential Design on Three-Arm Noninferiority Trials with Binary Endpoints—◆Gang Li, GlaxoSmithKline; Shan Gao, Techdata LLC Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 52 Design of Experiments for Genetic Network Identification—◆Theodore Allen, The Ohio State University; Cenny Taslim, The Ohio State University; Mario Lauria, The Telethon Institute of Genetics and Medicine Clinical trials, drug discovery 65 Clinical trials, drug discovery 53 Optimal Treatment Allocation for a 2-Period, M Treatment Clinical Trial with Fixed Subject Total—◆Theodore C. Lystig, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Experimental design 54 55 Analysis of ITT Duration of Response—◆Ritwik Sinha, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Tai-Tsang Chen, BristolMyers Squibb Company; Chao Zhu, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 56 Predicting Analysis Times in Event-Driven Clinical Trials Based on Blinded Data with Event-Reporting Lag— ◆Jianming Wang, Amgen, Inc.; Chunlei Ke, Amgen, Inc.; Qi Jiang, Amgen, Inc. 57 Estimation of Treatment Retention: The Peak-Trough Ratio—◆William J. Coar, Gilead Colorado, Inc.; Darrin Despain, Gilead Colorado, Inc.; Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Sciences, Inc. 58 What If the Data Were Not Missing?—◆K. F. Yee, Akros Pharma Inc. 59 Beta-Mapping and Beta-Regression for Changes of Ordinal-Rating Measures on Likert Scales: A Comparison Among Multiple Treatment Groups—◆Kelly H. Zou, Pfizer Inc.; Martin O. Carlsson, Pfizer Inc. Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 60 QC, operation research, risk assessment 66 Efficacy with a Diamond Response Design—◆Charlie H. Goldsmith, McMaster University Clinical trials, drug discovery A Likelihood-Based Model Adequacy Test of the Four-Parameter Logistic Model for Data with No Replicate Response—◆Wijith P. Munasinghe, Kansas State University; Kurex Sidik, Pfizer Global Research & Development Risk Assessment of Drug Product Content Uniformity Release Failure: A Bayesian Approach—◆David J. LeBlond, Abbott Laboratories Pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics 67 Two Methods of Estimating Kel and Half-Life, Pharmacokinetic Considerations, and Statistical Tools— ◆Peng Chai, MDS Pharma Services Clinical trials, drug discovery 68 A Bayesian Approach for Tailored Therapy Strategy: Hidden Markov Mixture ITP Model for Predicting Patient Response to Therapy—◆Wei Chen, University of Michigan; Haoda Fu, Eli Lilly and Company 69 Analysis of Recurrent Events Could Be Superior to the Time-to-First Event in Assessment of Drug Therapy in Patients with Arrhythmias—◆Hussein Al-Khalidi, STATKING Consulting, Inc. Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 70 Power and Sample Size Planning as Function of Correlation and Odds Ratio for Exact McNemar Test— John D.S. Hwang, B.R.S.I.; ◆James Lee, Daiichi Sankyo Pharma Development A Semiparametric Copula Method on Building Oncology Association Network with Multiple Pathways, Genotypes, and Phenotypes—Le Bao, University of Washington; Zhou Zhu, Pfizer Inc.; ◆Jingjing Ye, Pfizer Inc. Washington, DC 119 Monday A Comparison Study of General Linear Mixed Model and Permutation Tests in Group-Randomized Trials Under NonNormal Error Distributions—◆Dongyue Fu, Quintiles, Inc.; David M. Murray, The Ohio State University; Seok Wong, University of Memphis Clinical Trial Designs GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 71 Using STATLIA for Bioassay Evaluation in Regulatory Environment—◆Lev Sirota, FDA; Boris G. Zaslavsky, FDA Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 234 ✪ ASA Clinical trials, drug discovery 72 A Multi-Stage, Model-Free Test of Synergy in Drug Combinations—◆Colleen Kelly, Exponent, Inc.; Ping Feng, National Base for Drug Clinical Trials; Toana Kawashima, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Anja Wilmes, Victoria University of Wellington; John Miller, Victoria University of Wellington ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International Chair(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International 4:05 p.m. Measurement Matters: Why Good Statistics Are Important to Understanding the Well-Being of American Families—◆Rebecca M. Blank, Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs, U.S. Department of Commerce 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 73 Using Hierarchical Group Filters in High-Throughput Analysis to Improve the True Positive Discovery Rate— ◆Shesh N. Rai, University of Louisville; Christopher N. Barnes, University of Louisville Clinical Trial Designs 74 R Package for Practitioners: ‘Robust Priors in Clinical Trials’—◆Jairo A. Fuquene, University of Puerto Rico Clinical trials, drug discovery 75 76 The Relative Efficiency of Volumetric Neuroimaging Measures as Outcomes in Clinical Trials—◆Steven D. Edland, University of California, San Diego Analyses of ‘Favorite Data Sets from Drug Research’ by Undergraduate Students—◆Sarah Downing, John Carroll University; Thomas H. Short, John Carroll University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 77 A Bayesian Approach to Dose-Response Assessment and Synergy—◆Violeta G. Hennessey, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Clinical trials, drug discovery 78 Experiences in Outsourcing—◆Jennifer E. Hamer-Maansson, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 79 Surrogate Biomarkers in Prediction of Treatment Effect of Progression-Free Survival and Overall Survival in NonSmall Cell Lung Cancer: A Case Study—◆Linda Sun, Merck & Co., Inc.; Cong Chen, Merck Research Laboratories Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 80 120 Impact of Covariates on Feature Selection in Microarray Analysis—◆Elizabeth McClellan, Southern Methodist University; Monnie McGee, Southern Methodist University; Richard Scheuermann, Pathology U.T. Southwestern Medical Center JSM 2009 CC-Ballroom A-B President’s Invited Address—Invited 235 CC-Ballroom A-B IMS Presidential Address—Invited IMS Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Jianqing Fan, Princeton University 8:00 p.m. Presentation of Awards—◆Nanny Wermuth, Chalmers/Gothenburg University 8:30 p.m. On the Development of Insight: Some Examples in the Statistical Sciences—◆Nanny Wermuth, Chalmers/Gothenburg University 9:15 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel tuesday, August 4 Tours TR09 - The Kennedys: A Georgetown Walking Tour 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. TR10 - The Neighborhoods of Washington, DC: Not Just the Nation’s Capital City 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. TR11 - Welcome to Washington Tour 2:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West Friends and Alumni of Brigham Young University Open House Breakfast Organizer(s): Del Scott, Department of Statistics 7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. CC-302 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Executive Committee Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Thomas Loughin, Simon Fraser University Surrey; Tom Loughin, Simon Fraser University Surrey 7:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. CC-301 Editorial Board: Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research (closed) Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Membership Surveys Committee Annual JSM Meeting Chair(s): Joseph Heyse, Merck Research Laboratories 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room CC-154A 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Journal Business Meeting 7:30 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Statistics Surveys Online Journal RH-Meeting Room 7 CC-2nd Floor Overlook East Chair(s): Amy Prisco, Wiley Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-205 ASA Committee on Minorities in Statistics Business Meeting (Closed) 7:30 a.m.–10:00 a.m. COC Annual Business Meeting Chair(s): Brian Millen, Eli Lilly and Company 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Committee on Professional Ethics RH-Meeting Room 17 RH-Meeting Room 5 Chair(s): John Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. JSM Main Registration CC-East Registration Chair(s): Thomas Petska, IRS 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Sequential Analysis Journal: Editorial Board Breakfast Meeting (closed) 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom East Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (closed) Organizer(s): Nitis Mukhopadhyay, University of Connecticut Organizer(s): Jessica M. Utts, University of California, Irvine 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Business and Economic Statistics Section Executive Committee Meeting (closed) 8:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m. Off Property Meeting Within a Meeting Statistics Workshop for K–12 Math and Science Teachers: Visit to the U.S. Census Bureau and JSM (closed) Chair(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. Technometrics Editorial Board Meeting (closed) Chair(s): David M. Steinberg, Tel Aviv University Chair(s): Martha Aliaga, ASA CC-303 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Career Placement Service CC-Hall D 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Exhibitor Lounge CC-Hall D Washington, DC 121 Tuesday CC-East Registration Chair(s): Tim Keyes, General Electric 7:00 a.m.–10:00 p.m. Cyber Center GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 8:30 a.m.–10:00 a.m. JASA Business Meeting (closed) RH-Meeting Room 3 Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University 1:30 p.m.–3:30 p.m. COC Traveling Course Meeting CC-302 Chair(s): Glenn White, Ernst & Young, LLP 9:00 a.m.–5:30 p.m. ASA Marketplace CC-East Registration 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. EXPO 2009 CC-Hall D 9:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. American Statistical Association Booth #101 CC-Hall D 2:00 p.m.–3:00 p.m. CC-Ballroom A-B ASA Presidential Address and Awards Session Rehearsal (closed) 3:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m. George Mason University Alumni LLEDReception CC-303 E CANC Organizer(s): William F. Rosenberger, George Mason University 11:00 a.m.–12:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 JASA Reviews Editors Meeting (closed) 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 3 Improving Student Performance with Mastery-Based Statistics Software Chair(s): Dalene K. Stangl, Duke University Organizer(s): Brittany Walker, Hawkes Learning Systems 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. Deming Luncheon CC-210 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. Committee on Applied Statisticians Social Mixer CC-303 Chair(s): Nicholas I. Fisher, University of Sydney Chair(s): Lei Zhu, GlaxoSmithKline 12:30 p.m.–1:30 p.m. IMS Business Meeting 4:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom East COC Workshop and Reception RH-Meeting Room 2 Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 JABES Management Committee Business Meeting Chair(s): John Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 4:30 p.m.–6:00 p.m. Biometrics Editorial Board Meeting (closed) CC-301 Organizer(s): Marie Davidian, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. SBSS Business Meeting RH-Meeting Room 6 RH-Meeting Room 3 Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 17 JCGS Management Committee (closed) Chair(s): JLynn Palmer, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 12:30 p.m.–2:30 p.m. TAS Editors’ Lunch RH-Meeting Room 5 Chair(s): Janet Wallace, The American Statistician; John Stufken, The University of Georgia 12:30 p.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West ENAR RAB/RECOM Lunch Meeting (by invitation only) Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR 1:00 p.m.–2:30 p.m. CC-303 Current Index to Statistics Management Committee Chair(s): James E. Gentle, George Mason University 122 JSM 2009 CC-302 Organizer(s): Susan Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. JASA Associate Editors Meeting 5:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. Discussion Group 5:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-102A North Carolina State University, Department of Statistics Organizer(s): Pam Arroway, North Carolina State University 5:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. IMS Council II Meeting RH-Meeting Room 2 Organizer(s): Elyse Gustafson, IMS Executive Director; J. Michael Steele, IMS President; Nanny Wermuth, IMS President 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. CC-3rd Floor East Ear Caucus for Women in Statistics Business Meeting and Reception Organizer(s): Marcia A. Ciol, University of Washington 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Section on Statistics and Marketing Business Meeting Chair(s): Olivier Toubia, Columbia Business School 5:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 Business and Economic Statistics Section Business Meeting Chair(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Business Meeting 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-205 Stanford University Statistics Department Alumni Reunion Chair(s): Doug Wolfe, The Ohio State University Organizer(s): James Gareth, University of Southern California 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. Statistics in Epidemiology Mixer CC-157 Chair(s): Philip Rosenberg, National Cancer Insitute; Philip Rosenberg, National Cancer Institute 6:00 p.m.–8:30 p.m. CC-2nd Floor Overlook West ASA Committee on Minorities in Statistics Reception Chair(s): Brian Millen, Eli Lilly and Company 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Section on Statistical Consulting Business Meeting 6:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-Ballroom A-B 2009 New Fellows Reception (by invitation only) Chair(s): John H. Thompson, National Opinion Research Center Chair(s): Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University 5:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-207B Biopharmaceutical Section Annual Business Meeting and Mixer 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 Joint Reception of Business and Economic Statistics Section and Section on Statistics and Marketing Chair(s): Anna B. Nevius, FDA Chair(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Olivier Toubia, Columbia University 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-209A University of Michigan Biostatistics/Statistics Joint Alumni Reception 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. CC-303 The George Washington University Department of Statistics Alumni Reception Organizer(s): Roderick Little, University of Michigan; Vijay Nair, University of Michigan Organizer(s): Reza Modarres, The George Washington University CC-149A Chair(s): Thomas Loughin, Simon Fraser University Surrey; Tom Loughin, Simon Fraser University Surrey 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. Penn State Alumni Dinner 9:30 p.m.–12:00 a.m. RH-Congressional Ballroom A & B JSM Informal Dance Party Off Property Continuing Education (Fee Events) Chair(s): Bruce Lindsay, Penn State University 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. Off Property-1640 Rhode Island Ave. Committee on Gay and Lesbian Concerns Reception with Guest Speaker Organizer(s): Barry Johnson, Bureau of Labor Statistics 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-160 Section on Government Statistics Business Meeting Chair(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada 5:30 p.m.–8:30 p.m. SBSS Mixer CC-206 Chair(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. Wisconsin Reception 7:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. CC-Ballroom A-B 2009 ASA New Fellows Group Picture (closed) CC-2nd Floor Overlook East Organizer(s): Kam Tsui, Department of Statistics 6:00 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 17 Rice University Department of Statistics CE_22C Absolute Risk Prediction 8:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A ASA, Biometrics Section Instructor(s): Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute; Ruth Pfeiffer, National Cancer Institute CE_23C State Space Time Series Analysis in Practice 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 ASA, Business and Economic Statistics Section Instructor(s): Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam CE_24C Statistical Meta-Analysis: Methods and Applications 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 ASA Instructor(s): Bimal Sinha, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Guido Knapp, Dortmund University of Technology Organizer(s): Katherine Ensor, Department of Statistics Washington, DC 123 Tuesday 5:30 p.m.–7:30 p.m. Joint Q&P/SPES Business Meeting and Mixer GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CE_25C Monte Carlo and Bayesian Computation with R 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 8 & 9 CE_27C Applied Bayesian Nonparametric Mixture Modeling 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 10 & 11 ASA, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Instructor(s): Maria Rizzo, Bowling Green State University; James Albert, Bowling Green State University ASA, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Instructor(s): Athanasios Kottas, University of California, Santa Cruz; Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz CE_26C Comprehensive Data Analysis Using Interactive Statistical Graphics 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 CE_28C Analysis of Clinical Trials: Theory and Applications 8:30 a.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West B ASA, Section on Statistical Graphics Instructor(s): Martin Theus, Telefonica o2-Germany GmbH & Co. OHG; Simon Urbanek, AT&T Labs ASA, Biopharmaceutical Section Instructor(s): Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Keaven Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc. CE_29C Bootstrap for Complex Surveys 1:00 p.m.–5:00 p.m. RH-Renaissance Ballroom West A ASA, Section on Survey Research Methods Instructor(s): Stanislav Kolenikov, University of Missouri-Columbia JSM Informal Dance Party Tuesday, August 4 9:30 p.m. – Midnight Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Congressional Ballrooms A and B 124 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. 236 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Roundtables with Coffee (fee event 239 Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University TL07 Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Organizer(s): Chengying Wu, sanofi-aventis TL01 How to Make Programming Fun—◆Colin (Lin) Chen, Fannie Mae TL02 Reproducible Research—◆John D. Cook, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center TL03 It All Starts with Statistical Programming—◆Nancy Wang, MDS Pharma Services; Peng Chai, MDS Pharma Services TL04 Issues Around Repeated and Random Statements and Considering the Time as Class versus Continuous Variable—◆Radhi F. Abdulnabi, Ovation Pharmaceuticals, Inc 237 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau TL05 238 The Interaction of the Statistician with the Subject Matter Expert: Statistics as a Chameleon Discipline—◆Margaret D. Carroll, National Center for Health Statistics CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation TL06 Predictive Modeling of Health Care Outcomes for Underwriting and Disease Management: Industry’s Lessons, Trends, Comparative Studies—◆Ognian K. Asparouhov, MEDAI, Inc. The Basics of the Survey of Attitudes Toward Statistics— ◆Marjorie E. Bond, Monmouth College 240 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistics and the Environment Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Petrutza Caragea, Iowa State University TL08 If Scientists Agreed to Collect Data However We Wanted, Would We Know What to Tell Them?—◆Mark S. Kaiser, Iowa State University Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 241 CC-202A Introductory Overview Lecture: Designing Longitudinal Studies—Other ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Radu Herbei, The Ohio State University 8:35 a.m. How Many Subjects and How Many Measurements? The Design of Longitudinal Studies—◆Donna L. Spiegelman, Harvard School of Public Health 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion 242 ASA College Stat Bowl I—Other CC-102B ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Stephanie Cano, The University of Texas at San Antonio Chair(s): Stephanie Cano, The University of Texas at San Antonio Washington, DC 125 Tuesday Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) CC-Ballroom South Prefunction GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 243 245 ■ ✪ Advanced Reliability Methods with Applications—Invited CC-206 ✪ New Development in Empirical Likelihood and Its Application—Invited Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University Chair(s): Song Yang, National Institutes of Health 8:35 a.m. Semiparametric Hybrid Empirical Likelihood Inference for Two-Sample Studies with Censored Data—◆Hua Liang, University of Rochester 9:00 a.m. Full Likelihood Inferences in the Cox Model— ◆Jian-Jian Ren, University of Central Florida 9:25 a.m. Empirical Likelihood Inference for Regression Model of Mean Quality-Adjusted Lifetime with Censored Data—◆Hongkun Wang, University of Virginia; Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University 9:50 a.m. 10:15 a.m. Empirical Likelihood Confidence Intervals for the Ratio and Difference of Two Hazard Functions— ◆Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University; Meng Zhao, Georgia State University Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): I-Li Lu, The Boeing Company Chair(s): Ranjan Paul, The Boeing Company 8:35 a.m. Using Accelerated Life Tests Results to Predict Product Field Reliability—◆William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University; Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State University; Yili Hong, Iowa State University 9:00 a.m. The Development of Advanced Reliability Methods for Aircraft Maintenance Optimization Process— ◆I-Li Lu, The Boeing Company; Anbessie A. Yitbarek, The Boeing Company; Ranjan Paul, The Boeing Company; Elizabeth A. Whalen, The Boeing Company; Shuying Zhu, The Boeing Company 9:25 a.m. Reliability in Supercomputing: A Million Processors Cooperating to Solve One Problem—◆George Ostrouchov, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Thomas J. Naughton, III, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Stephen L. Scott, Oak Ridge National Laboratory 9:50 a.m. Detection of Nuclear Material Entering Ports: An Analytic Framework for Data and Policy Analysis— ◆Siddhartha Dalal, RAND Corporation 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 244 ■ ✪ Macroeconomic CC-160 Forecasting—Invited JBES-Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Serena Ng, Columbia University Chair(s): Serena Ng, Columbia University CC-153 246 ■ ✪ New Invited CC-159B Developments in Survey Sampling— International Indian Statistical Association, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Gauri S. Datta, The University of Georgia Chair(s): William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau 8:35 a.m. Macroeconomic Forecasting—◆David Reifschneider, Board of Governors 9:00 a.m. The Production of ECB Staff Macroeconomic Projections—◆Demosthenes Ioannou, European Central Bank 8:35 a.m. Forecasting Global Economic Conditions at the IMF—◆Thomas F. Helbling, International Monetary Fund Cross-Validation in Survey Estimation: Model Selection and Variance Estimation— ◆Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University 9:00 a.m. Bayesian Benchmarking with Applications to Small Area Estimation—◆Gauri S. Datta, The University of Georgia; Malay Ghosh, University of Florida; Rebecca Steorts, University of Florida; Jerry J. Maples, U.S. Census Bureau 9:25 a.m. A Bayesian Adjustment for a Selection Bias in Genetics—◆Balgobin Nandram, Medical College of Georgia 9:50 a.m. New Developments in Model-Based Small Area Estimation—◆Danny Pfeffermann, Hebrew University/University of Southampton 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:25 a.m. 9:50 a.m. Economic Projections at the Bank of Canada— ◆Stephen Murchison, Bank of Canada 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 126 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 247 CC-143A 249 CC-202B Advances in Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Modeling—Invited New Frontiers in Survival Analysis and Clinical Trials—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Social Statistics Section, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Jonathan R. Stroud, The George Washington University Chair(s): Cari Kaufman, University of California, Berkeley WNAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Ying Lu, University of California, San Francisco 8:35 a.m. Multilevel Adaptive Sampling for Inverse Problems—◆Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory; J. David Moulton, Los Alamos National Laboratory 9:00 a.m. Conditional Simulation of Spatial-Temporal Random Fields—◆Michael Stein, The University of Chicago 9:25 a.m. A Class of Nonlinear Spatio-Temporal Dynamic Models—◆Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia 9:50 a.m. The Other World of Large Spatial Data Sets in the Geosciences—◆Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 8:35 a.m. Gamma Frailty Transformation Models for Multivariate Survival Times—◆Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Qingxia Chen, Vanderbilt University 9:00 a.m. Joint Models for Longitudinal and Survival Data— ◆Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan 9:25 a.m. Causal Inference for Randomized Clinical Trials with a Survival Outcome and All-or-None Treatment Noncompliance—◆Gang Li, University of California, Los Angeles 9:50 a.m. Disc: Ian McKeague, Columbia University 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-209A High-Dimensional Genetic Data—Invited 248 CC-150A ■ ✪ Recent Advances in Small-Area Statistics— Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Ansu Chatterjee, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Parthasarathi Lahiri, University of Maryland 8:35 a.m. Model and Variable Selection in Hierarchical Small Area Models—◆Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University; Lu Lu, Iowa State University 9:00 a.m. Small Area Estimation Under Fay-Herriot Models with Nonparametric Estimation of Error Variances— ◆Domingo Morales, University Miguel Hernández de Elche; Wenceslao González-Manteiga, University of Santiago de Compostela; Isabel Molina, University Carlos III de Madrid; María J. Lombardía, University of Santiago de Compostela; Laureano Santamaría, University Miguel Hernández de Elche 9:25 a.m. Extended Small Area Models for Analysis of Nonlinear Effects and Extremes—◆Snigdhansu Chatterjee, The University of Minnesota 9:50 a.m. Small Area Estimation for Population Counts in the German Census 2011—◆Ralf T. Münnich, University of Trier; Jan P. Burgard, University of Trier; Martin Vogt, University of Trier 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion IMS Organizer(s): Debashis Paul, University of California, Davis Chair(s): Debashis Paul, University of California, Davis 8:35 a.m. Regularized Multivariate Regression for Identifying Master Predictors—◆Jie Peng, University of California, Davis; Pei Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan; Jonathan Pollack, Stanford University 9:00 a.m. Prediction of Patient Outcomes Based on HighThroughput Genetic Data Using Supervised Principal Components—◆Eric Bair, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:25 a.m. Estimation Methods for Multivariate Linear Time Series—◆Prabir Burman, University of California, Davis; Metoyer N. Candace, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 9:50 a.m. Network-Based Prediction Model for Genomics Data Analysis—◆Pei Wang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Ying Huang, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 127 Tuesday 250 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 251 IMS Medallion Lecture IV—Invited CC-207A IMS Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Galin L. Jones, The University of Minnesota 8:35 a.m. 10:00 a.m. Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Theoretical Computer Science—◆Alistair Sinclair, University of California, Berkeley Floor Discussion Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 252 ✪ Adaptive Invited Topic-Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 254 Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Momiao Xiong, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston Chair(s): Peihua Qiu, The University of Minnesota 8:35 a.m. Functional Maps of Cortico-Cortical BetaFrequency Coherence in a Macaque Monkey Performing a Visual Working Memory Task—◆Mark C. Greenwood, Montana State University; Olga Vsevolozhskaya, Montana State University; Rodrigo F. Salazar, Montana State University; Charlie M. Gray, Montana State University 8:55 a.m. Functional Structural Equation Models for Deciphering the Path from Genomic Information to Phenotypic Variation—◆Li Luo, The University of Texas School of Public Health; Momiao Xiong, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston 9:15 a.m. Functional Mixture Regression—◆Fang Yao, University of Toronto; Yuejiao Fu, York University; Thomas C.M. Lee, Chinese University of Hong Kong/ Colorado State University 9:35 a.m. Disc: Sheng Luo, The University of Texas at Houston 9:55 a.m. Disc: Hao Xiong, University of California, San Francisco 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-101 Design: Where Are We Now?— Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Sue-Jane Wang, FDA Chair(s): Sue-Jane Wang, FDA Panelists: ◆Frank Bretz, Norvartis, Switzerland ◆Robert Hemmings, Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency ◆H.M. James Hung, FDA ◆Armin Koch, Federal Institute for Drugs and Medical Devices ◆Chris Jennison, University of Bath ◆Robert O’Neill, FDA ◆Jerry Schindler, Merck Research Laboratories ◆Robert Temple, FDA 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-204C Functional and Dynamic Data Analysis to Biomedical Research—Topic-Contributed 255 CC-144B Statistical Methods in Census Data Capture— Topic-Contributed ■ 253 CC-157 Statistics and the Media: Getting the Questions and Answers Right—Invited Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee, Social Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Rosanne Desmone, ASA Chair(s): Rosanne Desmone, ASA Panelists: ◆Sharon Begley, Newsweek ◆Carl Bialek, Wall Street Journal ◆Tom Siegfried, Science News ◆Keith Winstein, Wall Street Journal 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 128 JSM 2009 Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Fred Highland, Lockheed Martin Chair(s): Dick Taylor, Evolver, Inc. 8:35 a.m. A Statistical Basis for Capacity Planning Risk Analysis—◆Fred Highland, Lockheed Martin 8:55 a.m. Truthing Production Data Capture—◆Brad Paxton, ADI, LLC; Steven P. Spiwak, ADI, LLC; Douglass Huang, ADI, LLC 9:15 a.m. Using Association Analysis to Enhance Control Chart Applications and Methods—◆Thomas George, Evolver, Inc.; Cathe Reeser, Lockheed Martin 9:35 a.m. Statistical Synthetic Data Generation for Census Applications—◆John W. Dawson, ExactData, LLC GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:55 a.m. Use of Record Linkage Techniques to Improve Data Capture Rates—◆Mario Hendricks, Lockheed Martin; David Bonatz, Lockheed Martin; Andrew Graves, Lockheed Martin 9:35 a.m. Log-Linear Modeling of Health Services Use in a Sample Survey—◆John S. Preisser, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Thomas A. Arcury, Wake Forest University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:55 a.m. Disc: G. Gordon Brown, RTI International 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 256 CC-204A Design and Analysis of Stratified Clinical Trials—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Byron Jones, Pfizer Inc. Chair(s): Neal Thomas, Pfizer Inc. Stratification in Design vs. Stratification in Analysis—◆Byron Jones, Pfizer Inc.; Neal Thomas, Pfizer Inc. 8:55 a.m. Reporting the Proportion of Subjects with an Adverse Event from Multiple Studies—◆Christy Chuang-Stein, Pfizer Inc.; Mohan Beltangady, Pfizer Inc. 9:15 a.m. The Use of Regression Models in Adjustment of Treatment Assignment—◆Valerii V. Fedorov, GlaxoSmithKline 9:35 a.m. Stratification Usually Solves the Wrong Problem— ◆Thomas Permutt, FDA 9:55 a.m. Disc: William F. Rosenberger, George Mason University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 257 ■ ✪ Redesign Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Jonaki Bose, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration Chair(s): Joe Gfroerer, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 8:35 a.m. A Model-Based Method for Estimating Serious Mental Illness Using Household Interview Data Combined with Clinical Interviews—Lisa Colpe, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration; ◆Jeremy Aldworth, RTI International 8:55 a.m. What Is ‘Misuse’ of Prescription Drugs, and How Do We Measure It?—◆James Colliver, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 9:15 a.m. Searching for a Gold Standard: Comparisons of NSDUH Data with External Sources to Assess Coverage and Validity—◆Jonaki Bose, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration; Joe Gfroerer, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration; Deborah Trunzo, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 9:35 a.m. Evaluating the reliability of NSDUH data on drug use, mental health and demographics—◆Joel Kennet, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration; Joe Gfroerer, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 9:55 a.m. Disc: Art Hughes, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-102A Using SUDAAN for Analysis of Epidemiologic Data—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Angela Pitts, RTI International Chair(s): Rick Williams, RTI International 8:35 a.m. Using Survey Data to Investigate Changes Over Time in Health Indicators—◆Donna J. Brogan, Emory University 8:55 a.m. Weighting Methods for Population-Based Case-Control Study with Complex Sampling— ◆Yan Li, National Cancer Institute; Barry I. Graubard, National Cancer Institute; Ralph DiGaetano, Westat, Inc. 9:15 a.m. Using Projection Splines to Explore Racial Differences in Gestational Age Distribution Among Very Low-Risk Women—◆Nedra Whitehead, RTI International; Jun Liu, PPD, Inc.; Lei Li, RTI International; Jason Hsia, CDC CC-144C of the National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Balancing Data Needs, Costs, and Methodological Considerations— Topic-Contributed Washington, DC 129 Tuesday 8:35 a.m. 258 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 259 CC-209B 9:55 a.m. Post-Randomization Interaction Analyses in Clinical Trials with Standard Regression—◆Rongmei Zhang, University of Pennsylvania; Jennifer Faerber, University of Pennsylvania; Thomas Ten Have, University of Pennsylvania 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Student Paper Competition: Bayesian functional data analysis, model selection/ averaging, and prediction—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Michael J. Daniels, University of Florida Chair(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut 8:35 a.m. 9:15 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 9:55 a.m. 10:15 a.m. Stochastic Functional Data Analysis: A Bayesian Perspective—◆Bin Zhu, University of Michigan; Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan; Jeremy Taylor, University of Michigan Bayesian Model Averaging for Clustered Data: Imputing Missing Daily Air Pollution Concentrations—◆Howard Chang, Johns Hopkins University; Francesca Dominici, Johns Hopkins University; Roger D. Peng, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health The Role of Efron’s Statistical Curvature in Bayesian Model Selection—◆Cedric E. Ginestet, Imperial College London Bayesian Prediction for GLMM Using High-Order Laplace Approximation—◆Evangelos Evangelou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Zhengyuan Zhu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Richard Smith, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Benchmarking and Reconciliation— Topic-Contributed CC-150B New Developments in Causal Inference— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania Chair(s): Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 8:35 a.m. Efficient Tests for Burden of Illness—◆Jing Cheng, University of Florida; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 8:55 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation of the Disease Attributable Fraction—◆Wei Wang, University of Pennsylvania 9:15 a.m. Sufficient Cause Interactions for Categorical and Ordinal Exposures—◆Tyler VanderWeele, The University of Chicago 9:35 a.m. Tests of Covariate Balance in Experiments and Observational Studies—◆Ben B. Hansen, University of Michigan; Jake Bowers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Jake Bowers, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign JSM 2009 CC-143C Business and Economic Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Dominique Ladiray, Insee 8:35 a.m. Illustration and Convergence Property of the Nonparametric Iterative Smoothing Method for Benchmarking and Temporal Distribution—◆Benoit Quenneville, Statistics Canada; Susie Fortier, Statistics Canada; Christian Gagné, Statistics Canada 8:55 a.m. Testing Time Series Data Compatibility for Benchmarking—◆Christian Gagné, Statistics Canada 9:15 a.m. Simultaneous and Two-Step Reconciliation of Systems of Time Series—◆Marco Marini, ISTAT; Tommaso Di Fonzo, University of Padua 9:35 a.m. Direct vs. Indirect Seasonal Adjustment for CPS National Labor Force Series—◆Thomas Evans, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:55 a.m. Temporal Aggregation and Seasonal Adjustment— ◆Nicholas von Sanden, Australian Bureau of Statistics 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 260 130 261 262 ✪ New Developments in Bayesian Nonparametric Methodology—TopicContributed CC-209C Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz Chair(s): Lianming Wang, University of South Carolina 8:35 a.m. Distance-Based Probability Distribution on Set Partitions with Applications to Bayesian Nonparametrics—◆David B. Dahl, Texas A&M University; Ryan Day, University of the Pacific; Jerry Tsai, University of the Pacific 8:55 a.m. Dynamic Point Process Modeling with a DDP— ◆Matt Taddy, The University of Chicago 9:15 a.m. Semiparametric Bayesian Approach to Prediction of Cancer Mortality Counts in the Presence of Spatial Information—◆Kaushik Ghosh, University of Nevada Las Vegas; Pulak Ghosh, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Ram C. Tiwari, FDA GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. NP Bayes Functional Regression for a PK/PD SemiMechanistic Model—◆Michele Guindani, University of New Mexico; Peter Müller, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Gary L. Rosner, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Lena Friberg, Uppsala University 9:55 a.m. On the Support of Levy Random Field Priors and Applications to Posterior Consistency Problems— ◆Natesh S. Pillai, Warwick University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 263 Assessing Effects of Interventions in Longitudinal Naturalistic Data— Topic-Contributed CC-144A Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Douglas Faries, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Robert Obenchain, Risk Benefit Statistics LLC Assessing Causal Treatment Effects in Longitudinal Naturalistic Data: Challenges and Methods— ◆Douglas Faries, Eli Lilly and Company; Alan Brnabic, Eli Lilly and Company 8:55 a.m. Considerations in Applying Marginal Structural Models to Analyze Longitudinal Naturalistic Data— ◆Ouhong Wang, Amgen, Inc. 9:15 a.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Structural Nested Mean Model Using SAS PROC NLP— ◆Daniel Almirall, Duke University; Cynthia Coffman, Duke University Medical Center; William S. Yancy, Jr., Duke University; Susan Murphy, University of Michigan 9:35 a.m. Estimating Volume-Outcome Associations from Longitudinal Naturalistic Data—◆Benjamin French, University of Pennsylvania; Farhood Farjah, University of Washington; David R. Flum, University of Washington; Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington 9:55 a.m. Data-Mining Techniques for Longitudinal Naturalistic Data—◆Anthony Zagar, Eli Lilly and Company; Robert Obenchain, Risk Benefit Statistics LLC 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-158A Monitoring for Informed Natural Resource Management Decisions—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Joel H. Reynolds, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Chair(s): Gretchen Moisen, U.S. Forest Service 8:35 a.m. The Design of a Large-Scale Aerial Survey to Monitor Wintering Sea Duck Populations—◆Emily Silverman, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; Mark Koneff, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; Kathy Fleming, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service; James Wortham, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 8:55 a.m. Spatial Design for the North American Breeding Bird Survey (BBS): An Integrated Approach— ◆Emily H. Griffith, U.S. Geological Survey; J. Andrew Royle, U.S. Geological Survey 9:15 a.m. The Structure of Human Development Across Landscapes and Its Implications for Aquatic Monitoring Programs—◆E. Ashley Steel, NOAA Fisheries 9:35 a.m. Effective and Efficient Monitoring of Steller’s Eiders at Izembek Lagoon, Alaska: Barriers and Pitfalls— ◆Joel H. Reynolds, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion 265 CC-149A Some Recent Developments in Transportation Statistics—Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section, Transportation Statistics Interest Group Organizer(s): Promod Chandhok, U.S. Department of Transportation Chair(s): Karl Sieber, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health 8:35 a.m. Nonresponse Bias Estimation in the Omnibus Household Survey—◆Promod Chandhok, U.S. Department of Transportation 8:55 a.m. A Case-Crossover Design Study for Evaluating the Safety Impact of Driver Behavior—◆Feng Guo, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 9:15 a.m. Enhancing the National Household Travel Survey Data Series—Bennett K. Pierce, Battelle; ◆Robert Santos, The Urban Institute 9:35 a.m. Transportation Finance Options: Who Is Affected?—◆Heather Contrino, Federal Highway Administration; Robert Santos, The Urban Institute 9:55 a.m. Disc: Michael P. Cohen, NORC at the University of Chicago 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 131 Tuesday 8:35 a.m. 264 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 266 268 Inferential Methods in Biostatistics—Contributed CC-155 Experiences Involving Undergraduates in Statistical Consulting—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Neal Rogness, Grand Valley State University Chair(s): Phyllis J. Curtiss, Grand Valley State University Panelists: ◆Neal Rogness, Grand Valley State University ◆Nicholas Horton, Smith College ◆John Walker, Cal Poly ◆Brian Jersky, St. Mary’s College of California 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 267 Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Nikolay Gospodinov, Concordia University 8:35 a.m. Modeling Monetary Policy in Real Time: Does Discreteness Matter?—◆Andrey Sirchenko, European University Institute 8:50 a.m. On the Estimation of Forecasters’ Loss Function Using Density Forecasts—◆Kajal Lahiri, State University of New York at Albany; Fushang Liu, SUNY at Albany 9:05 a.m. Forecasting and Estimation Models of GDP— ◆Les Yen, University of Phoenix 9:20 a.m. Common Factors in Commodity Price Movements— Joseph Gruber, Federal Reserve Board; ◆Robert Vigfusson, Federal Reserve Board 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. 132 ENAR Chair(s): Jeffrey H. Stratton, University of Connecticut 8:35 a.m. A Bootstrap Testing Procedure for Building Piecewise Linear Logistic Regression Models with Free-Knot Splines—◆Scott W. Keith, Thomas Jefferson University; David B. Allison, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 8:50 a.m. Hypothesis Testing of Correlation Parameters for Several Familial Dependence Structures—◆Roy T. Sabo, Virginia Commonwealth University 9:05 a.m. Testing Variance Components in Multilevel Linear Models Using Approximate Bayes Factors— ◆Benjamin Saville, Vanderbilt University; Amy Herring, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:20 a.m. Test of Trend for Clustered Data with the Use of Stochastic Ordering—◆Kyeongmi Cheon, The University of Memphis; Aniko Szabo, Medical College of Wisconsin; E. Olusegun George, The University of Memphis 9:35 a.m. Statistical Inferences from Formaldehyde DNA-Protein Cross-Link Data—◆Martin Klein, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 9:50 a.m. Extracting Within-Experiment Precision of Horticultural Experiments Useful for MetaAnalysis—◆Dihua Xu, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 10:05 a.m. Robust Tests of Independent Censoring for Recurrent Event Data—◆Jimin Lee, The University of North Carolina at Asheville; Yanqing Sun, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte CC-142 Statistical Data Analysis in Macroeconomics and Forecasting—Contributed 9:35 a.m. Constructive Data Mining: Modeling Argentine Broad Money Demand—◆Neil R. Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board; Steven B. Kamin, Federal Reserve Board The Ability of the Comunicational Bias to Predict the Direction of Monetary Policy Rates in an Emerging Economy—◆Pablo M. Pincheira, Central Bank of Chile 269 ■ ✪ Transportation Risk—Contributed CC-148 Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): TBD 8:35 a.m. A Critical Statistical Review of Some Transportation Safety Studies—◆Norma F. Hubele, Arizona State University 8:50 a.m. Risk Assessment in Traffic Safety—◆Elke A. Moons, Hasselt University; Christel Faes, Hasselt University; Tom Brijs, Hasselt University 9:05 a.m. Hierarchical Models in the Insurance Industry— ◆Bill Stergiou, Deloitte Consulting LLP 9:20 a.m. The Serious Accidents in Car Insurance: A New Appoach by Extreme Value Theory—◆Michel Grun-Rehomme, University of Paris 2 9:35 a.m. Interpreting Differential Effects in Light of Fundamental Statistical Tendencies—◆James P. Scanlan, James P. Scanlan, Attorney at Law Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-203B GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 8:50 a.m. Voronoi Tessellation for Contour Plots—◆Hyunsook Lee, Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics 9:05 a.m. Sampling and Scripting for Exploration of Large Databases—◆Danielle M. Wrolstad, Iowa State University 9:20 a.m. Graph Theoretic Methods for Cluster Verification— ◆Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin 9:50 a.m. Discrete Data and Mixtures Computational and Graphical Methods—Contributed The View Locked Color Image Grand Tour— ◆Bradley C. Wallet, University of Oklahoma 9:50 a.m. Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Andrew C. Thomas, Harvard University Visual Monitoring of Data Streams—◆Adam Loy, Iowa State University; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University 10:05 a.m. Tools for Identifying Homogenous Subgroups in Large Data—◆Yuanyuan Huang, Iowa State University; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University; Dianne Cook, Iowa State University 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. 270 Regression Analysis of the Relationship Between Network Properties and Network Reliability— ◆Seth D. Guikema, Johns Hopkins University; Jacob Torres, Johns Hopkins University Floor Discussion CC-141 8:35 a.m. Two Graphical Methods for Outlier Detection in Discrete Distributions—◆Fiona McElduff, University College London 8:50 a.m. Estimating Mixture Proportions When Categorized Data Are Available—◆Shiju Zhang, St. Cloud State University 272 9:05 a.m. Multiple Structural Breaks in Time Series of Count Data: Forecasting the Number of Atlantic Hurricanes—◆Beom Lee, University of South Florida; James E. Gentle, George Mason University Section on Statistics in Sports, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Matthew S. Johnson, Teachers College 9:20 a.m. The Model Selection of Zero-Inflated Mixtured Poisson Regression—◆Huaiye Zhang, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Inyoung Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 8:35 a.m. Odds Ratio Models in Sports—◆Carl N. Morris, Harvard University 8:50 a.m. Home Advantage in Professional Tennis— ◆Ruud Koning, University of Groningen 9:05 a.m. Paired Comparison Models for Ranking National Soccer Teams—◆Andrew W. Swift, University of Nebraska at Omaha; Shawn Hallinan, IMS Health 9:20 a.m. An Equitable Scoring System for March Madness Pools—◆Ted A. Gooley, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Barry E. Storer, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 9:35 a.m. Models for Motorcycle Grand Prix Racing Times— ◆Leanne Streja, University of California, Los Angeles; Robert E. Weiss, University of California, Los Angeles; Catherine A. Sugar, University of California, Los Angeles 9:50 a.m. Estimating the Effect of Synergy in Partnerships: Evidence from Coaches and Football Teams from the German Premier League—◆Padma Rao Sahib, University of Groningen 10:05 a.m. Accounting for Home Ice Advantage in Women’s College Hockey Rankings: A Bayesian Approach— ◆Michael A. Rutter, Penn State University Erie Choosing a Dissimilarity Representation for Pattern Classification (and How to Use This Choice to Improve Your Results)—◆Adam Cardinal-Stakenas, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University; Zhiliang Ma, Johns Hopkins University; Youngser Park, Johns Hopkins University; Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center 9:50 a.m. A Robust Estimation Method for Finite Mixture of Poisson Mixed-Effects Models—◆Liming Xiang, Nanyang Technological University 10:05 a.m. P2P Networks—◆Adil Rajput, B. Point; Abdullah A. Alnoshan, The George Washington University 271 CC-143B ■ ✪ Graphical Methods for Massive or High-Dimensional Data Sets—Contributed Statistics in Sports—Contributed Tuesday 9:35 a.m. ■ CC-159A Section on Statistical Graphics, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Subhabrata Chakraborti, The University of Alabama 8:35 a.m. Interactive System for the Analysis of Network Flows—◆Lorraine Denby, Avaya Labs Research; Wen-Hua Ju, Avaya Labs Research; Fei Chen, Avaya Labs Research; James Landwehr, Avaya Labs Research; Pat Tendick, Avaya Labs Research Washington, DC 133 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 273 CC-149B Estimating and Adjusting for Nonresponse Bias—Contributed 9:20 a.m. Bayesian Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Models for Local Climate Prediction—◆Paul D. Baines, Harvard University; Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University 9:35 a.m. An Integrated Approach to Land Use Policy— ◆Chandra Aleong, Delaware State University; John Aleong, University of Vermont 9:50 a.m. Sequential Sampling with Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Model with Application to Pest Density Assessment—◆Judy X. Li, University of California, Riverside; Daniel Jeske, University of California, Riverside An Approach to Enhance Performance of Spatial Smoothing Methods with Aggregated Data— ◆Nong Shang, CDC ■ Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): James R. Chromy, RTI International 8:35 a.m. Assessing Nonresponse Bias in the International Price Program’s Import and Export Price Index Surveys—◆Jenny L. FitzGerald, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:50 a.m. March CPS Income Time Series Analysis 1976– 2007: Does Imputation Affect Poverty Estimates?— ◆Joan L. Turek, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; Sameer Desale, Synectics for Management Decisions, inc.; Charles T. Nelson, U.S. Census Bureau; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago 10:05 a.m. 9:05 a.m. Modeling Nonresponse and Under-Reporting in Response in Surveys of the Arrestee Population— ◆Zhiwei Zhang, NORC at the University of Chicago Nonparametrics Testing—Contributed 9:20 a.m. Analysis of Nonresponse Bias in the Early Head Start Research and Evaluation Project—◆Barbara L. Carlson, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Effect on Oral Health Estimates of Response Disparities: Results from the Survey of Oral Health Status, Maryland School Children 2005--2006—◆Haiyan Chen, University of Maryland Dental School; Richard Manski, University of Maryland Dental School; Ronald Chenette, University of Maryland Dental School 9:50 a.m. Effect of Survey Modes on Sampling Design, Coverage, and Nonresponse in Surveys of Veteran and Military Populations—◆Boris Rachev, ICF International 10:05 a.m. Computing Response Rates for Probability-Based Web Panels—Charles DiSogra, Knowledge Networks; ◆Mario Callegaro, Knowledge Networks 274 Sampling and Multiscaling Issues for Environmental Studies—Contributed 275 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Marc Genton, Texas A&M University 8:35 a.m. The Split Sample Permutation t-Tests—◆Shunpu Zhang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 8:50 a.m. Detection of Treatment Effects by CovariateAdjusted Expected Shortfall—◆Ya-Hui Hsu, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Xuming He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals/The Takeda Oncology Company 9:05 a.m. How to Dig for DEGs—◆Lena Granovsky, Technion; Paul D. Feigin, Technion–Israel Institute of Technology 9:20 a.m. Combination of Levene-Type and Finite-Intersection Tests for Homogeneity of Variances Against Ordered Alternatives—◆Kimihiro Noguchi, University of Waterloo; Yulia R. Gel, University of Waterloo 9:35 a.m. Estimating Equations in Biased Sampling Problems—◆Bin Zhang, University of Missouri; Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri; Jing Qin, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 9:50 a.m. Hippocampus Shape Analysis of Clinically Depressed Twin Populations Using a Modified Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon Statistic—◆Nikhil Ram Mohan, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University; Youngser Park, Johns Hopkins University; Majnu John, Weill Medical College of Cornell University 10:05 a.m. A Program for Computing Probability Values for Significance Tests Using Pearson Distributions— ◆Wei Pan, University of Cincinnati; Haiyan Bai, University of Central Florida CC-158B Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): William F. Christensen, Brigham Young University 8:35 a.m. Development of a Soil Moisture Sampling Scheme Based on Scale and Validation Problems—◆Lisa Bramer, Iowa State University; Petrutza Caragea, Iowa State University 8:50 a.m. USEPA’s Targeted National Sewage Sludge Survey—◆Marla D. Smith, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Rick Stevens, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 9:05 a.m. Multivariate Downscaling of Outputs from Numerical Models—◆Veronica J. Berrocal, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University 134 JSM 2009 CC-208A GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 276 Semiparametric Models for Analyzing Longitudinal Outcomes—Contributed CC-204B Biometrics Section Chair(s): Joel A. Dubin, University of Waterloo Robust Small Sample Inference for Fixed Effects from Restricted Maximum Likelihood—◆Chunpeng Fan, sanofi-aventis; Donghui Zhang, sanofi-aventis; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University 8:50 a.m. Semiparametric Analysis of Panel Count Data with Correlated Observation and Follow-Up Times— ◆Xin He, The Ohio State University; Xingwei Tong, Beijing Normal University; Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri 9:05 a.m. Covariate-Adjusted Linear Mixed Effects Model for Longitudinal Data—◆Danh Nguyen, University of California, Davis 9:20 a.m. Quantile Regression for Longitudinal Biomarker Data Subject to Detection Limits—Lan Kong, University of Pittsburgh; ◆Minjae Lee, University of Pittsburgh 9:35 a.m. Robust Estimation in Multivariate Linear Mixed Effects Models—◆Inna Chervoneva, Thomas Jefferson University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 277 Nonparametric Models II—Contributed CC-203A Biometrics Section Chair(s): Angelo Elmi, University of Pennsylvania 8:35 a.m. 8:50 a.m. Wavelet-Based Functional Mixed Models for Transcriptome Analysis—◆Lieven Clement, Ghent University; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Johns Hopkins University; Kristof De Beuf, Ghent University; Olivier Thas, Ghent University; Rafael Irizarry, Johns Hopkins University Modeling Animal Mother-Infant Distance Proximity Over Time to Determine a Change Point in Behavior: When Does Animal Weaning Occur?— ◆Lorrie L. Hoffman, Armstrong Atlantic State University; Steve Clark, SeaWorld; Greg Knofczynski, Armstrong Atlantic State University; Jaree Hudson, Armstrong Atlantic State University; Heather King, Armstrong Atlantic State University; Alfreda Rogers, Armstrong Atlantic State University 9:05 a.m. Weighted Likelihood Estimators for Finite Normal Mixture Models—◆Tingting Zhan, Temple University; Inna Chervoneva, Thomas Jefferson University; Boris Iglewicz, Temple University 9:20 a.m. Semiparametric Cure Rate Models for Current Status Data—◆Guoqing Diao, George Mason University Covariate-Adjusted Correlation Analysis with Application to FMR1 Premutation Female Carrier Data—◆Damla Senturk, Penn State University; Danh Nguyen, University of California, Davis 9:50 a.m. Analysis of Longitudinal Data Using Partial Linear Models with Quadratic Inference Functions— ◆Wing K. Fung, The University of Hong Kong 10:05 a.m. A Parametric Permutation Test for Regression Coefficients in LASSO Regularized Regression— ◆Michael Wu, Harvard University; Tianxi Cai, Harvard University; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health 278 Bayesian Semiparametric and Nonparametrics—Contributed CC-207B ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Qingzhao Yu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center 8:35 a.m. A Note on the Bayes Factor in a Semiparametric Regression Model—◆Taeryon Choi, Inha University; Jaeyong Lee, Seoul National University; Anindya Roy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 8:50 a.m. Bayesian Semiparametric Infinite Latent Variable Models—◆Ju Hyun Park, National Cancer Institute; David Dunson, Duke University 9:05 a.m. Bayesian Inference for Semiparametric Quantal Response Equilibrium Models—◆Anton Westveld, University of Nevada Las Vegas; Kevin Quinn, Harvard University 9:20 a.m. Hierachical Bayesian Nonparametric Approaches for Detecting Difference Boundaries in Disease Maps—◆Pei Li, The University of Minnesota; Sudipto Banerjee, The University of Minnesota; Tim Hanson, The University of Minnesota; Marshall A. McBean, The University of Minnesota 9:35 a.m. Robust Nonparametric Bayesian Methods— ◆Juhee Lee, The Ohio State University; Steven N. MacEachern, The Ohio State University 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Estimation for Generalized Nonparametric Single-Index Mixed Model—◆Jinsong Chen, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Inyoung Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; George R. Terrell, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 10:05 a.m. Semiparametric Measurement Error Modeling in Logistic Regression, with Application to Survey Data—◆Jianjun Gan, University of South Carolina; Hongmei Zhang, University of South Carolina Washington, DC 135 Tuesday 8:35 a.m. 9:35 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 279 CC-208B 280 Miscellaneous Methodology II—Contributed IMS Chair(s): Carrie Hosman, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. Quadratic Covariation Estimation with Noisy and Asynchronous Data—◆Dacheng Xiu, Princeton University 8:50 a.m. Density Estimators for Invertible Linear Processes— ◆Wolfgang Wefelmeyer, University of Cologne 9:05 a.m. Semi-Logarithmic Loss-Based Estimation and Its Related Distributions—◆Masato Kagihara, Fukuoka University 9:20 a.m. On Variance Estimation for Tree Order Restricted Models—◆Sanjay Chaudhuri, National University of Singapore; Antar Bandyopadhyay, Indian Statistical Institute 9:35 a.m. One Step Toward a Less Sensitive Statistic— ◆Anurag N. Banerjee, Durham University 9:50 a.m. Estimation of the Parameters of Two-Parameter Exponential Distribution Using Top K-lists— ◆Mohamed Habibullah, Northeastern University 10:05 a.m. Orthogonal Series Density Estimation Methodology—◆Serge B. Provost, The University of Western Ontario; Min Jiang, The University of Western Ontario 136 JSM 2009 CC-201 Statistical Issues Related to Safety Data— Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Chul H. Ahn, FDA 8:35 a.m. Marking the Ends of T-Waves: Algorithms and Experts—◆Yingchun Zhou, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 8:50 a.m. Diagnostics for Logistic Regression on AE Data— ◆Bo Jin, Merck Research Laboratories 9:05 a.m. Handling Missing Data in the Analysis of ExposureAdjusted Incidence Rates with Applications to Safety Endpoints in Clinical Trials—◆Adeniyi J. Adewale, Merck & Co., Inc.; Adam B. Polis, Merck & Co., Inc. 9:20 a.m. Validity and Utility of a Novel Method for Assessing Benefit-Risk Tradeoff in Clinical Trials—◆Maksim Pashkevich, Eli Lilly and Company; Nathan Enas, Eli Lilly and Company 9:35 a.m. A Bayesian Approach for Safety Monitoring in Clincal Trials—◆Gang Jia, Merck & Co., Inc.; Xiaoming Li, Merck Research Laboratories; Xin Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:50 a.m. Methods for Interval-Censored Safety Events Based on Laboratory Data—◆Yan Zheng, sanofiaventis; Meehyung Cho, sanofi-aventis; William Stager, sanofi-aventis; Gerard Derzko, sanofi-aventis; Kaihong Jiang, sanofi-aventis 10 10:05 a.m. Single-Group Prospective Post-Marketing Safety Studies: A Bayesian Approach—◆Yu-te Wu, FDA; George Rochester, FDA; Yi Tsong, FDA 283 Using the JMP Scripting Language to Teach Sampling and Inference for the Proportion— ◆Amy G. Froelich, Iowa State University CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): William Duckworth, Creighton University Poster Presentations 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Statistical education, teaching, and training 11 Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: History of Statistics—Topic-Contributed Determining the Sample Size for Estimating the Standard Deviation—◆Kevin S. Robinson, Millersville University of Pennsylvania 12 Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Student Self-Assessment of Competence: Accurate or Important?—◆Joe H. Sullivan, Mississippi State University 13 R in the Classroom: Exploring the Sequential Probability Ratio Test for Normal Data—◆Philip Wong, AAA NCNU; Roanna Gee, California State University, East Bay; Bruce E. Trumbo, California State University, East Bay 281 CC-Hall D History of Statistics Statisticians Speak Out—◆Frederick O. Lorenz, Iowa State University; David Rockoff, Iowa State University 14 Simplify Your Analyses of the Survey of Attitudes Toward Statistics—◆Marjorie E. Bond, Monmouth College 02 The Impact of Henry Wallace on Statistics at Iowa State University—◆Laura A. Hildreth, Iowa State University 15 03 George Waddell Snedecor—◆Dai-Trang Le, Iowa State University 04 H. O. Hartley: His Views on Statistics and a Glimpse Into the Future—◆Kristian Schmidt, Iowa State University Informal Inference: Scaling Student Sophistication— ◆S. David Kriska, The Ohio State University; Mark C. Fulcomer, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Marcia M. Sass, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey 16 05 The Life and Achievements of Oscar Kempthorne— ◆Karl T.L. Pazdernik, Iowa State University A Visual Model for Analysis of Variance—◆J. Burdeane Orris, Butler University 17 06 Women Do Much More Than ‘Cooke’—◆Luvenia Hellams, Iowa State University Hands-On Learning Aid for Statistical Process Control and Capability Measures—◆James A. Alloway, EMSQ Associates 18 T-Test for Proportions? Making Do When Your Software Can’t Do Confidence Intervals for Proportions—◆Gerald Shoultz, Grand Valley State University 19 Strat-O-Matic Baseball: An Introduction to Probability Concepts—◆John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University 20 Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Comparison of the Power of the Paired Samples Using Permutation Tests—◆Ferry Butar Butar, Sam Houston State University; Ananda Manage, Sam Houston State University 21 Teaching Statistical Thinking as a Liberal Art with an Eye Toward History: A Writing- and Discussion-Intensive New Course—◆Kevin Henning, Texas Tech University Statistical education, teaching, and training Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 282 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Technology Tools for Education— Topic-Contributed ■ 07 Using a Script Language to Develop Interactive Demonstrations—◆Mark Bailey, SAS Institute Inc. 08 Using the JMP Scripting Language to Teach Sampling and Inference for the Mean—◆William Duckworth, Creighton University 09 Livening Up the Introductory Statistics Course with Nontraditional Media Resources—◆Page C. Moore, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences 22 Tuesday 01 Preliminary Variance Tests for Deciding to Use Pooled vs. Nonpooled t-Tests—◆Jared L. Martin, Millersville University of Pennsylvania; Lewis H. Shoemaker, Millersville University of Pennsylvania Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 23 Postdoctoral Plans vs. Outcomes of PhD Graduates in the Labor Market—◆Eric J. Solis, The George Washington University Washington, DC 137 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 24 35 Fitting and Interpreting GLMs (the Saturated Model Isn’t Perfect and Other Cautionary Tales)—◆Robert Kushler, Oakland University Statistical education, teaching, and training 25 Analogical Encoding of Statistics Problems: Role of Self-Explanation and Feedback—◆Simin Hall, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Eric Vance, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 26 Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 36 Relating Two Conceptualizations of the Arithmetic Mean— ◆Mark Marnich, Point Park University Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics 27 Statistical Modeling: A More Acceptable Approach— ◆Reza D. Noubary, Bloomsburg University Classroom Simulation: Investigation of the Asymptotic Distribution of the Sample Median—◆Vadim Y. Bichutskiy, California State University, East Bay; Joshua Kerr, California State University, East Bay; Bruce E. Trumbo, California State University, East Bay 29 Students’ Perceptions of Variability Across Different Types of Graphs—◆Felice S. Shore, Towson University; Linda L. Cooper, Towson University 37 Testing Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium Using Family Data from Complex Surveys—◆Dewei She, The George Washington University; Hong Zhang, University of Science and Technology of China; Zhaohai Li, The George Washington University Government statistics 38 Pretesting with Populations Experiencing Transience: Testing to Ensure Questionnaires Are Broadly Accessible—◆Jennifer H. Childs, U.S. Census Bureau; Nathan Jurgenson, U.S. Census Bureau; Dawn R. Norris, U.S. Census Bureau 39 One-Time Contact for a Census Internet Survey: Is It Sufficient? Washington State Professional Health Worker Census Internet Mode Effect and Response Rate Study—◆Danna L. Moore, Washington State University; Bruce Austin, Washington State University; Kent Miller, Washington State University Categorical, multivariate analysis 30 Imputation Methods for Adaptive Matrix Sampling— ◆Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics Applications and case studies Statistical education, teaching, and training 28 Network Sampling for Assessing Excess Alcoholism and Drug Abuse Among Students in Nigerian Tertiary Institutions—Rotimi Ogundeji, University of Lagos; ◆Ismaila Adeleke, University of Lagos; Ray Okafor, University of Lagos; Edesiri Ahani, University of Lagos; Ugochukwu Mbata, University of Lagos; Adegbenga Olalude, University of Lagos Using Assessment Data in Multivariate Statistics Courses—◆Julia A. Norton, California State University, East Bay; Lynn Eudey, California State University, East Bay; Monica Anand, California State University, East Bay Sampling and survey methodology 40 Statistical education, teaching, and training 31 Exploration of Dimensionality of the CAOS Test—◆Ji Hoon Ryoo, The University of Minnesota Are ‘Do Not Include’ Statements Helpful?—◆Monica Dashen, Bureau of Labor Statistics Graphics, visualization 41 284 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Health policy, epidemiology, public health 42 Sampling and survey methodology 32 Why Is Survey Research 20 Years Behind?—◆Robert E. Fay, Westat, Inc. 33 Optimizing Call Time of Day in an RDD Survey— ◆S. Sean Hu, CDC; Lina Balluz, CDC; Willaim Garvin, CDC; Mohamed Qayad, CDC Visualization of Complex Survey Data—◆Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Susan Hinkins, NORC at the University of Chicago; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago Assessing Variability in Life-Table Estimates Based on Longitudinal Data Involving a Complex Survey—◆Van L. Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics; Kimberly Lochner, National Center for Health Statistics; Gloria Wheatcroft, National Center for Health Statistics; Elsie R. Pamuk, National Center for Health Statistics Sampling and survey methodology Social and behavioral science 34 138 Using Sample Statistics to Quantify Community Building— ◆Bart Phillips, Community Building Tutors, NFP JSM 2009 43 Model-Based Methods in Analyzing Complex Survey Data: A Case Study with National Health Interview Survey Data—◆Rong Wei, National Center for Health Statistics; Van L. Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 44 Estimating the Variance of Between-Year Change in Domain-Level Totals—◆Kimberly Henry, IRS; Valerie Testa, IRS; Richard Valliant, University of Michigan Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 45 Characteristic Function for and Moments of the Truncated Triangular Distribution—◆Jay J. Kim, National Center for Health Statistics; Myron J. Katzoff, National Center for Health Statistics; Rahul A. Parsa, Drake University 56 A Noninformative Bayesian Approach to Small-Area Estimation—Glen Meeden, The University of Minnesota; ◆Yanping Qu, The University of Minnesota; Bo Zhang, The University of Minnesota Social and behavioral science 57 Latent Structure Models for Social Networks Using Aggregated Relational Data—◆Tian Zheng, Columbia University; Tyler H. McCormick, Columbia University Sampling and survey methodology Sampling and survey methodology 46 Developing models of respondent fatigue to guide the order in which to ask survey questions—◆Brian L. Egleston, Fox Chase Cancer Center 58 47 Nonresponse Bias: Telephone Point-of-Purchase Survey— ◆Madeleine Saxton, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Patrick Falwell, Bureau of Labor Statistics 48 Alphabetical Placement in Surveys of Persons at Institutions: A Simulation Study—Pedro J. Saavedra, ICF Macro; ◆Francine Barrington, ICF Macro Developing the Dual Frame Design for the 2010 National Survey of College Graduates—◆John M. Finamore, U.S. Census Bureau; David W. Hall, U.S. Census Bureau; Stephen Cohen, National Science Foundation; Fan Zhang, National Science Foundation; Flora Lan, National Science Foundation; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 59 49 A Weighting Methodology for Complex Surveys—◆Vicki J. Pineau, TNS-Global; Margaret E. Strickland, TNS Global; N. D. Prabhakar, TNS Global; Carl T. Finkbeiner, TNS Global Missing Data and Complex Samples: The Impact of Listwise Deletion vs. Subpopulation Analysis on Statistical Bias and Hypothesis Test Results When Data Are MCAR and MAR—◆Bethany A. Bell, University of South Carolina; Jeffrey D. Kromrey, University of South Florida; John M. Ferron, University of South Florida Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Reproducing Nonresponse Adjustments in Replicate Weights—Pedro J. Saavedra, ICF Macro; ◆R. Lee Harding, Macro International, Inc. Sampling and survey methodology 51 On the Construction of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals Under Purposive Sampling—Ray Okafor, University of Lagos; Ismaila Adeleke, University of Lagos; Dallah Hamadu, University of Lagos; ◆Rotimi Ogundeji, University of Lagos 52 Bayes Model for Inference on Vehicular Traffic Density at the Main Campus of University of Lagos—◆Ray Okafor, University of Lagos; A. I. Opara, University of Lagos; Rotimi Ogundeji, University of Lagos; Ugochukwu Mbata, University of Lagos 53 60 A Comparison of Address-Based Sampling and Random Digit Dialing Sampling—◆Daniel E. Williams, Western Wats; Edward P. Johnson, Opinion Outpost Sampling and survey methodology 61 Assessing Survey Estimates of Intent to Leave with Personnel Data—◆Taylor Lewis, Office of Personnel Management; Mary Clair Turner, Office of Personnel Management; Eulus Moore, Office of Personnel Management; Bob Heim, Office of Personnel Management Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 62 A Survey of Retail Outlets: Sample Design Issues— ◆Karol Krotki, RTI International Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 54 Applications and case studies Model Selection in Linear Mixed Effects Models— ◆Ying Lu, University of Colorado at Boulder; Heng Peng, The Hong Kong Baptist University Sampling and survey methodology 63 A Longitudinal Establishment Survey: Design and Estimation Issues—Karol Krotki, RTI International; ◆Chris Cummiskey, RTI International Translation of Agreement Answer Scales: Effects on Category Response Curves—◆Ana Villar, University of Nebraska Lincoln; Mario Callegaro, Knowledge Networks Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Sampling and survey methodology 55 Sequential Modeling for Contact and Cooperation Propensity for the United States Military Health Survey—◆Darryl V. Creel, RTI International; Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International 64 Assessing the Convergence of Multiple Imputation Algorithms Using a Sequence of Regression Models— ◆Jian Zhu, University of Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University of Michigan Washington, DC 139 Tuesday 50 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Sampling and survey methodology Categorical, multivariate analysis 65 75 Combining Nonoverlapping Confidential Data Through Multiple Imputation—◆Christine Kohnen, Macalester College; Jerry Reiter, Duke University Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 66 Optimal Probability Weighting Methods in Longitudinal Models for Data with Nonignorable Unequal Selection and Nonignorable Wave Nonresponse—◆Sharon L. Christ, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Health policy, epidemiology, public health 76 67 Sampling Weights for Analysis of Couple Data in Demographic and Health Surveys—◆Bryan Sayer, Social & Scientific Systems, Inc.; Stan Becker, Johns Hopkins University 68 Issues Associated with Measuring Activities Associated with Seeing and Hearing Across National Surveys— ◆Frances M. Chevarley, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality; David W. Keer, U.S. Department of Education; Barbara M. Altman, Consultant 69 Effectiveness of Nesting Age, Race, and Gender for Weighting Estimates of Radio Listening—◆Kelly Dixon, Arbitron, Inc. 70 Analysis of Data from Complex Survey Samples: Propensity Scores and Survey Weights—◆Weiwei Cui, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Nan Liu, Child Trends, Inc. Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Hot-Deck Imputation Using Imputation Models— ◆Minhui Paik, Iowa State University 77 78 A Stochastic and State Space Model for Human Eye Cancer Involving Both Hereditary and Non-Hereditary Cancer Genes—◆Hong Zhou, Arkansas State University; Wai-Yuan Tan, University of Memphis 79 Hospital Mortality Rates analyzed through Empirical Mode Decomposition Method.—◆Boguslaw Skierczynski, Ascension Health; David Pryor, Ascension Health; Ann Hendrich, Ascension Health Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 80 Confidence Intervals for Radio Ratings Estimators— ◆Richard Griffiths, Arbitron, Inc. 285 CC-L Street Bridge Health policy, epidemiology, public health 73 74 140 Peer Group Assignment for New Hospitals on Performance Comparison Report by Traditional and Modern Classification Methods—◆Jacob Jen-Hao Cheng, Maryland Hospital Association; Samuel Ogunbo, Maryland Hospital Association Diabetes as a Potentially Disabling Condition: Studying Supports to Prevent Unemployment, Health Decline, and Reliance on Government Assistance—◆Tammy Tom, University of Hawaii JSM 2009 Clustering to Achieve Normality in Generalized Linear Mixed Models—◆Kenneth Pietz, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center; LeChauncy D. Woodard, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center; Tracy Urech, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center; Cassie Robinson, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center; Laura A. Petersen, Baylor College of Medicine Health policy, epidemiology, public health 81 Examination of Risk Factor and Health Condition Data in National Consumer Surveys for Use in Public Health Communication Planning—◆William E. Pollard, CDC; DeAndrea Martinez, CDC 82 Who Donates Blood?—◆Richard A. Forshee, FDA; Mark O. Walderhaug, FDA Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation A Comparison of Imputation Methods for Missing Data in Self-Report Likert Ratings—◆Lingqi Tang, University of California, Los Angeles; Thomas R. Belin, University of California, Los Angeles; Judy Ho, University of California, Los Angeles; Bonnie Zima, University of California, Los Angeles Health policy, epidemiology, public health Sampling and survey methodology 72 Reliability of the Orientation of Social Support Instrument in Substance Abuse Treatment—◆Michael Wolf-Branigin, George Mason University; Mark Taylor, Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods Sampling and survey methodology 71 Testing the Equality of Conditional Correlations Across Numeric Variable(s) with Heteroscedastic Data—◆Xueya Cai, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis; Gregory E. Wilding, SUNY at Buffalo; Alan Hutson, SUNY at Buffalo; Yue Li, University of California, Irvine Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 83 Meta-Analytic Inference with Few Studies—◆Todd Bodner, Portland State University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 84 Union Effects on Health Insurance Coverage—◆Jongmook Choe, The University of Texas at Austin GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 85 Estimating Household Income Percentiles from a Public Health Survey Using Log-Linear Bootstrap Interpolation— ◆Robert Feyerharm, Oklahoma State Department of Health Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 86 Sample Size Requirement and Power Assessment in a Spatial Analysis—◆Qilong Yi, University of Ottawa; Yue Chen, University of Ottawa Health policy, epidemiology, public health 87 Clustering Performance Data Across Measure Sets: An Analysis of National Hospital Quality Measures Designated for the CMS Value-Based Purchasing Program—◆Samuel Ogunbo, Maryland Hospital Association; Nikolas Matthes, Quality Indicator Project; Jacob Jen-Hao Cheng, Maryland Hospital Association; Carlos Alzola, Data Insights Sampling and survey methodology 88 Development of a Quantitative Attitudes Instrument— ◆Heibatollah Baghi, George Mason University Health policy, epidemiology, public health Predicting Wound Deterioration in Home Health Care Patients—◆Iordan Slavov, Visiting Nurse Service of New York; Carlin Brickner, Visiting Nurse Service of New York 90 Association Between Health Insurance and Generalized Periodontal Disease in a Study Population of Gullah African Americans with Diabetes—◆Nicole M. Marlow, Medical University of South Carolina; Elizabeth Slate, Medical University of South Carolina; Jyotika Fernandes, Medical University of South Carolina; Carlos Salinas, Medical University of South Carolina 91 92 Physician-Level Quality Measurement: Using Control Charts with National Benchmarks to Identify Common and Special Cause Variation in Patients’ Systolic Blood Pressures—◆Gerald K. Arnold, American Board of Internal Medicine; Rebecca S. Lipner, American Board of Internal Medicine; Lorna A. Lynn, American Board of Internal Medicine; Weifeng Weng, American Board of Internal Medicine; Eric S. Holmboe, American Board of Internal Medicine CMS Medicare Reimbursement for Quality Care: Will There Be an Unintended Downward Spiral for Safety Net Hospitals?—◆Ronald Low, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Shunsuke Ito, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Jiaying Wu, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Caroline Jacobs, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Raymond Gregory, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Van Dunn, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation; Ramanathan Raju, New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 93 Multivariate Information and Interaction—◆Nan L. Kong, Educational Testing Service 94 Confidence Bands for the CDF When Sampling from a Finite Population—◆Jesse Frey, Villanova University 95 A Modified Mantel Test for the Compound Symmetry Covariance Structure—◆Megan Duke, University of Central Oklahoma; Tracy Morris, University of Central Oklahoma; Mark E. Payton, Oklahoma State University 96 Smoothing Spline with Incomplete Covariate Data— ◆Xiwen Ma, University of Wisconsin-Madison 97 Simultaneous Confidence Bands for the Trend in a Functional Data Set—◆David Degras, The University of Chicago Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 98 Hyper Dirichlet Processes for Graphical Models—◆Daniel Heinz, Carnegie Mellon University Tuesday 89 286 Applications and case studies 99 Applications of Spectral Kernel Methods—◆James Sharpnack, Carnegie Mellon University Clinical Trial Designs 100 Rank Transforms and Tests of Interaction for Repeated Measures Experiments with Various Covariance Structures—◆Jennifer Bryan, Oklahoma Christian University; Mark E. Payton, Oklahoma State University Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 101 A Classification Algorithm for Finite Mixture Model— ◆Erum Marfani, University of Maryland, Baltimore County Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 102 Detection of Interactions in Model Building: A Graphical Approach—◆William C. Bridges, Clemson University Washington, DC 141 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 287 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 289 Nonparametric Approaches for High-Dimensional Data—Invited CC-201 ■ Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 103 Bias-Corrected Estimation for Intraclass Correlation Coefficient—◆Eshetu G. Atenafu, Hospital for Sick Children; Joseph Beyene, University of Toronto; Jemila S. Hamid, Hospital for Sick Children Statistical education, teaching, and training 104 Sequencing and Mastering Preliminary Topics in Teaching Sampling Distributions—◆Mark C. Fulcomer, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; S. David Kriska, The Ohio State University; Marcia M. Sass, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Maritza Jauregui, The Richard Stockton College of New Jersey 288 ASA College Stat Bowl II—Other CC-102B ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Stephanie Cano, The University of Texas at San Antonio Chair(s): Stephanie Cano, The University of Texas at San Antonio 10:35 a.m. Smoothing Spline Semiparametric Nonlinear Regression Models—◆Yuedong Wang, University of California, Santa Barbara; Chunlei Ke, Amgen, Inc. 11:05 a.m. Modeling the Dynamics of Gene Regulatory Network—◆Ping Ma, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 11:35 a.m. Asymptotic Normality of Plug-In Level Set Estimates with Applications to Binary Classification—◆Wolfgang Polonik, University of California, Davis 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 290 CC-150B Stirring the Pot: Radical Ideas in Statistics Education—Invited ■ Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Chair(s): Lorrie L. Hoffman, Armstrong Atlantic State University 10:35 a.m. Losing the Distinction: From Traditional to Online to Hybrid Instruction—◆David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University 11:00 a.m. Change Agents for Teaching and Learning Statistics: The CATALST Project—◆Andrew Zieffler, The University of Minnesota Washington, DC 143 Tuesday Special Presentation 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. Biometrics Section, International Chinese Statistical Association, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Annie Qu, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign Chair(s): Annie Qu, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:25 a.m. All Models are Right … Most Are Useless— ◆Thaddeus Tarpey, Wright State University 11:50 a.m. Fostering Statistics TA Development as Writing Instructors—◆Erin Blankenship, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Walter Stroup, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Jennifer Green, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Alison Friedow, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Shari Stenberg, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 12:15 p.m. Random Effect Specification/Misspecification in Spatial Modeling of Univariate and Multivariate Health Data—◆Ying MacNab, The University of British Columbia 11:50 a.m. Spatial Random Effects to Assess Geographic Influences on Genetic Population Structure— ◆Lance A. Waller, Emory University; David C. Wheeler, National Cancer Institute/Harvard School of Public Health; Roman Biek, University of Glasgow; Leslie A. Real, Emory University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 291 ✪ Emerging CC-150A Trends and Evidence in HighDimensional ‘Omics’ Investigations—Invited Council of Chapters Organizer(s): Gary L. Gadbury, Kansas State University Chair(s): Gary L. Gadbury, Kansas State University 10:35 a.m. 11:25 a.m. Biostatistics’ Rise as an Empirical Science: Genomic Research as the Leavening Agent— ◆David B. Allison, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 293 ■ ✪ Social CC-144B Network Analysis: Bridging Evidence and Policy in Complex Environments—Invited Social Statistics Section, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Jeffrey L. Herman, George Mason University Chair(s): Jeffrey L. Herman, George Mason University 10:35 a.m. Utilizing External Information in Social Networks— ◆David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center 11:00 a.m. The Role of Permutation and Randomization Tests in High-Dimensional Studies—◆Dan Nettleton, Iowa State University 11:00 a.m. The Use of Social Network Analysis in Support of Federal Agencies—◆Elizabeth A. Conjar, George Mason University; Dan Horn, Booz Allen Hamilton 11:25 a.m. Inferring Causal Effects in High-Dimensional Studies—◆Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 11:25 a.m. Influence and Implications of Leadership Style on Social Networks—◆Juliet Aiken, University of Maryland; Beng-Chong Lim, Nanyang Technological University; Paul Hanges, University of Maryland 11:50 a.m. Disc: Stanley Wasserman, Indiana University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:50 a.m. Disc: Heping Zhang, Yale University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 292 CC-209C Random Effect Specification/Misspecification in Spatial/Spatio-Temporal Health Modeling— Invited ■ Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, SSC Organizer(s): Andrew B. Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina Chair(s): Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University 10:35 a.m. 11:00 a.m. 144 Adding Spatially Correlated Errors Can Mess Up the Fixed Effect You Love—◆James Hodges, The University of Minnesota; Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University Random Effect Seepage and Identification Problems in Bayesian Spatial Health Data Modeling—◆Andrew B. Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina; Sumirathan Rasathurai, University of South Carolina JSM 2009 294 ■ ✪ Communicating CC-202A Statistical Concepts to a Lay Audience—Invited Committee on Excellence in Statistical Reporting, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Telba Irony, FDA Chair(s): Telba Irony, FDA 10:35 a.m. Presentation and Interpretation of Statistical Results to Track Economic Developments—◆John Berry, Bloomberg News 11:05 a.m. Statistical Issues in ‘The New York Times’— ◆Donald A. Berry, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Gina Kolata, The New York Times 11:35 a.m. The Prosecutor’s Fallacy—◆Mark Buchanan, Independent Science Writer 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 295 CC-202B 297 CC-143A ✪ Causal Inference for Longitudinal Data— Invited ✪ Composite Likelihood Methodology and Applications—Invited ENAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Indian Statistical Association, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Tyler VanderWeele, The University of Chicago Chair(s): Tyler VanderWeele, The University of Chicago SSC, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan Chair(s): Xin Gao, York University 10:35 a.m. 11:00 a.m. Causal Inference for Continuous Time Longitudinal Data When Covariates Are Observed Only at Discrete Times—◆Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania; Mingyuan Zhang, University of Pennsylvania; Marshall Joffe, University of Pennsylvania Estimation of Marginal Structural Models When Parametric Rates Cannot Be Obtained— ◆James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health 11:25 a.m. Bayesian Inference About Mediation in Longitudinal Intervention Trials—◆Joseph W. Hogan, Brown University; Shira Dunsiger, Brown University; Bess Marcus, Brown University 11:50 a.m. Disc: Constantine Frangakis, Johns Hopkins University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:00 a.m. Composite Likelihood EM Algorithm in HighDimensional Data Analysis—◆Peter X.K. Song, University of Michigan 11:25 a.m. Pairwise Likelihood Method for Clustered Longitudinal Binary Data—Grace Yi, University of Waterloo; ◆Leilei Zeng, Simon Fraser University; Richard Cook, University of Waterloo 11:50 a.m. Disc: Grace Yi, University of Waterloo 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 298 Topics in Financial Statistics—Invited CC-207B IMS Organizer(s): Rong Chen, Rutgers University Chair(s): Rong Chen, Rutgers University CC-207A ✪ New Composite Likelihood Theory—◆Nancy Reid, University of Toronto Applications of Statistics in Genetics/ Genomics—Invited IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Wei Pan, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Wei Pan, The University of Minnesota 10:35 a.m. Spectral Graph Theory and Ancestry in GenomeWide Association Studies—◆Kathryn Roeder, Carnegie Mellon University; Ann Lee, Carnegie Mellon University; Diana Luca, Carnegie Mellon University 11:05 a.m. Modeling Dependent Gene Expression—◆Peter Müller, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Donatello Telesca, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Giovanni Parmigiani, Johns Hopkins University 11:35 a.m. Methods for Identifying the Genetic Variants Associated with High-Order Expression Modules— ◆Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Tuesday 296 10:35 a.m. 10:35 a.m. Risk Assessment and Asset Allocation with Gross Exposure Constraints for Vast Portfolios— ◆Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; Jingjin Zhang, Princeton University; Ke Yu, Princeton University 11:05 a.m. Topics in Financial Statistics—◆Ruey S. Tsay, The University of Chicago; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; Yingying Fan, University of Southern California at the Walter E. Washington Convention Center Saturday, 12:00 p.m. – 5:30 p.m. Sunday–Wednesday, 9:00 a.m. – 5:30 p.m. Thursday, 7:30 a.m. – 10:00 a.m. Washington, DC 145 ASA residential P Address & Awards Session Tuesday, August 4, 8:00 p.m. – 9:30 p.m. Walter E. Washington Convention Center, Ballrooms A and B Sally Morton ASA President Is your associate, professor, student, colleague, friend, or organization being recognized at the Joint Statistical Meetings in Washington, DC?  Samuel S. Wilks Memorial Award Edward C. Bryant Scholarship Gertrude M. Cox Scholarship Gottfried E. Noether Awards W. J. Youden Award in Lab Testing ★ Statistics in Chemistry Award ★ ASA Fellows ★ Founders Award ★ Outstanding Statistical Application Award ★ Statistical Partnerships among Academe, Industry, and Government (SPAIG) Award ★ Waller Education Award ★ W. J. Dixon Award for Excellence in Statistical Consulting Plan to attend the ASA Presidential Address and Awards Session for the recognition of the ASA’s most distinguished members. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:35 a.m. Testing and Detecting Jumps Based on a Discretely Observed Process—◆Yingying Fan, University of Southern California; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University Topic-Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 301 299 CC-158A Making Research Data Public: Intelligible or Just Available?—Invited Section on Statistical Consulting, National Institute of Statistical Sciences, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Linda J. Young, University of Florida Chair(s): Alan F. Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 10:35 a.m. Data-Sharing in the Field of Economics and the Role of Academic Journals—◆P.J. Glandon, Vanderbilt University; John Siegfried, Vanderbilt University Survey Frame Quality and Coverage— Topic-Contributed CC-142 Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Xijian Liu Liu, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): James Farber, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. A National Evaluation of Coverage for a Sampling Frame Based on the Master Address File— ◆Clifford Loudermilk, U.S. Census Bureau 10:55 a.m. Content and Coverage Quality of a Commercial Address List as a National Sampling Frame for Household Surveys—◆Timothy Kennel, U.S. Census Bureau; Mei Li, U.S. Census Bureau 11:15 a.m. Examining Blocks with Lister Error in Area Listing— ◆Aliza Kwiat, U.S. Census Bureau Data Management and Availability in the Earth Sciences—◆Richard W. Carlson, Carnegie Institution of Washington 11:35 a.m. Impact of Master Address File Coverage on Survey Estimates—◆Xijian Liu Liu, U.S. Census Bureau 11:55 a.m. Disc: Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International 11:15 a.m. Implicit Challenges to Statistics in Making Research Data Public—◆Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Data Sharing from the Viewpoint of a Scholarly Journal—◆Katrina Kelner, AAAS 11:55 a.m. Data Sharing in Forensic Science and the Impact on the Legal System—◆Edward Ungvarsky, The Public Defender Service for the District of Columbia 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 300 ■ ✪ The Role of Statisticians in Decisionmaking—Invited The American Statistician, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): John Stufken, The University of Georgia Chair(s): John Stufken, The University of Georgia Panelists: ◆Stephen Pierson, ASA ◆Simon Sheather, Texas A&M University ◆Frank Rockhold, GlaxoSmithKline ◆Guy F. Caruso, Center for Strategic and International Studies 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 302 CC-149A ■ ✪ Frontiers in Statistical Applications to Marketing Problems—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing Organizer(s): Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University Chair(s): Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University 10:35 a.m. Attitudes Toward Firm and Competition: How Do They Matter for Customer Relationship Marketing Activities?—◆Rajkumar Venkatesan, University of Virginia; Reinartz Werner, University of Cologne; Nalini Ravishanker, University of Connecticut 10:55 a.m. Model-Based Graph Partitioning with Applications to Marketing—◆Eric T. Bradlow, The Wharton School; Sam K. Hui, Leonard N. Stern School of Business 11:15 a.m. Investigating Cross-Country Interaction in New Product Diffusion—◆Debabrata (Debu) Talukdar, State University of New York at Buffalo; Brian Hartman, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University 11:35 a.m. Cross-Channel and Advertising Effects in the Hierarchy of Consumer Decisionmaking— Venkatesh Shankar, Texas A&M University; ◆Tarun Kushwaha, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill CC-101 Washington, DC 147 Tuesday 10:55 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:55 a.m. 12:15 p.m. Beating the Average with Conditional Averages: Target Selection Using Geo-Demographic Joint Distributions—◆K. Sudhir, Yale School of Management; Jason Duan, The University of Texas at Austin; Sachin Sancheti, Yale School of Management Forecasting and Real-Time Data— Topic-Contributed CC-158B Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tatevik Sekhposyan, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Silvia Goncalves, University of Montreal 10:35 a.m. Revisions to PCE Inflation Measures: Implications for Monetary Policy—◆Dean Croushore, University of Richmond 10:55 a.m. Has Models’ Forecasting Performance for US Output Growth and Inflation Changed Over Time, and When?—◆Tatevik Sekhposyan, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Barbara Rossi, Duke University 11:15 a.m. Calibration and Resolution Diagnostics for Bank of England Density Forecasts—◆Simon van Norden, HEC Montréal; John W. Galbraith, McGill University 11:35 a.m. Nested Forecast Model Comparisons: A New Approach to Testing Equal Accuracy—◆Michael McCracken, Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis 12:15 p.m. Why Do So Few Macroeconomic News Announcements Have a Significant Price Impact on Asset Prices?—◆Chiara Scotti, Federal Reserve Board; Thomas Gilbert, University of Washington; Georg Strasser, Boston College; Clara Vega, Federal Reserve Board Floor Discussion 304 Sparsity and Structure in Multivariate Modeling—Topic-Contributed CC-208B ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Mike West, Duke University Chair(s): Adrian Dobra, University of Washington 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 148 Sparse Bayes Learning by Annealing Entropy— ◆Ryo Yoshida, Institute of Statistical Mathematics; Mike West, Duke University 11:35 a.m. On the Primal and Dual Sparsity of Structured Input/Output Models—◆Eric Xing, Carnegie Mellon University 11:55 a.m. Bayes and Empirical-Bayes Multiplicity Adjustment in the Variable-Selection Problem—◆James Scott, Duke University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 303 11:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. Identifying Repeated Observations in the Presence of Sparsity and Distortion: A Case Study in Proteomics—◆Joseph E. Lucas, Duke Institute for Genome Science and Policy Nonparametric Mixtures of Nonparametric Mixtures for Sparse Non-Gaussian Density Estimation with Application to Flow Cytometry—◆Daniel Merl, Duke University JSM 2009 305 Predictive and Prequential Statistics— Topic-Contributed CC-148 ■ Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/ University of Miami Chair(s): Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/ University of Miami 10:35 a.m. Prequential Probability: An Overview—◆Vladimir Vovk, Royal Holloway, University of London 10:55 a.m. Catching Up Faster by Switching Sooner: A Prequential Solution to the AIC-BIC Dilemma— ◆Tim van Erven, Centrum Wiskunde & Informatica 11:15 a.m. Sequential Prediction Using Median Stacking— ◆Chi Wai Yu, The University of British Columbia 11:35 a.m. Statistical Expression Deconvolution from Mixed Tissue Samples and Relevance to Biomarker Discovery—◆Jennifer L. Clarke, University of Miami; Marc E. Lippman, University of Miami; J. Seo, University of Miami 11:55 a.m. Selection of Copy Number Variation Drives Tumor-Specific Networks—◆Eric Schadt, Rosetta Inpharmatics 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 306 CC-159B Experimental Design for Generalized Linear Models—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Anthony Atkinson, London School of Economics Chair(s): Anthony Atkinson, London School of Economics 10:35 a.m. Blocked Experimental Designs for a NonNormal Response—◆Dave Woods, University of Southampton; Peter van de Ven, TNO Quality of Life 10:55 a.m. Sequential Design of Experiments for GLMs— ◆David M. Steinberg, Tel Aviv University; Hovav Dror, Tel Aviv University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:15 a.m. Adaptive Experimental Designs for Determining the Optimum Factor Level with Trinomial Responses— ◆Barbara Bogacka, Queen Mary University of London 11:35 a.m. On Locally Optimal Designs for Generalized Linear Models with Group Effects—◆Min Yang, University of Missouri-Columbia 11:55 a.m. Disc: Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 307 CC-204C Missing Data Handling in Medical Device Clinical Trials—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Ning Li, FDA Chair(s): Terri K. Johnson, FDA 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Sensitivity Analysis in Missing Value Imputation to Assess Quantitative Coronary Angiograph Data in Stent Trials—◆Hong Wang, Boston Scientific Corporation; Heather Bai, Boston Scientific Corporation; Joseph Bero, Boston Scientific Corporation Sensitivity Analysis for Continuous Endpoints in Two-Arm Medical Device Trials—◆Maria C. Alfaro, Boston Scientific Corporation; Joseph Bero, Boston Scientific Corporation; Gina Garding, Boston Scientific Corporation Reverse Regression in Randomized Clinical Trials with Nonignorable Nonresponse— ◆Zhiwei Zhang, FDA Disc: Gang Chen, Johnson & Johnson 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Bayes Filtering for Spatio-Temporal Poisson Cluster Point Processes—◆Daniel E. Clark, Heriot-Wat University; Ba Tuong Vo, University of Western Australia; Mark Briers, QinetiQ; Ba-Ngu Vo, The University of Melbourne 11:55 a.m. Disc: Francois Septier, University of Cambridge 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 309 ■ ✪ Improving Census Data for Demographic Analysis—Topic-Contributed 10:35 a.m. Decennial Census Data at the Census Bureau’s Research Data Centers—◆Todd Gardner, U.S. Census Bureau 10:55 a.m. Errors in Age and Sex Data in the Census Bureau’s Public Use Microdata Samples—◆Betsey Stevenson, University of Pennsylvania; Trent Alexander, Minnesota Population Center; Michael Davern, University of Minnesota 11:15 a.m. Constructing Synthetic Samples Using Simulated Annealing—Glen Meeden, The University of Minnesota; ◆Hua Dong, Amgen, Inc. 11:35 a.m. Weighting the Matched Current Population Survey Respondents—◆Katie Genadek, The University of Minnesota 11:55 a.m. Disc: Jacob A. Klerman, Abt Associates Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 310 308 Tracking Problems— Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Simon Godsill, University of Cambridge Chair(s): Julien Cornebise, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute 10:55 a.m. CC-144C Reliability Issues in the DoD: A Session in CC-206 Honor of Paul Ellner—Topic-Contributed ■ ■ ✪ Bayesian 10:35 a.m. CC-141 Section on Government Statistics, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Katie Genadek, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Michael Davern, University of Minnesota Missing Data Handling in Medical Device Clinical Trials—◆Xu Yan, FDA; Shiowjen Lee, FDA; Heng Li, FDA; Ning Li, FDA 11:55 a.m. Source Term Estimation with Expensive Likelihoods—◆Nathan Green, Defense Science and Technology Laboratory Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory Chair(s): Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory 10:35 a.m. Redefining the Role of Statistical Science in Defense and National Security—◆Duane Steffey, Exponent, Inc. Dynamic Spatial Mixture Modeling and Its Application in Bayesian Tracking for Cell Fluorescent Microscopic Imaging—◆Chunlin Ji, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University 10:55 a.m. Ballistic Imaging—◆John E. Rolph, University of Southern California 11:15 a.m. Variational Mean Field Approach to Efficient Multitarget Tracking—◆Ernest Fokoue, Kettering University Reliability Growth Planning and Implementation of the ASA(ALT) Reliability Test Threshold—◆J. Brian Hall, U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command 11:35 a.m. Adventures in Reliability Growth Modeling— ◆Arthur Fries, Institute for Defense Analyses Washington, DC 149 Tuesday 11:15 a.m. 11:15 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:55 a.m. An Unsung Hero in Reliability Growth—◆James Streilein, U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command; J. Brian Hall, U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 311 CC-209A 10:55 a.m. Flexible Bayesian Human Fecundability Models with Generalized t-Link—◆Sungduk Kim, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Rajeshwari Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH; Germaine M. Louis, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH 11:15 a.m. An Association Model for Longitudinal Intercourse Data with Informative Censoring via Time-toConception—◆Kirsten J. Lum, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH; Rajeshwari Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH; Germaine M. Louis, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH 11:35 a.m. Estimating Diagnostic Accuracy of Linear Combination of Multiple Biomarkers While Accounting for Limits of Detection—◆Neil J. Perkins, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Enrique Schisterman, National Institutes of Health Statistical Methods in Molecular Evolution— Topic-Contributed WNAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Erik W. Bloomquist, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Jennifer Tom, University of California, Los Angeles 10:35 a.m. Many-Core Algorithms for Statistical Phylogenetics—◆Marc A. Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles; Andrew Rambaut, University of Edinburgh 10:55 a.m. Joint Bayesian Estimation of Phylogeny and Sequence Alignment—◆Heejung Shim, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Bret Larget, University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. Unifying Vertical and Nonvertical Evolution—◆Erik W. Bloomquist, University of California, Los Angeles Disc: Zhen Chen, The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Statistical Properties of Site-to-Site Rate Heterogeneity Estimators—◆Spencer V. Muse, North Carolina State University; Frank Mannino, GlaxoSmithKline 11:55 a.m. The Lineage Model for Metagenomic Clonal Population Structure—◆John D. O’Brien, University of Bristol 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 313 ■ 312 Statistical Methods in Reproductive Epidemiology—Topic-Contributed CC-209B ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Social Statistics Section, Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Rajeshwari Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH Chair(s): Rajeshwari Sundaram, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, NIH 10:35 a.m. 150 Enriched Stick-Breaking Processes for Functional Data—◆Bruno Scarpa, Università di Padova; David Dunson, Duke University JSM 2009 CC-159A Applied Regression Techniques—Contributed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Joe H. Sullivan, Mississippi State University 10:35 a.m. Interior Analysis in Multiple Linear Regression— ◆John F. Wellington, Indiana University Purdue University Fort Wayne; Stephen A. Lewis, Mongrel Works, Inc. 10:50 a.m. Comparison of Methods to Understand the Link Between Climate Variability and Hurricane Counts— ◆Roshanak Nateghi, Johns Hopkins University; Seth D. Guikema, Johns Hopkins University; Steven Quiring, Texas A&M University 11:05 a.m. Comparison of Risks of Generalized Ridge Regression Estimators and Least Square Estimators Averaged Over the Linex Loss Function—◆Marvin H.J. Gruber, Rochester Institute of Technology GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Modeling Approaches Applied to Pulse Jet Mixing Data - Part 1—◆Greg Piepel, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Brett Amidan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Alejandro Heredia Langner, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Perry Meyer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Beric Wells, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; James Fort, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Judith Bamberger, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; William Kuhn, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Modeling Approaches Applied to Pulse Jet Mixing Data - Part 2—◆Brett Amidan, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Greg Piepel, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Alejandro Heredia-Langner, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Perry Meyer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Beric Wells, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; James Fort, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Judith Bamberger, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; William Kuhn, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 11:50 a.m. Prediction-Based Model Selection—◆Adam L. Pintar, Iowa State University; Christine AndersonCook, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Huaiqing Wu, Iowa State University 12:05 p.m. Simple Linear Regression When Both Variables Are Random—◆Christopher Tong, Merck & Co., Inc.; Shubing Wang, Merck & Co., Inc. CC-153 The Integration of the SAS Certificate Program Into the Classroom Teaching Environment—◆Jun Lu, American University; Monica Jackson, American University; Mary Gray, American University; Helena Solana, American University 12:05 p.m. On the Topic of Assessment Cheating Detection— ◆Weimin Zhang, American Institutes for Research; Jiang Tao, American Institutes for Research 315 Analysis of Prevalence and Risk in Epidemiologic Studies—Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Sowmya Rao, MGH Biostatistics Center 10:35 a.m. Variance Estimation of Partial Population Attributable Fraction and Its Applications— ◆Jungwha Lee, University of Illinois at Chicago; Sally Freels, University of Illinois at Chicago; Dulal K. Bhaumik, University of Illinois at Chicago 10:50 a.m. A Simulation Study of Health Disparity Indexes: How Do They Depend on Prevalence?—◆Stuart Gansky, University of California, San Francisco; Nancy F. Cheng, University of California, San Francisco; Gloria Mejia, University of California, San Francisco 11:05 a.m. A Fresh Look at the Discriminant Function Approach for Estimating Crude or Adjusted Odds Ratios—◆Robert H. Lyles, Emory University; Ying Guo, Emory University; Andrew N. Hill, CDC 11:20 a.m. Bias-Corrected Inference for the Conditional Logistic Regression—◆Jenny Sun, Texas A&M University Educational Accreditation, Guidelines, and Certification—Contributed Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Jennifer J. Kaplan, Michigan State University CC-102A ■ 10:35 a.m. Teaching Business Statistics: An Accreditation Standards Perspective—◆Bodapati V.R. Gandhi, University of Puerto Rico 11:35 a.m. Interval Estimation of Risk Difference for Clustered Data—◆Tasneem Zaihra, University of Windsor; Sudhir R. Paul, University of Windsor 10:50 a.m. Putting BIO2010 Into Practice: Collaborations for Statistics and Biology—◆Debra Hydorn, University of Mary Washington 11:50 a.m. 11:05 a.m. Fostering Change in College Students’ Mathematical and Statistical Dispositions Through GAISE—◆Caroline Ramirez, University of California, Davis/California State University On the Confidence Intervals of Attributable Risk Using Delta and Bootstrap Methods for a CrossSectional Sampling Design with Confounders— ◆Tanweer J. Shapla, Eastern Michigan University; Khairul Islam, Wayne State University 12:05 p.m. Some Errors Frequently Occurring in Estimating the Required Sample Size in Cohort and Case-Control Studies—◆Peng T. Liu, FDA 11:20 a.m. Statistical Literacy and Attitudes Over Two Semesters of Required Business Statistics— ◆Amy L. Phelps, Duquesne University 11:35 a.m. GAISE Between the Lines: Criteria and a Rubric for Assessing Introductory Statistics Textbooks— Deborah Rumsey, The Ohio State University; ◆W. Robert Stephenson, Iowa State University; Amy G. Froelich, Iowa State University; Jared Schuetter, The Ohio State University 316 CC-155 Teaching Tools for Basic Statistical Literacy in the Health Sciences—Contributed Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences Chair(s): Penelope S. Pekow, University of Massachusetts Amherst 10:35 a.m. Seeing Is Believing—◆Paul L. Stephenson, Grand Valley State University; Mary Richardson, Grand Valley State University Washington, DC 151 Tuesday 314 11:50 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 10:50 a.m. Use of Interesting Examples in Teaching an Introductory Biostatistics Course: 3 Controversies and 2 Parodoxes—◆Harry J. Norton, Carolinas Medical Center; George Divine, Henry Ford Hospital 11:05 a.m. Designing Curricula Supporting the Development of Statistical Literacy—◆Rochelle E. Tractenberg, Georgetown University Medical Center 11:20 a.m. Teaching Statistics to DNP and PhD Nursing Students: The Opportunities and Challenges of a Distance-Learning Format—◆Mary Kay Rayens, University of Kentucky 318 11:35 a.m. On Developing a Master’s-Level Course in Biostatistical Consulting—◆Stephen W. Looney, Medical College of Georgia; Jennifer L. Waller, Medical College of Georgia Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Prasenjit Kapat, The Ohio State University 11:50 a.m. Adding a Small Unit on QIS to a Lower-Division Undergraduate Concept–Oriented Statistical Literacy Class for Nursing Majors—◆Robert D. Curley, University of Central Oklahoma 10:35 a.m. Statistical Inference for High-Dimensional Data— ◆Yingli Qin, Iowa State University 10:50 a.m. Data Fusion and Inference with Disparate Feature Spaces Using Iterative Denoising Trees— ◆Bennett A. Landman, Johns Hopkins University; Youngser Park, Johns Hopkins University; Zhiliang Ma, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University 11:05 a.m. Penalized Rotation of a Subset of Principal Components—◆Trevor Park, University of Florida 11:20 a.m. An Iterative Thresholding Approach for Sparse PCA—◆Zongming Ma, Stanford University 11:35 a.m. On Clustering fMRI Time Series Using Potts and Mixture Regression Models—◆Jing Xia, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Feng Liang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Yongmei (Michelle) Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 11:50 a.m. Robust Dimension Reduction PLS Method for Classification—Nedret Billor, Auburn University; ◆Asuman Turkman, The Ohio State University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:05 p.m. 12:05 p.m. CC-143C Methods for Ignorable and Nonignorable Nonresponse—Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University 10:35 a.m. 10:50 a.m. 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. Analysis of Nonresponse in a Social Survey with the Sharp Bounds Method—◆Yury Gubman, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics; Charles F. Manski, Northwestern University; John V. Pepper, University of Virginia; Dmitri Romanov, Israeli Central Bureau of Statistics Propensity Score Methodology for Nonignorable Nonresponse—◆Leigh Ann H. Starcevich, Oregon State University; Virginia Lesser, Oregon State University Responsive Design for Random Digit Dial Surveys Using Auxiliary Survey Process Data and Contextual Data—◆Sunghee Lee, University of California, Los Angeles The Rao, Hartley, and Cochran Scheme with Dubious Random Nonresponse in Survey Sampling—◆Sarjinder Singh, Texas A&M University-Kingsville; Maria del Mar Rueda Garcia, Universidad de Granada; Antonio Arcos, Universidad de Granada; Raghunath Arnab, University of Botswana 11:35 a.m. Propensity Score Matching to Correct Telephone Surveys for Cell Phone Nonresponse— ◆John Bremer, Harris Interactive 11:50 a.m. Simulation Studies of a Latent-Class Selection Model for Nonignorable Missing Data— ◆Hyekyung Jung, Texas Tech University; Joseph L. Schafer, Penn State University; Byungtae Seo, Texas Tech University 152 JSM 2009 CC-208A Dimension Reduction Using PCA and PLS— Contributed Floor Discussion 317 Are We Adjusting Response Rates or Survey Variables? The Effects of Multiple Auxiliary Variables on Nonresponse Adjustment—◆Frauke Kreuter, University of Maryland; Kristen Olson, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 319 CC-149B Advances in Robust Methods and Anomaly Detection—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): James A. Shine, U.S. Army Topographic Engineering Center 10:35 a.m. Robust Inference in Conditionally Linear Nonlinear Regression Models—◆Harshini Fernando, Purdue University North Central 10:50 a.m. Functional Linear Model—◆Robertas Gabrys, Utah State University; Piotr Kokoszka, Utah State University; Lajos Horvath, The University of Utah GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. Anomaly Detection Using Scan Statistics on Time Series Hypergraphs—◆Youngser Park, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University; David Marchette, Naval Surface Warfare Center; Abdou Youssef, The George Washington University A High Breakdown Approach for Fitting Nonlinear Regression—◆Dost M. Khan, University of Peshawar; Douglas M. Hawkins, The University of Minnesota 321 CC-144A ■ ✪ Advances in Government Statistical Agencies Around the World—Contributed Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Robert Lussier, Statistics Canada 10:35 a.m. The Current State of the Microdata Analysis System at the Census Bureau—◆Jason Lucero, U.S. Census Bureau; Laura Zayatz, U.S. Census Bureau Detecting Anomalous Documents in a CorpusDriven Language Model—◆Kristin Yancey, Naval Surface Warfare Center; Elizabeth L. Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center 10:50 a.m. The Impact of Cleansing Procedures for Overlaps on Estimation Results: Evidence for German Administrative Data—◆Patrycja Scioch, Institute for Employment Research 11:50 a.m. Developing Median Regression for SURE Models— Ghazi Shukur, Vaxjo University; ◆Zangin A.A. Zeebari, Vaxjo University 11:05 a.m. 12:05 p.m. Efficient Uk’s Redescending M-estimator for Robust Regression—◆Umair Khalil, University of Peshawar; Fazli Qadir, University of Peshawar; Amjad Ali, University of Peshawar Comparisons of Methodological Approaches to the Follow-Up Operation for Business Surveys— ◆Hansheng Xie, Statistics Canada; Serge Godbout, Statistics Canada; Sungjin Youn, Statistics Canada 11:20 a.m. Benefits and challenges of supporting in-house analysis of data in a statistical agency—◆Jane F. Gentleman, National Center for Health Statistics 11:35 a.m. Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics: Starting from Scratch—◆Mario Marazzi, Puerto Rico Institute of Statistics; Carlos Toro-Vizcarrondo, University of Puerto Rico 11:50 a.m. Evaluating the Likely Efficacy of Paid Tax Preparer Regulation—◆Anna Maria Ortiz, U.S. Government Accountability Office 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 320 Nonparametric Testing—Contributed CC-157 Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Jeffrey Hart, Texas A&M University 10:35 a.m. A Note on Analysis of Means-Type Nonparametric Tests for Homogeniety of Variances—◆Saad T. Bakir, Alabama State University 10:50 a.m. Comparing Two Groups Based on Partial Orderings: Three Matched Pair Designs— ◆Jun Cao, Temple University; Woollcott Smith, Temple University 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Robust Heteroscedastic MANOVA: Asymptotics and Small Sample Approximations—◆Solomon W. Harrar, The University of Montana; Arne C. Bathke, University of Kentucky A Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test for Clustered Data— ◆Sundar Natarajan, VA New York Harbor Healthcare System; Stuart Lipsitz, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Heterogeneous Compound Symmetry in a Nonparametric Analysis of Block Designs— ◆Angela Schörgendorfer, University of Kentucky; Laurence V. Madden, The Ohio State University; Arne C. Bathke, University of Kentucky 11:50 a.m. A Nonparametric Version of Wilks’ Lambda: Asymptotics, Approximations, and Permutations— ◆Chunxu Liu, University of Kentucky; Arne C. Bathke, University of Kentucky; Solomon W. Harrar, The University of Montana 12:05 p.m. Greenhouse-Geisser Adjustment and the ANOVAType Statistic: Distant Cousins or Twins?— ◆Arne C. Bathke, University of Kentucky; Oliver Schabenberger, SAS Institute Inc.; Randall Tobias, SAS Institute Inc.; Laurence V. Madden, The Ohio State University 322 Oncology Trials—Contributed CC-203A Biometrics Section Chair(s): Leslie McClure, University of Alabama at Birmingham 10:35 a.m. ‘Dose-Establishment’ Designs for Phase I/II Cancer Immunotherapy Trials—◆Karen Messer, University of California, San Diego 10:50 a.m. Proportional Odds Model for Dose-Finding Clinical Trial Designs with Ordinal Toxicity Grading—◆Emily M. Van Meter, Medical University of South Carolina; Elizabeth Garrett-Mayer, Medical University of South Carolina; Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina 11:05 a.m. Simon’s Two-Stage Design for Phase II Cancer Clinical Trials with Two Distributions as Hypotheses—◆Junfeng Liu, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Yong Lin, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Weichung J. Shih, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey 11:20 a.m. Reinforcement Learning Treatment Strategies Based on Support Vector Regressions in a Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Trial—◆Yufan Zhao, Amgen, Inc.; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Washington, DC 153 Tuesday 11:35 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:35 a.m. 11:50 a.m. 12:05 p.m. The Calibration of the TITE-CRM Design for Phase I Cancer Trials with Fast Patient Accrual— ◆Mei-Yin Polley, University of California, San Francisco Estimation of Safe and Effective Dose in Phase I Clinical Trials in Oncology—◆Motomi Mori, Oregon Health & Science University; Yiyi Chen, Oregon Health & Science University; Joshi Alumkal, Oregon Health & Science University Comparing CRM with Frequentist t-Statistic Method for Phase I Clinical Trials in Oncology— ◆Amit Phansalkar, Cytel, Inc. 323 CC-203B Alternatives to Proportional Hazards Survival Methods—Contributed Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Daohai Yu, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute 10:35 a.m. Hazard Change-Point Models with Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Data—◆Deniz C. Yenigun, Bilkent University; Ulku Gurler, Bilkent University 10:50 a.m. Proportional Hazards and Threshold Regression: Their Theoretical and Practical Connections— ◆Mei-Ling Ting Lee, University of Maryland; George A. Whitmore, McGill University 11:05 a.m. Survival Analysis Under Nonproportional Hazards: A Unified Approach—◆Jianghua He, The University of Kansas Medical Center; Matthew S. Mayo, The University of Kansas Medical Center 11:20 a.m. Estimating Differences in Restricted Mean Lifetime Using Observational Data in the Presence of Dependent Censoring—◆Min Zhang, University of Michigan; Douglas E. Schaubel, University of Michigan 11:35 a.m. Ecological Momentary Assessment: Opportunities for Statistical Research—◆Stephen L. Rathbun, The University of Georgia 11:50 a.m. 12:05 p.m. 154 Estimation of Median Household and Family Incomes for Small Areas: A Bayesian Semiparametric Approach—◆Dhiman Bhadra, University of Florida; Malay Ghosh, University of Florida Exact and Asymptotic Weighted Logrank Tests for Interval-Censored Data: A Review and New R Package—◆Michael P. Fay, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Pamela A. Shaw, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases JSM 2009 324 ■ CC-204B Vaccine Trials and HIV Trials—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): John Zhong, Human Genome Sciences 10:35 a.m. Test of Acceptable Vaccine Immunogenicity: t-Test vs. Longitudinal Data Analysis Model—◆Xiaoming Li, Merck Research Laboratories; Frank Liu, Merck Research Laboratories; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories 10:50 a.m. Polishing a Diamond in the Rough: Deconstructing and Reconstructing the Estimate of Population Benefit of Vaccination—◆Oliver M. Bautista, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:05 a.m. Application of Subsampling Methods for the Correlation of Immunogenicity and Efficacy in Vaccine Trials—◆Yanli Zhao, Merck & Co., Inc.; William Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Ivan S.F. Chan, Merck & Co., Inc. 11:20 a.m. Control Chart Performance When Monitoring Long-Term Vaccine Efficacy—◆J. Brooke Marshall, Merck Research Laboratories; David Radley, Merck Research Laboratories; Lisa Lupinacci, Merck Research Laboratories 11:35 a.m. A Meta-Analysis to Assess the FDA Division of Antiviral Product’s Time to Loss of Virologic Response (TLOVR) Algorithm in HIV Submissions— ◆Fraser Smith, FDA; Thomas Hammerstrom, FDA; Guoxing (Greg) Soon, FDA; Susan Zhou, FDA; Baibai Chen, FDA; Yabing Mai, FDA; Kimberly Struble, FDA; Mohammad F. Huque, FDA 11:50 a.m. Handling Missing Outcome Data When Estimating and Testing the Average Causal Effect of Treatment for a Subset Selected by a Post-Randomization Event—◆Robin Mogg, Merck Research Laboratories; Devan V. Mehrotra, Merck Research Laboratories; Peter Gilbert, University of Washington/Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center; Thomas Ten Have, University of Pennsylvania; Marshall Joffe, University of Pennsylvania 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 325 CC-204A Issues in Subgrouping Analysis and Preclinical and Phase I Trials—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Jonathan Norton, FDA 10:35 a.m. Dose-Response Assay Equivalence with Replicate Data—◆Steven Novick, GlaxoSmithKline 10:50 a.m. Subgroup Heterogeneity in Drug Efficacy— ◆Qiang (Casey) Xu, FDA; Rajeshwari Sridhara, FDA; Shenghui Tang, FDA; Yu-Ling Chang, FDA GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Fit Five-Parameter Logistic Function for Assay Data Using SAS—◆Rong Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Shuping Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jason Liao, Merck Research Laboratories; Shuping Zhang, Merck & Co., Inc. A Clinically More Meaningful Interaction Test of Treatment Effects Within Subgroups—◆Weihua Tang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; David H. Henry, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company; Lisa Ying, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company Rationale for Sponsor-Unblinded Phase I Trials: Challenging the Double-Blind Paradigm—◆Jitendra Ganju, Amgen, Inc.; Clapton Dias, Amgen, Inc. 11:50 a.m. Dose-Time-Effect Modeling for Cancer Cell Growth in In-Vitro Experiments—◆Maiying Kong, University of Louisville 12:05 p.m. Understanding the Key Factors in the Design of a Randomized Thorough QT Study—◆Jessie Qing Xia, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Beasley Charles, Eli Lilly and Company; S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 326 Small-Area Estimation and Coverage Issues— Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Tapabrata Maiti, Michigan State University 10:35 a.m. A Simulation Study of the Distribution of Fay’s Successive Difference Replication Variance Estimator—◆Elizabeth T. Huang, U.S. Census Bureau; William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau 10:50 a.m. Coverage Bias and Sampling Error in a Study Using 1000-Series RDD Sampling—◆John Hall, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Karen Cybulski, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Nancy Duda, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 11:05 a.m. Modeling County-Level Vaccination Coverage Rates—◆Nadarajasundaram Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago; Philip J. Smith, CDC; Kennon R. Copeland, NORC at the University of Chicago; Kirk Wolter, NORC at the University of Chicago 11:20 a.m. Small-Area Variance Modeling with Application to County Poverty Estimates from the American Community Survey—◆Jerry J. Maples, U.S. Census Bureau; William R. Bell, U.S. Census Bureau; Elizabeth T. Huang, U.S. Census Bureau 11:35 a.m. A SPREE Small-Area Procedure for Estimating Population Counts—◆Emily Berg, Iowa State University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University 11:50 a.m. Using Predictive Marginals to Produce Standardized Estimates—◆Kathryn Spagnola, RTI International; Michael B. Witt, RTI International 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-159B Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Bill Parr, China Europe International Business School 10:35 a.m. Performance of MBA Students on Assessment Test—◆Mammo Woldie, Texas Southern University 10:50 a.m. Analysis of Italian Survey Data on PhD Graduates: Is Job Consistent with Education?—◆Matilde Bini, University of Florence; Leonardo Grilli, University of Florence 11:05 a.m. Does Major Affect Employment Outcomes and Job Satisfaction Among Business Graduates?— ◆Margaretha Hsu, Shippensburg University 11:20 a.m. Math and Science Partnerships to Enhance Student Outcomes: Evidence of Policy Implications from the ATOMS2XP Project—◆Mack Shelley, Iowa State University; Betty Latimer, Mississippi State University; Mari Kemis, Iowa State University; Elena Polush, Iowa State University 11:35 a.m. CC-143B A Test of Two Similar Particle System Models of Wage Income Distribution Conditioned on Education—◆John Angle, Inequality Process Institute 11:50 a.m. Constructing University Performance Indicators in Italy: A Comparative Approach—◆Tiziana Laureti, University of Naples; Margherita Velucchi, Università di Firenze 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. 328 CC-301 Business and Economic Statistics Section Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics TL09 Rebalancing the American Economy: Challenges to Recovery—◆Barry Bosworth, The Brookings Institution Washington, DC 155 Tuesday Education—Contributed 327 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. 329 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) 332 Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau TL18 The Unique Method for Obtaining Data: Entering Agreements to Share Administrative Records—◆Stephen Q. Cornman, National Center for Education Statistics; Shelly W. Martinez, Office of Management and Budget 333 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Dionne Price, FDA TL10 Statistical Issues on Design and Analysis of Thorough QT Clinical Trials—◆Yi Tsong, FDA TL11 Building a Professional Mentoring Network—◆Christy Chuang-Stein, Pfizer Inc. TL12 Best Practices for Specifications of Tables, Listings, and Figures—◆Charles Kincaid, COMSYS TL13 Subgroup Analysis: Cost and Ethical Considerations— ◆Terri K. Johnson, FDA TL14 Establishing Biomarkers That Are Predictive of Efficacy in Retrospective Analyses—◆Terry Katz, ImClone Systems; Michael Szarek, ImClone Systems TL15 Statistical Issues in Bioassay Analytical Software: The Present and Future—◆Lev Sirota, FDA CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Health Policy Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation TL19 334 Drawing Evidence Using Multiple Studies for Public Health Questions—◆Chia-Wen Ko, National Institutes of Health CC-Ballroom South Prefunction 330 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) International Chinese Statistical Association Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Xuming He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Organizer(s): George Ostrouchov, Oak Ridge National Laboratory TL20 Using the New Technologies in Teaching Introductory Statistics—◆Ramon V. Leon, The University of Tennessee TL16 TL21 Climate Past, Present, and Future—◆Douglas Nychka, National Center for Atmospheric Research Global Clinical Trials—◆Dianne M. Finkelstein, Harvard/ Massachusetts General Hospital CC-Ballroom South Prefunction 335 331 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University TL17 156 Why Bayesian Statistics and Machine Learning Need Each Other—◆Sayan Mukerjee, Duke University JSM 2009 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Walter Ambrosius, Wake Forest University School of Medicine TL22 The Current State and Future Role of Pro Bono Statistical Consulting—◆Christopher Holloman, The Ohio State University TL23 Setting Consulting Rates—◆Walter Ambrosius, Wake Forest University School of Medicine GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 336 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 340 Impact of High-Dimensional Data on Molecular Epidemiology and Statistical Genomics—Invited CC-202A ■ TL24 The Best of Both Worlds: Merging Ground and Online Pedagogy Into the Hybrid Course—◆David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University TL25 Using Model-Eliciting Activities (MEAs) in the Introductory Statistics Class—◆Joan B. Garfield, The University of Minnesota TL26 Resequencing Topics in an Introductory Statistics Course—◆Christopher J. Malone, Winona State University 2:05 p.m. Gene Set Analysis as a Tool for Cross-Platform Integration in Genomics—◆Giovanni Parmigiani, Johns Hopkins University; Simina Boca, Johns Hopkins University; Luigi Marchionni, Johns Hopkins University 337 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction 2:35 p.m. Statistical Issues and Challenges of Epigenomics— ◆Rebecca W. Doerge, Purdue University 3:05 p.m. Statistical Methods for Differential Diagnosis of Second Primary Cancers from Metastases—◆Colin B. Begg, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Statistical Graphics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Graphics Organizer(s): Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University TL27 Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Jaya Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Chair(s): Jaya Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 341 CC-209C Analysis of Complex and High-Dimensional 338 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Data—Invited International Chinese Statistical Association Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Peter G. Hall, The University of Melbourne Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Michael Elliott, University of Michigan TL28 339 Chair(s): Peter G. Hall, The University of Melbourne 2:05 p.m. Building Nonparametric Sparse Models from Natural Images to V1 fMRI—◆Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley; Pradeep K. Ravikumar, University of California, Berkeley; Vincent Vu, University of California, Berkeley; Thomas Naselaris, University of California, Berkeley; Kendrick Kay, University of California, Berkeley; Jack Gallant, University of California, Berkeley 2:30 p.m. Unsupervised Cross-Validation—◆Art B. Owen, Stanford University 2:55 p.m. Liquid Association for Complex Data Analysis— ◆Ker-Chau Li, Institute of Statistical Science, Academia Sinica 3:20 p.m. Analysis of Complex and High-Dimensional Data— ◆DuBois Bowman, Emory University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Models for the Characterization and Management of Costs and Risks During Changes in Survey Design— ◆John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Social Statistics Section Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Joseph J. Salvo, NYC Department of City Planning TL29 What Every Statistician Should Know About the ACS: ACS for Newbies—◆Susan Schechter, U.S. Census Bureau TL30 Using Data from the American Community Survey: What Federal Agencies Need to Know—◆Frederick Eggers, Independent Consultant Washington, DC 157 Tuesday Challenges for Statisticians Working on Large Data Sets in R—◆Michael Kane, Yale University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 342 CC-207A 344 ■ ✪ Bayesian Approaches to Safety, Efficacy, and Health Surveillance—Invited Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Sharon-Lise T. Normand, Harvard Medical School Chair(s): Sharon-Lise T. Normand, Harvard Medical School 2:05 p.m. Small Area Estimation of the Prevalence of Cancer Risk Factors and Screening via Bayesian Methods Using Combined Information from Two Surveys—William Davis, National Cancer Institute; Eric Feuer, National Cancer Institute; Van L. Parsons, National Center for Health Statistics; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University of Michigan; ◆Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics; Dawei Xie, University of Pennsylvania 2:30 p.m. The Role of Meta-Analysis in Assessing Adverse Drug Effects—◆Joel B. Greenhouse, Carnegie Mellon University 2:55 p.m. Bayesian Shrinkage Models for Associations Involving Sparse Data—◆William DuMouchel, Phase Forward Lincoln Safety Group 3:20 p.m. Disc: Danica Marinac-Dabic, FDA 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ ✪ Statistical CC-149A Methods for Forecasting—Invited Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tae-Hwy Lee, University of California, Riverside Chair(s): Graham Elliott, University of California, San Diego 2:05 p.m. Let’s Do It Again: Bagging Equity Premium Predictors—Eric Hillebrand, Louisiana State University; ◆Tae-Hwy Lee, University of California, Riverside; Marcelo C. Medeiros, Pontifical Catholic University Rio 2:30 p.m. MIDAS Instruments—◆Jonathan H. Wright, Johns Hopkins University; Eric Ghysels, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:55 p.m. Factor Model Forecasts of Exchange Rates— ◆Kenneth West, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:20 p.m. Forecasting Inflation with Gradual Regime Shifts and Exogenous Information—◆Kistin Hubrich, European Central Bank; Timo Teraesvirta, Aarhus University; Andrés González, Central Bank of Colombia 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 345 CC-150A ■ ✪ The Agony and Ecstasy of Innovation in Federal Surveys—Invited 343 ■ ✪ Profiling CC-143C Health Care Providers: Emerging Issues, Statistical Methods, and Policy Implications—Invited Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Yulei He, Harvard Medical School Chair(s): Christopher H. Schmid, Tufts Medical Center 2:05 p.m. Hospital Report Cards: Toward Optimal Statistical Decisions—◆Peter Austin, Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences 2:30 p.m. Evaluating Composite Quality Measures— ◆Mary Beth Landrum, Harvard Medical School 2:55 p.m. Performance of Confidence Intervals for the Ratio of Observed to Expected Numbers of an Event— ◆Sean M. O’Brien, Duke University Medical Center 3:20 p.m. Disc: Shaheen Halim, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 158 JSM 2009 Section on Government Statistics, SSC Organizer(s): Lynda T. Carlson, National Science Foundation Chair(s): Lawrence D. Brown, The Wharton School 2:05 p.m. The Importance of Goal-Oriented Leadership for Innovation—◆Constance F. Citro, The National Academies 2:30 p.m. Partnership for Innovation—◆Jeri M. Mulrow, National Science Foundation; Lynda T. Carlson, National Science Foundation; Thomas L. Mesenbourg, U.S. Census Bureau; Thomas E. Zabelsky, U.S. Census Bureau 2:55 p.m. Overcoming Extremeness: The Survey Innovator’s Essential Task—◆Don A. Dillman, Washington State University 3:20 p.m. Disc: Norman M. Bradburn, NORC at the University of Chicago 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 346 ■ ✪ Geosciences and SAMSI—Invited CC-207B 348 IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): James Berger, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute Chair(s): Nell Sedransk, National Institute of Statistical Sciences CC-204B Computer Experiments: Modeling Data and Making Decisions—Invited Technometrics, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): David M. Steinberg, Tel Aviv University Chair(s): David M. Steinberg, Tel Aviv University Functional ANOVA Models for Comparing Sources of Variability in Climate Model Output—◆Cari Kaufman, University of California, Berkeley; Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research 2:05 p.m. Decision-Theoretic Sensitivity Analysis for Complex Computer Models—◆Jeremy Oakley, The University of Sheffield 2:30 p.m. Data Assimilation: What Is the Point?—◆Leonard A. Smith, University of Oxford 2:30 p.m. 2:55 p.m. Uncertain Tempering and Extreme Events in Volcanic Risk Assessment—◆Robert L. Wolpert, Duke University 3:20 p.m. Disc: James Berger, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute Variable Selection in Bayesian Smoothing Spline ANOVA Models: Application to Deterministic Computer Codes—◆Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University; Curtis Storlie, University of New Mexico; Howard D. Bondell, North Carolina State University 2:55 p.m. Disc: Derek Bingham, Simon Fraser University Floor Discussion 3:15 p.m. Disc: Hugh Chipman, Acadia University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:05 p.m. 3:40 p.m. 347 CC-204C Memorial, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Ralph E. Folsom, RTI International Chair(s): Ralph E. Folsom, RTI International 349 ■ ✪ Use of Administrative Data in Policymaking—Invited CC-209B Tuesday ✪ Memorial for Daniel G. Horvitz: Pioneering Researcher and Visionary Leader—Invited 2:05 p.m. Dan Horvitz: His Life and Work as a Statistician— ◆Judith Lessler, Harland’s Creek Farm International Association of Survey Statisticians, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Louise Bourque, Institut de la statistique du Québec Chair(s): Marie-éve Tremblay, Institut de la statistique du Québec 2:30 p.m. Some Generalizations of the Horvitz-Thompson Estimator—◆James R. Chromy, RTI International 2:05 p.m. 2:55 p.m. Horvitz-Thompson Estimation and Unit Nonresponse—◆William Kalsbeek, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Robert Agans, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Abigail Panter, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Use of Income Tax Data of Individuals for Demographic Purposes—◆Sonia Demers, Statistics Canada 2:30 p.m. Register Data Are a Good Backbone but Sometimes Restricted for Policymakers: Experiences from Finland Over Decades—◆Seppo Laaksonen, Statistics Finland/University of Helsinki; Pekka Myrskyla, Statistics Finland 2:55 p.m. Mixing Administrative and Survey Data in a Longitudinal Setting: Construction and Uses of the French Permanent Demographic Sample— ◆Stéphane Jugnot, National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies 3:20 p.m. Imputation and Estimation Under NMAR Nonresponse with Limited Covariate Information— ◆Danny Pfeffermann, Hebrew University/University of Southampton; Anna Sikov, Hebrew University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:20 p.m. Disc: John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 159 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 350 CC-202B New Statistical Methods for Array CGH Data— Invited ■ ENAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Jeffrey S. Morris, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Jeffrey S. Morris, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 2:05 p.m. 2:55 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Bayesian Random Segmentation Models for Array-CGH Data—◆Veera Baladandayuthapani, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jeffrey S. Morris, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Yuan Ji, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Model-Based Clustering of Array CGH Profiles: A Recursive-Partitioning Algorithm for Wavelet Decompositions—◆David Engler, Brigham Young University; Brent Coull, Harvard University; Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health; E. Andres Houseman, University of Massachusetts Lowell Segregated Analysis of Array CGH Data— ◆Daniel P. Gaile, State University of New York at Buffalo; Jeffrey C. Miecznikowski, State University of New York at Buffalo; David Gold, Roswell Park Cancer Institute; Lara Sucheston, State University of New York at Buffalo; Song Liu, State University of New York at Buffalo; Carl Morrison, Roswell Park Cancer Institute Floor Discussion 351 352 ■ ✪ Mediating IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State University 2:05 p.m. Posterior Normality and Prior Selection in High Dimensions—◆Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/University of Miami; Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State University 2:35 p.m. A Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises Theorem— ◆Ismael Castillo, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam 3:05 p.m. Large Sample Properties of Bayesian Survival Analysis—◆Yongdai Kim, Seoul National University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-102B Statistics in the Media: Getting Your Numbers Rightly Reported!—Invited Committee on Meetings Organizer(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University ; David Leonhardt, The New York Times Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University Panelists: ◆David Leonhardt, The New York Times ◆Shankar Vedantam, The Washington Post ◆William Alpert, Barron’s 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion Topic-Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 353 CC-158A Recent Advances in Methodology for Functional Data—Topic-Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): R. Todd Ogden, Columbia University Chair(s): Philip T. Reiss, New York University 2:05 p.m. Multilevel Functional Principal Component Analysis—◆Chongzhi Di, Johns Hopkins University; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Johns Hopkins University 2:25 p.m. Wavelet-Based Functional Linear Regression— ◆Yihong Zhao, Columbia University; Todd Ogden, Columbia University 2:45 p.m. Hierarchical Bayesian Models for Predicting Spatially Correlated Curves—◆Joon Jin Song, University of Arkansas; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University 3:05 p.m. New Data Analysis Methods for Actigraphy in Sleep Medicine—◆William Shannon, Washington University School of Medicine; Jaime Boero, Marshfield Clinic; Duntley Stephen, Washington University School of Medicine; David Clifford, Washington University School of Medicine; Jimin Ding, Washington University in St. Louis 3:25 p.m. Wavelet-Based Functional Mixed Models via DPM—◆Alejandro Villagran, Rice University; Sang-Han Lee, Nathan S. Kline Institute for Psychiatric Research; Marina Vannucci, Rice University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-206 Bayes-Frequentist Reconciliation in Large Parameter Spaces—Invited 160 Invited Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 354 CC-150B 2:25 p.m. The Effect on Linkage Rates and Mortality Ascertainment of Partial SSN Matching to the National Death Index—◆Christine S. Cox, National Center for Health Statistics; Kimberly Lochner, National Center for Health Statistics; Stephanie Bartee, National Center for Health Statistics; Donna Miller, National Center for Health Statistics; Gloria Wheatcroft, National Center for Health Statistics 2:45 p.m. Tracing Survey Respondents Without SSNs— ◆Marilyn Seastrom, National Center for Education Statistics 3:05 p.m. Disc: Mary B. Frazier, U.S. Census Bureau 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion ✪ Student Paper Competition - Markov Chains, Mixture Models, MLEs, and More— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): J. R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation Chair(s): J. R. Lockwood, RAND Corporation 2:05 p.m. 2:25 p.m. 2:45 p.m. 3:05 p.m. Twisted Sisters: Disentangling Selection in Overlapping Reading Frames—◆Wei-Chen Chen, Iowa State University; Karin S. Dorman, Iowa State University A Steplength Algorithm for Fitting ERGMs— ◆Ruth M. Hummel, Penn State University; Mark S. Handcock, University of Washington; David R. Hunter, Penn State University MCPMod: An R Package for the Design and Analysis of Dose-Finding Studies—◆Bjoern Bornkamp, Dortmund University of Technology; Jose C. Pinheiro, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Frank Bretz, Norvartis, Switzerland 3:25 p.m. Pairwise Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Model-Based Clustering—◆Frank Jian Guo, University of Michigan; Elizaveta Levina, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 355 ■ ✪ Efforts CC-144A to Minimize the Use of Social Security Numbers in Federal Data Collections— Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Marilyn Seastrom, National Center for Education Statistics Chair(s): Katherine Wallman, Office of Management and Budget 2:05 p.m. Diffusion Tensor Imaging in the Brain: Overview and Recent Advances—TopicContributed CC-141 ■ Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Lynn E. Eberly, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Shuzhen Li, University of Minnesota 2:05 p.m. Diffusion Tensor Imaging in the Brain: Overview— ◆Lynn E. Eberly, The University of Minnesota 2:25 p.m. Statistical Curve and Tube Fitting for Diffusion Tensor Imaging Tractography—◆Brian S. Caffo, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Johns Hopkins University; Arthur J. Goldsmith, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Daniel Reich, Johns Hopkins University 2:45 p.m. Voxel-Based Inference for Eigenvalues and Eigenvectors in Group Diffusion Tensor Imaging Studies—◆Armin Schwartzman, Harvard School of Public Health; Robert F. Dougherty, Stanford University; Jonathan Taylor, Stanford University 3:05 p.m. Nonparametric Smoothing and Classification of High Angular Resolution Diffusion Imaging Data— ◆John D. Carew, Emory University 3:25 p.m. A Unified Parametric Model of White Matter Fiber Tract—◆Moo K. Chung, University of Wisconsin 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Federal Policy on Collecting and Using Social Security Numbers for Statistical Purposes— ◆Rochelle (Shelly) W. Martinez, Office of Management and Budget; John Barkhamer, Office of Management and Budget Washington, DC 161 Tuesday Penalized Sieve Deconvolution Estimation of Mixture Distributions with Boundary Effects— ◆Mihee Lee, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Haipeng Shen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; J. Steve Marron, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 356 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CC-144C 359 357 Analyzing Complex Survey Data Using Auxiliary Variables—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Polly Phipps, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:05 p.m. 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Inference of Finite Population Distribution Functions and Quantiles from Unequal Probability Samples—◆Qixuan Chen, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan Estimating Variance Components Using Random Forest—◆Guillermo Mendez, American Express; Sharon Lohr, Arizona State University 2:45 p.m. An Adaptive Method for Collapsing Strata Using Regression Trees on Data from a Complex Design—◆Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics; John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 3:05 p.m. Simultaneous Calibration and Nonresponse Adjustment—◆Eric V. Slud, University of Maryland College park; Yves Thibaudeau, U.S. Census Bureau 3:25 p.m. Collinearity Diagnostics for Complex Survey Data—◆Dan Liao, University of Maryland 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 358 ■ ✪ Innovative CC-102A CC-142 Genome-Wide Association Approaches and Their Roles to Identify Predictors for Drug Development—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, International Indian Statistical Association, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Sue-Jane Wang, FDA Chair(s): Colin O. Wu, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 2:05 p.m. Statistical Aspects of Using Shared Controls in Genome-Wide Association Studies—◆Dmitri Zaykin, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 2:25 p.m. Pathway Analysis by Adaptive Combination of P-Values—◆Kai Yu, National Cancer Institute 2:45 p.m. Identifying Predictors of Drug Efficacy in Clinical Development Using Genome-Wide Association Approach—◆Gbenga R. Kazeem, GlaxoSmithKline; Silviu Bacanu, GlaxoSmithKline; Nelson R. Matthew, GlaxoSmithKline; Magaret Ehm, GlaxoSmithKline; Wang Sue-Jane, FDA 3:05 p.m. Two-Stage Procedures for Selecting the Best Diagnostic Biomarkers—◆Aiyi Liu, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development 3:25 p.m. Genetic Association Analysis of Longitudinal and Multivariate Phenotypes in Families—◆Qiong Yang, Boston University; Hongsheng Wu, Boston University; Chao-Yu Guo, Children’s Hospital 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Methods for Conveying Statistical Ideas to Nonstatisticians—Topic-Contributed Committee on Outreach Education, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Owen J. Devine, CDC Chair(s): Owen J. Devine, CDC 2:05 p.m. Biopharmaceutical Interactive Outreach— ◆Jeremy D. Jokinen, Johnson & Johnson 2:25 p.m. Automatic Analyses on the Web—◆Dan Rope, SPSS 2:45 p.m. First-Year Basics: Getting Started in College Counseling Statistics—◆Fred Djang, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 3:05 p.m. Innovative Ways to Convey Statistical Concepts to Nonstatisticians—◆Anna B. Nevius, FDA; Alexei A. Dmitrienko, Eli Lilly and Company; Venkat S. Sethuraman, Novartis; Mani Y. Lakshminarayanan, Merck & Co., Inc. 3:25 p.m. Disc: Stephen Gulyas, Lilly Corporate Center 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 162 JSM 2009 360 ■ ✪ Savage CC-209A Award Finalists—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Marina Vannucci, Rice University Chair(s): Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:05 p.m. Adaptive Bayesian P-Splines to Estimate Varying Regression Coefficients: Application to Receptor Occupancy Estimation—◆Astrid Jullion, UCB Pharma; Philippe Lambert, University of Liège; François Vandenhende, ClinBAY 2:25 p.m. On the Analysis of Bayesian Semiparametric IRT-Type Models—◆Alejandro Jara, Universidad de Concepción; Ernesto San Martin, Department of Statistics and Measurement Center MIDE UC Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile 2:45 p.m. Functional Mixed Registration Models— ◆Donatello Telesca, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Lurdes Inoue, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Some Extensions of the Polya Urn Scheme with Bayesian Applications—◆Lorenzo Trippa, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:25 p.m. Disc: David Dunson, Duke University 3:25 p.m. Disc: Andrew Hill, Wyeth Research 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 361 CC-101 Statistical Analysis Issues for Diagnostic Devices—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Arkendra De, FDA; Vicki Petrides, Abbott Diagnostics Chair(s): Vicki Petrides, Abbott Diagnostics Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 363 CC-155 ASA and NCTM Collaborations on a Shared Vision for the Role of Statistics in Schools— Topic-Contributed ■ 2:05 p.m. How Much Information Can a Genomic Classifier Based on Gene Expression Add to Models Based on Clinical Covariates Alone?— ◆Samir Lababidi, FDA 2:25 p.m. When is a Diagnostic Test Informative?—◆Lakshmi Vishnuvajjala, FDA 2:45 p.m. Methods for Handling Missing Data from Diagnostic Tests—◆Gene Pennello, FDA Panelists: ◆Gary Kader, Appalachian State University ◆Pat Hopfensperger, Mequon School District 3:05 p.m. Biomarker Evaluation Using Percentile Value Standardization Approach with Event Time Outcomes—◆Yuying Jin, University of Washington; Margaret Pepe, University of Washington; Yingye Zheng, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center ◆Roxy Peck, Cal Poly Estimating Cross-Validation Variability—◆Waleed A. Yousef, Helwan University; Weijie Chen, FDA 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 362 ◆Christine S. Franklin, The University of Georgia 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. CC-204A 364 Machine Learning and Computational Inference for Diagnostic Devices— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Shanti Gomatam, FDA Chair(s): Timothy S. Davison, Almac Diagnostics Ltd. 2:05 p.m. Classifier Variability: Accounting for Training and Testing—◆Weijie Chen, FDA; Brandon D. Gallas, FDA 2:25 p.m. Supplementing a Validation Test Sample— ◆Frank W. Samuelson, FDA 2:45 p.m. Computational Intelligence-Based Data Mining for the Minimal Clinically Relevant Difference in the Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale—◆Nitzan Mekel-Bobrov, Boston Scientific Corporation 3:05 p.m. Tuesday 3:25 p.m. ASA NCTM Joint Committee on Curriculum in Statistics and Probability, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University Chair(s): Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University MDLR/MSV: An Algorithm for Mutation Detection Microarray and Software for Mutation Signal Visualization—◆Wei-min Liu, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Aki Nakao, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Li Qiu, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Nancy Patten, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Sim Truong, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Lin Wu, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc. CC-143A Modeling Customer Lifetime Value and Social Media Data—Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing Chair(s): David Schweidel, University of Wisconsiin 2:05 p.m. Scalable Analysis of Dyadic Data Using Dirichlet Processes—◆Michael Braun, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Andre Bonfrer, Singapore Management University 2:20 p.m. Customer Engagement and Sales Conversion in a Social Media Context—◆Lynd D. Bacon, Loma Buena Associates; Danielle Murray, Shutterfly Inc.; Peter Lenk, University of Michigan 2:35 p.m. A Multistage Approach to Estimating Customer Lifetime Value—◆Heather M. Johnston, IBM; A. M. Santos, IBM 2:50 p.m. A Bias-Correction Procedure for Using Aggregate Data to Proxy Individual Characteristics— ◆Jason Duan, The University of Texas at Austin 3:05 p.m. A Geometric Brownian Motion Model of Purchase History Dynamics—Kalyan Raman, Northwestern University; ◆Edward C. Malthouse, Northwestern University Washington, DC 163 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Quantile Regression as a Tool for Identifying Drivers of Satisfaction and Dissatisfaction—◆Jorge A. Alejandro, Market Probe; Kurt A. Pflughoeft, Market Probe Optimization of Marketing Amount Allocation and Marketing Personalization for a Set of Products in the Presence of Word of Mouth—◆Dmitri V. Kuznetsov, Intellidyn Corp. 365 Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:20 p.m. Measurement Error Models for Physical Activity Measures—◆Nicholas K. Beyler, Iowa State University; Sarah Nusser, Iowa State University; Alicia L. Carriquiry, Iowa State University; Gregory Welk, Iowa State University; Wayne Fuller, Iowa State University How Misclassification of Race/Ethnicity Categories in Sampling Stratification Affects Survey Estimates—◆Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Amang Sukasih, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Kelly H. Kang, National Science Foundation; Stephen Cohen, National Science Foundation 2:35 p.m. Estimating Response Bias and Response Variance (Simple and Correlated) from Reinterviews— ◆Dhiren Ghosh, Synectics for Management Decisions Inc. 2:50 p.m. Effects from Respondent Location on Telephone Survey Estimates—◆Courtney Kennedy, University of Michigan; Stephen E. Everett, The Everett Group; Michael W. Traugott, University of Michigan 3:05 p.m. Using Statistical Models in the Sample Design for the Quality Control Reinterview Program— ◆Jianzhu Li, Westat, Inc.; Michael J. Brick, Westat, Inc.; Phyllis Singer, U.S. Census Bureau; Bac Tran, U.S. Census Bureau 3:20 p.m. Identifying Outliers When Creating an Imputation Base for the Quarterly Financial Report—◆Melvin J. McCullough, U.S. Census Bureau; Terry L. Pennington, U.S. Census Bureau 3:35 p.m. Identifying Sources of Survey Errors: The 2007 Classification Error Survey for the U.S. Census of Agriculture—◆Denise A. Abreu, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Jaki McCarthy, National Agricultural Statistics Service 164 JSM 2009 CC-159B Methodological Advances for Spatial and Temporal Studies—Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Dan Nordman, Iowa State University 2:05 p.m. On Shortest Prediction Intervals in Log-Gaussian Random Fields—◆Victor De Oliveira, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Changxiang Rui, University of Arkansas 2:20 p.m. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Variance Parameters in the Spatial Random Effects Model— ◆Matthias Katzfuss, The Ohio State University; Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University 2:35 p.m. Clipped Latent Variable Spatial Models for Ordered Categorical Data—◆Megan D. Higgs, Montana State University; Jennifer Hoeting, Colorado State University 2:50 p.m. Correcting for Signal Attenuation from Noise: Sharpening the Focus on Past Climate—◆Marc Genton, Texas A&M University; Caspar Ammann, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Bo Li, Purdue University 3:05 p.m. Cross-Covariance Functions for Multivariate Random Fields Based on Latent Dimensions— ◆Tatiyana V. Apanasovich, Thomas Jefferson University; Marc Genton, Texas A&M University 3:20 p.m. Reversible Jump MCMC for Inference in a Deterministic Individual-Tree-Based Growth Model for Studying Forest Dynamics—◆Jarrett Barber, University of Wyoming; Darren E. Gemoets, University of Wyoming; Kiona Ogle, University of Wyoming 3:35 p.m. A Model-Based Analysis of Semicontinuous Spatial Data—◆Virginia Recta, Penn State University; Murali Haran, Penn State University; James L. Rosenberger, Penn State University CC-144B Measurement Errors, Outliers, and Influential Observations in Surveys—Contributed ■ 2:05 p.m. 366 367 CC-153 Teaching the Fundamentals—Contributed Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Kevin Henning, Texas Tech University 2:05 p.m. What Do Students Hear When We Say ‘Random’?: Emipirical Results from a Study of Lexical Ambiguity—◆Jennifer J. Kaplan, Michigan State University; Diane Fisher, University of LouisianaLafayette; Neal Rogness, Grand Valley State University 2:20 p.m. Statistics-Based Calculus?—◆Patti F. Lock, St. Lawrence University 2:35 p.m. Teaching Probability and Combinatorics Using Lotteries—◆Patricia B. Humphrey, Georgia Southern University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:50 p.m. Two Language-Based Examples for Use in the Statistics Classroom—◆Roger Bilisoly, Central Connecticut State University 3:05 p.m. Why We Should Teach Introductory Applied Statistics Courses Backwards—◆Bill Rybolt, Babson College 3:20 p.m. Moment-Generating Functions for Tenable Two-Label Polya Urns—◆Kyle Whittaker, The George Washington University; Katharine Gurski, Howard University 3:35 p.m. Understanding the Central Limit Theorem Through Visualizations—◆Tower Chen, University of Guam 368 ■ CC-148 Modeling and Process Control—Contributed 369 Nonparametric Methods for Department Data— Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Mohsen Pourahmadi, Northern Illinois University Resampling-Based Bias-Corrected Time Series Prediction—◆Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Texas A&M University 2:20 p.m. On Confidence Intervals for the Mean of a LongRange Dependent Process—◆Zhewen Fan, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Xiaofeng Shao, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 2:35 p.m. Nonparametric Estimation for Multivariate Lèvy Processes—◆Roger Laeven, Tilburg University 2:50 p.m. Dependence Calibration in Conditional Copulas: A Nonparametric Approach—◆Elif F. Acar, University of Toronto; Radu Craiu, University of Toronto; Fang Yao, University of Toronto Bayes-Type Test for Constancy of Parameters in Logistic Model—◆Yukan Wu, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Nagaraj K. Neerchal, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 3:05 p.m. Cox-McFadden Marginal Likelihood for Clustered Proportional Hazards—◆Jan Ondrich, Syracuse University 3:20 p.m. Time Series Factorial Models with Uncertainty Measures: Applications to ARMA Processes and Financial Data—◆Carole Toque, University of Luxembourg; Virginie Terraza, University of Luxembourg 2:20 p.m. Additive Models in Regression Problems—◆Mehdi Kiani, Athens University of Economics and Business 2:35 p.m. Supersaturated Designs: Are Our Results Significant?—◆David Edwards, Virginia Commonwealth University; Robert W. Mee, The University of Tennessee 3:35 p.m. Bayesian Wavelet-Based Transformation for Inducing Normality from Non-Gaussian Long Memory Time Series—◆Kyungduk Ko, Boise State University 2:50 p.m. Design and Analysis of Mixture-of-Mixture Experiments—◆Lulu Kang, Georgia Institute of Technology; Roshan V. Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology; William A. Brenneman, Procter & Gamble 3:05 p.m. Profile-Monitoring Analysis with Fixed and Random Effects Using Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods—◆Abdel-Salam G. Abdel-Salam, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Jeffrey B. Birch, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 3:20 p.m. A Readjustment and Rectifying Action in the Integrated Process Control—◆Changsoon Park, Chung-Ang University; Jaeheon Lee, Chung-Ang University 3:35 p.m. CUSUM Charts for Monitoring Lifetime Data— ◆Denisa A. Olteanu, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Geoff G. Vining, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 370 Tuesday 2:05 p.m. Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Chengxing Lu, CDC 2:05 p.m. CC-158B CC-159A Nonparametric Estimation and Testing— Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Ursula U. Müller-Harknett, Texas A&M University 2:05 p.m. Generalized Wilcoxon Test for Interval-Censored Failure Time Data—◆Chinsan Lee, Shu-Te University of Technology 2:20 p.m. Nonparametric Assessment of Effectiveness in the Presence of Interactions Between Treatment Options and Cost Using Censored Data—◆Mohammad H. Rahbar, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Joseph C. Gardiner, Michigan State University; Md Monir Hossain, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Hooshang Talebi, University of Isfahan 2:35 p.m. Multiple Imputation Based on Restricted Mean Models for Censored Survival Data—◆Lyrica Xiaohong Liu, University of Michigan; Susan Murray, University of Michigan; Alexander Tsodikov, University of Michigan Washington, DC 165 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:50 p.m. Self-Consistent Estimators Based on Doubly Censored Data—◆Meng Zhao, Mississippi State University; Karunarathna Kulasekera, Clemson University 3:05 p.m. Testing for Shape-Restricted Hazard Function Using Resampling Techniques—◆Desale Habtzghi, University of Akron; Somnath Datta, University of Louisville; Mary C. Meyer, Colorado State University 3:20 p.m. Nonparametric Calibration of Two Common Antimicrobial Susceptibility Tests Based on Interval-Censored Data with Measurement Error— ◆Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University; Xiaoli Qi, Oracle Corporation 3:35 p.m. 372 Bayesian Methods for Gene Expression and Microarrays—Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Niko Kaciroti, University of Michigan Modeling the Spatial Structure in Microarray Data— ◆Vinicius D. Mayrink, Duke University; Joseph E. Lucas, Duke Institute for Genome Science and Policy 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of iTRAQ Data with Nonrandom Missing: Identification of Differentially Expressed Proteins—◆Ruiyan Luo, Yale University; Hongyu Zhao, Yale University 2:35 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to the Quantification of Protein Lysate Arrays—◆E. Shannon Neeley, Brigham Young University; C. Shane Reese, Brigham Young University 2:50 p.m. Bayesian Modeling of ChIP-Chip Data via a Modified Ising Model—◆Qianxing Mo, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Faming Liang, Texas A&M University 3:05 p.m. Testing Multiple Hypotheses on a Gene Ontology Graph—◆Kun Liang, Iowa State University; Dan Nettleton, Iowa State University 3:20 p.m. Estimation in Covariate-Adjusted Nonlinear Regression Models—◆Esra Kurum, Penn State University; Damla Senturk, Penn State University Bayesian Hierarchical Model of Gene Expression and Methylation Data Through EM Algorithm— ◆Jaesik Jeong, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 3:35 p.m. A B-Spline–Based Semiparametric Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model—◆Angelo Elmi, University of Pennsylvania; Sarah Ratcliffe, University of Pennsylvania; Wensheng Guo, University of Pennsylvania; Samuel Parry, University of Pennsylvania A Modified Statistical Method for Identifying Differentially Expressed Genes—◆Zhao Chen, Florida Gulf Coast University 373 Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Spline Smoothing for the Accelerated Failure Time Model—◆Ying Ding, University of Michigan; Bin Nan, University of Michigan Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jichun Xie, University of Pennsylvania Floor Discussion Nonparametric Models I—Contributed CC-203A Biometrics Section Chair(s): Sarah Ratcliffe, University of Pennsylvania 2:20 p.m. 2:35 p.m. 2:50 p.m. 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Generalized Functional Latent Feature Models in Colon Carcinogenesis Data—◆Yehua Li, The University of Georgia; Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University Choosing a Variance Function in Semiparametric Analysis of Overdispersed Count Data— ◆Sudhir R. Paul, University of Windsor Nonparametric Methodology for the TimeDependent Partial Area Under the ROC Curve— ◆Chin-Tsang Chiang, National Taiwan University Lack of Fit in Self-Modeling Regression— ◆Lyndia C. Brumback, University of Washington Genome-Wide Association Studies— Contributed CC-203B 2:05 p.m. A New Population Size Model for Two-Dimensional Gel Electrophoresis in Proteomics—◆Changxuan Mao, AT&T Labs - Research 2:20 p.m. Distributions of Within-Family Genetic Variances— ◆Anne M. Millar, Mount Saint Vincent University 2:35 p.m. Using Cases from Genome-Wide Association Studies to Strengthen Inference on the Association Between Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms and a Secondary Phenotype—◆Huilin Li, National Cancer Institute; Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute 2:50 p.m. Improving Differential Expression Analysis with the Consideration of Genome-Wide Co-Expression Information—◆Yinglei Lai, The George Washington University Washington, DC 167 Tuesday 2:05 p.m. 371 2:05 p.m. CC-208A GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Gene-Gene Interaction Analysis for the Association Studies via Multifactor Dimensionality Reduction Method—Taesung Park, Seoul National University; ◆Jaehoon Lee, Seoul National University; Sohee Oh, Seoul National University; Kyunga Kim, Seoul National University; Kwon Min-Seok, Seoul National University 375 3:20 p.m. Nonmetric Multidimensional Scaling to Correct for Population Stratification in Association Studies— ◆Kelci J. Miclaus, SAS Institute Inc./North Carolina State University 2:05 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Determining Chromatin Features from GenomeWide Tiling Arrays Using Continuous Time Hidden Markov Models—◆Ritendranath Mitra, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Variable Selection in Multivariate Linear Regression Models with Fewer Observations Than the Dimension—◆Mariko Yamamura, Kitasato University; Hirokazu Yanagihara, Hiroshima University; Muni S. Srivastava, University of Toronto 2:20 p.m. Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Data: Sparse MAVE—◆Qin Wang, The University of Georgia; Xiangrong Yin, The University of Georgia 2:35 p.m. Distinguishing Between Parametric and Nonparametric Regression Scenarios with a Consistent Model Selection Procedure—◆Wei Liu, The University of Minnesota-Twin Cities; Yuhong Yang, The University of Minnesota-Twin Cities 2:50 p.m. Optimal Combining of Regression Procedures— ◆Chihche Lin, Astellas Pharma Global Development, Inc. 3:05 p.m. A Simple Selection of Smoothing Parameter in Penalized Spline Regression—◆Hironori Fujisawa, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics 3:20 p.m. Two-Stage Sensitivity-Based Group Screening in Computer Experiments—◆Hyejung Moon, The Ohio State University; Thomas Santner, The Ohio State University; Angela Dean, The Ohio State University 3:35 p.m. Statistical Models for Mechanical Malfunction Detection Based on Vibration Data—◆Lei Jin, McNeese State University 3:05 p.m. 374 Bayesian Learning, Smoothing, and Dimension Reduction—Contributed Variable Selection and Model Selection— Contributed IMS Chair(s): Sijian Wang, University of Wisconsin-Madison CC-208B ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Robert B. Gramacy, University of Cambridge A Bayesian Multiscale Model for Smoothing Images Using the Chinese Restaurant Process—◆John T. White, North Carolina State University 2:20 p.m. Bayesian Hazard Rate Estimation and Sufficient Dimension Reduction—◆Shraddha S. Mehta, Purdue University; Surya T. Tokdar, Carnegie Mellon University; Jayanta K. Ghosh, Purdue University; Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University 2:35 p.m. Bayesian Principal Component Regression with Data-Driven Components Selection—◆Liuxia Wang, Sentrana Inc. 2:50 p.m. Bayesian Adaptive Ensemble Learning—◆Sounak Chakraborty, University of Missouri-Columbia 3:05 p.m. 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Bayesian Flexible Joint Modeling of Survival and Curve Predictors—◆Xiaohui Wang, The University of Texas Pan American; Veera Baladandayuthapani, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Kim-Anh Do, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Semiparametric Bayes Local Additive Models for Longitudinal Data—◆Zhaowei Hua, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; David Dunson, Duke University Bayesian Adaptive Nearest Neighbor Classification—◆Ruixin Guo, University of Missouri; Sounak Chakraborty, University of Missouri-Columbia 376 CC-149B Diffusion Processes Estimation and Financial Markets—Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Jimmy Efird, UNCG 2:05 p.m. Parameter Estimation for Multivariate Stochastic Differential Equations—◆Shan Yang, Iowa State University; Song Xi Chen, Iowa State University 2:20 p.m. Automatic Time Series Model Selection—◆Dongik Jang, Seoul National University; Hee-Seok Oh, Seoul National University 2:35 p.m. Multifrequency Forecasting with SAS HighPerformance Forecasting Software—◆Michele A. Trovero, SAS Institute Inc.; Ed Blair, SAS Institute Inc.; Micheal J. Leonard, SAS Institute Inc. 2:50 p.m. The Return and Volatility Distribution for the DAX Index—◆Yasemin Ulu, Temple University 3:05 p.m. Econometric Analysis via Filtering for Financial Ultra-High Frequency Data—◆Yong Zeng, University of Missouri-Kansas City Washington, DC 169 Tuesday 2:05 p.m. CC-157 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:20 p.m. The Stationary, Continuous Time, Discrete Space (SCD) Model with Polya Tree for Micro Data Analysis in Finance—◆Masaru Hashimoto, Mitsubishi UFJ Securities; Peter Lenk, University of Michigan 3:35 p.m. Predicting the Present (with Google Trends)— ◆Hyunyoung Choi, Google, Inc.; Hal Varian, Google, Inc. 377 CC-201 Application of Innovative Design and Analysis in Clinical Trials—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Dionne Price, FDA 2:05 p.m. Primary Efficacy Endpoint in Clinical Trials of Antiepileptic Drugs: Change or Percent Change— ◆Ohidul Siddiqui, FDA 2:20 p.m. A Methodological Perspective of Predicting Circadian Fluctuations of 24-Hour Ambulatory Blood Pressure: A New Look to ABPM Analyses in Cardiovascular Clinical Trials—◆D. Das Purkayastha, Novartis Pharmaceuticals 2:35 p.m. 2:50 p.m. 3:05 p.m. Flexibility and Integrity Planning in Phase IIb, 2-Stage Adaptive Dose-Ranging Acute Migraine Trials—◆Christopher Assaid, Merck & Co., Inc.; Frank (Xiaoyin) Fan, Merck & Co., Inc.; Joy (Yang) Ge, Merck Research Laboratories Effects of Sources of Variability on Sample Sizes Required for RCTs, Applied to Trials of LipidAltering Therapies on Carotid Artery IntimaMedia Thickness (cIMT)—◆A. Lawrence Gould, Merck Research Laboratories; Joerg Koglin, Merck Research Laboratories; Ray Bain, Merck Research Laboratories; Cathy-Anne Pinto, Merck Research Laboratories; Yale B. Mitchel, Merck Research Laboratories; Richard C. Pasternak, Merck Research Laboratories Design of Early Treatment Trials in Alzheimer’s Disease Through Cohort Enrichment and Surrogate Endpoints—◆Eric A. Macklin, Massachusetts General Hospital/Harvard Medical School; Deborah L. Blacker, Massachusetts General Hospita/Harvard Medical School; Bradley T. Hyman, Massachusetts General Hospital/Harvard Medical School; Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health 3:20 p.m. The Use of the Third Quartile of Placebo Responses in Assessment of Drug Abuse Potential—◆Ling Chen, FDA 3:35 p.m. Modeling Smoking Cessation Data with Alternating States and a Cure Fraction Using Frailty Models— ◆Yimei Li, University of Pennsylvania; Paul E. Wileyto, University of Pennsylvania; Daniel F. Heitjan, University of Pennsylvania 170 JSM 2009 Poster Presentations 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 378 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Gene Expression and Analysis— Topic-Contributed ■ Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 01 Dimension Reduction in the Study of Genetics of Gene Expression—◆Qiang Guo, Oklahoma State University; Stephanie A. Santorico, University of Colorado 02 Bayesian Detection of SNP Interactions Associated with Type-1 Diabetes—◆Jing Zhang, Harvard University; Yu Zhang, Penn State University; Jun S. Liu, Harvard University 03 Unifying Gene Expression Measures Using Factor Analysis—◆Xin V. Wang, University of California, Berkeley; Terence P. Speed, University of California, Berkeley 04 Parameter Selection and Assessment in Prediction— ◆Ian A. Wood, University of Queensland 05 Methods for Genomic Data Integration—◆Joseph Beyene, University of Toronto; Elena Parkhomenko, Hospital for Sick Children; Jemila S. Hamid, Hospital for Sick Children; David Tritchler, University of Toronto 06 Modeling Three-Dimensional Chromosome Structures Using Gene Expression Data—◆Guanghua Xiao, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Xinlei Wang, Southern Methodist University; Arkady Khodursky, The University of Minnesota 07 A New Test for Significant Quantitative Trait Loci Effect— ◆Pradeep Singh, Southeast Missouri State University; Dayana Dominic, Southeast Missouri State University; Kuldeep K. Saxena, CCS Haryana Agricultural University 379 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Microarray Data—Topic-Contributed ■ Biometrics Section, ENAR, WNAR Organizer(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 08 Cost-Efficient Designs Based on Linearly Associated Biomarkers—◆Changxing Ma, State University of New York at Buffalo; Albert Vexler, New York State University at Buffalo; Lili Tian, State University of New York at Buffalo; Enrique Schisterman, National Institutes of Health GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 09 Randomized P-Values with Applications in Multiple Testing—◆Josh Habiger, University of South Carolina; Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 10 Identifying Important Predictors Using L1 Penalized Models and Random Forests—◆Kellie J. Archer, Virginia Commonwealth University 11 Supervised Classification of Microarray Data Using Enriched Ensemble Classifiers—◆Yung-Seop Lee, Dongguk University; Dhammika Amaratunga, Johnson & Johnson Pharma; Javier Cabrera, Rutgers University 12 Analysis of MicroRNA Data—◆Andre A.A. Williams, Virginia Commonwealth University; Kellie J. Archer, Virginia Commonwealth University 13 Statistical Modeling for Oligonucleotide Arrays Using PCA with Likelihood Approach—◆Mehdi Maadooliat, Texas A&M University; Jianhua Hu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jianhua Huang, Texas A&M University 14 Normalization of Microarray Data Using Multivariate Methods—◆Mark Reimers, Virginia Commonwealth University Biomarker Detection Methods When Combining Multiple Multi-Class Microarray Studies—◆Shu-Ya Lu, University of Pittsburgh 16 Multivariate Analysis of Variance Test for Gene Set Analysis—◆Chen-An Tsai, China Medical University; James Chen, National Center for Toxicological Research 17 Using Exon Microarrays to Predict Breast Cancer Occurrence—◆William E. Johnson, Brigham Young University; Ying Sun, The University of Utah; Andrea Bild, The University of Utah 18 A Detection Method for Identifying the Shared Targets of Multiple DNA-Binding Proteins from ChIP-chip Tiling Array Data—◆Nancy N. Wang, University of California, Berkeley 19 Support Vector Machines with Disease-Gene-Centric Network Penalty for High-Dimensional Microarray Data— ◆Yanni Zhu, The University of Minnesota; Wei Pan, The University of Minnesota; Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota 20 A Distribution for p-Values—◆Daniel Zelterman, Yale University; Chang Yu, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine 21 Composite Likelihood Modeling of Neighboring Site Correlations of DNA Sequence Substitution Rates—◆Dirk F. Moore, University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey; Ling Deng, Johnson & Johnson 22 Using Distributions for p-Values in the Two-Component Mixture Models to Estimate the Proportion from Null— ◆Chang Yu, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine; Daniel Zelterman, Yale University 23 Bayesian Analysis of Microarray Experiments with Multiple Sources of Variation: A Mixed Model Approach—◆Cumhur Y. Demirkale, Iowa State University; Dan Nettleton, Iowa State University; Tapabrata Maiti, Michigan State University CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 24 Statistical and Numerical Dependence in Gene Expression Summaries—◆John R. Stevens, Utah State University; Gabriel Nicholas, University of Wisconsin-Madison Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 25 Real-Time Evaluation of Incubation Period Distributions in an Epidemic—◆Nicholas G. Reich, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Ron Brookmeyer, Princeton University Clinical Trial Designs 26 Correction for Two-Group Sample Size Calculation with Uncertain Group Membership—◆Hung-Mo Lin, Mt. Sinai School of Medicine; Shannon K. McClintock, CDC; John M. Williamson, CDC Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 27 Sample Size Calculation for a Mixture of Discrete and Continuous Endpoints—◆Yolanda Munoz Maldonado, Michigan Technological University; Sarah M. Baraniuk, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Lemuel A. Moye, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston Clinical Trial Designs 28 Sample Size Re-Estimation for Poisson Distributed Variables with Partial Follow-Up—◆Jeannette Y. Lee, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Page C. Moore, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Shelly Lensing, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Health policy, epidemiology, public health 29 Item Development from the Promis Physical Functioning Scale—◆Man Hung, The University of Utah; Charles Saltzman, The University of Utah; Daniel Clegg, The University of Utah; Tom Greene, The University of Utah Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 30 Evidence That Oligonucleotide Expression Values Are Not Normally Distributed—◆Jason Wilson, Biola University 31 From Constructing the Age-Specific Reference Range to the Disease Outcome Study—◆Chong Y. Fu, National Yang Ming University; Ya-Wen Yang, National Yang Ming University; Hsin-Yi Huang, National Yang Ming University; Shih-Hua Liu, National Yunlin University of Science & Technology Washington, DC 171 Tuesday 15 380 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 32 41 An Inequality About Principal Component and Regression—◆Andreas A. Artemiou, Penn State University; Bing Li, Penn State University Statistical Methods to Account for Data Errors Discovered from an Audit—◆Bryan E. Shepherd, Vanderbilt University; Chang Yu, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine Health policy, epidemiology, public health Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 33 42 Logit-Based Confidence Intervals for Single CaptureRecapture Estimation—◆Mauricio Sadinle, Universidad Nacional de Colombia 43 Peptide/Protein Identification Based on Clustered Tandem Mass Spectrometry Data and Bayesian Model Selection— ◆Soyoung Ryu, University of Washington; Vladimir Minin, University of Washington; Dave Goodlett, University of Washington Efficient Sampling in Case-Control Studies—◆Ashlyn H. Munson, Colorado School of Mines; William Navidi, Colorado School of Mines Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 34 Age Estimation Techniques in Facial Recognition— ◆Fernando Schiefelbein, The University of North Carolina at Wilmington Health policy, epidemiology, public health 35 Estimating Transmission Parameters for Infectious Diseases Using Social Contact Data—◆Niel Hens, Hasselt University; Nele Goeyvaerts, Hasselt University; Benson Ogunjimi, University of Antwerp; Olivier Lejeune, University of Antwerp; Marc Aerts, Hasselt University; Philippe Beutels, University of Antwerp Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 36 Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 44 A Hot-Deck Multiple Imputation Procedure for Gaps in Longitudinal Event Histories Based on Multivariate Predictive Mean Matching—◆Chia-Ning Wang, University of Michigan; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan; Bin Nan, University of Michigan; Sioban Harlow, University of Michigan 45 Two-Sample Test of Longitudinal Data with Unequal Observation and Termination Times Based on a Marked Point Process—◆Jinheum Kim, University of Suwon; Chung Mo Nam, Yonsei University; Yang-Jin Kim, Ewha Woman’s University Multivariate Analysis of EEG Sleep Patterns of Neonates— ◆Alexandra Piryatinska, San Francisco State University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 37 Frequency Matching and Balance in Case-Control Studies: Quantifying the Efficiency Loss of Robust but Suboptimal Design Strategies—◆Jennifer L. Wilcock, University of Auckland; Alan J. Lee, University of Auckland Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 38 Two-Sided Hypothesis Testing Based on Pool Screening with Unequal Pool Sizes—◆Hongjiang Gao, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Inmaculada Aban, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Charles R. Katholi, The University of Alabama at Birmingham Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 39 Three Algorithms and SAS Macros for Estimating Power and Sample Size for Logistic Models with One or More Independent Variables of Interest in the Presence of Covariates—◆D. Keith Williams, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Zoran Bursac, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences; Terri Wooten, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Health policy, epidemiology, public health 46 Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 47 172 Causal Inference in a Randomized Trial with Noncompliance and Administrative Censoring—◆Hui Nie, University of Pennsylvania JSM 2009 The Effect of Imputation Misspecification for Incomplete Predictor Time-to-Event Regression Models—James Henle, Smith College; ◆Portia Parker, Smith College; Nicholas Horton, Smith College; Shannon McDonough, Smith College Clinical trials, drug discovery 48 The Use and Abuse of Multiple Outcomes in Randomized Controlled Trials of Depression—◆Kristin M. Tyler, Smith College; Nicholas Horton, Smith College Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 49 Latent Class-Profile Analysis for Modeling StageSequential Processes of Drug-Taking Behaviors— ◆Hwan Chung, Michigan State University 50 A Markov Transition Model to Dementia with Death as a Competing Event—◆Liou Xu, University of Kentucky; David Snowdon, University of Kentucky; Richard J. Kryscio, University of Kentucky Clinical trials, drug discovery 40 Unconditional Exact Test for Comparison of Two Poisson Means—◆Huey-Miin Hsueh, National Chengchi University; MingTe Liu, Tatung Institute of Commerce and Technology GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 51 Sample Size for Testing Interaction Hypothesis in the Cox Regression Model—◆Abu Minhajuddin, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Xian-Jin Xie, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 52 An Exact Test to Detect Geographic Aggregations of Events—◆Rhonda J. Rosychuk, University of Alberta; Jason L. Stuber, Mathematical Sciences Inc. Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 53 Three-Level Mixed Model with Heterogeneous WithinSubject Variances—◆Sharada Modur, The Ohio State University; Elizabeth Stasny, The Ohio State University; Christopher Hans, The Ohio State University 381 Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation QC, operation research, risk assessment 59 Decomposition of a Test Statistic Used in Monitoring Process Variability—◆John C. Young, Retired; Robert L. Mason, Southwest Research Institute; Youn-Min Chou, The University of Texas at San Antonio 60 Repeated Classification Subject to Errors in Process Control—◆Michelle L. Smith, Eastern Kentucky University; William S. Griffith, University of Kentucky Bootstrap, resampling methods 61 Clinical trials, drug discovery 54 Adaptive Prediction in Genomic Signatures--Based Clinical Trials—◆Yang Xie, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Guanghua Xiao, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Chul W. Ahn, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Luc Girard, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; John Minna, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas QC, operation research, risk assessment 62 A Double Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart—Jay Schaffer, University of Northern Colorado; ◆Saad Alkahtani, University of Northern Colorado 63 Determining the Factors That Affect the Fuel Consumption in F-4 Aircrafts by 2^k Experiments and Taguchi Method—◆Berna Yazici, Anadolu University; Senol Kasap, Air Force Command Bootstrap, resampling methods 64 Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 56 Informative Retesting—◆Christopher R. Bilder, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Joshua M. Tebbs, University of South Carolina; Peng Chen, Takeda Pharmaceuticals Multiple Comparisons of Mean Response Profiles in Longitudinal Studies—◆Ramu Sudhagoni, South Dakota State University; Gemechis Djira, South Dakota State University Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 58 Hierarchical Dynamic Modeling of Spatial-Temporal Binary Data—◆Yanbing Zheng, University of Kentucky; Jun Zhu, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Brian Aukema, Canadian Forest Service/University of Northern British Columbia Heteroscedasticity and Non-Normality in Regression: A Parametric Approach—◆Fassil Nebebe, Concordia University Sampling and survey methodology 65 Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 57 Using the Bootstrap for Analysis Unreplicated Two-Level Designs—◆Maher B. Qumsiyeh, University of Dayton; Gerald J. Shaughnessy, University of Dayton 382 Data Security for a CAPI Survey—◆Martin Wulfe, Macro International, Inc. CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Health policy, epidemiology, public health 66 Large-Scale Covariates Increase Prediction Accuracy of Health-Related Risk Models—◆Demosthenes Panagiotakos, Harokopio University; Vasileios Maroulas, The University of Minnesota; Anthony P. Fitzgerald, University College Cork Washington, DC 173 Tuesday 55 Achieving the Benefits of an Internal Pilot with Interim Analysis While Controlling Type I Errors for Gaussian Linear Models—◆John A. Kairalla, University of Florida; Keith E. Muller, University of Florida; Christopher S. Coffey, The University of Alabama at Birmingham CC-L Street Bridge GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 67 75 Shelf Life Assessment Based on Threshold Parameter Estimation—◆Michael E. Tarter, University of California, Berkeley; Guangwei Huang, Technical and Scientific Affairs Almond Board of California Business, financial, and marketing statistics 68 Comparing the Upperbounds for the Tail of the Compound Negative Binomial Distribution— ◆Kumer P. Das, Lamar University Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 76 Health policy, epidemiology, public health 69 Bayesian Model-Averaging Approach in Health Effects Studies: Sensitivity Analyses Using PM10 and Cardiopulmonary Hospital Admissions in Allegheny County, PA, and Simulated Data—◆Ya-Hsiu Chuang, University of Pittsburgh; Sati Mazumdar, University of Pittsburgh Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 70 Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Brownian-Like Predictor—◆Yulei Zhang, Columbia University; Ian McKeague, Columbia University Multiple Comparisons for Weibull Shape Parameters and Percentiles—◆John McCool, Penn State UniversityGreat Valley A Multivariate Time Series Analysis for the Climate Modeling: The Solar-Terrestrial Relation—◆Elizabeth Martínez-Gómez, National Autonomous University of Mexico; Victor M. Guerrero, Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México; Francisco Estrada, Centro de Ciencias de la Atmósfera QC, operation research, risk assessment 77 The Use of T-Squared Control Charts for Process-Driven Studies—◆Maria Weese, The University of Tennessee Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics 78 Inference with Censored Degradation Data—◆Yang Yang, University of Michigan; Vijay Nair, University of Michigan 79 Statistical Analysis of Microbial Diversity of Anaerobic Granules in Starch Wastewater Treatment Plant—◆Wei Wei, University of Puerto Rico-Mayaguez; Bo Hu, University of Puerto Rico-Mayaguez Applications and case studies 71 Multivariate Modeling of Wind Speed Maxima—◆Pál Rakonczai, Lund Institute of Technology; Nader Tajvidi, Lund Institute of Technology; András Zempléni, Eötvös Loránd University Probability, stochastic processes 80 Explicit and Efficient Estimation for a Flexible Class of Stochastic Differential Equation Models—◆Julie L. Forman, University of Copenhagen; Michael Sørensen, University of Copenhagen Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 72 The Use of Semiparametric Regression in Automobile Insurance Pricing—◆Wehrli E. Perez Caicer, Ecuadorean Statistical Society Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 81 Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 73 Variable Selection in Competing Risks Using the L1 Penalized Cox Model—◆Xiangrong Kong, Johns Hopkins University; Kellie J. Archer, Virginia Commonwealth University 383 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics 82 74 174 On the Bivariate Negative Binomial Regression Model— ◆K. Felix Famoye, Central Michigan University JSM 2009 Statistical Behavior of Pedestrians Under Panic— ◆Guillermo Frank, University of Buenos Aires; Claudio Dorso, University of Buenos Aires Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 83 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods Prediction Algorithm Using a Widely Lineal Processing— ◆Rosa M. Fernandez-Alcala, University of Jaen; Javier Moreno-Kayser, University of Jaen; Jesus Navarro-Moreno, University of Jaen; Juan C. Ruiz-Molina, University of Jaen Evaluation of Procedures to Estimate Unconventional Natural Gas Resources When Spatial Trends Are Present—◆Emil D. Attanasi, U.S. Geological Survey; Timothy C. Coburn, Abilene Christian University Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 84 Non-Negative Matrix Factorization: Estimation of the Number of Components and the Effect of Normalization— ◆Jose Maisog, Georgetown University; Karthik Devarajan, Fox Chase Cancer Center; S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Paul Fogel, Independent Consultant; George Luta, Georgetown University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Experimental design 85 Sequential Latin Hypercube Designs for Computer Experiments—◆Jun Li, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Zhiguang Qian, University of Wisconsin-Madison Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 86 Statistical Analysis of Eye Movement Data— ◆Ritaja Sur, University of Maryland; Benjamin Kedem, University of Maryland Engineering and physical sciences, chemometrics 87 Bayesian Estimation of Vortex Merger Parameters—◆Neil Martinsen-Burrell, Wartburg College 88 A Discussion and Application of Discriminant Analysis Theory—◆Takisha R. Harrison, Alabama A&M University; Enoch C. Temple, Alabama A&M University 385 Wald Lecture I—Invited IMS Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): J. Steve Marron, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 4:05 p.m. Fast Sparse Regression and Classification— ◆Jerome H. Friedman, Stanford University 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Invited Sessions 8:00 p.m.–9:30 p.m. 386 Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 384 Deming Lecture—Invited CC-Ballroom A-B 4:05 p.m. Deming Today—◆J. Stuart Hunter, Princeton University 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion ✪ ASA Invited CC-Ballroom A-B Presidential Address and Awards— ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Sally C. Morton, RTI International Chair(s): Peter A. Lachenbruch, Oregon State University 8:00 p.m. Presentation of Awards—◆Peter A. Lachenbruch, Oregon State University 8:30 p.m. Remarks from the 104th President of the Royal Statistical Society—◆David J. Hand, Imperial College 8:40 p.m. Statistics: From Evidence to Policy— ◆Sally C. Morton, RTI International 9:10 p.m. Presentation of Founders Awards and New ASA Fellows—◆Peter A. Lachenbruch, Oregon State University Washington, DC Tuesday ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association, Deming Lectureship Committee Organizer(s): Nicholas I. Fisher, University of Sydney Chair(s): John M. Bushery, U.S. Census Bureau CC-202A 175 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel WEDNESDAY, August 5 Tours 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. JSM Main Registration TR12 - Welcome to Washington Tour 9:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. CC-East Registration 7:30 a.m.–4:30 p.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk TR13 - The Neighborhoods of Washington, DC: Not Just the Nation’s Capital City 2:00 p.m.–6:00 p.m. TR14 - Monuments by Moonlight 8:00 p.m.–11:00 p.m. Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:00 a.m.–8:00 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 6 Conference on Applied Statistics Planning Committee Chair(s): Nathaniel Schenker, National Center for Health Statistics 8:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Exhibitor Lounge CC-Hall D 8:00 a.m.–2:30 p.m. Career Placement Service CC-Hall D 8:30 a.m.–9:30 a.m. Mu Sigma Rho Business Meeting RH-Meeting Room 2 Organizer(s): Christine S. Franklin, The University of Georgia 9:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 COS Publications, Editors and Webmasters Chair(s): Karen Copeland, Boulder Statitstics CC-Hall D Chair(s): Michael P. Cohen, NORC at the University of Chicago 9:00 a.m.–2:30 p.m. EXPO 2009 CC-Hall D 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-303 Committee on International Relations in Statistics Meeting (closed) 9:00 a.m.–5:30 p.m. ASA Marketplace CC-East Registration Chair(s): Demissie Alemayehu, Pfizer Inc. 10:30 a.m.–11:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Advisory Committee on Continuing Education CE Course Evaluation (closed) 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. CC-302 Committee of Representatives to AAAS Business Meeting 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Committee on Privacy and Confidentiality Annual Meeting Chair(s): Jerome Reiter, Duke University; Jerry Reiter, Duke University 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee Meeting Chair(s): David Marker, Westat 7:00 a.m.–8:30 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 8 Committee on Outreach Education Business Meeting (closed) Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense 7:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room 7:00 a.m.–8:00 p.m. Cyber Center CC-154A CC-East Registration Chair(s): Xiaoming Sheng, University of Utah 11:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 STATCOM Open Introductory Meeting Organizer(s): Allison Cummins, 11:30 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Committee on Meetings (closed) CC-302 Chair(s): Xiao-Li Meng, Harvard University 12:00 p.m.–2:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 7 ENAR 2010 Spring Meeting Planning Committee Lunch (by invitation only) Organizer(s): Kathy Hoskins, ENAR 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. Noether Luncheon CC-303 Chair(s): Carlos J. Morales, Wellington Management Company, LLP Washington, DC 177 Wednesday 9:00 a.m.–2:30 p.m. American Statistical Association Booth #101 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 12:30 p.m.–2:00 p.m. NISS/ASA Writing Workshop Lunch RH-Meeting Room 8 Chair(s): Keith Crank, ASA 12:30 p.m.–2:30 p.m. CC-157 Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Mixer and Business Meeting Chair(s): Steve Yao, Amgen, Inc. 1:00 p.m.–6:30 p.m. JSM Luggage Storage CC-East Registration 2:30 p.m.–9:00 p.m. Exhibitor Move-Out CC-Hall D 4:00 p.m.–5:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 STATCOM Annual Business Meeting (closed) CE_31T Survey Data Analysis with Stata 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 ASA Instructor(s): Jeffrey Pitblado, StataCorp LP CE_32T Introduction to Bayesian Analysis Using SAS Software 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 ASA Instructor(s): Fang Chen, SAS Institute Inc. CE_33T Meta-Analysis: Concepts and Applications 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 Organizer(s): Meghan Honerlaw, Network Outreach Coordinator ASA Instructor(s): Michael Borenstein, Biostat, Inc.; Hannah R. Rothstein, Biostat, Inc. 6:00 p.m.–7:00 p.m. CC-143A International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) Annual Members Meeting CE_34T Multilevel and Mixed Models in Stata 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 Organizer(s): Ming-Hui Chen, University of Connecticut 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 2 Section on Statistical Education Business Meeting Chair(s): Robert delMas, The University of Minnesota 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. 2009 JSM Program Committee/ACCE/Local Area Committee Appreciation Reception (by invitation only) 6:00 p.m.–7:30 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 4 Section on Survey Research Methods Business Meeting Chair(s): Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan CE_35T Introduction to the MCMC Procedure in SAS/STAT Software 10:00 a.m.–11:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 ASA Instructor(s): Fang Chen, SAS Institute Inc. CE_36T Determining Sample Size and Power in Study Planning: nQuery Advisor 7.0 1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 Organizer(s): Eric V. Slud, University of Maryland College park ASA Instructor(s): Janet D. Elashoff, Statistical Solutions; Brian Sullivan, Statistical Solutions Continuing Education (Fee Events) CE_37T Introduction to CART: Data Mining with Decision Trees 1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 CE_30T Methods for Multiple Imputation with SOLAS for Missing Data Analysis 3.2 8:00 a.m.–9:45 a.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 ASA Instructor(s): Brian Sullivan, Statistical Solutions ASA Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems CE_38T Group Sequential Analysis Using SAS Software 1:00 p.m.–2:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 ASA Instructor(s): Yang Yuan, SAS Institute Inc. Washington, DC 179 Wednesday 6:30 p.m.–8:00 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 5 University of Maryland College Park Statistical Alumni Reception ASA Instructor(s): Roberto G. Gutierrez, StataCorp LP GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CE_39T Advances in Data Mining: Jerome Friedman’s TreeNet/ MART and Leo Breiman’s Random Forests 3:00 p.m.–4:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 15 ASA Instructor(s): Mikhail Golovnya, Salford Systems CE_40T Using Replication Methods to Analyze Survey Data in SAS Software 3:00 p.m.–4:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Rooms 12, 13, 14 ASA Instructor(s): Anthony An, SAS Institute Inc. CE_41T Introduction to SizÆ: Cytel’s New Software Package for Clinical Trial Design and Analysis 3:00 p.m.–4:45 p.m. RH-Meeting Room 16 ASA Instructor(s): Yannis Jemiai, Cytel, Inc. Roundtables with Coffee 7:00 a.m.–8:15 a.m. 387 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) 389 Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University WL06 Patterns of Data Manipulation—◆Hadley Wickham, Rice University WL02 Data Management and Analytical Issues for Health Service Research Using Health Insurance Claim Data— ◆Yong-Fang Kuo, The University of Texas Medical Branch WL03 A Nonrandom Walk Through Mentoring Programs— ◆Monica Johnston, Mostly Math WL04 Publication of Statistical Software as Open Source— ◆Werner Wothke, American Institutes for Research 388 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau WL05 180 The 2010 Census Communications Campaign: Research That Feeds the Campaign—◆Nancy Bates, U.S. Census Bureau JSM 2009 Challenges in Teaching Statistics to Future Mathematics Teachers—◆John R. Stevens, Utah State University 390 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Teaching Statistics in the Health Sciences Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences Organizer(s): Carol Bigelow, University of Massachusetts Amherst WL07 When Less Is More: What Are the Fundamental Statistical Concepts Health Science Students Need?—◆Ralph M. Turner, University of the Sciences 391 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistics and the Environment Roundtable with Coffee (fee event) Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Petrutza Caragea, Iowa State University WL08 Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts Organizer(s): Chengying Wu, sanofi-aventis WL01 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Geography, Space, and Time in Ecology and Health— ◆Lance A. Waller, Emory University Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 392 CC-202A Late-Breaking Session II: The Role of Statistics in the Nation’s Financial Recovery and Stability—Other ASA, ENAR, IMS, WNAR, SSC, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Katherine Ensor, ASA Chair(s): Alan F. Karr, National Institute of Statistical Sciences 8:35 a.m. The Financial Crisis: Our Share of the Blame— ◆Don McLeish, Center for Advanced Studies 9:00 a.m. Practical Challenges in Operational Risk Modeling: A Regulator's Point of View—◆Emre Balta, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) 9:25 a.m. Constant Proportion, Zeno's Paradox, and the Spectacular Financial Crisis of 2008—◆Donald Richards, Penn State University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:50 a.m. Panel Discussion: The Role of Statistics in the Nation's Financial Health—◆Nicholas Kiefer, Cornell University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 393 Biometrics Section, International Chinese Statistical Association, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Colin O. Wu, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Chair(s): Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 9:05 a.m. 9:35 a.m. Design Issues in the NHLBI Randomized Trial of Genotype-Guided Dosing of Warfarin Therapy (COAG)—◆Jonas H. Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania; Jungnam Joo, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Nancy Geller, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Yves Rosenberg, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Stephen Kimmel, University of Pennsylvania; Benjamin French, University of Pennsylvania Genotype-Stratified Clinical Trials in the Asthma Clinical Research Network—◆Vernon M. Chinchilli, Penn State University Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, FDA 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-204C The 2010 Census: Status of the Program, Integrated Communications, Evaluations, and Coverage Measurement—Invited Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Daniel H. Weinberg, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Daniel H. Weinberg, U.S. Census Bureau 8:35 a.m. 9:25 a.m. An Integrated Approach to Communications— Kendall Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau; ◆Tasha Boone, U.S. Census Bureau 9:50 a.m. An Overview of Progress on the 2010 Census— ◆Arnold A. Jackson, U.S. Census Bureau 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Evaluating the 2010 Census— ◆Jennifer W. Reichert, U.S. Census Bureau 395 Computational Aspects of Bayesian Shrinkage—Invited CC-155 Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Christopher Hans, The Ohio State University Chair(s): Christopher Hans, The Ohio State University 8:35 a.m. Shrinkage in the Evaluation of Fielding in Major League Baseball—◆Shane Jensen, The Wharton School; Kenneth Shirley, Columbia University; Abraham Wyner, The Wharton School 9:05 a.m. Shrinkage Regression for Multivariate Inference with Missing Data with an Application to Portfolio Balancing—◆Robert B. Gramacy, University of Cambridge 9:35 a.m. The Horseshoe Approach to Shrinkage—◆Carlos M. Carvalho, The University of Chicago; Nicholas Polson, The University of Chicago; James Scott, Duke University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 396 CC-150A Internet Applications of Bayesian Statistics— Invited ■ Section on Statistics and Marketing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Paul Dagum, MarkMonitor Chair(s): Rene Schaub, Business.com 8:35 a.m. Modeling Competition Amongst Web Sites Using Clickstream Data—◆Alan Montgomery, Carnegie Mellon University 9:00 a.m. Learning and Harnessing Graphical Models in Online Applications—◆Eric Horvitz, Microsoft Research 9:25 a.m. Bayesian Statistics in Internet Advertising— ◆Paul Dagum, MarkMonitor 9:50 a.m. Disc: Tim Gilbride, Mendoza College of Business 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 181 Wednesday Rationale, Study Design, and Longitudinal Analysis of the NHLBI Cardiogene Study: Genomics of In-Stent Restenosis—◆Jungnam Joo, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Santhi K. Ganesh, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Elizabeth G. Nabel, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Nancy Geller, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 9:50 a.m. 394 Measuring Coverage in the 2010 Census— ◆Patrick J. Cantwell, U.S. Census Bureau; Donna Kostanich, U.S. Census Bureau; Magdalena Ramos, U.S. Census Bureau CC-206 Statistical Challenges in Personalized Medicine and Genotype-Guided Clinical Trials—Invited 8:35 a.m. 9:00 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 397 ■ ✪ Quantitative Methods for Combating Bioterrorism—Invited CC-101 Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University Chair(s): Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University 8:35 a.m. What’s Wrong with Hazard-Ranking Systems?— ◆Louis A. Cox, Cox Associates 9:05 a.m. Computer Model Validation: Issues with BTRA— ◆David Banks, Duke University 9:35 a.m. Trilevel Optimization of Terrorism Risk Management—◆Gerald G. Brown, Naval Postgraduate School; Matthew Carlyle, Naval Postgraduate School; Kevin Wood, Naval Postgraduate School Disc: Neal Glassman, National Research Council 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 398 ■ ✪ Digital Governance, Hotspot Geoinformatics, Knowledge Discovery, and Public Policy—Invited 8:55 a.m. 9:15 a.m. Finding Spatial Clusters in Maps Equipped with Environmentally Defined Structures with Disease Policy Case Studies—◆Luiz H. Duczmal, Federal University of Minas Gerais; Ricardo Tavares, Federal University of Ouro Preto; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University; Andre L.F. Cançado, Federal University of Minas Gerais Hiroshima-Nagasaki Atomic Bombing Radiation Effects Hotspot Biogeoinformatics and Public Health Policy—◆Harry Cullings, Radiation Effects Research Foundation; Geoffrey Jacquez, BioMedware; Andrew B. Lawson, Medical University of South Carolina; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University Digital Governance and Hotspot Geoinformatics of Detection and Prioritization with Environmental Policy Case Studies—◆Sharad Joshi, Slippery Rock University; Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University; Rainer Bruggemann, Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries; Rajesh E. Koli, Moolji Jaitha College; Sanjay P. Pawde, Moolji Jaitha College 9:35 a.m. Disc: N. Phillip Ross, Radiation Effects Research Foundation 9:45 a.m. Disc: Christopher Portier, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 182 JSM 2009 Disc: Lan Huang, National Cancer Institute 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 399 CC-150B New Statistical Strategies for Exploring Massive Complex Data Sets in Science and Technology—Invited ■ General Methodology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Mayetri Gupta, Boston University Chair(s): Mayetri Gupta, Boston University 8:35 a.m. Genome-Wide Association Studies in a Founder Population—◆Chiara Sabatti, University of California, Los Angeles 9:00 a.m. Dimension Augmenting Vector Machine: A New General Classifier with Flexible Feature Selection in High Dimension—◆Samiran Ghosh, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 9:25 a.m. Bayesian Structural Learning and Estimation in Gaussian Graphical Models and Hierarchical Log-Linear Models—◆Adrian Dobra, University of Washington 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Models for Complex Genetic Traits— ◆Paola Sebastiani, Boston University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-159B Environmental and Ecological Statistics, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University Chair(s): Ganapati P. Patil, Penn State University 8:35 a.m. 9:55 a.m. 400 ■ ✪ Statistical CC-208A Challenges in Mechanistic Modeling of Complex Biological Processes Using Differential Equations—Invited ENAR, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Hulin Wu, University of Rochester Chair(s): Hua Liang, University of Rochester 8:35 a.m. Statistical Challenges in Modeling Immune Response to Infectious Disease Agents Using Differential Equation Models—◆Hulin Wu, University of Rochester 9:00 a.m. Parameters Estimation and Model Selection of Long-Term Dynamic Models of HIV—◆Marc Lavielle, INRIA Saclay; Adeline Samson, Université Paris-Descartes; Ana Karina Fermin, Université Nanterre; France Mentré, INERM-Université Paris-Diderot 9:25 a.m. Optimal Therapeutic Strategy for HIV-Infected Subjects Based on Mechanistic Models—◆Daniel Commenges, ISPED; Rodolphe Thiebaut, ISPED 9:50 a.m. Quantile Functions Distributed Over Space and Time—James O. Ramsay, McGill University; ◆Jason D. Nielsen, Carleton University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 401 CC-102B Flexible Statistical Machine Learning for Complex Data—Invited 9:35 a.m. David Freedman’s Work in Probability and Mathematical Statistics—◆Persi Diaconis, Stanford University 9:55 a.m. Freedman’s Dialogue with the Social Sciences— ◆Philip B. Stark, University of California, Berkeley 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion ■ IMS, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Shuangge Ma, Yale University 8:35 a.m. A Prediction Interval for the Misclassification Rate—◆Susan Murphy, University of Michigan; Eric Laber, University of Michigan 9:00 a.m. Robust Model-Free Probability Estimation— ◆Yichao Wu, North Carolina State University; Hao (Helen) Zhang, North Carolina State University; Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:25 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:15 a.m. On Large Margin Hierarchical Classification— ◆Junhui Wang, University of Illinois at Chicago; Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota; Wei Pan, The University of Minnesota 404 ■ ✪ The Pros of Pro Bono Statistical Consulting—Invited CC-158B Committee on Student Pro Bono Statistics Organizer(s): Andrea Rau, Purdue University Chair(s): Justin Gross, Carnegie Mellon University Panelists: ◆Meghan Honerlaw, Purdue University Statistically Based Mining of Copy Number and Correlation Matrices—◆Andrew Nobel, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ◆Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University ◆Nilupa S. Gunaratna, International Nutrition Foundation Floor Discussion ◆Maria Larkina, Michigan State University ◆Sarah Nusser, Iowa State University ◆Luke Fostvedt, Iowa State University Disc: Sarah Nusser, Iowa State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 402 IMS Medallion Lecture V—Invited CC-201 IMS Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Marten Wegkamp, Florida State University Combinatorial Problems in Randomized Sequential Prediction—◆Gabor Lugosi, ICREA and Pompeu Fabra University, Barcelona 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-159A Memorial Session for David Freedman—Invited ASA, IMS, ENAR, WNAR, International Indian Statistical Association, International Chinese Statistical Association, SSC Organizer(s): Terence P. Speed, University of California, Berkeley Chair(s): Terence P. Speed, University of California, Berkeley 8:35 a.m. Fat Chalk and Other Pillars of Wisdom— ◆Ani Adhikari, University of California, Berkeley 8:55 a.m. A Survey of David Freedman’s Work on Census Adjustment—◆Lawrence D. Brown, The Wharton School 9:15 a.m. David Freedman on Law and Public Policy— ◆Donald Ylvisaker, University of California, Los Angeles 405 CC-143B Statistics and Policy: Climate Change—Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Stephen Pierson, ASA Chair(s): Francis Slakey, Georgetown University Panelists: ◆Amy Braverman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory ◆Richard Smith, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill ◆Kevin Rennert, Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee ◆Mark Berliner, The Ohio State University ◆Jana A. Leggett, Congressional Research Office 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 183 Wednesday 8:35 a.m. 403 Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 406 CC-207A Analyzing Data on Copy Number Variation— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Glen A. Satten, CDC Chair(s): Christophe Lange, Harvard University 8:55 a.m. Robust Regression for Detecting Copy Number Variants—◆Glen A. Satten, CDC; Andrew Allen, Duke University; Jennifer Mulle, Emory University; Morna Ikeda, Emory University; Stephen Warren, Emory University 9:15 a.m. Detecting Breakpoints Using Multiscale Wavelet Products—◆Li Hsu, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center 9:35 a.m. Distinguishing Copy Number Variants from CancerRelated Alterations—◆Adam B. Olshen, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center; Irina Ostrovnaya, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Overcoming Data Quality and Copy Number Detection Issues in Genome-Wide Copy Number Variation (CNV) Association Studies—◆Christophe G. Lambert, Golden Helix Inc.; Greta M. Linse, Golden Helix Inc.; James E. Grover, Golden Helix Inc.; Gabriel F. Rudy, Golden Helix Inc. Disc: Luis A. Escobar, Louisiana State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-158A Partnership, Benefits, and Challenges— Topic-Contributed SPAIG Committee Organizer(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University Chair(s): Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University 8:35 a.m. Application of Medical Economic Research: A Case Study in Academic-Industry Partnerships— ◆Joseph Heyse, Merck Research Laboratories; Boris Iglewicz, Temple University 8:55 a.m. Successful Examples of ‘SPAIG’ Relationships— ◆William B. Smith, Lecot Inc. 9:15 a.m. Strengthening Academic Partnerships with Government and Private Sector Survey Organizations—◆Alan R. Tupek, Arbitron, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Creating the Win/Win Arrangement for Successful Collaborations Between Academia and Industry— ◆Alan Menius, GlaxoSmithKline; Pam Arroway, North Carolina State University; Jiajun Liu, Merck Research Laboratories 9:55 a.m. Disc: Robert Starbuck, 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 409 CC-202B CC-144C Estimation with Nonignorable Missing Data in 407 Models and Methodologies for Truncated and Censored Data—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan Chair(s): Ananda Sen, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. A Simple Step-Stress Model with an Immune Fraction—◆Nandini Kannan, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Debasis Kundu, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur 8:55 a.m. State-Space Models for Recurrent Events and Longitudinal Markers—◆Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 9:15 a.m. A Unified Competing Risks Cure Rate Model for Failure Data—◆Sanjib Basu, Northern Illinois University 184 9:55 a.m. ■ Analysis of Copy Number Variations in GenomeWide Association Studies—◆Mingyao Li, University of Pennsylvania 10:15 a.m. Estimating the Effect of a Time-Dependent Therapy on Residual Restricted Mean Lifetime—◆Douglas E. Schaubel, University of Michigan; John D. Kalbfleisch, University of Michigan 408 8:35 a.m. 9:55 a.m. 9:35 a.m. JSM 2009 Survey Sampling—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University Chair(s): J. Michael Brick, Westat, Inc. 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis of Incomplete Data Using Pattern-Mixture and Selection Models Through Equivalent Parameterization—◆Niko Kaciroti, University of Michigan; Trivellore E. Raghunathan, University of Michigan 8:55 a.m. Semiparametric Estimation for Longitudinal Data with Nonignorable Nonmonotone Missing Responses—◆Jun Shao, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Deyuan Jiang, University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:15 a.m. Extensions of Proxy Pattern-Mixture Analysis for Survey Nonresponse—◆Rebecca Andridge, University of Michigan; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. Statistical Inference with Nonignorable Missing Data Using Fractional Imputation in Survey Sampling—◆Jae-kwang Kim, Iowa State University; Cindy L. Yu, Iowa State University 9:15 a.m. Detection of Disease-Associated Deletions in Case-Control Studies Using SNP Genotypes— ◆Chih-Chieh Wu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:35 a.m. A Multilevel Hidden Markov Model of DNA Copy Number Variation—◆Stephen W. Erickson, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences 9:55 a.m. Case-Control Studies of Genetic and Environmental Factors with Error in Measurement of Environmental Factors—◆Iryna Lobach, New York University School of Medicine; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University; Christine Spinka, University of Missouri; Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute; Nilanjan Chatterjee, National Cancer Institute 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 410 CC-142 Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling in Biology and Environmental Studies—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Yu Yue, Baruch College Chair(s): Jun Lu, American University 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Model for a Dual-Color Tag System for Investigating Virus-Virus Interactions—◆Douglas A. Noe, Miami University; Jing Zhang, Miami University; Stephen E. Wright, Miami University; A. John Bailer, Miami University 8:55 a.m. A Hierarchical Spatio-Temporal Zero-Inflated Model for Correlated Tornado Reports in the United States—◆Ali Arab, Georgetown University; Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia; Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Christopher J. Anderson, Iowa State University 9:15 a.m. Modeling Uncertainty for Storm Water Quantity and Quality Analysis Models in Urban DC—◆Valbona Bejleri, University of the District of Columbia; Tolessa Deksissa, University of the District of Columbia 412 CC-209B Outcome Clinical Trials: Long and Wavy Roads?—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Vipin Arora, Takeda Pharmaceuticals Chair(s): Barry Davis, The University of Texas School of Public Health 8:35 a.m. Outcome Trials in Type 1 Diabetes: The Diabetes Control and Complications Trial Experience— ◆John M. Lachin, The George Washington University 8:55 a.m. Outcome Clinical Trials: Long and Wavy Roads?— ◆Lawrence Friedman, Independent Consultant Multivariate Zero-Inflated Bayesian Spatial Models with Repeated Measurements—◆Jing Zhang, Miami University; Chong Z. He, University of Missouri 9:15 a.m. Bumps in the Road for an Academic Data Coordinating Center—◆William R. Clarke, The University of Iowa; Dixie Ecklund, The University of Iowa; Ying Zhang, The University of Iowa 9:55 a.m. Fully Bayesian Smoothing Splines for VaryingCoefficient Models—◆Yu Yue, Baruch College 9:35 a.m. Subtopic: Long-Term Follow-Up in the Lung Health Study—◆John Connett, University of Minnesota 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:55 a.m. Disc: Marian R. Fisher, University of Wisconsin-Madison 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 411 CC-209A Current Issues in Statistical Genetics— Topic-Contributed ■ Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Ching-Ti Liu, Boston University Chair(s): Alisa Manning, Boston University School of Public Health-Biostatistics 8:35 a.m. 8:55 a.m. Variable Selection for Genome-Wide Multiple Loci Mapping—◆Wei Sun, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Fei Zou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Joseph G. Ibrahim, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Allelic-Based Gene-Gene Interaction in CaseControl Study—◆Jeesun Jung, Indiana University School of Medicine 413 Topics in Seasonal Time Series— Topic-Contributed CC-149A Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia 8:35 a.m. Cost-of-Living Index Based on an Estimated Generalized Constant-Elasticity-of-Substitution Utility Function—◆Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, DC 185 Wednesday 9:35 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 8:55 a.m. Seasonality and Trends in the Temperature Anomaly Data from Goddard Institute for Space Studies— ◆Peter B. Kenny, PBK Research; Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 9:15 a.m. Analyzing Seasonal Time Series with Periodic Low Volumes—◆Tammy Jackson, SAS Institute Inc. 415 9:35 a.m. The Rewards and Challenges of Seasonally Adjusting a Short Series: Seasonal Adjustment Research for the US Census Bureau’s Quarterly Services Survey—◆Rebecca J. Hutchinson, U.S. Census Bureau; Erica Wong, U.S. Census Bureau 9:55 a.m. Detecting Seasonal Volatility: A Banking Application—◆Irma Hernandez-Magallanes, University of California, Berkeley 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 414 ■ ✪ Particle CC-143A 8:35 a.m. 8:55 a.m. Parameter Estimation for General State-Space Models: A Review—◆Jonathan R. Stroud, The George Washington University Particle Learning in Autoregressive Models with Structured Priors—◆Raquel Prado, University of California, Santa Cruz; Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago 9:15 a.m. Sequential Monte Carlo in Model Comparison: Example in Cellular Dynamics in Systems Biology— ◆Chiranjit Mukherjee, Duke University; Y. Tanouchi, Duke University; L. You, Duke University; Mike West, Duke University 9:35 a.m. Sequential Monte Carlo Methods for Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models—◆Christian Macaro, Duke University; Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago 9:55 a.m. The Role of Options, Stochastic Volatility, and Jumps in the Interest Rate Risk Premia Dynamics— ◆Bruno P. Lund, Chicago Booth School of Business; Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago 10:15 a.m. 186 Floor Discussion JSM 2009 Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Viktor Todorov, Northwestern University 8:35 a.m. Testing for Jumps in Financial Time Series— ◆Werner Ploberger, Washington University in St. Louis; Taesuk Lee, University of Rochester/ Washington University in St. Louis 8:50 a.m. Independent Component Analysis for Multivariate Financial Time Series—◆David S. Matteson, Cornell University; Ruey S. Tsay, The University of Chicago 9:05 a.m. Statistical Inference for Volatility Component Models—◆Fangfang Wang, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Eric Ghysels, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:20 a.m. Option Pricing under Random Field Interest Rate Model with Stochastic Volatility—◆Baowei Xu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Chuanshu Ji, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:35 a.m. Long-Run Risks in the Term Structure of Interest Rates: Estimation—◆Taeyoung Doh, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City 9:50 a.m. Spectral Analysis of the Term Structure of US Interest Rates—◆Kalidas Jana, The University of Texas at Brownsville 10:05 a.m. Determining the Future Rate of Poisson Random Variables After Removing Variables with Too Few or Too Many Occurrences—Matthew Lindsey, The University of Texas at Tyler; Kellie Keeling, University of Denver; ◆Robert Pavur, University of North Texas Learning—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago Chair(s): Hedibert F. Lopes, The University of Chicago CC-149B Analysis of Financial Time Series—Contributed 416 CC-153 Computational Advances in Clustering and Mixtures—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Jean-Michel Marin, University Montpellier II 8:35 a.m. A k-Mean-Directions Algorithm for Clustering Data on the Sphere—◆Ivan Ramler, St. Lawrence University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University 8:50 a.m. Geographically Enhanced Clustering—◆James A. Shine, U.S. Army Topographic Engineering Center; James E. Gentle, George Mason University 9:05 a.m. A Separability Index for Clustering Problems and Its Applications—Arka Ghosh, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University; ◆Anna D. Peterson, Iowa State University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Cluster-Based Modeling: Exploring the Linear Regression Model Space—◆Rebecca Nugent, Carnegie Mellon University; Xia-Yi Shen, Carnegie Mellon University; Russell Steele, McGill University Statistical Cluster Detection and Pervasive Surveillance of Nuclear Materials Using Mobile Sensors—◆Jerry Cheng, Rutgers University; Minge Xie, Rutgers University; Fred Roberts, Rutgers University Bootstrapping for Significance in Multidimensional Compact Clustering Models—◆Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University; Soumendra N. Lahiri, Texas A&M University; Volodymyr Melnykov, Iowa State University Variable Selection in Finite Mixture Models— ◆Volodymyr Melnykov, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University 417 Applications in Statistical Consulting— Contributed Active Learning in Statistics Education— Contributed Monte Carlo Evidence of an Evaluation Strategy of Diverse Programs with Small Group Sizes—Zhehui Luo, RTI International; ◆Jeremy W. Bray, RTI International; John Shadle, RTI International 8:35 a.m. An A-maze-ing Comparison—◆Mary Richardson, Grand Valley State University; Diann Reischman, Grand Valley State University 8:50 a.m. The Magical Number 7—◆Diann Reischman, Grand Valley State University; Mary Richardson, Grand Valley State University 9:05 a.m. Playing Games with a Purpose—◆Shonda Kuiper, Grinnell College 9:20 a.m. Adapting a Carnival Guessing Game to Teach Experimental Design—◆Nicholas Burn, Abbott Point of Care 9:35 a.m. Planning and Implementing a Hands-On Epidemiology Investigation Unit for Advanced Placement Statistics and Biology High-School Students—◆Ellen K. Endriss, Career Center High School; Sean Bennett, Career Center High School 9:50 a.m. TigerSTAT: A First Person Shooter Game for Statistics Education—Frank Wattenberg, U.S. Military Academy; ◆Adam Wright, U.S. Military Academy at West Point; Rodney Sturdivant, U.S. Military Academy; Nick Davis, Tietronix 10:05 a.m. Supporting Math Undergraduates: Self-Learning Materials for Introductory Statistics Course— ◆Juhyun Park, Lancaster University; Matthew Sperrin, Lancaster University 8:50 a.m. A University Statistical Consulting Center: A Learning Experience for Undergraduate and Graduate students—◆Phyllis J. Curtiss, Grand Valley State University 9:05 a.m. Application of Factor Analysis in Medical Education—◆Jayawant Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic 419 An Outpatient Clinic Queueing Model—◆Anna Valeva, Western Illinois University; Farideh Dehkordi-Vakil, Western Illinois University; Feridun Tasdan, Western Illinois University Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Sherri Rose, University of California, Berkeley 9:20 a.m. 9:50 a.m. Overcoming Adverse Effects of Correlations in Microarray Data Analysis—◆Linlin Chen, University of Rochester; Alexander Y. Gordon, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte; Galina Glazko, University of Rochester; Andrei Yakovlev, University of Rochester CC-207B Missing Data Methods in Epidemiologic Studies—Contributed ■ 8:35 a.m. Robustness of Efficiency in Semiparametric Models for Incomplete Data—◆Thomas Lumley, University of Washington 8:50 a.m. Marginal Structural Models and Missing Data in the Exposure of Interest: A Simulation Study Based on the Framingham Heart Study Data—◆Susan Shortreed, McGill University; Andrew Forbes, Monash University 9:05 a.m. Accounting for two types of missing data to estimate the accuracy of a binary diagnostic-test— ◆Jeffrey H. Stratton, University of Connecticut; Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut 9:20 a.m. Multiple Imputation of Missing Categorical Data: A Latent Class Analysis Approach—◆Mulugeta Gebregziabher, Medical University of South Carolina; Stacia M. DeSantis, Medical University of South Carolina Floor Discussion Washington, DC 187 Wednesday 9:35 a.m. CC-160 Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Jamis Perrett, Texas A&M University CC-148 Section on Statistical Consulting Chair(s): Stephan Ogenstad, Statogen Consulting 8:35 a.m. 418 188 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. The Generalized ANOVA: A Classic Song Sung with Modern Lyrics—◆Hui Zhang, University of Rochester; Hua He, University of Rochester; Qin Yu, University of Rochester; Rui Chen, University of Rochester Medical Center; Naiji Lu, University of Rochester; Xin M. Tu, University of Rochester 9:50 a.m. Joint Modeling of Missing Data Due to Nonresponse and Death in Longitudinal Epidemiological Studies—◆Kumar B. Rajan, Rush University and Medical Center; Sue Leurgans, Rush University and Medical Center 10:05 a.m. Missing Data Analysis in the BE-DRI Trial (UITN)— ◆Aarthi Balasubramanyam, Roche Molecular Systems, Inc.; Heather Litman, New England Research Institutes; Yan Xu, New England Research Institutes; Anne Stoddard, New England Research Institutes 420 10:05 a.m. 421 Survey Mode Effects and Methods for Asking Sensitive Questions—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Eric Grau, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Using Addresses as Sampling Units in the 2007 Health Information National Trends Survey—◆Greg Norman, Westat, Inc.; Richard Sigman, Westat, Inc. 8:50 a.m. Indirect Sampling in Context of Multiple Bases— ◆Manuela Maia, Universidade Católica Portuguesa; Pierre Lavallée, Statistics Canada 9:05 a.m. A Comparative Evaluation of Traditional Listing vs. Address-Based Sampling Frames: Matching with Field Investigation of Discrepancies—◆Jill Montaquila, Westat, Inc.; Michael J. Brick, Westat, Inc.; Valerie Hsu, Westat, Inc.; Stephanie Eckman, NORC at the University of Chicago; Ned English, NORC at the University of Chicago Mean and Sensitivity Estimation in Optional Randomized Response Models—◆Sat N. Gupta, The University of North Carolina at Greensboro; Javid Shabbir, Quai-I-Azam University; Supriti Sehra, The University of North Carolina at Greensboro 9:20 a.m. Multi-Frame Estimation for the 2008 NSSRN: Theory, Implementation, and Assessment— ◆Ralph DiGaetano, Westat, Inc.; Lou Rizzo, Westat, Inc.; Jim Green, Westat, Inc. 8:50 a.m. Evaluating Mode Effects in Military Surveys— ◆Michael Yonghe Yang, ICF International; Amy Falcone, ICF International; Lynn Milan, U.S. Army Research Institute; Brad Booth, ICF International 9:35 a.m. Operational Results from an Address-Based Sampling Pilot for the National Immunization Survey—◆Benjamin Skalland, NORC at the University of Chicago; Martin Barron, NORC at the University of Chicago; Karen Wooten, CDC 9:05 a.m. Data Collection Mode Effects: Empirical Comparisons Between CATI-Only vs. Mixed Mode in the 2003 National Survey of Recent College Graduates—◆Zhanyun Zhao, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Kelly H. Kang, National Science Foundation 9:50 a.m. Cross-Community Comparison and Multi-Frame Weighting in REACH US—◆Peter K. Kwok, NORC at the University of Chicago; Hee-Choon Shin, NORC at the University of Chicago; Whitney Murphy, NORC at the University of Chicago; Colm O’Muircheartaigh, The University of Chicago; Angela Debello, NORC at the University of Chicago; Kari Carris, NORC at the University of Chicago; Youlian Liao, CDC 9:20 a.m. The Franklin’s Randomized Response Model for Two Sensitive Attributes—◆Cheng C. Chen, Texas A&M University-Kingsville; Sarjinder Singh, Texas A&M University-Kingsville 10:05 a.m. The Use of Address-Based Sampling (ABS) with Multi-Mode Data Collection: The Case of REACH (Racial and Ethnic Approaches to Community Health) US Risk Factor Survey—◆Kanru Xia, NORC at the University of Chicago; Katie Dekker, NORC at the University of Chicago; Colm O’Muircheartaigh, The University of Chicago; Youlian Liao, CDC 9:35 a.m. Sample Surveys with Sensitive Questions: A Nonrandomized Response Approach—◆Guo-Liang Tian, The University of Hong Kong; Ming T. Tan, University of Maryland Greenebaum Cancer Center; Man-Lai Tang, Hong Kong Baptist University 9:50 a.m. Looking for a Needle in a Haystack: A Multi-Mode Approach to a Survey of Rare Subpopulations— ◆Mansour Fahimi, Marketing Systems Group; Barbara L. Kroner, RTI International; Anne E. Kenyon, RTI International; David J. Thurman, CDC Washington, DC 189 Wednesday 8:35 a.m. Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:35 a.m. CC-203B Developments in Address-Based Sampling and Other Frame and Coverage Issues—Contributed CC-203A ■ Response Mode and Bias Analysis in the IRS’ Individual Taxpayer Burden Survey—◆George Contos, IRS; Michael J. Brick, Westat, Inc.; Karen C. Masken, IRS; Roy Nord, IRS GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 422 CC-144B 423 CC-143C Monitoring and Improving Air Quality— Contributed Classification and Discriminant Analysis— Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Joel H. Reynolds, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Tyler H. McCormick, Columbia University 8:35 a.m. Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Air Pollutants Using a Process Convolution Approach—◆Jenise Swall, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 8:50 a.m. 9:05 a.m. 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 8:35 a.m. Hierarchical Spatial Modeling of Air Pollution Exposure and Measurement Error—◆Simone Gray, Duke University; Alan E. Gelfand, Duke University; Marie Lynn Miranda, Duke University; Sharon Edwards, Duke University An Empirical Application of Credit Card Customers’ Classification and Recognition in a Chinese Bank— ◆Li Xia, IBM China Research Laboratory; Bin Zhang, IBM China Research Laboratory; Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Minglu Li, IBM China Research Lab; Jinyan Shao, IBM China Research Lab; Lili Zhao, IBM China Research Lab 8:50 a.m. Statistical Modeling of Carbon Dioxide in the Atmosphere: Continental United States—◆Yong Xu, University of South Florida; Chris P. Tsokos, University of South Florida The Effect of Model Misspecification on SemiSupervised Classification—◆Ting Yang, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University 9:05 a.m. Discriminant Analysis with Interval Constraints— Xiaoming Huo, Georgia Tech; ◆Heeyoung Kim, Georgia Tech; Jianjun Shi, Georgia Tech 9:20 a.m. Multicategory Composite Least Squares Classifier—◆Seo Young Park, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:35 a.m. Semi-Supervised Learning via Regularized Logistic Discrimination—◆Shuichi Kawano, Kyushu University; Sadanori Konishi, Kyushu University 9:50 a.m. Properties of the Quadratic Subspace in Discriminant Analysis—◆Santiago Velilla, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 10:05 a.m. Subclassifying Type 2 Diabetes by Combining Nonlinear Dynamic Modeling and Multivariate Classification Methods—◆Lucas Beverlin, Iowa State University; Derrick Rollins, Iowa State University; Nisarg Vyas, BodyMedia, Inc.; Gregory Welk, Iowa State University; Warren Franke, Iowa State University Estimating NO2 Level from Traffic Exposure Using GIS and GLM—◆Keita Ebisu, Yale University; Michelle L. Bell, Yale University; Lisa McKay, Yale University; Janneane F. Gent, Yale University; Kathleen Belanger, Yale University; Michael B. Bracken, Yale University; Brian P. Leaderer, Yale University; Theodore R. Holford, Yale University Comparison of Deterministic and Stochastic Spatiotemporal Interpolation Methods for Ozone in the Conterminous US—◆Lixin Li, Georgia Southern University; Xingyou Zhang, CDC; Reinhard Piltner, Georgia Southern University 9:50 a.m. Hierarchical 2-Level Cluster Model to Estimate Regional and National Adverse Effects of NO2 on Public Health—◆Hwashin H. Shin, Health Canada and Institute of Population Health, University of Ottawa; Richard T. Burnett, Health Canada; Dave Stieb, Health Canada; Barry Jessiman, Air Health Science Division, Health Canada 10:05 a.m. Improving Air Quality Management Strategies for Ozone Using an Ensemble of Air Quality Model Simulations—◆Kristen M. Foley, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Robert W. Pinder, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Sergey L. Napelenok, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 424 CC-144A Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods— Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Suojin Wang, Texas A&M University 190 JSM 2009 8:35 a.m. Model Selection and Estimation in Additive Regression Models—◆Huiping Miao, North Carolina State University; Daowen Zhang, North Carolina State University 8:50 a.m. Testing for Linearity of a Semiparametric Generalized Linear Model via Splines— ◆Chin-Shang Li, University of California, Davis GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:05 a.m. On the Behavior of Marginal and Conditional Akaike Information Criteria in Linear Mixed Models— ◆Sonja Greven, Johns Hopkins University; Thomas Kneib, Ludwig-Maximilains-Universitaet Muenchen 9:20 a.m. Efficient and Effective Smoothing with Binned Data—◆Michael C. Minnotte, University of North Dakota 9:35 a.m. Semiparametric Sequential Optimal Designs for Binary Response Models—◆Joseph Warfield, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; Anindya Roy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 9:50 a.m. Analysis of Meteorological Data Using Nonparametric Multiple Regression—◆Ozlem Alpu, Eskisehir Osmangazi University; Berna Yazici, Anadolu University; Betul Kan, Anadolu University 10:05 a.m. Determining the Coordinates of an Experimental Data Set Based on Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines—◆Betul Kan, Anadolu University; Berna Yazici, Anadolu University 425 CC-204B Advances in Causal Inference and Health Economic Evaluations—Contributed Section on Health Policy Statistics Chair(s): Laura Lee Johnson, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Teen Sex from Evidence to Policy: The Accuracy of the Media’s Communication of Quantitative Methods—◆Janet E. Rosenbaum, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 8:50 a.m. A New Method for Assigning Weights for Propensity Score Analysis—◆Michael Posner, Villanova University 9:05 a.m. Joint Modeling of Zero-Inflated Data Using Copulas—◆Joanne K. Daggy, Purdue University; Bruce A. Craig, Purdue University; Joseph Thomas, III, Purdue University 9:20 a.m. Sensitivity Analysis Using Probabilistic Simulation Methods: An Application to the Health Economics of Stable Coronary Disease—◆Zugui Zhang, Christiana Care Health System; Paul Kolm, Christiana Care Health System; William S. Weintraub, Christiana Care Health System 9:35 a.m. Appealing to Assumptions of Marginal Structural Models for Time-to-Event Outcomes by Using Electronic Health Records—◆Kenneth J. Wilkins, Uniformed Services University of the Health Science 9:50 a.m. Heterogeneous Treatment Effects and Individual Inefficiency—◆Zhehui Luo, RTI International; Jeremy W. Bray, RTI International; Joseph C. Gardiner, Michigan State University A Nonparametric Matching Method, Genetic Matching, with Applications to Health Policy Evaluations: Revisiting the Case of Pulmonary Artery Catheterization—◆Jasjeet S. Sekhon, University of California, Berkeley; Richard Grieve, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine 426 CC-204A New Methods for Multivariate Survival Data— Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Wei-Ting Hwang, University of Pennsylvania 8:35 a.m. Marginalized Frailty Models for Multivariate Data— ◆Megan Othus, Harvard University/Dana Farber Cancer Institute; Yi Li, Harvard University/Dana Farber Cancer Institute 8:50 a.m. Recurrent Event Data Analysis Using Within-Cluster Resampling—◆Xianghua Luo, The University of Minnesota; Chiung-Yu Huang, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases 9:05 a.m. Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Archimedean Copula Models—◆Antai Wang, Georgetown University 9:20 a.m. Accelerated Failure Time Marginal Means Models for Recurrent Events with a Terminal Event— ◆Xiaoyan Wang, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jianwen Cai, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:35 a.m. Competing Risks Regression for Clustered Data— ◆Bingqing Zhou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:50 a.m. A Positive Stable Frailty Model for Clustered Failure Time Data with Covariate Dependent Frailty—Dandan Liu, University of Michigan; ◆John D. Kalbfleisch, University of Michigan; Douglas E. Schaubel, University of Michigan 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 427 ■ Bayesian Applications—Contributed CC-141 Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Rebecca Hubbard, Group Health Center for Health Studies 8:35 a.m. Optimal Conversion of Regression Models to PointBased Scoring Systems for Clinical Use—◆John Boscardin, University of California, San Francisco 8:50 a.m. Signal Detection in Noisy Images: A Bayesian Approach—Khalil Shafie, University of Northern Colorado; ◆Mohammad R. Rouhani, Shahid Beheshti University; Siamak Noorbaloochi, The University of Minnesota Washington, DC 191 Wednesday 8:35 a.m. 10:05 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:05 a.m. Bayesian Combination of State Polls and Election Forecasts—◆Kari Lock, Harvard University; Andrew Gelman, Columbia University 9:20 a.m. BugsXLA: Making Bayesian Methods More Accessible—◆Phil Woodward, Pfizer Inc. 9:35 a.m. Evaluating Multiple Imputation Procedures Using Simulations in a Bayesian Prospective—◆Fabrizia Mealli, University of Florence; Michela Baccini, University of Florence; Constantine Frangakis, Johns Hopkins University; Fan Li, Duke University; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University; Elizabeth R. Zell, CDC 429 CC-209C Active Control Trials and Multiple Testing in Clinical Trials—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Jingyu (Julia) Luan, FDA 8:35 a.m. Use and Abuse of Statistics in Design and Analysis of Active Control Trials—◆Kallappa M. Koti, FDA 8:50 a.m. An Application of GEE Models in Assessing Noninferiority to an Aggregate Response—G. Frank Liu, Merck Research Laboratories; ◆Michael J. Dallas, Merck Research Laboratories 9:50 a.m. Bayesian Regression Inference in Knot Theory— ◆John Kern, Duquesne University; Eric Rawdon, St. Thomas University 9:05 a.m. 10:05 a.m. A Latent Class Mixture Model to Impute Missing Covariates in Observational Studies—◆Robin Mitra, Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute; Jerome Reiter, Duke University New Step-Down Procedures for Control of the Generalized Family-Wise Error Rate— ◆Zijiang Yang, Temple University; Sanat Sarkar, Temple University 9:20 a.m. Decision Analysis Using Confidence Intervals for a Binomial Parameter with Stratification— ◆Kenneth Liu, Merck & Co., Inc. 9:35 a.m. Multiple Testing Procedures for Multi-Dose Clinical Trials—◆Gang Li, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Peter Ouyang, Johnson & Johnson; Yining Wang, Johnson & Johnson 9:50 a.m. Sample Size Re-Estimation for Noninferiority Trials—◆Xiaohui Luo, Merck & Co., Inc.; Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories 10:05 a.m. A ‘MiniPool’ Approach for Combined Phase IIB/ III Trial in Patients with Life-Threatening Disease— ◆Y.H. Joshua Chen, Merck Research Laboratories; Keaven Anderson, Merck & Co., Inc. 428 CC-208B Methods for Genetic Data—Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Caiyan Li, University of Pennsylvania 8:35 a.m. Multiple Comparison and Regularization for Analysis of eQTL Data—◆Jichun Xie, University of Pennsylvania; Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania 8:50 a.m. Distributional Properties of Digital Gene Expression Data—◆Lisa M. Chung, University of WisconsinMadison; Michael A. Newton, University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:05 a.m. Tumor Subtype Discovery Using Integrated Genomic Data—◆Ronglai Shen, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 9:20 a.m. Inference for a Difference in Correlated Counts on an Interval—◆Justin W. Davis, University of Missouri; David H. Annis, SportsQuant 9:35 a.m. Uncovering Shared Genetic Risk Factors for Various Aspects of Complex Disorders Captured in Multiple Traits: A Power Calculation and Its Application to Reading Disability Data—◆Summer S. Han, Yale University; Elena L. Grigorenko, Yale University; Joseph T. Chang, Yale University 9:50 a.m. 192 430 Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Brian L. Wiens, Gilead Sciences, Inc. 8:35 a.m. Sample Size and Power Analysis for PG and PGB Trials Using Parametric Tests—◆Mallikarjuna Rettiganti, The Ohio State University 8:50 a.m. Simulation Modeling Approaches: Applications for Analysis and Design of Islet Cell Transplant Clinical Trials—◆Maithili Daphtary, FDA; Hong Yang, FDA; Bruce S. Schneider, FDA; Jawahar Tiwari, FDA; Steven A. Anderson, FDA 9:05 a.m. Evaluating Optimal Drug Supply Strategies in Adaptive Design Trials Through Simulation and Nonparametric Bootstrap Method—◆Suvajit Samanta, Merck & Co., Inc.; Weili He, Merck & Co., Inc. 9:20 a.m. Sample Size Estimation for Trials with Recurrent Events as the Primary Endpoint—◆Kuolung Hu, Amgen, Inc.; Robert A. Parker, Amgen, Inc. Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-102A Clinical Trial Simulation Sample Size and Decision Analysis—Contributed ■ GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Improving Monte Carlo Analysis in Nonlinear Least Squares Regression—◆Leonid A. Khinkis, Canisius College; Milburn E. Crotzer, Canisius College Estimation vs. Hypothesis Testing in a Decision Analytic Framework—◆Duane Snavely, Merck & Co., Inc.; Kenneth Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Richard Entsuah, Merck & Co., Inc. Testing for Efficacy in Primary and Secondary Endpoints by Partitioning Decision Paths—◆Yi Liu, The Ohio State University; Jason Hsu, The Ohio State University Semiparametric and nonparametric methods 07 Probability, stochastic processes 08 Dimension Folding for Array-Valued Predictors with Application to EEG Data—◆Min Kyung Kim, Penn State University; Bing Li, Penn State University; Naomi S. Altman, Penn State University 09 A Study of Methods for Computing Empirical Likelihood— ◆Dan Yang, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 10 CitySense: Multiscale Space Time Clustering of GPS Points and Trajectories—◆Markus Loecher, Sense Networks; Tony Jebara, Columbia University; David Rosenberg, Sense Networks Poster Presentations 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 431 CC-L Street Bridge Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Topic-Contributed IMS Organizer(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 01 A New Notion of Data Depth Based on Goodness-of-Fit Tests—◆Ye Dong, The University of Hong Kong; Stephen M.S. Lee, The University of Hong Kong Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 02 Selecting the Number of Factors in Exploratory Factor Analysis via Locally Conic Parameterization—◆Yoshiyuki Ninomiya, Kyushu University; Hirokazu Yanagihara, Hiroshima University; Ke-Hai Yuan, University of Notre Dame Asymptotics for Time-Dependent Autoregressive Processes—◆Sreenivas Konda, Temple University Experimental design 11 Robust Covariance Structure Estimation in Linear Mixed Models—◆Xueliang Pan, The Ohio State University; David Jarjoura, The Ohio State University 432 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed IMS Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 12 A Hierarchical Bayesian Model to Merge Prior Opinions— ◆Maria J. Rufo Bazaga, University of Extremadura; Jacinto Martin Jimenez, University of Extremadura; Carlos J. Perez Sanchez, University of Extremadura Probability, stochastic processes 03 Parameter Estimation for First-Order Bifurcating Autoregressive Processes with Point Process Technique— ◆Chenhua Zhang, University of Southern Mississippi 04 Hierarchical Clustering Algorithms with Unimodal Test— ◆Bumsu Kim, Seoul National University; Yongdai Kim, Seoul National University; Sangmi Han 13 Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning 14 Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 05 Testing the Regression Coefficient for High-Dimensional Data—◆Pingshou Zhong, Iowa State University; Song Xi Chen, Iowa State University Graphics, visualization 06 Simple Bias-Corrected Cross-Validation Criterion— ◆Hirokazu Yanagihara, Hiroshima University A Positive False Discovery Rate Convergence Result— ◆Igor Melnykov, Colorado State University; John Chen, Bowling Green State University Robust Inference for Sparse Graphical Models Using a Multivariate t Distribution and Penalized Likelihoods— ◆Michael A. Finegold, The University of Chicago; Mathias Drton, The University of Chicago Applications and case studies 15 Workload Forecasting for a Call Center: Methodology and a Case Study—◆Sivan Aldor-Noiman, The Wharton School; Paul D. Feigin, Technion--Israel Institute of Technology; Avishai Mandelbaum, Technion--Israel Institute of Technology Washington, DC 193 Wednesday Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology Health policy, epidemiology, public health 16 23 Calculation of Likelihood Ratios from Categorical Data with Applications to Forensic Handwriting Analysis— ◆Christopher P. Saunders, George Mason University; Amanda B. Hepler, George Mason University; Mark J. Lancaster, George Mason University; Linda J. Davis, George Mason University; Donald T. Gantz, George Mason University Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 24 Identification of Disease Biomarkers Using Logic Forest— ◆Bethany Wolf, Medical University of South Carolina; Elizabeth Slate, Medical University of South Carolina; Elizabeth Hill, Medical University of South Carolina 25 Development of Statistical Model for Quality Control of Reverse Phase Protein Array (RPPA) Slide and Study of Tissue Heterogeneity Effects on Protein Expression— ◆Zhenlin Ju, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Experimental design 17 Optimal Design of the Sensor Network Under Communication and Energy Budget Constraints— ◆Zhengyuan Zhu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jun Yang, Duke University; Yi Zhang, Duke University; Xuanlong Nguyen, Duke University Instrumental Variables with Binary Data—◆Michael Baiocchi, University of Pennsylvania; Paul R. Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 18 Context Tree Estimation for Ergodic Processes—◆Zsolt Talata, University of Kansas; Tyrone Duncan, University of Kansas 433 Applications and case studies 26 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed ENAR Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 27 Applications and case studies 19 Evaluating the Association Between Red Blood Cell Storage Duration and Prostate Cancer Recurrence— ◆Jarrod E. Dalton, Cleveland Clinic Foundation; Edward J. Mascha, Cleveland Clinic Foundation; Daniel I. Sessler, Cleveland Clinic Foundation; Shamgar Ben-Eliyahu, Tel Aviv University; Juan Cata, Cleveland Clinic Foundation A Meta-Analytic Framework for Combining Incomparable Cox Proportional Hazard Models Caused by Omitting Important Covariates—◆Xing Yuan, University of Pittsburgh; Stewart Anderson, University of Pittsburgh Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 21 Monoisotopic Peak Detection for Mass Spectrometry Data—◆Mourad Atlas, University of Louisville; Susmita Datta, University of Louisville Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 22 194 Kronecker Product Linear Exponent AR(1) Correlation Structures for Multivariate Repeated Measures—◆Sean L. Simpson, Wake Forest University; Lloyd J. Edwards, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Keith E. Muller, University of Florida JSM 2009 Power and Sample Size Estimation for the Clustered Wilcoxon Test—◆Bernard Rosner, Channing Laboratory; Robert J. Glynn, Brigham and Women’s Hospital Incomplete data analysis, imputation methods 28 Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 20 Variance Component Analysis of a Reverse Phase Protein Array’s Data—◆Wenbin Liu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Kevin R. Coombes, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Yiling Lu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Zhenlin Ju, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Gordon B. Mills, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center A General Framework for Estimating Genetic Effects and Gene-Environment Interactions with Missing Data— ◆Yijuan Hu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Danyu Lin, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 29 Random Effects Semiparametric Regression Model for Clustered Interval-censored Data—K. F. Lam, The University of Hong Kong; ◆Yongxian Long, The University of Hong Kong 30 Penalized Model-Based Clustering with General Covariance Matrices—◆Hui Zhou, The University of Minnesota; Wei Pan, The University of Minnesota; Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Applications and case studies 31 Statistical Model and Sample Size Determination for the QuitNexus Study: Accounting for Within-Cluster Variability in the Denominator of the Counseling Rate—◆Tina D. Cunningham, Virginia Commonwealth University; Robert E. Johnson, Virginia Commonwealth University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 434 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Bootstrap, resampling methods 40 International Indian Statistical Assoc., Reps. for Young Statisticians Pattern recognition, computer vision, shape analysis Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 32 Linex Regression—◆Aman Sahni, University of Northern Colorado; Khalil Shafie, University of Northern Colorado; Saad Alkahtani, University of Northern Colorado 41 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Applications and Case Studies— Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining Organizer(s): Chamont Wei Hong Wang, College of New Jersey Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Profit Analysis and Customer Satisfaction in Consumer Finance—◆Mikhail Zhuravlev, The College of New Jersey 34 Profit Analysis in Binary Prediction—◆Michele Meisner, The College of New Jersey 35 Detecting Unsatisfied Customers: A Case Study— ◆Kristen Schuck, The College of New Jersey 36 Profit Analysis and Bootstrapping of Mass Spectrometry Data—Brian Daniels, The College of New Jersey; ◆Katie Lentz, The College of New Jersey 436 43 44 Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 45 Statistical Learning of Word Acquisition with Application to Readability Prediction—◆Paul B. Kidwell, Purdue University; Guy Lebanon, Georgia Institute of Technology; Kevyn Collins-Thompson, Microsoft Research 46 39 Performance of Algorithms for Chemometric Calibration— ◆Stanislav Zakharkin, Solae; David Ryan, Solae; Nicole Mueth, Solae; Kyoungmi Kim, University of California, Davis Spatial Voxel Co-Occurrence Matrices and Correction Functions for Multiple Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scanners—◆Arpad G. Kelemen, University of Maryland, Baltimore; Yulan Liang, University of Maryland, Baltimore Weighted Distance-Weighted Discrimination and Its Asymptotic Properties—◆Xingye Qiao, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Hao (Helen) Zhang, North Carolina State University; Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Michael Jeremy Todd, Cornell University; J. Steve Marron, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Applications and case studies 47 Application of Periodic Autoregressive Moving Average (PARMA) Models in Water-Quality Trend Analysis of Minnesota River—◆Deepak Sanjel, Minnesota State University; Mohammad L. Rahman, Minnesota State University Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 48 Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning 38 Variable Selection for Clustering—◆Hyang Min Lee, Penn State University; Jia Li, Penn State University Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics Statistical Analysis of Text 37 Session-Centric Page Sequence Clustering for Improving Web Experience—◆Lakshminarayan K. Choudur, Hewlett-Packard Laboratories Wednesday Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Clustering via Data Spectroscopy—◆Jared Schuetter, The Ohio State University; Tao Shi, The Ohio State University Business, financial, and marketing statistics CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Testing Equality of Latent Variables Across Groups— ◆Hui Huang, University of Maryland, Baltimore County Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning Applications and case studies 33 Adaptive Bayesian Pattern Recognition—◆Thomas C. Minter, Adaptive Recognition Systems Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 42 435 AdaBoost from the Perspective of Importance Sampling—◆Qingzhao Yu, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center Methods for the Processing of Large-Scale HighResolution LC/MS Data—◆Tianwei Yu, Emory University Social and behavioral science 49 Regression Trees for Group-Randomized Trials— ◆Anne-Michelle Noone, Georgetown University; Rebecca Andridge, University of Michigan Mathematical statistics, distribution theory, robust statistics 50 Outlier Detection in Functional Data Analysis— ◆Pallavi Sawant, Auburn University; Nedret Billor, Auburn University Washington, DC 195 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 51 59 Accounting for Exposure Measurement Error in Environmental Epidemiology—◆Adam Szpiro, University of Washington; Lianne Sheppard, University of Washington; Thomas Lumley, University of Washington 60 Regression Analysis on a Covariate with Heteroscedastic Measurement Error—◆Ying Guo, University of Michigan; Roderick J.A. Little, University of Michigan 61 An Ordinal Logistic Regression Model with Misclassification of the Outcome Variable and a Covariate—◆Beverly A. Shirkey, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Stephen C. Waring, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Jay H. Glasser, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Wenyaw Chan, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston 62 Generalized Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes Measurement Error Models—◆Carmen D. Tekwe, State University of New York at Buffalo; Randy L. Carter, State University of New York at Buffalo; Harry Cullings, Radiation Effects Research Foundation 63 Confidence Interval for the Odds Ratio Using Double Sampling—◆Denka Markova, Baylor University; Dean Young, Baylor University Supervised Dimensionality Reduction on the Fusion of Dissimilarity Matrices—◆Zhiliang Ma, Johns Hopkins University; Carey E. Priebe, Johns Hopkins University Categorical, multivariate analysis 52 A Nonparametric Model for Multiclass Multidimensional Classification—Hua Fang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; ◆Honggang Wang, University of Nebraska-Lincoln Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 53 Application of Transportation Problem to Improve ‘Naïve’ Bayes Classifier—◆Michael Zakharevich, Align Technology, Inc.; Olena Tsvirkunova, Align Technology, Inc.; Vadim Matov, Align Technology, Inc. Categorical, multivariate analysis 54 Clustering Relationships in High-Dimensional Data— ◆Timothy Au, Cornell University; Wei Jiang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology Applications and case studies 55 Power Simulation Using Nonlinear Bayesian Prediction Model on Alcohol Dependence Literature Database— ◆Yun-Fei Chen, Eli Lilly and Company; Haoda Fu, Eli Lilly and Company Experimental design 56 Planning the Optimal Get-Out-the-Vote Campaign Using Randomized Field Experiments—◆Aaron Strauss, Princeton University; Kosuke Imai, Princeton University Data mining and knowledge discovery, machine learning 57 A Comparison of Logic Regression and CART for Identifying Important SNP Interactions—◆Wonsuk Yoo, Wayne State School of Medicine; Michele Cote, Karmanos Cancer Institute/Wayne State University; Ann Schwartz, Karmanos Cancer Institute 437 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Measurement Error and Misclassification in Epidemiology—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation 438 Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Case Studies in Epidemiology—TopicContributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Natalie C. Hall, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Health policy, epidemiology, public health 64 The Obesity Epidemic in Maryland: An Analysis and Proposal for Change—◆Simone A. Robers, Education Statistics Services Institute 65 Discussion on Bivariate Reference Ranges of QT Interval and Heart Rate—◆Tianhe Xu, Binzhou Medical College; Zengli Shi, Binzhou Medical College; Hongwei Sun, Binzhou Medical College; Jiu Wang, Binzhou Medical College; Yong Gao, Binzhou Medical College 66 Identifying Early Determinants of Overweight/Obesity Among Preschoolers: A Comparison of Classification Trees, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, and Logistic Regression—◆Panagiota Kitsantas, George Mason University 67 An Empirical Identification of Subgroups of Patients with Knee Replacements—◆Charles Saltzman, The University of Utah; Man Hung, The University of Utah; Tom Greene, The University of Utah; Richard Johnston, The University of Iowa; Daniel Clegg, The University of Utah; John Callaghan, University of Iowa 68 Prediction of Functional Status for the Elderly Based on Double Indexed TORQUE—◆Hyokyoung (Grace) Hong, Baruch College; Jianhui Zhou, University of Virginia; Xuming He, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Health policy, epidemiology, public health 58 196 Sensitivity Analysis for Covariate Misclassification in Logistic Regression via Predictive Value Weights—Robert H. Lyles, Emory University; ◆Ji Lin, Emory University JSM 2009 CC-Hall D GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 69 The Social and Geographic Context of Obesity and Diabetes Epidemics—◆Xingyou Zhang, CDC; James Holt, CDC 439 CC-Hall D Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Statistical Methods for Mental Health Studies— Topic-Contributed 440 CC-Hall D Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Statistical Methods in Epidemiology— Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation ■ Health policy, epidemiology, public health 77 Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Ralph M. Turner, University of the Sciences Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Health policy, epidemiology, public health 70 Assessing the Effect of Treatment Strategies for Longitudinally Observed Outcome Data—◆Sachiko Miyahara, University of Pittsburgh; Abdus S. Wahed, University of Pittsburgh 71 Variance Estimates for Synthetic Estimation of Need for Mental Health Services—◆Hoang Nguyen, LifeStat LLC; Charles E. Holzer, III, The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston 72 Detecting Schizophrenia Liability in Healthy First-Degree Relatives of Schizophrenics: A Finite Mixture Model Approach—◆Charity J. Morgan, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Deborah L. Levy, McLean Hospital; Mark F. Lenzenweger, State University of New York at Binghamton; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 73 Bayesian Analysis of Doubly Censored Data with Covariates with Application to AIDS and Dementia— ◆Binbing Yu, National Institute on Aging 74 Comparing Diagnostic Tools: Different Methods, Same Story?—◆Novie Younger, Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Jamaica; Audrey Pottinger, University of the West Indies 75 Applications and case studies 78 Children’s Health: The Effect of Air Pollution—◆Elizabeth A. Stanwyck, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Bimal Sinha, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 79 Application of an Extended Poisson Process to Model Cardiovascular Events—◆Paul Kolm, Christiana Care Health System; Zugui Zhang, Christiana Care Health System; Edward Ewen, Christiana Care Health System; James Bowen, Christiana Care Health System Health policy, epidemiology, public health 80 A Comparison of Methods for Analysis of Multidimensional Profiles—◆Margo A. Sidell, Tulane University Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 81 Test Coefficients Regression When the Variables Are Not Independent from Each Other—Leann Myers, Tulane University; ◆Adriana C. Dornelles, Tulane University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 82 Confidence Interval for the Product of a Relative Risk and a Probability—◆William M. Reichmann, Brigham and Women’s Hospital; Charles R. Horsburgh, Jr., Boston University School of Public Health; David Gagnon, Boston University School of Public Health; Elena Losina, Boston University 83 Distributions of Pediatric Blood Pressure Index and Percentiles: Implications as Diagnostic Tools—◆Cynthia Bell, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Alisa Acosta, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Karen McNiece, University of Arkansas Medical School/Arkansas Children’s Hospital; Ronald Portman, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Joshua Samuels, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston A Sequential Approach of an Age-Period-Cohort Analysis—◆Kit Ling Yang, The University of Hong Kong Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 84 A Linear Regression Framework for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve Analysis—◆Zheng Zhang, Brown University Washington, DC 197 Wednesday 76 SF-36 Among Older Americans with Traumatic Brain Injury: Reliability, Factor Structure, and Impact of Injury Severity and Race—◆Chengwu Yang, Medical University of South Carolina; Anbesaw W. Selassie, Medical University of South Carolina; Rickey E. Carter, Medical University of South Carolina; Barbara C. Tilley, Medical University of South Carolina Identifying Clusters of Mortality from Selected Causes of Death by Health Service Area: USA 2003–2005— ◆Jay H. Kim, CDC/NCHS; Rong Wei, National Center for Health Statistics GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Health policy, epidemiology, public health Health policy, epidemiology, public health 85 93 A Mean Test for Relative-Pairs in Genetic Linkage Analysis—◆Qimei He, Pacific Health Research Institute 94 Prevalence of Diabetes in Low-Income and First Nations People in Alberta, Canada—◆Greg M. Hugel, University of Alberta; Jeffrey A. Johnson, University of Alberta; Stephanie U. Balko, Analyses of the Accuracy of Cancer Mortality as Measured by Death Certificates Data—Ronaldo Iachan, Macro International, Inc.; ◆Aliza Fink, Macro International, Inc. Graphics, visualization 86 Using L’Abbe Plots, Event Rate Migration Analysis/Event Rate Curves to Report BMI Results from the Medical College of Georgia FitKid Project—◆John Hanes, Regent University Linear models, GLMs, parametric methods 95 Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 87 88 Quantitative Synthesis of Dichotomous Data: Avoiding Dominance of a Single Study—◆Kepher H. Makambi, Georgetown University Medical Center Application of Joint Modeling for Growth Model and Time-to-Event Analysis—◆Wan-Ling Hsu, Radiation Effects Research Foundation; Kazuo Neriishi, Radiation Effects Research Foundation; Tatsuyuki Kakuma, Kurume University; Yuko Araki, Kurume University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 96 A Two-Component Mixture Model for Characterizing the Age Distribution of Pertussis Infant Mortality in the United States—◆Andrew L. Baughman, CDC; Tracy Pondo, CDC; Barry Sirotkin, CDC; Tejpratap Tiwari, CDC; Charles E. Rose, CDC; Margaret M. Cortese, CDC Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 90 Bayesian Longitudinal Plateau Model of Adult Grip Strength with Multiple Imputation for Missing Response and Covariates—◆Ramzi W. Nahhas, Lifespan Health Research Center; Stefan A. Czerwinski, Lifespan Health Research Center Cancer Genetics Network: A Research Resource—◆Nora Horick, Massachusetts General Hospital; Dianne M. Finkelstein, Harvard/Massachusetts General Hospital Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 97 Health policy, epidemiology, public health 89 Association Study with Multiple Markers on a Candidate Region and Disease via Generalized Partial Least Squares Approach—◆Hyonho Chun, Yale University Detecting Association with Rare Genetic Variants in Common Diseases—◆Yali Li, Case Western Reserve University; Tao Feng, Case Western Reserve University; Xiaofeng Zhu, Case Western Reserve University Health policy, epidemiology, public health 98 Stomach Cancer Risk in Hodgkin Lymphoma and Testicular Cancer Survivors—◆Julia T. Molony, The University of Minnesota; Ethel Gilbert, National Cancer Institute, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 99 Penalized Splines in the Time-Varying Coefficient Rates Model—◆Leila D. Amorim, Universidade Federal da Bahia; Jianwen Cai, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mauricio L. Barreto, Universidade Federal da Bahia Bayesian statistics, hierarchical models 91 Interval Estimators for Directly Standardized Rates— ◆Tracy Pondo, CDC; Charles E. Rose, CDC; Amanda C. Cohn, CDC; Elizabeth R. Zell, CDC Health policy, epidemiology, public health 100 Longitudinal data, repeated measurements, and meta-analysis 92 How to Improve a Biomarker’s Efficacy Using Longitudinal Data: Application to Prostate Cancer— ◆Anna E. Kettermann, Johns Hopkins University; Luigi Ferrucci, National Institute on Aging; E. Jeffrey Metter, National Institute on Aging; H. Ballentine Carter, Johns Hopkins University Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 101 198 JSM 2009 Identification of the Most Appropriate ICD Version for Epidemiologic Studies: Description of a Statistical Method—◆Ja K. Gu, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Luenda E. Charles, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Cecil M. Curchfiel, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; Michael E. Andrew, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health; John M. Violanti, State University of New York at Buffalo A Score-Based Combinatorial Approach to Detecting Gene-Gene Interactions in Nuclear Families—◆Xiaoqi Cui, Michigan Technological University; Huann-Sheng Chen, Michigan Technological University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Special Presentation 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 441 Evaluating Player Performance in Basketball— ◆Matthew S. Johnson, Teachers College 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-207A Late-Breaking Session III: Statistics in the New Administration ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 442 CC-204C ✪ Statistical Analysis in the Presence of Measurement Error—Invited Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Huixia (Judy) Wang, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Huixia (Judy) Wang, North Carolina State University 10:35 a.m. Cox Models with Smooth Functional Effect of Covariates Measured with Error—◆Ciprian M. Crainiceanu, Johns Hopkins University 11:00 a.m. Quantile Regression with Measurement Error— ◆Ying Wei, Columbia University; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University 11:25 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Identification and Estimation of Nonparametric Measurement Error Models—◆Susan Schennach, The University of Chicago Measurement Error Models for Variance Predictors—◆Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 443 Evaluating and Predicting Player Performance—Invited CC-206 Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Brian C. Monsell, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. Recent Developments in Trend-Cycle Prediction for Real Time Analysis—◆Estela Bee Dagum, University of Bologna; Silvia Bianconcini, University of Bologna 11:00 a.m. Identification of Problematic Series in Model-Based Seasonal Adjustment of Large Sets—◆Agustin Maravall, Bank of Spain 11:25 a.m. Periodic Unobserved Components in Seasonal Time Series—◆Siem Jan Koopman, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam 11:50 a.m. Stock Series Holiday Regressors Generated by Flow Series Regressors—◆David Findley, U.S. Census Bureau 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 445 ■ ✪ Emerging 10:35 a.m. Beyond +/-: A Rating System to Compare NHL Players—◆Dennis F. Lock, St. Lawrence University 11:05 a.m. A Survey of Methods for the Statistical Evaluation of Defensive Ability in Major League Baseball— ◆Benjamin S. Baumer, CUNY Graduate Center CC-150A Statistical Challenges in Cancer Research—Invited International Indian Statistical Association, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan Chair(s): Bhramar Mukherjee, University of Michigan 10:35 a.m. Predictive Models of Complex Traits: Inference of Statistical Dependencies and Predictive Geometry—◆Sayan Mukherjee, Duke University 11:00 a.m. On Analyzing Routes of Exposures Obtained from Questionnaires—◆Jaya Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center 11:25 a.m. Multiple Testing Procedures for Integrative Genomics Problems in Cancer Studies—◆Debashis Ghosh, Penn State University; Laila M. Poisson, University of Michigan 11:50 a.m. Survival Trees and Forest for Breast Cancer Prognostication—◆Mousumi Banerjee, University of Michigan; David Miller, University of Michigan 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Section on Statistics in Sports Organizer(s): Matthew S. Johnson, Teachers College Chair(s): Ronald Neath, Baruch College CC-209A Recent Developments in Seasonal Adjustment Methodology—Invited ■ Wednesday 11:50 a.m. 444 Washington, DC 199 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 446 ■ ✪ Statistics CC-202B 448 in Biopharmaceutical Research: Novel Approaches to Designing Adaptive Clinical Trials—Invited Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research Journal, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Joseph Heyse, Merck Research Laboratories Chair(s): Joseph Heyse, Merck Research Laboratories 10:35 a.m. 11:00 a.m. 11:25 a.m. Flexible Phase I Clinical Trials: Allowing for Nonbinary Toxicity Response and Removal of Other Common Limitations—◆Richard F. Potthoff, Duke University Medical Center; Stephen L. George, Duke University Medical Center T-Statistic-Based Up and Down Design for DoseFinding Competes Favorably with Bayesian 4-Parameter Logistic Design—◆James A. Bolognese, Cytel, Inc.; Nitin R. Patel, Cytel, Inc.; Yevgen Tymofyeyef, Merck & Co., Inc.; Inna Perevozskaya, Merck & Co., Inc.; Jeffrey Palmer, Cytel, Inc. Adaptive Dose-Finding in Non-Life-Threatening Diseases: Review and Case Studies—◆Anastasia Ivanova, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 11:50 a.m. Variance-Based Sample Size Reassessments Increase Relative Efficiency of Studies— ◆Deepak B. Khatry, MedImmune, LLC 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 447 Career Advice for Female Industrial Statisticians—Invited Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Diane K. Michelson, International SEMATECH Manufacturing Initiative Chair(s): Diane K. Michelson, International SEMATECH Manufacturing Initiative 10:35 a.m. Building a Career in Industry—◆Martha Gardner, General Electric Global Research 11:05 a.m. Making the Move from Statistician to Management—◆Leslie Fowler, Freescale Semiconductor 11:35 a.m. Thriving, Not Just Surviving, as a Statistician— ◆Joanne R. Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 200 JSM 2009 Health Impact of Climate Change—Invited Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Risk Analysis, Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Francesca Dominici, Johns Hopkins University Chair(s): Francesca Dominici, Johns Hopkins University 10:35 a.m. The Health Effects of Heat Waves—◆Roger D. Peng, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 11:05 a.m. Regional Climate, NARCCAP, and Health Impacts— ◆Stephan R. Sain, National Center for Atmospheric Research; Claudia Tebaldi, Climate Central 11:35 a.m. The Potential Impact of Climate Change on Health Through Tropospheric Ozone—◆Michelle L. Bell, Yale University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 449 CC-201 Bayesian Methods in Medicine and Biology— Invited WNAR, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Wesley O. Johnson, University of California, Irvine Chair(s): Wesley O. Johnson, University of California, Irvine 10:35 a.m. A Bayesian Theory of Surprise for Modeling Attention Mechanisms in Natural and Artificial Perceptual Systems: Application to Eye Movements—◆Pierre Baldi, University of California, Irvine 11:05 a.m. Automated Methods for Complex Image Data: Adaptive Bayesian Image Mixed Models—◆Jeffrey S. Morris, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Techniques in GenomeWide Association Studies—◆Purushottam W. Laud, Medical College of Wisconsin; Nicholas M. Pajewski, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-209C ■ CC-158B GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 450 CC-144B Distance Teaching in Practice: Bring Your Laptop and Experience for Yourself—Invited 11:35 a.m. Problems Resulting from the Avalanche of Genetic Information—◆Robert C. Elston, Case Western Reserve University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Section on Teaching of Statistics in the Health Sciences, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Carol Bigelow, University of Massachusetts Amherst Chair(s): Cynthia Coffman, Duke University Medical Center 10:35 a.m. Teaching Health Professionals Online: Keeping It Real—◆Penelope S. Pekow, University of Massachusetts Amherst 11:00 a.m. An Interactive Web-Based Introduction to Biostatistics for Health Practitioners—◆Jacob J. Oleson, The University of Iowa 11:25 a.m. Duke Medicine Teaching: Multiple Simultaneous Sites and Technical Presentations with SAS— ◆Lawrence H. Muhlbaier, Duke University; Cynthia Coffman, Duke University Medical Center; Steven C. Grambow, Duke University; Linda S. Lee, Duke University; William E. Wilkinson, Duke University 453 CC-207B Wald Lecture II—Invited IMS Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 10:35 a.m. Decision Trees and Gradient Boosting— ◆Jerome H. Friedman, Stanford University 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion 11:50 a.m. The Virtual Data Analysis Classroom: A Live Demonstration—◆Guillaume Weisang, Bentley University; Olumayokun Soremekun, Bentley University Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ ✪ Future 451 CC-144C Noether Award Committee Organizer(s): Carlos J. Morales, Wellington Management Company, LLP Chair(s): Carlos J. Morales, Wellington Management Company, LLP Extending SS-ANOVA Models with Pedigree Data— ◆Grace Wahba, University of Wisconsin-Madison 11:20 a.m. Semiparametric Efficient Estimation in the CaseCohort Study—◆Donglin Zeng, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Meena Khare, CDC Chair(s): Sunghee Lee, University of California, Los Angeles Panelists: ◆Linda B. Piekarski, Survey Sampling International, LLC ◆Meena Khare, CDC ◆James A. Singleton, CDC ◆Michael P. Battaglia, Abt Associates Inc. ◆Michael J. Brick, Westat, Inc. ◆David Grant, University of California, Los Angeles 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-159B IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Peter Hoff, University of Washington Chair(s): Aleksandra B. Slavkovic, Penn State University 10:35 a.m. Inference Post-Model Selection: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly—◆Hannes Leeb, Yale University 11:05 a.m. MCMC: Does It Work? How Can We Tell?— ◆Charles J. Geyer, The University of Minnesota Washington, DC 201 Wednesday 10:35 a.m. Cautionary Tales of Modern Statistical Methods—Invited CC-143B of Random-Digit-Dial Telephone Surveys—Invited Noether Awards Invited Session—Invited 452 454 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Topic-Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 455 ✪ Population 457 CC-158A Bayesian Nonparametric Methods for Time Series and Functional Data—Topic-Contributed ■ CC-159A Monte Carlo, SMC Sampler— Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Sam Behseta, California State University, Fullerton Chair(s): Herbert Lee, University of California, Santa Cruz Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Julien Cornebise, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute Chair(s): Christian P. Robert, Université Paris Dauphine 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Nonparametric Mixture Modeling for Poisson Processes with an Application to Comparison of Single-Neuron Firing Intensities— ◆Athanasios Kottas, University of California, Santa Cruz 10:35 a.m. Adaptive Design of Transition Kernels in Sequential Monte Carlo Methods—◆Julien Cornebise, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute; Eric Moulines, Telecom ParisTech; Jimmy Olsson, Lund University 10:55 a.m. 10:55 a.m. Some Conditional Binary Sequences—◆Ian H. Dinwoodie, Duke University Markov Models for Neuronal Spike Trains—◆Jeffrey Liebner, Lafayette College; Athanasios Kottas, University of California, Santa Cruz; Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz; Kert Viele, University of Kentucky; Sam Behseta, California State University, Fullerton 11:15 a.m. 11:15 a.m. Adaptive Multiple Importance Sampling—◆JeanMichel Marin, University Montpellier II; Jean-Marie Cornuet, Imperial College, London; Antonietta Mira, University of Insubria; Christian P. Robert, Université Paris Dauphine Multilevel Functional Clustering—◆Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz 11:35 a.m. Integrating Bayesian Time Series Methods Into Self-Modeling Regressions—◆Kert Viele, University of Kentucky; Rhonda VanDyke, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center 11:35 a.m. An Improved Analysis of the Product Estimator— ◆Mark Huber, Duke University; Sarah Schott, Duke University 11:55 a.m. Multiple Curve-Fitting with BARS—◆Sam Behseta, California State University, Fullerton; Robert E. Kass, Carnegie Mellon University 11:55 a.m. Population Monte Carlo and Cosmology—◆Darren Wraith, Université de Paris Dauphine 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 458 ■ ✪ Innovative CC-143C Methods and Findings from 456 CC-209B Health Care Assessment Surveys—TopicContributed ■ ✪ The Development of Advanced Lifetime Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Bayesian Statistical Data Analysis in Industrial Settings—TopicScience, Section on Government Statistics Contributed Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): I-Li Lu, The Boeing Company Chair(s): I-Li Lu, The Boeing Company 10:35 a.m. Statistical Aspects of Monitoring Time-Managed Lifetime Data—◆Emmanuel Yashchin, IBM Research 10:55 a.m. Exceedence Monitoring and Alerting Mechanism for the Boeing In-Service Reliability Program— ◆Shuying Zhu, The Boeing Company 11:15 a.m. Data-Driven Reliability Estimation for Prognostics and Health Management—◆Aparna Huzurbazar, Los Alamos National Laboratory 11:35 a.m. Estimating Lifetimes When Several Unidentified Components Are Reported—◆Julio L. Peixoto, The Boeing Company 11:55 a.m. Disc: Anbessie Yitbarec, The Boeing Company 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 202 JSM 2009 Organizer(s): Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School Chair(s): Steven Cohen, Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality 10:35 a.m. Using the Census Bureau’s Surname List to Improve Estimates of Race/Ethnicity and Associated Disparities—◆Marc N. Elliott, RAND Corporation; Peter A. Morrison, RAND Corporation; Allen Fremont, RAND Corporation; Daniel F. McCaffrey, RAND Corporation; Philip Pantoja, RAND Corporation; Nicole Lurie, RAND Corporation 10:55 a.m. Methodological Issues in the Analysis of Responses to CAHPS Questions in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS)—◆Paul Gorrell, Social & Scientific Systems, Inc. 11:15 a.m. Optimal Survey Design When Nonrespondents Are Subsampled for Follow-Up in a Comparative Study—◆A. James O’Malley, Harvard Medical School; Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:35 a.m. A Simulation Study of Design Effect Approximations for Propensity-Score Weighted Data with Application to the MCAHPS Survey—◆Amelia M. Haviland, RAND Corporation; Marc N. Elliott, RAND Corporation; Mary Slaughter, RAND Corporation 11:55 a.m. Random Coefficients Models for Subgroup Differences in Surveys of Health Care Quality— ◆Alan M. Zaslavsky, Harvard Medical School; A. James O’Malley, Harvard Medical School 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 459 11:15 a.m. Can Apparent Diffusion Coefficient Be a Predictive Biomarker in Glioblastoma Multiforme Patients?— ◆Hyun (Grace) J. Kim, University of California, Los Angeles 11:35 a.m. Percentage of Survival Variation Explained by a Continuous Marker—◆Caixia Li, University of California, San Francisco; Ying Lu, University of California, San Francisco 11:55 a.m. Disc: Sue-Jane Wang, FDA 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-150B 461 ■ ✪ The Statistics of Election Auditing— Topic-Contributed Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Mary Foulkes, George Washington University Chair(s): Mary Foulkes, George Washington University 10:35 a.m. Election Auditing: A Report from Florida— ◆Linda J. Young, University of Florida 10:55 a.m. Post-Election Audit Efforts in Iowa: Successes and Challenges—◆Jonathan M. Hobbs, Iowa State University; David Rockoff, Iowa State University; Russell V. Lenth, The University of Iowa; Rahul A. Parsa, Drake University; Alicia L. Carriquiry, Iowa State University Oregon 2008 ‘Hand Recounts’—◆Albyn C. Jones, Reed College 11:35 a.m. Statistical Auditing Techniques and Small Errors in Four Races in California—◆Luke W. Miratrix, University of California, Berkeley; Philip B. Stark, University of California, Berkeley 11:55 a.m. Disc: Mary Batcher, Ernst and Young LLP 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 460 CC-101 Characteristics of Biomarker in the Clinical Development and Adoption—Topic-Contributed Undergraduate Statisticians: Developing Evidence to Improve Environmental Policy— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): William F. Hunt, Jr., North Carolina State University Chair(s): William F. Hunt, Jr., North Carolina State University 10:35 a.m. Crustal Matter: Exploring the Differences Between Ambient Air Samples and Emissions Inventory— ◆Jennifer M. James, North Carolina State University; Camille Clark, North Carolina State University; Jeff Rice, North Carolina State University 10:55 a.m. Forecasting Wildfires and Examining the Impact of Global Climate Change—Jamie Pearce, North Carolina State University; ◆Jason Leone, North Carolina State University; Kristen L. Gore, North Carolina State University 11:15 a.m. Meteorologically Adjusted Particulate Matter Trend Analysis—◆Kristen L. Gore, North Carolina State University; Marshall Gaddis, North Carolina State University; Nicole Bader, North Carolina State University 11:35 a.m. Can Blood Lead Levels in Children Be Reduced?— ◆Steve Somers, North Carolina State University; Ashley Myers, North Carolina State University; Erika Burger, North Carolina State University 11:55 a.m. Disc: Roger Woodward, North Carolina State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Grace Kim, Radiological Science, UCLA Chair(s): Constantine Gatsonis, Brown University 10:35 a.m. Biomarker and Clinical Endpoint in Asthma— ◆Yun Chon, Amgen, Inc. 10:55 a.m. Identification of Patient Stratification Biomarkers for ABT-263—◆Viswanath Devanarayan, Abbott Laboratories; Mark Anderson, Abbott Laboratories; Peter Ansell, Abbott Laboratories; Chris Tse, Abbott Laboratories; Stephen Tahir, Abbott Laboratories Washington, DC 203 Wednesday 11:15 a.m. CC-155 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 462 CC-208A Bayesian Estimation of Diffusion Models— Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Osnat Stramer, The University of Iowa Chair(s): Osnat Stramer, The University of Iowa 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Filtering for Jump-Diffusions—◆Andrew Golightly, Newcastle University 10:55 a.m. Estimation of Continuous-Time Stochastic Volatility Models with Jumps Using High-Frequency Data— ◆Viktor Todorov, Northwestern University 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Inference for Discretely Sampled Diffusion Processes—◆Matthew Bognar, The University of Iowa 11:35 a.m. Particle Filter for Partially Observed Stochastic Partial Differential Equation with Fractional Levy Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Stochastic Volatility— ◆Jaya Bishwal, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte 11:55 a.m. 12:15 p.m. EMM MCMC and Bayesian Parameter Estimation for a Partially Observed Nonlinear Diffusion Process—◆Paul Schneider, University of Warwick; Osnat Stramer, The University of Iowa Floor Discussion 463 CC-102B Statistical Issues in Thorough QT Studies— Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Yi Tsong, FDA Chair(s): Lihan Yan, FDA 10:35 a.m. Error in Variable Modeling for QT Correction— ◆Bin Cheng, Columbia University; Yi Tsong, FDA 10:55 a.m. Multiple Testing Issues of Prolongation Thorough QTc Clinical Trials—Yi Tsong, FDA; ◆Jinglin Zhong, FDA; Joanne Zhang, FDA 11:15 a.m. Adaptive type I error rate spending approach for validation and non-inferiority tests of thorough QT studies—◆Yi Tsong, FDA; Joanne Zhang, FDA 11:35 a.m. Sample Size in Oncology QT Studies—◆Joanne Zhang, FDA 11:55 a.m. Disc: Jie Chen, Merck & Co., Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 204 JSM 2009 Topic-Contributed Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 464 CC-202A Industry-Sponsored Science: Are Consultants Really Biased?—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Michael E. Ginevan, M.E. Ginevan & Associates Chair(s): Russell W. Helms, UNC Department of Biostatistics and Chief Technical Officer at Rho Panelists: ◆Michael E. Ginevan, M.E. Ginevan & Associates ◆S. Stanley Young, National Institute of Statistical Sciences ◆Allen Heller, Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals ◆Peter A. Lachenbruch, Oregon State University ◆Robert Obenchain, Risk Benefit Statistics LLC 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 465 Words from the Wise: Mu Sigma Rho Education Award Winners Tell All!— Topic-Contributed CC-149B ■ Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Roxy Peck, Cal Poly Chair(s): Roxy Peck, Cal Poly Panelists: ◆Robin H. Lock, St. Lawrence University ◆Thomas H. Short, John Carroll University ◆Michael Kutner, Emory University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 466 CC-143A ✪ National Health Care Surveys Design Changes 2004–2010: New Evidence for Policymakers— Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Esther Hing, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Esther Hing, National Center for Health Statistics Panelists: ◆Linda McCaig, National Center for Health Statistics ◆Alan Simon, National Center for Health Statistics ◆Sandra L. Decker, National Center for Health Statistics ◆Lauren Harris-Kojetin, National Center for Health Statistics 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 467 Analysis of High-Dimensional Data— Contributed 10:50 a.m. 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. 11:35 a.m. 11:50 a.m. 468 Lower Confidence Bounds for Prediction Accuracy in High Dimensions with Feature Selection—◆Kevin K. Dobbin, The University of Georgia Application of Randomized Singular Value Decomposition for Partial Least Squares Analysis: Multimodality Neuroimaging Data—◆Bedda L. Rosario, University of Pittsburgh; Lisa A. Weissfeld, University of Pittsburgh; William E. Klunk, University of Pittsburgh; Chester A. Mathis, University of Pittsburgh; Julie C. Price, University of Pittsburgh The Effects of Dimension of Wavelet Resampling on Tests for Functional Connectivity—◆Ohn Jo Koh, Southern Methodist University; William Schucany, Southern Methodist University; Richard F. Gunst, Southern Methodist University; Wayne A. Woodward, Southern Methodist University Testing for Gene Effect in Presence of Gene-Gene Interactions—◆Arnab Maity, Harvard School of Public Health; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health Clinical versus Statistical Significance in Medical Imaging—◆Thomas F. Heston, Johns Hopkins University; Richard L. Wahl, Johns Hopkins University Blind Source Detection in Images: A Multiple Testing Strategy—◆David A. Friedenberg, Carnegie Mellon University The Orthogonal Interactions Model for Unreplicated Factorial Experiments—◆Clayton A. Barker, SAS Institute Inc.; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University; Jason Osborne, North Carolina State University CC-148 Survival Analysis and Semiparametric Models— Contributed SSC Chair(s): Paramjit S. Gill, The University of British Columbia 10:35 a.m. 11:05 a.m. Semiparametric Inference for a Time-Dependent Extended Hazard Model—◆Yi-Kuan Tseng, National Central University; Ken-Ning Hsu, National Central University 11:20 a.m. M-Estimation in Censored Linear Models Under a Convex Discrepancy Function—◆Weihua Zhou, University of North Carolina 11:35 a.m. Assessing Mediation Effects for Survival Types of Outcomes—Bin Huang, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; ◆Chen Chen, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 469 CC-144A Methods to Look at Individual or Small-Group Behavior and the Impact on Data—Contributed Social Statistics Section Chair(s): Walter Hill, Saint Mary’s College of Maryland 10:35 a.m. Multivariate, Multilevel Modeling of Behavioral Interaction Data—◆Getachew A. Dagne, University of South Florida 10:50 a.m. Plaid Clustering of Urban Juvenile Delinquency and Recidivism Data—◆Alan J. Izenman, Temple University; Joseph Jupin, Temple University 11:05 a.m. A New Heuristic Search Model for the Identification of Collusion Sets in Agent-Based Models— ◆Gregory Michaelson, University of Alabama; Marcus Perry, University of Alabama 11:20 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation of Individual Activity Spaces—◆William F. Darnieder, The Ohio State University; Catherine Calder, The Ohio State University; Mei-Po Kwan, The Ohio State University; Timothy L. Hawthorne, The Ohio State University; Aubrey Jackson, The Ohio State University 11:35 a.m. POINT: A Method for Evaluating the Quality of Interviewing—◆Michael Egan, Social Surveys Division 11:50 a.m. Leadership Behavior: A Comparative Study of Multiple Regression and the Multilevel Regression—◆Shahid Kamal, University of the Punjab; Rehan Ahmad, University of the Punjab; Muhammad A. Raza, University of the Punjab 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Accelerated Hazards Mixture Cure Model— ◆Yingwei Peng, Queen’s University; Jiajia Zhang, University of South Carolina Washington, DC 205 Wednesday 12:05 p.m. Weighted Composite Endpoints in the Analysis of Cardiovascular Clinical Trial Data: Addressing an Unmet Need—◆Jeffrey A. Bakal, University of Alberta; Cynthia M. Westerhout, University of Alberta; Robert C. Welsh, University of Alberta; Paul W. Armstrong, University of Alberta CC-204A ENAR, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Mary Mays, Arizona State University 10:35 a.m. 10:50 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 470 CC-204B 10:50 a.m. Multivariate Quantiles and High-Dimensional Credible Set Construction—◆Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay, Virginia Commonwealth University; Snigdhansu Chatterjee, The University of Minnesota 11:05 a.m. Multivariate Disease Mapping (MVDM)—Caroline Jeffery, Harvard School of Public Health; ◆Al Ozonoff, Boston University School of Public Health; Marcello Pagano, Harvard School of Public Health 11:20 a.m. Graphically Analyzing Multivariate Mental Health Data: Results from a Cohort of Older Patients Recently Discharged from a Medical Intensive Care Unit—◆Peter H. Van Ness, Yale University 11:35 a.m. On Some Properties of a Simple and More General Boxplot Method for Identifying Outliers—◆Yinaze H. Dovoedo, The University of Alabama; Subhabrata Chakraborti, The University of Alabama 11:50 a.m. A Graphical Test to Distinguish Between the Pareto and Tapered Pareto Distributions—◆Rakhee D. Patel, University of California, Los Angeles 12:05 p.m. Reigniting Classroom Research as a Tool for Accountability—◆Ronald L. White, Norfolk State University Methods for Genetic Association Studies— Contributed Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Sansay Shete, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 10:35 a.m. 10:50 a.m. On Quality Control Measures in Genome-Wide Association Studies: A Test to Assess the Genotyping Quality of Individual Probands in Family-Based Association Studies—◆David Fardo, University of Kentucky; Iuliana Ionita-Laza, Harvard School of Public Health; Christophe Lange, Harvard University On Combining Data from Genome-Wide Association Studies to Discover DiseaseAssociated SNPs—◆Ruth Pfeiffer, National Cancer Institute; Mitchell H. Gail, National Cancer Institute 11:05 a.m. A Generalized Sequential Bonferroni Procedure for Genome-Wide Association Studies Incorporating Information of Hardy-Weinberg Disequilibrium— ◆Guolian Kang, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Guimin Gao, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 11:20 a.m. Score Statistics for Family-Based Genetic Association Studies of Quantitative Traits— ◆Samsiddhi Bhattacharjee, National Cancer Institute; Eleanor Feingold, University of Pittsburgh 11:35 a.m. 11:50 a.m. 12:05 p.m. A Powerful Two-Stage Association Test Using Genotype Data from Family Triads, Unrelated Cases, and/or Controls—◆Jin-Hua Chen, China Medical University; Kuang-Fu Cheng, China Medical University; Wei-Jiun Lin, National Central University Confidence Set Inference (CSI): A Family-Based Association Method for Obtaining Confidence Sets of SNPs Regulating Quantitative Phenotypes— ◆Charalampos Papachristou, University of the Sciences in Philadelphia; Shili Lin, The Ohio State University ■ ✪ Applications Contributed Section on Statistical Graphics Chair(s): Bradley C. Wallet, University of Oklahoma 206 Section for Statistical Programmers and Analysts, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Yong-Fang Kuo, The University of Texas Medical Branch 10:35 a.m. Interactive Computer Program for Optimal Designs of Longitudinal Cohort Studies—◆Fetene B. Tekle, Tilburg University; Frans E.S. Tan, Maastricht University; Martijn Berger, Maastricht University 10:50 a.m. It All Starts with Statistical Programming—◆Nancy Wang, MDS Pharma Services 11:05 a.m. Comparing Statistical Software Packages for Multilevel Modeling—◆Marie Gantz, RTI International; G. Gordon Brown, RTI International; Randall Bender, RTI International; Jill Fromewick, Summit Research Associates; Scott Novak, RTI International; Dhuly Chowdhury, RTI International; Malavika Subramanyam, Harvard School of Public Health; Theresa L. Osypuk, Northeastern University 11:20 a.m. Open Source Estimation Toolkit for Item Response Theory Modeling—◆Werner Wothke, American Institutes for Research 11:35 a.m. Categorical Data Analysis System—◆Yining Wang, Johnson & Johnson; C. J. Tian, Johnson & Johnson; Lisa Zhou, Johnson & Johnson PRD 11:50 a.m. Efficacy Analysis System for Clinical Trials—◆Lisa Zhou, Johnson & Johnson PRD; Yining Wang, Johnson & Johnson; C. J. Tian, Johnson & Johnson CC-153 of Graphical Methods— How Good is Your Eyeballing?—◆David Rockoff, Iowa State University; Heike Hofmann, Iowa State University JSM 2009 CC-149A Applied Programming Session—Contributed Asymptotic Bayes Factor for Genetic Association When the Underlying Genetic Model Is Unknown— ◆Mark J. Meyer, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute 471 10:35 a.m. 472 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 12:05 p.m. Arrow System: An Integrated Statistical Analysis and Reporting System for Clinical Data—◆C. J. Tian, Johnson & Johnson; Denis Michel, Johnson & Johnson 473 Genome-Wide Analysis—Contributed 10:35 a.m. Exploratory Analysis of Failure Times with Genomic Applications—◆Cheng Cheng, St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital 10:50 a.m. A Novel Approach to Learning Gene Association Networks from High-Dimensional Data—◆Jie Cheng, GlaxoSmithKline; Xiwu Lin, GlaxoSmithKline; Kwan R. Lee, GlaxoSmithKline 11:20 a.m. A Unified Procedure for Evaluating HWE and Association in Genome-Wide Association Studies That Reduces False Positives—◆Stefan Boehringer, Institut für Humangenetik; Hajo Holzmann, Universität Marburg; Johannes Hebebrand, University of Duisburg-Essen Power of Genetic Association Studies with Fixed and Random Genotype Frequencies—◆Julia Kozlitina, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; William Schucany, Southern Methodist University 11:35 a.m. Hierarchical Generalized Linear Models for Multiple QTL Mapping—◆Nengjun Yi, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 11:35 a.m. Dynamic Clustering of Temporal Gene Expression Across Conditions—◆Lingling An, University of Arizona 11:50 a.m. A Statistical Model for the Identification of Genes Governing the Incidence of Cancer with Age— ◆Kiranmoy Das, Penn State University 12:05 p.m. An Integrated Approach to Identify Critical miRNAs and Their Regulatory Roles in Corresponding Genes in Cancer Development—◆Yian A. Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center; Dung-Tsa Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute 475 Test—Contributed IMS Chair(s): Min Qian, University of Michigan 10:35 a.m. A Goodness-of-Fit Test for a Generalized Inverse Gaussian Based on the Matsumoto-Yor Property— ◆Severien Nkurunziza, University of Windsor; Angelo E. Koudou, Institut Elie Cartan 10:50 a.m. Weighted Likelihood Ratio Tests for Exponential Distributions—◆Jiqiang Guo, Iowa State University 11:05 a.m. Asymptotically Efficient Tests for Goodness-of-Fit— ◆Yongzhao Shao, Iowa State University; Ming Zhou, Iowa State University; Jiqiang Guo, Iowa State University 11:20 a.m. A New Test for Normality—◆Ming Zhou, Iowa State University; Yongzhao Shao, Iowa State University 11:35 a.m. Testing for Independence Between a Time Series and a Point Process—◆Victor Solo, University of New South Wales 11:50 a.m. A Powerful and Robust Test Statistic for Randomization Inference in Group Randomized Trials—◆Kai Zhang, University of Pennsylvania; Dylan Small, University of Pennsylvania 12:05 p.m. Optimal Configuration of a Square Array Group Testing Algorithm—Michael Hudgens, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; ◆Hae-Young Kim, New England Research Institutes CC-203B Gene Expression and DNA Sequencing— Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jing He, University of Pennsylvania 10:35 a.m. Estimation of Parameters Subject to Order Restrictions on a Circle with Application to Estimation of Phase Angles of Cell Cycle Genes— Cristina Rueda, Universidad de Valladolid; Miguel A. Fernández, Universidad de Valladolid; ◆Shyamal D. Peddada, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences 10:50 a.m. A Statistical Test for Detecting Variability in the Gene Expression Data Using Pair-Wise Comparisons— ◆Sunil Mathur, The University of Mississippi 11:05 a.m. Model-Based Classifications for Multiple Conditions on the Temporal Gene Expressions—◆Dianliang Deng, University of Regina CC-160 Washington, DC 207 Wednesday 474 Using Ambiguous Tags in Digital Gene Expression Analysis—◆Naomi S. Altman, Penn State University CC-203A Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Li Luo, The University of Texas School of Public Health Chair(s): Li Luo, The University of Texas School of Public Health 11:05 a.m. 11:20 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 476 CC-102A Interrater Agreement, Quality of Life, and Observational Studies—Contributed 11:20 a.m. Regression for Recovery Rates with Both Continuous and Discrete Characteristic— ◆Raffaella Calabrese, University of Milan-Bicocca 11:35 a.m. A Semiparametric Bayesian Approach to Account for Missing Covariates in Choice Models— ◆Yi Qian, Northwestern University; Hui Xie, University of Illinois 11:50 a.m. Statistical Assessment of Patent Validity— ◆Alejandro Veen, IBM Research 12:05 p.m. Using Backward Means to Eliminate Individual Effects from Dynamic Panels—◆Gerdie Everaert, Ghent University ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Jennifer E. Hamer-Maansson, AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals 10:35 a.m. A General Class of Agreement Coefficients for Categorical and Continuous Responses—◆Wei Zhang, Quintiles, Inc.; Vernon M. Chinchilli, Penn State University 10:50 a.m. An Observational Error Model to Investigate Discordance in Oncology Studies with ProgressionFree Survival—◆Frank Mannino, GlaxoSmithKline; Ohad Amit, GlaxoSmithKline 11:05 a.m. Predictive Accuracy in Time-to-Event Data: Application to Evaluation of Pneumonia Severity Indexes—◆Guy N. Brock, University of Louisville; Forest W. Arnold, University of Louisville; Paula Peyrani, University of Louisville; Julio A. Ramirez, University of Louisville 11:20 a.m. Identifiability of Causal Diagram and Its Application—◆Kun Nie, Amgen, Inc. 11:35 a.m. Multiple Imputation Compared with Single Imputation Methods in the Analysis of Observational Data with Incomplete Covariate Information—◆Sunni A. Barnes, Baylor Health Care System; Dunlei Cheng, Baylor Health Care System; David Nicewander, Baylor Health Care System; Yahya Daoud, Baylor Health Care System 11:50 a.m. Detecting Fraudulent Data in Clinical Trials—◆Bret Musser, Merck Research Laboratories 12:05 p.m. Analysis of Method Comparison Studies with Multiple Methods—◆Pankaj K. Choudhary, The University of Texas at Dallas; Kunshan Yin, EQECAT 477 Statistical Methods for Analyzing Socioeconomic Data—Contributed CC-208B Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): John Bremer, Harris Interactive 478 CC-141 Developments in Complex Sample Design— Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): John M. Finamore, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. Link-Tracing Sampling: Estimating the Size of a Hidden Population in Presence of Heterogeneous Nomination Probabilities—◆Martin H. FelixMedina, Universidad Autonoma de Sinaloa; Pedro E. Monjardin, Universidad Autonoma de Sinaloa; Aida Nohemi Aceves-Castro, Escuela de Ciencias FisicoMatematicas, Universidad Autonoma de Sinaloa 10:50 a.m. Adjusting Sampling and Weighting to Account for Births and Deaths—◆Lawrence R. Ernst, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Randall K. Powers, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Andy Sandler, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Dave Slack, Bureau of Labor Statistics 11:05 a.m. Sample Design and Estimation of Volumes and Trends in the Use of Paper Checks and Electronic Payment Methods in the United States—◆May X. Liu, Federal Reserve Board; Geoffrey R. Gerdes, Federal Reserve Board; Darrel W. Parke, Federal Reserve Board 11:20 a.m. An Application of Two-Way Stratification Procedure for Selection Under Three-Way Stratification— ◆Kadaba P. Srinath, Abt Associates Inc. 11:35 a.m. Modified Network Sampling Without Replacement— ◆Monroe Sirken, National Center for Health Statistics 10:35 a.m. Application of Variable Selection Method via Spectral Analysis to Seasonal Linear Models in Some Call Volume Forecasting—◆Myung Suk Kim, Sogang University; Taek Soo Shin, Citi Bank 11:50 a.m. Longitudinal Surveys versus Continuous Surveys and Surveys with Flexible Periodicity—◆Andrew Vogt, Georgetown University; Dhiren Ghosh, Synectics for Management Decisions Inc. 10:50 a.m. Nonresponse Bias Study for the Annual Capital Expenditures Survey—◆Justin Z. Smith, U.S. Census Bureau; Katherine J. Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau 12:05 p.m. 11:05 a.m. Finding Unexpected Interactions in Discrete Choice Experiments: A Case Study—◆John Lawson, Brigham Young University A Russian Invasion, Skeptical Villagers, and Controversial Elections: The ‘Power’ Plays Faced by Randomized Impact Evaluations in Developing Countries—◆Celeste Tarricone, Millennium Challenge Corporation 208 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 479 CC-142 Analysis of Complex Survey Data—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Yves Thibaudeau, U.S. Census Bureau 10:35 a.m. 10:50 a.m. 481 A Study of the Composite Estimator for Change Rate—Dong-Yun Shin, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies; ◆Heungsun Park, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies A Simulation Study of Treatments of Influential Values in a Monthly Retail Trade Survey—Mary H. Mulry, U.S. Census Bureau; ◆Broderick Oliver, U.S. Census Bureau 11:05 a.m. Multiple Imputation for Missing Items in MultiSection Questionnaires—◆Rong Liu, Penn State University; Joseph L. Schafer, Penn State University 11:20 a.m. A Bayesian Approach to Predicting the Electoral Vote Totals for the 2008 Presidential Election— ◆Steven E. Rigdon, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville; Sheldon H. Jacobson, University of Illinois; Edward C. Sewell, Southern Illinois University Edwardsville; Wendy K.T. Cho, University of Illinois; Christopher J. Rigdon, Arizona State University 11:35 a.m. Estimation Procedure for New Public Employment Survey Design—◆Yang Cheng, U.S. Census Bureau; Joseph Barth, U.S. Census Bureau; Casey Corcoran, U.S. Census Bureau; Carma Hogue, U.S. Census Bureau 11:50 a.m. Election Day 2008 Voter Scorecard—◆Kate Hobson, NORC at the University of Chicago; Edward Mulrow, NORC at the University of Chicago; Hee-Choon Shin, NORC at the University of Chicago; Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Dionne Price, FDA WL10 Issues and Challenges in Modeling Bioassay Data— ◆Jason Liao, Merck Research Laboratories WL11 Advanced Oncology Trial Designs—◆Mingxiu Hu, Millennium Pharmaceuticals/The Takeda Oncology Company WL12 Adaptive Clinical Trials: Interim Data Analysis Challenges—◆Darcy Hille, Merck & Co., Inc.; Paulette Ceesay, Merck & Co., Inc. WL13 The Role of the Unblinded Statistician and Their Relationship with the DSMB—◆Valerie Durkalski, Medical University of South Carolina WL14 Retrospective Studies of Biomarkers: How Can They Improve Our Understanding of Drug Use?—◆Estelle Russek-Cohen, FDA WL15 Clinical Trials in Practice: Designs, Monitoring, and Data Analysis—◆Daohai Yu, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute 482 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Health Policy Statistics Speaker with Lunch (fee event)—Speaker with Lunch Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Susan Paddock, RAND Corporation Aligning Provider Incentives: Pay for Performance and Beyond—◆Meredith B. Rosenthal, Harvard School of Public Health Wednesday WL16 CC-301 483 480 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Biopharmaceutical Section Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Alyson Wilson, Iowa State University Speaker with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. WL09 Roundtables with Lunch 12:30 p.m.–1:50 p.m. Bayesian Adaptive Designs—◆Keying Ye, The University of Texas at San Antonio CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Government Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Lisa Blumerman, U.S. Census Bureau WL17 Metadata: Making It Work for Federal Statistics—◆Shawna Waugh, Energy Information Administration; Daniel W. Gillman, Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, DC 209 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel CC-Ballroom South Prefunction 488 484 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Nonparametric Statistics Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Roundtable with Lunch (fee event) Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center WL26 Statistics versus Operations Research in Defense Analysis—◆Ron Fricker, Naval Postgraduate School WL18 Nonparametric Test Procedures and High-Dimensional Multiple Testing: Are They Compatible?—◆Edsel A. Pena, University of South Carolina 489 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Survey Research Methods 485 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Michael Elliott, University of Michigan Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Organizer(s): George Ostrouchov, Oak Ridge National Laboratory WL27 WL19 Parallel Statistical Computing with R—◆Hao Yu, University of Western Ontario WL20 Future of Nuclear Power—◆Bernard Harris, University of Wisconsin WL28 Imputation Methods for Complex Survey Data: Best Practices and Next Steps—◆Michael D. Larsen, Iowa State University D ASA Advocacy Hesterberg, Google, Inc. ANCELLE CDay—◆Tim 490 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Social Statistics Section Roundtables with 486 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Consulting Roundtables Social Statistics Section with Lunch (fee event) Organizer(s): Joseph J. Salvo, NYC Department of City Planning Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Walter Ambrosius, Wake Forest University School of Medicine WL21 Academic Statistical Consulting Centers Serving Commercial Clients—◆Sam Woolford, Bentley University WL22 Indemnification for Consultants and DSMB Members: Who Protects Whom?—◆Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative, Inc. 487 CC-Ballroom South Prefunction Section on Statistical Education Roundtables with Lunch (fee event) Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Tisha L. Hooks, Winona State University WL23 Statistics in K-12 Math Is Necessary for Career Success and Informed Citizenship—◆Arnold Goodman, Collaborative Data Solutions WL24 Audience Response Systems (aka ‘Clickers’ and ‘Remotes’) and Active Learning: Pluses and Minuses— ◆Megan E. Mocko, University of Florida WL25 Incorporating Brain-Based Learning Principles in Statistics Education—◆Paul J. Fields, Brigham Young University 210 JSM 2009 WL29 Leveraging Advances in Cyberinfrastructure to Provide Secure Access to Sensitive Data, Preserve Data, and Create Virtual Scientific Communities—◆Timothy M. Mulcahy, NORC at the University of Chicago Special Presentation 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 491 CC-207A Introductory Overview Lecture: Causal Inference in Statistics—Other ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense 2:05 p.m. Causal Inference in Statistics: A Gentle Introduction—◆Judea Pearl, University of California, Los Angeles 3:30 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Invited Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 494 CC-206 Challenges in Statistical Learning and Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Data—Invited ■ 492 CC-150A Nonparametric Methods for Small-Area Estimation—Invited Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Statistics and the Environment Organizer(s): Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University Chair(s): Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University 2:05 p.m. Fence Method for Prediction Problems and Its Application in Small Area Estimation—◆Jiming Jiang, University of California, Davis; Thuan Nguyen, Oregon Health & Science University; J. Sunil Rao, Case Western Reserve University 2:30 p.m. Borrowing Strength Over Space in Small Area Estimation: Comparing Local and Spline-Based M-Quantile Models with Spatial Autoregressive Random Effects Models—◆Nikos Tzavidis, University of Manchester 2:55 p.m. Robust Small Area Estimation Under Penalized Spline Mixed Models—◆J.N.K. Rao, Carleton University; Sanjoy K. Sinha, Carleton University 3:20 p.m. Design-Based Model Consistent Estimator for the Nested-Error Regression—◆Tapabrata Maiti, Michigan State University; Lixia Diao, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion IMS Organizer(s): Yichao Wu, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Yichao Wu, North Carolina State University 2:05 p.m. Ultra High-Dimensional Variable Selection: Beyond the Linear Model—◆Richard Samworth, University of Cambridge; Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; Yichao Wu, North Carolina State University 2:35 p.m. The Large Margin Unified Machine: A Bridge Between Hard and Soft Classification—◆Yufeng Liu, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Hao (Helen) Zhang, North Carolina State University 3:05 p.m. Instability Measures and Model Averaging— ◆Dennis D. Boos, North Carolina State University; Leonard A. Stefanski, North Carolina State University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 495 ■ CC-143A Advanced Monte Carlo Methods—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at UrbanaChampaign Chair(s): Yuguo Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in Translating Innovative Phase I Designs Into Oncology Trials—Invited Computational Methods for Bayesian Model Choice—◆Christian P. Robert, Université Paris Dauphine; Jean-Michel Marin, University Montpellier II 2:35 p.m. Biopharmaceutical Section, International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): William L. Mietlowski, Novartis Oncology Chair(s): William L. Mietlowski, Novartis Oncology Auxiliary Variable MCMC with Applications in Protein Structure Modeling—◆Jun S. Liu, Harvard University; Kou X. Sam, Harvard University 3:05 p.m. Approximate Bayesian Computation: What, Why, and When?—◆Simon Tavare, University of Southern California 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 493 ■ ✪ Issues CC-202B 2:05 p.m. Translation of Innovative Designs Into Cancer Phase I Trials—◆Andre Rogatko, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center 2:30 p.m. Challenges in the Implementation of Adaptive Phase I Clinical Trial Designs for Biologic Agents and Molecularly Targeted Therapies—◆Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic; Sumithra Mandrekar, Mayo Clinic; Rui Qin, Mayo Clinic 496 Ups and Downs of Implementing BLR-EWOC Guided Dose Escalation at Novartis Oncology— ◆Jyotirmoy Dey, Novartis Pharmaceuticals Committee on Scientific Freedom and Human Rights, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): William Seltzer, Fordham University Chair(s): Mary Gray, American University 2:55 p.m. 3:20 p.m. Disc: Michael Brave, FDA 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ ✪ Quantifying CC-204A Mortality from Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity: Issues and Methods—Invited 2:05 p.m. Conceptual Issues in Quantifying Genocide, Crimes Against Humanity, and War Crimes—◆William Seltzer, Fordham University Washington, DC 211 Wednesday 2:05 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:30 p.m. Methodological Issues in Gathering and Analyzing Data on Genocide Mortality—◆Safaa R. Amer, NORC at the University of Chicago 2:55 p.m. Mortality from Genocide and Crimes Against Humanity: A Field-Based Perspective on Linking Data, Method, and Policy Objectives— ◆Romesh Silva, Benetech 3:20 p.m. Disc: Jana Asher, Carnegie Mellon University 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Statistical Inference on the Residual Risk Metric of the Quantitative Security-Meter Model Using Triple-Uniform Density—◆Mehmet Sahinoglu, Auburn University Montgomery; Yanling Yuan, Troy University Montgomery; David Banks, Duke University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 499 ■ 497 CC-159A New Developments for the Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Systems in Ecology—Invited ■ Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Mevin B. Hooten, Utah State University Chair(s): Ali Arab, Georgetown University 2:05 p.m. 2:30 p.m. 2:55 p.m. A Moving Average Approach for Spatial Statistical Models of Stream Networks—◆Jay Ver Hoef, NOAA National Marine Mammal Lab Modeling Scales of Variability of Harmful Algae Blooms in the Indian River Lagoon, Florida— ◆Mary C. Christman, University of Florida Modeling Animal Movement in Response to Landscapes—◆Jun Zhu, University of Wisconsin-Madison 3:20 p.m. Simultaneous Cellular Movement Models for Resource Selection—◆Devin Johnson, National Marine Mammal Laboratory; Mevin B. Hooten, Utah State University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 498 ■ ✪ Quantitative Invited 2:35 p.m. 212 Security and Cybersystems— Statistical Inference and Simulation on Security Metrics in Cloud Computing for Large Cyber Systems—◆Luis A. Cueva-Parra, Auburn University Montgomery; Mehmet Sahinoglu, Auburn University Montgomery; David Tyson, Auburn University Montgomery; Sunil Das, Troy University Montgomery Some Stopping Rules in Security Testing—◆Susan J. Simmons, The University of North Carolina at Wilmington; Mehmet Sahinoglu, Auburn University Montgomery; James Matis, Texas A&M University JSM 2009 Extracting Information from Images—Invited Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Quality and Productivity, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Joanne R. Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory Chair(s): Joanne R. Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory 2:05 p.m. FDA for Tree-Structured Data Objects— ◆J. Steve Marron, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:30 p.m. Feature Detection Techniques for Proteomic Data Analysis—◆Kimberly F. Sellers, eorgetown University 2:55 p.m. Same or Different? Identifying Similarities and Computing Distances Between Images—◆Kary Myers, Los Alamos National Laboratory 3:20 p.m. Image Measurements in a Statistical Study of Corrosion—◆Leslie M. Moore, Los Alamos National Security, LLC; Joanne R. Wendelberger, Los Alamos National Laboratory; Roland K. Schulze, Los Alamos National Security, LLC; Mary A. Hill, Los Alamos National Security, LLC 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-150B 500 Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Mehmet Sahinoglu, Auburn University Montgomery Chair(s): Bertrand Clarke, The University of British Columbia/ University of Miami 2:05 p.m. CC-143C CC-159B JASA, Applications and Case Studies Invited Session—Invited JASA, Applications and Case Studies, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): David Banks, Duke University Chair(s): David Banks, Duke University 2:05 p.m. A Spatio-Temporal Model for Mean, Anomaly, and Trend Fields of North Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature—Ricardo T. Lemos, Universidade de Lisboa; ◆Bruno Sanso, University of California, Santa Cruz 2:55 p.m. Disc: Christopher Wikle, University of Missouri-Columbia 3:10 p.m. Disc: Dave Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory 3:25 p.m. Disc: Roy Mendelssohn, NOAA 3:40 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 501 CC-209A Regression Models with Functional Predictors— Invited IMS Organizer(s): Todd Ogden, Columbia University Chair(s): Todd Ogden, Columbia University 504 Functional Generalized Linear Regression— ◆Harrison Zhou, Yale University 2:35 p.m. Functional Linear Regression of Gradients from Sparse Observations—◆Ian McKeague, Columbia University; Sara Lopez-Pintado, Universidad Pablo de Olavide 3:05 p.m. Functional Additive Modeling and Gradient Estimation—◆Hans-Georg M¸ller, University of California, Davis; Fang Yao, University of Toronto 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion IMS Medallion Lecture VI—Invited CC-207B IMS Organizer(s): Xiaotong Shen, The University of Minnesota Chair(s): Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University 2:05 p.m. 3:30 p.m. CC-102B Advancements in Principal Stratification for Causal Inference—Topic-Contributed 2:05 p.m. 502 Topic-Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. Auxiliary Variables, Perfect Simulation, and Importance Sampling for the Statistical Analysis of Stochastic Processes—◆Gareth Roberts, University of Warwick Biometrics Section, International Indian Statistical Association, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Section on Health Policy Statistics Organizer(s): Corwin M. Zigler, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Thomas R. Belin, University of California, Los Angeles 2:05 p.m. Public Schools versus Private Schools: Causal Inference with Partial Compliance—◆Hui Jin, Harvard University; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 2:25 p.m. Causal Inference for Randomized Trials of Two Active Treatments Subject to Noncompliance— ◆Jason Roy, Geisinger Center for Health Research; Yan Ma, Weill Medical College of Cornell University 2:45 p.m. Statistical Identifiability and the Surrogate Endpoint Problem—◆Julian Wolfson, University of Washington 3:05 p.m. Principal Stratification for Evaluation of Surrogate Endpoints with Variable Control-Group Response— ◆Corwin M. Zigler, University of California, Los Angeles; Thomas R. Belin, University of California, Los Angeles 3:25 p.m. Exact Inference within Principal Strata— ◆Michael Hudgens, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion 505 CC-101 ■ ✪ Statistical and Regulatory Challenges 503 CC-202A in Alzheimer’s Disease Clinical Trials— ■ ✪ Boundaries for Harm in Clinical Trials Topic-Contributed Designed to Establish Safety—Invited Biopharmaceutical Section ENAR, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Robert A. Parker, Amgen, Inc. Chair(s): Robert A. Parker, Amgen, Inc. Panelists: ◆Alex Fleishman, Amgen, Inc. ◆Barry Davis, The University of Texas School of Public Health ◆Susan Ellenberg, University of Pennsylvania ◆Gordon Lan, Johnson & Johnson PRD ◆Michael Proschan, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases ◆Janet Wittes, Statistics Collaborative, Inc. 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Organizer(s): Yonggang Zhao, Wyeth Research Chair(s): Yonggang Zhao, Wyeth Research 2:05 p.m. Some Statistical and Regulatory Considerations on Alzheimer Trials—◆Kun Jin, FDA 2:25 p.m. Statistical Inference and Sample Size Issues for CoPrimary Endpoints in Alzheimer’s Disease Trials— ◆Mohammad F. Huque, FDA 2:45 p.m. A Meta-Analytic Model for Alzheimer’s Disease Incorporating Both Summary-Level and PatientLevel Data—◆James A. Rogers, Metrum; Bill Gillespie, Metrum; Kaori Ito, Pfizer Inc.; Marc Gastonguay, Metrum Washington, DC 213 Wednesday Invited Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 3:05 p.m. Providing Evidence of Disease Modification— ◆Suzanne Hendrix, Pentara Corporation 3:25 p.m. Floor Discussion 506 CC-209C ■ ✪ Novel Bayesian Advances in Public Health and Epidemiology—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Jun Lu, American University Chair(s): Yu Yue, Baruch College 2:05 p.m. 2:25 p.m. Bayesian Optimal Discovery Procedure for Simultaneous Significance Testing—◆Jing Cao, Southern Methodist University; Xian-Jin Xie, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center at Dallas; Song Zhang, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center Change of Support in Inverse Implementations of Statistical Differential Equation Models—◆Mevin B. Hooten, Utah State University; Marti B. Garlick, Utah State University; James B. Powell, Utah State University 2:45 p.m. A Multiple Comparison Procedure Based on a Variant of the Schwarz Information Criterion in a Mixed Model—◆Junfeng Shang, Bowling Green State University 3:05 p.m. Semiparametric Bayes Proportional Odds Models for Current Status Data with Under-Reporting— ◆Lianming Wang, University of South Carolina; David Dunson, Duke University 3:25 p.m. A Bayesian Hierarchical Model to Translate Microarray Findings into Biological Functional Profiles—◆Song Zhang, The University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 507 ■ ✪ Customer CC-160 Intelligence—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics and Marketing, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Dirk Van den Poel, Ghent University Chair(s): Dirk Van den Poel, Ghent University 2:05 p.m. 214 Comparing Random Forests and Random Multinomial Logit to Rotation Forest and the New Rotation Multinomial Logit—◆Anita Prinzie, Manchester Business School/Gent University; Dirk Van den Poel, Ghent University JSM 2009 2:25 p.m. Incorporating Domain Knowledge in Customer Churn Prediction Using AntMiner+—◆Wouter Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Bart Baesens, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; David Martens, Hogeschool Gent; Manu De Backer, Hogeschool Gent; Raf Haesen, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven 2:45 p.m. Love at First Sight? Effects of Direct Mail Design on Consumer Response Behavior—◆Manfred Krafft, University of Münster; Sebastian Feld, University of Münster; Heiko Frenzen, University of Münster; Kay Peters, University of Münster 3:05 p.m. How Does a Customer Walk for Shopping in a Store?—◆Katsutoshi Yada, Kansai University 3:25 p.m. Demographic Classification of Anonymous Web Site Visitors Using Click Stream Information: A Practical Method for Supporting Online Advertising Targeting—◆Koen De Bock, Ghent University; Dirk Van den Poel, Ghent University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 508 ■ ✪ Safety CC-144A and Health Issues in Transportation— Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Transportation Statistics Interest Group Organizer(s): Karl Sieber, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health Chair(s): Promod Chandhok, U.S. Department of Transportation 2:05 p.m. Collecting Health and Safety Information in a Mobile and Hard-to-Reach Population: Surveying LongHaul Truck Drivers—◆Karl Sieber, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health 2:25 p.m. The Evolution of Crash Analysis Methodologies— ◆Karin M. Bauer, Midwest Research Institute; Courtney Bokenkroger, Midwest Research Institute 2:45 p.m. Drowsy Driver Performance in a Simulated Environment: A Case-Crossover Analysis—◆Linda Ng Boyle, University of Iowa 3:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 509 ■ Numeracy 2009—Topic-Contributed CC-142 Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Paul J. Fields, Brigham Young University 2:05 p.m. Formal Debates to Clarify the Objectives of an Intro Stats Course—◆Dan Schafer, Oregon State University 2:25 p.m. How Prepared are Doctoral Dissertation Committee Members?—◆Rossi A. Hassad, Mercy College GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:45 p.m. Statistical Literacy: Confound Those Speculative Statistics—◆Milo Schield, W.M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project 3:05 p.m. Distinguishing Association from Causation in Titles of News Stories—◆Robert Raymond, University St. Thomas; Milo Schield, W.M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project 3:25 p.m. Taking Confounding Seriously with Introductory Students—◆Daniel Kaplan, Macalester College 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 510 Seasonal Adjustment Methodology— Topic-Contributed 2:25 p.m. Applications of Bayesian Methods to Biomedical Data—Topic-Contributed On the Impact of Sampling Error on Modeling Seasonal Time Series—◆Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Danny Pfeffermann, Hebrew University/University of Southampton On X11 Seasonal Adjustment and Estimation of Its MSE—◆Michail Sverchkov, BAE Systems IT/Bureau of Labor Statistics; Stuart Scott, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Danny Pfeffermann, Hebrew University/ University of Southampton Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina Chair(s): Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz 2:05 p.m. Using a Dirichlet Process Mixture of Hidden Markov Models for Protein Conformation Angle Data— ◆Kristin P. Lennox, Texas A&M University; David B. Dahl, Texas A&M University; Marina Vannucci, Rice University; Ryan Day, University of the Pacific; Jerry Tsai, University of the Pacific 2:25 p.m. Posterior Simulation in Mixture Models for Large Data Sets—◆Subharup Guha, University of Missouri 2:45 p.m. A Hidden Markov Model for Zero-Inflated Poisson Counts with an Application to Cocaine Use Data—◆Stacia M. DeSantis, Medical University of South Carolina; Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina 3:05 p.m. A Multivariate Spatial Factor Model for Clustered Data with Informatively Present Mixed Responses— ◆Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina; Brian J. Reich, North Carolina State University; Jyotika Fernandes, Medical University of South Carolina 3:25 p.m. Semiparametric Bayesian Analysis of Nutritional Epidemiology Data in the Presence of Measurement Error—◆Samiran Sinha, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University; Victor Kipnis, National Cancer Institute; Raymond J. Carroll, Texas A&M University Floor Discussion A Bayesian Approach to Seasonal Long Memory— ◆Scott Holan, University of Missouri-Columbia; Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 3:05 p.m. An Empirical Evaluation of Signal Extraction Goodness-of-Fit Diagnostic Tests—◆Christopher Blakely, U.S. Census Bureau; Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 p.m. The Detection of Cycles in Raw and Seasonally Adjusted Data—◆Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau; Scott Holan, University of MissouriColumbia 512 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-144C Recent Developments in Address-Based Sampling Methodologies—Topic-Contributed ■ Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Mansour Fahimi, Marketing Systems Group Chair(s): Mansour Fahimi, Marketing Systems Group 2:05 p.m. Methodological Issues in the Conversion from RDD to Address-Based Sampling—◆Michael Link, The Nielsen Company; Gail Daily, The Nielsen Company; Charles Shuttles, The Nielsen Company 2:25 p.m. Address-Based Sampling and the 2008 American National Election Survey: A New Paradigm for In-Person Household Surveys—Vincent G. Iannacchione, RTI International; ◆Jamie L. Ridenhour, RTI International; Bonnie Shook-Sa, RTI International; Joseph P. McMichael, RTI International Washington, DC 215 Wednesday 2:45 p.m. 3:25 p.m. CC-209B ■ CC-148 Business and Economic Statistics Section, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Tucker S. McElroy, U.S. Census Bureau Chair(s): Theodore Alexandrov, University of Bremen 2:05 p.m. 511 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:45 p.m. Recruiting Probability-Based Web Panel Members Using an Address-Based Sample Frame: Results from a Pilot Study Conducted by Knowledge Networks—◆Charles DiSogra, Knowledge Networks; Mario Callegaro, Knowledge Networks; Erlina Hendarwan, Knowledge Networks 3:05 p.m. Using Address Frames to Identify Cell-Phone-Only and Cell-Phone-Primary Households—◆Anna Fleeman, Arbitron, Inc. 3:25 p.m. Coverage Rates and Coverage Bias in Housing Unit Frames—◆Ned English, NORC at the University of Chicago; Colm O’Muircheartaigh, The University of Chicago; Stephanie Eckman, NORC at the University of Chicago 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 513 ■ ✪ Advances CC-144B in the Arena of Confidentiality and Data Protection—Topic-Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Jonaki Bose, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration Chair(s): Jonaki Bose, Substance Abuse & Mental Health Services Administration 2:05 p.m. 2:25 p.m. Informing Potential Respondents About Disclosure Risk and Survey Participation—◆Eleanor Singer, University of Michigan; Mick P. Couper, University of Michigan; Frederick G. Conrad, University of Michigan; Robert Groves, University of Michigan Data Access for the National Children’s Study: Preliminary Plans—◆Jennifer Park, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development 2:45 p.m. Disclosure Review Issues of Genetic Data—◆Karen E. Davis, National Center for Health Statistics; Peter Meyer, National Center for Health Statistics 3:05 p.m. Application of the Truncated Distributions and Copulas in Masking Data—◆Rahul A. Parsa, Drake University; Jay J. Kim, National Center for Health Statistics; Myron J. Katzoff, National Center for Health Statistics 3:25 p.m. An Overview of Uncertainty Creation to Protect Statistical Data—◆Paul B. Massell, U.S. Census Bureau 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion 216 JSM 2009 Topic-Contributed Panels 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 514 CC-158B ✪ From Evidence to Policy: ASA Members in Public Office—Topic-Contributed Scientific and Public Affairs Advisory Committee, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Stephen Pierson, ASA Chair(s): Christine S. Franklin, The University of Georgia Panelists: ◆Jeff Witmer, Oberlin College ◆James L. Rosenberger, Penn State University ◆Ivelisse Aviles, National Institute of Standards and Technology ◆James R. Murphy, National Jewish Health ◆Jerry Moreno, John Carroll University 3:45 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 2:00 p.m.–3:50 p.m. 515 CC-153 Statistical Methods in Finance—Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Timothy Bogong Li, SHCG - SunTrust Mortgage, Inc. 2:05 p.m. Estimated Quasi-Likelihood Estimator on GARCH Models with Heavy-Tailed and Skewed Innovations and Its Applications—◆Taewook Lee, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies 2:20 p.m. Finite Sample Properties of Classcial Testings on Long Memory HYGARCH Models—◆Muyi Li, The University of Hong Kong 2:35 p.m. Backdating Stock Options: Governance and Executive Incentives—◆Don R. Warren, The University of Texas at San Antonio; Mary Zey, The University of Texas at San Antonio; John Garza, The University of Texas at San Antonio 2:50 p.m. Application of Robust Estimation in O-GARCH Model—Lingyu Zheng, Temple University; ◆William Wei, Temple University 3:05 p.m. Recursive Estimation Using Combined Optimal Estimating Functions—◆Melody Ghahramani, University of Winnipeg; Aerambamoorthy Thavaneswaran, University of Manitoba 3:20 p.m. Secondary Mortgage Market Repurchase Forecast Through Survival Analysis—◆Bogong T. Li, Statistical Guidance Co. 3:35 p.m. Estimation of Conditional Distribution of Market Returns—◆Yuzhi Cai, University of Plymouth GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 516 CC-149B 2:35 p.m. Modeling Site Selection Behavior: Applications to Crime and Terrorism—◆Michael D. Porter, Spadac Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Lewis H. Shoemaker, Millersville University of Pennsylvania 2:50 p.m. Biosurveillance with Multiple-Width-Window Scan Statistics—◆Joseph I. Naus, Rutgers University 3:05 p.m. Clustering Time Series Using Compression Dissimilarities and Wavelets—◆Patricia H. Carter, Naval Surface Warfare Center 2:05 p.m. Prediction of Remaining Life of Power Transformers Based on Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Lifetime Data—◆Yili Hong, Iowa State University; William Q. Meeker, Iowa State University; James D. McCalley, Iowa State University 3:20 p.m. Statistical Assessment of Simple Strategy with Gaming: On Modeling the Fundamentals of Irregular Warfare—◆Scott Simpkins, Johns Hopkins University; Jonathan Smalletz, Johns Hopkins University; Robert Sagmiller, Clemson University 2:20 p.m. Modeling Leads to Cause-of-Field Failures—◆David C. Trindade, Sun Microsystems, Inc. 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 2:35 p.m. Monitoring Civil Structures Using Restricted Autoregressive Models and Wireless Sensor Networks—◆Guilherme Rocha, Indiana University; Shamim Pakzad, Lehigh University; Bin Yu, University of California, Berkeley ■ Applications in Reliability—Contributed 2:50 p.m. Bayesian Analysis of Step-Stress Accelerated Life Testing Using Weibull Proportional Hazard Model— ◆Naijun Sha, The University of Texas at El Paso; Rong Pan, Arizona State University 3:05 p.m. Lower Tolerance Bounds in Accelerated Life Testing: Weibull Models with Inverse Power Relationship—◆Ananda A. Jayawardhana, Pittsburg State University; V. A. Samaranayake, Missouri University of Science and Technology 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Epidemiologic Methods: Causal Inference— Contributed ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Jason Brinkley, East Carolina University 2:05 p.m. Causal Inference in Cancer Clinical Trials— ◆Babette Brumback, University of Florida; Wendy London, University of Florida 2:20 p.m. Causal Inference in Trials with Partial Compliance by Means of Continuous Principal Strata: A Likelihood Approach Based on Copulas—Francesco Bartolucci, University of Perugia; ◆Leonardo Grilli, University of Florence 2:35 p.m. Diagnostics for Propensity Score Matching: Creating a Balanced Control Group to Assess In Vitro Fertilization Guidelines—◆Cassandra K. Wolos, Harvard University; Donald B. Rubin, Harvard University 2:50 p.m. A Markov Compliance Class and Outcome Model for Causal Analysis in the Longitudinal Setting— ◆Xin Gao, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan 3:05 p.m. Causal Inference in Nested Case-Control Studies—◆Sherri Rose, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley 3:20 p.m. Treatment-Outcome Complex and Analysis of Observational Data—◆Lev S. Sverdlov, ScheringPlough Research Institute 3:35 p.m. Causal Estimation for the Proportional Hazard Model with Prevalent Sampling—◆Yu-Jen Cheng, Johns Hopkins University; Mei-Cheng Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Robust Test Plans for Accelerated Degradation Experiment—◆Shuen-Lin Jeng, National Cheng Kung University CC-143B Applications of Statistics in Defense and Biosurveillance—Contributed Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Myron J. Katzoff, National Center for Health Statistics 2:05 p.m. Ternary Pixel Transition Matrix--Based Feature Space Statistics for Image Retrieval from Databases—◆Pranab K. Banerjee, Space Dynamics Laboratory 2:20 p.m. Resource Allocation and Infrastructure Density Around Vulnerable Sites—◆Jeffrey S. Simonoff, New York University; Carlos E. Restrepo, New York University; Rae Zimmerman, New York University; Zvia Naphtali, New York University; Henry H. Willis, RAND Corporation CC-102A Washington, DC 217 Wednesday 517 Enhanced Monte Carlo Estimation of Extremely Small Probabilities of Failure—◆Peter W. Hovey, University of Dayton; Brian Krilov, University of Dayton 518 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 519 CC-149A Imputation Case Studies—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Mandi Yu, FDA 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. Methods for Analysis of Recall of Fires in a Retrospective Survey—◆Michael A. Greene, U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission; Craig D. Andres, U.S. Army Aberdeen Test Center Developing Macro Edits for the Census and Annual Survey of Government Finance—◆Loretta A. McKenzie, U.S. Census Bureau; Terri L. Craig, U.S. Census Bureau; Jennifer N. Whitaker, U.S. Census Bureau 3:05 p.m. Using Allele Sharing Distance for Detecting Human Population Stratification—◆Xiaoyi Gao, Washington University in St. Louis 3:20 p.m. A Score Test Based on Modified Genotype Data— ◆Renfang Jiang, Michigan Technological University; Yilin Dai, Michigan Technological University; Jianping Dong, Michigan Technological University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 521 CC-155 Boosting, Ensemble Learning, and Other DataMining Methods—Contributed 2:35 p.m. Empirical Evaluation of Imputation Methods on Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Data—◆Marek Kaminski, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Vinod Kapani, Bureau of Labor Statistics Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Brian Shea, The University of Minnesota 2:50 p.m. Imputation Variance Estimation by Multiple Imputation Method for the National Hospital Discharge Survey—◆Qiyuan Pan, National Center for Health Statistics; Iris Shimizu, National Center for Health Statistics 2:05 p.m. Distinct Counting with a Self-Learning Bitmap— ◆Aiyou Chen, Bell Labs, Alcatel-lucent; Jin Cao, Bell Labs, Alcatel-lucent 2:20 p.m. Using Data Mining to Explore Seasonal Differences Between the US Current Employment Statistics Survey and the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages—◆Gregory Erkens, Bureau of Labor Statistics 2:35 p.m. Mining Financial Statements: Comparative Performance of Adaptive and Ensemble Models in Discovering Financial Statement Fraud—◆David G. Whiting, Brigham Young University; James V. Hansen, Brigham Young University; James B. McDonald, Brigham Young University; Conan Albrecht, Brigham Young University; Steve Albrecht, Brigham Young University Modern Statistical Methods for Genetic Studies—Contributed 2:50 p.m. Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Wang Xiaofei, Duke University Medical Center GA-Boost: A Genetic Algorithm for Robust Boosting—Brian Gray, The University of Alabama; ◆Dong-Yop Oh, The University of Alabama 3:05 p.m. Ensemble-Based Semi-Supervised Learning with Optimal Feature Weighting—◆Joseph Retzer, Maritz Research 3:20 p.m. Developing an Adaptive Individualized Therapy Trial for Life-Threatening Chronic Disease—◆Yiyun Tang, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 3:05 p.m. Evaluation of Alternative Imputation Methods for the Public Libraries Survey—Irene Brown, U.S. Census Bureau; ◆Terri L. Craig, U.S. Census Bureau 3:20 p.m. Impacts of Bridging Race/Ethnicity for the California Health Interview Survey—◆Yifeng J. Chia, University of California, Los Angeles 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion 520 CC-204C 2:05 p.m. Haplotype-Based Regression Analysis with Transmitted and Nontransmitted Haplotypes— ◆Yung-Hsiang Huang, National Taiwan University 2:20 p.m. Accounting for Disease Model Uncertainty in Mapping Heterogeneous Traits: A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach—◆Swati Biswas, University of North Texas Health Science Center 2:35 p.m. Risk Effect Estimation for Secondary Phenotypes and Gene-Environment Interaction: A Conditional Likelihood Approach—◆Arpita Ghosh, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Fred A. Wright, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Fei Zou, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 2:50 p.m. Estimation of Association in Case-Control Studies with Potential Population Structure—◆Yong Chen, Johns Hopkins University; Kung-Yee Liang, Johns Hopkins University 218 JSM 2009 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 522 CC-141 3:05 p.m. A New Permutation-Based Method for the Evaluation of the Agreement Between Two Observers with Replicated Binary Observations— ◆Yi Pan, Emory University; Michael J. Haber, Emory University 3:20 p.m. Functional Linear Model with Zero-Value Coefficient Function at Sub-Region—◆Jianhui Zhou, University of Virginia; Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University 3:35 p.m. Functional Latent Feature Models for Data with Longitudinal Covariate Processes—◆Erning Li, Texas A&M University; Yehua Li, The University of Georgia; Nae-Yuh Wang, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine; Naisyin Wang, Texas A&M University Numerical Algorithm in Modern Estimation and Inference—Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Brian J. Smith, The University of Iowa 2:05 p.m. Efficient Exact Inference for the Common Odds Ratio—◆Bruce Barrett, The University of Alabama; J. Brian Gray, The University of Alabama 2:20 p.m. Computational Methods for Time-Dependent Relational Data—◆Andrew C. Thomas, Harvard University 2:35 p.m. Stochastic Root-Finding and Optimization via the Adaptive Simultaneous Perturbation Algorithm— ◆James C. Spall, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory 524 2:50 p.m. Exact Algorithms for Decompressing the LogCompressed Echo Envelope of Medical Ultrasound Images—◆Kai-Sheng Song, University of North Texas Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Leanna House, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 3:05 p.m. Semiparametric Efficient Estimation and EM Algorithm for Partially Linear Model with Missing Data—◆Mingyu Li, Rutgers University; Minge Xie, Rutgers University 3:20 p.m. Robust Tail Sums for Differential Gene Expression Analysis—◆June Luo, Clemson University 3:35 p.m. Distribution of Statistics of Hidden State Sequences via the Sum-Product Algorithm Over Factor Graphs—◆Donald E.K. Martin, North Carolina State University 523 Bayesian Theory and Estimation—Contributed Bayesian Parameter Estimation for Partial Differential Equation Models—◆Darren E. Gemoets, University of Wyoming; Kiona Ogle, University of Wyoming; Jarrett Barber, University of Wyoming 2:20 p.m. Some New Application Results of the C-Characteristics Function—◆Thomas J.M. Jiang, National Chengchi University 2:35 p.m. Density Estimation on Riemannian Manifolds— ◆Justin Jacobs, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 2:50 p.m. Bayesian Estimation of Burr Type XII Distribution from Progressively Type II--Censored Samples— Seongho Song, University of Cincinnati; ◆Younshik Chung, Pusan National University; Chansoo Kim, Kongju National University; Junghoon Jang, Korea Food and Drug Association 3:05 p.m. Consistency in Multivariate Bayesian Density Estimation—◆Subhashis Ghoshal, North Carolina State University; Yuefeng Wu, North Carolina State University 3:20 p.m. Bayes and Empirical Bayes Estimation in Lognormal Regression Model—◆Yogendra P. Chaubey, Concordia University; Fassil Nebebe, Concordia University 3:35 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-158A 2:05 p.m. Recent History Functional Linear Model for Sparse Longitudinal Data—◆Kion Kim, Penn State University; Senturk Damla, Penn State University 2:20 p.m. Assessment of Measurement Agreement for Functional/Longitudinal Data—◆Mina Yoo, Penn State University; Runze Li, Penn State University 2:35 p.m. Astronomical Transient Detection Through Functional Data Analysis—◆Darren W. Homrighausen, Carnegie Mellon University 2:50 p.m. Assessing Individual Observer Agreement in Studies Involving Replicated Ordinal Observations—◆Jingjing Gao, Emory University Washington, DC 219 Wednesday 2:05 p.m. Nonparametric Methods for Functional and Longitudinal Data—Contributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Jing Zhou, BlackRock, Inc. CC-208B GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 525 Bayesian Analysis—Contributed CC-203A 2:50 p.m. Identification and Classification of Expressed RNA Probes in Microarray Experiments—◆Sigrun H. Lund, University of Iceland; Daniel F. Gudbjartsson, deCODE genetics; Julius Gudmundsson, deCODE genetics; Gunnar Stefansson, University Iceland; Thorunn Rafnar, deCODE genetics 3:05 p.m. A Mixture Model for Microarray Data with Saturated Pixels—◆Yan Yang, Arizona State University 3:20 p.m. Improved Variance Smoothing Method for Testing Differential Expression in Affymetrix Oligonucleotide Microarrays—◆Parul Gulati, The Ohio State University; David Jarjoura, The Ohio State University; Soledad Fernandez, The Ohio State University; Lianbo Yu, The Ohio State University; Michael Pennell, The Ohio State University 3:35 p.m. Noise Reduction for Array CGH Data Using Technical Covariates and Probe-Level Information— ◆Tobias Guennel, Virginia Commonwealth University; Mark Reimers, Virginia Commonwealth University Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Jennifer Schumi, Statistics Collaborative, Inc. 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks with Hidden States to Infer Gene Regulatory Networks— ◆Andrea Rau, Purdue University; Florence Jaffrézic, French National Institute for Agricultural Research; Jean-Louis Foulley, French National Institute for Agricultural Research; Rebecca W. Doerge, Purdue University Mixed Effects and Multilevel Models in the Presence of Random Effects Heterogeneity—◆David Afshartous, University of Miami; Geert Verbeke, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven; Richard A. Preston, University of Miami 2:35 p.m. Model Averaging for Multifactor Stability Studies— ◆Seth Clark, Merck & Co., Inc.; Robert Noble, Miami University of Ohio 2:50 p.m. Estimation of Disease Prevalence from Imperfect Diagnostic Tests on Pooled Samples with Varying Pool Sizes—◆Christopher J. Williams, University of Idaho 3:05 p.m. Estimation of Correlation Using Bayesian Approach for Measuring Co-Expression of Genes to Improve Functional Inference in Co-Expression Networks— ◆Suman Duvvuru, The University of Tennessee 3:20 p.m. A Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Clustering Bernstein Polynomial Density Estimates— ◆Charlotte C. Gard, University of Washington; Elizabeth R. Brown, University of Washington 3:35 p.m. A Bayesian Approach to Model Robust Designs— ◆Vincent Agboto, Meharry Medical College; Christopher Nachtsheim, The University of Minnesota; W. Li, University of Minnesota 526 Microarray Data—Contributed CC-203B Biometrics Section Chair(s): Scarlett L. Bellamy, University of Pennsylvania 2:05 p.m. 2:20 p.m. 2:35 p.m. 220 527 Time Series—Contributed IMS Chair(s): Natallia Katenka, University of Michigan 2:05 p.m. Testing Regression Means with Autoregressive Errors—◆Sheng-Mao Chang, National Cheng Kung University 2:20 p.m. Memory-Length Parameter Estimation for the Rosenblatt Process Using Longer Filters— ◆Alexandra Chronopoulou, Purdue University 2:35 p.m. Long-Range Dependence and Operator SelfSimilarity—◆Gustavo Didier, Tulane University 2:50 p.m. First-Order Bias Correction for Fractionally Integrated Time Series—◆Jaechoul Lee, Boise State University; Kyungduk Ko, Boise State University 3:05 p.m. Malaria Transmission Dynamics: A Formal Comparison of Rival Hypotheses—◆Anindya Bhadra, University of Michigan; Edward Ionides, University of Michigan 3:20 p.m. Floor Discussion Maximum Entropy Modeling for Gene Expression Microarray Data—◆Xue Lin, FDA; Daniel Q. Naiman, Johns Hopkins University; Donald Geman, Johns Hopkins University 528 Testing Biological Processes in Microarray Experiments Using Prespecified Gene Sets— ◆Shuyan (Sabrina) Wan, Merck Research Laboratories; Xiang Yu, Merck Research Laboratories Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Kyung Sook Kim, FDA Generalized A-Optimality for Microarray Experimental Designs—◆Nilgun Ferhatosmanoglu, Bilkent University JSM 2009 CC-208A CC-201 Issues in Multi-Regional Trials, Medical Device Trials, and Sample Size—Contributed ■ 2:05 p.m. A New Approach to Model Region Treatment Effects in Clinical Trials—◆Hua Guo, Merck Research Laboratories GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 2:20 p.m. Power and Multiplicity Assessment for a Composite Endpoint and Its Components in Multi-Regional Clinical Trials—Hongwei Wang, Merck & Co., Inc.; Weili He, Merck & Co., Inc.; ◆Liang Chen, Merck & Co., Inc. 2:35 p.m. Determination of Sample Size in Multi-Regional Clinical Trials—◆Feng-shou Ko, National Health Research Institutes; Hsiao-hui Tsou, National Health Research Institutes; Chin-fu Hsiao, National Health Research Institutes 2:50 p.m. An Algorithm for Selecting Cases to Evaluate a Digital Mammography System—◆David C. Hoaglin, Abt Bio-Pharma Solutions, Inc.; Lynn FletcherHeath, Carestream Health, Inc. 3:05 p.m. Adjusting for Nonignorable and Partially Ignorable Verification Bias in Estimating ROC Curve and Its Area—◆Danping Liu, University of Washington; Xiao-Hua (Andrew) Zhou, University of Washington Poster Presentations 2:00 p.m.–3:30 p.m. 530 CC-L Street Bridge Topic-Contributed Oral Poster Presentations: Reproducible Statistical Analysis— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Russell V. Lenth, The University of Iowa Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation Applications and case studies 01 Reproducible Statistical Analyses With StatWeave— ◆Russell V. Lenth, The University of Iowa Rapid Reproducible Training: From Outline to Slides and Handouts in One Click—◆William Rising, StataCorp LP 3:20 p.m. Ceiling and Regression Effects on Clinical Endpoints in Medical Device Studies—◆Daniel P. Reyner, Zimmer Holdings, Inc 02 3:35 p.m. Sample Size Determination and Interpretation of Safety Findings in Clinical Studies with an MTD Expansion Cohort—◆Guohui Li, Millennium Pharmaceuticals; Noe Dennis, Millennium Pharmaceuticals Biometrics, bioinformatics, computational biology 03 Using SASweave to Integrate SAS and R Code and Results in a Book—◆Ken Kleinman, Harvard Medical School/Harvard Pilgrim Health Care; Nicholas Horton, Smith College Sampling and survey methodology 529 ■ CC-204B 04 Topics in Linear Models—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Jing Han, FDA 2:05 p.m. Estimation of Treatment Efficacy in the Presence of Noncompliance and Competing Risks in Randomized Controlled Trials—◆Lily Altstein, University of California, Los Angeles 531 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Statistical Computing Computational statistics, numerical methods, simulation 05 Model for Fitting Two Lines to Data—◆Penelope M. Ellis, Texas Tech University; Chris Monico, Texas Tech University; Clyde Martin, Texas Tech University 2:35 p.m. Analysis of Zero-Inflated Continuous Data— ◆Madhuja Mallick, Merck Research Laboratories 06 2:50 p.m. Sigmoid Curves and a Case for Close-to-Linear Nonlinear Models—◆Charles Tan, Merck Research Laboratories; Ying Su, Merck Research Laboratories Six Sigma and Fuzzy Logic—◆Morteza Marzjarani, Saginaw Valley State University 07 3:05 p.m. The Impact of a Misspecified Error Distribution on the Inference in the Linear Mixed Model—◆Li Liu, sanofi-aventis; Donghui Zhang, sanofi-aventis Stepwise Discriminant Analysis as a Post-Hoc to a Significant MANOVA—◆Raj Chandran, University of Northern Colorado; Daniel J. Mundfrom, University of Northern Colorado 08 Potentiating Sample-Based Constrained Optimization Problems—◆Martin Levy, University of Cincinnati; Zhiyuan Dong, University of Cincinnati; James J. Cochran, Louisiana Tech University 09 Comparisons of Model Selection Strategies in Time-toEvent Models—◆Lin Pan, Emory University; Zhiheng Xu, Emory University; Haibin Wang, Emory University; Mourad Tighiouart, Emory University 3:20 p.m. 3:35 p.m. Estimating Shelf Life Using Quantile Regression with Random Batch Effects—◆Michelle Quinlan, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Walter Stroup, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; James Schwenke, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc. A Power Transformation for Minimizing Heteroscedasticity in the General Linear Model— ◆Mitchell J. Rosen, ICON Clinical Research Washington, DC 221 Wednesday 2:20 p.m. Invariance in Multivariate Linear Models with High Dimension, Low Sample Size—◆Yueh-Yun Chi, University of Florida; Keith E. Muller, University of Florida Reproducible Teaching: Using Stat/SASWeave in the Classroom—◆Bonnie LaFleur, University of Arizona GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 10 Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers for Bayesian Generalized Linear Mixed Models— ◆Yi-Ju Chen, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Yi-Liang Tung, Consultant Transportation statistics 16 Targeting Polluting Vehicles for Car Scrappage Programs Using Factor Analysis—◆Peng Wu, University of California, Davis; Shuang Liu, University of California, Davis Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management 532 CC-L Street Bridge Contributed Oral Poster Presentations— Contributed Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Lara Schmidt, RAND Corporation 17 Investigating Spatial and Seasonal Variations in Radiation Levels—◆Madhuri S. Mulekar, University of South Alabama; Sytske Kimball, University of South Alabama 18 The Role of Statistics in Ecological Risk Assessment for Pesticide Registration—◆Christine Hartless, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Reliability and survival modeling, risk analysis 11 Reliability Goodness-of-Fit for Oil Spills in the Gulf of Mexico—◆William V. Harper, Otterbein College; Ted G. Eschenbach, TEG Consulting; Thomas R. James, Otterbein College Spatial statistics, spatio-temporal modeling, GIS 12 Statistical Tools for Evaluating Spatial Seasonal Fire Potential Indices—◆Cindy S. Leary, University of Montana; Jonathan M. Graham, University of Montana; Patricia L. Andrews, USDA Forest Service; William M. Jolly, USDA Forest Service Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management 13 Locating Changes in Land Use from Long-Term Remote Sensing Data in Morocco—◆Maliha S. Nash, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Deborah J. Chaloud, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; William Kepner, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Invited Sessions 4:00 p.m.–5:50 p.m. 533 CC-Ballroom A-B COPSS Awards and Fisher Lecture—Invited ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Madhuri S. Mulekar, University of South Alabama Chair(s): Jessica M. Utts, University of California, Irvine 4:05 p.m. Where, When, and Then Why—◆Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University 5:30 p.m. Floor Discussion Time series, wavelet analysis, signal processing 14 Wednesday Model Prediction of Ambient Ozone Concentrations— ◆Katerina G. Tsakiri, State University of New York at Albany; Igor Zurbenko, State University of New York at Albany Environmetrics, ecology, agriculture, wildlife management 15 Ecological Thresholds Using Aquatic Macroinvertebrates as Indicators of Stream Health in the Mid-Atlantic and Eastern Rivers and Mountains Vital Signs Networks— ◆Ying Liu, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Jianying Lou, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Eric Smith, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Washington, DC 223 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel tHURSDAY, August 6 Tours TR15 - Annapolis: Highlighting the U.S. Naval Academy 9:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. Committee/Business Meetings & Other Activities 7:00 a.m.–12:00 p.m. Speaker Management Room 7:30 a.m.–10:00 a.m. ASA Marketplace CC-East Registration 8:00 a.m.–10:00 a.m. COS Business Meeting II CC-East Registration CC-East Registration RH-Meeting Room 16 Chair(s): Janet Buckingham, Southwest Research Institute 8:00 a.m.–1:00 p.m. JSM Luggage Storage 10:00 a.m.–11:00 a.m. COSGB Business Meeting II CC-207A ASA, ENAR, IMS, SSC, WNAR, International Chinese Statistical Association, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan Chair(s): Simon Sheather, Texas A&M University 8:35 a.m. Statistical Learning and Data Mining—◆David J. Hand, Imperial College 10:00 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-154A 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. CC-East Registration ASA Membership/Special Assistance/Press Desk 7:30 a.m.–10:30 a.m. JSM Main Registration 534 Introductory Overview Lecture: Statistical Learning and Data Mining—Other TR16 - Historic Tour of Mt. Vernon 10:00 a.m.–2:00 p.m. 7:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m. Cyber Center Special Presentation 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. CC-East Registration RH-Meeting Room 16 Chair(s): Janet Buckingham, Southwest Research Institute Invited Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 535 CC-143B High-Dimensional Variable Selection: At the Crossroad of Bayes’ Frequentist Interface— Invited Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Samiran Ghosh, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis Chair(s): Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina 8:35 a.m. Spike and Slab Priors for Bayesian Variable Selection—◆Marina Vannucci, Rice University 9:00 a.m. Structured Variable Selection and Estimation— ◆Ming Yuan, Georgia Institute of Technology 9:25 a.m. Model Selection for Partial Smoothing Splines— ◆Hao (Helen) Zhang, North Carolina State University; Guang Cheng, Purdue University 9:50 a.m. Enforced Spike and Slab Sparsity—◆Hemant Ishwaran, Cleveland Clinic Foundation 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Thursday Washington, DC 225 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 536 ■ ✪ Perspectives Invited CC-102B 538 in Genomics Research— ■ Chemometrics—Invited CC-149B Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Organizer(s): Kerby Shedden, University of Michigan Chair(s): Ji Zhu, University of Michigan Committee of Representatives to AAAS Organizer(s): Turkan K. Gardenier, Pragmatica Corp. Chair(s): Turkan K. Gardenier, Pragmatica Corp. 8:35 a.m. Search for Genetic Markers of Susceptibility for Breast and Prostate Cancer—◆Gilles F. Thomas, National Cancer Institute 8:35 a.m. Understanding Heterogeneity of Chemical Localization in Live Cells—◆Kerby Shedden, University of Michigan 9:00 a.m. A Novel Nonparametric Approach to Genetics, Genomics, and Phenomics—◆Knut M. Wittkowski, The Rockefeller University 9:05 a.m. 9:25 a.m. Genome-Wide Association Studies: A Look at Their Past, Present, and Future—◆John Barnard, The Cleveland Clinic Foundation Screening Compounds for Monotone Association with Convex Combinations of Activity Predictors Over Unspecified Subpopulations of Cell-Lines— ◆Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University; Li Yu, The Ohio State University; Paul Blower, The Ohio State University 9:50 a.m. Disc: Robert C. Elston, Case Western Reserve University 9:35 a.m. 10:10 a.m. Floor Discussion A Co-Training Algorithm for Multiview Data with Applications in Data Fusion—◆Mark Culp, West Virginia University; George Michailidis, University of Michigan 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 537 CC-201 Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic Modeling—Invited ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, Biometrics Section Organizer(s): Alan H. Hartford, Merck & Co., Inc. Chair(s): Alan H. Hartford, Merck & Co., Inc. 8:35 a.m. A Model-Based Framework for Quantitative Decisionmaking in Drug Development—◆Kenneth G. Kowalski, Ann Arbor Pharmacometrics Group; Jonathan L. French, Pfizer Inc.; Mike K. Smith, Pfizer Inc.; Matthew M. Hutmacher, Ann Arbor Pharmacometrics Group 9:00 a.m. Leveraging Pharmacokinetic (PK) and Pharmacodynamic (PD) Knowledge in Early Clinical Drug Development—◆Ene I. Ette, Anoixis Corporation 9:25 a.m. Computational Methods for Nonlinear Mixed Models—◆Douglas M. Bates, University of Wisconsin-Madison 9:50 a.m. Leveraging Exposure Response Information for Efficient Drug Development: Impact of Pharmacometrics—◆Pravin R. Jadhav, FDA 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 226 JSM 2009 539 CC-206 The Influence of Psychology, Cartography, and Computer Science on the Design of Interactive Graphics for Spatial Statistical Data—Invited Section on Statistical Graphics, Section on Government Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Linda Williams Pickle, StatNet Consulting LLC Chair(s): Linda Williams Pickle, StatNet Consulting LLC 8:35 a.m. Cognitive Psychology and Statistical Map Reading—◆Douglas J. Herrmann, Indiana State University (retired) 9:00 a.m. Grounding Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis Tool Design in Cartographic Theory, Practice, and Empirical Research—◆Alan MacEachren, Penn State University 9:25 a.m. Data Cartography: The View from Human Computer Interaction—◆Danyel A. Fisher, Microsoft Research 9:50 a.m. Visualizing Patterns in Data with Micromaps— ◆Daniel B. Carr, George Mason University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 540 CC-144A 542 ■ ✪ From Data to Decisionmaking: Applied Statisticians Protecting the Environment— Invited Section on Statistics and the Environment, Section on Statistics in Epidemiology, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Jenise Swall, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Kristen M. Foley, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Chair(s): Kristen M. Foley, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 8:35 a.m. 9:00 a.m. Given Limited Resources, What Can Be Done to Reduce Elevated Blood Lead Levels in Children?—◆William F. Hunt, Jr., North Carolina State University; Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Steve Somers, North Carolina State University; Josh Drukenbrod, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Ashley Myers, North Carolina State University As the Population Turns: The Case of Elevated Blood Lead Levels and Changing Social Phenomena—◆Barry D. Nussbaum, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Ronnie Levin, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 9:25 a.m. Science Policy Interface at U.S. EPA: Some Views from One Who’s Been There—◆Rita Schoeny, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 9:50 a.m. Putting a Regulation Through: Where Statistics Fit In—◆Elizabeth H. Margosches, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 541 CC-202B New Developments in Financial Econometrics— Invited WNAR Organizer(s): Yingying Fan, University of Southern California Chair(s): Tao Huang, University of Virginia CC-204C Recent Advances in Nonparametric Methods for Interval-Censored Data—Invited ■ ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Dipankar Bandyopadhyay, Medical University of South Carolina Chair(s): Samiran Ghosh, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 8:35 a.m. Confidence Intervals for Current Status Data with Competing Risks—◆Marloes H. Maathuis, ETH Zurich; Michael Hudgens, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 9:00 a.m. Asymptotics of Interval-Censored Data Under Various Observation Time Schemes—◆Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan 9:25 a.m. Nonparametric Inference in Multistate Models with Interval-Censored Data—◆Somnath Datta, University of Louisville; Ling Lan, Medical College of Georgia 9:50 a.m. Multistate Analysis of Bivariate Interval-Censored Failure Time Data—◆Richard Cook, University of Waterloo 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 543 ■ CC-102A Statistical Methods in Bioinformatics—Invited SSC, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Karen A. Kopciuk, Alberta Cancer Board Chair(s): Karen A. Kopciuk, Alberta Cancer Board 8:35 a.m. Current Issues in Genome-Wide Association Studies of Complex Traits—◆Shelley B. Bull, Samuel Lunenfeld Research Institute of Mount Sinai Hospital; Lei Sun, University of Toronto 9:05 a.m. Statistical Issues Involved in the Analysis of HighThroughput ChIP Assays—◆Raphael Gottardo, Institut de Recherche Cliniques de Montreal Vast Volatility Matrix Estimation for High-Frequency Financial Data—◆Yazhen Wang, National Science Foundation 9:35 a.m. Effects of Measurement Error in Microarray Data Analysis—◆Wenqing He, University of Western Ontario 9:05 a.m. Modeling and Forecasting Bond Yield Curves with Functional Dynamic Models—◆Rong Chen, Rutgers University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:35 a.m. Parameter Estimation and Model Testing for Markov Processes via Conditional Characteristic Functions—◆Song Xi Chen, Iowa State University; Liang Peng, Georgia Tech; Cindy L. Yu, Iowa State University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Thursday 8:35 a.m. Washington, DC 227 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 544 CC-143C Bayesian Methods for Model Uncertainty— Invited IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): David Dunson, Duke University Chair(s): David Dunson, Duke University 8:35 a.m. 9:05 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Flexible Approaches for Computing Marginal Likelihoods—◆Robert J. Kohn, University of New South Wales Effective Sample Size in Linear Models—◆Susie Bayarri, University of Valencia; James Berger, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute; Luis R. Pericchi, University of Puerto Rico CC-143A IMS Organizer(s): Anand Vidyashankar, Cornell University Chair(s): Anand Vidyashankar, Cornell University 10:05 a.m. 228 CC-149A Memorial Organizer(s): Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago Chair(s): Shail J. Butani, Bureau of Labor Statistics Panelists: ◆Reza Modarres, The George Washington University ◆Bob Smythe, Oregon State University ◆Fritz Scheuren, NORC at the University of Chicago ◆Robert Shumway, University of California, Davis ◆Nozer Singpurwalla, The George Washington University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Floor Discussion Inference for Parameters of Biological and Biochemical Processes Modeled via Branching Processes and Their Variants—Invited 9:05 a.m. 546 Memorial for Hubert Lilliefors—Invited Bayesian Subgroup Analysis—◆James Berger, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute 545 8:35 a.m. Invited Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Inference for Quantitation Parameters in Polymerase Chain Reactions via Branching Processes with Random Effects—◆Bret Hanlon, Cornell University; Anand Vidyashankar, Cornell University Composite Likelihood Estimation for AgeDependent Branching Processes Using CFSELabeling Data—◆Ollivier Hyrien, University of Rochester; Rui Chen, University of Rochester Medical Center; Martin S. Zand, University of Rochester Topic-Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 547 Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Company Chair(s): Yoko Tanaka, Eli Lilly and Company 8:35 a.m. Considerations on Criteria for Consistency Across Regions in Multi-Regional Trials—◆Kimitoshi Ikeda, Novartis Pharma K.K. 8:55 a.m. Issues in Evaluating Multiregional Clinical Trials— ◆Yuki Ando, Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency 9:15 a.m. Prediction of Fracture Risk Based Upon Baseline Characteristics—◆Kyoungah See, Eli Lilly and Company 9:35 a.m. Sample Size Considerations for Japanese Patients in a Multi-Regional Trial Based on MHLW Guidance—◆Hui Quan, sanofi-aventis; Peng-Liang Zhao, sanofi-aventis; Ji Zhang, sanofi-aventis; Martin Roessner, sanofi-aventis; Kyo Aizawa, sanofi-aventis Floor Discussion JSM 2009 CC-204B Considerations on Design and Analysis for Multi-Regional Trials—Topic-Contributed ■ 9:55 a.m. Disc: James Hung, FDA 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 548 ■ ✪ Bayesian CC-144B 9:55 a.m. On the Exchangeable Multinomial Distribution— ◆E. Olusegun George, The University of Memphis; Kyeongmi Cheon, The University of Memphis; L. Yuan, The University of Memphis 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Semiparametric Methods in Biostatistics—Topic-Contributed Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University Chair(s): Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 8:35 a.m. A Bayesian Semiparametric Accelerated Failure Time Cure Model for Censored Data—◆Elizabeth C. Nelson, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University; Wenbin Lu, North Carolina State University 8:55 a.m. Center-Adjusted Inference for a Nonparametric Bayesian Random Effect Distribution—◆Yisheng Li, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Peter Müller, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Xihong Lin, Harvard School of Public Health 9:15 a.m. A Variable Selection Approach to Bayesian Monotonic Regression with Bernstein Polynomials—◆S. McKay Curtis, University of Washington; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 9:35 a.m. Bayesian Independent Component Analysis Using Mixture Priors—◆Ani Eloyan, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 9:55 a.m. Semiparametric Bayesian Approach for Testing Noninferiority Using Relative Risk and Odds Ratio for Binary Data—◆Muhtarjan Osman, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 549 ✪ Semiparametric 550 ■ ✪ Temporal CC-155 and Cross-Sectional Consistency in Purchasing Power Parities—TopicContributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Kim Zieschang, International Monetary Fund Chair(s): Alan Heston, The University of Pennsylvania 8:35 a.m. An Econometric Approach to Construct World Tables of Purchasing Power Parities and Real Incomes: Analytical Properties and Tables for 1970– 2005—D.S. Prasada Rao, University of Queensland; ◆Alicia Rambaldi, University of Queensland; H.E. Doran, University of Queensland 8:55 a.m. Index Number Approaches to Spatial and Temporal Consistency: Comparing the 1985 and 2005 ICP Global Benchmarks—W. Erwin Diewert, University of British Columbia; ◆D.S. Prasada Rao, University of Queensland; Kim Zieschang, International Monetary Fund 9:15 a.m. Updating and Backdating the 2005 ICP Results: Isolating Sample Design Effects with Application to Asia—◆Yuri Dikhanov, World Bank 9:35 a.m. Intertemporal Comparisons of Regional Price Parities in the United States, 2003–2007— ◆Bettina H. Aten, Bureau of Economic Analysis 9:55 a.m. Floor Discussion CC-158A Procedures in Statistical Analysis—Topic-Contributed Section on Risk Analysis Organizer(s): Norou Diawara, Old Dominion University Chair(s): Mohammad Ahsanullah, Rider University 551 ■ ✪ Using CC-150A the Current Population Survey to Analyze the Labor Force Characteristics of Persons with Disabilities—Topic-Contributed Forecasting Mortality Rates via Density Ratio Modeling—◆Benjamin Kedem, University of Maryland 8:55 a.m. Mixture of Bivariate Exponential Distributions— ◆Norou Diawara, Old Dominion University 8:35 a.m. 9:15 a.m. Approximate Bayesian Computation for Flexible Quantile Distributions—◆Robert King, Newcastle University Statistical Estimation for Persons with Disabilities as Measured in the Current Population Survey— ◆Stephen M. Miller, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:55 a.m. 9:35 a.m. Neural Networks: A Flexible Nonlinear Model— ◆Barbara Bailey, San Diego State University Labor Force Analysis of Those Identified as Disabled in the CPS—◆Anne E. Polivka, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:15 a.m. An Evaluation of Efforts to Use a Work Disability Question to Evaluate the Labor Force Situation of Persons with a Disability—◆Terence M. McMenamin, Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, DC 229 Thursday 8:35 a.m. Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Stephen M. Miller, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Donsig Jang, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. The Addition of Questions on Disability to the Current Population Survey—◆Steven F. Hipple, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:15 a.m. Streaming Poisson Data—◆David W. Scott, Rice University 9:55 a.m. Disc: Thomas W. Hale, Social Security Administration 9:35 a.m. Nonparametric Density Estimation of Streaming Data Using Orthogonal Series—◆Kyle A. Caudle, U.S. Naval Academy; Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:55 a.m. Designs for Early-Phase Clinical Trials— Topic-Contributed Grid Computing and Applications—◆Abdullah A. Alnoshan, The George Washington University; Shmuel Rotenstreich, The George Washington University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Xuelin Huang, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center Chair(s): Ying Yuan, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 554 552 CC-202A 8:35 a.m. Bayesian Methods in Clinical Research— ◆Wei Chen, Karmanos Cancer Institute 8:55 a.m. Calibration of the Continual Reassessment Method—◆Shing Lee, Columbia University; Ying Kuen Cheung, Columbia University 9:15 a.m. Achieving Covariate Balance in Clinical Trials with Outcome-Adaptive Randomization—Jing Ning, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; ◆Xuelin Huang, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 9:35 a.m. Dose-Schedule Finding in Phase I/II Clinical Trials Using a Bayesian Isotonic Transformation— ◆Benjamin N. Bekele, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Yisheng Li, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Yuan Ji, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 9:55 a.m. Adaptive Randomization Designs for Oncology Trials with Both Short-Term and Long-Term Outcomes—◆Hao Liu, Baylor College of Medicine; Xuelin Huang, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 553 ■ ✪ Computing CC-207B Environments and Large Data Sets—Topic-Contributed Section on Statistical Computing Organizer(s): Yasmin Said, George Mason University Chair(s): Yasmin Said, George Mason University 8:35 a.m. Multivariate Data Adaptive Compression and Density Estimation—◆Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University; Roger Shores, U.S. Census Bureau 8:55 a.m. A Swift Swiftian Look at Massive Data Sets— ◆Antony Unwin, Uni Augsburg 232 JSM 2009 CC-158B Nonresponse Bias Analysis—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Shail J. Butani, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): Larry L. Huff, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:35 a.m. An Assessment of the Effect of Calibration on Nonresponse Bias in the 2006 Agricultural Resource Management Survey—◆Morgan S. Earp, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Jaki McCarthy, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Nick D. Schauer, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Phillip S. Kott, U.S. Department of Agriculture 8:55 a.m. Assessing Nonresponse Bias in the Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey—◆Susan King, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Boriana Chopova, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jennifer Edgar, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Jeffrey Gonzalez, Bureau of Labor Statistics; David McGrath, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Lucilla Tan, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:15 a.m. Conducting Nonresponse Bias Analyses for Two Business Surveys at the U.S. Census Bureau: Methods and (Some) Results—◆Katherine J. Thompson, U.S. Census Bureau 9:35 a.m. Components of Error Analysis in the Current Employment Statistics Survey—Larry L. Huff, Bureau of Labor Statistics; ◆Julie Gershunskaya, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:55 a.m. Disc: Clyde Tucker, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel ■ Topic-Contributed Panels 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Marike Vuga, University of Pittsburgh Chair(s): Kenneth Schechtman, Washington University in St. Louis 557 555 CC-204A Abdominal Obesity: Searching for the Best Measure—Topic-Contributed CC-101 GAISE in the Online Course— Topic-Contributed ■ 8:35 a.m. Characterization of the Conicity Index in the US Adult Population—◆Rodolfo Valdez, CDC; Tiebin Liu, CDC Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University Chair(s): David Zeitler, Grand Valley State University 8:55 a.m. Where to Draw the Line for Abdominal Obesity: Evidence from International Data—◆Mark Woodward, Mount Sinai School of Medicine Panelists: ◆Michelle Everson, The University of Minnesota Conceptual Review of Issues with Practical Abdominal Obesity Measures—◆Marike Vuga, University of Pittsburgh ◆Sue Schou, Idaho State University ◆Patti B. Collings, Brigham Young University ◆Jamis Perrett, Texas A&M University 8:55 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:15 a.m. 9:35 a.m. Abdominal Volume Index—◆Fernando GuerreroRomero, Mexican Social Security Institute; Martha Rodriguez-Moran, Mexican Social Security Institute 9:55 a.m. Methodological Issues in the Use of Anthropometric Surrogates of Abdominal Obesity—◆Ike S. Okosun, Georgia State University 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 8:30 a.m.–10:20 a.m. 558 556 ■ ✪ 2007 Census of Agriculture— Topic-Contributed CC-159A Section on Government Statistics, SSC, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Carol House, National Agricultural Statistics Service Chair(s): Mark Harris, National Agricultural Statistics Service 8:35 a.m. Coverage Adjustment on the 2007 Census of Agriculture—◆Matt Fetter, National Agricultural Statistics Service 8:55 a.m. Overview of the Census of Agriculture—◆Chris S. Messer, National Agricultural Statistics Service 9:15 a.m. Searching for Donors: Refining an Imputation Strategy—◆Michael Hogye, National Agricultural Statistics Service; Peter Quan, National Agricultural Statistics Service Bayesian Methods—Contributed CC-144C IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Ali Shojaie, University of Michigan 8:35 a.m. Batch Means and Spectral Variance Estimators in Markov Chain Monte Carlo—◆James M. Flegal, University of California, Riverside; Galin L. Jones, The University of Minnesota 8:50 a.m. Conditional Simulation in the Two-Stage Hierarchical Model—◆Ronald Neath, Baruch College; Galin L. Jones, The University of Minnesota 9:05 a.m. On Estimating the Spectral Densities of a Class of Stationary Spatio-Temporal Processes— ◆Hui Xu, St. Cloud State University; Herman Rubin, Purdue University 9:20 a.m. Misspecification in the Latent Class and Latent Markov Model—◆David Kaplan, University of Wisconsin-Madison 2007 Census of Agriculture Nonresponse Methodology—◆William Cecere, National Agricultural Statistics Service 9:35 a.m. Recurrent Sets and Communcation for Monotonically Decreasing Nonstationarity— ◆Zach Dietz, Hamilton College 9:55 a.m. Impact of Outreach Initiatives on the 2007 Census of Agriculture—◆William Iwig, National Agricultural Statistics Service 9:50 a.m. Some Admissible Minimax Formal Bayes Estimators of a Multivariate Normal Mean—◆Brian Shea, The University of Minnesota 10:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 10:05 a.m. General Maximum Likelihood Empirical Bayes Estimation of Normal Means—◆Wenhua Jiang, Rutgers University; Cun-Hui Zhang, Rutgers University Washington, DC 233 Thursday 9:35 a.m. GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 559 Bayesian Control of Error Rates and Networks—Contributed CC-142 9:35 a.m. Extra Variation Logistic Regression Models Over Time—◆Winston A. Richards, Penn State University Harrisburg 9:50 a.m. A Consequence of Ignoring Clustering of Item Responses Obtained from Complex Samples During Item Response Theory Scaling: Biased Estimation of Item Discrimination Parameters— ◆Aaron Douglas, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. 10:05 a.m. Specification and Interpretation of Models for Monotonic Change to an Asymptote: A Nonlinear Mixed Effects Approach—◆Joseph R. Rausch, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Chair(s): Leanne Streja, University of California, Los Angeles 8:35 a.m. Empirical Bayes FCR Controlling Confidence Intervals—◆Zhigen Zhao, Cornell University; J.T. Gene Hwang, Cornell University 8:50 a.m. Insights into p-values and Bayes Factors from False Positive and False Negative Bayes Factors— ◆Hormuzd Katki, National Cancer Institute 9:05 a.m. Assessing Frequentist Operating Characteristics for a Bayesian Design: A Case Study—◆Zachary Skrivanek, Eli Lilly and Company; Brenda Gaydos, Eli Lilly and Company; Scott Berry, Berry Consultants 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Gaussian Graphical Models Using Covariance Selection—◆Rajesh Talluri, Texas A&M University; Bani K. Mallick, Texas A&M University Posterior Distributions on Networks—◆Lili Zhuang, The Ohio State University; Noel A. Cressie, The Ohio State University Objective Bayesian Graphical Model Selection with Bayes Factors Based on Test Statistics and Nonlocal Alternative Priors: How Do Interactions of DNA Components Lead to a Disease?—◆Adarsh Joshi, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Jianhua Hu, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Valen E. Johnson, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center 561 Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Ronald Gangnon, University of Wisconsin-Madison 8:35 a.m. Efficiency of the Maximum Partial Likelihood Estimator Under Nested Case-Control Design— Larry Goldstein, University of Southern California; ◆Haimeng Zhang, Mississippi State University 8:50 a.m. Time-Varying Effects of Prognostic Factors Associated with Disease-Free Survival in Breast Cancer—◆Karen Messer, University of California, San Diego; Minya Pu, University of California, San Diego; Barbara Parker, University of California, San Diego; Cynthia Thomson, University of Arizona; Bette Caan, Kaiser Permanente Northern California; Shirley Flatt, University of California, San Diego; Lisa Madlensky, University of California, San Diego; Richard Hajek, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; Wael Al-Delaimy, University of California, San Diego; Nazmus Saquib, University of California, San Diego; Ellen Gold, University of California, Davis; John Pierce, University of California, San Diego; Loki Natarajan, University of California, San Diego 9:05 a.m. Analyzing Bivariate Survival Data with Interval Sampling and Application to Cancer Epidemiology—◆Hong Zhu, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health; Mei-Cheng Wang, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 9:20 a.m. Covariate Bias Induced by Length-Biased Sampling of Failure Times—◆Pierre-Jerome Bergeron, University of Ottawa; Masoud Asgharian, McGill University; David B. Wolfson, McGill University 9:35 a.m. Survival Function with Informative Drop-Outs: Using FGM Copula—◆Md Monir Hossain, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston; Tosiya S. Sato, Kyoto University; Mohammad H. Rahbar, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston 9:50 a.m. Semiparametric Method for Cure Rate Model— ◆Feifei Zhou, The University of Hong Kong Floor Discussion 560 Analytic: IRT, MCMC, SEM—Contributed CC-160 Social Statistics Section Chair(s): Sherri Pals, CDC 8:35 a.m. Line Search Algorithm for Maximum Likelihood in Exponential Families—◆Saisuke Okabayashi, The University of Minnesota; Charles J. Geyer, The University of Minnesota 8:50 a.m. A Choice of the Number of Factors and HyperParameter Selection in Bayesian Factor Analysis Model—◆Kei Hirose, Kyushu University; Shuichi Kawano, Kyushu University; Sadanori Konishi, Kyushu University; Masanori Ichikawa, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies 9:05 a.m. Identification of Latent Structure: Inside or Outside Structural Equation Model?—◆Hee-Choon Shin, NORC at the University of Chicago 9:20 a.m. Structural Equation Model Diagnosis Using Two Scatter Plots—◆Ke-Hai Yuan, University of Notre Dame; Kentaro Hayashi, University of Hawaii 234 JSM 2009 CC-203A Survival Analysis Methods in Epidemiology— Contributed GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 10:05 a.m. Modeling Exchangeable Binary Data with Dependence Between the Design and Outcome Success Probabilities—◆David Todem, Michigan State University; Karen P. Williams, Michigan State University 562 Dimension Reduction in Regression— Contributed CC-157 Interface Foundation of North America, Section on Statistical Learning and Data Mining Chair(s): Mark Fiecas, Brown University 9:05 a.m. Use of Podcast Technology for an Online Business Statistics Course—◆Begona Perez-Mira, Louisiana State University; Joni Ancona Nunnery, Louisiana State University 9:20 a.m. Interactive Quizzes for Continuous Learning and Evaluation—◆Gunnar Stefansson, University Iceland; Asta J. Sigurdardottir, The Commercial College of Iceland 9:35 a.m. Using Personal Laptops to Improve Statistics Education—Andrew G. Glen, West Point; ◆JoAnna Crixell, West Point; Richard Bell, Auburn University 9:50 a.m. Throw Away the Calculator and Teach Statistics— ◆Gerald Keller, Wilfrid Laurier University 10:05 a.m. Developmental Trajectories of Health Science Students’ Statistics Reasoning and Mastery— ◆Ralph M. Turner, University of the Sciences 8:35 a.m. Weighted Bidimensional Regression—◆Kendra K. Schmid, University of Nebraska Medical Center; David Marx, University of Nebraska-Lincoln; Ashok Samal, University of Nebraska-Lincoln 8:50 a.m. On Ridge Regression, Convexity, and Nonlinear Problems—◆Prasenjit Kapat, The Ohio State University; Prem K. Goel, The Ohio State University 9:05 a.m. Network Exploration via the Adaptive LASSO and SCAD Penalties—Jianqing Fan, Princeton University; ◆Yang Feng, Princeton University; Yichao Wu, North Carolina State University Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center 9:20 a.m. Nonlinear Regression Modeling via Bayesian Regularization with Lasso-Type Penalties—◆Shohei Tateishi, Kyushu University; Sadanori Konishi, Kyushu University 8:35 a.m. Sparse Sufficient Dimension Reduction and Variable Selection—◆Xin Chen, University of Minnesota; R. Dennis Cook, The University of Minnesota 9:35 a.m. Cancer Microarray Feature Selection Using Support Vector Machines: Comparing Regularization Techniques—◆Tim Peters, Macquarie University; David Bulger, Macquarie University; Jean Y.H. Yang, University of Sydney; To-ha Loi, St. Vincent’s Hospital; David Ma, St. Vincent’s Hospital 8:50 a.m. Shrinkage Estimators and Their Efficiency in Reliability Calculations—◆Mohammed A. Shayib, Prairie View A&M University; Aliakbar Montazer Haghighi, Prairie View A&M University 9:05 a.m. Coordinate Descent Algorithms for Nonconvex Penalized Regression Methods—◆Patrick Breheny, The University of Iowa; Jian Huang, The University of Iowa 9:20 a.m. Estimation of the Proportion of Exponential Signals—◆Deepak Ayyala, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Junyong Park, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Anindya Roy, University of Maryland, Baltimore County 9:35 a.m. Estimating the Continuous Mixing Distribution by Cross-Validation in Mixture Models—◆Ji-Ping Wang, Northwestern University 9:50 a.m. On the Use of K-Fold Cross-Validation to Choose Cutoff Values and Assess the Performance of Predictive Models in Stepwise Regression— ◆Salahuddin Khan, University of Peshawar 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 9:50 a.m. 10:05 a.m. Random Lasso—◆Sijian Wang, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Bin Nan, University of Michigan; Saharon Rosset, Tel Aviv University; Ji Zhu, University of Michigan Variable Selection for the Varying Coefficient Cox Model—◆Lifeng Wang, Michigan State University; Hongzhe Li, University of Pennsylvania; Jianhua Huang, Texas A&M University 563 Teaching and Technology—Contributed CC-210 8:35 a.m. Expect More, Get More: Joys of Teaching Online— ◆Olcay Akman, Illinois State University 8:50 a.m. Searching Our Collective Consciousness: A Google Trends Activity for Introductory Statistics—◆Eric Nordmoe, Kalamazoo College CC-205 Sparsity and Shrinkage in Modern Statistical Modeling—Contributed Washington, DC Thursday Section on Statistical Education Chair(s): Kellie Keeling, University of Denver 564 235 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 565 Advanced Topics—Contributed CC-148 Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences, Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): Elizabeth Martínez-Gómez, National Autonomous University of Mexico 8:35 a.m. Numerical Algorithm-Based Estimation Methods for ODE Models—◆Arun Kumar, University of Rochester; Hulin Wu, University of Rochester; Hongqi Xue, Rochester University 8:50 a.m. Optimal Block Designs for Correlated Observations—◆Nizam Uddin, University of Central Florida 9:05 a.m. A Robust Nonlinear Method for Spectral Analysis— ◆Ta-Hsin Li, IBM T. J. Watson Research Center 9:20 a.m. Statistical Response of Chaotic Networks to Structured Noise—◆Morris H. Morgan, Hampton University; Carolyn B. Morgan, Hampton University 9:35 a.m. The Optimum Combination of Full System and Subsystem Tests for Estimating the Reliability of a System—◆Coire J. Maranzano, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory; James C. Spall, Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory 9:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 566 Empirical Likelihood—Contributed CC-141 9:50 a.m. Coherence Analysis of EEG Signals: A Nonparametric Likelihood Approach— ◆Suddhasatta Acharyya, Novartis Pharmaceuticals; Hernando Ombao, Brown University 10:05 a.m. Assessing Time-Changing Hurst Exponent and Variance in Multifractional Brownian Motion— ◆Kichun S. Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology; Brani Vidakovic, Georgia Tech/Emory University 567 ■ ✪ Policy-Impacting Contributed Section on Government Statistics, Social Statistics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Iris Shimizu, National Center for Health Statistics 8:35 a.m. A Three-Phase Model of Census Inclusion— ◆Douglas Olson, U.S. Census Bureau 8:50 a.m. Assessing the Effects of Imputation on Income Estimates in the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey: Comparison with the Current Population Survey—◆William D. Passero, Bureau of Labor Statistics 9:20 a.m. The Impact of Allocations as a Tool for Statistical Editing of Corporate Taxpayer Administrative Records—◆Marty Harris, IRS, Statistics of Income 9:35 a.m. Propensity Scoring: An IRS Case Study in Determining the Relationship Between Bank Products and Noncompliance—◆Karen C. Masken, IRS; Mark Mazur, IRS; Joanne Meikle, IRS; Roy Nord, IRS 9:50 a.m. Trends in Early Childhood Vaccination Coverage: Progress Toward U.S. Healthy People 2010 Goals— ◆Zhen Zhao, CDC; Philip J. Smith, CDC; Elizabeth T. Luman, CDC 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): R. Webster West, Texas A&M University 8:35 a.m. Bivariate Models with Partially Known Marginals: An Empirical Likelihood Approach with Infinitely Many Constraints—◆Anton Schick, Binghamton University; Hanxiang Peng, Indiana University Purdue University Indianapolis 8:50 a.m. Bayesian Empirical Likelihood for Quantile Regression—◆Yunwen Yang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 9:05 a.m. Entropy-Based Empirical Likelihood Ratio Change Point Detection Policies—◆Albert Vexler, New York State University at Buffalo; Gregory Gurevich, Sami Shamoon College 9:20 a.m. An Empirical Likelihood--Based Method for Comparison of Treatment Effects: Test of Equality of Coefficients in Linear Models—◆Haiyan Su, University of Rochester; Hua Liang, University of Rochester 9:35 a.m. Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Probability Density Function and Hazard Function—◆Ilya Shvartsman, Penn State University Harrisburg 236 JSM 2009 CC-150B Estimation Issues— 568 Causal Inference—Contributed CC-203B Biometrics Section Chair(s): Jing Cheng, University of Florida 8:35 a.m. Entire Matching and Its Application in an Observational Study of Treatments for Melanoma— ◆Frank B. Yoon, University of Pennsylvania; Paul R. Rosenbaum, University of Pennsylvania 8:50 a.m. A General Approach to Causal Mediation Analysis— ◆Kosuke Imai, Princeton University; Luke Keele, The Ohio State University; Dustin Tingley, Princeton University GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Extending Propensity Score Subclassification Approach for Causal Effect Estimation Allowing Covariate Measurement Error—◆Yi Huang, University of Maryland, Baltimore County; Karen Bandeen-Roche, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health 570 9:20 a.m. Generalized Causal Mediation Analysis—◆Jeffrey M. Albert, Case Western Reserve University 8:35 a.m. An Analysis of Segmented Ratios—◆William D. Heavlin, Google, Inc. 9:35 a.m. Free-Living Inferential Glucose Dynamic Modeling Using Only Noninvasive Input—◆Derrick Rollins, Iowa State University; Lucas Beverlin, Iowa State University; Nisarg Vyas, BodyMedia, Inc.; Gregory Welk, Iowa State University; Warren Franke, Iowa State University 8:50 a.m. Just a Few More Moments: The g-and-h Distribution—◆James B. McDonald, Brigham Young University; Patrick Turley, Brigham Young University 9:05 a.m. Toward Learning Similarity Measures for Uncertain Features—◆Ming Xie, IBM China Research Laboratory; Bin Zhang, IBM China Research Laboratory; Li Xia, IBM China Research Laboratory; Jin Yan Shao, IBM China Research Laboratory; Wenjun Yin, IBM; Jin Dong, IBM China Research Laboratory 9:20 a.m. Temporal Aggregation of Long Memory Processes and ARFIMA Approximations—◆Ka S. Man, Western Illinois University 9:35 a.m. Testing the Equivalence of Means from a Multivariate Normal Population and Its Application to Investment—◆Hubert J. Chen, National ChengKung University; Yen-Chi Huang, National ChengKung University; Minglong A. Wang, National Cheng-Kung University 9:50 a.m. Computational Methods for Production-Based Asset Pricing Models—◆Eric M. Aldrich, Duke University; Howard Kung, Duke University 10:05 a.m. On the Optimal Degree of Smoothness for a Hodrick Prescott Filter—◆Munir Jalil, Universidad Nacional de Colombia; Javier Acosta, Universidad Nacional de Colombia 9:05 a.m. 9:50 a.m. Identify Qualitative Interaction Through Value of Information—◆Peng Zhang, University of Michigan; James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health; Susan Murphy, University of Michigan 10:05 a.m. Effect Modification of Prenatal Mercury Exposure Association with Developmental Outcomes by Social and Environmental Factors—◆Tanzy Love, Carnegie Mellon University; Sally W. Thurston, University of Rochester 569 Biometrics Section, Section on Survey Research Methods Chair(s): Tao Liu, Brown University 8:35 a.m. A Random Pattern Mixture Model for Longitudinal Binary Outcome with Informative Dropouts— ◆Chengcheng Liu, Merck & Co., Inc.; Wensheng Guo, University of Pennsylvania; Sarah Ratcliffe, University of Pennsylvania 8:50 a.m. Outfluence: The Impact of Missing Values— ◆Ofer Harel, University of Connecticut 9:20 a.m. 9:35 a.m. Multiple Imputation in Right-Truncated Multivariate Normal Distribution, with Applications to RT-PCR— ◆Abhijit Dasgupta, Thomas Jefferson University; Terry Hysolp, Thomas Jefferson University; Scott Waldman, Thomas Jefferson University Robust Variable and Model Selection with Missing Data—◆Greg DiRienzo, State University of New York at Albany Floor Discussion 571 ■ ✪ Improvements CC-159B in Sample Design for Government-Sponsored Surveys—Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods, Section on Government Statistics Chair(s): Sarjinder Singh, Texas A&M University-Kingsville 8:35 a.m. Achieving the Unique Objectives of the Canadian Health Measures Survey—◆Sarah-Maude Dion, Statistics Canada; Suzelle Giroux, Statistics Canada 8:50 a.m. Sample Redesign of Canadian Local Government Surveys—◆James Ahkong, Statistics Canada; Martin Renaud, Statistics Canada 9:05 a.m. Reducing the Public Employment Survey Sample Size—◆Joseph Barth, U.S. Census Bureau 9:20 a.m. National Sample Reallocation for the Occupational Employment Statistics Survey—◆David Piccone, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Marie Stetser, Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, DC 237 Thursday 9:50 a.m. Multiple Imputation for Drop-Out in Longitudinal Studies—Xiaodong Li, Columbia University; ◆Jingchen Liu, Columbia University; Naihua Duan, Columbia University; Huiping Jiang, Columbia University; Jeffrey Lieberman, Columbia University; Ragy Girgis, Columbia University CC-153 Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Marco A.R. Ferreira, University of Missouri-Columbia CC-208A Microarray Analysis and Missing Data— Contributed 9:05 a.m. Statistical Methods—Contributed GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 9:35 a.m. Evaluation of Methods for Increasing Precision in DAWN: Stratification and Ratio Estimation— ◆Peter Frechtel, RTI International 9:50 a.m. Progress on the Redesign of the Quarterly Tax Survey—◆Amy Couzens, U.S. Census Bureau; Carma Hogue, U.S. Census Bureau; Paul Villena, U.S. Census Bureau 10:05 a.m. Exploring Statistical Issues of Annual Sampling for the Current Population Survey—◆Benjamin M. Reist, U.S. Census Bureau; Antoinette Lubich, U.S. Census Bureau; Reid Rottach, U.S. Census Bureau 572 ■ Invited Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 573 ■ ✪ Nonparametric Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Daniell Toth, Bureau of Labor Statistics Chair(s): John L. Eltinge, Bureau of Labor Statistics 10:35 a.m. Nonparametric Regression Estimators in Survey Sampling—◆Sharon Lohr, Arizona State University; Guillermo Mendez, American Express 11:00 a.m. Penalized Balanced Sampling: Nonparametric Guidance for Survey Design—◆Jay Breidt, Colorado State University; Guillaume Chauvet, National Institute for Statistics and Economic Studies CC-208B Microarray and Genomics—Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): Shiowjen Lee, FDA CC-102B Regression Estimators in Survey Sampling—Invited 8:35 a.m. A Rank Approach to Identify Outlier Tissue— ◆Dung-Tsa Chen, Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute; Lin-An Chen, National Chiao-Tung University 11:25 a.m. Nonparametric Regression and the Two Sample Problem—◆Alan H. Dorfman, Bureau of Labor Statistics 8:50 a.m. A Cluster Binomial Model for Resistance-Mutations Detectable in Clonal Sequencing Analysis— ◆Jianliang Zhang, MedImmune, LLC 11:50 a.m. Disc: Jean Opsomer, Colorado State University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 9:05 a.m. Deforestation of a Random Forest—◆Matthew Mitchell, Metabolon, Inc. 9:20 a.m. Determination of Sample Size for Validation Study in Pharmacogenomics—◆Youlan Rao, The Ohio State University; Yoonkyung Lee, The Ohio State University; Jason Hsu, The Ohio State University 9:35 a.m. Robust Test for Time-Course Microarray Data— ◆Insuk Sohn, Duke University; Kouros Owzar, Duke University; Stephen L. George, Duke University Medical Center; Sin-Ho Jung, Duke University 9:50 a.m. Time Course Analysis of Microarray Data for the Pathway of Reproductive Development in Female Rainbow Trout—◆Yushi Liu, The Ohio State University; Joseph S. Verducci, The Ohio State University 10:05 a.m. Floor Discussion 238 JSM 2009 574 CC-150A Statistical Issues and the Second Code of Life: Epigenomics—Invited ■ Biometrics Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Rebecca W. Doerge, Purdue University; Jaya Satagopan, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center Chair(s): Rebecca W. Doerge, Purdue University 10:35 a.m. Epigenetic Natural Variation in Arabidopsis Thaliana—◆Robert A. Martienssen, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory 11:00 a.m. Statistical Issues Surrounding Testing for Epigenomic Alterations—◆Hongmei Jiang, Northwestern University 11:25 a.m. Whole Genome DNA Methylation Studies: Prioritization of Candidate Loci—◆Melissa J. Fazzari, Albert Einstein College of Medicine 11:50 a.m. Inferring the Past: How Did Your Cancer Grow?— ◆Kimberly Siegmund, University of Southern California; Paul Marjoram, University of Southern California; Darryl Shibata, University of Southern California 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 575 CC-207B 577 Who Is Teaching the Statistics Courses?— Invited ■ Section on Statistical Education Organizer(s): Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University Chair(s): Katherine T. Halvorson, Smith College 10:35 a.m. 11:00 a.m. A National Survey on Teaching Practices in Undergraduate Statistics Instruction—◆Robert delMas, The University of Minnesota; Joan B. Garfield, The University of Minnesota; Andrew Zieffler, The University of Minnesota An Inventory of (Bio)statistics Courses at an Academic Health Science Center: Is Duplication Really Necessary?—◆Adriana Perez, University of Louisville; Mourad Atlas, University of Louisville; Carl A. Hornung, University of Louisville 11:25 a.m. Who Is Teaching the Statistics Courses?— ◆Aaron Satterlee, Northwood University 11:50 a.m. Duplication in Graduate-Level Courses in Statistics—◆Peter Westfall, Texas Tech University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 576 ■ ✪ Collaborative CC-207A and Value-Creating Processes for Statistical Computing: Transforming Data Evidence Into Successful Policies, Decisions, and Actions—Invited Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Organizer(s): Arnold Goodman, Collaborative Data Solutions Chair(s): Necip Doganaksoy, GE Global Research 10:35 a.m. Collaborative and Value-Creating Processes for Statistical Computing—◆Arnold Goodman, Collaborative Data Solutions 10:55 a.m. Model Misspecification versus Problem Misspecification—◆David J. Hand, Imperial College 11:15 a.m. An Essential Aspect of the Climb from Competition to Collaboration: The Relationships Among the Climbers—◆Doug Zahn, Zahn and Associates 11:35 a.m. The Evolving Role of Statistics in Business and Industry—◆Necip Doganaksoy, GE Global Research; ◆Gerald Hahn, GE Corporate Research and Development Center, Retired 11:55 a.m. Disc: Janet Myhre, Claremont McKenna College 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-150B Extending the Marginal Structural Model— Invited ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Organizer(s): Stephen R. Cole, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Stephen R. Cole, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 10:35 a.m. Survival Analysis with Dynamic Marginal Structural Models—◆Miguel A. Hernan, Harvard School of Public Health 11:00 a.m. Estimation of Dynamic Treatment Regimes and Extrapolation to Populations with Distinct Monitoring Structures: The Use of Laboratory Monitoring to Detect HIV Treatment Failure— ◆Maya L. Petersen, University of California, Berkeley 11:25 a.m. Extending Marginal Structural Models to Surrogate Outcomes—◆Marshall Joffe, University of Pennsylvania 11:50 a.m. Disc: James Robins, Harvard School of Public Health 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 578 CC-155 ■ ✪ Measuring Financial and Real Sector Linkages—Invited Business and Economic Statistics Section Organizer(s): Kim Zieschang, International Monetary Fund Chair(s): Kim Zieschang, International Monetary Fund 10:35 a.m. The End of the Great Moderation? How Better Monetary Statistics Could Have Signaled the Systemic Risk Precipitating the Financial Crisis— ◆William A. Barnett, The University of Kansas; Marcelle Chauvet, University of California, Riverside 11:05 a.m. Computing Real Bank Services—◆Dennis Fixler, Bureau of Economic Analysis; Marshall B. Reinsdorf, Bureau of Economic Analysis 11:35 a.m. Measurement Error in Monetary Aggregates: A Markov Switching Factor Approach—William A. Barnett, The University of Kansas; ◆Marcelle Chauvet, University of California, Riverside; Tierney Heather, College of Charleston 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion Thursday Washington, DC 239 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 579 CC-102A 581 ■ ✪ Using CC-143C National Center for Health Statistics Data to Study Access to Health Care—Invited Studies in the Area of Dynamic Treatment Regimes—Invited Section on Health Policy Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Jane F. Gentleman, National Center for Health Statistics Chair(s): Jane F. Gentleman, National Center for Health Statistics ENAR, Biometrics Section, Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Qi Long, Emory University Chair(s): Brent Johnson, Emory University 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. 11:35 a.m. Using the National Health Interview Survey to Monitor Health Insurance and Access to Care— ◆Robin A. Cohen, National Center for Health Statistics Access to Care and Objective Measures of Health: Results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES)—◆Vicki L. Burt, National Center for Health Statistics; Lester R. Curtin, CDC; Clifford Johnson, National Center for Health Statistics; Cindy Zhang, Harris Associates Health care access data for children and adolescents from the National Survey of Children with Special Health Care Needs and the National Survey of Children’s Health—◆Rosa Avila, National Center for Health Statistics Using the National Health Care Surveys to Monitor Use and Access to Health Care—◆Nancy Sonnenfeld, National Center for Health Statistics; Sandra L. Decker, National Center for Health Statistics 11:55 a.m. Disc: Diane M. Makuc, National Center for Health Statistics 12:15 a.m. Floor Discussion 580 CC-201 Best of Statistics Surveys: The Open Access Journal for Review Articles—Invited ASA Special Interest Group on Statistical Learning and Data Mining, International Indian Statistical Association Organizer(s): Wendy Martinez, U.S. Department of Defense Chair(s): Jon A. Wellner, University of Washington 10:35 a.m. Navigating Random Forests and Related Algorithms—◆David S. Siroky, Duke University 11:00 a.m. Text Data Mining: Theory and Methods—◆Jeffrey L. Solka, Naval Surface Warfare Center 11:25 a.m. Least Angle and L1 Penalized Regression: A Review—◆Tim Hesterberg, Google, Inc.; Nam Hee Choi, University of Michigan; Lukas Meier, ETH; Chris Fraley, Insilicos 11:50 a.m. Disc: Edward J. Wegman, George Mason University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 240 JSM 2009 ■ ✪ Case 10:35 a.m. Structural Nested Mean Modeling of ResponseMaximized Breastfeeding Strategies—Erica E.M. Moodie, McGill University; ◆Susan Shortreed, McGill University 11:00 a.m. Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Individualized Treatment Rule Effects—◆Kelly Moore, University of California, Berkeley; Mark J. van der Laan, University of California, Berkeley; Ira Tager, University of California, Berkeley; Romain Neugebauer, University of California, Berkeley 11:25 a.m. Dynamic Treatment Regimes in Leukemia Treatment—◆Abdus S. Wahed, University of Pittsburgh 11:50 a.m. Disc: Andrea Rotnitzky, Universidad Di Tella and Harvard University 12:10 p.m. Floor Discussion 582 Bayesian Methods—Invited CC-202B IMS, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Mario Peruggia, The Ohio State University Chair(s): Mario Peruggia, The Ohio State University 10:35 a.m. Aggregation Modeling—◆Steven N. MacEachern, The Ohio State University; Zhen Wang, The Ohio State University 11:05 a.m. A Clusterwise Approach for Heterogeneous Variable Selection—◆Feng Liang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 11:35 a.m. Nonlocal Prior Densities for Default Bayesian Hypothesis Tests—◆Valen E. Johnson, The University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center; David Rossell, IRB Barcelona 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 583 Wald Lecture III—Invited CC-202A IMS Organizer(s): Michael Kosorok, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Chair(s): Peihua Qiu, The University of Minnesota 10:35 a.m. Predictive Learning via Rule Ensembles— ◆Jerome H. Friedman, Stanford University 12:00 p.m. Floor Discussion GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel Invited Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 586 584 CC-101 ■ ✪ The Federal Statistical System: Opportunities and Challenges for the Next 5–10 Years—Invited The National Academies, Section on Survey Research Methods, Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics Organizer(s): Constance F. Citro, The National Academies Chair(s): William F. Eddy, Carnegie Mellon University Panelists: ◆Cynthia Clark, National Agriculture Statistics Service ◆Hermann Habermann, Consultant ◆Nancy Kirkendall, Consultant ◆Katherine Wallman, Office of Management and Budget 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Topic-Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 585 CC-143A ■ ✪ The Guatemalan Police Archive Project: Sample Design, Weighting, and Analysis— Topic-Contributed Social Statistics Section, Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Paul Zador, Westat, Inc. Chair(s): Paul Zador, Westat, Inc. 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. Studying Millions of Rescued Documents: Sampling Plan at the Guatemalan National Police Archive (GNPA)—◆Daniel R. Guzmán, Benetech; Tamy Guberek, Benetech; Gary M. Shapiro, Westat, Inc.; Paul Zador, Westat, Inc. Weighting for the Guatemalan National Police Archive Sample: Unusual Challenges and Problems—◆Gary M. Shapiro, Westat, Inc.; Daniel Guzman, Benetech; Paul Zador, Westat, Inc.; Tamy Guberek, Benetech 11:35 a.m. Disc: Patrick Ball, The Benetech Initiative 11:55 a.m. Disc: Hyunshik Lee, Westat, Inc. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion International Chinese Statistical Association Organizer(s): Gang Zheng, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Chair(s): Reza Modarres, The George Washington University 10:35 a.m. Pitman Closeness of Estimators and Predictors for Exponential Distribution—◆Katherine Davies, University of Manitoba; Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University; Jerome P. Keating, The University of Texas at San Antonio 10:55 a.m. Statistical Analysis of Adaptive Progressively Censored Data—◆Hon Keung (Tony) Ng, Southern Methodist University; Debasis Kundu, Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur; Ping Shing Chan, Chinese University of Hong Kong 11:15 a.m. Parametic Inference in Ranked Set Sampling Based on a Missing Data Model—◆Omer Ozturk, The Ohio State University 11:35 a.m. A Multivariate Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test Based on the Triangle Data Depth—◆Zhenyu Liu, The George Washington University 11:55 a.m. A Very Flexible Hybrid Censoring Scheme and Its Fisher Information—◆Sangun Park, Yonsei University; Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan, McMaster University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 587 CC-149B Methods, Computing, and Application of Copulas—Topic-Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section, SSC Organizer(s): Jun Yan, University of Connecticut Chair(s): Jun Yan, University of Connecticut 10:35 a.m. Properties and Uses of the Empirical Copula Process—◆Christian Genest, Université Laval 10:55 a.m. Copula-Based Tests of Independence Among Continuous Random Vectors—◆Ivan Kojadinovic, The University of Auckland 11:15 a.m. Archimedean Copulas and Beyond—◆Johanna Neslehova, ETH Zurich 11:35 a.m. Local Power Analyses of Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Copulas—◆Jean-Francois Quessy, Universite du Quebec a Trois-Rivieres 11:55 a.m. Hierarchical Insurance Claims Modeling— ◆Emiliano A. Valdez, University of Connecticut; Edward W. Frees, University of Wisconsin-Madison 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Washington, DC 241 Thursday Analyzing Command and Control of the Guatemalan National Police Leadership Over Human Rights Violations: A Statistical Analysis of the National Police Archive—◆Megan Price, Benetech; Daniel Guzman, Benetech; Paul Zador, Westat, Inc.; Gary M. Shapiro, Westat, Inc.; Tamy Guberek, Benetech CC-142 Recent Advances in Statistical Inference Using Order Statistics—Topic-Contributed GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 588 CC-204A 11:35 a.m. Developing an Independent Research Program on a Limited Budget and with Limited Time: Some Ideas for Biostatisticians—◆Justine Shults, University of Pennsylvania; Richard F. Ittenbach, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Todd G. Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Section on Government Statistics, Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): J. Neil Russell, National Center for Education Statistics Chair(s): J. Neil Russell, National Center for Education Statistics 11:55 a.m. Disc: Sarah Ratcliffe, University of Pennsylvania 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ✪ Data User Experience: Working with Data Protected by Synthetic Methods: Moving from Theory to Practice: Synthetic Data in the Public Domain—Topic-Contributed 10:35 a.m. Partial Synthesis of the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Database— ◆Simon Woodcock, Simon Fraser University; Gary Benedetto, U.S. Census Bureau 10:55 a.m. The Synthetic Public-Use Release of the Longitudinal Business Database—◆Satkartar Kinney, National Institute of Statistical Sciences; Jerome Reiter, Duke University; Ron Jarmin, U.S. Census Bureau; Arnold Reznek, U.S. Census Bureau; Javier Miranda, U.S. Census Bureau; John M. Abowd, Cornell University 11:15 a.m. Generating Multiply Imputed Synthetic Data Sets for a German Establishment Survey: The Agency’s Perspective—◆Joerg Drechsler, Institute for Employment Research 11:35 a.m. Improving the Usefulness of Synthetic Data: Some Recent Advances—◆Jerome Reiter, Duke University 11:55 a.m. Disc: Jack Buckley, New York University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 589 Statistical Consulting with Limited Resources—Topic-Contributed CC-159A 590 ■ ✪ Statistics at West Point: No Lies— Topic-Contributed Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security Organizer(s): Adam Wright, U.S. Military Academy at West Point Chair(s): Howard Burkom, Johns Hopkins applied Physics Laboratory 10:35 a.m. Periodic Spatio-Temporal Improvised Explosive Device Attack Pattern Analysis—◆Matthew Benigni, U.S. Military Academy; Reinhard Furrer, Colorado School of Mines 10:55 a.m. Using Variable Screening and Logistic Regression to Determine the Impact of Friendly Activity on Improvised Explosive Device Incidents—◆Darryl Ahner, U.S. Military Academy 11:15 a.m. Epidemiological Studies in the Military—◆Rodney Sturdivant, U.S. Military Academy; Robert Burks, U.S. Military Academy; Brett Owens, William Beaumont Army Medical Center; Jennifer Wolf, University of Colorado Denver; Ken Cameron, Keller Army Hospital 11:35 a.m. Analysis of Refractive Surgery Data from a Young and Extremely Healthy Population—◆Vaughn DeLong, U.S. Military Academy; Scott T. Nestler, U.S. Military Academy at West Point; Chris Grauel, U.S. Military Academy 11:55 a.m. Small Arms Effective Life Studies—◆Matthew Benigni, U.S. Military Academy; Scott T. Nestler, U.S. Military Academy at West Point; Dana Gingrich, U.S. Military Academy; Gary Kramlich, U.S. Army 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion ■ Section on Statistical Consulting Organizer(s): Richard F. Ittenbach, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center Chair(s): Mi-Ok Kim, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center 10:35 a.m. 10:55 a.m. 11:15 a.m. 242 Scale Development on a Limited Budget: Guidelines for Statisticians—◆Richard F. Ittenbach, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Amy E. Cassedy, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Todd G. Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Justine Shults, University of Pennsylvania Creative Problem Solving in Statistical Consulting with Limited Time and a Limited Budget—◆Mark Glickman, Boston University School of Public Health Grant Proposal Development Assistance on a Limited Budget: Guidelines for Statisticians— ◆Todd G. Nick, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center; Ralph G. O’Brien, Case Western Reserve University JSM 2009 CC-206 591 CC-144C Bayesian Approaches in Clinical Trials: Regulatory Perspectives—Topic-Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section, Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Tie-Hua Ng, FDA Chair(s): Henry Hsu, FDA 10:35 a.m. Safety Evaluation of Factor VIII Products: Bayesian Approaches—◆Ghanshyam Gupta, FDA GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 10:55 a.m. Bayesian Approaches: Basic Concepts— ◆Tie-Hua Ng, FDA 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Analyses of Binary Outcomes— ◆Chunrong Cheng, FDA; Tie-Hua Ng, FDA 11:35 a.m. Bayesian Methods in Lot Release—◆Yunling Xu, FDA; Boguang Zhen, FDA 11:55 a.m. Bayesian vs. Frequentist Hypotheses Testing in Clinical Trials with Dichotomous and Countable Outcomes—◆Boris G. Zaslavsky, FDA 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 592 CC-144B 10:55 a.m. Understanding the Size of p-Values—◆Scotland Leman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 11:15 a.m. Multi-Scale Spatial Inference of Pollutant Concentrations—◆Dawn Woodard, Cornell University 11:35 a.m. What Scientists Really Want to Know—◆Eric Vance, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Scotland Leman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Leanna House, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 11:55 a.m. Inverse Bayes—◆Golde I. Holtzman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Statistical Topics in the Study of Medical Devices—Topic-Contributed Biopharmaceutical Section Organizer(s): Heng Li, FDA Chair(s): Heng Li, FDA 594 ■ ✪ Modern Statistical Approaches to Phylogenetics—Topic-Contributed 10:35 a.m. A Unified Approach in Data Analysis After Sample Size Is Increased in Adaptive Design Trial— ◆Yonghong Gao, FDA 10:55 a.m. Analysis of Gender Differences in a Medical Device Trial That Was Not Constructed for Gender Comparisons—◆David C. Naftel, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Margaret T. Foushee, The University of Alabama at Birmingham; Susan L. Myers, The University of Alabama at Birmingham 11:15 a.m. CC-204C Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Jennifer Tom, University of California, Los Angeles Chair(s): Marc A. Suchard, University of California, Los Angeles 10:35 a.m. Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling Using an Iterative Reweighting Algorithm Within Gibbs: An Analysis of Individual Posterior Distributions of Phylogenetic Influenza Data—◆Jennifer Tom, University of California, Los Angeles Comparing Statistical Approaches in Analysis of Clinical Trial Data with Patient Crossover— ◆Tailiang Xie, Brightech International 10:55 a.m. Modeling Indel Hot Spots When Inferring Alignments—◆Benjamin D. Redelings, North Carolina State University 11:35 a.m. Demonstrating Treatment Effect Using a Bootstrap Simulation—◆Xiaolong Shih, Boston Scientific Corporation 11:15 a.m. Bayesian Estimation of Parameters Along a Species Phylogeny Subject to Hybridization and Coalescence—◆Chen Meng, Monsanto Company 11:55 a.m. Some Comments and Recommendations on Interim Data Review of Data from Medical Device Studies— ◆Dennis W. King, STATKING Consulting, Inc. 11:35 a.m. 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Phyloclustering: New Phylogenetic Methods for Inferring Population Structure—◆Karin S. Dorman, Iowa State University; Ranjan Maitra, Iowa State University; Wei-Chen Chen, Iowa State University 11:55 a.m. Assessing Selective Influence of Amino Acid Properties—◆Saheli Datta, University of California, Santa Cruz; Raquel Prado, University of California, Santa Cruz; Abel Rodriguez, University of California, Santa Cruz 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 593 CC-204B ■ ✪ Bayesian Philosophies and Practicalities— Topic-Contributed 10:35 a.m. Thursday Section on Bayesian Statistical Science Organizer(s): Scotland Leman, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University Chair(s): Gavino Puggioni, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill An Application of Reification for a Rainfall-Runoff Computer Model—◆Leanna House, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Ian Vernon, University of Durham; Allan Seheult, University of Durham Washington, DC 243 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 595 CC-203A Inference in Nonstandard Problems—TopicContributed Section on Nonparametric Statistics Organizer(s): Bodhisattva Sen, Columbia University Chair(s): Bodhisattva Sen, Columbia University 597 A Two-Stage Hybrid Procedure for Estimating an Inverse Regression Function—◆Runlong Tang, University of Michigan; Moulinath Banerjee, University of Michigan; George Michailidis, University of Michigan 10:55 a.m. Bootstrapping Lasso Estimators—◆Arindam Chatterjee, Texas A&M University 11:15 a.m. Inference in Nonparametric Shape-Restricted Problems—◆Emilio Seijo, Columbia University 11:35 a.m. General Semiparametric Inference via Bootstrap Sampling—◆Guang Cheng, Purdue University 11:55 a.m. Disc: Bikramjit Das, Cornell University 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion CC-141 ■ ✪ Overview of Methods to Improve Quality in Petroleum Data—Topic-Contributed Section on Survey Research Methods Organizer(s): Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration Chair(s): James Knaub, Energy Information Administration 10:35 a.m. The Changing Petroleum Marketing Industry as Viewed Through an Attribute Frame—◆Amerine Woodyard, Energy Information Administration; Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration 10:55 a.m. Improvement of Data Quality Assurance in the EIA Weekly Gasoline Prices Survey—◆Bin Zhang, Energy Information Administration; Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration; Amerine Woodyard, Energy Information Administration; Benita O’Colmain, ICF Macro 11:15 a.m. Improving the Edits in Petroleum Supply Surveys— ◆Jason D. Marley, SAIC; Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration; Julie Harris, Energy Information Administration 11:35 a.m. An Improved Imputation Methodology Derived Through Regression Trees—◆Pedro J. Saavedra, ICF Macro; Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration; Benita O’Colmain, ICF Macro; Jeffrey Foarde, ICF Macro 11:55 a.m. Disc: Paula Mason, Energy Information Administration 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion 244 JSM 2009 CC-149A What Can I Do with an Undergraduate Degree in Statistics?—Topic-Contributed ■ 10:35 a.m. 596 Topic-Contributed Panels 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. ASA-MAA Joint Committee on Undergraduate Statistics, Section on Statistics in Defense and National Security, Social Statistics Section Organizer(s): Robin H. Lock, St. Lawrence University Chair(s): Robin H. Lock, St. Lawrence University Panelists: ◆Carol J. Blumberg, U.S. Department of Energy ◆Deanna Egelston, National Security Agency ◆Brian Bot, Mayo Clinic 12:15 p.m. Floor Discussion Contributed Sessions 10:30 a.m.–12:20 p.m. 598 CC-158A Topics in Quality and Productivity—Contributed Section on Quality and Productivity Chair(s): William F. Guthrie, National Institute of Standards and Technology 10:35 a.m. Virtual Prototyping in Marketing Research— ◆Norbert Wirth, MarketTools; Frank Hedler, MarketTools; Dimitri Liakhovitski, MarketTools 10:50 a.m. Estimating Tradeoff Exchange Rate in Conjoint Analysis: An Application of Fieller’s Theorem— ◆Pallavi Chitturi, Temple University; Ravi Chitturi, Lehigh University; Damaraju Raghavarao, Temple University 11:05 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation in Ranked Set Sampling with a Concomitant—◆Nader M. Gemayel, The Ohio State University; Doug Wolfe, The Ohio State University; Elizabeth Stasny, The Ohio State University 11:20 a.m. Adaptive Break Detection and Combining: Application to Electricity Load Forecast— ◆Yannig Goude, EDF 11:35 a.m. Stochastic Production Line Model of Multiple Workstations and Buffers with Continuous Materials Flow—◆Mohammad Quasem, Howard University 11:50 a.m. Developing a Sampling Plan Based on Cpk—◆Itay Negrin, Ben Gurion University of the Negev; Yisrael Parmet, Ben Gurion University of the Negev; Edna Schechtman, Ben Gurion University of the Negev GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 12:05 p.m. 10:50 a.m. Multi-City Time Series Analyses of Air Pollution and Mortality Data Using Generalized Geoadditive Mixed Models—◆Lung-Chang Chien, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Shrikant Bangdiwala, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Jiu-Chiuan Chen, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; Mark Weaver, Family Health International; Todd Schwartz, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; John S. Preisser, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 11:05 a.m. Adjustment for the Measurement Error in Evaluating Biomarkers—◆Wen Li, Iowa State University; Yongming Qu, Eli Lilly and Company Joint Variable Selection of Fixed and Random Effects in a Linear Mixed-Effects Model and Its Oracle Properties—◆Arun Krishna, North Carolina State University; Howard D. Bondell, North Carolina State University; Sujit Ghosh, North Carolina State University 11:20 a.m. Efficiency Impact of Proportional Hazards Assumption Violation—◆Amarjot Kaur, Merck & Co., Inc.; Yabing Mai, FDA A Likelihood Approach to Pooled Prevalence Estimation with Random Effects—◆Chengxing Lu, CDC; Mikyong Shin, CDC; Adolfo Correa, CDC 11:35 a.m. A Two-Stage Estimation Method for Random Coefficient Differential Equation Models with Application to Longitudinal HIV Dynamic Data— ◆Yun Fang, East China Normal University; Hulin Wu, University of Rochester; Li-Xing Zhu, Hong Kong Baptist University 11:50 a.m. GEMANOVA and Mixed Models—◆Heather M. Bush, University of Kentucky; William S. Rayens, University of Kentucky 12:05 p.m. Longitudinal Analysis of Intraclass Correlation Coefficients—Aiyi Liu, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development; Enrique Schisterman, National Institutes of Health; ◆Chunling Liu, The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development How to Be the Most Popular Statistician in Your Company: Affordable Quality Approaches to Guarantee Project Director and Client Satisfaction— ◆Larry N. Campbell, RTI International; Victoria Albright, RTI International 599 CC-144A Issues Related to Surrogate Endpoints, Biomarkers, and Survival Analysis—Contributed ■ Biopharmaceutical Section Chair(s): B. Christine Clark, ReSearch Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. 10:35 a.m. 10:50 a.m. 11:05 a.m. Effect of Predictive Performance of a Biomarker for the Sample Size of Targeted Clinical Trials— ◆Xiwu Lin, GlaxoSmithKline; Daniel Parks, GlaxoSmithKline; Kwan R. Lee, GlaxoSmithKline 11:20 a.m. An Assessment of Several Trial-Level Surrogacy Measures in the Meta-Analytical Framework of Evaluating Surrogate Endpoints in Clinical Trials— ◆Qian Shi, Mayo Clinic; Daniel Sargent, Mayo Clinic 11:35 a.m. Comparison of Vaccine Effects of LAIV and TIV on Pneumonia and Influenza-Related Medical Encounters—◆Jean A. Roayaei, National Institutes of Health 11:50 a.m. Statistical Application of Survival Analysis to Clinical Trials of Antiepileptic Drugs—◆Baldeo K. Taneja, Supernus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 601 CC-208A Modeling Seasonal Data in Environmental Studies—Contributed 600 Mixed Effects Models in Modern Epidemiologic Studies—Contributed CC-159B ■ Section on Statistics in Epidemiology Chair(s): Novie Younger, Tropical Medicine Research Institute, Jamaica 10:35 a.m. 10:35 a.m. Back-Fitting and Penalized Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares Algorithm in Generalized Additive Models—◆Long H. Ngo, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center/Harvard Medical School 10:50 a.m. Stochastic Modeling of Stream Flow Measurements in the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers—◆Jonathan F. Joseph, The Ohio State University; Haikady N. Nagaraja, The Ohio State University 11:05 a.m. Modeling Seasonal Effects in Radon Emissions Data—◆Órlaith Burke, University College Dublin; Stephanie Long, Radiological Protection Institute of Ireland; Patrick Murphy, University College Dublin; Catherine Organo, Radiological Protection Institute of Ireland; David Fenton, Radiological Protection Institute of Ireland Washington, DC 245 Thursday Modeling Menstrual Cycle Lengths at the Approach of Menopause Using Bayesian Change Point Models—◆Xiaobi Huang, University of Michigan; Michael Elliott, University of Michigan Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Jenise Swall, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:20 a.m. Statistical Analysis of Trend and Change Point in Vegetation—◆Nicolle Goble, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Dong-Yun Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Matthew Williams, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 11:35 a.m. An MDL Approach to the Climate Segmentation Problem—◆QiQi Lu, Mississippi State University 11:50 a.m. Testing for Changepoint in Time Series: A Comparative Study—◆Jennifer Kensler, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Dong-Yun Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 602 CC-210 Resampling and Random Number Generation— Contributed Section on Statistical Computing, Interface Foundation of North America Chair(s): Elizabeth L. Hohman, Naval Surface Warfare Center 10:35 a.m. An Accept-Reject Algorithm for the Positive Multivariate Normal Distribution—◆Carsten H. Botts, Williams College 10:50 a.m. Generating Bounded Accuracy Continuous Uniform Variates—◆Timothy G. Hall, PQI Consulting 11:05 a.m. Parallel Multivariate Slice Sampling—◆Matthew M. Tibbits, Penn State University; Murali Haran, Penn State University; John C. Liechty, Penn State University 11:20 a.m. Another Look at the Bootstrap: Resampling with Random Noises—◆Haiyan Bai, University of Central Florida 11:35 a.m. Spatial Bootstrap Method Using Pairs of Equidistant Points—◆Jose H. Guardiola, Texas A&M University; Hassan Elsalloukh, University of Arkansas at Little Rock 11:50 a.m. 12:05 p.m. 246 A Sieve Bootstrap Approach to Constructing Prediction Intervals for Long Memory Time Series— ◆Amjad Ali, University of Peshawar; Xiaofeng Shao, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign; Salahuddin Khan, University of Peshawar Resampling Methods for Queue Inference—◆Harry Ma, GE Global Research; Thomas Willemain, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute JSM 2009 603 ■ ✪ Censoring Contributed CC-143B and Selection in Regression— Section on Risk Analysis Chair(s): Jeremy R. Porter, Rice University 10:35 a.m. A Proportional Hazards Regression Model for the Subdistribution with Right-Censored and LeftTruncated Competing Risks Data—◆Xu Zhang, Georgia State University; Mei-Jie Zhang, Medical College of Wisconsin; Jason Fine, The University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill 10:50 a.m. Quantile Regression with Left-Truncated SemiCompeting Risks Data—◆Ruosha Li, Emory University; Limin Peng, Emory University 11:05 a.m. Variable Selection in Partial Linear Cox Model— ◆Pang Du, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Shuangge Ma, Yale University; Hua Liang, University of Rochester 11:20 a.m. Statistical Estimation for Generalized Exponential Distribution Under Progressive Type I Interval Censoring—◆Din Chen, South Dakota State University; Yuhlong Lio, University of South Dakota 11:35 a.m. Empirical Variance Estimation of the Buckley-James Estimator Under Continuous Assumptions— ◆Yishi Wang, The University of North Carolina at Wilmington; Cuixian Chen, The University of North Carolina at Wilmington 11:50 a.m. Analysis of Interval-Censored Data with Informative Cluster Size—◆Xinyan Zhang, University of Missouri; Jianguo Sun, University of Missouri 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion 604 CC-157 Reliability and Other Topics—Contributed Section on Quality and Productivity, Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences Chair(s): Kevin S. Robinson, Millersville University of Pennsylvania 10:35 a.m. Waiting Time in the Sequential Occupancy Problem—◆Tamar Gadrich, Ort Braude College; Rachel Ravid, Ort Braude College 10:50 a.m. Functional Regression Using the ‘fda’ Package in R—◆Spencer Graves, Productive Systems Engineering; Giles Hooker, Cornell University ; James O. Ramsay, McGill University 11:05 a.m. The Beta-Exponential Distribution: An Alternative to the Weibull Distribution—◆Jacinth A. Maynard, Lok Haven University of Pennsylvania 11:20 a.m. Bootstrap Integration of Multiple Measurement Sources with Applications to Inference on Extremes—◆Russell L. Zaretzki, The University of Tennessee GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 11:35 a.m. Optimal Goodness-of-Fit Tests for Recurrent Event Data—◆Russell Stocker, Mississippi State University 11:50 a.m. Floor Discussion 605 Dimension Reduction—Contributed Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Proportional Censorship Model with Covariates—◆Meggie Wen, Missouri University of Science and Technology 10:50 a.m. Optimal Dimension Reduction Based on Central Solution Space—◆Yuexiao Dong, Penn State University; Bing Li, Penn State University 11:05 a.m. Asymptotic Expansions for Dimension Reduction Methods with Application to Bias Correction— ◆Zhou Yu, East China Normal University; Bing Li, Penn State University; Li-Xing Zhu, Hong Kong Baptist University Sufficient Dimension Reduction for the Conditional Mean with a Categorical Predictor in Multivariate Regression—◆Jae Keun Yoo, University of Louisville 11:35 a.m. Sliced Inverse Regression in a Hilbert Space via Basis Approch—◆Haobo Ren, sanofi-aventis; Cathy Zhao, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 11:50 a.m. Over-Fitting Effects of Trimming and Statistical Applications—◆Eustasio del Barrio, Universidad de Valladolid 12:05 p.m. Floor Discussion ROC Analysis—Contributed 12:05 p.m. A Class of Generalized Nonparametric ROC Summary Statistics for Clustered Diagnostic Marker Data—◆Liansheng Tang, George Mason University 607 10:35 a.m. 606 Time-Dependent ROC Methods and Concordance Measures—◆Norberto Pantoja-Galicia, Harvard School of Public Health; Rebecca Betensky, Harvard School of Public Health CC-203B Section on Nonparametric Statistics Chair(s): Michael Longnecker, Texas A&M University 11:20 a.m. 11:50 a.m. FDR and Classification—Contributed Biometrics Section Chair(s): Renee Moore, University of Pennsylvania 10:35 a.m. Adjusting for Matched Samples in Discriminant Analysis of Schizophrenia Biomarkers for PostMortem Tissue Studies—◆Josephine Asafu-Adjei, University of Pittsburgh; Allan Sampson, University of Pittsburgh; Robert Sweet, University of Pittsburgh 10:50 a.m. Novel Estimators of the Number of True—Yi-Ting Hwang, National Taipei University; Shu-Yu Liao, National Taipei University; ◆Hsun-Chih Kuo, National Chengchi University 11:05 a.m. Optimal Nearest Shrunken Centroids Method for High-Dimensional Classification—◆Tiejun Tong, University of Colorado; Herbert Pang, Duke University 11:20 a.m. A General Framework for Multiple Testing Dependence—◆Jeffrey Leek, Johns Hopkins University; John Storey, Princeton University 11:35 a.m. Estimating the Cumulative Risk of a False-Positive Test in a Repeated Screening Program with Multiple Modalities—◆Jian-Lun Xu, National Cancer Institute; Richard M. Fagerstrom, National Cancer Institute; Philip C. Prorok, National Cancer Institute; Barnett S. Kramer, Office of Disease Prevention 11:50 a.m. Classification Analysis with a Twist: Identification of the Writership of Handwritten Documents by Pairwise Application of Linear Discriminant Analysis—◆John J. Miller, George Mason University; Amanda B. Hepler, George Mason University; Donald T. Gantz, George Mason University; Daniel B. Carr, George Mason University; Clifton Sutton, George Mason University; Robert Patterson, George Mason University 12:05 p.m. Pairwise Likelihood for Binary Data—◆Zi Jin, University of Toronto; Nancy Reid, University of Toronto CC-160 Biometrics Section Chair(s): Chengcheng Liu, Merck & Co., Inc. Semiparametric Inference for the Partial Area Under the ROC Curve—◆Gengsheng Qin, Georgia State University 10:50 a.m. Using Relative Utility Curves to Evaluate Risk Prediction—◆Stuart Baker, National Cancer Institute 11:05 a.m. Nonparametric Estimation of Time-Dependent Predictive Accuracy Curve—◆Paramita Saha, University of Washington; Patrick Heagerty, University of Washington 11:20 a.m. Nonparametric Empirical Likelihood Estimation of AUC and Partial AUC for Test-Result-Dependent Sampling Study—◆Ma Junling, Duke University Medical Center; Wang Xiaofei, Duke University Medical Center 11:35 a.m. Nonparametric Comparison of Multiple ROCs Using Polar Coordinates—◆Michael E. Schuckers, St. Lawrence University Thursday 10:35 a.m. CC-153 Washington, DC 247 GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 608 CC-208B 11:20 a.m. A Semiparametric Unified Approach for the Detection of Differential Gene Expression in Microarrays—◆Jan R. De Neve, Ghent University; Olivier Thas, Ghent University; Lieven Clement, Ghent University; Jean-Pierre Ottoy, Ghent University 11:35 a.m. Multiple Imputation for Microarray Missing Data— ◆Hui Xie, Tulane University; Leann Myers, Tulane University; Steven Smith, Pennington Biomedical Research Center 11:50 a.m. MDQC: A New Quality Assessment Method for Microarrays—◆Gabriela Cohen Freue, The University of British Columbia; Zsuzsanna Hollander, The James Hogg iCAPTURE Centre for Cardiovascular & Pulmonary Research; Raymond Ng, The University of British Columbia; Robert Balshaw, The University of British Columbia 12:05 p.m. Inverse Probability of Censoring Weighting and Regularized Estimation in AFT Models— ◆Mai Zhou, University of Kentucky; Liping Huang, University of Kentucky Miscellaneous Methodology III—Contributed IMS Chair(s): Anindya Bhadra, University of Michigan 10:35 a.m. Change-Point Analysis for Stochastic Systems with Poisson Inputs—◆Stergios B. Fotopoulos, Washington State University 10:50 a.m. Testing for a Changepoint in the Linear Hazard Rate Under Staggered Entry and Type I Censoring— ◆Matthew Williams, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Dong-Yun Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 11:05 a.m. An Asymptotic Test for a Changepoint in Densities of a General Class—◆Dong-Yun Kim, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 11:20 a.m. On a Unified Approach for Phase I Shewhart-Type Control Charts for Location—◆Schalk W. Human, University of Pretoria; Subhabrata Chakraborti, The University of Alabama 11:35 a.m. Decentralized Sequential Hypothesis Testing— ◆Georgios Fellouris, Columbia University; George V. Moustakides, University of Patras 11:50 a.m. Statistical Fundamentals for Rebuilding the Methodology of Piecewise Analysis—◆Ligong Chen, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; Yongmei Chen, Uniformed Services University of the Health Science 12:05 p.m. Assessing the Influence of Individual Treatment Effect Variability in Multiple Time Points Trials for Binary Response—◆Edwin A. Ndum, Kansas State University; Gary L. Gadbury, Kansas State University 609 Missing Data and Microarray Analysis— Contributed CC-148 Biometrics Section Chair(s): Yichuan Zhao, Georgia State University 10:35 a.m. Inferring the True Correlation in Cross-Species Microarray Data—George C. Tseng, University of Pittsburgh; ◆Xingbin Wang, University of Pittsburgh; Sunghee Oh, University of Pittsburgh 10:50 a.m. Modeling Cancer-Related Epigenetic Changes in DNA Tandem Repeats—◆Michelle Lacey, Tulane University 11:05 a.m. Effects of Missing Value Imputation on DownStream Analyses in the Microarray Data—◆Sunghee Oh, University of Pittsburgh; George C. Tseng, University of Pittsburgh; Guy N. Brock, University of Louisville 248 JSM 2009 610 CC-158B Default, Multivariate Risk, and Copula Models— Contributed Business and Economic Statistics Section Chair(s): Zhaogang Song, Cornell University 10:35 a.m. Building Default Models for Subprime Mortgages: Assessing the Risk in a Rapidly Changing Environment—◆Vladimir Ladyzhets, Babson Capital Management LLC 10:50 a.m. The Time of Recovery and Ruin Probabilities in Risk Model—◆Min Deng, Maryville University of St. Louis 11:05 a.m. Contagion, Confusion, and the Panic of 2008—◆David J. Hamrick, Boston University 11:20 a.m. Modeling Currency Exchange Rate Dependency Between Taiwan and Japan—◆Yi-Kuan Jong, St. John’s University 11:35 a.m. Tracking Problems, Hedge Fund Replication, and Alternative Beta—◆Guillaume Weisang, Bentley University; Thierry Roncalli, University of Evry 11:50 a.m. Border Region Municipal Water Consumption Forecast Accuracy—◆Angel L. Molina, Jr., The University of Texas at El Paso; Thomas M. Fullerton, Jr., The University of Texas at El Paso 12:05 p.m. Multivariate Mixture Transition Distribution Model for Financial Transaction Data—◆Musen Wen, University of California, Riverside; Keh-Shin Lii, University of California, Riverside GENERAL PROGRAM SCHEDULE J Themed Session n Applied Session ◆ Presenter CC-Walter E. Washington Convention Center RH-Renaissance Washington, DC, Hotel 611 CC-205 Bayesian Modeling with Applications to Climate, Air Pollution, the Environment, and Flu Dynamics—Contributed ■ Section on Bayesian Statistical Science, Section on Statistics and the Environment Chair(s): Sudipto Banerjee, The University of Minnesota 10:35 a.m. Using 2D Wavelets to Blend Grid- and PointBased Air Quality Model Output with Ambient Monitor Observations: Resolving the Intra-Urban Air Pollution Field—◆James L. Crooks, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Vlad Isakov, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency 10:50 a.m. Bayesian Modeling of Wind Fields Using Surface Data Collected Over Land—◆Margaret Short, University of Alaska Fairbanks; Javier Fochesatto, Geophysical Institute Atmospheric Science Group 11:05 a.m. Data Augmentation Methods for Bayesian Modeling of Spatially Dependent Categorical Data—◆Candace Berrett, The Ohio State University; Catherine Calder, The Ohio State University 11:20 a.m. The Variational Bayes Method for an Inverse Problem with Application to the Palaeoclimate Reconstruction—◆Richa Vatsa, Trinity College Dublin 11:35 a.m. Estimation of a Population Size Through CaptureMark-Recapture Method: A Comparison of Various Point and Interval Estimators—◆Xing Yang, University of Louisiana-Lafayette 11:50 a.m. Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis—◆Yeonok Lee, The University of Rochester; Hulin Wu, University of Rochester 12:05 p.m. Assessing and Accounting for Large-Scale Climate Projection Uncertainty in Regional Climate-Change Impact Studies—◆Gardar Johannesson, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory Thursday Washington, DC 249 Index of Participants Name Session Aban, Inmaculada...................................... 380 Abdel-Salam, Abdel-Salam G................... 368 Abdulnabi, Radhi F..................................... 236 Abowd, John M............................90, 193, 588 Abramson, Erika........................................... 75 Abreu, Denise A......................................... 365 Abry, Patrice............................................... 120 Acar, Elif F.................................................... 369 Aceves-Castro, Aida Nohemi.................... 478 Acharyya, Suddhasatta............................. 566 Acosta, Alisa............................................... 440 Acosta, Javier............................................. 570 Adams, John L........................................... 226 Adams, Tamara S....................................... 114 Adeleke, Ismaila.................................130, 284 Adewale, Adeniyi J..................................... 280 Adhikari, Ani............................................... 403 Aerts, Marc.........................................171, 380 Afshartous, David....................................... 525 Agans, Robert............................................ 347 Agboto, Vincent.......................................... 525 Ahani, Edesiri............................................. 284 Ahkong, James.......................................... 571 Ahmad, Rehan........................................... 469 Ahmed, Ejaz S............................................ 130 Ahmed, Shirin A......................................... 206 Ahn, Chul H........................................204, 280 Ahn, Chul W........................................162, 380 Ahn, Hong-Yup............................................. 99 Ahn, Jaeil.................................................... 100 Ahn, Jeongyoun......................................... 215 Ahner, Darryl............................................... 590 Ahsanullah, Mohammad........................... 549 Ai, Mingyao................................................. 214 Aiken, Juliet................................................ 293 Aizawa, Kyo................................................ 547 Akman, Olcay............................................. 563 Aktekin, Tevfik............................................. 202 Albatineh, Ahmed N................................... 215 Albert, James............................... 37, CE_25C Albert, Jeffrey M......................................... 568 Albert, Paul S............................................... 64 Albrecht, Conan......................................... 521 Albrecht, Steve........................................... 521 Albright, Alan................................................ 69 Albright, Keith A.......................................... 155 Albright, Victoria......................................... 598 Al-Delaimy, Wael........................................ 561 Alderman, Jerry L......................................... 58 Aldor-Noiman, Sivan.................................. 432 Aldrich, Eric M............................................ 570 Aldworth, Jeremy....................................... 258 Alegria, Margarita......................................... 46 Alejandro, Jorge A..................................... 364 Aleong, Chandra........................................ 274 250 JSM 2009 Name Session Aleong, John......................................121, 274 Alexander, Trent.......................................... 309 Alexandrov, Theodore........................205, 510 Alf, Cherie J................................................ 216 Alfaro, Maria C............................................ 307 Ali, Amjad............................................319, 602 Alkahtani, Saad..................................381, 434 Al-Khalidi, Hussein..................................... 233 Allen, Andrew............................................. 406 Allen, Elaine........................................133, 210 Allen, Theodore..........................127, 226, 233 Allenby, Greg................................................ 41 Allison, David B..................................268, 291 Allison, Paul D..................................... CE_20C Allison, Robert............................................ 227 Alloway, James A....................................... 283 Almirall, Daniel............................................ 263 Almudevar, Anthony................................... 132 Alnoshan, Abdullah A........................270, 553 Alosh, Mohamed................................149, 224 Alpert, William............................................. 352 Alpu, Ozlem................................................ 424 Alston, Clair L............................................. 132 Althouse, Sandra........................................ 163 Altman, Barbara M..................................... 284 Altman, Naomi S................................431, 474 Altstein, Lily................................................. 529 Alumkal, Joshi............................................ 322 Alvarez, Joel A............................................ 207 Alzola, Carlos............................................. 285 Amaratunga, Dhammika........................... 379 Ambrosius, Walter..............................335, 486 Amer, Safaa R............................................. 496 Amidan, Brett.............................................. 313 Amit, Ohad..............................................1, 476 Ammann, Caspar...............................203, 366 Amorim, Leila D.......................................... 440 An, Anthony . ......................................CE_40T An, Lingling................................................. 474 Anand, Monica........................................... 283 Ancona Nunnery, Joni............................... 563 Andersen, Ove........................................... 111 Andersen, Robyn....................................... 158 Anderson, Christopher J............................ 410 Anderson, Gregory J................................ 105 Anderson, Keaven.............. 27, 162, 163, 429, CE_28C Anderson, Mark.......................................... 460 Anderson, Steven A.............................73, 430 Anderson, Stewart..................................... 433 Anderson-Cook, Christine.................228, 313 Ando, Yuki................................................... 547 Andres, Craig D.......................................... 519 Andrew, Michael E.............................124, 440 Andrews, Patricia L.................................... 532 Name Session Andridge, Rebecca............................409, 436 Angle, John................................................ 326 Anisimov, Vladimir V................................... 102 Annis, David H............................................ 428 Ansell, Peter................................................ 460 Apanasovich, Tatiyana V....................117, 366 Applebaum, Maggie.................................... 39 Arab, Ali..............................................410, 497 Araki, Yuko.................................................. 440 Archer, Kellie J....................................379, 382 Arcos, Antonio............................................ 317 Arcury, Thomas A....................................... 257 Argyropoulos, Christos.............................. 213 Armstrong, Brian........................................ 111 Armstrong, Paul W..................................... 468 Arnab, Raghunath...................................... 317 Arnold, Forest W......................................... 476 Arnold, Gerald K......................................... 285 Arnsberger, Paul........................................... 39 Arora, Vipin.........................................175, 412 Arroway, Pam...............................22, 107, 408 Artemiou, Andreas A.................................. 380 Aryal, Gokarna R.......................................... 66 Asafu-Adjei, Josephine.............................. 607 Aseltine, Rob................................................ 14 Asgharian, Masoud............................217, 561 Asher, Jana.................................317, 404, 496 Asiala, Mark E............................................. 155 Asparouhov, Ognian K.............................. 238 Assaid, Christopher................................... 377 Aston, John.................................................. 52 Aten, Bettina H........................................... 550 Atenafu, Eshetu G...................................... 287 Athey, Leslie.................................................. 71 Atkinson, Anthony...................... 306, CE_15C Atlas, Mourad.....................................433, 575 Attanasi, Emil D.......................................... 383 Au, Margaret A............................................. 78 Au, Siu-Tong................................................. 70 Au, Timothy................................................ 436 Aukema, Brian............................................ 380 Austin, Bruce.............................................. 284 Austin, Matthew............................................ 45 Austin, Peter............................................... 343 Auten, Gerald............................................. 106 Avila, Rosa.................................................. 579 Aviles, Ivelisse............................................. 514 Avorn, Jerry.................................................. 20 Axinn, William................................................. 6 Ayers, Elizabeth.......................................... 215 Ayyala, Deepak.......................................... 564 Bacanu, Silviu............................................. 359 Baccini, Michela......................................... 427 Bacon, Lynd D............................................ 364 Bader, Nicole.............................................. 461 Index of Participants Name Session Baek, Changryong..................................... 120 Baesens, Bart............................................. 507 Baghi, Heibatollah...................................... 285 Bahn, Gideon D............................................ 65 Bai, Haiyan.........................................275, 602 Bai, Heather................................................ 307 Bailar, Barbara A.......................................... 97 Bailer, A. John......................................69, 410 Bailey, Barbara........................................... 549 Bailey, Mark................................................ 282 Bain, Ray.................................................... 377 Baines, Paul D............................................ 274 Baiocchi, Michael....................................... 433 Bair, Eric...................................................... 250 Bakal, Jeffrey A.......................................... 468 Baker, Frederick A...................................... 132 Baker, Stuart............................................... 606 Bakir, Saad T............................................... 320 Baladandayuthapani, Veera........62, 350, 374 Balaji, Srinivasan.......................................... 66 Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy........120, 586 Balasubramanyam, Aarthi......................... 419 Balderama, Earvin...................................... 117 Baldi, Pierre................................................ 449 Baldwin, Jamie M....................................... 222 Balko, Stephanie U............................230, 440 Ball, Patrick................................................. 585 Balluz, Lina................................................. 284 Balogh, Marilyn............................................ 71 Balshaw, Robert......................................... 609 Balta, Emre................................................. 392 Bamberger, Judith...................................... 313 Bandeen-Roche, Karen.............111, 158, 568 Bandyopadhyay, Antar.............................. 279 Bandyopadhyay, Dipankar.......322, 511, 535, 542 Bandyopadhyay, Soutir............................. 369 Banerjee, Anurag N................................... 279 Banerjee, Moulinath.....................93, 542, 595 Banerjee, Mousumi.................................... 445 Banerjee, Pranab K.................................... 517 Banerjee, Sudipto............ 105, 137, 278, 611, CE_12C Bangdiwala, Shrikant................................. 600 Banks, David....................... 40, 397, 498, 500 Bansal, Aasthaa......................................... 217 Bao, Le..................................................76, 233 Baraniuk, Sarah M..................................... 380 Barber, Jarrett...............................35, 366, 524 Barboza, Wendy........................................... 33 Barcellan, Roberto....................................... 48 Barker, Clayton A....................................... 467 Barker, Richard........................................... 218 Barkhamer, John........................................ 355 Barnard, John............................................. 536 Name Session Barnes, Christopher N.......................123, 233 Barnes, Sunni A......................................... 476 Barnett, William A....................................... 578 Barnhart, Huiman....................................... 222 Barreto, Mauricio L..................................... 440 Barrett, Bruce............................................. 522 Barrington, Francine.................................. 284 Barron, Martin............................................. 421 Barrón, Yolanda............................................ 75 Bartee, Stephanie...................................... 355 Barth, Joseph.....................................479, 571 Bartolucci, Francesco................................ 518 Bartz, Kevin................................................. 130 Baskin, Robert M.......................................... 60 Basu, Sanjib............................................... 407 Batcher, Mary............................................. 459 Bates, Douglas M....................................... 537 Bates, Nancy..................................6, 206, 388 Bathke, Arne C...................................220, 320 Batorova, Ivana............................................ 67 Battaglia, Michael P.................................... 454 Battista, Victoria.......................................... 165 Bauer, Karin M............................................ 508 Baughman, Andrew L................................ 440 Baumer, Benjamin S.................................. 443 Bautista, Dianne........................................... 61 Bautista, Oliver M....................................... 324 Bayarri, Susie............................................. 544 Beaghen, Michael...................................... 155 Becker, Patty............................................... 156 Becker, Stan............................................... 284 Bedrick, Edward........................................... 73 Beer, Elizabeth A........................................ 219 Begg, Colin B.....................................168, 340 Begley, Sharon........................................... 253 Begum, Munni.............................................. 73 Behbod, Fariba.......................................... 111 Behseta, Sam............................................. 457 Bejleri, Valbona.......................................... 410 Bekele, Benjamin N................................... 552 Belanger, Kathleen..................................... 422 Belin, Thomas R.................................285, 504 Belitser, Eduard............................................ 77 Bell, Bethany A........................................... 284 Bell, Cynthia............................................... 440 Bell, Michelle L.............................49, 422, 448 Bell, Richard............................................... 563 Bell, William R.....................................246, 327 Bellamy, Scarlett L..................................... 526 Belloni, Alexandre...................................... 113 Belmonte, Cynthia....................................... 39 Beltangady, Mohan.................................... 256 Ben-Ameur, Hatem..................................... 166 Bender, Randall.......................................... 472 Bendjilali, Nasrine...................................... 113 Name Session Benedetto, Gary...................................14, 588 Ben-Eliyahu, Shamgar............................... 433 Benigni, Matthew....................................... 590 Bennett, Sean............................................. 418 Bentley, Donald L......................................... 97 Bentley, Jim................................................ 169 Bentley, Michael......................................... 114 Berenson, Mark.......................................... 161 Berg, Emily................................................. 327 Berger, Dale................................................ 181 Berger, James....................................346, 544 Berger, Martijn....................................222, 472 Berger, Theodore W................................... 171 Bergeron, Pierre-Jerome........................... 561 Berliner, L. Mark......................................... 218 Berliner, Mark.............................................. 405 Bernshteyn, Mikhail............................127, 226 Bero, Joseph.............................................. 307 Berrett, Candace..................................61, 611 Berrocal, Veronica J................................... 274 Berry, Donald A....................................25, 294 Berry, John................................................. 294 Berry, Scott................................................. 559 Bertz, Frank.................................................. 36 Bérubé, Joana............................................ 129 Betensky, Rebecca..... 45, 115, 350, 377, 606 Beunckens, Caroline................................. 136 Beutels, Philippe........................................ 380 Beverlin, Lucas...................................423, 568 Beyene, Joseph.........................211, 287, 378 Beyene, Negasi T....................................... 168 Beyler, Nicholas K...................................... 365 Bhadra, Anindya................................527, 608 Bhadra, Dhiman......................................... 323 Bhat, K. Sham.............................................. 61 Bhattacharjee, Debanjan............................. 66 Bhattacharjee, Samsiddhi...................91, 470 Bhaumik, Dulal K....................................... 315 Bialek, Carl................................................. 253 Bianconcini, Silvia..............................205, 444 Bichutskiy, Vadim Y.................................... 283 Bieber, Thomas.......................................... 111 Biek, Roman............................................... 292 Bienias, Julia L............................................... 5 Bigelow, Carol............................195, 390, 450 Biggeri, Luigi................................................. 38 Bild, Andrea................................................ 379 Bilder, Christopher R.................................. 380 Bilisoly, Roger.....................................110, 367 Billor, Nedret............................................... 318 Bin, Yao....................................................... 233 Binder, David.............................................. 216 Bingham, Derek...................................59, 348 Bini, Matilde..........................................38, 326 Birch, Jeffrey B........................................... 368 Washington, DC 251 Index of Participants Name Session Bishwal, Jaya.............................................. 462 Biswas, Bipasa........................................... 160 Biswas, Swati............................................. 520 Bizier, Valerie................................................ 99 Bjelland, Melissa.......................................... 14 Bjursell, Carl J............................................. 130 Blacker, Deborah L.................................... 377 Blackhall, Lachlan...................................... 163 Blair, Ed....................................................... 376 Blair, Edward.............................................. 140 Blakely, Christopher................................... 510 Blank, Rebecca M..............................208, 234 Blankenship, Erin....................................... 290 Blanton, Lenee............................................. 34 Blattenberger, Gail..................................... 105 Blevins, David............................................. 133 Bliznyuk, Nikolay........................................ 164 Block, Robert M........................................... 69 Blood, Emily A............................................ 222 Bloomquist, Erik W.................................... 311 Blower, Paul................................................ 538 Blumberg, Carol J...................................... 597 Blumerman, Lisa.81, 178, 237, 332, 388, 483 Bobadilla, Gladys......................................... 77 Bobb, Veronica........................................... 230 Boca, Simina.............................................. 340 Bodner, Todd.............................................. 285 Boehringer, Stefan..................................... 473 Boero, Jaime.............................................. 353 Bogacka, Barbara...................................... 306 Bognar, Matthew........................................ 462 Bokenkroger, Courtney............................. 508 Bolognese, James A............................27, 446 Bonatz, David............................................. 255 Bond, Marjorie E................................239, 283 Bondell, Howard D............ 163, 215, 348, 600 Bonfrer, Andre............................................ 364 Boon, Jacob............................................... 228 Boone, Edward L......................................... 73 Boone, Tasha............................................. 394 Boos, Dennis D.......................................... 494 Booth, Brad................................................ 420 Borenstein, Michael ...........................CE_33T Bornkamp, Bjoern................................56, 354 Boruch, Robert........................................... 127 Boscardin, John......................................... 427 Bosch, Olav T................................................ 4 Bose, Jonaki.......................................258, 513 Bosworth, Barry..................................187, 328 Bot, Brian.................................................... 597 Botts, Carsten H......................................... 602 Bouhaddioui, Chafik.................................. 212 Bou-Hamad, Imad..................................... 166 Bourque, Louise......................................... 349 Bowen, James............................................ 440 252 JSM 2009 Name Session Bowers, Jake.............................................. 260 Bowman, DuBois....................................... 341 Boyd, Adam.................................................... 8 Bozdogan, Hamparsum............................ 202 Bracken, Michael B.................................... 422 Bradburn, Norman M................................. 345 Bradlow, Eric T............................................ 302 Braga, Daniela M....................................... 233 Bramer, Lisa................................................ 274 Brammer, Lynnette....................................... 34 Braun, Michael........................................... 364 Brave, Michael............................................ 493 Braverman, Amy................................170, 405 Bray, Jeremy W..................................417, 425 Breheny, Patrick.................................170, 564 Breidt, Jay...........................................185, 573 Bremer, John......................................317, 477 Brener, Nancy D........................................... 19 Brenneman, William A............................... 368 Bresee, Joseph............................................ 34 Bretz, Frank........... 27, 56, 252, 354, CE_16C Brick, J. Michael......................................... 409 Brick, Michael J........... 33, 365, 420, 421, 454 Brickner, Carlin........................................... 285 Bridges, William C...................................... 286 Briers, Mark................................................ 308 Brijs, Tom.................................................... 269 Brinkley, Jason........................................... 518 Briollais, Laurent......................................... 225 Brnabic, Alan.............................................. 263 Brock, Guy N......................................476, 609 Brogan, Donna J........................................ 257 Brookhart, M. Alan.........................20, 76, 233 Brookmeyer, Ron....................................... 380 Brorsen, Wade........................................... 162 Brown, Elizabeth R..................................... 525 Brown, G. Gordon..............................257, 472 Brown, Gary.......................................104, 129 Brown, Gerald G........................................ 397 Brown, Irene.........................................71, 519 Brown, Lawrence D............................345, 403 Bruggemann, Rainer................................. 398 Brumback, Babette.................................... 518 Brumback, Lyndia C.................................. 371 Bryan, Jennifer........................................... 286 Bryant, Victoria........................................... 106 Brynjarsdottir, Jenny.................................. 218 Buccellato, Tullio........................................ 104 Buchanan, Mark......................................... 294 Buckley, David.............................................. 75 Buckley, Jack............................................. 588 Budtz-J¯rgensen, Esben.....................74, 111 Büttner, Thomas......................................... 173 Buhlmann, Peter.......................................... 11 Bulger, David.............................................. 562 Name Session Bull, Shelley B............................................ 543 Bura, Efstathia.............................................. 57 Burchfiel, Cecil........................................... 124 Burd, Randall................................................ 37 Burgard, Jan P............................................ 248 Burger, Erika............................................... 461 Burgette, Lane............................................ 100 Burke, Órlaith.............................................. 601 Burkom, Howard........................................ 590 Burks, Robert............................................. 590 Burman, Prabir........................................... 250 Burn, Nicholas............................................ 418 Burnett, Richard T....................................... 422 Bursac, Zoran............................................. 380 Burt, Vicki L.........................................124, 579 Bush, Heather M........................................ 600 Bushery, John M........................................ 384 Bushnell, William D........................................ 1 Bustamante, Carlos..................................... 28 Butani, Shail J.....................................546, 554 Butar Butar, Ferry....................................... 283 Byun, David E............................................. 130 Caan, Bette................................................. 561 Cabrera, Javier........................................... 379 Caffo, Brian S.....................................233, 356 Cai, Bo........................................................ 105 Cai, Jianwen.................................64, 426, 440 Cai, Tianxi...................................158, 191, 277 Cai, Tony..................................................... 147 Cai, Xueya.................................................. 285 Cai, Yuzhi.................................................... 515 Calabrese, Raffaella................................... 477 Calder, Catherine.........................61, 469, 611 Callaghan, John......................................... 438 Callegaro, Mario.........................273, 284, 512 Calvin, James A......................................... 166 Cameron, Ken............................................ 590 Campbell, David......................................... 157 Campbell, Larry N...................................... 598 Campbell, Richard....................................... 69 Cançado, Andre L.F................................... 398 Candace, Metoyer N.................................. 250 Cano, Stephanie................................242, 288 Cantwell, Patrick J...................................... 394 Cao, Hongyuan............................................ 79 Cao, Jia....................................................... 171 Cao, Jiguo.................................................. 157 Cao, Jin....................................................... 521 Cao, Jing.................................................... 506 Cao, Jun..................................................... 320 Cao, Xu....................................................... 130 Cao, Xumeng............................................. 228 Cao, Yue..................................................... 171 Capanu, Marinela....................................... 168 Cappelleri, Joseph C...........................75, 210 Index of Participants Name Session Caragea, Petrutza............... 85, 240, 274, 391 Cardinal-Stakenas, Adam....................36, 270 Carew, John D............................................ 356 Carey, Siobhan............................................. 12 Carlin, Brad................................................... 17 Carlson, Barbara L..................................... 273 Carlson, Lynda T........................................ 345 Carlson, Richard W.................................... 299 Carlsson, Martin O..................................... 233 Carlyle, Matthew......................................... 397 Carnegie, Nicole B....................................... 34 Carone, Marco........................................... 217 Carr, Daniel B.....................................539, 607 Carriquiry, Alicia L..............................365, 459 Carris, Kari.................................................. 421 Carroll, Margaret D..................................... 237 Carroll, Raymond J.... 87, 145, 371, 411, 442, 511, CE_09C Carson, Charles M..................................... 165 Carter, Christopher K................................... 37 Carter, H. Ballentine................................... 440 Carter, Patricia H......................................... 517 Carter, Randy L....................................25, 437 Carter, Rickey E.......................................... 439 Caruso, Anthony.......................................... 71 Caruso, Guy F............................................. 300 Carvajal-Gonzalez, Santos........................ 233 Carvalho, Carlos M....................141, 151, 395 Carver, Robert H........................................... 69 Casas-Cordero, Carolina............................... 6 Casella, George........................................... 95 Cassedy, Amy E......................................... 589 Castillo, Ismael........................................... 351 Cata, Juan.................................................. 433 Caudle, Kyle A............................................ 553 Cavanaugh, Joseph................................... 162 Cayon, Laura.............................................. 199 Cecco, Kevin................................................ 18 Cecere, William.......................................... 556 Ceesay, Paulette......................................... 481 Cepietz, Erica............................................. 104 Cerqueti, Roy............................................. 122 Chacón, José E............................................ 30 Chai, Peng..........................................233, 236 Chakraborti, Subhabrata...........271, 471, 608 Chakraborty, Hrishikesh.............................. 78 Chakraborty, Sounak................................. 374 Chaloner, Kathryn...................................... 132 Chaloud, Deborah J................................... 532 Chan, Ivan S.F......................................43, 324 Chan, Kung-Sik.......................................... 171 Chan, Kwun Chuen (Gary).......................... 25 Chan, Ping Shing....................................... 586 Chan, Wenyaw........................................... 437 Chance, Beth.............................................. 107 Name Session Chandhok, Promod...........................265, 508 Chandran, Raj............................................ 531 Chang, Howard.......................................... 259 Chang, Joseph T........................................ 428 Chang, Myron N........................................... 78 Chang, Sheng-Mao................................... 527 Chang, Yu-Ling...........................123, 211, 325 Chapin, Patrick S.......................................... 58 Chapman, Jessica..................................... 228 Charles, Beasley........................................ 325 Charles, Luenda E.............................124, 440 Charnigo, Richard..............................120, 220 Chatterjee, Ansu......................................... 248 Chatterjee, Arindam................................... 595 Chatterjee, Nilanjan..............................91, 411 Chatterjee, Snigdhansu...............52, 248, 471 Chattopadhyay, Somesh........................... 172 Chaubey, Yogendra P................................. 524 Chaudhuri, Sanjay..................................... 279 Chaudhuri, Saraswata............................... 212 Chauhan, Chand........................................ 119 Chauvet, Guillaume................................... 573 Chauvet, Marcelle................................63, 578 Chaves, Paulo H........................................ 158 Cheah, Wai Hsien...................................... 127 Chellini, Paula R......................................... 233 Chemers, Betty.......................................... 148 Chen, Aiyou................................................ 521 Chen, Baibai............................................... 324 Chen, Baojiang............................................ 24 Chen, Baoline............................................... 48 Chen, Bee..................................................... 79 Chen, Chen................................................ 468 Chen, Cheng C.......................................... 420 Chen, Chia-Cheng..................................... 222 Chen, Chiang-Ling..................................... 170 Chen, Chih-nan............................................ 46 Chen, Colin (Lin)........................................ 236 Chen, Cong......................................1, 54, 233 Chen, Cuixian............................................. 603 Chen, Din.................................................... 603 Chen, Dung-Tsa.................................474, 572 Chen, Fang . ......................... CE_32T,CE_35T Chen, Fei.................................................... 271 Chen, Gang................................................ 307 Chen, Haiqiang.......................................... 212 Chen, Haiyan.............................................. 273 Chen, Hao.................................................. 151 Chen, Huann-Sheng.................................. 440 Chen, Hubert J........................................... 570 Chen, James......................................134, 379 Chen, Jiahua.............................................. 198 Chen, Jie...............................................27, 463 Chen, Jingjing.............................................. 27 Chen, Jin-Hua............................................ 470 Name Session Chen, Jinsong............................................ 278 Chen, Jiu-Chiuan....................................... 600 Chen, John................................................. 432 Chen, Joshua............................................... 27 Chen, Liang................................................ 528 Chen, Ligong.............................................. 608 Chen, Lin-An............................................... 572 Chen, Ling.................................................. 377 Chen, Linlin................................................. 417 Chen, Lisa................................................... 125 Chen, Ming-Hui..................................105, 259 Chen, Peng................................................. 380 Chen, Qingxia............................................. 249 Chen, Qixuan............................................. 357 Chen, Ray-Bing............................................ 21 Chen, Rong........................................298, 541 Chen, Rui......................................28, 419, 545 Chen, Shun-Yi............................................ 119 Chen, Song Xi............................376, 431, 541 Chen, Tai-Tsang.......................................... 233 Chen, Te-Ching.......................................... 124 Chen, Ting-Li.............................................. 215 Chen, Tower............................................... 367 Chen, Wei...........................................233, 552 Chen, Wei................................................... 552 Chen, Wei-Chen.................................354, 594 Chen, Weijie.......................................361, 362 Chen, Wen-Hung......................................... 89 Chen, Xin.................................................... 564 Chen, Y.H. Joshua...................................... 429 Chen, Yian A............................................... 474 Chen, Yi-Ju................................................. 531 Chen, Yiyi.................................................... 322 Chen, Yong................................................. 520 Chen, Yongmei........................................... 608 Chen, Yu..................................................... 172 Chen, Yue................................................... 285 Chen, Yuguo............................................... 495 Chen, Yun-Fei............................................. 436 Chen, Zehua............................................... 198 Chen, Zhao................................................. 372 Chen, Zhen................................................. 312 Chenette, Ronald....................................... 273 Cheng, Bin.................................................. 463 Cheng, Cheng............................................ 473 Cheng, Chunrong...................................... 591 Cheng, Dunlei............................................ 476 Cheng, Edmond........................................ 205 Cheng, Guang..............................94, 535, 595 Cheng, Jacob Jen-Hao............................. 285 Cheng, Jerry............................................... 416 Cheng, Jie.................................................. 473 Cheng, Jing........................................260, 568 Cheng, Kuang-Fu....................................... 470 Cheng, Nancy F.......................................... 315 Washington, DC 253 Index of Participants Name Session Cheng, Po-Yung........................................... 34 Cheng, Yang............................................... 479 Cheng, Yu-Jen............................................ 518 Cheon, Kyeongmi..............................268, 549 Chervoneva, Inna.......................171, 276, 277 Cheung, Ying Kuen.................................... 552 Chevarley, Frances M................................ 284 Chi, Yueh-Yun............................................. 529 Chia, Yifeng J............................................. 519 Chia-Lung, Hsu............................................ 21 Chiang, Chin-Tsang................................... 371 Chiang, Lumay........................................... 123 Chien, Lung-Chang................................... 600 Childs, Jennifer H....................................... 284 Chinchilli, Vernon M...........................393, 476 Chipman, Hugh......................................3, 348 Chitturi, Pallavi............................................ 598 Chitturi, Ravi............................................... 598 Chiu, Grace.................................................. 32 Cho, Meehyung......................................... 280 Cho, MoonJung........................................... 33 Cho, Wendy K.T......................................... 479 Choe, Jongmook....................................... 285 Choi, Bong-Jin........................................... 213 Choi, Dongseok......................................... 232 Choi, Hyunyoung....................................... 376 Choi, Jaeun.................................................. 64 Choi, Nam Hee........................................... 580 Choi, Taeryon............................................. 278 Chon, Yun................................................... 460 Chopova, Boriana...................................... 554 Chou, Youn-Min......................................... 381 Choudhary, Pankaj K................................. 476 Choudur, Lakshminarayan K..................... 436 Chow, Julian............................................... 128 Chowdhury, Dhuly..................................... 472 Christ, Sharon L......................................... 284 Christen, Andres........................................ 143 Christensen, William F..........................92, 274 Christian, Michaele C................................... 54 Christman, Mary C.............................137, 497 Christopher, Ed.......................................... 207 Christou, Nicolas........................................ 169 Chromy, James R..............................273, 347 Chronopoulou, Alexandra......................... 527 Chu, Annie.................................................. 117 Chu, Haitao................................................... 68 Chuang, Shih-Chung................................... 36 Chuang, Ya-Hsiu........................................ 382 Chuang-Stein, Christy..................56, 256, 329 Chun, Hyonho............................................ 440 Chung, Hwan............................................. 380 Chung, Lisa M............................................ 428 Chung, Moo K............................................ 356 Chung, Yeojin............................................... 30 254 JSM 2009 Name Session Chung, Younshik........................................ 524 Ciol, Marcia A................................................. 5 Citro, Constance F......................208, 345, 584 Claeskens, Gerda........................................ 42 Clark, B. Christine...................................... 599 Clark, Camille............................................. 461 Clark, Cynthia............................................. 584 Clark, Daniel E............................................ 308 Clark, Seth.................................................. 525 Clark, Steve................................................ 277 Clarke, Bertrand................ 143, 305, 351, 498 Clarke, Jennifer L....................................... 305 Clarke, William R........................................ 412 Clauser, Steven B......................................... 89 Cleary, Richard...................................188, 450 Clegg, Daniel......................................380, 438 Clement, Lieven.........................112, 277, 609 Clements, Robert A.................................... 117 Cleveland, William S............................47, 220 Clifford, David............................................. 353 Clyde, Merlise A......................................... 164 Coar, William J............................................ 233 Coburn, Timothy C................................... 383 Cochran, James J................................12, 531 Coffey, Christopher S................................. 380 Coffman, Cynthia.......................195, 263, 450 Cohea, Christopher.................................... 133 Cohen Freue, Gabriela.............................. 609 Cohen, Ezra.................................................. 54 Cohen, Jon................................................. 144 Cohen, Michael L....................................... 148 Cohen, Michael P................................216, 265 Cohen, Robin A.......................................... 579 Cohen, Stephen................ 125, 167, 284, 365 Cohen, Steven............................................ 458 Cohen, Thomas H........................................ 57 Cohenour, Maria......................................... 127 Cohn, Amanda C....................................... 440 Cole, Stephen R......................................... 576 Coleman, Deidra A....................................... 72 Collings, Patti B....................................84, 557 Collins-Thompson, Kevyn......................... 436 Colliver, James........................................... 258 Colon-Miranda, Gretchen.......................... 130 Colosimo, Enrico A.................................... 132 Colpe, Lisa.................................................. 258 Commenges, Daniel.................................. 400 Comulada, Warren S................................. 127 Cong, Chunling.......................................... 168 Conjar, Elizabeth A..................................... 293 Connett, John............................................. 412 Connolly, Michele....................................... 209 Conrad, Frederick G.................................. 513 Contant, Charles.......................................... 25 Contos, George.......................................... 420 Name Session Contrino, Heather....................................... 265 Cook, Dianne.....................................233, 271 Cook, John D............................................. 236 Cook, Nancy............................................... 191 Cook, R. Dennis.................................194, 564 Cook, Richard..............................24, 297, 542 Cooley, Daniel........................................32, 92 Coombes, Kevin R..................................... 433 Cooper, Linda L.......................................... 283 Copeland, Kennon R.........................167, 327 Corcoran, Casey........................................ 479 Coretto, Pietro.............................................. 66 Cornebise, Julien...............................308, 455 Cornell, John A................................... CE_19C Cornman, Stephen Q................................. 332 Cornuet, Jean-Marie.................................. 455 Corrado, Carol............................................ 187 Correa, Adolfo............................................ 600 Correa, Solange T........................................ 55 Cortese, Margaret M.................................. 440 Costantini, Mauro....................................... 122 Cote, Michele............................................. 436 Coulibaly, Kalamogo.................................. 130 Coull, Brent................................................. 350 Couper, Mick P............................................ 513 Couzens, Amy............................................ 571 Cowles, Mary K.............................................. 2 Cox, Christine S.................................152, 355 Cox, Lawrence H........................................ 148 Cox, Louis A............................................... 397 Craig, Bruce A............................370, 374, 425 Craig, Terri L............................................... 519 Craigmile, Peter F....................................... 203 Crainiceanu, Ciprian M.... 277, 353, 356, 442, CE_09C Craiu, Radu................................................. 369 Creel, Darryl V............................................ 284 Cressie, Noel A.....59, 85, 166, 366, 533, 559 Crimin, Kimberly........................................... 26 Crixell, JoAnna........................................... 563 Crooks, James L........................................ 611 Crotty, Michael T......................................... 227 Crotzer, Milburn E...................................... 430 Croushore, Dean........................................ 303 Crown, John S............................................. 58 Cruz, Dário.................................................. 168 Cueva-Parra, Luis A................................... 498 Cui, Weiwei................................................. 284 Cui, Xiaoqi.................................................. 440 Cui, Xinping................................................ 123 Cui, Yuehua................................................ 223 Cullings, Harry....................................398, 437 Culp, Mark.................................................. 538 Cummiskey, Chris...................................... 284 Cunningham, Tina D.................................. 433 Index of Participants Name Session Curchfiel, Cecil M....................................... 440 Curley, Robert D......................................... 316 Curtin, Lester R...................................124, 579 Curtis, S. McKay......................................... 548 Curtiss, Phyllis J.........................231, 266, 417 Cybulski, Karen.......................................... 327 Czerwinski, Stefan A.................................. 440 Daggy, Joanne K........................................ 425 Dagne, Getachew A................................... 469 D’Agostino, Ralph........................................ 75 Dagum, Estela Bee......................48, 205, 444 Dagum, Paul............................................... 396 Dahl, David B..............................120, 262, 511 Dahlhamer, James M..................................... 6 Dai, Yilin...................................................... 520 Daily, Gail.................................................... 512 Dalal, Siddhartha........................................ 245 Dallas, Michael J........................................ 429 Dalton, Jarrod E......................................... 433 Damla, Senturk.......................................... 523 Dang, Qianyu............................................. 233 Daniell, Grace............................................. 233 Daniels, Brian............................................. 435 Daniels, Michael J.......... 3, 62, 100, 139, 200, 259, CE_02C Daoud, Yahya............................................. 476 Daphtary, Maithili........................................ 430 Darnieder, William F.................................... 469 Das, Bikramjit............................................. 595 Das, Kiranmoy............................................ 474 Das, Kumer P.............................................. 382 Das, Sourish............................................... 139 Das, Sunil................................................... 498 Dasgupta, Abhijit........................................ 569 DasGupta, Anirban.................................... 199 Dashen, Monica......................................... 284 Datta, Gauri S............................................. 246 Datta, Saheli............................................... 594 Datta, Somnath..................................370, 542 Datta, Sujay.................................................. 13 Datta, Susmita............................................ 433 Datta-Gupta, Akhil........................................ 62 Davern, Michael.................................152, 309 Davies, Katherine...............................120, 586 Davis, Barry........................................412, 503 Davis, Charles B......................................... 117 Davis, Justin W........................................... 428 Davis, Karen E............................................ 513 Davis, Linda J............................................. 432 Davis, Nick.................................................. 418 Davis, William............................................. 342 Davison, Timothy S.................................... 362 Dawson, Deborah V................................... 195 Dawson, John W........................................ 255 Day, Ryan...........................................262, 511 Name Session De Backer, Manu........................................ 507 De Beuf, Kristof........................................... 277 De Bock, Koen........................................... 507 de Leeuw, Jan............................................ 170 De Neve, Jan R..................................112, 609 De Oliveira, Victor....................................... 366 de Sousa, Bruno C.................................... 168 De, Arkendra......................................217, 361 Deal, Allison M.............................................. 68 Dean, Angela......................................214, 375 Debello, Angela.......................................... 421 Decker, Sandra L......................152, 466, 579 Degras, David............................................. 286 Dehkordi-Vakil, Farideh.............................. 417 Delaigle, Aurore.......................................... 145 DeIorio, Maria................................................. 8 Dekker, Katie.............................................. 421 Deksissa, Tolessa....................................... 410 del Barrio, Eustasio.................................... 605 Delaigle, Aurore.......................................... 145 Delaney, James.......................................... 130 delMas, Robert........................................... 575 DeLong, Vaughn........................................ 590 Demers, Sonia............................................ 349 Demirkale, Cumhur Y................................. 379 Demirtas, Hakan........................................ 170 Denby, Lorraine.......................................... 271 Deng, Dianliang......................................... 474 Deng, Ling.................................................. 379 Deng, Min................................................... 610 Denham, Robert........................................... 37 Denne, Jonathan........................................ 163 Dennis, Noe................................................ 528 Denniston, Maxine M................................... 19 Deppa, Brant.............................................. 181 Derr, Bob..................................................... 163 Derr, Janice................................................. 161 Derzko, Gerard........................................... 280 Desale, Sameer.......................................... 273 DeSantis, Stacia M.............................419, 511 Desmone, Rosanne................................... 253 DeSouza, Cynthia M...........................64, 149 Despain, Darrin.......................................... 233 DesRoches, David....................................... 19 Detlefsen, Ruth E....................................... 206 Devanarayan, Viswanath........................... 460 Devarajan, Karthik...................................... 383 Dever, Jill A...........................................33, 154 Devine, Owen J.......................................... 358 Devlin, Sean............................................... 158 Dey, Dipak K.................................61, 100, 139 Dey, Jyotirmoy....................................123, 493 Dey, Tanujit................................................. 227 Dhara, Rosaline............................................ 34 Dhavala, Soma S....................................... 225 Name Session Di Fonzo, Tommaso................................... 261 Di, Chongzhi............................................... 353 Diaconis, Persi............................................ 403 Diao, Guoqing............................................ 277 Diao, Lixia................................................... 492 Dias, Clapton.............................................. 325 Diawara, Norou.......................................... 549 Dicker, Lee.................................................... 51 Didier, Gustavo...................................113, 527 Diehr, Paula................................................. 158 Dienstfrey, Stephen J................................. 186 Dietz, Zach.................................................. 558 Diewert, W. Erwin....................................... 550 Diez, David................................................... 73 DiGaetano, Ralph...............................257, 421 Dikhanov, Yuri............................................. 550 Dillman, Don A........................................... 345 Dimitrova, Elena S...................................... 201 Ding, Jimin.................................................. 353 Ding, Qi....................................................... 223 Ding, Wen................................................... 103 Ding, Ying................................................... 371 Dinh, Phillip...........................................27, 224 Dinov, Ivo D................................................. 169 Dinwoodie, Ian H................................201, 455 Dion, Sarah-Maude.................................... 571 DiOrio, Austin............................................. 228 DiPrete, Tom............................................... 127 DiRienzo, Greg........................................... 569 DiSogra, Charles................................273, 512 Divine, George........................................... 316 Dixon, John.................................................... 6 Dixon, Kelly................................................. 284 Djang, Fred................................................. 358 Djira, Gemechis.......................................... 380 Dmitrienko, Alexei A........... 79, 163, 325, 358, CE_28C Do, Kim-Anh............................................... 374 Dobbin, Kevin K......................................... 467 Dobler, Carolyn P.......................................... 69 Dobra, Adrian.............................225, 304, 399 Dodd, Lori...............................................1, 160 Doe, Pete.................................................... 190 Doerge, Rebecca W...................340, 525, 574 Doganaksoy, Necip................................... 577 Doh, Taeyoung........................................... 415 Dominic, Dayana........................................ 378 Dominici, Francesca........... 49, 158, 259, 448 Donald, Stephen........................................ 212 Dong, Hua.................................................. 309 Dong, Jianping........................................... 520 Dong, Jin............................. 38, 118, 215, 570 Dong, Qian................................................. 233 Dong, Qunming........................................... 64 Dong, Ye..................................................... 431 Washington, DC 255 Index of Participants Name Session Dong, Yuexiao............................................ 605 Dong, Zhiyuan....................................130, 531 Doorn, David J.............................................. 38 Doran, H.E.................................................. 550 Dordonnat, Virginie.................................... 212 Dorfman, Alan H......................... 573, CE_11C Dorman, Karin S.................................354, 594 Dornelles, Adriana C.................................. 440 Dorso, Claudio........................................... 383 Doshi, Jalpa A........................................... 152 Doss, Hani...................................................... 3 Dougherty, Robert F................................... 356 Douglas, Aaron.......................................... 560 Douglas, Christopher................................. 118 Dovoedo, Yinaze H.................................... 471 Downing, Sarah......................................... 233 Dragalin, Vladimir......................................... 56 Draguljic, Danel.......................................... 214 Drechsler, Joerg......................................... 588 Drignei, Dorin............................................... 44 Dror, Hovav................................................. 306 Drton, Mathias............................................ 432 Drukenbrod, Josh...................................... 540 Du, Pang.............................................157, 603 Duan, Jason.......................................302, 364 Duan, Naihua.......................................46, 569 Duarte, Elisa............................................... 168 Dubin, Joel A........................................24, 276 Duckworth, William............................282, 283 Duczmal, Luiz H......................................... 398 Duda, Nancy.............................................. 327 Duff, Martha.................................................. 39 Duffy, Thomas............................................ 216 Dufour, Jean-Marie..................................... 212 Duggins, Jonathan..................................... 230 Duke, Megan.............................................. 286 DuMouchel, William................................... 342 Duncan, Kristin...................................132, 228 Duncan, Tyrone.......................................... 432 Dunn, Van................................................... 285 Dunsiger, Shira........................................... 295 Dunson, David....62, 139, 151, 278, 312, 360, 374, 506, 544 Durkalski, Valerie........................................ 481 Duty, Paul...................................................... 29 Duvvuru, Suman........................................ 525 Dwivedi, Yogesh......................................... 122 Dwork, Cynthia............................................. 90 Earp, Morgan S.......................................... 554 Eaton, Danice K........................................... 19 Eberly, Lynn E............................................ 356 Ebisu, Keita................................................. 422 Ebrahimi, Nader......................................... 202 Eckel, Sandrah P....................................... 158 Eckhardt, Giana......................................... 118 256 JSM 2009 Name Session Ecklund, Dixie............................................. 412 Eckman, Stephanie............................421, 512 Eddy, William F........................................... 584 Edgar, Jennifer.....................................19, 554 Edirisingha, Asitha..................................... 130 Edland, Steven D....................................... 233 Edlefsen, Lee................................................ 47 Edwards, Alison........................................... 75 Edwards, David.......................................... 368 Edwards, Kerstin K..................................... 206 Edwards, Lloyd J........................................ 433 Edwards, Sharon....................................... 422 Efendiev, Yalchin.......................................... 62 Efird, Jimmy................................................ 376 Efron, Brad................................................. 197 Egan, Michael............................................ 469 Egelston, Deanna...................................... 597 Eggers, Frederick....................................... 339 Egleston, Brian L........................................ 284 Ehm, Magaret............................................. 359 Eisenberg, Bennett...................................... 72 Eke, Burcu.................................................. 127 Elashoff, Janet D.................................CE_36T Ellenberg, Jonas H.................................... 393 Ellenberg, Susan................................162, 503 Elliott, Duncan............................................ 205 Elliott, Graham....................................176, 344 Elliott, Marc N............................................. 458 Elliott, Michael............ 46, 185, 338, 357, 489, 518, 600 Ellis, Penelope M........................................ 531 Elmi, Angelo.......................................277, 371 Eloyan, Ani.................................................. 548 Elrod, Terry................................................. 118 Elsalloukh, Hassan.................................... 602 Elsheimer, D. Bruce...................................... 38 Elston, Robert C.................. 96, 223, 452, 536 Eltinge, John L........... 33, 140, 167, 284, 338, 349, 357, 573 Emerson, Jennifer B.................................. 132 Emerson, Scott......................................8, 115 Enas, Gregory............................................ 163 Enas, Nathan.............................................. 280 Enders, Felicity B......................................... 69 Endriss, Ellen K.......................................... 418 Engler, David.............................................. 350 English, Ned.......................................421, 512 English, Patricia.......................................... 233 Ennis, Daniel M............................................ 65 Ennis, John.............................................29, 65 Enoch, Glenn B.......................................... 190 Ensor, Katherine......................................... 392 Entine, Oliver.............................................. 127 Entsuah, Richard........................................ 430 Erhardt, Erik B.............................................. 73 Name Session Erickson, Stephen W................................. 411 Ericsson, Neil R.......................................... 267 Erkens, Gregory......................................... 521 Ernst, Lawrence R..................................... 478 Eschenbach, Ted G................................... 532 Escobar, Luis A..................................245, 407 Estrada, Francisco..................................... 383 Ette, Ene I................................................... 537 Etzioni, Ruth................................................. 78 Eubank, Randy........................................... 189 Eudey, Lynn................................................ 283 Evangelou, Evangelos............................... 259 Evans, Brian................................................. 71 Evans, John C............................................ 103 Evans, Michael............................................. 67 Evans, Scott............................................... 174 Evans, Thomas..................................130, 261 Everaert, Gerdie......................................... 477 Everett, Stephen E..................................... 365 Everson, Michelle....................................... 557 Ewell, Marian.................................................. 5 Ewen, Edward............................................ 440 Ezzati-Rice, Trena M.................................... 60 Faerber, Jennifer........................................ 260 Faes, Christel......................................171, 269 Fagerstrom, Richard M.............................. 607 Fahimi, Mansour..........................55, 420, 512 Fairman, Kristin............................................ 39 Falcone, Amy............................................. 420 Falwell, Patrick............................................ 284 Famoye, K. Felix......................................... 383 Fan, Chunpeng.......................................... 276 Fan, Frank (Xiaoyin).............................27, 377 Fan, Jianqing............. 145, 235, 298, 494, 562 Fan, Kang-Hsien........................................ 222 Fan, Shenghua K....................................... 162 Fan, Tsai-Hung........................................... 113 Fan, Yingying................................51, 298, 541 Fan, Zhewen............................................... 369 Fang, Hua................................................... 436 Fang, Xiangming........................................ 171 Fang, Yun.................................................... 600 Farance, Frank............................................. 71 Farber, James............................................. 301 Fardo, David............................................... 470 Faries, Douglas.......................................... 263 Farjah, Farhood.......................................... 263 Fay, Michael P............................................. 323 Fay, Robert E........................................60, 284 Fazzari, Melissa J....................................... 574 Federov, Valerii........................................... 102 Fedorov, Valerii V................. 43, 102, 123, 256 Feigin, Paul D....................................275, 432 Feingold, Eleanor....................................... 470 Feld, Sebastian.......................................... 507 Index of Participants Name Session Feldman, Harold........................................ 210 Felix-Medina, Martin H............................... 478 Fellingham, Gilbert....................................... 37 Fellouris, Georgios..................................... 608 Feng, Dai.................................................... 164 Feng, Ping.................................................. 233 Feng, Rui...................................................... 96 Feng, Tao.................................................... 440 Feng, Xingdong........................................... 68 Feng, Yang................................................. 562 Feng, Yijia..................................................... 27 Feng, Ziding............................................... 115 Fenton, David............................................. 601 Ferhatosmanoglu, Nilgun.......................... 526 Ferland, Michel........................................... 129 Fermin, Ana Karina.................................... 400 Fernandes, Jyotika.............................285, 511 Fernandez, Mario....................................... 106 Fernández, Miguel A.................................. 474 Fernandez, Soledad.................................. 526 Fernandez-Alcala, Rosa M........................ 383 Fernando, Harshini.................................... 319 Ferreira, Marco A.R..............................14, 570 Ferron, John M.......................................... 284 Ferrucci, Luigi............................................. 440 Fetter, Matt.................................................. 556 Feuer, Eric................................................... 342 Feyerharm, Robert..................................... 285 Fidrmuc, Jarko............................................. 67 Fiecas, Mark.......................................101, 562 Fiegener, Mark............................................ 125 Fields, Paul J......................................487, 509 Fienberg, Stephen...............90, 193, CE_05C Finamore, John M..............................284, 478 Findley, David.....................................104, 444 Fine, Jason................................................. 603 Finegold, Michael A................................... 432 Fink, Aliza................................................... 440 Finkbeiner, Carl T........................................ 284 Finkel, Adam M.......................................... 143 Finkelstein, Dianne M........................330, 440 Finley, Andrew............................ 137, CE_12C Firinguetti, Luis............................................. 77 Firth, David................................................. 121 Fisher, Danyel A......................................... 539 Fisher, Diane............................................... 367 Fisher, Marian R...................................50, 412 Fisher, Nicholas I........................................ 384 Fisk, Charles............................................... 133 Fitzgerald, Anthony P................................. 382 FitzGerald, Jenny L.................................... 273 Fixler, Dennis......................................187, 578 Flatt, Shirley................................................ 561 Fleeman, Anna........................................... 512 Flegal, James M......................................... 558 Name Session Flegal, Katherine............................................ 7 Fleishman, Alex.......................................... 503 Fleming, Craig.............................................. 75 Fleming, Kathy........................................... 264 Fletcher-Heath, Lynn.................................. 528 Flint, Katherine H.......................................... 19 Flores Cervantes, Ismael............................. 33 Flournoy, Nancy........................................... 29 Flum, David R............................................. 263 Foarde, Jeffrey........................................... 596 Fochesatto, Javier...................................... 611 Fogel, Paul.................................................. 383 Fokoue, Ernest........................................... 308 Foley, Kristen M..................................422, 540 Follmann, Dean............................................ 23 Folsom, Ralph E......................................... 347 Fong, Youyi................................................. 200 Forbes, Andrew.......................................... 419 Forester, James D...................................... 196 Forman, Julie L........................................... 383 Forshee, Richard A..............................73, 285 Fort, James................................................. 313 Fortier, Susie.................................48, 129, 261 Foster, Nathan R........................................ 233 Fostvedt, Luke............................................ 404 Fotopoulos, Stergios B.............................. 608 Foulkes, Andrea S...................... 195, CE_06C Foulkes, Mary............................................. 459 Foulley, Jean-Louis.................................... 525 Foushee, Margaret T.................................. 592 Fowler, Leslie.............................................. 447 Fowles, Richard.......................................... 105 Fox, Katherine L......................................... 125 Fraley, Chris................................................ 580 Francoeur, Mathieu.................................... 120 Frangakis, Constantine..............136, 295, 427 Frank, Guillermo......................................... 383 Frank, Luis.................................................. 130 Franke, Warren...................................423, 568 Franklin, Christine S...........................363, 514 Frazier, Mary B............................................ 355 Frechtel, Peter............................................ 571 Freels, Sally................................................ 315 Freeman, Jade............................................. 32 Freeman, Laura J....................................... 230 Freeman, Michele........................................ 75 Frees, Edward W........................................ 587 Freiman, Michael........................................ 121 Fremont, Allen............................................ 458 French, Benjamin...............................263, 393 French, Jonathan L.................................... 537 Frenzen, Heiko........................................... 507 Frey, Jesse.................................................. 286 Friberg, Lena.............................................. 262 Fricker, Ron................................................. 488 Name Session Fricker, Scott................................................. 19 Fried, Linda P.............................................. 158 Friedenberg, David A................................. 467 Friedman, Jerome H..................385, 453, 583 Friedman, Lawrence.................................. 412 Friedow, Alison........................................... 290 Fries, Arthur................................................ 310 Froelich, Amy G..................................282, 314 Fromewick, Jill............................................ 472 Frydman, Halina......................................... 213 Fryland, Jane.............................................. 160 Fu, Chong Y................................................ 380 Fu, Dongyue............................................... 233 Fu, Guifang................................................. 221 Fu, Haoda.....................................26, 233, 436 Fu, Rongwei (Rochelle)............................... 75 Fu, Wenjiang.............................................. 223 Fu, Yuejiao.................................................. 254 Fuentes, José S......................................... 132 Fuentes, Montserrat..................................... 49 Fujimoto, Hiroshi........................................ 103 Fujisawa, Hironori...................................... 375 Fulcomer, Mark C...............................283, 287 Fuller, Wayne......................................327, 365 Fullerton, Jr., Thomas M............................ 610 Funderburk, Frank..................................... 127 Fung, Wing K............................................. 277 Fuquene, Jairo A........................................ 233 Furrer, Reinhard..............................59, 92, 590 Gabrosek, John......................................... 283 Gabrys, Robertas....................................... 319 Gadbury, Gary L.................................291, 608 Gaddis, Marshall........................................ 461 Gadrich, Tamar........................................... 604 Gaffney, Michael........................................... 17 Gaglianone, Wagner.................................. 119 Gagné, Christian........................................ 261 Gagnon, David...................................233, 440 Gahche, Jaime........................................... 124 Gail, Mitchell H............. 7, 191, 373, 411, 470, CE_22C Gaile, Daniel P............................................. 350 Gaines, Leonard M.................................... 178 Gajewski, Byron J............... 41, 111, 169, 233 Galbraith, John W....................................... 303 Gallant, Jack............................................... 341 Gallas, Brandon D...................................... 362 Gallop, Robert J......................................... 111 Gan, Jianjun............................................... 278 Gan, Linmin.................................................. 27 Gandhi, Bodapati V.R................................. 314 Ganesh, Nadarajasundaram.............167, 327 Ganesh, Santhi K....................................... 393 Gangnon, Ronald.................................32, 561 Ganju, Jitendra........................................... 325 Washington, DC 257 Index of Participants Name Session Gansky, Stuart............................................ 315 Gantz, Donald T..................................432, 607 Gantz, Marie............................................... 472 Gao, Chunwang........................................... 34 Gao, Feng..................................................... 64 Gao, Guimin............................................... 470 Gao, Hongjiang.......................................... 380 Gao, Jingjing.............................................. 523 Gao, Shan.................................................. 233 Gao, Xiaoyi................................................. 520 Gao, Xin..............................................198, 297 Gao, Xin...................................................... 518 Gao, Yong................................................... 438 Gao, Yonghong.......................................... 592 Garcia, Maria del Mar Rueda.................... 317 Gard, Charlotte C....................................... 525 Gardenier, Turkan K................................... 536 Gardiner, Joseph C...........................370, 425 Garding, Gina............................................. 307 Gardner, Martha......................................... 447 Gardner, Todd............................................. 309 Garfield, Joan B..........................107, 336, 575 Garlick, Marti B.......................................... 506 Garner, Thesia I.......................................... 208 Garren, Steven T........................................... 33 Garrett-Mayer, Elizabeth............................ 322 Garvin, Willaim........................................... 284 Garza, John................................................ 515 Gastonguay, Marc...................................... 505 Gastwirth, Joseph L.....................57, 127, 135 Gatsonis, Constantine............................... 460 Gattiker, Jim................................................ 214 Gauch, Ronald R........................................ 153 Gaydos, Brenda......................................... 559 Ge, Joy (Yang)....................................164, 377 Gebregziabher, Mulugeta.......................... 419 Gee, Roanna.............................................. 283 Geenens, Gery........................................... 121 Geinitz, Steven............................................. 59 Gel, Yulia R................................................. 275 Gelfand, Alan E........... 61, 137, 189, 274, 422 Geller, Nancy........................................23, 393 Gelman, Andrew..........................46, 127, 427 Geman, Donald.......................................... 526 Gemayel, Nader M..................................... 598 Gemoets, Darren E............................366, 524 Genadek, Katie........................................... 309 Genest, Christian........................................ 587 Gennings, Chris........................................... 73 Gent, Janneane F....................................... 422 Gentle, James E.........................130, 270, 416 Gentleman, Jane F.............................321, 579 Genton, Marc.....................................275, 366 George, E. Olusegun.........................268, 549 George, Stephen L............................446, 572 258 JSM 2009 Name Session George, Thomas........................................ 255 Gerard, Patrick D........................................ 231 Gerdes, Geoffrey R.................................... 478 Gershunskaya, Julie.................................. 554 Gerstein, Mark.............................................. 13 Geva, Yulanda............................................ 173 Geyer, Charles J.................................452, 560 Gfroerer, Joe............................................... 258 Ghahramani, Melody................................. 515 Ghebregiorgis, Ghideon......................26, 211 Ghosh, Arka............................................... 416 Ghosh, Arpita............................................. 520 Ghosh, Debashis....................................... 445 Ghosh, Dhiren....................................365, 478 Ghosh, Jayanta K...................................... 374 Ghosh, Joyee............................................. 164 Ghosh, Kaushik.......................................... 262 Ghosh, Malay.....................................246, 323 Ghosh, Pulak......................................105, 262 Ghosh, Samiran.........................399, 535, 542 Ghosh, Souparno..............................100, 139 Ghosh, Subir................................................ 23 Ghosh, Sujit......................... 23, 130, 548, 600 Ghoshal, Subhashis..........................351, 524 Ghysels, Eric......................................344, 415 Gilardoni, Gustavo L.................................. 132 Gilbert, Ethel............................................... 440 Gilbert, Peter............................................... 324 Gilbert, Thomas.......................................... 303 Gilbride, Tim............................................... 396 Gill, Paramjit S....................................229, 468 Gillespie, Bill............................................... 505 Gillman, Daniel W.................................71, 483 Ginestet, Cedric E...................................... 259 Ginevan, Michael E.................................... 464 Gingrich, Dana........................................... 590 Ginsberg, Jeffrey........................................ 210 Giordani, Paolo............................................ 37 Giovannini, Enrico.......................................... 4 Girard, Luc.................................................. 380 Girgis, Ragy................................................ 569 Giroux, Suzelle.....................................33, 571 Gitelman, Alix............................................. 218 Giurcanu, Mihan C....................................... 28 Glandon, P.J................................................ 299 Glanz, Jason............................................... 111 Glasser, Jay H............................................ 437 Glassman, Neal.......................................... 397 Glazko, Galina............................................ 417 Glen, Andrew G.......................................... 563 Glenn , Nancy L......................................... 116 Glickman, Mark..................................174, 589 Glynn, Robert J............................20, 115, 433 Goble, Nicolle............................................. 601 Godbold, James.......................................... 65 Name Session Godbout, Serge......................................... 321 Godsill, Simon............................................ 308 Goel, Prem K......................................221, 562 Goeyvaerts, Nele........................................ 380 Gold, David................................................. 350 Gold, Ellen.................................................. 561 Goldberg, Richard M................................. 233 Goldin, Rebecca........................................ 153 Goldsmith, Arthur J.................................... 356 Goldsmith, Charlie H.................................. 233 Goldstein, Larry.......................................... 561 Golightly, Andrew....................................... 462 Golovnya, Mikhail ................ CE_37T,CE_39T Gomatam, Shanti...............................204, 362 Goncalves, Silvia................................150, 303 González Hernández, Javier....................... 59 González, Andrés....................................... 344 Gonzalez, Jeffrey................ 19, 284, 420, 554 Gonzalez, Jr., Joe Fred........................41, 226 González-Manteiga, Wenceslao............... 248 Goodale, Sarah E...................................... 165 Goodlett, Dave........................................... 380 Goodman, Arnold..............................487, 577 Goodwin, Barry.......................................... 130 Gooley, Ted A............................................. 272 Gordon, Alexander Y..........................115, 417 Gordon, Mae................................................ 64 Gordon, Nancy............................................. 18 Gore, Kristen L........................................... 461 Gorrell, Paul................................................ 458 Gospodinov, Nikolay..........................150, 267 Gottardo, Raphael...................................... 543 Gotway Crawford, Carol............................ 137 Goude, Yannig........................................... 598 Gould, A. Lawrence................................... 377 Gould, Joshua.............................................. 32 Graf, Monique............................................. 173 Graham, Jonathan M................................. 532 Graham, Matthew........................................ 18 Gramacy, Robert B......................21, 374, 395 Grambow, Steven C...........................195, 450 Granovsky, Lena........................................ 275 Grant, David............................................... 454 Grau, Eric.................................................... 421 Graubard, Barry I...................................7, 257 Grauel, Chris.............................................. 590 Graves, Andrew.......................................... 255 Graves, Spencer........................................ 604 Graves, Todd.............................................. 226 Gray, Brian.................................................. 521 Gray, Brian R................................................ 35 Gray, Charlie M........................................... 254 Gray, J. Brian.............................................. 522 Gray, Kathy L.............................................. 166 Gray, Mary....................................55, 314, 496 Index of Participants Name Session Gray, Simone.............................................. 422 Green, Jennifer........................................... 290 Green, Jim.................................................. 421 Green, Nathan............................................ 308 Greene, Darrell........................................... 165 Greene, Michael A..................................... 519 Greene, Tom.......................................380, 438 Greenhouse, Joel B................................... 342 Greenwood, Celia M.T............................... 211 Greenwood, Mark C.................................. 254 Grego, John............................................... 117 Gregory, Raymond.................................... 285 Greiner, D. James......................................... 57 Greven, Sonja............................................ 424 Grieve, Andrew............................................. 26 Grieve, Richard........................................... 425 Griffin, Beth Ann........................................... 58 Griffin, Deborah H..............................109, 186 Griffith, Emily H........................................... 264 Griffith, William S........................................ 381 Griffiths, Richard......................................... 284 Grigorenko, Elena L................................... 428 Grilli, Leonardo...................................326, 518 Gross, Justin.............................................. 404 Gross, Shulamith T..................................... 213 Groth, Randall E........................................... 69 Grover, James E......................................... 406 Groves, Robert.......................................6, 513 Gruber, Joseph.......................................... 267 Gruber, Marvin H.J..................................... 313 Gruber, Susan.............................................. 20 Grun-Rehomme, Michel............................ 269 Gu, Ja K..............................................124, 440 Guan, Yongtao........................................... 203 Guan, Zhong.............................................. 112 Guardiola, Jose H...................................... 602 Guberek, Tamy........................................... 585 Gubman, Yury............................................ 317 Gudbjartsson, Daniel F.............................. 526 Gudmundsson, Julius............................... 526 Guennel, Tobias......................................... 526 Guerrero, Victor M...................................... 383 Guerrero-Romero, Fernando.................... 555 Guha, Saptarshi........................................... 47 Guha, Subharup........................................ 511 Guikema, Seth D........................119, 269, 313 Guindani, Michele...................................... 262 Gulati, Parul................................................ 526 Gulyas, Stephen......................................... 358 Gunaratna, Nilupa S............................12, 404 Gunes, Funda............................................. 163 Gunst, Richard F.................................221, 467 Guo, Chao-Yu............................................. 359 Guo, Feng................................................... 265 Guo, Frank Jian............................66, 138, 354 Name Session Guo, Hongwen........................................... 203 Guo, Hua.................................................... 528 Guo, Jiqiang............................................... 475 Guo, Qiang................................................. 378 Guo, Ruixin................................................. 374 Guo, Wensheng.........................194, 371, 569 Guo, Ying.................................................... 315 Guo, Ying.................................................... 437 Gupta, Ghanshyam................................... 591 Gupta, Mayetri............................................ 399 Gupta, Sat N............................................... 420 Gurevich, Gregory..................................... 566 Gurler, Ulku................................................. 323 Gurski, Katharine........................................ 367 Guthrie, William F.................................74, 598 Gutierrez, Roberto G...........................CE_34T Gutman, Roee.............................................. 76 Guzman, Daniel......................................... 585 Guzmán, Daniel R..................................... 585 Gwise, Thomas E....................................... 160 Haag-Molkenteller, Corneliar..................... 233 Haber, Michael J......................................... 523 Haberman, Shelby J.................................. 156 Habermann, Hermann............................... 584 Habibullah, Mohamed............................... 279 Habiger, Josh............................................. 379 Habtzghi, Desale........................................ 370 Hade, Erinn................................................... 75 Haesen, Raf................................................ 507 Hafen, Ryan P............................................. 220 Haghighi, Aliakbar Montazer..................... 564 Hahn, Gerald.............................................. 577 Hajek, Richard............................................ 561 Hale, Thomas W......................................... 551 Halim, Shaheen.......................................... 343 Hall, Benjamin K.................................120, 220 Hall, David B............................................... 175 Hall, David W.............................................. 284 Hall, J. Brian............................................... 310 Hall, John.................................................... 327 Hall, Natalie C.....................................163, 438 Hall, Peter G.................................51, 121, 341 Hall, Robert................................................. 193 Hall, Simin................................................... 283 Hall, Timothy G........................................... 602 Hallinan, Shawn......................................... 272 Halvorson, Katherine T............................... 575 Hamadeh, Nada......................................... 550 Hamadu, Dallah.................................130, 284 Hamasaki, Toshimitsu................................ 233 Hamer-Maansson, Jennifer E............233, 476 Hamid, Jemila S........................211, 287, 378 Hamilton, James........................................ 150 Hammad, Hoda........................................... 76 Hammerstrom, Thomas............................ 324 Name Session Hamrick, David J........................................ 610 Hamrick, Jeff.............................................. 133 Hamsici, Turknur.......................................... 39 Han, Bing.................................................... 127 Han, Chien-Pai............................................. 74 Han, Gang.................................................. 213 Han, Jing.................................................... 529 Han, Sangmi.............................................. 431 Han, Shu....................................................... 27 Han, Summer S.......................................... 428 Hand, David J.............................386, 534, 577 Handcock, Mark S.............................127, 354 Hanes, John............................................... 440 Haneuse, Sebastien................................... 196 Hanges, Paul.............................................. 293 Hanks, Ephraim......................................... 132 Hanlon, Bret............................................... 545 Hannig, Jan.................................................. 16 Hans, Christopher......................141, 380, 395 Hansen, Ben B...................................158, 260 Hansen, James V....................................... 521 Hanson, Tim............................................... 278 Haran, Murali............................2, 61, 366, 602 Harding, R. Lee.......................................... 284 Hare, Lynne.................................................. 98 Harel, Ofer....................................14, 419, 569 Harlow, Sioban........................................... 380 Harper, William V........................................ 532 Harrar, Solomon W..................................... 320 Harris, Bernard...................................271, 485 Harris, Julie................................................. 596 Harris, Mark................................................ 556 Harris, Marty............................................... 567 Harris-Kojetin, Lauren................................ 466 Harrison, Takisha R.................................... 383 Hart, Jeffrey........................................189, 320 Harter, Rachel............................................. 155 Hartford, Alan H.......................................... 537 Hartless, Christine...................................... 532 Hartman, Brian...................................118, 302 Hartz, Michael J.......................................... 206 Harvill, Jane L............................................. 130 Hashimoto, Masaru.................................... 376 Hassad, Rossi A......................................... 509 Haug, Mark G............................................... 97 Haughton, Dominique.......................130, 450 Haviland, Amelia M.................................... 458 Hawkins, Douglas M.................................. 319 Hawthorne, Timothy L............................... 469 Hayashi, Kentaro........................................ 560 Hays, Ron D................................................. 89 Hayward, Heath........................................... 18 He, Bo......................................................... 132 He, Chong Z............................................... 410 He, Hua....................................................... 419 Washington, DC 259 Index of Participants Name Session He, Jianghua.............................................. 323 He, Jing....................................................... 474 He, Kun........................................................... 1 He, Qimei.................................................... 440 He, Qinying................................................. 170 He, Weili........................................27, 430, 528 He, Wenqing............................................... 543 He, Xin........................................................ 276 He, Xuming.......................... 68, 275, 330, 438 He, Yi............................................................. 27 He, Yulei................................. 64, 75, 216, 343 He, Zhi........................................................ 112 Heagerty, Patrick............... 196, 224, 263, 606 Heath, Elisabeth I......................................... 54 Heather, Tierney......................................... 578 Heaton, Matthew J..................................... 164 Heavlin, William D...................................... 570 Hebebrand, Johannes............................... 473 Heckman, Nancy E.................................... 157 Hedayat, Samad A....................................... 36 Hedler, Frank........................................70, 598 Heeringa, Steven G...................................... 99 Heersink, Daniel........................................... 74 Hefter, Steven P........................................... 155 Heiberger, Richard M................................... 88 Heilbrun, Lance K........................................ 54 Heim, Bob................................................... 284 Heiny, Erik L................................................ 133 Heinz, Daniel.............................................. 286 Heitjan, Daniel F....................................24, 377 Helbling, Thomas F.................................... 244 Helenowski, Irene B................................... 170 Helfand, Jessica G..................................... 165 Helfand, Mark............................................... 75 Hellams, Luvenia........................................ 281 Heller, Allen................................................. 464 Helms, Russell W....................................... 464 Hemmings, Robert..................................... 252 Hendarwan, Erlina..................................... 512 Henderson, Ty......................................70, 190 Hendrich, Ann............................................ 285 Hendricks, Mario........................................ 255 Hendrix, Suzanne....................................... 505 Henle, James............................................. 380 Henn, Scott................................................. 124 Hennessey, Violeta G................................. 233 Hennig, Christian......................................... 66 Henning, Kevin...................................283, 367 Henry, David H........................................... 325 Henry, Kimberly..................................106, 284 Hens, Niel................................................... 380 Henzel, Steffen........................................... 130 Hepler, Amanda B..............................432, 607 Herbei, Radu.............................................. 241 Heredia Langner, Alejandro....................... 313 260 JSM 2009 Name Session Heredia-Langner, Alejandro...................... 313 Herman, Jeffrey L....................................... 293 Hernan, Miguel A....................................... 576 Hernandez, Jose J..................................... 227 Hernandez-Magallanes, Irma.................... 413 Harrell, Leigh M............................................ 69 Herrera, Ana Maria..................................... 118 Herring, Amy.............................................. 268 Herrmann, Douglas J................................. 539 Hesley, Teresa E........................................... 39 Hesterberg, Tim.................................489, 580 Heston, Alan............................................... 550 Heston, Thomas F..................................... 467 Heuvelink, Gerard B.M.............................. 137 Heyse, Joseph...................................408, 446 Hickman, Jeffrey........................................ 508 Higdon, Dave.....................................247, 500 Higgs, Megan D......................................... 366 Highland, Fred............................................ 255 Hikawa, Hiro................................................. 57 Hildreth, Laura A........................................ 281 Hill, Andrew................................................ 362 Hill, Andrew N............................................. 315 Hill, Elizabeth.............................................. 433 Hill, Jennifer................................................ 108 Hill, Mary A................................................. 499 Hill, Walter................................................... 469 Hille, Darcy................................................. 481 Hillebrand, Eric........................................... 344 Hilton, Sterling............................................ 107 Hing, Esther................................................ 466 Hinkins, Susan........................................... 284 Hipple, Steven F......................................... 551 Hirose, Kei.................................................. 560 Ho, Hsiu-Jung............................................ 170 Ho, Judy..................................................... 285 Hoaglin, David C........................................ 528 Hobbs, Brian................................................ 17 Hobbs, Jonathan M................................... 459 Hobson, Kate............................................. 479 Hodges, James.......................................... 292 Hodges, Ken.............................................. 207 Hoerl, Roger................................................. 98 Hoeting, Jennifer........................................ 366 Hoff, Peter...........................................156, 452 Hoffman, Lorrie L..............................277, 290 Hoffmann, Raymond G................................ 72 Hofmann, Barbara..................................... 173 Hofmann, Heike........ 182, 227, 271, 337, 471 Hogan, Joseph W...................... 295, CE_02C Hogue, Carma............................206, 479, 571 Hogye, Michael.......................................... 556 Hohman, Elizabeth L...................72, 319, 602 Holan, Scott................. 14, 104, 410, 413, 510 Holford, Theodore R.................................. 422 Name Session Holland, Mark D........................................... 35 Hollander, Zsuzsanna................................ 609 Holloman, Christopher.............................. 335 Holmboe, Eric S......................................... 285 Holst, Klaus K............................................... 74 Holt, James................................................ 438 Holtzman, Golde I...................................... 593 Holzer, III, Charles E................................... 439 Holzmann, Hajo......................................... 473 Homrighausen, Darren W.......................... 523 Honerlaw, Meghan..................................... 404 Hong, Guanglei.......................................... 127 Hong, Hyokyoung (Grace)................165, 438 Hong, Sung-Joon........................................ 99 Hong, Yili............................................245, 516 Hooker, Giles......................................157, 604 Hooker, Rachael........................................... 18 Hooks, Tisha L....84, 181, 239, 336, 389, 487 Hooper, Emma........................................... 129 Hooten, Mevin B.............. 132, 218, 497, 506 Hopfensperger, Pat.................................... 363 Horick, Nora............................................... 440 Horn, Dan................................................... 293 Hornung, Carl A......................................... 575 Horowitz, Joel............................................. 146 Horsburgh, Jr., Charles R.......................... 440 Horton, Nicholas........................266, 380, 530 Horvath, Lajos............................................ 319 Horvitz, Eric................................................ 396 Hosking, Jonathan....................................... 32 Hosman, Carrie..................................158, 279 Hossain, Alomgir........................................ 217 Hossain, Md Monir.............................370, 561 Hougaard, Philip ................ CE_01C,CE_01C House, Carol........................................81, 556 House, Leanna...................................524, 593 Houseman, E. Andres............................... 350 Hovey, Peter W........................................... 516 Hsia, Jason................................................. 257 Hsiao, Chin-fu............................................. 528 Hsieh, Ping-Hung....................................... 131 Hsing, Tailen............................................... 166 Hsu, Henry.................................................. 591 Hsu, Hui-Ting.............................................. 110 Hsu, Jason.........................................430, 572 Hsu, Ken-Ning............................................ 468 Hsu, Li......................................................... 406 Hsu, Margaretha........................................ 326 Hsu, Valerie................................................ 421 Hsu, Wan-Ling............................................ 440 Hsu, Ya-Hui................................................. 275 Hsueh, Huey-Miin....................................... 380 Hu, Bo......................................................... 383 Hu, Chen.................................................... 168 Hu, Fan....................................................... 162 Index of Participants Name Session Hu, Feifang................................................. 115 Hu, Janice T................................................ 125 Hu, Jiang.................................................... 115 Hu, Jianhua..................................68, 379, 559 Hu, Kuolung............................................... 430 Hu, Mingxiu........................................275, 481 Hu, Peter....................................................... 25 Hu, S. Sean................................................ 284 Hu, Yijuan................................................... 433 Hua, Guangying......................................... 130 Hua, Zhaowei............................................. 374 Huang, Bin.................................................. 468 Huang, Chiung-Yu...................................... 426 Huang, Chunfeng...................................... 166 Huang, Douglass....................................... 255 Huang, Elizabeth T..................................... 327 Huang, Gary G............................................. 39 Huang, Guangwei...................................... 382 Huang, Hsin-Yi............................................ 380 Huang, Hui................................................. 436 Huang, Jian........................................146, 564 Huang, Jian..........................................17, 103 Huang, Jianhua............. 15, 94, 157, 379, 562 Huang, Jinlong............................................. 29 Huang, Lan.........................................105, 398 Huang, Liping.....................................220, 609 Huang, Shongming..................................... 35 Huang, Tao.........................................157, 541 Huang, Wei-Min............................72, 113, 120 Huang, Xiaobi............................................. 600 Huang, Xuelin............................................. 552 Huang, Yao................................................. 204 Huang, Yen-Chi.......................................... 570 Huang, Yi.................................................... 568 Huang, Ying................................................ 250 Huang, Yuanyuan...................................... 271 Huang, Yung-Hsiang................................. 520 Hubbard, Alan.............................................. 20 Hubbard, Rebecca..................................... 427 Hubbell, Bryan............................................. 49 Hubble, David............................................... 71 Hubele, Norma F........................................ 269 Huber, Mark................................................ 455 Huber-Carol, Catherine.............................. 213 Hubrich, Kistin............................................ 344 Hudgens, Michael......................475, 504, 542 Hudson, Jaree............................................ 277 Huff, Larry L................................................ 554 Hugel, Greg M............................................ 440 Hughes, Art................................................. 258 Huh, Jib........................................................ 30 Hui, Sam K................................................. 302 Human, Schalk W...................................... 608 Hummel, Ruth M........................................ 354 Humphrey, Patricia B................................. 367 Name Session Hung, H.M. James..................................... 252 Hung, James.............................................. 547 Hung, Man..........................................380, 438 Hung, Ying.................................................... 21 Hung, Ying-Chao......................................... 36 Hunt, Jr., William F..............................461, 540 Hunter, David R.......................................... 354 Hunter, J. Stuart.......................................... 384 Huo, Xiaoming........................................... 423 Huque, Mohammad F........................324, 505 Hurwitz, Shelley............................................ 97 Huson, Les................................................... 26 Hutchinson, Rebecca.................................. 13 Hutchinson, Rebecca J............................. 413 Hutmacher, Matthew M.............................. 537 Hutson, Alan............................................... 285 Huzurbazar, Aparna...........................310, 456 Hwang, Eunhee........................................... 26 Hwang, J.T. Gene....................................... 559 Hwang, John D.S....................................... 233 Hwang, Wei-Ting................................168, 426 Hwang, Yi-Ting........................................... 607 Hydorn, Debra............................................ 314 Hyman, Bradley T....................................... 377 Hyrien, Ollivier......................................28, 545 Hyslop, Terry................................................. 54 Hysolp, Terry............................................... 569 Iachan, Ronaldo.................................216, 440 Ialongo, Nicholas....................................... 217 Iannacchione, Vincent G...........284, 301, 512 Ibrahim, Joseph G...... 52, 101, 249, 360, 411 Ichikawa, Masanori.................................... 560 Iglewicz, Boris....................................277, 408 Ikeda, Kimitoshi.......................................... 547 Ikeda, Michael.............................................. 33 Ikeda, Morna.............................................. 406 Im, Hae Kyung............................................ 196 Imai, Kosuke...............................127, 436, 568 Imel, Lynn................................................... 114 Imrey, Peter B............................................... 97 Inclan, Carla............................................... 173 Inoue, Atsushi............................................... 86 Inoue, Lurdes............................................. 360 Ioannou, Demosthenes............................. 244 Ionides, Edward......................................... 527 Ionita-Laza, Iuliana..................................... 470 Irizarry, Rafael............................................. 277 Irony, Telba.........................................175, 294 Irvine, Kathryn M........................................ 218 Isakov, Vlad................................................ 611 Ishwaran, Hemant...................................... 535 Islam, Khairul......................................217, 315 Ito, Kaori...................................................... 505 Ito, Shunsuke............................................. 285 Ittenbach, Richard F................................... 589 Name Session Ivanova, Anastasia..................................... 446 Ivy, S. Percy.................................................. 54 Iwig, William................................................ 556 Izem, Rima.................................................. 199 Izenman, Alan J.......................................... 469 Jack, Susan.................................................. 75 Jackson, Arnold A...................................... 394 Jackson, Aubrey........................................ 469 Jackson, Monica........................................ 314 Jackson, Tammy........................................ 413 Jacobs, Caroline........................................ 285 Jacobs, Justin............................................ 524 Jacobson, Sheldon H................................ 479 Jacquez, Geoffrey...................................... 398 Jadhav, Pravin R......................................... 537 Jaffrézic, Florence...................................... 525 Jalil, Munir................................................... 570 James, Gareth............................................ 138 James, Jennifer M...................................... 461 James, Thomas R...................................... 532 Jamshidian, Farid......................................... 20 Jamshidian, Mortaza.................................... 36 Jana, Kalidas.............................................. 415 Jang, Dongik.............................................. 376 Jang, Donsig............. 167, 284, 365, 420, 551 Jang, Gun Ho............................................... 67 Jang, Junghoon......................................... 524 Jank, Wolfgang S....................................... 184 Jara, Alejandro........................................... 360 Jarjoura, David...................................431, 526 Jarmin, Ron................................................ 588 Jauregui, Maritza........................................ 287 Jayawardhana, Ananda A......................... 516 Jebara, Tony............................................... 431 Jeffery, Caroline.......................................... 471 Jeffries, Robin............................................... 76 Jemiai, Yannis ....................................CE_41T Jeng, Shuen-Lin......................................... 516 Jenkins, Brenda......................................... 233 Jennings, Kristofer....................................... 68 Jennison, Chris.......................................... 252 Jensen, Shane........................................... 395 Jeong, Jaesik............................................. 372 Jersky, Brian............................................... 266 Jeske, Daniel.............................................. 274 Jessiman, Barry......................................... 422 Jewell, Nicholas P......................................... 45 Jezek, Mary................................................ 106 Ji, Chuanshu.............................................. 415 Ji, Chunlin................................................... 308 Ji, Yuan...............................................350, 552 Jia, Feiyi........................................................ 77 Jia, Gang.................................................... 280 Jia, Yue....................................................... 156 Jiang, Ci-Ren................................................ 52 Washington, DC 261 Index of Participants Name Session Jiang, Deyuan............................................ 409 Jiang, Haolai............................................... 227 Jiang, Hongmei.......................................... 574 Jiang, Huijing........................................32, 166 Jiang, Huiping............................................ 569 Jiang, Jiming.............................................. 492 Jiang, Kaihong........................................... 280 Jiang, Min................................................... 279 Jiang, Qi................................................43, 233 Jiang, Renfang........................................... 520 Jiang, Thomas J.M..................................... 524 Jiang, Wei................................................... 436 Jiang, Wenhua........................................... 558 Jiang, Wenxin............................................. 164 Jiang, Xiaoping.............................................. 1 Jin, Bo......................................................... 280 Jin, Hui........................................................ 504 Jin, Jiming.................................................. 218 Jin, Kun....................................................... 505 Jin, Lei......................................................... 375 Jin, Yuying.................................................. 361 Jin, Zi........................................................... 607 Joffe, Marshall............................295, 324, 576 Johannes, Michael..................................... 141 Johannesson, Gardar................................ 611 John, Majnu................................................ 275 Johnson, Brent........................................... 581 Johnson, Clifford........................................ 579 Johnson, Dallas E.............................. CE_08C Johnson, Devin..................................218, 497 Johnson, Edward P.................................... 284 Johnson, Jeffrey A..................................... 440 Johnson, Kendall....................................... 394 Johnson, Laura Lee................................... 425 Johnson, Leif.............................................. 219 Johnson, Matthew S..................156, 272, 443 Johnson, Nels............................................ 230 Johnson, Robert E..................................... 433 Johnson, Terri K.................................307, 329 Johnson, Timothy D.....................76, 100, 171 Johnson, Valen E...............................559, 582 Johnson, Wesley O..........................8, 41, 449 Johnson, William E................................... 379 Johnston, Heather M................................. 364 Johnston, Monica...................................... 387 Johnston, Richard...................................... 438 Johnstone, Iain............................................. 31 Jokinen, Jeremy D..................................... 358 Jolly, William M........................................... 532 Jones, Albyn C........................................... 459 Jones, Bradley A........................ 142, CE_03C Jones, Byron.............................................. 256 Jones, Galin L....................................251, 558 Jones, Michael........................................... 116 Jones, Mike.................................................. 33 262 JSM 2009 Name Session Jong, Yi-Kuan............................................. 610 Joo, Jungnam............................................ 393 Joseph, Jonathan F.................................... 601 Joseph, Roshan V..................................... 368 Joshi, Adarsh.............................................. 559 Joshi, Sharad............................................. 398 Ju, Wen-Hua............................................... 271 Ju, Zhenlin.................................................. 433 Judkins, David R........................................ 108 Jugnot, Stéphane...................................... 349 Jullion, Astrid.............................................. 360 Jung, Hyekyung......................................... 317 Jung, Jeesun......................................132, 411 Jung, Sin-Ho.............................................. 572 Jung, Yoonsuh........................................... 130 Junling, Ma................................................. 606 Jupin, Joseph............................................. 469 Jurgenson, Nathan.................................... 284 Kaciroti, Niko......................................372, 409 Kadane, Joseph......................................... 132 Kader, Gary................................................. 363 Kadilar, Cem................................................. 99 Kagihara, Masato....................................... 279 Kahn, William................................................ 98 Kai, Bo........................................................ 159 Kairalla, John A.......................................... 380 Kaiser, Mark S.......................................92, 240 Kakuma, Tatsuyuki..................................... 440 Kalbfleisch, John D......................74, 407, 426 Kalendra, Eric............................................... 49 Kalsbeek, William....................................... 347 Kalton, Graham.......................................... 207 Kamal, Shahid............................................ 469 Kambara, Ayako......................................... 231 Kamer, Gary................................................ 175 Kamin, Steven B......................................... 267 Kaminski, Marek......................................... 519 Kan, Betul................................................... 424 Kane, Michael.....................................227, 337 Kang, Emily Lei............................................ 59 Kang, Guolian......................................28, 470 Kang, Jian..................................................... 76 Kang, Joseph............................................. 136 Kang, Kee-Hoon.....................................16, 30 Kang, Kelly H......................................365, 420 Kang, Lulu.................................................. 368 Kang, Qing................................................. 162 Kang, Zhixin................................................ 232 Kann, Laura.................................................. 19 Kannan, Nandini........................................ 407 Kao, Ming-Hung........................................... 36 Kapani, Vinod............................................. 519 Kapat, Prasenjit..................................318, 562 Kapatou, Aleka............................................. 73 Kaplan, Daniel............................................ 509 Name Session Kaplan, David............................................. 558 Kaplan, Jennifer J...............................314, 367 Karamehic-Muratovic, Ajlina...................... 127 Karney, Benjamin R..................................... 58 Karr, Alan F....................................14, 299, 392 Karrison, Theodore...................................... 54 Kasala, Subramanyam.............................. 110 Kasap, Senol.............................................. 381 Kashihara, David.......................................... 60 Kashyap, Vinay.......................................... 199 Kass, Robert E........................................... 457 Katenka, Natallia........................................ 527 Katholi, Charles R....................................... 380 Katki, Hormuzd.......................................... 559 Katz, Daniel................................................. 228 Katz, Terry................................................... 329 Katzfuss, Matthias..............................215, 366 Katzoff, Myron J........... 58, 148, 284, 513, 517 Kaufman, Cari.....................................247, 346 Kaur, Amarjot........................................23, 599 Kaushal, Rainu............................................. 75 Kawano, Shuichi................................423, 560 Kawashima, Toana..................................... 233 Kay, Kendrick.............................................. 341 Kazeem, Gbenga R................................... 359 Ke, Chunlei.........................................233, 289 Keathley, Don............................................. 155 Keating, Jerome P..............................120, 586 Kedem, Benjamin...............................383, 549 Keele, Luke.........................................127, 568 Keeling, Kellie.....................................415, 563 Keer, David W............................................. 284 Keeter, Scott............................................... 144 Keith, Scott W.......................................54, 268 Kejriwal, Mohitosh...................................... 212 Kelemen, Arpad G..................................... 436 Keller, Gerald.............................................. 563 Keller, Klaus.................................................. 61 Kelley, Ken.................................................. 169 Kelly, Colleen.............................................. 233 Kelly, Roswitha E.......................................... 78 Kelly, W. Robert............................................ 74 Kelner, Katrina............................................ 299 Kelsey, Sheryl F............................................ 50 Kemis, Mari................................................. 326 Kendall, Art................................................... 39 Kenkel, Patrick............................................ 120 Kennedy, Cille............................................. 209 Kennedy, Courtney.................................... 365 Kennel, Timothy......................................... 301 Kennet, Joel................................................ 258 Kennickell, Arthur B...................................... 39 Kenny, Peter B....................................104, 413 Kensler, Jennifer......................................... 601 Kenward, Michael G................................... 136 Index of Participants Name Session Kenyon, Anne E......................................... 420 Kepner, William........................................... 532 Kerachsky, Stuart....................................... 108 Kerman, Jouni.............................................. 77 Kern, John.................................................. 427 Kern, Lisa...................................................... 75 Kerr, Joshua................................................ 283 Kettermann, Anna E................................... 440 Khalil, Umair.......................................122, 319 Khan, Dost M.............................................. 319 Khan, Salahuddin..............................564, 602 Khare, Meena.............................124, 167, 454 Khatry, Deepak B....................................... 446 Khinkis, Leonid A....................................... 430 Khodursky, Arkady..................................... 378 Kiani, Mehdi................................................ 368 Kickham, Thomas...................................... 127 Kidwell, Paul B............................................ 436 Kiefer, Nicholas M...................................... 392 Kiesl, Hans.................................................. 167 Kilian, Lutz.................................................... 86 Kim, Bumsu................................................ 431 Kim, Chansoo............................................. 524 Kim, Chulmin.............................................. 222 Kim, Daeyoung............................................ 29 Kim, Donghoh.............................................. 16 Kim, Dong-Yun...........................230, 601, 608 Kim, Grace.................................................. 460 Kim, Hae-Young......................................... 475 Kim, Heeyoung.......................................... 423 Kim, Ho....................................................... 116 Kim, Hye-Kyoung......................................... 70 Kim, Hyun (Grace) J.................................. 460 Kim, Inyoung..............................116, 270, 278 Kim, Jae-kwang.......................................... 409 Kim, Jay H.................................................. 440 Kim, Jay J...........................................284, 513 Kim, Jessica (Jeongsook) L........................ 26 Kim, Jinheum............................................. 380 Kim, Jongphil............................................. 213 Kim, Kion.................................................... 523 Kim, Kyoungmi........................................... 436 Kim, Kyung Sook....................................... 528 Kim, Kyunga............................................... 373 Kim, Kyu-Seong........................................... 71 Kim, Min Kyung.......................................... 431 Kim, Mina...................................................... 38 Kim, Mi-Ok..........................................159, 589 Kim, Myung Suk......................................... 477 Kim, Nak-Kyeong......................................... 28 Kim, Namhee.............................................. 221 Kim, Sungduk.....................................105, 312 Kim, Sungil................................................. 166 Kim, Sun-Woong.......................................... 99 Kim, Wonkuk.............................................. 213 Name Session Kim, Yang-Jin.............................................. 380 Kim, Yongdai......................................351, 431 Kimball, Sytske........................................... 532 Kimmel, Marek........................................... 200 Kimmel, Stephen........................................ 393 Kincaid, Charles......................................... 329 King, Dennis W...................................175, 592 King, Eileen................................................ 181 King, Heather............................................. 277 King, Martin ....................................... CE_21C King, Robert................................................ 549 King, Susan................................................ 554 Kingsbury, Nancy........................................... 7 Kinney, Satkartar........................................ 588 Kipnis, Victor............................................... 511 Kirgis, Nicole.................................................. 6 Kirkendall, Nancy....................................... 584 Kitsantas, Panagiota.................................. 438 Kleerup, Eric C........................................... 233 Klein, Martin................................................ 268 Klein, Pamela M......................................... 109 Kleinman, Ken............................................ 530 Klerman, Jacob A...............................152, 309 Klick, Joshua.............................................. 130 Klunk, William E........................................ 467 Knapp, Guido .................................... CE_24C Knaub, James............................................ 596 Knaup, Amy E............................................ 152 Kneib, Thomas.....................................42, 424 Knofczynski, Greg...................................... 277 Ko, Chia-Wen.............................................. 333 Ko, Feng-shou............................................ 528 Ko, Kyungduk.....................................369, 527 Koch, Armin................................................ 252 Kocherginsky, Masha.................................. 54 Koehler, Megan............................................ 28 Koepke, Christopher.................................. 127 Koglin, Joerg.............................................. 377 Koh, Ohn Jo............................................... 467 Kohn, Robert J.....................................37, 544 Kohnen, Christine....................................... 284 Kojadinovic, Ivan........................................ 587 Kokkotos, Fotios.......................................... 99 Kokoszka, Piotr.......................................... 319 Kolata, Gina................................................ 294 Kolenikov, Stanislav..................... 69, CE_29C Koli, Rajesh E............................................. 398 Kolm, Paul..........................................425, 440 Konda, Sreenivas....................................... 431 Kondratovich, Marina V.............................. 160 Koneff, Mark............................................... 264 Kong, Lan................................................... 276 Kong, Maiying............................................ 325 Kong, Nan L............................................... 286 Kong, Xiangrong........................................ 382 Name Session Koning, Ruud............................................. 272 Konishi, Sadanori.......................423, 560, 562 Koopman, Siem Jan..........212, 444, CE_23C Koopmeiners, Joseph S............................ 115 Kopciuk, Karen A....................................... 543 Kopylev, Leonid.......................................... 119 Korhonen, Iikka............................................ 67 Koslowsky, Sam........................................... 70 Kosmidis, Ioannis....................................... 121 Kosorok, Michael... 53, 79, 93, 146, 197, 235, 322, 385, 453, 521, 583 Kostanich, Donna....................................... 394 Koti, Kallappa M.................................172, 429 Kott, Phillip S................................33, 154, 554 Kottas, Athanasios..................... 457, CE_27C Koudou, Angelo E...................................... 475 Koutsofios, Eleftherios C............................. 47 Kowalski, Kenneth G.................................. 537 Kozlitina, Julia............................................. 473 Kpodonou, Isaac........................................ 130 Kraemer, Helena........................................... 75 Krafft, Manfred............................................ 507 Kraft, Peter.................................................. 191 Krafty, Robert.............................................. 221 Kramer, Barnett S....................................... 607 Kramlich, Gary............................................ 590 Kravets, Nataliya........................................ 152 Krenzke, Tom................................................ 71 Kreuter, Frauke.......................................6, 317 Krilov, Brian................................................. 516 Krishna, Arun.............................................. 600 Krishnamoorthy, Kalimuthu..........29, 65, 113, CE_10C Kriska, S. David..................................283, 287 Krivobokova, Tatyana................................... 42 Kromrey, Jeffrey D...................................... 284 Kroner, Barbara L....................................... 420 Krotki, Karol............................................7, 284 Krug, Gerhard............................................ 173 Kryscio, Richard J...................................... 380 Kuhn, William.............................................. 313 Kuiper, Shonda........................................... 418 Kukuyeva, Irina.......................................4, 170 Kulasekera, Karunarathna......................... 370 Kumar, Arun................................................ 565 Kundu, Debasis..................................407, 586 Kung, Howard............................................ 570 Kuo, Hsun-Chih.......................................... 607 Kuo, Lynn.................................................... 105 Kuo, Yong-Fang.................................387, 472 Kurum, Esra................................................ 371 Kushler, Robert........................................... 283 Kushwaha, Tarun........................................ 302 Kutner, Michael........................................... 465 Kuwanda, Locadiah..................................... 25 Washington, DC 263 Index of Participants Name Session Kuznetsov, Dmitri V...............................70, 364 Kuznetsova, Olga M.....................27, 123, 175 Kwan, Mei-Po............................................. 469 Kwiat, Aliza................................................. 301 Kwok, Peter K............................................. 421 Kwon, Deukwoo.................................132, 225 Kyle, Tonja M................................................ 19 Laaksonen, Seppo..................................... 349 Lababidi, Samir.......................................... 361 Laber, Eric................................................... 401 Lacey, Michelle........................................... 609 Lachenbruch, Peter A........................386, 464 Lachin, John M........................................... 412 LaCombe, Jason........................................ 132 Ladiray, Dominique............................104, 261 Ladyzhets, Vladimir.................................... 610 Laeven, Roger............................................ 369 Lafferty, William.......................................... 158 LaFleur, Bonnie.......................................... 530 Lahiri, Kajal................................................. 267 Lahiri, Parthasarathi...........................106, 248 Lahiri, Soumendra N............................68, 416 Lai, Yinglei.................................................. 373 Lakshminarayanan, Mani Y..................23, 358 Lam, K. F..................................................... 433 Lambert, Christophe G.............................. 406 Lambert, Philippe....................................... 360 Lan, Flora.................................................... 284 Lan, Gordon............................................... 503 Lan, Kuang-Kuo (Gordon).....................27, 87 Lan, Ling...............................................76, 542 Lancaster, Mark J....................................... 432 Landman, Bennett A.................................. 318 Landrum, Mary Beth.................................. 343 Landwehr, James....................................... 271 Lange, Christophe.......................96, 406, 470 Lange, Kenneth.......................................... 135 Langer, Gary............................................... 144 Lansky, David............................................. 233 Lao, Chang S............................................. 204 Lapidus, Jodi.............................................. 162 Larget, Bret................................................. 311 Lark, R. Murray........................................... 137 Larkina, Maria............................................. 404 LaRocca, Sarah.......................................... 119 LaRochelle, Brenda..................................... 75 Larocque, Denis......................................... 166 Larsen, Klaus G........................................ 111 Larsen, Michael D......................216, 248, 489 Larson, Jessica L....................................... 225 Latimer, Betty.............................................. 326 Laubenbacher, Reinhard........................... 201 Laud, Purushottam W................................ 449 Laureti, Tiziana.....................................38, 326 Lauria, Mario............................................... 233 264 JSM 2009 Name Session Lavallée, Pierre........................................... 421 LaVange, Lisa M...................................43, 108 Lavergne, Christian.................................... 130 Lavielle, Marc.............................................. 400 Lavrakas, Paul J.................................144, 216 Lawson, Andrew B.............................292, 398 Lawson, John............................................. 477 Lazar, Nicole............................................... 105 Le, Dai-Trang.............................................. 281 Leaderer, Brian P......................................... 422 Leary, Cindy S........................................... 532 Lebanon, Guy.......................................10, 436 Leblanc, Alexandre.................................... 120 LeBlanc, Michael............................................ 8 LeBlond, David J........................................ 233 Lee, Alan J..........................................217, 380 Lee, Ann...................................................... 296 Lee, Beom.................................................. 270 Lee, Chinsan........................................29, 370 Lee, Herbert..........................................21, 457 Lee, Hyang Min.......................................... 436 Lee, Hyunshik............................................. 585 Lee, Hyunsook...................................199, 271 Lee, Jaechoul............................................. 527 Lee, Jaeheon.............................................. 368 Lee, Jaehoon.............................................. 373 Lee, Jaeyong.............................................. 278 Lee, James................................................. 233 Lee, Jeannette Y......................................... 380 Lee, Jeong-Ran.......................................... 166 Lee, Jihey..................................................... 64 Lee, Jimin................................................... 268 Lee, Juhee.................................................. 278 Lee, Jungwha............................................. 315 Lee, Kichun S.....................................220, 566 Lee, Kuo-Jung............................................ 132 Lee, Kwan R......................................473, 599 Lee, Kyongryun............................................ 13 Lee, Linda S........................................195, 450 Lee, Meesook............................................... 65 Lee, Mei-Ling Ting...................................... 323 Lee, Mihee.................................................. 354 Lee, Minjae................................................. 276 Lee, Robin.................................................. 216 Lee, Sang-Han...................................101, 353 Lee, Shih-Yuan........................................... 168 Lee, Shing.................................................. 552 Lee, Shiowjen.....................................307, 572 Lee, Stephen M.S...................................... 431 Lee, Sunghee.............................124, 317, 454 Lee, Tae-Hwy.............................................. 344 Lee, Taesuk................................................. 415 Lee, Taewook............................................. 515 Lee, Thomas C.M.................................16, 254 Lee, Yeonok................................................ 611 Name Session Lee, Yoonkyung.................................130, 572 Lee, Yung-Seop.......................................... 379 Leeb, Hannes............................................. 452 Leek, Jeffrey............................................... 607 Leggett, Jana A.......................................... 405 Leiby, Benjamin.......................................... 222 Lei-Gomez, Quanhong.................................. 9 Lejeune, Olivier........................................... 380 Leman, Scotland..................................77, 593 Leming, Carol............................................. 165 Lemos, Ricardo T....................................... 500 Lemus, Hector.............................................. 34 Lenk, Peter....................................77, 364, 376 Lennox, Kristin P......................................... 511 Lensing, Shelly........................................... 380 Lent, Janice................................................ 140 Lenth, Russell V..................................459, 530 Lentz, Katie................................................. 435 Lenzenweger, Mark F................................. 439 Leon, John.................................................. 122 Leon, Ramon V........................................... 334 Leonard, Micheal J...............................38, 376 Leone, Jason.............................................. 461 Leonhardt, David........................................ 352 Lepkowski, James......................................... 6 Lesser, Lawrence M..................................... 69 Lesser, Virginia........................................... 317 Lessler, Judith............................................. 347 Lessner, Lawrence....................................... 34 Leurgans, Sue............................................ 419 Leve, Jay H................................................. 144 Levin, Ronnie.............................................. 540 Levina, Elizaveta.........................138, 170, 354 Levine, Michael............................................ 15 Levy, Deborah L......................................... 439 Levy, Martin........................................130, 531 Lew, Robert................................................. 233 Lewis, Stephen A....................................... 313 Lewis, Susan.............................................. 214 Lewis, Taylor............................................... 284 Li, Bin............................................................ 31 Li, Bing....................... 138, 194, 380, 431, 605 Li, Bo.............................................15, 203, 366 Li, Bogong T............................................... 515 Li, Caixia..................................................... 460 Li, Caiyan..............................................13, 428 Li, Chin-Shang............................................ 424 Li, Erning..................................................... 523 Li, Fan.................................................151, 427 Li, Fang....................................................... 110 Li, Gang...................................................... 233 Li, Gang...................................................... 249 Li, Gang...................................................... 429 Li, Guodong............................................... 122 Li, Guohui................................................... 528 Index of Participants Name Session Li, Heng..............................................307, 592 Li, Hong........................................................ 65 Li, Hongfei.................................................... 32 Li, Hongzhe................................296, 428, 562 Li, Huilin...................................................... 373 Li, Jane....................................................... 365 Li, Jia........................................................... 124 Li, Jia........................................................... 436 Li, Judy X................................................... 274 Li, Jun......................................................... 383 Li, Ker-Chau................................................ 341 Li, Lei........................................................... 257 Li, Lin............................................................. 28 Li, Lixin........................................................ 422 Li, Mei.......................................................... 301 Li, Min.......................................................... 231 Li, Ming....................................................... 223 Li, Mingfei................................................... 119 Li, Minglu.................................................... 423 Li, Mingyao................................................. 406 Li, Mingyu................................................... 522 Li, Muyi........................................................ 515 Li, Ning................................................103, 307 Li, Pei.......................................................... 278 Li, Pengfei................................................... 198 Li, Runze.......................................94, 159, 523 Li, Ruosha................................................... 603 Li, Shelby.................................................... 103 Li, Shuzhen................................................. 356 Li, Ta-Hsin................................................... 565 Li, Timothy Bogong.................................... 515 Li, W............................................................. 525 Li, Wei...................................................67, 134 Li, Wen........................................................ 599 Li, Xianbin................................................... 233 Li, Xiaodong.........................................30, 569 Li, Xiaoming........................................280, 324 Li, Yali.......................................................... 440 Li, Yan.......................................................... 257 Li, Yehua.............................................371, 523 Li, Yi............................................................. 426 Li, Yimei...................................................... 377 Li, Yimei................................................52, 101 Li, Yingfu F.................................................. 214 Li, Yingxing................................................. 212 Li, Yisheng..........................................548, 552 Li, Yue......................................................... 285 Li, Zhaohai............................................67, 284 Li, Zhiguo...................................................... 45 Liakhovitski, Dimitri..............................70, 598 Liang, Faming....................................105, 372 Liang, Feng.........................................318, 582 Liang, Hua.........112, 157, 243, 400, 566, 603 Liang, Kun................................................... 372 Liang, Kung-Yee......................................... 520 Name Session Liang, Yulan................................................ 436 Liao, Dan..............................................76, 357 Liao, Hsini................................................... 204 Liao, Jason...................................78, 325, 481 Liao, Shu-Yu................................................ 607 Liao, Youlian............................................... 421 Lieberman, Jeffrey..................................... 569 Liebner, Jeffrey........................................... 457 Liechty, John C........................................... 602 Lieli, Robert P......................................150, 212 Lii, Keh-Shin..........................................66, 610 Lim, Beng-Chong....................................... 293 Lim, Chae Young........................................ 203 Lim, Johan.................................................. 101 Lima, Luiz Renato...................................... 119 Lin, Anli......................................................... 36 Lin, Carol Y.................................................. 217 Lin, Chihche............................................... 375 Lin, Danyu................................................... 433 Lin, Feng-Chang........................................ 117 Lin, Haiying................................................. 103 Lin, Herb..................................................... 148 Lin, Hung-Mo.............................................. 380 Lin, Ji........................................................... 437 Lin, Lanjia.................................................... 123 Lin, Sherry.................................................... 24 Lin, Shili................................................25, 470 Lin, Thomas................................................ 233 Lin, Tsung-I................................................. 170 Lin, Wei-Jiun.......................................134, 470 Lin, Xihong.......51, 64, 87, 146, 277, 467, 548 Lin, Xiwu.............................................473, 599 Lin, Xue....................................................... 526 Lin, Yin.......................................................... 29 Lin, Yong..................................................... 322 Lindquist, Martin.................................101, 221 Lindsay, Bruce G..............................29, 30, 65 Lindsey, Matthew....................................... 415 Ling, Xiang.................................................. 233 Link, Michael.............................................. 512 Linkletter, Crystal........................................ 101 Linse, Greta M............................................ 406 Linton, Oliver.............................................. 119 Lio, Yuhlong................................................ 603 Lipkovich, Ilya A...................................78, 163 Lipner, Rebecca S...................................... 285 Lipovetsky, Stan........................................... 70 Lippman, Marc E........................................ 305 Lipsitz, Stuart......................................139, 320 Litman, Heather.......................................... 419 Littell, Ramon.............................................. 222 Little, Roderick J.A....... 46, 99, 171, 357, 380, 409, 437 Liu, Aiyi................................. 67, 115, 359, 600 Liu, An......................................................... 103 Name Session Liu, Anna..................................................... 157 Liu, Benmei................................................... 55 Liu, Chengcheng...............................569, 606 Liu, Ching-Ti.........................................96, 411 Liu, Chunling.............................................. 600 Liu, Chunxu................................................ 320 Liu, Dacheng.............................................. 172 Liu, Dandan................................................ 426 Liu, Danping............................................... 528 Liu, Fang..................................................... 162 Liu, Fang....................................................... 79 Liu, Fei.................................................151, 225 Liu, Frank.................................................... 324 Liu, Fushang............................................... 267 Liu, G. Frank............................................... 429 Liu, Hao...................................................... 552 Liu, Jiajun.................................................... 408 Liu, Jingchen.............................................. 569 Liu, Jinnan.................................................. 225 Liu, Jun....................................................... 257 Liu, Jun M................................................... 130 Liu, Jun S............................................378, 495 Liu, Junfeng................................................ 322 Liu, Kenneth.......................................429, 430 Liu, Li........................................................... 529 Liu, Lingyun.................................................. 79 Liu, Lyrica Xiaohong.................................. 370 Liu, May X................................................... 478 Liu, MingTe................................................. 380 Liu, Nan....................................................... 284 Liu, Peng T.................................................. 315 Liu, Rong.................................................... 325 Liu, Rong.................................................... 479 Liu, Shih-Hua.............................................. 380 Liu, Shuang................................................ 532 Liu, Song.................................................... 350 Liu, Tao........................................................ 569 Liu, Tiebin................................................... 555 Liu, Wei......................................................... 36 Liu, Wei....................................................... 375 Liu, Wei-min................................................ 362 Liu, Wenbin................................................. 433 Liu, Xiang.................................................... 112 Liu, Xijian Liu............................................... 301 Liu, Yan K.................................................... 106 Liu, Yi.......................................................... 430 Liu, Ying...................................................... 532 Liu, Yufeng................. 401, 423, 436, 453, 494 Liu, Yushi..................................................... 572 Liu, Zhe....................................................... 135 Liu, Zhenyu................................................. 586 Lo, Simon................................................... 130 Lobach, Iryna............................................. 411 Lobo, A. Peter............................................. 207 Lochner, Kimberly......................152, 284, 355 Washington, DC 265 Index of Participants Name Session Lock, Dennis F............................................ 443 Lock, Kari.................................................... 427 Lock, Patti F................................................. 367 Lock, Robin H.....................................465, 597 Lockhart, Richard....................................... 157 Lockwood, J. R.......................................... 354 Loeb, Peter................................................. 105 Loecher, Markus......................................... 431 Lohr, Sharon...............................127, 357, 573 Loi, To-ha.................................................... 562 Lombard, Fred........................................... 120 Lombardía, María J.................................... 248 London, Wendy.......................................... 518 Long, Kenneth L......................................... 206 Long, Qi...................................................... 581 Long, Stephanie......................................... 601 Long, Yongxian.......................................... 433 Longnecker, Matthew................................ 116 Longnecker, Michael.................................. 605 Looney, Stephen W.................................... 316 Lopes, Hedibert F.......................141, 151, 414 Lopez-Pintado, Sara.................................. 501 Lorenz, Frederick O...........................216, 281 LoRusso, Patricia M..................................... 54 Losina, Elena......................................233, 440 Lott, Juanita Tamayo.................................... 12 Lou, Jianying.............................................. 532 Loudermilk, Clifford.................................... 301 Louis, Germaine M.................................... 312 Louis, Thomas A....................................... 158 Love, Tanzy.........................................200, 568 Low, Ronald................................................ 285 Loy, Adam................................................... 271 Lu, Bo.......................................................... 216 Lu, Chengxing....................................368, 600 Lu, I-Li.................................................245, 456 Lu, Jun........................................314, 410, 506 Lu, Kaifeng..........................................172, 224 Lu, Lu.......................................................... 248 Lu, Naiji....................................................... 419 Lu, QiQi....................................................... 601 Lu, Ruixiao.................................................. 115 Lu, Shu-Ya................................................... 379 Lu, Wenbin................................................. 548 Lu, Yiling..................................................... 433 Lu, Ying.......................................162, 249, 460 Lu, Ying....................................................... 284 Lu, Yun..................................................17, 204 Lu, Zheng..................................................... 34 Luan, Jingyu (Julia).................................... 429 Lubich, Antoinette...................................... 571 Luca, Diana................................................ 296 Lucas, Joseph E................................304, 372 Lucero, Jason............................................. 321 Ludlum, Melissa........................................... 39 266 JSM 2009 Name Session Lugosi, Gabor............................................ 402 Lum, Kirsten J............................................. 312 Lum, Kristian............................................... 132 Luman, Elizabeth T..................................... 567 Lumley, Thomas.........................226, 419, 437 Lunagomez, Simon................................... 201 Lund, Bruno P............................................. 414 Lund, Sigrun H........................................... 526 Luo, June.................................................... 522 Luo, Junxiang............................................. 219 Luo, Li.................................................254, 473 Luo, Ruiyan................................................ 372 Luo, Sheng................................................. 254 Luo, Xianghua............................................ 426 Luo, Xiaohui................................................ 429 Luo, Zhehui........................................417, 425 Lupi, Claudio.............................................. 122 Lupinacci, Lisa............................................ 324 Lurie, Nicole................................................ 458 Lussier, Robert........................................... 321 Luta, George.............................................. 383 Lv, Jinchi...............................................51, 138 Lyberg, Lars................................................ 207 Lyles, Robert H...........................217, 315, 437 Lynch, Miranda L....................................... 132 Lynn, Lorna A............................................. 285 Lystig, Theodore C..................................... 233 Lytras, Demetra.......................................... 129 Ma, Changxing........................................... 379 Ma, David.................................................... 562 Ma, Harry.................................................... 602 Ma, Mi-Chia................................................ 110 Ma, Ping...................................................... 289 Ma, Shuangge............................146, 401, 603 Ma, Shujie..................................................... 30 Ma, Xiwen................................................... 286 Ma, Yan.................................................25, 504 Ma, Zhiliang................................270, 318, 436 Ma, Zongming............................................ 318 Maadooliat, Mehdi..................................... 379 Maathuis, Marloes H.................................. 542 Macaro, Christian....................................... 414 MacEachern, Steven N..............130, 278, 582 MacEachren, Alan...................................... 539 Machlin, Steven............................................ 60 Macklin, Eric A............................................ 377 MacNab, Ying............................................. 292 MacNeil, David A........................................ 114 Madden, Laurence V.................................. 320 Madigan, David........................................ 3, 37 Madlensky, Lisa.......................................... 561 Mafafo, Miranda........................................... 12 Mah, Jeng................................................... 204 Mahnken, Jonathan................................... 233 Mai, Yabing.........................................324, 599 Name Session Maia, Manuela............................................ 421 Maisog, Jose.............................................. 383 Maiti, Tapabrata..........................327, 379, 492 Maitland, Aaron.............................................. 6 Maitra, Ranjan....................................416, 594 Maity, Arnab................................................ 467 Majumadar, Ananda..................................... 61 Majumdar, Anandamayee........................... 61 Majumdar, Dibyen........................................ 36 Makambi, Kepher H................................... 440 Maki, Dan...................................................... 22 Makuc, Diane M......................................... 579 Malec, Donald............................................ 114 Malgwi, Charles A...................................... 130 Malik, Waqas A........................................... 227 Mallick, Bani K....62, 100, 118, 139, 225, 302, 353, 374, 511, 559 Mallick, Madhuja........................................ 529 Malone, Christopher J............................... 336 Malthouse, Edward C................................ 364 Man, Ka S...........................................122, 570 Manage, Ananda................................133, 283 Mandal, Abhyuday.........................21, 36, 214 Mandel, Igor............................................... 215 Mandelbaum, Avishai................................ 432 Manderscheid, Ronald.............................. 209 Mandrekar, Jayawant................................. 417 Mandrekar, Sumithra................................. 493 Manning, Alisa............................................ 411 Manning, Chris.....................................39, 165 Mannino, Frank..................... 1, 102, 311, 476 Manolopoulou, Ioanna.............................. 151 Manski, Charles F....................................... 317 Manski, Richard......................................... 273 Mantel, Harold.............................................. 33 Mao, Changxuan.................................70, 373 Mao, Xuejing.............................................. 163 Maples, Jerry J...................................246, 327 Maplethorpe, Charles.................................. 26 Maranzano, Coire J.................................... 565 Maravall, Agustin........................................ 444 Marazzi, Mario............................................ 321 Marchette, David..........................72, 293, 319 Marchionni, Luigi........................................ 340 Marcus, Bess.............................................. 295 Mardekian, Jack........................................... 17 Marfani, Erum............................................. 286 Margosches, Elizabeth H.......................... 540 Marin, Jean-Michel.....................416, 455, 495 Marina, Meila................................................ 10 Marinac-Dabic, Danica.............................. 342 Marini, Marco.............................................. 261 Marjoram, Paul........................................... 574 Markova, Denka......................................... 437 Marley, Jason D.......................................... 596 Index of Participants Name Session Marlow, Nicole M........................................ 285 Marnich, Mark............................................ 283 Maroulas, Vasileios.................................... 382 Marron, J. Steve........ 220, 354, 385, 436, 499 Marshall, J. Brooke.................................... 324 Marske, Robert........................................... 206 Martens, David........................................... 507 Martienssen, Robert A............................... 574 Martin Jimenez, Jacinto............................. 432 Martin, Begona........................................... 128 Martín, Begoña........................................... 205 Martin, Clyde......................................132, 531 Martin, Donald E.K.......................72, 219, 522 Martin, Jared L........................................... 283 Martin, Robert F.......................................... 132 Martin, Ryan............................................... 200 Martinez, DeAndrea................................... 285 Martinez, Rochelle (Shelly) W.................... 355 Martinez, Shelly W...................................... 332 Martinez, Wendy...40, 85, 241, 441, 491, 580 Martínez-Gómez, Elizabeth...............383, 565 Martinsen-Burrell, Neil............................... 383 Marx, Brian D................................................ 42 Marx, David................................................. 562 Marzjarani, Morteza...........................408, 531 Mascha, Edward J.............................211, 433 Masferrer, Claudia P................................... 127 Masken, Karen C...............................420, 567 Mason, Paula.............................................. 596 Mason, Robert L.................................120, 381 Massam, Helene........................................ 225 Massell, Paul B.......................................... 513 Massie , Tammy........................................... 79 Mathew, Thomas .............................. CE_10C Mathis, Chester A....................................... 467 Mathur, Sunil............................................... 474 Matis, James.............................................. 498 Matov, Vadim.............................................. 436 Matsouaka, Roland A................................ 115 Matsuo, Hisako.......................................... 127 Matteson, David S...................................... 415 Matthes, Nikolas......................................... 285 Matthew, Nelson R..................................... 359 Matthews, Abigail....................................... 135 Matthews, Gregory...................................... 14 Mauromoustakos, Andy............................ 231 Maynard, Alex............................................. 150 Maynard, Jacinth A.................................... 604 Mayo, Matthew S...............................233, 323 Mayr, Johannes.......................................... 130 Mayrink, Vinicius D..................................... 372 Mays, Mary.........................................188, 467 Mazumdar, Madhu....................................... 25 Mazumdar, Sati.......................................... 382 Mazur, Mark................................................ 567 Name Session Mazzi, Gian Luigi..................................63, 104 Mbata, Ugochukwu.................................... 284 McBean, Marshall A................................... 278 McCaffrey, Daniel F.................................... 458 McCaig, Linda............................................ 466 McCalley, James D.................................... 516 McCarthy, Jaki..............................18, 365, 554 McClellan, Elizabeth.................................. 233 McClintic Tanenbaum, Erin....................... 190 McClintock, Scott....................................... 111 McClintock, Shannon K............................ 380 McCloskey, Deirdre N............................... 153 McClure, David........................................... 111 McClure, Leslie........................................... 322 McCool, John............................................. 383 McCormack, Donald.................................... 98 McCormick, Tyler H......................37, 284, 423 McCracken, Michael.................................. 303 McCranie, Ann............................................ 192 McCullough, Melvin J............................... 365 McDonald, Gary C....................................... 77 McDonald, James B.........................521, 570 McDonald-Johnson, Kathleen M.............. 104 McDonough, Shannon.............................. 380 McElduff, Fiona.......................................... 270 McElroy, Tucker S............ 104, 205, 261, 413, 444, 510 McGee, John.............................................. 201 McGee, Monnie.......................................... 233 McGlothlin, Anna........................................ 233 McGlynn, Elizabeth A................................ 226 McGrath, David.......................................... 554 McGready, John........................................... 36 McKay, Lisa................................................ 422 McKeague, Ian.................. 171, 249, 382, 501 McKenzie, John..................................161, 176 McKenzie, Loretta A................................... 519 McLaren, Craig........................................... 205 McLeish, Don............................................. 392 McManus, Tim.............................................. 19 McMenamin, Terence M............................ 551 McMichael, Joseph P...........................71, 512 McNerney, Victoria....................................... 33 McNiece, Karen.......................................... 440 McNutt, Louise-Anne................................... 19 McQueen, Matthew B.................................. 96 McRae, Scott.............................................. 103 McRoberts, Ronald.................................... 137 McSherry, Frank......................................... 193 Mealli, Fabrizia............................................ 427 Medeiros, Marcelo C.................................. 344 Mee, Robert W....................................214, 368 Meeden, Glen.....................................284, 309 Meeker, William Q..............245, 516, CE_18C Meerschaert, Mark M................................. 203 Name Session Mehrhoff, Jens............................................ 104 Mehrotra, Ateev.......................................... 226 Mehrotra, Devan V......211, 224, 324, CE_28C Mehta, Shraddha S.................................... 374 Meier, Kristen L........................................... 160 Meier, Lukas............................................... 580 Meikle, Joanne........................................... 567 Meila, Marina................................................ 95 Meisner, Michele........................................ 435 Mejia, Gloria................................................ 315 Mekel-Bobrov, Nitzan................................. 362 Melnykov, Igor............................................ 432 Melnykov, Volodymyr................................. 416 Melo, Luis................................................... 122 Mendelssohn, Roy..................................... 500 Mendez, Guillermo.............................357, 573 Meng, Chen................................................ 594 Meng, Shawn X............................................ 35 Meng, Xiao-Li........................ 16, 46, 274, 352 Mengersen, Kerrie................................37, 132 Menguc, M. Pinar....................................... 120 Menius, Alan............................................... 408 Mense, Allan T.............................................. 58 Mentré, France........................................... 400 Mercurio, Jeannine M................................ 205 Merikangas, Kathleen R.............................. 96 Merl, Daniel................................................. 304 Mesenbourg, Thomas L............................ 345 Messer, Chris S.......................................... 556 Messer, Karen.....................................322, 561 Meszaros, Peter......................................... 205 Metter, E. Jeffrey......................................... 440 Meyer, Mark J............................................. 470 Meyer, Mary C........................................... 370 Meyer, Perry................................................ 313 Meyer, Peter................................................ 513 Meyers, Adam............................................ 149 Miao, Huiping............................................. 424 Miao, Weiwen............................................... 57 Miao, Xiaopeng............................................ 34 Michaelson, Gregory................................. 469 Michailidis, George........ 16, 31, 74, 138, 354, 538, 595 Michel, Denis.............................................. 472 Michelson, Diane K.................................... 447 Miclaus, Kelci J........................................... 373 Miecznikowski, Jeffrey C........................... 350 Mietlowski, William L............................79, 493 Milan, Lynn................................................. 420 Milham, Michael P....................................... 101 Millar, Anne M............................................. 373 Miller, Darcy A............................................... 18 Miller, David................................................ 445 Miller, Donna............................................... 355 Miller, John.................................................. 233 Washington, DC 267 Index of Participants Name Session Miller, John J............................................... 607 Miller, Kent.................................................. 284 Miller, Michael............................................. 228 Miller, Philip................................................... 64 Miller, Stephen M................................114, 551 Mills, Gordon B.......................................... 433 Miner, Whitney B........................................ 231 Minhajuddin, Abu....................................... 380 Minin, Vladimir............................................ 380 Minna, John................................................ 380 Minnotte, Michael C................................... 424 Min-Seok, Kwon......................................... 373 Minter, Thomas C....................................... 436 Mira, Antonietta.......................................... 455 Miranda, Javier........................................... 588 Miranda, Marie Lynn............................49, 422 Miratrix, Luke W.......................................... 459 Mirel, Lisa B................................................ 124 Mirkin, Boris................................................ 215 Mitchel, Yale B............................................ 377 Mitchell, James............................................ 63 Mitchell, Matthew....................................... 572 Mitra, Ritendranath..................................... 373 Mitra, Robin................................................ 427 Miyahara, Sachiko..................................... 439 Mo, Qianxing.............................................. 372 Moauro, Filippo............................................ 63 Mocko, Megan E....................................... 487 Modarres, Reza..................................546, 586 Modur, Sharada.......................................... 380 Moe, Wendy W...................................118, 184 Mogg, Robin............................................... 324 Mogun, Helen............................................... 20 Moisen, Gretchen....................................... 264 Moldoff, Michael......................................... 114 Molenberghs, Geert...........136, 224, CE_13C Molina, Isabel............................................. 248 Molina, Jr., Angel L..................................... 610 Molony, Julia T............................................ 440 Mondal, Anirban........................................... 62 Monico, Chris............................................. 531 Monjardin, Pedro E.................................... 478 Monroe, Eric................................................. 58 Monsell, Brian C................ 104, 128, 129, 444 Montaquila, Jill........................................... 421 Montgomery, Alan...................................... 396 Montgomery, Douglas C........... 142, CE_03C Moodie, Erica E.M...................................... 581 Moody, James............................................ 192 Moon, Hyejung........................................... 375 Moons, Elke A............................................ 269 Moore, Danna L......................................... 284 Moore, Dirk F.............................................. 379 Moore, Eulus.............................................. 284 Moore, Kelly................................................ 581 268 JSM 2009 Name Session Moore, Kevin.............................................. 128 Moore, Leslie M.......................................... 499 Moore, Page C...................................282, 380 Moore, Renee............................................. 607 Morales, Carlos J....................................... 451 Morales, Domingo..................................... 248 Morales, Mario A........................................ 227 Moreno, Jerry.....................................363, 514 Moreno-Kayser, Javier............................... 383 Morgan, Carolyn B...............................74, 565 Morgan, Charity J....................................... 439 Morgan, Kristin D.......................................... 74 Morgan, Morris H.................................74, 565 Mori, Motomi......................................168, 322 Morley, James............................................ 122 Morlock, Laura........................................... 158 Morris, Carl N............................................. 272 Morris, Jeffrey S.................................350, 449 Morris, Max................................................. 228 Morris, Tracy............................................... 286 Morrison, Carl............................................. 350 Morrison, Peter A....................................... 458 Morton, Sally C...................................234, 386 Moseley, Scott.............................................. 80 Mosher, William.............................................. 6 Moulines, Eric............................................. 455 Moulton, J. David....................................... 247 Moussa, Amal............................................. 127 Moustakides, George V............................. 608 Moye, Lemuel A......................................... 380 Mu, Yunming.............................................. 159 Müller, Hans-Georg.................................... 501 Müller, Peter................... 8, 143, 262, 296, 548 Müller-Harknett, Ursula U...................112, 370 Münnich, Ralf T........................................... 248 Mueth, Nicole............................................. 436 Muhlbaier, Lawrence H......................195, 450 Muirhead`, Robb......................................... 26 Mukerjee, Sayan........................................ 331 Mukherjee, Bhramar....................91, 100, 445 Mukherjee, Chiranjit................................... 414 Mukherjee, Sayan..............................201, 445 Mukhi, Vandana......................................... 103 Mukhopadhyay, Nitai D............................. 471 Mukhopadhyay, Purna.............................. 130 Mulcahy, Timothy M................................... 490 Mule, Vincent.............................................. 114 Mulekar, Madhuri S............................532, 533 Mulle, Jennifer............................................ 406 Muller, Keith E.................... 108, 380, 433, 529 Mullooly, John............................................ 111 Mulrow, Edward.................................284, 479 Mulrow, Jeri M............................167, 226, 345 Mulry, Mary H.....................................114, 479 Munasinghe, Wijith P.................................. 233 Name Session Mundfrom, Daniel J.................................... 531 Muñoz García, Alberto................................. 59 Munoz Maldonado, Yolanda..................... 380 Munson, Ashlyn H...................................... 380 Murakami, Elaine....................................... 207 Murchison, Stephen................................... 244 Murphy, James R....................................... 514 Murphy, Patrick........................................... 601 Murphy, Susan...........................263, 401, 568 Murphy, Teri J............................................... 69 Murphy, Whitney........................................ 421 Murray, Danielle.......................................... 364 Murray, David M...........................75, 108, 233 Murray, Susan............................................ 370 Musal, Rasim M.......................................... 202 Muse, Spencer V....................................... 311 Musser, Bret....................... 172, 224, 429, 476 Myers, Ashley.....................................461, 540 Myers, Jessica A........................................ 158 Myers, Kary................................................. 499 Myers, Leann......................................440, 609 Myers, Philip E.............................................. 32 Myers, Susan L.......................................... 592 Myhre, Janet............................................... 577 Myrskyla, Pekka......................................... 349 Nabel, Elizabeth G..................................... 393 Nachtsheim, Christopher...................142, 525 Nadeau, Claude......................................... 154 Naftel, David C........................... 592, CE_14C Nagaraja, Haikady N..........................170, 601 Nagarajan, Radhakrishnan.......................... 13 Nahhas, Ramzi W....................................... 440 Nai-Hua, Chen............................................ 118 Naik, Dayanand N....................................... 35 Naiman, Daniel Q...................................... 526 Nair, Vijay.................................................... 383 Nakao, Aki.................................................. 362 Nam, Chung Mo......................................... 380 Nam, Jun-mo............................................. 110 Nan, Bin............................... 45, 371, 380, 562 Nandram, Balgobin..............................62, 246 Nangia, Narinder . ............................. CE_21C Napelenok, Sergey L................................. 422 Naphtali, Zvia.............................................. 517 Nardi, Yuval................................................. 193 Naselaris, Thomas..................................... 341 Nash, Maliha S.......................................... 532 Natarajan, Loki........................................... 561 Natarajan, Sundar...................................... 320 Nateghi, Roshanak.................................... 313 Naughton, III, Thomas J............................ 245 Naus, Joseph I........................................... 517 Navarro, Alfredo......................................... 207 Navarro-Moreno, Jesus............................. 383 Navidi, William............................................ 380 Index of Participants Name Session Ndum, Edwin A.......................................... 608 Neath, Andrew........................................... 162 Neath, Ronald....................................443, 558 Nebebe, Fassil...................................381, 524 Neeley, E. Shannon................................... 372 Neerchal, Nagaraj K...........................140, 368 Negrin, Itay................................................. 598 Nelson, Charles T....................................... 273 Nelson, Elizabeth C................................... 548 Nelson, Jennifer......................................... 111 Neriishi, Kazuo........................................... 440 Neslehova, Johanna.................................. 587 Nestler, Scott T............................................ 590 Nettleton, Dan............................291, 372, 379 Neugebauer, Romain................................. 581 Neuhaus, John.....................................45, 196 Neustifter, Benjamin..................................... 35 Neuwirth, Erich............................................. 88 Nevius, Anna B........................................... 358 Newman, Sue............................................. 230 Newton, H. Joseph.................................... 189 Newton, Michael A..................................... 428 Ng Boyle, Linda.......................................... 508 Ng, Hon Keung (Tony)............................... 586 Ng, Moh-Jee C.......................................... 233 Ng, Raymond............................................. 609 Ng, Serena................................................. 244 Ng, Tie-Hua................................................ 591 Ngo, Long H.............................................. 601 Nguyen, Danh....................................276, 277 Nguyen, Hoang.......................................... 439 Nguyen, Nganha........................................ 114 Nguyen, Thuan.......................................... 492 Nguyen, Xuanlong..................................... 432 Ni, Shawn..................................................... 77 Nicewander, David..................................... 476 Nicholas, Gabriel........................................ 380 Nichols, Thomas E....................................... 76 Nick, Todd G............................................... 589 Nie, Hui....................................................... 380 Nie, Kun...................................................... 476 Nielsen, Jason D................................157, 400 Nielson, Carrie............................................ 232 Niemi, Jarad.........................................72, 141 Ning, Jing................................................... 552 Ninomiya, Yoshiyuki................................... 431 Niu, Xiaoyue............................................... 156 Niu, Yue....................................................... 223 Njoh, Linda................................................. 130 Nkurunziza, Severien.........................130, 475 Nobel, Andrew........................................... 401 Noble, Robert............................................. 525 Noe, Douglas A.......................................... 410 Noguchi, Kimihiro...................................... 275 Noone, Anne-Michelle.......................222, 436 Name Session Noorbaloochi, Siamak............................... 427 Nord, Roy...........................................420, 567 Nordheim, Erik........................................... 100 Nordman, Dan....................................203, 366 Nordmoe, Eric............................................ 563 Norman, Greg............................................ 421 Normand, Sharon-Lise T............................ 342 Norris, Dawn R........................................... 284 North, Stephen C......................................... 47 Norton, Harry J........................................... 316 Norton, Jonathan....................................... 325 Norton, Julia A............................................ 283 Norton, Robert............................................ 233 Noubary, Reza D........................................ 283 Novak, Natalija........................................... 111 Novak, Scott............................................... 472 Novick, Steven........................................... 325 Nugent, Rebecca...............................113, 416 Nuriddin, Terry............................................ 106 Nussbaum, Barry D.................................... 540 Nusser, Sarah.....................................365, 404 Nychka, Douglas........................203, 247, 334 Nyirabahizi, Epiphanie................................. 73 Oakley, Jeremy........................................... 348 Obenchain, Robert.............................263, 464 O’Brien, John D.......................................... 311 O’Brien, Ralph G........................................ 589 O’Brien, Sean M......................................... 343 O’Colmain, Benita...................................... 596 Odei, James B............................................ 218 O’Donnell, Sharon I................................... 208 Ogden, R. Todd.......................................... 353 Ogden, Todd..............................189, 353, 501 Ogenstad, Stephan.................................... 417 Ogle, Kiona.........................................366, 524 Ogunbo, Samuel........................................ 285 Ogundeji, Rotimi........................................ 284 Ogunjimi, Benson...................................... 380 Oh, Cheongeun......................................... 164 Oh, Dong-Yop............................................. 521 Oh, Hee-Seok...............................16, 166, 376 Oh, Jennifer................................................ 125 Oh, Sohee.................................................. 373 Oh, Sunghee.............................................. 609 O’Hair, Joel................................................. 221 O’Hara, Brett............................................... 114 Ohman Strickland, Pamela A...................... 78 Okabayashi, Saisuke................................. 560 Okafor, Ray................................................. 284 Okoro, Ephraim............................................ 39 Okosun, Ike S............................................ 555 Olalude, Adegbenga.................................. 284 Oleson, Jacob J.....................................2, 450 Oliveira, Maristela D................................... 132 Oliver, Broderick......................................... 479 Name Session Olkin, Ingram................................................ 97 Olshen, Adam B......................................... 406 Olson, Douglas.......................................... 567 Olson, Kristen............................................. 317 Olsson, Jimmy........................................... 455 Olteanu, Denisa A...................................... 368 O’Malley, A. James.................................... 458 O’Malley, James........................................... 89 Ombao, Hernando.......................15, 101, 566 O’Muircheartaigh, Colm....................421, 512 Onar-Thomas, Arzu...................................... 54 Ondrich, Jan............................................... 369 O’Neil, Bert................................................... 68 O’Neill, Grace............................................. 206 ONeill, Grace E............................................. 18 O’Neill, Robert............................................ 252 Ooms, Marius............................................. 212 Opara, A. I.................................................. 284 Oppenheimer, Leonard............................... 43 Opsomer, Jean.................. 185, 246, 492, 573 Oral, Evrim.................................................... 99 Oranje, Andreas......................................... 154 Ord, J. Keith................................................ 161 Organo, Catherine..................................... 601 Orris, J. Burdeane...................................... 283 Ortiz, Anna Maria........................................ 321 Orwoll, Eric................................................. 232 Osborne, Jason.......................................... 467 Osburn, Jane G......................................... 173 Osgood, Daniel.......................................... 117 Osman, Muhtarjan..................................... 548 Ostrouchov, George......... 180, 245, 334, 485 Ostrovnaya, Irina........................................ 406 Osypuk, Theresa L..................................... 472 Othus, Megan............................................. 426 Otrok, Christopher....................................... 86 Otsu, Taisuke.............................................. 150 Ott, Jurg...................................................... 135 Ottoy, Jean-Pierre..............................112, 609 Ouyang, Peter............................................ 429 Owen, Art B................................................ 341 Owens, Brett............................................... 590 Owyang, Michael....................................... 150 Owzar, Kouros............................................ 572 Ozonoff, Al............................................34, 471 Ozturk, Omer.............................................. 586 Paddock, Susan.. 82, 158, 179, 238, 333, 480 Pagano, Marcello....................................... 471 Page, Garritt L.............................................. 37 Pahwa, Punham......................................... 217 Paige, Robert................................................ 68 Paik, Minhui................................................ 284 Pajewski, Nicholas M................................. 449 Pak, Youngju................................................ 25 Pakzad, Shamim........................................ 516 Washington, DC 269 Index of Participants Name Session Palaniappan, Latha...................................... 75 Palm, Franz C............................................. 122 Palmer, Jeffrey............................................ 446 Pals, Sherri.................................................. 560 Palta, Mari.......................................50, 82, 188 Pamuk, Elsie R...................................152, 284 Pan, Lan........................................................ 17 Pan, Lin...............................................211, 531 Pan, Qing..............................................75, 127 Pan, Qiyuan................................................ 519 Pan, Rong................................................... 516 Pan, Wei...................................................... 275 Pan, Wei............................. 296, 379, 401, 433 Pan, Xueliang............................................. 431 Pan, Yi......................................................... 523 Panagiotakos, Demosthenes.................... 382 Pang, Herbert............................................. 607 Panter, Abigail............................................. 347 Pantoja, Philip............................................. 458 Pantoja-Galicia, Norberto.......................... 606 Papachristou, Charalampos...................... 470 Papanyan, Shushanik.................................. 63 Papp, Jeanette........................................... 135 Parast, Layla................................................. 75 Park, Changsoon....................................... 368 Park, Cheolwoo............................................ 16 Park, Heungsun......................................... 479 Park, Jennifer.............................................. 513 Park, Jin-Hong.............................................. 66 Park, Ju Hyun............................................. 278 Park, Juhyun.............................................. 418 Park, Junyong............................................ 564 Park, Sangun.............................................. 586 Park, Seo Young................................121, 423 Park, So-Hyung............................................ 99 Park, Taesung............................................. 373 Park, Trevor................................................. 318 Park, Youngser.................. 270, 275, 318, 319 Parke, Darrel W........................................... 478 Parke, Tom.................................................. 102 Parker, Barbara........................................... 561 Parker, Jennifer D.................................76, 152 Parker, Portia.............................................. 380 Parker, Robert P......................................... 109 Parker, Robert A.................................430, 503 Parkhomenko, Elena................................. 378 Parks, Daniel.............................................. 599 Parmet, Yisrael........................................... 598 Parmigiani, Giovanni..........................296, 340 Parr, Bill....................................................... 326 Parry, Samuel............................................. 371 Parsa, Rahul A............................284, 459, 513 Parsons, Van L...........................152, 284, 342 Pashkevich, Maksim.................................. 280 Passero, William D..................................... 567 270 JSM 2009 Name Session Pasternak, Richard C................................. 377 Patel, Anand............................................... 233 Patel, Nitin R.......................................102, 446 Patel, Rakhee D.......................................... 471 Patel, Vikas................................................... 27 Patil, Ganapati P.......................................... 398 Patten, Nancy............................................. 362 Patterson, Robert....................................... 607 Paul, Debashis.....................................61, 250 Paul, Ranjan............................................... 245 Paul, Sudhir R...............................73, 315, 371 Pavur, Robert.............................................. 415 Pawde, Sanjay P......................................... 398 Paxton, Brad............................................... 255 Payne, Katharine B...................................... 35 Payton, Mark E...................................133, 286 Pazdernik, Karl T.L...................................... 281 Pearce, Jamie............................................. 461 Pearl, Dennis.............................................. 107 Pearl, Judea................................................ 491 Peck, Roxy..........................................363, 465 Peddada, Shyamal D................................. 474 Peel, David.................................................. 122 Peixoto, Julio L........................................... 456 Pekow, Penelope S............................316, 450 Pena, Edsel A.................... 132, 379, 407, 484 Pencina, Michael.......................................... 75 Peng, Cheng.............................................. 112 Peng, Hanxiang..........................110, 121, 566 Peng, Heng........................................157, 284 Peng, Jie..................................................... 113 Peng, Jie.............................................138, 250 Peng, Liang................................................ 541 Peng, Limin................................................. 603 Peng, Lu........................................................ 31 Peng, Roger D..............................49, 259, 448 Peng, Yingwei............................................. 468 Pennell, Michael...................................75, 526 Pennello, Gene...................................160, 361 Pennington, Terry L.................................... 365 Pepe, Margaret...................................217, 361 Pepper, John V........................................... 317 Perevozskaya, Inna.................................... 446 Perez Caicer, Wehrli E................................ 382 Perez Sanchez, Carlos J............................ 432 Perez, Adriana............................................ 575 Perez-Mira, Begona................................... 563 Pericchi, Luis R........................................... 544 Perkins, Neil J............................................. 312 Permutt, Thomas........................................ 256 Perrett, Jamis......................................418, 557 Perron, Pierre............................................. 212 Perry, Marcus.............................................. 469 Peruggia, Mario.......................................... 582 Pesavento, Elena....................................... 150 Name Session Peter, Hall.................................................... 145 Peters, Kay.................................................. 507 Peters, Tim.................................................. 562 Petersen, Janne......................................... 111 Petersen, Laura A....................................... 285 Petersen, Maya L....................................... 576 Peterson, Anna D....................................... 416 Peterson, John J.......................................... 78 Petkova, Eva............................................... 101 Petralia, Francesca..................................... 151 Petrides, Vicki............................................. 361 Petrie, Adam.........................................29, 120 Petska, Ryan.............................................. 106 Petska, Thomas......................................... 106 Pettit, Lawrence I..................................37, 164 Peyrani, Paula............................................. 476 Pfeffermann, Danny...................246, 347, 510 Pfeiffer, Ruth..................83, 191, 470, CE_22C Pfenning, Nancy........................................... 69 Pflughoeft, Kurt A....................................... 364 Phansalkar, Amit......................................... 322 Phelps, Amy L............................................ 314 Phillips, Bart................................................ 284 Phillips, David............................................. 227 Phipps, KeTrena S.................................... 219 Phipps, Polly.................................39, 140, 357 Piccone, David........................................... 571 Pickle, Linda Williams................................ 539 Pidcoe, Peter................................................ 74 Piekarski, Linda B....................................... 454 Piepel, Greg................................ 313, CE_19C Pierce, Bennett K....................................... 265 Pierce, John............................................... 561 Pierce, Rebecca L........................................ 69 Pierson, Stephen................. 12, 300, 405, 514 Pietz, Kenneth............................................ 285 Pillai, Natesh S........................................... 262 Piltner, Reinhard......................................... 422 Pincheira, Pablo M..............................63, 267 Pinder, Robert W........................................ 422 Pineau, Vicki J............................................ 284 Pinheiro, Jose C...................56, 354, CE_16C Pintar, Adam L............................................ 313 Pinté, László................................................... 4 Pinto, Cathy-Anne...................................... 377 Pipiras, Vladas............................................ 120 Piryatinska, Alexandra............................... 380 Pitblado, Jeffrey .................................CE_31T Pitts, Angela................................................ 257 Platt, Jerry................................................... 130 Ploberger, Werner...................................... 415 Poisson, Laila M......................................... 445 Polansky, Alan M.......................................... 68 Polis, Adam B............................................. 280 Polivka, Anne E.......................................... 551 Index of Participants Name Session Pollack, Jonathan....................................... 250 Pollard, William E....................................... 285 Polley, Eric.................................................... 20 Polley, Mei-Yin............................................ 322 Polonik, Wolfgang...................................... 289 Polsky, Daniel E.......................................... 152 Polson, Nicholas................................141, 395 Polush, Elena............................................. 326 Pondo, Tracy.............................................. 440 Porter, Jeremy R...................................55, 603 Porter, Michael D........................................ 517 Portier, Christopher.................................... 398 Portman, Ronald........................................ 440 Posey, Heather........................................... 130 Posner, Michael.......................................... 425 Potgieter, Cornelis...................................... 120 Potter, Frank................................................. 71 Potthoff, Richard F...................................... 446 Pottinger, Audrey........................................ 439 Pourahmadi, Mohsen................................ 369 Powell, James B......................................... 506 Powers, Randall K..............................167, 478 Prabhakar, N. D.......................................... 284 Pradhan, Vivek........................................... 103 Prado, Raquel............................151, 414, 594 Pramanik, Santanu..............................55, 139 Prasada Rao, D.S....................................... 550 Pratola, Matthew T........................................ 59 Preisser, John S.................................257, 600 Prentice, Ross L........................................... 87 Pressler, Taylor........................................... 195 Preston, Richard A..................................... 525 Price, Dionne..................... 175, 329, 377, 481 Price, Julie C............................................... 467 Price, Megan.............................................. 585 Priebe, Carey E........ 219, 270, 275, 318, 319, 423, 436 Prinzie, Anita............................................... 507 Pritchett, Yili L.........................................27, 50 Prorok, Philip C.......................................... 607 Proschan, Michael..................................... 503 Provost, Serge B........................................ 279 Pruszynski, Jessica E................................ 233 Pryor, David................................................ 285 Pu, Minya.................................................... 561 Puggioni, Gavino.................................61, 593 Purkayastha, D. Das.................................. 377 Putter, Hein................................................. 111 Qadir, Fazli..........................................122, 319 Qayad, Mohamed...................................... 284 Qi, Lihong..................................................... 64 Qi, Xiaoli...................................................... 370 Qi, Xin......................................................... 130 Qian, Huiyu................................................... 72 Qian, Jane ......................................... CE_21C Name Session Qian, Jiahe.................................................. 156 Qian, Min.................................................... 475 Qian, Minping............................................. 223 Qian, Peter Z.G............................................ 21 Qian, Yi....................................................... 132 Qian, Yi....................................................... 477 Qian, Zhiguang.......................................... 383 Qiao, Hongyan........................................... 103 Qiao, Xingye.........................................31, 436 Qin, Gengsheng......................................... 606 Qin, Guoyou............................................... 116 Qin, Jing.............................................154, 275 Qin, Li.......................................................... 157 Qin, Rui....................................................... 493 Qin, Yingli................................................... 318 Qiu, Anqi....................................................... 52 Qiu, Li.......................................................... 362 Qiu, Peihua...................................52, 254, 583 Qu, Annie.................................... 289, CE_04C Qu, Xianggui............................................... 214 Qu, Yanping................................................ 284 Qu, Yongming............................................ 599 Quan, Hui................................................... 547 Quan, Peter................................................ 556 Quasem, Mohammad..........................39, 598 Quenneville, Benoit..............................48, 261 Quessy, Jean-Francois.............................. 587 Quinlan, Judith............................................. 56 Quinlan, Michelle....................................... 529 Quinn, Kevin............................................... 278 Quiring, Steven........................................... 313 Qumsiyeh, Maher B................................... 381 Rabinowitz, Daniel....................................... 30 Rachev, Boris.............................................. 273 Radchenko, Peter...................................... 138 Radley, David.............................................. 324 Rafnar, Thorunn.......................................... 526 Raftery, Adrian E.....................................37, 76 Raftery, Daniel............................................ 221 Raghavarao, Damaraju.............................. 598 Raghunathan, Trivellore E.........284, 342, 409 Rahbar, Mohammad H.....................370, 561 Rahman, Mohammad................................ 123 Rahman, Mohammad L............................ 436 Rai, Shesh N.......................................123, 233 Rajagopalan, Ravishankar........................ 226 Rajan, Kumar B......................................... 419 Rajasekaran, Sanguthevar.......................... 14 Rajput, Adil................................................. 270 Raju, Ramanathan..................................... 285 Rakonczai, Pál............................................ 382 Ram Mohan, Nikhil..................................... 275 Raman, Kalyan........................................... 364 Rambaldi, Alicia.......................................... 550 Rambaut, Andrew...................................... 311 Name Session Ramirez, Caroline....................................... 314 Ramirez, Jose G........................................... 98 Ramirez, Julio A......................................... 476 Ramler, Ivan................................................ 416 Ramos, Magdalena.................................... 394 Ramsay, James O......................157, 400, 604 Ramsey, Patricia P...................................... 113 Ramsey, Philip H........................................ 113 Ramsey, Philip J......................................... 142 Ranjan, Pritam.............................................. 21 Ranwala, Nandun S................................... 133 Rao Sahib, Padma..................................... 272 Rao, J. Sunil............................................... 492 Rao, J.N.K................................................... 492 Rao, Marepalli B......................................... 110 Rao, Sowmya............................................. 315 Rao, Youlan................................................ 572 Rasathurai, Sumirathan............................. 292 Rasp, John................................................. 133 Rassen, Jeremy........................................... 20 Rässler, Susanne....................................... 173 Ratcliffe, Sarah...........................371, 569, 589 Rathbun, Stephen L.............................35, 323 Rathouz, Paul J.......................................... 196 Ratnaparkhi, Makarand V............................ 29 Rau, Andrea........................................404, 525 Raub, Brian................................................... 39 Raunig, David............................................. 233 Rausch, Joseph R..............................169, 560 Ravid, Rachel............................................. 604 Ravikumar, Pradeep K............................... 341 Ravishanker, Nalini..................................... 302 Rawdon, Eric.............................................. 427 Rayens, Mary Kay...................................... 316 Rayens, William S..............................169, 600 Raymond, Robert....................................... 509 Raza, Muhammad A.................................. 469 Real, Leslie A.............................................. 292 Reboussin, Beth A..................................... 217 Reboussin, David......................................... 28 Recta, Virginia............................................ 366 Redelings, Benjamin D.............................. 594 Redmount, Ian H........................................ 127 Reese, C. Shane..........................58, 226, 372 Reeser, Cathe............................................. 255 Reeson, Craig............................................ 151 Reeve, Bryce B............................................. 89 Reich, Brian J...................... 49, 292, 348, 511 Reich, Daniel.............................................. 356 Reich, Nicholas G...................................... 380 Reichert, Jennifer W................................... 394 Reichmann, William M............................... 440 Reid, Nancy........................................297, 607 Reifschneider, David.................................. 244 Reimers, Mark....................................379, 526 Washington, DC 271 Index of Participants Name Session Reinard, Robert J....................................... 206 Reinsdorf, Marshall B.........................140, 578 Reischman, Diann...................................... 418 Reiss, Philip T......................................101, 353 Reist, Benjamin M...................................... 571 Reiter, Jerome....................................427, 588 Reiter, Jerry................................................. 284 Rempala, Grzegorz A.................................. 76 Ren, Haobo................................................ 605 Ren, Jian-Jian............................................. 243 Renaud, Martin........................................... 571 Renfro, Lindsay A...................................... 132 Rennert, Kevin............................................ 405 Renwick, Trudi............................................ 208 Restrepo, Carlos E..................................... 517 Rettiganti, Mallikarjuna............................... 430 Retzer, Joseph............................................ 521 Revicki, Dennis A......................................... 89 Reyner, Daniel P.......................................... 528 Reynolds, Joel H................................264, 422 Reznek, Arnold........................................... 588 Rhoda, Dale.................................................. 75 Rice, Jeff..................................................... 461 Rice, Kenneth............................................. 200 Richards, Donald....................................... 392 Richards, Winston A.................................. 560 Richardson, Mary...............................316, 418 Richter, Francisca G.C............................... 162 Ridenhour, Jamie L.................................... 512 Ridker, Paul M............................................. 115 Rieger, Randall H....................................... 111 Rigdon, Christopher J................................ 479 Rigdon, Steven E....................................... 479 Riley, Fransell C............................................ 74 Ringholz, Corinne........................................ 34 Rising, William............................................ 530 Ritter, Christian............................................. 88 Ritter, Matt..................................................... 35 Rivers, Douglas.......................................... 144 Rizzo, Lou................................................... 421 Rizzo, Maria ....................................... CE_25C Roayaei, Jean A......................................... 599 Roback, Paul.............................................. 153 Robbins, Naomi B........................................ 88 Robers, Simone A...................................... 438 Robert, Christian P..............................455, 495 Roberts, Alice M........................................... 19 Roberts, Christopher.................................. 104 Roberts, Fred.............................................. 416 Roberts, Gareth.......................................... 502 Roberts, Georgia........................................ 216 Robertson, Kenneth W............................... 165 Robins, James...................... 9, 295, 568, 576 Robinson, Cassie....................................... 285 Robinson, Kevin S..............................283, 604 272 JSM 2009 Name Session Robinson, Lucy.......................................... 221 Rocha, Guilherme...................................... 516 Rochester, George..................................... 280 Rockette, Howard...................................... 233 Rockhold, Frank......................................... 300 Rockoff, David............................281, 459, 471 Rodrigues, Vitor.......................................... 168 Rodriguez, Abel................ 262, 457, 511, 594, CE_27C Rodriguez-Moran, Martha......................... 555 Roeder, Kathryn......................................... 296 Roegner, Russ............................................ 213 Roessner, Martin........................................ 547 Rogatko, Andre..................................211, 493 Rogers, Alfreda.......................................... 277 Rogers, James A........................................ 505 Rogness, Neal....................................266, 367 Rohde, Frederick.......................................... 60 Rolka, Henry............................................... 183 Rollins, Derrick...................................423, 568 Rolph, John E............................................ 310 Romanov, Dmitri......................................... 317 Roncalli, Thierry.......................................... 610 Roofe, Andrea............................................ 130 Rope, Dan..........................................182, 358 Rosario, Bedda L....................................... 467 Rose, Charles E......................................... 440 Rose, David................................................ 129 Rose, Sherri........................................419, 518 Rosen, Mitchell J........................................ 529 Rosenbaum, Janet E................................. 425 Rosenbaum, Paul R...........................433, 568 Rosenberg, David...................................... 431 Rosenberg, Yves........................................ 393 Rosenberger, James L.......................366, 514 Rosenberger, William F.............................. 256 Rosenthal, Meredith B............................... 480 Rosner, Bernard......................................... 433 Rosner, Gary L........................................8, 262 Ross, James G............................................. 19 Ross, N. Phillip........................................... 398 Rossell, David............................................. 582 Rosset, Saharon......................................... 562 Rossi, Barbara..............................86, 150, 303 Rosychuk, Rhonda J................................. 380 Rotenstreich, Shmuel................................ 553 Roth, Arthur................................................ 123 Rothman, Adam J..............................170, 223 Rothmann, Mark........................................ 172 Rothstein, Hannah R...........................CE_33T Rotkowitz, Michael..................................... 163 Rotnitzky, Andrea...................................9, 581 Rottach, Reid.............................................. 571 Rougier, Jonathan........................................ 44 Rouhani, Mohammad R............................ 427 Name Session Rowe, Daniel B.....................................72, 221 Rowell, Ginger H.......................................... 22 Roy, Anindya..............................278, 424, 564 Roy, Jason.................................................. 504 Roy, Soma.................................................... 69 Royle, J. Andrew........................................ 264 Rubin, Daniel.................................................. 9 Rubin, Donald B........... 25, 57, 136, 427, 439, 504, 518 Rubin, Herman........................................... 558 Rubinstein, Larry.......................................... 54 Rudoy, Daniel............................................... 62 Rudser, Kyle............................................8, 115 Rudy, Gabriel F........................................... 406 Rueda, Cristina........................................... 474 Ruf, Johannes............................................ 127 Rufo Bazaga, Maria J................................. 432 Rui, Changxiang......................................... 366 Rui, Ning..................................................... 127 Ruiz-Molina, Juan C................................... 383 Rukhin, Andrew............................................ 65 Rumsey, Deborah...................................... 314 Ruppert, David............................. 94, CE_09C Ruroede, Kathleen....................................... 65 Russek-Cohen, Estelle.......................160, 481 Russell, J. Neil............................................ 588 Rutkove, Seward........................................ 224 Rutledge, Patricia C................................... 188 Rutter, Michael A........................................ 272 Ryan, Anne................................................. 230 Ryan, David................................................ 436 Rybolt, Bill................................................... 367 Rydén, Jesper............................................ 218 Ryoo, Ji Hoon............................................. 283 Ryu, Soyoung............................................ 380 Saavedra, Pedro J..............................284, 596 Sabatti, Chiara............................................ 399 Sabin, Caroline............................................. 17 Sabo, Roy T................................................ 268 Sabol, William............................................... 57 Saboya, Dagoberto................................... 122 Sadinle, Mauricio....................................... 380 Sagmiller, Robert........................................ 517 Saha, Krishna K............................73, 110, 111 Saha, Paramita........................................... 606 Sahinoglu, Mehmet.................................... 498 Sahni, Aman............................................... 434 Said, Yasmin.........................................31, 553 Saidane, Mohamed................................... 130 Sain, Stephan R.................... 59, 92, 346, 448 Salazar, Rodrigo F...................................... 254 Salinas, Carlos........................................... 285 Saltzman, Charles..............................380, 438 Salvo, Joseph J................. 186, 207, 339, 490 Sam, Kou X................................................. 495 Index of Participants Name Session Samal, Ashok............................................. 562 Samanta, Suvajit........................................ 430 Samarakoon, Nishantha.............................. 30 Samaranayake, V. A...........................130, 516 Sammel, Mary.............................................. 64 Sampson, Allan.......................................... 607 Samson, Adeline........................................ 400 Samuels, Joshua....................................... 440 Samuelson, Frank W.................................. 362 Samworth, Richard.................................... 494 San Martin, Ernesto................................... 360 Sancheti, Sachin........................................ 302 Sanchez, Brisa............................................. 91 Sanchez, Juana............................................. 4 Sandberg, Kathryn..................................... 222 Sandler, Andy............................................. 478 Sanes, Jerome........................................... 101 Sang, Huiyan.............................................. 220 Sanjel, Deepak........................................... 436 Sankoh, Abdul J...................................64, 149 Sanso, Bruno............................. 500, CE_17C Santamaría, Laureano............................... 248 Santner, Thomas................................180, 375 Santorico, Stephanie A.............................. 378 Santos, A. M............................................... 364 Santos, Robert........................................... 265 Saquib, Nazmus......................................... 561 Sargent, Daniel.................... 54, 233, 493, 599 Sarkar, Sanat........................................27, 429 Sass, Marcia M...................................283, 287 Satagopan, Jaya........................340, 445, 574 Sato, Tosiya S............................................. 561 Sattar, Abdus.............................................. 213 Satten, Glen A............................................ 406 Satterlee, Aaron.......................................... 575 Saunders, Christopher P............................ 432 Saville, Benjamin........................................ 268 Savitsky, Terrance D................................... 225 Savitz, Natalya............................................ 355 Sawant, Pallavi........................................... 436 Sawyerr, Gosford A..............................17, 103 Saxena, Kuldeep K.................................... 378 Saxton, Madeleine..................................... 284 Sayer, Bryan............................................... 284 Scali, Jana.................................................. 106 Scanlan, James P....................................... 269 Scarpa, Bruno............................................ 312 Schabenberger, Oliver............................... 320 Schadt, Eric................................................ 305 Schafer, Dan............................................... 509 Schafer, Joseph L......................136, 317, 479 Schaffer, Jay............................................... 381 Schaid, Daniel............................................ 191 Scharfstein, Daniel..................................... 217 Schaub, Rene............................................. 396 Name Session Schaubel, Douglas E.................323, 407, 426 Schauer, Nick D.......................................... 554 Schechter, Susan...............................109, 339 Schechtman, Edna............................173, 598 Schechtman, Kenneth............................... 555 Scheike, Thomas....................................... 223 Scheinerman, Edward R........................... 219 Schell, Michael J........................................ 213 Schenker, Nathaniel............ 76, 152, 284, 342 Schennach, Susan.............................145, 442 Scheuermann, Richard.............................. 233 Scheuren, Fritz...12, 127, 216, 273, 284, 479, 546 Schick, Anton.....................................112, 566 Schiefelbein, Fernando.............................. 380 Schield, Milo.......................................153, 509 Schildcrout, Jonathan................................ 196 Schindler, Jerry........................................... 252 Schisterman, Enrique................312, 379, 600 Schlein, Beth................................................ 71 Schmid, Christopher H......................210, 343 Schmid, Kendra K...................................... 562 Schmidler, Scott......................................... 164 Schmidt, Kristian........................................ 281 Schmidt, Lara............................124, 125, 127, 128, 129, 130, 131, 132, 133, 134, 226, 227, 228, 230, 231, 281, 282, 284, 285, 286, 287, 378, 379, 380, 381, 382, 383, 431, 432, 433, 435, 436, 437, 438, 439, 440, 530, 532 Schmidt, Mary Lynn................................... 125 Schneeweiss, Sebastian............................. 20 Schneider, Bruce S.................................... 430 Schneider, Paul.......................................... 462 Schnurr, Paula............................................ 209 Schoenberg, Frederic P............................ 117 Schoeny, Rita............................................. 540 Schofield, Matthew.................................... 218 Schorfheide, Frank....................................... 86 Schörgendorfer, Angela............................. 320 Schott, Sarah.............................................. 455 Schou, Sue................................................. 557 Schucany, William............. 162, 221, 467, 473 Schuck, Kristen.......................................... 435 Schuckers, Michael E................................ 606 Schucking, Michael................................... 126 Schuetter, Jared.................................314, 436 Schulze, Roland K..................................... 499 Schumi, Jennifer........................................ 525 Schwager, Steven J..................................... 35 Schwartz, Ann............................................ 436 Schwartz, Lisa............................................ 153 Schwartz, Todd........................................... 600 Schwartzman, Armin.................................. 356 Schwede, Laurie........................................ 114 Schweidel, David....................................... 364 Schweidel, David A.................................... 190 Name Session Schwenke, James...................................... 529 Scioch, Patrycja......................................... 321 Scott, Alastair.......................................45, 217 Scott, David W............................................ 553 Scott, James.......................................304, 395 Scott, Stephen L........................................ 245 Scott, Stuart................................205, 328, 510 Scotti, Chiara.............................................. 303 Seaman, II, John W............................132, 233 Seaman, III, John W................................... 132 Seaman, Julia............................................. 133 Seastrom, Marilyn................................90, 355 Sebastiani, Paola....................................... 399 Sedransk, Nell............................280, 299, 346 See, Kyoungah........................................... 547 Seheult, Allan............................................. 593 Sehra, Supriti.............................................. 420 Seijo, Emilio................................................ 595 Seiss, Mark................................................. 230 Sekhon, Jasjeet S...................................... 425 Sekhposyan, Tatevik..........................212, 303 Sela, Rebecca J........................................... 72 Selassie, Anbesaw W................................. 439 Sellers, Kimberly F...................................... 499 Seltzer, William........................................... 496 Selzer, Martin B.......................................... 131 Sen, Ananda............................................... 407 Sen, Bodhisattva..................................93, 595 Sen, Chingfu................................................. 29 Sen, Debaraj............................................... 110 Sen, Pranab.................................................. 78 Senturk, Damla..................................277, 371 Senyuz, Zeynep........................................... 63 Seo, Byungtae....................................121, 317 Seo, J.......................................................... 305 Septier, Francois........................................ 308 Serban, Nicoleta......................................... 166 Session 1, Winners from........................... 288 Sessler, Daniel I.......................................... 433 Sethuraman, Venkat S............................... 358 Sewell, Edward C....................................... 479 Sezer, Ahmet.............................................. 220 Sha, Naijun.........................................225, 516 Sha, Nanshi................................................ 116 Shabbir, Javid............................................. 420 Shaby, Benjamin.......................................... 59 Shadle, John.............................................. 417 Shafie, Khalil.................................66, 427, 434 Shah, Aarti S................................................. 50 Shang, Junfeng.......................................... 506 Shang, Nong.............................................. 274 Shankar, Venkatesh................................... 302 Shannon, William....................................... 353 Shao, Jin Yan..............................118, 215, 570 Shao, Jinyan............................................... 423 Washington, DC 273 Index of Participants Name Session Shao, Jun................................................... 409 Shao, Nan..................................................... 66 Shao, Xiaofeng.............................15, 369, 602 Shao, Yongzhao......................................... 475 Shapiro, Gary M......................................... 585 Shapla, Tanweer J..............................217, 315 Sharabati, Walid........................................... 31 Sharma, Dhruv........................................... 215 Sharp, Julia L............................................. 231 Sharpnack, James..................................... 286 Shaughnessy, Gerald J............................. 381 Shaw, Pamela A......................................... 323 Shay, David K............................................... 34 Shayib, Mohammed A.............................. 564 She, Dewei................................................. 284 Shea, Brian.........................................521, 558 Sheather, Simon.................................300, 534 Shedden, Kerby......................................... 538 Shehzad, Zarrar......................................... 101 Shelley, Mack............................................. 326 Shen, Dinggang...........................52, 101, 220 Shen, Gang................................................ 220 Shen, Haipeng........................................... 354 Shen, Jie..................................................... 200 Shen, Meiyu.........................................78, 233 Shen, Ronglai............................................. 428 Shen, Xiaotong.....11, 95, 147, 197, 251, 379, 401, 402, 433, 502 Shen, Xia-Yi................................................. 416 Shen, Yuanyuan......................................... 135 Shentu, Yue................................................ 233 Shepherd, Bryan E.................................... 380 Sheppard, Lianne...................................... 437 Shete, Sansay............................................ 470 Shi, Jianjun................................................. 423 Shi, Min......................................................... 91 Shi, Minghui................................................ 151 Shi, Qian..................................................... 599 Shi, Tao.................................................61, 436 Shi, Zengli................................................... 438 Shibata, Darryl............................................ 574 Shiffman, Saul.............................................. 35 Shih, Joanna H............................................. 64 Shih, Tina.................................................... 143 Shih, Weichung J...................................... 322 Shih, Xiaolong............................................ 592 Shil, Prasenjit.............................................. 130 Shim, Heejung........................................... 311 Shimizu, Iris........................................519, 567 Shin, Dong-Yun.......................................... 479 Shin, Hee-Choon.......................421, 479, 560 Shin, Hwashin H......................................... 422 Shin, Mikyong............................................ 600 Shin, Taek Soo........................................... 477 Shin, Yongyun....................................170, 219 274 JSM 2009 Name Session Shine, James A..................................319, 416 Shipp, Stephanie........................................... 5 Shirkey, Beverly A...................................... 437 Shirley, Kenneth.................................117, 395 Shoben, Abigail.......................................... 115 Shoemaker, Lewis H..........................283, 516 Shoemaker, Owen..................................... 165 Shojaie, Ali............................................31, 558 Shook, Stephanie L................................... 233 Shook-Sa, Bonnie...................................... 512 Shore, Felice S........................................... 283 Shores, Roger............................................ 553 Short, Kathleen S....................................... 208 Short, Margaret.......................................... 611 Short, Thomas H................................233, 465 Shortreed, Susan...............................419, 581 Shoultz, Gerald.......................................... 283 Shukur, Ghazi............................................. 319 Shulman, Holly B........................................... 5 Shults, Justine............................................ 589 Shumway, Robert....................................... 546 Shun, Zhenming...................................... 1, 27 Shuttles, Charles........................................ 512 Shvartsman, Ilya......................................... 566 Si, Yaqing.................................................... 131 Siddiqui, Ohidul.......................................... 377 Sidell, Margo A........................................... 440 Sidik, Kurex................................................. 233 Sieber, Karl.........................................265, 508 Siegfried, John........................................... 299 Siegfried, Tom............................................ 253 Siegmund, David......................................... 93 Siegmund, Kimberly.................................. 574 Sigman, Richard........................................ 421 Sigurdardottir, Asta J.................................. 563 Sikov, Anna................................................. 347 Sill, Keith....................................................... 86 Silva, Romesh............................................ 496 Silverman, Bernard W................................ 147 Silverman, Emily......................................... 264 Simeonov, Ivan........................................... 193 Simile, Catherine M........................................ 6 Simmons, Susan J..................................... 498 Simon, Alan................................................ 466 Simon-Miller, Amy...................................... 170 Simonoff, Jeffrey S...............................72, 517 Simpkins, Scott.......................................... 517 Simpson, Daniel........................................... 37 Simpson, Douglas..................................... 112 Simpson, Pippa............................................ 72 Simpson, Sean L........................................ 433 Sinclair , Michael D...................................... 57 Sinclair, Alistair............................................ 251 Sinclair, Tara M........................................... 122 Singer, Eleanor........................................... 513 Name Session Singer, Phyllis............................................. 365 Singh, Avi.................................................... 154 Singh, Jagbir................................................ 23 Singh, Pradeep.......................................... 378 Singh, Sarjinder..........................317, 420, 571 Singleton, James A.................................... 454 Singpurwalla, Nozer................................... 546 Sinha, Bimal.......................119, 440, CE_24C Sinha, Debajyoti......................................... 139 Sinha, Moumita............................................ 79 Sinha, Ritwik............................................... 233 Sinha, Samiran.....................................45, 511 Sinha, Sanjoy K.......................................... 492 Sinharay, Sandip........................................ 156 Sinsheimer, Janet S................................... 135 Siqueira, Arminda L................................... 233 Sirchenko, Andrey..................................... 267 Sirken, Monroe........................................... 478 Siroky, David S........................................... 580 Sirota, Lev...........................................233, 329 Sirotkin, Barry............................................. 440 Sissoko, Yaya............................................. 130 Sitlani, Colleen............................................ 224 Skalland, Benjamin.................................... 421 Skierczynski, Boguslaw............................. 285 Skrivanek, Zachary.................................... 559 Slack, Dave................................................. 478 Slakey, Francis........................................... 405 Slanta, John................................................. 33 Slate, Elizabeth...................................285, 433 Slaughter, Mary.......................................... 458 Slaven, James............................................ 124 Slavkovic, Aleksandra B..............90, 193, 452 Slavov, Iordan............................................. 285 Sloboda, Brian W....................................... 130 Slud, Eric V.................................................. 357 Small, Dylan......121, 260, 295, 431, 433, 475 Smalletz, Jonathan.................................... 517 Smeekes, Stephan.................................... 122 Smith, Adam D.....................................90, 193 Smith, Brian J.........................................2, 522 Smith, Eric..........................................230, 532 Smith, Fraser.............................................. 324 Smith, Jeff................................................... 192 Smith, Justin Z........................................... 477 Smith, Leonard A....................................... 346 Smith, Marla D............................................ 274 Smith, Michelle L........................................ 381 Smith, Mike K............................................. 537 Smith, Philip J.....................................327, 567 Smith, Richard....................................259, 405 Smith, Steven............................................. 609 Smith, William B......................... 408, CE_08C Smith, Woollcott......................................... 320 Smythe, Bob............................................... 546 Index of Participants Name Session Snapinn, Steven........................................... 43 Snavely, Duane.......................................... 430 Snowdon, David......................................... 380 Sohn, Insuk................................................ 572 Solana, Helena........................................... 314 Solin, Lawrence J....................................... 168 Solis, Eric J................................................. 283 Solka, Jeffrey L.......... 183, 270, 488, 564, 580 Solo, Victor................................................. 475 Solomon, Daniel......................................... 233 Somers, Steve....................................461, 540 Song, Aijun................................................... 17 Song, Dong................................................ 171 Song, Joon Jin........................................... 353 Song, Kai-Sheng........................................ 522 Song, Peter X.K..........198, 259, 297, CE_04C Song, Qiongxia............................................ 42 Song, Rui...................................................... 93 Song, Seongho.......................................... 524 Song, Tao..................................................... 64 Song, Weixing.............................................. 30 Song, Yang................................................... 54 Song, Zhaogang........................................ 610 Sonnenfeld, Nancy.................................... 579 Soofi, Ehsan S............................................ 202 Soon, Guoxing (Greg).......................149, 324 Soremekun, Olumayokun.................130, 450 Sørensen, Michael..................................... 383 Sorokin, Anissa.......................................... 114 Sorto, Alejandra........................................... 69 Sothinathan, Nalaiyini.................................. 37 Sotto, Cristina............................................. 136 Soyer, Refik................................................. 202 Sozu, Takashi............................................. 233 Spagnola, Kathryn..................................... 327 Spall, James C...........................228, 522, 565 Speed, F. Michael....................... 112, CE_08C Speed, Terence P................................378, 403 Spera, Cosimo........................................... 102 Sperrin, Matthew........................................ 418 Spiegelman, Clifford.................................... 45 Spiegelman, Donna L................................ 241 Spinka, Christine........................................ 411 Spitzner, Dan J........................................... 166 Spiwak, Steven P........................................ 255 Spouge, John L........................................... 28 Sridhara, Rajeshwari............. 1, 172, 211, 325 Srinath, Kadaba P....................................... 478 Srinivasan, Cidambi...........................120, 220 Srivastava, Muni S...................................... 375 St. Laurent, Roy.......................................... 169 Stager, William............................................ 280 Stamey, James........................................... 132 Stamoulis, Catherine................................. 224 Stanford, Clark M....................................... 195 Name Session Stangl, Dalene K.......................................... 41 Stanwyck, Elizabeth A............................... 440 Stapleton, Jack.......................................... 132 Starbuck, Robert........................................ 408 Starcevich, Leigh Ann H............................ 317 Stark, Philip B.....................................403, 459 Starsinic, Michael D...........................155, 207 Stasny, Elizabeth................................380, 598 Staudenmayer, John.................................. 145 Stedman, Margaret R..........................76, 233 Steel, E. Ashley.......................................... 264 Steel, Philip................................................... 33 Steele, Patrick............................................. 227 Steele, Russell............................................ 416 Stefanski, Leonard A......... 145, 442, 467, 494 Stefansson, Gunnar...........................526, 563 Steffey, Duane............................................ 310 Stein, Michael............................................. 247 Steinberg, David M............................306, 348 Stenberg, Shari.......................................... 290 Steorts, Rebecca........................................ 246 Stephen, Duntley....................................... 353 Stephenson, Paul L.................................... 316 Stephenson, W. Robert.............................. 314 Stergiou, Bill............................................... 269 Stern, Hal.................................................... 200 Stern, Sharon............................................. 155 Stetser, Marie.............................................. 571 Stevens, John R.................................380, 389 Stevens, M.H. Henry.................................. 101 Stevens, Rick.............................................. 274 Stevenson, Betsey..................................... 309 Stieb, Dave................................................. 422 Stigler, Brandilyn........................................ 201 Stine, Robert............................................... 143 Stinson, Martha............................................ 14 Stitelman, Ori M............................................ 20 Stocker, Russell.......................................... 604 Stoddard, Anne.......................................... 419 Stoev, Stilian...........................................16, 74 Stokes, Houston H..................................... 130 Stokes-Riner, Abbie................................... 132 Storer, Barry E............................................ 272 Storey, John............................................... 607 Storlie, Curtis.............................................. 348 Stramer, Osnat........................................... 462 Strasser, Georg.......................................... 303 Stratton, Jeffrey H..............................268, 419 Strauss, Aaron............................................ 436 Strauss, Benjamin........................................ 49 Streilein, James.......................................... 310 Streja, Leanne....................................272, 559 Strickland, Christopher M............................ 37 Strickland, Margaret E............................... 284 Stroud, Jonathan R............................247, 414 Name Session Stroup, Walter.....................................290, 529 Struble, Kimberly........................................ 324 Strudler, Michael......................................... 106 Stuart, Elizabeth A.......................................... 5 Stuber, Jason L.......................................... 380 Stufken, John.......................................36, 300 Sturdivant, Rodney............................418, 590 Stuttard, Nigel............................................. 104 Su, Haiyan.................................................. 566 Su, Ying...................................................... 529 Suárez-Fariñas, Mayte............................... 163 Subramanyam, Malavika........................... 472 Suchard, Marc A................................311, 594 Sucheston, Lara......................................... 350 Sudhagoni, Ramu...................................... 380 Sudhir, K..................................................... 302 Sued, Mariela................................................. 9 Sue-Jane, Wang......................................... 359 Suess, Eric.................................................... 32 Sugar, Catherine A..................................... 272 Sugimoto, Tomoyuki.................................. 233 Sukasih, Amang.................................167, 365 Sullivan, Brian ...................... CE_30T,CE_36T Sullivan, Joe H...................................283, 313 Sullivant, Seth............................................. 201 Sun, Dongchu.............................................. 77 Sun, Hongwei............................................. 438 Sun, Hugette................................................ 38 Sun, Jenny................................................. 315 Sun, Jianguo..............................275, 276, 603 Sun, Jianping............................................... 65 Sun, Kelian................................................. 223 Sun, Lei...............................................198, 543 Sun, Linda.................................................. 233 Sun, Rena Jie............................................... 74 Sun, Wei..................................................... 411 Sun, Xiao J.................................................... 27 Sun, Xiaoyong............................................ 233 Sun, Yanqing.............................................. 268 Sun, Yi......................................................... 134 Sun, Ying.................................................... 379 Sun, Yingjie................................................ 130 Sun, Yu-Hsiang.......................................... 227 Sundaram, Rajeshwari.............................. 312 Sung, Minje................................................ 202 Sur, Ritaja.................................................... 383 Sussell, Aaron............................................ 124 Sutton, Clifton............................................. 607 Sverchkov, Michail..................................... 510 Sverdlov, Lev S........................................... 518 Swall, Jenise...............................422, 540, 601 Swartz, Michael D...................................... 225 Sweet, Robert............................................. 607 Swern, Arlene.....................................211, 233 Swift, Andrew W......................................... 272 Washington, DC 275 Index of Participants Name Session Szabo, Aniko.............................................. 268 Szarek, Michael..................................213, 329 Szarka, John.............................................. 230 Szpiro, Adam.............................................. 437 Taddy, Matt................................................. 262 Tager, Ira..................................................... 581 Tahir, Stephen............................................. 460 Tajvidi, Nader.............................................. 382 Takle, Gene................................................... 92 Talata, Zsolt................................................. 432 Talebi, Hooshang....................................... 370 Talluri, Rajesh............................................. 559 Talukdar, Debabrata (Debu)..............118, 302 Tamhane, Ajit C............................................ 79 Tan, Charles................................................ 529 Tan, Frans E.S............................................ 472 Tan, Lucilla.................................................. 554 Tan, Ming T.................................................. 420 Tan, Wai-Yuan.....................................171, 285 Tan, Xianming............................................. 170 Tan, Zhiqiang.................................................. 9 Tanaka, Yoko.............................................. 547 Taneja, Baldeo K........................................ 599 Tang, Hui..................................................... 233 Tang, Liansheng......................................... 606 Tang, Lingqi................................................ 285 Tang, Man-Lai............................................. 420 Tang, Rong................................................. 160 Tang, Runlong......................................29, 595 Tang, Shenghui..............................1, 172, 325 Tang, Weihua.............................................. 325 Tang, Yiyun................................................. 521 Tang, Zhihui................................................ 138 Tanouchi, Y.................................................. 414 Tao, Jiang................................................... 314 Tarpey, Thaddeus....................................... 290 Tarricone, Celeste...................................... 478 Tarter, Michael E......................................... 382 Tasdan, Feridun....................................68, 417 Taslim, Cenny............................................. 233 Tateishi, Shohei.......................................... 562 Tavare, Simon............................................. 495 Tavares, Ricardo......................................... 398 Taylor, Charles.............................................. 98 Taylor, Dick.................................................. 255 Taylor, Jeremy..............................54, 249, 259 Taylor, Jonathan...................................93, 356 Taylor, Mark................................................. 285 TBD, TBD...........242, 264, 269, 355, 580, 594 Tchetgen, Eric J.............................................. 9 Tebaldi, Claudia.......................................... 448 Tebbs, Joshua M........................................ 380 Teitler, Julien............................................... 127 Tekle, Fetene B........................................... 472 Tekwe, Carmen D....................................... 437 276 JSM 2009 Name Session Telesca, Donatello..............................296, 360 Temple, Enoch C........................................ 383 Temple, Robert........................................... 252 Ten Have, Thomas.............................260, 324 Tendick, Pat................................................ 271 Teng, Chi-hse............................................... 43 Teng, Huei-Wen.......................................... 164 Teraesvirta, Timo........................................ 344 Terraza, Virginie.......................................... 369 Terrell, George R................................113, 278 Terry, Robert............................................... 127 Tersine, Anthony......................................... 207 Testa, Valerie.......................................106, 284 Thas, Olivier................................112, 277, 609 Thavaneswaran, Aerambamoorthy.......... 515 Theus, Martin .................................... CE_26C Thibaudeau, Yves..............................357, 479 Thiebaut, Rodolphe................................... 400 Thijs, Herbert.............................................. 233 Thomas, Andrew C............................270, 522 Thomas, Gilles F......................................... 536 Thomas, III, Joseph................................... 425 Thomas, J. William..................................... 226 Thomas, Neal............................................. 256 Thomas, William C....................................... 58 Thompson, Catherine................................ 233 Thompson, Katherine J...............71, 477, 554 Thompson, Mary E.................................... 154 Thompson, Mya E........................................ 35 Thompson, Trevor...................................... 144 Thompson, Wesley K...........................31, 101 Thompson, William W.................................. 34 Thomson, Cynthia...................................... 561 Thurman, David J....................................... 420 Thurston, Sally W.........................73, 132, 568 Tian, C. J..................................................... 472 Tian, Guo-Liang.......................................... 420 Tian, Lili....................................................... 379 Tian, Lu....................................................... 158 Tian, Suyan................................................. 163 Tiao, George............................................... 232 Tibbits, Matthew M..................................... 602 Tierney, Luke.............................................. 164 Tighiouart, Mourad.............................211, 531 Tiller, Richard.............................................. 125 Tilley, Barbara C......................................... 439 Tingley, Dustin............................................ 568 Titova, Natalya............................................ 128 Tiwari, Hemant............................................. 96 Tiwari, Jawahar.......................................... 430 Tiwari, Ram C............................................. 262 Tiwari, Tejpratap......................................... 440 Tobias, Randall...................306, 320, CE_15C Todd, Michael Jeremy............................... 436 Todem, David............................................. 561 Name Session Todorov, Viktor....................................415, 462 Tokdar, Surya T...................................200, 374 Tom, Jennifer......................................311, 594 Tom, Tammy............................................... 285 Tomazic, Terry J.......................................... 127 Tong, Christopher..............................224, 313 Tong, Liping.................................................. 65 Tong, Tiejun................................................ 607 Tong, Xingwei............................................. 276 Tonkonojenkov, Roman............................... 61 Toque, Carole............................................. 369 Toribio, Sherwin............................................ 37 Toro-Vizcarrondo, Carlos........................... 321 Torres, Jacob.............................................. 269 Tosteson, Tor D........................................... 222 Toth, Daniell..................................14, 357, 573 Toto, Ma Criselda S...................................... 62 Tractenberg, Rochelle E............132, 222, 316 Tran, Bac..................................................... 365 Traugott, Michael W.................................. 365 Traynham, Jane.......................................... 109 Tremblay, Marie-»ve................................... 349 Trindade, Alex............................................... 68 Trindade, David C..............................180, 516 Tripodis, Yorghos....................................... 205 Trippa, Lorenzo.......................................... 360 Tritchler, David............................................ 378 Trovero, Michele A..................................... 376 Trumbo, Bruce E........................................ 283 Trunzo, Deborah........................................ 258 Truong, Sim................................................ 362 Tsai, Chen-An............................................. 379 Tsai, Jerry............................................262, 511 Tsai, Kao-Tai................................................ 211 Tsakiri, Katerina G...................................... 532 Tsao, Chun-Fu............................................ 134 Tsay, Ruey S.......................................298, 415 Tse, Chris.................................................... 460 Tseng, George C........................................ 609 Tseng, Yi-Kuan........................................... 468 Tsodikov, Alexander...........................168, 370 Tsokos, Chris P...................................168, 422 Tsong, Yi............ 233, 280, 329, 463, CE_07C Tsou, Hsiao-hui........................................... 528 Tsvirkunova, Olena..................................... 436 Tu, Xin M..................................................... 419 Tucker, Clyde......................................365, 554 Tuglus, Catherine......................................... 20 Tung, Yi-Liang............................................. 531 Tupek, Alan R............................................. 408 Turek, Joan L......................................209, 273 Turk, Philip.................................................. 169 Turkman, Asuman...................................... 318 Turley, Patrick............................................. 570 Turner, Ian..................................................... 37 Index of Participants Name Session Turner, Mary Clair....................................... 284 Turner, Ralph M..........................390, 439, 563 Tyler, Kristin M............................................. 380 Tymofyeyef, Yevgen................................... 446 Tymofyeyev, Yevgen.............................27, 123 Tyson, David............................................... 498 Tzavidis, Nikos........................................... 492 Tzeng, Jung-Ying......................................... 28 Uddin, Nizam.............................................. 565 Ulu, Yasemin............................................... 376 Umbach, David............................................ 91 Ungvarsky, Edward.................................... 299 Unruh, Mark................................................ 213 Unwin, Antony..............................40, 227, 553 Urbain, Jean-Pierre.................................... 122 Urbanek, Simon ................................ CE_26C Urech, Tracy............................................... 285 Uryniak, Tom................................................ 43 Utts, Jessica M.............................41, 188, 533 Vahl, Christopher I...................................... 162 Valdez, Emiliano A..................................... 587 Valdez, Rodolfo.......................................... 555 Valente, Thomas W.................................... 192 Valeva, Anna............................................... 417 Valliant, Richard....................33, 284, CE_11C van de Ven, Peter....................................... 306 Van den Poel, Dirk...................................... 507 van der Laan, Mark J...... 9, 20, 291, 518, 581 van der Vaart, Aad........................................ 53 van Dyk, David A..................................44, 199 van Erven, Tim............................................ 305 van Houwelingen, Hans C......................... 111 Van Meter, Emily M.................................... 322 Van Mullekom, Jennifer............................... 74 Van Ness, Peter H................................83, 471 van Norden, Simon.................................... 303 Vance, Eric..........................................283, 593 Vandenhende, François............................ 360 Vander Wiel, Scott..............................214, 226 VanderWeele, Tyler............................260, 295 VanDyke, Rhonda...................................... 457 Vannucci, Marina....... 225, 353, 360, 511, 535 Vapiwala, Neha.......................................... 168 Vardeman, Stephen B................................. 37 Varian, Hal.................................................. 376 Vartivarian, Sonya................................46, 167 Vastine, Robert........................................... 187 Vatsa, Richa................................................ 611 Vaughan, Joel........................................16, 74 Vedantam, Shankar................................... 352 Veen, Alejandro.......................................... 477 Vega, Clara................................................. 303 Velilla, Santiago.......................................... 423 Velucchi, Margherita............................38, 326 Vengazhiyil, Roshan J................................ 214 Name Session Venkatesan, Rajkumar............................... 302 Venkatesan, Subramaniam....................... 110 Ver Hoef, Jay.............................................. 497 Vera-Licona, Paola..................................... 201 Verbeke, Geert...........136, 224, 525, CE_13C Verbeke, Wouter......................................... 507 Verducci, Joseph S............. 10, 502, 538, 572 Vernon, Ian................................................. 593 Vespignani, Alessandro............................. 192 Vexler, Albert.......................................379, 566 Viboud, Cecile.............................................. 34 Vidakovic, Brani..........................177, 220, 566 Vidyashankar, Anand................................. 545 Vieira, Verónica............................................. 32 Viele, Kert.................................................... 457 Vigfusson, Robert....................................... 267 Vila, Bryan................................................... 124 Villagran, Alejandro.................................... 353 Villar, Ana.................................................... 284 Villena, Paul................................................ 571 Vining, Geoff G...................................142, 368 Violanti, John M..................................124, 440 Vishnuvajjala, Lakshmi.............................. 361 Vitek, Olga.................................................. 221 Vo, Ba Tuong.............................................. 308 Vo, Ba-Ngu................................................. 308 Vogelsang, Tim.......................................... 150 Vogt, Andrew.............................................. 478 Vogt, Martin................................................ 248 von Sanden, Nicholas............................... 261 Voss, Dan................................................... 169 Vovk, Vladimir............................................. 305 Vsevolozhskaya, Olga............................... 254 Vu, Duy....................................................... 193 Vu, Vincent.................................................. 341 Vuga, Marike.............................................. 555 Vyas, Nisarg.......................................423, 568 Wager, Carrie.............................................. 233 Wager, Tor D................................................. 76 Wagner, James.............................................. 6 Wahba, Grace....................................189, 451 Wahed, Abdus S................................439, 581 Wahl, Richard L.......................................... 467 Wai, Chi....................................................... 119 Wake, Virginia............................................. 114 Wakefield, Jon............................................ 200 Walderhaug, Mark O............................73, 285 Waldman, Scott.......................................... 569 Walker, John............................................... 266 Wallace, Mark............................................. 187 Waller, Jennifer L........................................ 316 Waller, Lance A.................... 61, 217, 292, 391 Wallet, Bradley C................................271, 471 Wallman, Katherine.................................... 584 Walsh, Ronald.............................................. 18 Name Session Waltermaurer, Eve M.................................... 19 Wan, Hong................................................. 162 Wan, Lin...................................................... 223 Wan, Shuyan (Sabrina)............................. 526 Wang, Antai................................................ 426 Wang, Bushi............................................... 123 Wang, Chamont Wei Hong....................... 435 Wang, Chia-Ning........................................ 380 Wang, Fangfang......................................... 415 Wang, George H.K..................................... 130 Wang, Haibin.............................................. 531 Wang, Hao.................................................. 151 Wang, Hong.......................................204, 307 Wang, Honggang...................................... 436 Wang, Hongkun......................................... 243 Wang, Hongwei..........................211, 233, 528 Wang, Huaguo........................................... 126 Wang, Huixia (Judy)...........................159, 442 Wang, Jane-Ling.......................................... 52 Wang, Jean (Chinying)................................ 26 Wang, Jianming......................................... 233 Wang, Jiantian.............................................. 67 Wang, Ji-Ping............................................. 564 Wang, Jiu.................................................... 438 Wang, Jung-Chao...................................... 227 Wang, Junhui............................................. 401 Wang, Lan.................................................. 159 Wang, Li (Lily).................................15, 42, 112 Wang, Lianming.................................262, 506 Wang, Lifeng.............................................. 562 Wang, Liuxia............................................... 374 Wang, Luming............................................ 118 Wang, Mei-Cheng............... 25, 217, 518, 561 Wang, Minglong A..................................... 570 Wang, Molin................................................. 24 Wang, Nae-Yuh........................................... 523 Wang, Naisyin....................................371, 523 Wang, Nancy......................................236, 472 Wang, Nancy N.......................................... 379 Wang, Ouhong........................................... 263 Wang, Pei...........................................138, 250 Wang, Qin...........................................138, 375 Wang, Ranran............................................ 127 Wang, Rui................................................... 158 Wang, Shubing..........................171, 224, 313 Wang, Sijian........................................375, 562 Wang, Sue-Jane.......... 56, 252, 359, 393, 460 Wang, Suojin.............................................. 424 Wang, Wan-Lun.......................................... 113 Wang, Wei.................................................. 260 Wang, Weichung.......................................... 21 Wang, William............................................. 324 Wang, Xia................................................... 100 Wang, Xiaohui............................................ 374 Wang, Xiaojing........................................... 112 Washington, DC 277 Index of Participants Name Session Wang, Xiaoyan........................................... 426 Wang, Xin V................................................. 378 Wang, Xingbin............................................ 609 Wang, Xinlei................................................ 378 Wang, Xueqin............................................... 96 Wang, Yang................................................ 134 Wang, Yazhen............................................ 541 Wang, Yibin.................................................. 79 Wang, Ying-Fang......................................... 64 Wang, Yining......................................429, 472 Wang, Yishi................................................. 603 Wang, Yong................................................ 112 Wang, Yongmei (Michelle)................113, 318 Wang, Yuchung J....................................... 219 Wang, Yuedong.................................157, 289 Wang, Zhen................................................ 582 Wang, Zheng.............................................. 134 Warde, William........................................... 169 Warfield, Joseph........................................ 424 Waring, Stephen C..................................... 437 Warren, Don R............................................ 515 Warren, Stephen........................................ 406 Wasserman, Larry...................................... 199 Wasserman, Stanley..........................192, 293 Wathen, J. Kyle............................................. 25 Wattenberg, Frank..................................... 418 Waugh, Shawna......................................... 483 Weaver, Mark.............................................. 600 Weber, Michael........................................... 106 Webster, Thomas F....................................... 32 Weese, Maria.............................................. 383 Wefelmeyer, Wolfgang.......................112, 279 Wegkamp, Marten..................................... 402 Wegman, Edward J.............. 31, 40, 553, 580 Wehrly, Tom.................................................. 30 Wei, Fengrong............................................ 146 Wei, Lee-Jen............................................... 149 Wei, Lee-Jen.........................................87, 158 Wei, Rong...........................................284, 440 Wei, Wei...................................................... 383 Wei, William................................................ 515 Wei, Xiaodan.............................................. 224 Wei, Ying.............................................116, 442 Weidman, Lynn.......................................... 109 Weinberg, Clarice R..................................... 91 Weinberg, Daniel H.................................... 394 Weinberg, Janice......................................... 32 Weintraub, Eric............................................. 34 Weintraub, William S.................................. 425 Weir, Bruce................................................. 135 Weisang, Guillaume...........................450, 610 Weiss, Robert E............................64, 127, 272 Weissfeld, Lisa A.........................26, 213, 467 Weitzner, Daniel.......................................... 148 Welk, Gregory............................365, 423, 568 278 JSM 2009 Name Session Wellington, John F...................................... 313 Wellner, Jon A.......................................53, 197 Wells, Beric................................................. 313 Welsh, Robert C......................................... 468 Wen, Meggie.............................................. 605 Wen, Miin-Jye............................................. 110 Wen, Musen............................................... 610 Wen, Shihua................................................. 27 Wen, Yalu.................................................... 223 Wendelberger, James................................ 118 Wendelberger, Joanne R...................447, 499 Wendt, Herwig............................................ 120 Weng, Weifeng........................................... 285 Wermuth, Nanny........................................ 235 Werner, Reinartz......................................... 302 West, Brady T.............................................. 167 West, Kenneth............................................ 344 West, Mike................. 141, 151, 304, 308, 414 West, R. Webster........................................ 566 Westerhout, Cynthia M.............................. 468 Westfall, Peter...................... 41, 188, 290, 575 Westveld, Anton......................................... 278 Weyand, Amber E...................................... 120 Whalen, Elizabeth A................................... 245 Wheatcroft, Gloria......................152, 284, 355 Wheeler, David C........................................ 292 Whitaker, Jennifer N.................................. 519 White, Andrew.............................................. 19 White, John T............................................. 374 White, Ronald L.......................................... 471 Whitehead, Nedra...................................... 257 Whiting, David G........................................ 521 Whitmore, George A.................................. 323 Whittaker, Kyle............................................ 367 Wick, Jo...................................................... 233 Wickham, Charlotte................................... 227 Wickham, Hadley...............................227, 387 Wicklin, Rick............................................... 227 Wiener, Joshua............................................... 7 Wiens, Brian L..............................79, 233, 430 Wijekularathna, Danush............................ 133 Wikle, Christopher......................247, 410, 500 Wilcock, Jennifer L..................................... 380 Wild, Chris............................................45, 217 Wildi, Marc.................................................... 63 Wilding, Gregory E..................................... 285 Wileyto, Paul E........................................... 377 Wilke, Ralf................................................... 130 Wilkins, Kenneth J...................................... 425 Wilkinson, Leland......................................... 47 Wilkinson, William E...........................195, 450 Willemain, Thomas.................................... 602 Williams, Andre A.A................................... 379 Williams, Christopher J.............................. 525 Williams, D. Keith........................................ 380 Name Session Williams, Daniel E...................................... 284 Williams, Jacqueline P.................................. 73 Williams, Karen P........................................ 561 Williams, Matthew..............................601, 608 Williams, Rick............................................. 257 Williamson, David........................................... 7 Williamson, John M.................................... 380 Willis, Henry H............................................ 517 Willoughby, Lisa M..................................... 127 Wilmes, Anja............................................... 233 Wilson, Alyson...143, 177, 226, 331, 397, 482 Wilson, Jason.......................................80, 380 Wilson, Jeffrey R........................................ 110 Wilson, Jonathan....................................... 228 Winkler, Othmar W..................................... 173 Winkler, William E......................................... 71 Winstein, Keith............................................ 253 Wirth, Norbert.......................................70, 598 Witmer, Jeff................................................. 514 Witt, Michael B....................................167, 327 Wittes, Janet.................................50, 486, 503 Wittkowski, Knut M..................................... 536 Woldie, Mammo......................................... 326 Wolf, Bethany............................................. 433 Wolf, Jennifer.............................................. 590 Wolf, Katja................................................... 173 Wolf-Branigin, Michael............................... 285 Wolfe, Doug..........................................10, 598 Wolfson, David B........................................ 561 Wolfson, Julian........................................... 504 Wolos, Cassandra K.................................. 518 Woloshin, Steven....................................... 153 Wolpert, Robert L...............................201, 346 Wolter, Kirk.................................................. 327 Wong, Erica................................................ 413 Wong, Peggy................................................ 25 Wong, Philip............................................... 283 Wong, Seok................................................ 233 Wong, Wing H............................................ 219 Wood, Ian A................................................ 378 Wood, Kevin............................................... 397 Woodall, William H....................................... 27 Woodard, Dawn......................................... 593 Woodard, LeChauncy D........................... 285 Woodcock, Simon..................................... 588 Woodruff, Stephen....................................... 99 Woodruff, Tracey........................................ 152 Woods, Dave......................................214, 306 Woodward, Mark........................................ 555 Woodward, Phil.......................................... 427 Woodward, Roger...................................... 461 Woodward, Wayne A.........................221, 467 Woodyard, Amerine................................... 596 Woolford, Sam...........................188, 450, 486 Wooten, Karen........................................... 421 Index of Participants Name Session Wooten, Terri.............................................. 380 Wortham, James........................................ 264 Wothke, Werner..................................387, 472 Wouhib, Abera........................................... 124 Wraith, Darren............................................ 455 Wright, Adam.....................................418, 590 Wright, Fred A............................................ 520 Wright, Jonathan H.................................... 344 Wright, Stephen E...................................... 410 Wrolstad, Danielle M.................................. 271 Wu, C.F. Jeff..........................................21, 214 Wu, Chengqing.......................................... 115 Wu, Chengying............................80, 236, 387 Wu, Chih-Chieh.......................................... 411 Wu, Colin O........................................359, 393 Wu, Han-Ming............................................ 134 Wu, Hongsheng......................................... 359 Wu, Huaiqing.............................................. 313 Wu, Hulin........................... 400, 565, 600, 611 Wu, Jiaying................................................. 285 Wu, Jincao.................................................... 76 Wu, Lin........................................................ 362 Wu, Michael................................................ 277 Wu, Peng.................................................... 532 Wu, Ping-Shi............................................... 120 Wu, Tracy Z................................................ 159 Wu, Wensong............................................. 132 Wu, Xiaoru.................................................. 116 Wu, Xiaowei................................................ 200 Wu, Yichao.................................401, 494, 562 Wu, Yuanshan............................................ 116 Wu, Yuefeng.........................................62, 524 Wu, Yuehui................................................. 123 Wu, Yujun..............................................26, 224 Wu, Yukan.................................................. 368 Wu, Yu-te.................................................... 280 Wulfe, Martin............................................... 381 Wun, Lap-Ming............................................. 60 Wyner, Abraham........................................ 395 Xia, Jessie Qing.......................................... 325 Xia, Jing...................................................... 318 Xia, Kanru................................................... 421 Xia, Li............................ 38, 118, 215, 423, 570 Xia, Yanping.................................................. 29 Xiang, Liming.............................................. 270 Xiao, Guanghua.................................378, 380 Xiaofei, Wang.....................................520, 606 Xie, Dawei................................................... 342 Xie, Hansheng............................................ 321 Xie, Hui..................................................24, 477 Xie, Hui........................................................ 609 Xie, Jichun..........................................373, 428 Xie, Ming...................... 38, 118, 215, 423, 570 Xie, Minge...........................................416, 522 Xie, Tailiang................................................. 592 Name Session Xie, Wangang............................................. 105 Xie, Xian-Jin........................................380, 506 Xie, Yang..................................................... 380 Xing, Chen.................................................... 52 Xing, Eric..................................................... 304 Xiong, Chengjie....................................64, 213 Xiong, Hao.................................................. 254 Xiong, Momiao........................................... 254 Xiong, Xiaoqin.............................................. 24 Xiong, Zang.................................................. 54 Xiu, Dacheng.............................................. 279 Xu, Baowei.................................................. 415 Xu, Dihua.................................................... 268 Xu, Hui........................................................ 558 Xu, Jian-Lun................................................ 607 Xu, Jin........................................................... 21 Xu, Lei......................................................... 224 Xu, Liou....................................................... 380 Xu, Qiang (Casey)...................................... 325 Xu, Stanley.................................................. 111 Xu, Tao.......................................................... 67 Xu, Tianhe................................................... 438 Xu, Wei.......................................................... 17 Xu, Xia......................................................... 172 Xu, Xueli...................................................... 156 Xu, Ya............................................................ 31 Xu, Yan........................................................ 419 Xu, Yong.............................................213, 422 Xu, Yuan...................................................... 213 Xu, Yunling.................................................. 591 Xu, Zhiheng........................................211, 531 Xue, Hongqi................................................ 565 Yada, Katsutoshi......................................... 507 Yakovlev, Andrei......................................... 417 Yamamoto, Teppei..................................... 127 Yamamura, Mariko..................................... 375 Yan, Jun..................................................2, 587 Yan, Lihan................................................... 463 Yan, Lihan K..........................................67, 233 Yan, Ping....................................................... 34 Yan, Xu........................................................ 307 Yan, Y.W....................................................... 171 Yanagihara, Hirokazu.........................375, 431 Yanamandra-Fisher, Padma...................... 170 Yancey, Kristin............................................ 319 Yancy, Jr., William S................................... 263 Yang, Chengwu.......................................... 439 Yang, Cindy.................................................. 17 Yang, Dan................................................... 431 Yang, Guohui.............................................. 169 Yang, Hong...........................................73, 430 Yang, Hongxia.............................................. 62 Yang, Huyuan............................................. 103 Yang, Jean Y.H........................................... 562 Yang, Jie..................................................... 223 Name Session Yang, Jingyuan............................................. 25 Yang, Jun.................................................... 432 Yang, Kit Ling.............................................. 439 Yang, Lijian.......................................15, 30, 42 Yang, Michael Yonghe............................... 420 Yang, Min.................................................... 306 Yang, Ming.................................................. 100 Yang, Peiling............................................... 224 Yang, Qiong................................................ 359 Yang, Shan................................................. 376 Yang, Song................................................. 243 Yang, Ting................................................... 423 Yang, Xing................................................... 611 Yang, Xiting................................................. 132 Yang, Yan.................................................... 526 Yang, Yang.................................................. 233 Yang, Yang.................................................. 383 Yang, Ya-Wen.............................................. 380 Yang, Yuhong............................................. 375 Yang, Yunwen............................................. 566 Yang, Yuqing................................................ 35 Yang, Zijiang............................................... 429 Yao, Fang............................. 16, 254, 369, 501 Yasamin, Ahmad S..................................... 201 Yashchin, Emmanuel................................. 456 Yates, Philip................................................ 117 Yau, Nathan................................................ 227 Yazici, Berna.......................................381, 424 Ye, Jingjing................................................. 233 Ye, Keying................................................... 482 Ye, Lei.......................................................... 156 Yee, K. F...................................................... 233 Yeh, Hung-Wen.......................................... 111 Yen, Les..............................................130, 267 Yenigun, Deniz C........................................ 323 Yi, Grace...............................................24, 297 Yi, Nengjun................................................. 473 Yi, Qilong.................................................... 285 Yi, Sun......................................................... 134 Yin, Guosheng............................................. 26 Yin, Kunshan.............................................. 476 Yin, Wenjun......................... 38, 118, 215, 570 Yin, Xiangrong............................138, 194, 375 Ying, Lisa.................................................... 325 Ying, Zhiliang.............................................. 116 Yitbarec, Anbessie..................................... 456 Yitbarek, Anbessie A.................................. 245 Yitzhaki, Shlomo........................................ 173 Ylvisaker, Donald........................................ 403 Yoo, Jae Keun............................................ 605 Yoo, Mina.................................................... 523 Yoo, Wonsuk.............................................. 436 Yoon, Frank B............................................. 568 Yoon, Youngjoo.......................................... 215 Yoshida, Ryo............................................... 304 Washington, DC 279 Index of Participants Name Session You, L.......................................................... 414 Youll, Robin................................................. 104 Youn, Sungjin............................................. 321 Young, Dean............................................... 437 Young, Eric................................................... 86 Young, John C............................................ 381 Young, Karen D.S......................................... 37 Young, Linda J............................137, 299, 459 Young, Robin L............................................. 32 Young, S. Stanley.......................325, 383, 464 Younger, Novie...........................185, 439, 600 Yousef, Waleed A....................................... 361 Youssef, Abdou.......................................... 319 Yu, Alan......................................................... 17 Yu, Bin...........................................11, 341, 516 Yu, Binbing................................................. 439 Yu, Bing....................................................... 127 Yu, Chang...........................................379, 380 Yu, Chi Wai................................................. 305 Yu, Cindy L........................................409, 541 Yu, Daohai..........................................323, 481 Yu, Fang...................................................... 105 Yu, Hao....................................................... 485 Yu, Kai......................................................... 359 Yu, Ke.......................................................... 298 Yu, Keming................................................. 159 Yu, Li......................................................10, 538 Yu, Lianbo................................................... 526 Yu, Mandi.................................................... 519 Yu, Qin........................................................ 419 Yu, Qingzhao......................................278, 436 Yu, Qiqing..................................................... 29 Yu, Tianwei.................................................. 436 Yu, William.................................................... 60 Yu, Xiang..................................................... 526 Yu, Yan................................................130, 159 Yu, Yongyi (Alan).......................................... 17 Yu, Zhangsheng........................................... 64 Yu, Zhou...................................................... 605 Yuan, Guocheng........................................ 225 Yuan, Ke-Hai.......................................431, 560 Yuan, L........................................................ 549 Yuan, Ming.................................................. 535 Yuan, Weishi............................................... 211 Yuan, Xing................................................... 433 Yuan, Yang . ..................................................... Yuan, Yanling.............................................. 498 Yuan, Ying................................................... 220 Yuan, Ying.............................................26, 552 Yucel, Recai M....................................136, 216 Yu-Chin, Hsu............................................... 212 Yue, Yu................................................410, 506 Yumoto, Futoshi......................................... 132 Yurova, Yuliya V.......................................... 130 Zabelsky, Thomas E.................................. 345 280 JSM 2009 Name Session Zaccaro, Daniel.......................................... 111 Zador, Paul.................................................. 585 Zadrozny, Peter.......................................... 413 Zagar, Anthony........................................... 263 Zahn, Doug................................................. 577 Zaidi, Akbar.................................................. 34 Zaihra, Tasneem......................................... 315 Zakharevich, Michael................................. 436 Zakharkin, Stanislav................................... 436 Zakzeski, Audra............................................ 18 Zand, Martin S............................................ 545 Zaretzki, Russell L...................................... 604 Zaslavsky, Alan M........................76, 216, 458 Zaslavsky, Boris G..............................233, 591 Zayatz, Laura........................................90, 321 Zaykin, Dmitri.....................................135, 359 Zeebari, Zangin A.A................................... 319 Zeger, Scott.................................................. 49 Zeitler, David...............................290, 336, 557 Zell, Elizabeth R................... 25, 116, 427, 440 Zelterman, Daniel....................................... 379 Zempléni, András....................................... 382 Zeng, Cathy................................................ 233 Zeng, Chan................................................. 111 Zeng, Donglin......64, 146, 249, 433, 440, 451 Zeng, Leilei................................................. 297 Zeng, Peng................................................. 121 Zeng, Yong................................................. 376 Zerom, Dawit................................................ 30 Zey, Mary.................................................... 515 Zhan, Tingting............................................ 277 Zhang, Aijun............................................... 119 Zhang, Bin......................... 118, 215, 423, 570 Zhang, Bin.................................................. 275 Zhang, Bin.................................................. 596 Zhang, Bo................................................... 284 Zhang, Chenhua........................................ 431 Zhang, Chunming........................................ 51 Zhang, Cindy.............................................. 579 Zhang, Cun-Hui..................................276, 558 Zhang, Daowen....................................24, 424 Zhang, Donghui.................................276, 529 Zhang, Fan.........................................167, 284 Zhang, Guangyu.......................................... 76 Zhang, Haimeng........................................ 561 Zhang, Hao (Helen).. 215, 401, 436, 494, 535 Zhang, Heping.....................................96, 291 Zhang, Hong.............................................. 284 Zhang, Hongmei........................................ 278 Zhang, Huaiye............................................ 270 Zhang, Hui.................................................. 419 Zhang, Ji..................................................... 547 Zhang, Jiajia............................................... 468 Zhang, Jian................................................. 105 Zhang, Jianliang......................................... 572 Name Session Zhang, Jing................................................ 378 Zhang, Jing................................................ 410 Zhang, Jing (Jenny)..................................... 24 Zhang, Jingjin............................................. 298 Zhang, Jingyang........................................ 132 Zhang, Joanne...................................233, 463 Zhang, Kai.................................................. 475 Zhang, Lijing............................................... 111 Zhang, Lu................................................... 130 Zhang, Mei-Jie............................................ 603 Zhang, Min................................................. 323 Zhang, Mingyuan....................................... 295 Zhang, Peng............................................... 568 Zhang, Peng-Liang...................................... 26 Zhang, Rongmei........................................ 260 Zhang, Shenghai......................................... 34 Zhang, Shiju............................................... 270 Zhang, Shucha........................................... 221 Zhang, Shunpu.......................................... 275 Zhang, Shuping......................................... 325 Zhang, Song.............................................. 506 Zhang, Wei................................................. 476 Zhang, Weimin........................................... 314 Zhang, Xiaoxi.............................................. 171 Zhang, Xingyou..................................422, 438 Zhang, Xinyan............................................ 603 Zhang, Xu................................................... 603 Zhang, Yanwei............................................ 233 Zhang, Yi.................................................... 432 Zhang, Ying................................................ 233 Zhang, Ying................................................ 412 Zhang, Yong................................................. 79 Zhang, Yu................................................... 378 Zhang, Yulei................................................ 382 Zhang, Zheng............................................. 440 Zhang, Zhengjun......................................... 15 Zhang, Zhiwei............................................. 273 Zhang, Zhiwei............................................. 307 Zhang, Zhongxin (John).............................. 43 Zhang, Zugui.............................................. 162 Zhang, Zugui......................................425, 440 Zhao, Cathy................................................ 605 Zhao, Enxu................................................. 216 Zhao, Hongyu....................................130, 372 Zhao, Lili..................................................... 423 Zhao, Meng................................................ 243 Zhao, Meng................................................ 370 Zhao, Peng-Liang...............................224, 547 Zhao, Xin..................................................... 280 Zhao, Yan D.................................................. 79 Zhao, Yang................................................. 211 Zhao, Yanli.................................................. 324 Zhao, Yichuan....................................243, 609 Zhao, Yihong.............................................. 353 Zhao, Yonggang........................................ 505 Index of Participants Name Session Zhao, Yueqin................................................ 35 Zhao, Yufan................................................ 322 Zhao, Zhanyun........................................... 420 Zhao, Zhen.........................................167, 567 Zhao, Zhigen.............................................. 559 Zhen, Boguang.......................................... 591 Zheng, Cheng............................................ 221 Zheng, Gang............... 67, 135, 393, 470, 586 Zheng, Lingyu............................................ 515 Zheng, Tian........................................127, 284 Zheng, Yan................................................. 280 Zheng, Yanbing.......................................... 380 Zheng, Yingye....................................196, 361 Zhong, Jinglin.......................................78, 463 Zhong, John............................................... 324 Zhong, Pingshou....................................... 431 Zhou, Bingqing.......................................... 426 Zhou, Chunxiao.......................................... 113 Zhou, Feifei................................................. 561 Zhou, Haibo................................................ 116 Zhou, Haiyan.............................................. 195 Zhou, Harrison........................................... 501 Zhou, Hong................................................ 285 Zhou, Hong.................................................. 34 Zhou, Hui.................................................... 433 Zhou, Jianhui......................................438, 523 Zhou, Jihao................................................. 233 Zhou, Jin..................................................... 135 Name Session Zhou, Jing...........................................212, 523 Zhou, Lisa................................................... 472 Zhou, Mai............................................220, 609 Zhou, Ming................................................. 475 Zhou, Nengfeng......................................... 138 Zhou, Qing.................................................. 219 Zhou, Susan............................................... 324 Zhou, Weihua............................................. 468 Zhou, Xiao-Hua (Andrew)... 24, 159, 179, 528 Zhou, Yan.................................................... 172 Zhou, Yan Yan............................................ 233 Zhou, Yingchun.......................................... 280 Zhou, Yong................................................. 112 Zhu, Bin...................................................... 259 Zhu, Chao................................................... 233 Zhu, Haiyuan................................................ 36 Zhu, Hong.................................................. 561 Zhu, Hongjian............................................. 115 Zhu, Hongtu.................................52, 101, 220 Zhu, Hongxiao............................................ 200 Zhu, Ji.......138, 170, 250, 354, 378, 379, 534, 538, 562 Zhu, Jian..................................................... 284 Zhu, Jun......................................203, 380, 497 Zhu, Lan........................................................ 72 Zhu, Li........................................................... 61 Zhu, Liping.................................................. 194 Zhu, Li-Xing.................................194, 600, 605 Name Session Zhu, Qiaohao............................................. 221 Zhu, Shuying......................................245, 456 Zhu, Wensheng............................................ 96 Zhu, Xiaofeng............................................. 440 Zhu, Yanni................................................... 379 Zhu, Ying.................................................... 130 Zhu, Zhengyuan.................................259, 432 Zhu, Zhou................................................... 233 Zhuang, Lili................................................. 559 Zhuravlev, Mikhail....................................... 435 Zia, Lee......................................................... 22 Zieffler, Andrew...................................290, 575 Ziegenfuss, Jeanette K.............................. 152 Zieschang, Kim..................................550, 578 Zigler, Corwin M......................................... 504 Ziliak, Stephen T......................................... 153 Zima, Bonnie.............................................. 285 Zimmerman, Rae....................................... 517 Zimmerman, Tabitha.................................... 34 Zodet, Marc.................................................. 60 Zöllner, Sebastian......................................... 91 Zou, Fei...............................................411, 520 Zou, Hui........................................51, 138, 159 Zou, Kelly H................................................ 233 Zuba, Michael............................................... 14 Zubovic, Yvonne........................................ 119 Zurbenko, Igor............................................ 532 Index of Advertisers Advertiser Page AAAS....................................................................................................62 Brooks/Cole .....................................................................................110 Cambridge University Press .............................................................32 CRC Press.........................................................................................142 Cytel, Inc. . ..................................................................................cover 2 Duke University Press . ....................................................................168 Elsevier.................................................................................................76 IRS........................................................................................................61 MacKichan Software . ......................................................................224 Pearson ............................................................................................222 RTI......................................................................................................116 Advertiser Page Sarjinder Singh ..................................................................................97 Salford Systems..........................................................................cover 3 SAS......................................................................................................22 Springer.....................................................................................230, 231 SSC . ...................................................................................................74 statistics.com.......................................................................Monday tab StatPoint/statgraphics.................................................................cover 4 University of Michigan.......................................................................136 W. H. Freeman...................................................................................178 Wiley-Blackwell ................................................................................166 Washington, DC 281 Contacts 2009 Association Contacts Editor, The American Statistician John Stufken Editor, Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics Carl J. Schwarz American Statistical Association President Sally C. Morton President-elect Sastry G. Pantula Past President Peter Lachenbruch Vice President Alicia L. Carriquiry Treasurer J. Keith Ord Secretary Ronald L. Wasserstein Council of Chapters Chair John W. Hall Council of Chapters Representatives John E. Boyer Susan Hilsenbeck David Marker Council of Sections Chair Janet P. Buckingham Council of Sections Representatives David Banks Jeri Mulrow Thomas J. Santner Publications Representative Karen Kafadar International Representative Geert Verbeke Editors, Journal of the American Statistical Association Applications and Case Studies David Banks Theory and Methods Leonard Stefanski Reviews Dalene Stangl 282 JSM 2009 Editors, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics Arthur Lewbel and Serena Ng Editor, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics David van Dyk Editor, Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics David Rindskopf Editor, Technometrics David M. Steinberg Editor, Journal of Statistics Education William Notz Editor, Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research Joseph Heyse Editor, Statistics Surveys Susan Holmes Editors, Statistical Analysis and Data Mining Arnold Goodman, Chandrika Kamath, and Vipin Kumar Editors, Journal of Statistical Software Jan de Leeuw and Achim Zeileis Editor, CHANCE Michael Larsen Editor, ASA/SIAM Book Series Lisa LaVange Business Office Ron Wasserstein Executive Director American Statistical Association 732 North Washington Street Alexandria, VA 22314-1943 Phone: (703) 684-1221 Fax: (703) 684-6456 [email protected] www.amstat.org International Biometric Society, Eastern North American Region President Lance Waller President-elect Sharon-Lise Normand Secretary Maura Stokes Treasurer Scarlett Bellamy Regional Committee (RECOM) Eric Feuer, President (Chair) Amy Herring Karen Bandeen-Roche F. Dubois Bowman Paul Rathouz Jianwen Cai Bradley Carlin Peter Macdonald Joanna Shih Dan Heitjan José Pinheiro Regional Members of the Council of the International Biometric Society Marie Davidian Susan Ellenberg Timothy G. Gregoire Rod Little Louise Ryan Regional Advisory Board (RAB) Amy Herring, Chair Christopher S. Coffey Hormuzd A. Katki Lan Kong Yi Li Lillian Lin Laura Meyerson Gene Pennello Tamara Pinkett John Preisser Douglas E. Schaubel Karla V. Ballman Craig Borkowf Avital Cnaan Kimberly Drews Matthew Gurka Monica Jackson Robert Johnson Robert Lyles Peter Song Ram Tiwari Dipankar Bandyopadhyay Hrishikesh Chakraborty Andrew Finley Haoda Fu Ron Gangnon Eugene Huang Renee Moore Roger Peng Jennifer Schumi Brian Smith Programs 2009 Joint Statistical Meetings Lloyd Edwards 2009 Spring Meeting Brent Coull Mahlet Tadesse Chen-Pin Wang Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS) President Lance Waller President-elect Sharon-Lise Norman Past President Eric Feuer ENAR Standing/Continuing Committee Chairs Nominating Rocky Feuer Sponsorship Christine Clark Business Office Eastern North American Region International Biometric Society 12100 Sunset Hills Road, Suite 130 Reston, VA 20190 Phone: (703) 437-4377 Fax: (703) 435-4390 [email protected] www.enar.org Institute of Mathematical Statistics International Biometrics Society Western North American Region President Todd Alonzo President-elect Peter Lachenbruch Past President John Neuhaus Secretary Antje Hoering Treasurer Mary Redman Program Coordinator Weng Kee Wong Representatives at-Large Jennifer Hoeting Rhonda Rosychuk Ying Lu Kathy Prewitt Loki Natarajan Roy St. Laurent Laura Cowen Walter Piegorsch IBS Council Representatives John Neuhaus Elizabeth Thompson Business Office WNAR Membership Services Cancer Research and Biostatistics 1730 Minor Avenue, Suite 1900 Seattle, WA 98101-1468 President Nanny Wermuth Editors, The Annals of Statistics Susan Murphy and Bernard Silverman President-elect J. Michael Steele Executive Editor, Statistical Science David Madigan Past President Jianqing Fan Editor, IMS Bulletin Xuming He Treasurer Rong Chen Editor, Lecture NotesMonograph Series Anirban DasGupta Program Secretary Guenther Walther Executive Secretary Marten Wegkamp Editor, The Annals of Applied Probability Yuval Peres Editor, The Annals of Probability Ofer Zeitouni Editor, The Annals of Applied Statistics Bradley Efron Managing Editor, Statistics & Probability Michael Phelan Council Martin Barlow Frank Den Hollander Iain Johnstone Karen Kafadar Xiao-Li Meng Statistical Society of Canada-Executive Business Office Elyse R. Gustafson, Executive Director P.O. Box 22718 Beachwood, OH 44122 Phone: (216) 295-2340 Fax: (216) 295-5661 President-elect Bovas Abraham [email protected] www.imstat.org Treasurer Edward Chen President Roman Viveros-Aguilera Past President Christian Genest Secretary Paul Cabilo Publications Officer Wendy Lou Business Office Statistical Society of Canada 577 King Edward Avenue Ottawa, ON Canada K1N 6N5 Phone: (613) 562-5320 Fax: (613) 565-6774 [email protected] www.ssc.ca [email protected] Washington, DC 283 International Indian Statistical Association International Chinese Statistical Association President Jianqing Fan President-elect Xuming He Past President Jane-Ling Wang President Subir Ghosh President-elect Ram C. Tiwari Past President Malay Ghosh India Chapter President Ashis SenGupta Secretary Sneh Gulati Executive Director Ming-Hui Chen Treasurers Subrata Kundu Sudip Bose Treasurer Yusong Chen Program Chair Bhramar Mukherjee Board of Directors Ying Qing Chen Waisum Chan Runze Li Aiyi Liu Mey Wang Yuedong Wang Yaning Yang Song Xi Chen Zehua Chen Wing K. Fung Wei Shen Yazhen Wang Gang Zheng Jianwen Cai Tony Cai Ouhong Wang Chunming Zhang Jun Zhu Program Co-Chairs Nilanjan Chatterjee Debajyoti Sinha 284 JSM 2009